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But there are some weak points — like a growing federal debt load. There are a few less-rosy data points out there, like rising long-term unemployment and a historically high level of federal debt. Federal debt is high compared to GDP, even looking beyond the spike of the debt as a share of GDP during the pandemic. While federal debt as a share of GDP was slightly above 100% before the pandemic, recent figures are much higher than in the past. Federal debt was 120% of GDP in the second quarter of this year.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Mark Hamrick, Kurt Reiman, Reiman, They're, aren't, Hamrick, There's, Biden Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Siena College, Pew Research, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, University of Michigan's, Consumers, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, MarketWatch Locations: America, Wells Fargo
A man whom authorities named the “Penguin Bandit” was sentenced to more than 13 years in federal prison last week after robbing multiple banks in the Denver, Colorado area. The teller told Ruthstrom that he activated a “distress system” in the cash dispenser which gives out $400 in twenty-dollar bills and triggers a hold-up alarm. According to the complaint, Ruthstrom asked for more money, so the teller did this two more times and gave him a total of $1,200 before he left. The note from the Jan. 18 robbery demanded that the teller give over $10,000 in hundred and fifty dollar bills. Ruthstrom's robbery note from 2043 S. Colorado Blvd on Jan. 18.
Persons: , Samuel Richard Ruthstrom, District of Colorado Matt Kirsch, Ruthstrom’s, Ruthstrom, waddle, Jeep Organizations: Attorney, District of Colorado, Denver Police Department, Zing Credit Union, Colorado, United States, FBI Locations: Denver , Colorado, , Wells, Jan
The first line of the note reads: "We estimate the S & P 500 will deliver an annualized nominal total return of 3% during the next 10 years." For starters, nobody knows what the coming decade has in store for the S & P 500. Valuation: Yes, the S & P 500 is currently trading at a historically high multiple. Going out on a limb and making market calls or calls about individual stocks is not for the faint of heart. The S & P 500 has more than doubled since then, advancing about 135%, which amounts to that roughly 13% annual return that Kostin mentioned in his note.
Persons: David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman, it's, Jim Cramer, Stanley Black, Decker, That's, Jim, It's, Goldman Sachs, we're, Jim Cramer's, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Goldman, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S, Equity, Treasury, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, U.S, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Goldman Sachs, U.S, Wells
Some analysts expect Tesla's third-quarter earnings to signal a turning point, while others see more pain ahead. AdvertisementTesla will report third-quarter earnings results after the market close on Wednesday, and Wall Street will be hyper-focused on the company's core auto business. However, some analysts on Wall Street expect the upcoming third-quarter earnings print will be a sign that the worst is behind Tesla. Here's what Wall Street expects from Tesla's upcoming earnings report. But perhaps more important than vehicle deliveries for Wall Street is Tesla's profit margins.
Persons: , Tesla, Dan Levy, Levy, Wells, Colin Langan, Langan, Dan Ives, Ives, Joel Levington, Levington Organizations: Service, Wall, Barclays, Tesla Energy, Tesla, Bloomberg Intelligence, Acura, Volvo Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
Bank stocks have outperformed in recent weeks as investors see an improved regulatory environment if former President Donald Trump returns to the White House, according to Bank of America. The Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) , which tracks the KBW Bank Index, has climbed more than 6% since the start of October. By comparison, the S & P 500 has added less than 2% during the same period. "A Republican win would likely be viewed most positive for bank stocks in terms of returning to balance the regulatory environment." Either a Trump win with a split government or a Republican sweep would be seen as bullish for this group of stocks, Poonawala said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Trump, Poonawala, Kamala Harris, Harris, October's Organizations: White, Bank of America, KBW Bank, Republican, Department of Justice, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Citigroup, TD Bank, New York Community, Trump . Bank, Trump, Justice Department Locations: Wells Fargo
American consumers and businesses are having a hard time paying off credit card, auto, and commercial real estate debt. Bank CEOs said on recent earnings calls that elevated prices and interest rates continue to weigh on Americans. According to Federal Reserve data, the past-due debt share for credit card, auto, and commercial real estate has recently risen to above pre-pandemic levels. That's because some loans are coming due — forcing businesses to refinance at much higher interest rates. The financial roller coaster of pandemic payments, whipsawing inflation, and high interest rates are especially affecting lower-income Americans.
Persons: , Wells Fargo's, haven't, Bruce McClary, David Schiff, Schiff, Edmunds, Stephen Biggar, Biggar, Jane Fraser, Brian Moynihan, Charles Scharf, Wells, Jeremy Barnum, There's, I'm Organizations: Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of, New, Fed, National Foundation, Credit, Argus Research, Bank of America's Locations: Wells Fargo, delinquencies
That’s because cocoa prices have more than doubled since the start of the year and have remained at record highs, according to Wells Fargo data shared with CNN. The surging prices have caused grief for confectioners during prime chocolate sales seasons like Valentine’s Day and Easter. The company’s president, Michele Buck, said in a call in August with analysts that cocoa prices are “not sustainable,” and pointed toward higher prices. Though hope is on the horizon, experts project cocoa prices will remain high until at least September 2025. A customer shops for Halloween candy at a Walmart Supercenter on October 16, 2024 in Austin, Texas.
