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☆ A recession next year is now even less likely following the blowout jobs report, says Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Friday's knockout jobs report has squashed fears of an imminent recession. Goldman Sachs cut the chances of a recession in the next year to 15%, and other analysts cheered. AdvertisementRecession fears have weighed on Wall Street recently, but Friday's blowout jobs report has assuaged worries of an imminent economic downturn. "Friday's US labor report put paid to US recession fears," Rabobank's research team wrote. The latest jobs report has relieved some concerns about the economy, but also dashed hopes for another jumbo cut in November.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, Stocks, Goldman, Saxo, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Labor Statistics, Federal Locations: There's

Since the Fed will likely be able to take a slower approach to lowering rates, mortgage rates are unlikely to go down further this year. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are around 6%, according to Zillow data. In September, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. Now that the Fed has cut rates, mortgage rates may not drop much in October.

Persons: they're, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal, Zillow, Fed Locations: U.S, Chevron

☆ What a hot job market means for inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —The US job market is still piping hot. That comes after the Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates by a jumbo half-point, signaling that it is turning its attention from tamping down inflation to keeping the job market steady. But some warn that a still-strong labor market could make it more difficult for inflation to continue cooling. That’s because a low unemployment rate and hot job market underline a strong American consumer, whose spending helps drive up the cost of goods and services. Consumer inflation eased to its slowest annual pace since February 2021 in August, continuing a trend of cooling down in recent months.

Persons: FactSet, ”, Seema Shah, “, Gina Bolvin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Investors, “, Fed, Asset Management, Labor Statistics, Bolvin Wealth Management Group, International Longshoremen’s Association, United States Maritime Alliance Locations: New York, July’s, Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Falling home prices and fed-up residents show the Texas housing boom is slowing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

The Texas housing market has cooled after a frenzy of activity during the pandemic. The shift in attitudes is an indicator for the state's housing market, which boomed during the pandemic. Median home prices in Texas have fallen around 7% from their highs in mid-2022, according to data from Redfin. The decline is an outlier compared to the broader US housing market, which is still prices hovering around record highs. But those issues are minor relative to things like economic growth and housing affordability, Fairweather says, which she described as two of the biggest factors that could determine if the Texas housing market picks back up.

Persons: Austin, —, Peter Hoholick, Roe, Wade, Hoholick, it's, James Willoughby, Willoughby, he's, Redfin, William Wheeler, Price, Daryl Fairweather, " Fairweather, Fairweather, they're, Samuel Cobb, couldn't, Cobb, hasn't, We're Organizations: Lone Star, Service, Texas —, Lone Star State, realtors, Texas, Census Bureau, . Texas realtors, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BI Locations: Texas, Austin, California, Dallas, Amarillo, Florida , Texas, LendingTree, Fort Worth, Arlington, East Texas

☆ Russia's defense industry has a massive labor shortage. Rules on what jobs women can do are part of the issue.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Russia's defense industry is short some tens of thousands of skilled laborers. Demographic trends and policies further strain Russia's labor force and defense industry. AdvertisementRussia does have one largely untapped source of labor for the defense industry: women. AdvertisementThe decline in Russia's labor force is forecast to continue until 2040, Massicot wrote. This would make bringing women into defense manufacturing a hard cultural and political pivot, Massicot said on X.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin, Dara Massicot, Massicot, Putin, El País, Health Mikhail Murashko Organizations: Service, BBC, Carnegie Endowment, International, Workers, American Welding Society, Russian Academy of Science's Institute of Economics, Reuters, Russia's, Health Locations: Ukraine, Russia, BBC Russia, Eurasia, El

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6%, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the low 5% range, according to Zillow data. Average Refinance Mortgage Rates TodayRefinance rates are a bit higher today after dropping in September. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%.

Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, refinance Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Labor, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed Locations: U.S, Chevron

Friday’s jobs report is expected to show another relatively healthy month of payroll gains, alongside a stable unemployment rate. At the moment, there is little light at the end of the tunnel for those job seekers. The unemployment rate was expected to be unchanged from August, at 4.2%. While the economy continues to add jobs at a steady clip, signs of ongoing labor market weakness have become unmistakable. Last week, the Conference Board’s closely watched consumer confidence survey fell by the largest amount since August 2021, driven largely by concerns about the labor market.

