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Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Citi reiterates Chipotle as buy Citi raised its price target on Chipotle to $2,699 per share from $2,292. "We are launching coverage of NKLA with an Outperform rating and a $2 price target." Polestar : On a Road to Nowhere - Initiating Coverage with a target price of $1.15, Underperform." Citi upgrades Sunoco to buy from neutral Citi said the oil and gas company is "compelling." Citi reiterates Microsoft as buy Citi raised its price target on the stock to $470 per share from $432 and said "ramping GenAI should keep growth accelerating."
Persons: Chipotle, Daiwa, Wells, Morgan Stanley, it's, Baird, Nikola, Bernstein, Biogen, Webster, Redburn, Tesla, Apple, Morgan Stanley downgrades PagerDuty, Gordon Haskett downgrades Uber, Gordon Haskett, Oppenheimer, PulteGroup, Wolfe Organizations: Citi, Verizon, Netflix, Amazon, EV, Devices, AMD, UBS, Apple, Uber, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Barclays downgrades, Barclays, Microsoft, BMO, HSBC, Stellantis, Entertainment, Nvidia, Wolfe Alpha, Valero, Phillips Locations: H1'24, Nowhere, China
United Airlines – The airline stock popped nearly 5% a day after the company reported higher-than-expected earnings and revenue for the fourth quarter. TKO Group – Shares of TKO Group Holdings rallied 15.8% after announcing a deal to air its WWE flagship program known as "Raw" on Netflix next year. Revenue topped expectations, but earnings fell 6 cents short of analysts' expectations, per LSEG. Verizon posted $1.08 in adjusted earnings per share on $35.13 billion in revenue, while analysts surveyed by LSEG forecasted $1.07 per share in earnings and $34.64 billion of revenue. Procter & Gamble posted mixed results for its fiscal second quarter , topping earnings expectations but falling short on revenue.
Persons: Alibaba, Alibaba's, Truist, Coinbase – Coinbase, Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, Lockheed Martin, Horton –, Halliburton – Halliburton, Johnson – Johnson, Wall, Gamble, RTX, Zions Bancorporation, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Alex Harring Organizations: United Airlines –, Boeing, Max, Group, WWE, Netflix, LSEG, New York Times, Sunnova Energy, Enphase Energy, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Reuters, CSI China Internet, General Electric, GE, Teva Pharmaceutical, Teva Pharmaceuticals, Lockheed, Logitech –, Logitech, Barstool Sports, Johnson, Verizon –, Verizon, Procter, FactSet Locations: Alibaba –, China, fundaments
CNBC's Jim Cramer suggested an uneven start to earnings season makes the Federal Reserve's March decision on interest rates hard to predict. Cramer unpacked earnings results from some of the many companies that reported on Tuesday. Higher rates lead DR Horton to offer mortgage incentives so that customers would buy homes, Cramer said. But some companies' reports showed inflation is still a real issue, he added. "We have so many stocks that've rallied because buyers were betting on low inflation, a strong economy, and a series of rate cuts," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Horton, Greg Hayes, DR Organizations: DR, GE
Yet the main IPO ETF, the Renaissance Capital IPO ETF ( IPO ), has been for sale most of the month. "For the IPO market to open up, it would help not to have our IPO ETF down 9%," he said. Forge Global maintains a Private Market Index , a measure of 75 late-stage pre-IPO companies. "This tells you valuations are getting reset in the private market," Ng told me. Can AI save the IPO market?
Persons: Matt Kennedy, Homebuilder Smith Douglas, Don Short, Salomon, Wilson, Howe Ng, Ng, Del, Waystar, Kim Kardashian's, Short, Vincent Harrison Organizations: Renaissance Capital, Nasdaq, Amer Sports, Arc'teryx, Forge, SEC, Companies, Reuters, Auto, Turo, CNBC, Microsoft, Gaming, SpaceX, Forge Global Locations: Kazakhstan, IPOs, Pitchbook
LOS ANGELES (AP) — Japan's Sekisui House Ltd. is buying Denver-based homebuilder M.D.C. Holdings Inc. for $4.9 billion in a deal that would make the Japanese company the fifth-largest builder of new homes in the U.S. The companies said Thursday that they reached a definitive agreement for Osaka-based Sekisui to acquire M.D.C. Holdings for $63 per share. The all-cash offer translates to a roughly 19% premium over M.D.C. Holdings' closing stock price Wednesday. Political Cartoons View All 253 ImagesIn addition to the U.S. and Japan, Sekisui House has operations in Australia, the U.K., China and Singapore. Among the U.S. home construction brands it now operates are Woodside Homes, Holt Homes, Chesmar Homes and Hubble Homes.
