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☆ Credit Suisse set to raise 3 bln euros from new debt issue
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) was on Wednesday set to raise three billion euros from the sale of a bond due in March 2029 by its holding company, Refinitiv's capital markets news service IFR reported. Investor orders for the bond, callable in March 2028, exceeded 7.5 billion euros and it was set to be priced at a spread of 495 basis points over the mid-swap level, IFR said. Credit Suisse was the sole bookrunner for the bond, expected to be rated Baa2/BBB-/BBB by Moody's, S&P and Fitch, IFR said. Last week S&P Global Ratings downgraded Credit Suisse Group's long-term credit rating to one step above junk bond status, citing "material execution risks" in the bank's efforts to get back on solid ground after a series of scandals and losses. Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe and Yoruk Bahceli; editing by Yoruk Bahceli and Louise HeavensOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ VIEW Bank of England lifts UK rates to 3% in historic hike
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Toby MelvilleLONDON, Nov 3 (Reuters) - The Bank of England raised UK interest rates to 3% on Thursday in its largest rate hike since 1989 and warned of a "very challenging outlook" for the economy. Money markets showed traders now expect UK rates to peak at 4.6% by next September, compared to expectations of 4.8% just two days ago. UK bank stocks (.FTNMX301010) fell 0.8%BONDS: Yields on the two-year gilt were last up 1 basis points at 3.041%, compared with 3.064% before the BoE announced its decision. Rates markets are pricing another 50bps hike at each of the December and February meetings, although still reflect a lower terminal rate than just a week ago. ANDREW ALDRIDGE, PARTNER AT DEEPBRIDGE CAPITAL, LONDON"Quelling rampant inflation and kickstarting a slowing economy left the Bank facing a difficult balancing act, with today's interest rate hike to 3% hardly surprising in this context.

France, Spain and Finland said their rules are already structured to automatically take account of market tensions. The data tracked German, Italian, French, Spanish and Dutch bonds, markets which account for the vast majority of euro zone debt with nearly 8 trillion euros outstanding. So governments expect, and some formally require their primary dealers - banks that buy government debt at auctions and then sell to investors and manage its trading - to keep those tight. The euro zone is roughly 60% the size of the U.S. economy but it relies on Germany's 1.6 trillion euro bond market as a safe haven - a fraction of the $23-trillion U.S. Treasury market. Smaller governments pay premium over bigger rating peersEfforts by debt officials are welcomed by European primary dealers, whose numbers have dwindled in recent years because of shrinking profit margins and tougher regulation.

For these reasons, the ECB said banks would have to start paying going rates on their TLTRO credit, rather than the average rate over the whole duration of the loans. But the rate the ECB pays commercial banks is now back in positive territory and is likely to rise further. Analysts have warned changing the terms of loans already outstanding could deter banks from tapping similar loans in future downturns. The TLTRO cash also creates additional demand for low-risk securities, limiting the rise in rates on repurchase agreements and short-dated government bond yields. , Lagarde said that also factored into the ECB's decision.

LONDON, Oct 27 (Reuters) - Germany, considered Europe's most reliable debtor, is having trouble selling its bonds, just as it seeks billions to tackle the energy crisis. Hit hard by its over-reliance on Russian energy, Germany intends to borrow particularly large amounts in the coming years, with Parliament last week voting to suspend the constitutional debt brake that limits new borrowing. France's finance agency, in contrast, issued 10 billion euros of medium term bonds on Oct. 20 into strong demand. VOLATILITY HURTS AUCTIONSThe uncertainty around borrowing and QT has increased volatility in euro zone bond markets, already rocked by the knock-on effects from Britain's now-scrapped plans for large unfunded tax cuts. Volatility is deterring the banks that act as dealers for German bonds from bidding in debt auctions, Tammo Diemer, head of the country's finance agency, said at an event on Tuesday.

☆ Aggressive rate hikes the name of the game for big central banks
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

LONDON, Oct 27 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank delivered a second straight 75-basis-point interest rate hike on Thursday, the latest sign that major central banks are serious about curbing hot inflation. Central banks in the 10 big developed economies have raised rates by a combined 2,165 basis points (bps) in this cycle to date, with Japan the holdout "dove." But the pace of these rate rises is starting to slow - Canada just delivered a smaller-than-anticipated rate hike. That would be the fourth straight rate increase of that magnitude, bringing the policy rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range as part of what has been the sharpest set of U.S. rate increases in about 40 years. Reuters Graphics7) SWEDENSweden's central bank raised its key rate on Sept. 20 by a larger-than-expected one percentage point to 1.75%.