Persons: Dana M, Peterson, Guy Berger, ” Berger, Berger, precariousness Organizations: Labor Statistics, Conference, Conference Board, Glass, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Jobless rates fall for Black and Hispanic men in September
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Hakyung Kim | In Hakyungkim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This trend bucked the overall unemployment rate, which inched lower to 4.1% in September, down just 0.1 percentage point from August. In September, Black men saw their jobless rate fall to 5.1% from 5.9% in the month prior. The jobless rate similarly fell for Hispanic men to 4.1% from 4.8% last month. The unemployment rate for men in Black and Hispanic racial groups declined in September while staying little-changed for other racial groups, according to data released Friday by the Department of Labor. "Black unemployment typically holds about two times higher than White unemployment, among the first to be laid off.

Persons: Sarah Foster, Foster, — Organizations: Amerant Bank, Department of Labor Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida, Black

☆ Here's where the jobs are for September 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The September jobs report was surprisingly strong , and the details show that growth came from many different areas of the economy. Within hospitality, food services and drinking places saw jobs jump by 69,000. Professional and business services grew by 17,000 jobs, which is a notable change for a category that had shed jobs in recent months. The only caution flag could be the rise in those with multiple jobs," Roach said. Two key areas that lost jobs last month were manufacturing and transportation and warehousing, though each category shrank by fewer than 10,000 jobs.

Persons: Jeffrey Roach, Roach Organizations: of Labor Statistics . Government, LPL Financial

☆ Job interviews: How young people can ace them
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Kristen Rogers | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

CNN —Megan Rathmell thought she’d bombed her job interview earlier this year, assuming her nervousness and lack of preparation had cost her the opportunity. SDI Productions/E+/Getty ImagesWhat Rathmell learned from her boss mirrors what hiring managers say: Some Gen Z college graduates are unprepared for job interviews or behave unprofessionally during job interviews. Some people think they can just wing a job interview, said Stacie Haller, chief career advisor at ResumeBuilder. How to handle the actual job interviewDressing professionally for both in-person and virtual interviews is important regardless of whether it’s for a fast-food restaurant, retail store or office job, experts said. When you’re given the chance to ask questions, ask what you’ve prepared.

Persons: Megan Rathmell, she’d, “, ”, Rathmell, unprofessionally, Nathan Mondragon, Mondragon, Stacie Haller, Haller, you’ve, it’s, Nicolas Roulin, you’ll, Roulin, they’re, don’t, —, you’re, they’ll Organizations: CNN, SDI, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Saint Mary’s University, United, Services Locations: Virginia, ResumeBuilder, Canada, Colorado, New York

☆ Google Search's new AI makeover is the latest change the rest of the internet needs to navigate
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

In today's big story, Google Search is going to look a whole lot different thanks to generative AI . According to Rhiannon Bell, the vice president of user experience for Google Search, it's a "pretty dramatic shift from where we were before." AdvertisementAnd yes, in case you were wondering if it was coming, Google is going to start putting ads in its AI Search results — but only when Google deems them relevant. Google's new AI-organized search results GoogleSearch's revamp addresses a big concern for the rest of the internet. One survey conducted earlier this year found 60% of people who used Google's AI search found it more effective than non-AI powered Search.

Persons: —, Morgan Stanley, Tyler Le, Hugh Langley, Tech's, Hugh, Rhiannon Bell, Gen, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Ned Davis, Kalshi, Andy Jassy F, Carter Smith, Chelsea Jia Feng, Andy Jassy, Marc Andreessen, he's, Alyssa Powell, dockworkers, hasn't, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Costco, Tech, Google, Getty, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CFTC, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Amazon, LinkedIn, YouTube, EU . US Department of Labor Locations: China, San Francisco, EU, New York, London

☆ I'm a new mom and a recent cancer survivor. I have to make space for both the joy and the fear.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Autumn Gavora | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

I've learned that it's OK to make space for both. For the next year and a half, the same lymph node was flagged as suspicious, leaving me in a constant state of limbo. The lymph node that had caused me so much anxiety — the last holdout — was clear. Most of all, I've learned to enjoy the life that I was given a second chance to live. I've learned to cherish this incredible gift while hoping to be here with him as long as possible.