Persons: Toru Tsuji, Sekisui, homebuilders Organizations: ANGELES, Sekisui, Holdings Inc, U.S, M.D.C, Holdings, M.D.C . Holdings, . Holdings, Richmond American Homes, Woodside Homes, Holt Homes, Chesmar, Hubble Homes, Residential Holdings Locations: Denver, Osaka, California , Florida , Texas, Japan, Australia, China, Singapore, U.S, Woodside, Sekisui
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing — U.S.-listed shares of the semiconductor company popped 9.79% on the back of a fourth-quarter profit and revenue beat . Fastenal earned 46 cents per share on revenue of $1.76 billion, while analysts polled by StreetAccount forecast 45 cents per share on $1.75 billion in revenue. Adjusted earnings per share were 32 cents, versus the 27 cents expected from analysts polled by StreetAccount. KeyCorp — The Cleveland-based bank dropped 4.62% after reporting fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 3 cents, down from 38 cents a year prior. Kinder Morgan — Kinder Morgan shares slid 1.42% after the natural gas pipeline operator reported fourth-quarter revenue of $4.04 billion, missing the LSEG consensus estimate of $4.41 billion.
Persons: Sekisui, Hertz, Morgan Stanley, Fastenal, Birkenstock, KeyCorp —, Kinder Morgan — Kinder Morgan, CNBC's Lisa Han, Samantha Subin, Alex Harring, Yun Li, Pia Singh, Sarah Min Organizations: Apple —, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Apple, CVS Health, MDC Holdings, MDC, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Taiwan Semiconductor, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Devices, Spirit Airlines, JetBlue, Citi, StreetAccount, Horizon, Discover Financial, Wolfe Research, JPMorgan Locations: KeyCorp — The Cleveland, Singapore
Jim Cramer names four tailwinds helping stocks rip higher
  + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The major indexes busted out of a slump on Thursday and CNBC's Jim Cramer pinpointed several unexpected market tailwinds, telling investors to look for this kind of action instead of obsessing over news from the Federal Reserve. "I'd rather look for these unexpected tailwinds that affect individual companies. According to Cramer, the return of Japan as a notable player in mergers and acquisitions is another tailwind. Cramer said activist investor Nelson Peltz's proxy fight to get into Disney 's boardroom could lead to higher value for the company. Above all, Cramer reminded investors not to trade, but to research and identify stocks they believe in for the long term.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Apple, Nelson Organizations: Federal Reserve, of America, Apple, homebuilder MDC Holdings, Nippon, U.S . Steel, Disney Locations: Japan
Homebuilder sentiment improved in January, jumping 7 points to 44 on the National Association of Home Builders monthly index. Anything below 50 is still considered negative, but the index has now moved 10 points higher in the last two months. The increase coincides with a big drop in mortgage interest rates from around 8% in mid-October to the 6% range in December. Regionally, on a three-month moving average, builder confidence increased the most in the Northeast, the only area now in positive territory at 55. Sentiment was flat in the Midwest and rose slightly in the South and West.
Persons: Alicia Huey Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, Builders Locations: Birmingham , Alabama, Midwest, South, West
Homebuilder sentiment improves for second straight month
  + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHomebuilder sentiment improves for second straight monthCNBC's Rick Santelli and Diana Olick report on the latest economic data to cross the tape.
Persons: Rick Santelli, Diana Olick
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRates must fall more for home builders and buyers to be confident again, says Redfin's FairweatherDaryl Fairweather, Redfin chief economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss whether January's homebuilder sentiment moves the needle for affordability, how the home supply dynamic may shift during the year, and more.
Persons: Redfin's Fairweather Daryl Fairweather, Redfin
Washington, DC CNN —Homebuilder confidence surged in January as mortgage rates continued to trend lower, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index released Wednesday. Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes surpassed market expectations, climbing seven points to 44 on the index. The optimism comes as mortgage rates begin to fall and data points to an improving economy heading into 2024. “Single-family starts are expected to grow in 2024, adding much needed inventory to the market,” Huey said. The monthly builder index looks at current sales, buyer traffic and the outlook for sales of new-construction homes over the next six months.
Persons: Alicia Huey, ” Huey, Freddie Mac Organizations: DC CNN, National Association of Home Builders Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo
Tuesday, Jan. 16, 2024: Cramer believes this financial holding is nearing a bottomJim and Jeff discuss why they've been recently adding to health care. They also discuss the winners and losers after banks reported earnings. Finally, Jeff says he likes this homebuilder stock.
Persons: Cramer, Jeff, they've
From the outside, the adobe-style ranch house on the outskirts of Albuquerque appears to be like any other three-bedroom house. But its designers took inspiration from an unusual source. In fact, the person for whom the design is named probably never stepped foot in New Mexico at all. The company also named a home layout after Anne Frank, who hid from Nazis in an annex in the Netherlands before being killed in a concentration camp. The designs appear to have been available for years, but they did not pique interest on social media until this week.