☆ Germany upsizes 54 bln euros in bonds to use in repo market, help fund energy spending
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Oct 19 (Reuters) - Germany's finance agency said on Wednesday it had increased the size of 18 outstanding bonds by 3 billion euros each to use in the repo market and provide flexibility to cover financing needs arising from the energy crisis. The increase, 54 billion euros in total, was done for bonds that the agency said were in high demand. The increases will also provide the German government with flexibility to cover financing needs arising from the energy crisis, the finance agency said. The finance agency can increase such operations to support the smooth functioning of markets and did so earlier this year, when it also upsized a bond in the aftermath of Ukraine's invasion. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Yoruk Bahceli; Editing by Amanda CooperOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Oct 18 (Reuters) - Austria raised 1 billion euros ($983.20 million) on Tuesday from the auction of the first ever green T-bill, a move aimed at attracting shorter-term investors to buy environmentally friendly assets. But with central banks and a wider group of investors interested in green investments to bolster their sustainability credentials, interest in shorter-term green debt is growing. Austria, rated AA, is the first government to issue a green T-bill - short-term government debt which usually matures in less than a year. Markus Stix, director of the Austrian Treasury, called short-term green securities the "missing link" in the green market. It was easier for Austria to shift expenditure for funding through green T-Bills, given its overall T-Bill programme was only launched in 2021 and it just started issuing green debt, the banker said.

☆ After U-turn, Britain's economy still paying for Truss's growth plan
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

With the economy still paying a price for the now-shelved plan, we take a look at some of the main pain points in markets. While those have come down significantly, Britain's 10-year yield remain 45 basis points above levels before Sept. 23 and 30-year yields are some 55 bps higher . This highlights that even with the U-turn in Truss's economic policy, investors still demand a higher premium for holding British government debt. 4/ MORTGAGE FIXBritain's mortgage market was plunged into chaos by the growth plan, as the money markets that lenders rely on to price home loans bet on higher interest rates. Reuters Graphics5/ SUNKEN STOCKSUK blue-chip stocks are still 3% below where they were traded prior to Truss's plan.

"It is really not the right time to experiment with fiscal policy," AXA chief economist Gilles Moec said about the UK's moves, assessing that Monday's U-turn may have appeased "the bond vigilantes for now". The term, bond vigilantes, refers to debt investors imposing fiscal discipline on profligate governments by forcing their borrowing costs higher. Ed Yardeni, who coined the bond vigilantes term in the early 1980s, penned a blog post saying "They're Baaaack!" Even U.S. President Joe Biden was speaking the bond vigilante's language at the weekend, noting he wasn't the only one that thought the UK plan was a "mistake". "This is probably the biggest example in practice of the bond vigilantes activity," said Antonio Cavarero, head of investments at Generali Insurance Asset Management.

As Truss spoke on Friday gains made in anticipation of the corporation tax U-turn faded. Ten-year gilt yields were 40 bps above session lows hit earlier on Friday, also pushed up by moves in bond yields globally. UNDERWHELMEDBritain's mini-budget three weeks ago triggered some of the biggest ever jumps in British bond yields, exposed vulnerabilities in the pensions sector -- undermining the country's financial stability. "How it impacts liquidity on the gilt market going forward is something we are monitoring closely." Rabobank's McGuire said pressure on UK assets could lead the BoE to re-intervene in the bond market or delay its quantitative tightening, bond-selling plans.

The ECB, which bought 5 trillion euros of bonds ($4.9 trillion) over the past decade to lift low inflation, now finds itself battling record high inflation at 10%. "This consideration also makes the practical implementation of ECB QT significantly harder," BofA said. That would reduce its balance sheet by a "manageable" 155 billion euros in 2023 and 300 billion euros in 2024, ING reckons. An eventual wind-down of PEPP holdings could add to balance sheet reductions in 2025 worth a total 388 billion euros, ING said. AllianceBernstein portfolio manager Nick Sanders said he was "sceptical" how the ECB could achieve QT with those protections in place.

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File PhotoOct 12 (Reuters) - Signs of stress are growing in the global financial system, sparking worries over everything from contagion between markets to ruptures in financial products. This week alone, a gloomy report from the International Monetary Fund flagged risks of “disorderly asset repricings” and “financial market contagions” while JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon predicted a looming recession. Global financial conditions, which reflect the availability of funding, touched their tightest since 2009 in late September, an index compiled by Goldman Sachs showed, lifted by surging interest rates, falling equities and a soaring dollar. “There are dollar funding shortages.”The IMF's Global Financial Stability Report, released Tuesday, also highlighted specific risks in open-end investment funds and the leveraged loan market. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Tuesday said she has not seen signs of financial instability in U.S. financial markets despite high volatility.