Persons: I've, —, Will Organizations: Service, Daily

"The trend was inevitable," said Teresa Ghilarducci, professor of economics at The New School for Social Research in New York. "The lack of affordable childcare may be playing a role," according to Richard Fry, a senior researcher at Pew. "The childcare crisis, which was simmering prior to the pandemic, has come to a boil," according to a KPMG analysis. A study by the Pew Research Center found that men who are not college-educated leave the workforce at higher rates than men who are. "When you don't get rewarded for working, you work less," Fry said.

Persons: Teresa Ghilarducci, Richard Fry, —, Pew's Fry, Fry Organizations: Federal Reserve, The New School for Social Research, Pew Research Center, Pew, KPMG Locations: New York

☆ US economy added 254,000 jobs in September, logging surprisingly robust growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —US job growth surged in September, blowing past expectations and providing solid reassurance for the ongoing stability of the labor market. Employers added an estimated 254,000 jobs in September, according to data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. “The outlook for the economy in the months ahead is quite favorable, according to the September jobs report. As job gains dropped off from their once breakneck pace, economists were quick to note that the labor market was merely slowing and not at risk of imminent collapse. “The labor market is strong,” she said.

Persons: “, ” Brian Bethune, —, Chris Rupkey, ”, Elise Gould, Gould, Jerome Powell, September’s, it’s, ” Bethune, ‘, ’, Josh Hirt, ” Hirt, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Employers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Boston College, Service, Federal Reserve, FwdBonds, Economic Policy Institute, Federal, Vanguard, Boeing

☆ Why one firm is skeptical about the blockbuster September jobs report — and is still expecting another jumbo rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed will still deliver jumbo rate cuts to stabilize the weakening job market, the firm predicted. AdvertisementThough most on Wall Street are cheering September's blowout labor report, not everyone is so sure the labor market is booming. Advertisement"The extremely low response rate to the payroll survey waves a red flag," the firm wrote on Friday. The firm scrutinized last month's payroll strength against the fact that other labor market indicators have shown a pullback in hiring. Meanwhile, this week's JOLTS data prompted Deutsche Bank to question how tight the labor market really is.

Persons: —, Larry Summers Organizations: Macroeconomics, Service, Deutsche Bank, of Labor Statistics, Conference, Federal, Bank of America Locations: joblessness, tanked

The September jobs report came in stronger than expected, with 254,000 jobs added. AdvertisementThe latest jobs report might be just what Vice President Kamala Harris needs. The latest jobs report could change that — taking away some of former President Donald Trump's ammunition to hammer Harris on the economy. AdvertisementRecent days have included not only a stellar jobs report but also the end for now of the dockworkers' strike at East Coast ports. "With today's report, we've created 16 million jobs, unemployment remains low, and wages are growing faster than prices," the statement said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Biden, —, Joe Biden, Donald Trump's, Matt Colyar, Colyar, Pew, leaners, they're, we've, Labor Julie Su, We've, we're Organizations: Service, Moody's, University of Michigan's, Consumers, Pew Research Center, Democratic, Republican, The New York Times, Siena College, Pew Research, Labor Locations: East Coast

☆ Starbucks invests in two innovation farms to help climate-proof its coffee
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Amelia Lucas | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A sign outside of the Starbucks headquarters is seen at Starbucks Center on July 3, 2024 in Seattle, Washington. More than a decade ago, Starbucks bought its first coffee farm, in Costa Rica. For Starbucks, which buys 3% of the world's coffee, the shortages can mean scrambling to find Arabica beans — and higher prices for its customers. Consumer coffee prices have risen 18% over the last five years as of August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Coffee Belt refers to the equatorial region with the ideal conditions to grow coffee beans.