Persons: Harriet Tubman, , Abrazo, tastelessly, Anne Frank Locations: Albuquerque, New Mexico, Netherlands
Veev also promised they would be green and less expensive, thanks to its factory process. The Veev representative said "no employee was requested to do so as a policy." The Veev representative said "production lines were not idle," and design errors were inevitable because the company was still testing its product. "While the Series D money was committed, not all of it was received," the Veev representative said. "Veev and Lennar made a joint decision to stop building the Gramercy project," the Veev representative wrote.
Persons: Henry Ford, Veev, Lennar, Elon, Veev Veev, Amit Haller, Ami Avrahami, Dafna Akiva, Haller, Ari Rauch, Rauch, Bond, Calcalist, I've, Scott Long, thatit, Long, Veev's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Business, Katerra, Industry, American, BI, NSF, Fortune, Employees, Dow Chemical, Lennar, Gramercy, Hayward, Wall LLC Locations: Hayward , California, homebuilding, San Carlos , California, Tel Aviv, California
The state of the US housing market in 5 charts
  + stars: | 2024-01-05 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Read previewThe US housing market is facing historic unaffordability and it's kept countless Americans sidelined or forced to face hefty monthly home payments. This lock-in effect has created a tale of two markets: those who have been crushed by high mortgage rates and those who have mostly gotten by unaffected. Many Americans secured lower mortgage rates during the pandemic. AdvertisementBut in 2023, that dearth of supply for existing homes was a boon for homebuilders — and Wall Street took notice. William BlairFreddie Mac Multi-family Home Serious Delinquency Rate William Blair, Freddie MacUltimately, in 2024 William Blair forecasts supply to improve, mortgage rates to fall, and existing homeowners to return to the market out of necessity.
Persons: , it's, William Blair, Richard de Chazal, homebuilders, William Blair's, de Chazal, William Blair Freddie Mac, Freddie Mac Organizations: Service, Industry, Business, National Association of Realtors, Federal, Wall, Bloomberg
Box — The cloud company plummeted 11% after reporting fiscal third-quarter adjusted earnings of 36 cents per share on revenue of $261.5 million. This was lower than FactSet's analyst expectations of 38 cents per share on $262.4 million of revenue. MongoDB — The database stock shed 4% despite MongoDB beating analysts' expectations in its third-quarter earnings. The company's $167 million revenue was also above the forecast $164 million. Dave & Buster's — The stock slipped 3% after the company posted third-quarter revenue of $466.9 million, lower than analysts' forecast for $473 million, per LSEG.
Persons: Asana, Buster's, LSEG Organizations: LSEG, Biosciences, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, crinecerfont, Toll Locations: U.S
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 4, 2023. U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday night after the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid for a second day. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.09% and 0.15%, respectively. Looking past this rally, come the new year Wolfe Research chief investment strategist Chris Senyek sees disappointment ahead for investors. In his base case scenario, Senyek sees the S&P 500 dropping 8% by the end of 2024.
Persons: MongoDB, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Senyek, Campbell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, ., Toll, Wolfe Research, Traders Locations: New York City, U.S
"This was some week for the huddled masses of stocks longing to be free of the bears," he said. He'll also be paying attention when Ollie's Bargain Outlet reports earnings, wondering if consumers have moved on from off-price retailers. With an earnings report from Dollar General , Thursday will tell investors whether the company has been able to "break the anti-dollar store spell," Cramer said. Friday will bring the "great rate arbiter," November's labor report. Cramer said he thinks rates will keep falling if the unemployment rate rises to 4% and there isn't significant wage growth.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, pinpointing, Cramer, he'll, Campbell, He'll Organizations: homebuilder, Dollar, Broadcom, Lululemon, VMware
But for workers of Lennar-backed homebuilder Veev, they were spent scrambling to determine if they would still have jobs come Monday. Speaking to the "Veev Family," he wrote: "Family will stay in touch and together forever, even if it is going to be only within our hearts." The company has about 250 employees, according to news site Calcalist. "We call it the Veev family," Haller said. On a very personal note, for me Amit Haller, Veev was my personal journey in the past 15 years, half of my professional career and about ⅓ of my entire life.
Persons: Amit Haller, Veev, Haller, doesn't, we're, homebuilder, Kleiner Perkins, Bond, Lennar, Linda Keala, Ami, Amit Organizations: Business, Dragonfly, Wall, Center, Real Estate, Technology Innovation, Employees, Dafna Locations: California, Tel Aviv, Hayward , California, Haller, Reali, @nicollsanddimes, .