The EU issues joint bonds for an up-to 800 billion euro ($879 bln) post-COVID recovery fund, on top of 92 billion euros sold for its SURE unemployment scheme. 3/ How would joint issuance be funded? EU officials calling for joint borrowing said it could resemble the SURE work programme. Since October 2020, the EU has raised just 260 billion euros for the recovery fund and SURE. That means recovery fund issuance may end up lower than 800 billion euros without changes to that programme, denting the EU's ambitions of becoming a top borrower.

Oct 10 (Reuters) - German government bond yields jumped while yield spreads between core and periphery tightened on Monday after a media report saying Germany's Chancellor Olaf Scholz supported joint-debt issuances to tackle the energy crisis. Italy's 10-year bond yield fell 2.5 bps to 4.67% , with the spread between Italian and German 10-year yield tightening to 233 bps . Bond yields edged lower earlier in the session after blasts rocked the Ukrainian capital Kyiv and other major Ukrainian cities, prompting a move into traditional safe-haven assets such as core government bonds. Euro zone bond yields had jumped on Friday after strong U.S. jobs data dampened expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of interest rate hikes. Among euro zone bond sales, the European Union has mandated banks for a 20-year benchmark bond and a tap of its December 2029 bond, scheduled to be launched tomorrow, according to a memo seen by Reuters.

☆ Italy's right-wing bloc wins election: five questions for markets
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

REUTERS/Guglielmo MangiapaneMILAN/LONDON, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Italy's right-wing bloc should have a solid majority in both houses of parliament following Sunday's election, potentially giving the country a rare chance of political stability after years of upheaval and fragile coalitions. The absence of the anti-euro rhetoric seen in the 2018 election had reassured investors in the run-up to the vote. With markets watching closely, we take a look at five key questions on the radar. Reuters Graphics2/ Could Italy's EU funding plan be modified? The Brothers of Italy sees room to amend Italy's EU-backed recovery fund programme to account for the energy shock.

☆ Central banks unleash 350 basis points more of rate hikes in inflation fight
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Central banks in the 10 big developed economies have raised rates by a combined 1,965 basis points in this cycle to date, with Japan the holdout "dove", sticking on Thursday with its ultra-low rates policy. read moreThe Fed's new projections showed its policy rate rising to 4.4% by year-end, before peaking at 4.6% in 2023. read moreOn Sept. 7, the BoC hiked its policy rate to 3.25%, its highest level in 14 years. Canada was the first among the world's advanced economies in the current policy-tightening cycle to deliver a 100 bps rate. That implies at least one more 50 bps rate hike at upcoming meetings.

With interest rates back then already close to zero, they had run out of conventional ammunition to ward off the threat of outright deflation they feared would choke off the economic recovery. As one Danish bank vaunted the world's first negative rate mortgage, it is likely that cheap borrowing added steam to house price spikes across the region. "It's the central bankers who have taken interest rates to a level where we attach no value to the future," he said. As the negative rate era closes, the global pool of assets with negative yield has shrunk to less than $2 trillion from a 2020 peak of some $18 trillion. "I am very doubtful anyone here is ready to say never again for negative rates."

Sputnik/Grigory Sysoev/Pool via REUTERSLONDON, Sept 21 (Reuters) - Earlier this year, markets were complacent as Russia massed troops on the Ukraine border. Now, they're once again largely shrugging off Vladimir Putin's signal that he could be prepared to use nuclear weapons. read moreIt was Russia's first such mobilisation since World War Two and signified a major escalation of the war, now in its seventh month. Germany's and Italy's reliance on Russia has made their stock markets among the world's worst performers this year. Those close to the fighting, including Poland and Hungary, have also seen their local markets pummeled.

☆ 10-year Treasury yield rises to highest since 2011
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterA U.S. dollar note is seen in front of a stock graph in this November 7, 2016 picture illustration. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationSept 19 (Reuters) - Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest in over 11 years on Monday as investors braced for the Federal Reserve's policy decision on Wednesday, where it is expected to deliver another large interest rate hike. The 10-year yield, the most significant interest rate benchmark globally, rose as much as six basis points to 3.508%, the highest since April 2011. Money markets are pricing in around an 80% chance of a 75 basis-point move, and a 20% chance of a larger, 100 basis-point rate hike. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Yoruk Bahceli, editing by Alun JohnOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Italy's right-wing bloc set for election win: five questions for markets
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Giorgia Meloni, leader of the nationalist Brothers of Italy, is seen as frontrunner to become Italy's first female prime minister. read moreThe absence of anti-euro rhetoric seen in the 2018 election has reassured investors, for now. At around 225 basis points, the closely watched gap between 10-year Italian and German bond yields has been relatively stable . That would cause some angst since the constitution protects issues related to Italy's EU membership. read moreReuters Graphics2/ Could Italy's EU funding plan be modified?

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