Persons: it's, La Nina, Roberto Vega Organizations: Starbucks Center, Starbucks, Consumer, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Seattle , Washington, Costa Rica, Seattle, Guatemala, Brazil

☆ Stock market today: Indexes fall, oil surges on Middle East turmoil ahead of jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Traders are watching rising risks to oil supplies as tensions in the Middle East escalate. US oil spiked 5.5% to $73.98 a barrel and Brent prices rose more than 5% to trade at $77.86. If the conflict destroys Iran's oil infrastructure, oil prices could surge 161% to over $200 a barrel, according to SEB's chief commodities analyst Bjarne Schieldrop. AdvertisementInvestors are eagerly awaiting the September jobs report, due Friday, for further signs of labor market health. Markets are pricing in a 65% chance of a smaller 25 basis point cut in November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Friday's nonfarm, Biden, —, Joe Biden, retaliating, Biden's, Brent, Bjarne Schieldrop, Economists, Jensen Huang, Blackwell Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Israel, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Costco Locations: Israel, Iran

☆ Howard Schultz violated labor law by telling employee ‘if you’re not happy at Starbucks, you can go work for another company’
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Ramishah Maruf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The decision underscores the fractious relationship Starbucks has had with organized labor as more and more workers at its stores unionize. In 2022, when Schultz was interim CEO, he attended a company event in Long Beach, California, to address and improve working conditions at Starbucks stores. According to the administrative law decision, he “had an angry expression on his face.” The NLRB decision upholds an administrative law judge’s decision in October 2023. In a statement, Starbucks said it disagrees with the board’s decision. Though Schultz stepped down in March 2023 after his third time serving as CEO, he remains tied to the company.

Persons: Starbucks ’ Howard Schultz, you’re, Schultz, “, ”, ’, McKinney, Starbucks, we’re, ” Michelle Eisen Organizations: New, New York CNN, Starbucks, National Labor Relations Board, Madison Hall, Workers United, NLRB, Wednesday, Starbucks Workers United, CNN Locations: New York, California, Long Beach , California, Buffalo , New York, Buffalo, Washington, Long

☆ Here's everything to expect when the September jobs report is released Friday
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"The jobs market is slowing down and becoming less tight," said Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust Wealth Management. Then there are the monthly revisions that have been dramatic at times, causing the Labor Department to overcount hiring by more than 800,000 for the 12-month period through March 2024, adding uncertainty to jobs market analysis. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the report at 8:30 a.m. Looking for cluesStill, markets will in fact be watching the report closely. At the same meeting where they approved the reduction, policymakers indicated another half percentage point, or 50 basis points, in cuts before the end of 2024 and another full percentage point in 2025.

Persons: Angus Mordant, Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Katie Nixon, We've, there's, David Kelly, Helene —, JPMorgan's Kelly, Kelly Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, Trust Wealth Management, Labor Department, Asset Management, Labor Statistics Locations: Albany, Latham , New York

☆ Dating Apps Helped Me Find Love. Now They've Become a Total Scam.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Albert Fox Cahn | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +22 min

I spent some time alone after things ended, but by the end of 2012, I was ready to re-embrace online dating. Within a few years, my fellow millennials and I were reportedly spending 10 hours a week on dating apps. "Dating apps are designed to be a miserable experience," Stephanie Rodgers, the founder of the forthcoming dating app Verb, said. Increasingly, it feels like dating apps make things more monotonous and cumbersome to incentivize us to pay for upgrades. And while dating apps' cost in terms of harassment, threats, and violence is paid disproportionately by women, its financial cost is disproportionately paid by men.

Persons: —, I've, I'd, it's, undateable, Phil, begrudgingly, Tinder, Charlotte Fox Weber, Weber, Swiping, Koshiro, Stephanie Rodgers, Rodgers, you'll, we're, curt, It's, I'm Organizations: Congressional, New York Times, Harvard Law, Facebook, Match, The League, Upper East, Grand Central Locations: DC, Washington, Western Europe, East, Asia, Raya, Brooklyn, Americas

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 5.90%, according to Zillow data. Current 15-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the low 5% range, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down.