Washington, DC CNN —New home sales in the United States fell in October as typical mortgage rates reached their highest levels this year. This was below analysts’ expectations of an annualized sales pace of 723,000. The average mortgage rate for that loan has been lower recently, dropping down to 7.29% last week, according to Freddie Mac. New home builders often offer more financing options for homebuyers, she said, and are able to “buy down” mortgage rates to make their offerings more attractive than the resale market. With [mortgage] interest rates anticipated to drop in the coming year, more resale homes may go on the market – however there remains significant pent-up demand from buyers,” Mangold said.
Persons: Freddie Mac, , Kelly Mangold, ” Mangold, Organizations: DC CNN, US Department of Housing, Urban Development, Census, Federal Reserve, Real Estate Consulting, homebuyers Locations: Washington, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHomebuilder rebound trend may accelerate, says S3's Ihor DusaniwskyIhor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at S3 Partners, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the impact of interest rates on homebuilding, the industry's investment landscape, and more.
Persons: Dusaniwsky Organizations: Partners
Right now, it's up 7.7% year-over-year and continues to rise, prompting Kantrowitz to say it's a "huge red flag for me." Still, while the unemployment rate is up to 3.9% from its 3.4% low earlier this year, unemployment claims have not spiked meaningfully. Piper Sandler"Regarding employment – I see enough data that has me convinced that we are at the very onset of a recession right now," Kantrowitz said. If the unemployment rate continues to tick upward, even slightly, it will likely trigger the Sahm rule mentioned above. Plenty of market onlookers see a recession in 2024, including DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffery Gundlach and Citadel founder Ken Griffin.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Sahm's, It's, Claudia Sahm, Jon Wolfenbarger, Wolfenbarger, Jeffery Gundlach, Ken Griffin, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Brian Moynihan Organizations: Federal, Business, Institute for Supply Management's, Investor, Federal Reserve, National Federal, Independent, Treasury, Conference, DoubleLine Capital, Citadel, Bank of America
New York CNN —For over a year, the red-hot housing market has been at the mercy of the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, which have driven mortgage rates to sky-high levels. Mortgage rates have hovered above 7% since August, according to Freddie Mac data. Both those factors have helped create a scorching-hot housing market and a boom in homebuilder stocks, as Americans turned to building as a buying alternative. Moderating bond yields could change the narrative for the housing market. Tight supply and elevated mortgage rates this year made home purchases the least affordable they’ve been since 1984.
Persons: Bell, Freddie Mac, Toll, DR Horton, Lennar, Price, Steve Sosnick, , John Petrofsky, Chris Isidore, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, haven’t, Clare Duffy, Donie, Meta Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New, New York CNN, Homeowners, DR, Federal, Treasury, Interactive, National Association of Home Builders, FBB Capital Partners, Starbucks, United Auto Workers, SAG, Writers Guild of America, Starbucks Workers United, Facebook, Street, Washington Post Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, Buffalo , New York, United States, Brazil, Israel, Italy
Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, rose 0.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 970,000 units last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Overall housing starts rose 1.9% to a rate of 1.372 million units in October. The number of housing under construction dipped 0.1% to a rate of 1.674 million units. The inventory of single-family housing under construction declined 0.6% to a rate of 669,000 units, the lowest level since May 2021. The stock of multi-family housing under construction edged up 0.1% to 987,000 units, not far from recent record highs.
Persons: Jeffrey Roach, Ben Ayers, Freddie Mac, Bill Adams, Thomas Ryan, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Nick Zieminski Organizations: WASHINGTON, Commerce Department, LPL Financial, Commerce, Data, National Association of Home Builders, Nationwide, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Realtors, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Charlotte , North Carolina, homebuilding, Commerce Department's, Northeast, Columbus , Ohio, Dallas, West, South, Midwest
U.S. two-year Treasury yields skidded below 4.80% on Friday for the first time since September 1, with 10-year yields dropping under 4.40% to September lows too. Crude has now lost almost 25% in just six weeks - aided by the U.S. gradually lifting oil sanctions on Venezuela. The Labor Department said import prices fell a whopping 0.8% in October, the most in seven months amid a broad decline in the costs of goods - deepening the annual deflation of import prices to as much as 2.0%. Even though the dollar (.DXY), , is taking a hit from the plunge in U.S. Treasury yields, the drop in sovereign borrowing rates was mirrored across the world in Europe , even Japan . Mirroring the softening demand picture elsewhere, British retail sales volumes fell unexpectedly in October as stretched consumers stayed at home.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, plumb, Morgan, Susan Collins, Mary Daly, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Dave Ramsden, Nick Macfie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Walmart, Cisco, Alibaba, Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Treasury, Hong, Housing, Atlanta, Boston Federal, San Francisco Fed, Chicago Fed, Bank of England, United States, APEC, Graphics, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York, U.S, Wall, Alibaba ., Venezuela, Europe, Japan, HK, Hong Kong, China, San Francisco
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