Persons: Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Fed, ADP, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government

☆ Friday’s jobs report could be the last normal one for a while
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —September’s jobs report, due out Friday morning, is expected to show that the US labor market has slowed somewhat but remains on solid footing. While September’s employment data is expected to stay relatively tame, the same can’t be said for the October jobs report, which is set to be released on November 1, just days before the presidential election. The strikes and hurricane-related effects “are not going to permanently alter the trajectory of the labor market; but September is probably our last clean reading on the labor market for a while,” Ryan Sweet, chief US economist at Oxford Economics, told CNN earlier this week. The August jobs report, which showed better-than-expected estimated 142,000 payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate, went a long way to quell those fears. It showed that the jobs market is in “stasis,” Wells Fargo economists wrote in a note issued Tuesday.

Persons: bode, Lydia Boussour, ” Ryan Sweet, Helene, ”, Erica Groshen, They’ve, “, Andrew Challenger, Wells, Noah Yosif, ’ Sweet, Ejindu Ume, “ We’re, ” Ume Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Gulf Coasts, Oxford Economics, of Labor Statistics, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Employers, Challenger, Labor Department, Pantheon, Labor, BLS, “, American Staffing Association, Oxford, Miami University in Locations: EY, Hurricane, East, Gulf, Miami University in Ohio

☆ Why the Harris campaign has been aggressively courting Filipino Americans in Nevada
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Kimmy Yam | Kimmy Yam Is A Reporter For Nbc Asian America. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

“Pinoy Pride” slogans, meals with community members, in-language ads and recruiting Filipino Americans for the campaign. With just over a month before the election, Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign has been courting a group of Asian American voters, Filipino Americans, that may play a decisive role in the crucial swing state of Nevada. While Asian Americans make up almost 12% of Nevada’s electorate, well over the previous margin of victory, Filipino Americans constitute by far the largest ethnic group in that demographic. The ad blitz follows several other efforts made in the past few months to mobilize the Asian American community. With a month to go, Abby Herrera, a 19-year-old Filipino American organizer with grassroots nonprofit One APIA Nevada, said more can always be done to attract Filipino American voters.

Persons: Kamala Harris ’, Harris, “, ”, Assemblywoman Erica Mosca, Abby Herrera, Bacon, Labor Julie Su, we’re, ’ ” Mosca, “ We’re, Team Trump, Halee Dobbins, Rozita Lee, Mosca, ” Mosca, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Herrera, ” Herrera Organizations: Asian American, Democratic candidate’s, American, “ Pinoy, shouldn’t, Pinoy Pride, Biden, Labor, Nevada Democrats, Southwest, Trump, Pacific, Republican National, NBC News, “, Team, Pacific Islanders, Philippine Times of, Asian, Las Locations: Nevada, Las Vegas, Pacific Islander, “ In Nevada, Hawaii, California, Hawaiians, Philippine Times of Southern Nevada, APIA Nevada

☆ Biden and other government officials are telling port companies to get a better offer to striking workers ASAP
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Lian Kit Wee | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

President Joe Biden called for port companies to offer fair deals to striking dockworkers. He and the acting labor secretary, Julie Su, urged dock workers and companies to negotiate. AdvertisementPresident Joe Biden and other government officials are urging port companies to offer stronger contracts to the 45,000 dockworkers on strike at East and Gulf Coast ports. The message from the Biden administration is clear: Companies need to offer a fair deal to the striking workers as soon as possible. Su said the port workers' sacrifices and importance during the pandemic and in helping communities recover from Hurricane Helene weren't fairly reflected in their salaries.

Persons: Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Julie Su, —, Biden, Hurricane Helene, Buttigieg, he'd, she'd, Su, Hurricane Helene weren't, Taft, Hartley Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Federal Maritime Commission, US Maritime Alliance, International Longshoremen's Association, Associated Press, dockworkers, Department of Labor, Department of Transportation, Business Insider Locations: East, Gulf Coast, Hurricane

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