Persons: it’s, , David Branch, Francis Kokoroko, Reuters El, Michele Buck, Hershey, Joseph , Missouri Nick Ingram, Sally Lyons Wyatt, Mars, Brandon Bell, ” Lyons Wyatt Organizations: CNN, Wells, Food Institute, Reuters, International Cocoa Organization, Hershey, Walmart, Getty, ’ Association, NCA, Locations: Wells Fargo, West Africa, Osino, Eastern Region, Ghana, St, Joseph , Missouri, Austin , Texas
The S&P 500 has enjoyed a bull market since October 2022, rising nearly 70%. AdvertisementThe stock market has been experiencing a bull market for the last two years. The Magnificent Seven drove much of the returns for the S&P 500 this year, contributing 34% of the index's total return. Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report 4.2% profit growth for Q3. Ever since World War II, bull markets that have lasted two years continue onwards for a third.
Persons: LPL Financial's Quincy Crosby, , Quincy Crosby, LPL, Crosby, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Jack Ablin, Jerome Powell, Buchbinder Organizations: Service, LPL, Federal, Bull, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Morningstar, Cresset Capital Management, Federal Reserve Locations: America
S & P 500 money is oblivious to stock valuations of any kind and ignorant to upgrades and downgrades. The Lilliputian sellers regularly fail to do damage when matched with the oblivious index money. A 4% 2-year note isn't competitive to the magnet of the S & P 500 and its kin. That's emblematic of what happens with a big buyback without stock-based compensation (something many tech firms use that renders moot the S & P 500 inflows). Because of the way that the S & P 500 money is divvied up, the share base becomes overwhelmingly index-fund based and the index fund shareholders do not sell.
Persons: Morningstar, Smoot, Herbert Hoover's, Warren Buffett, Buffett, Jerome Powell, haven't, Charlie Scharf, Wells, Banks, Charlie, Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, James Gorman, Schwab, Gamble, Jim Umpleby, that's, Butch Cassidy, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Charles Scharf, Kyle Grillot Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Taiwan Semi, Trust, Fed, Triple AAA Robinhood, Morgan, Procter, United Airlines, Exxon, Caterpillar, Boeing, Apple, Meta, Sundance, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Milken Institute Global Conference, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Hawley, McCumber, Taiwan, Arizona, American, Wells Fargo, Wells, China, Chevron, Beverly Hills, Calif
I've been a Charli XCX superfan for years and saw her when I was 14. I even signed into work from an outdoor art museum in upstate New York to see her last-minute Storm King set. AdvertisementIn 2017, Charli XCX opened for Halsey on her Hopeless Fountain Kingdom tour. But the Storm King show was my best experience yet, and well worth missing some work. A view of the crowd at Charli XCX's Storm King set.
Persons: I've, superfan, , Charli XCX, Halsey, Charli, Iggy Azalea's, hadn't, King, Zoe Woolrich, tomorrow's, who'd, Julia Fox, Lorde, Troye Sivan's, Wells, Sivan, Storm King, Henry Redcliffe Charli XCX's, who's, I'm Organizations: Service, Storm King Art Center, Brooklyn Paramount, Wells, Arena, Madison, Storm, Storm King Locations: New York, Brooklyn, Philadelphia, Philly, Wells Fargo, Denver
Howard Schnapp | Newsday | Getty ImagesThe tide could be turning for commercial real estate. That could give interest rate-sensitive sectors such as commercial real estate long-awaited positive momentum. While lower rates are not a "magic bullet," the easing of the Fed's monetary policy "lays the groundwork for a commercial real estate recovery," analysts wrote in a follow-up report in late September. More than $40 billion in transactions occurred during the second quarter, a 13.9% jump quarter over quarter, but still 9.4% lower year over year, according to real estate data intelligence firm Altus Group. While these dynamics could set the stage for a broader recovery, with some major subsectors such as commercial retail real estate picking up in tandem, the path forward will likely be uneven.
Persons: Howard Schnapp, Alan Todd, Todd, Willy Walker, Walker, Dunlop, what's, Wells, Wells Fargo, , Chad Littell, Littell Organizations: Newsday, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, CNBC, REIT, Real, Board, New York, U.S, Capital Locations: Melville , New York, Wells, U.S, Manhattan, Wells Fargo
Recently, though, they've found something new to love about the wholesaler: precious metals. But it's far from the first time precious metals have been in vogue, especially among people looking to invest in them. In other words, with platinum not having changed much in price during gold's recent rise, precious metals investors may be wondering if it's the next big thing. But potential investors in gold or platinum should know some key differences. How to invest in precious metals
Persons: they've, Costco's, Trevor Yates, Rob Haworth, They're, Yates Organizations: Costco, Global, U.S, Bank Wealth Management
Major banks like Goldman Sachs walloped Wall Street expectations thanks to dealmaking fees. Investment banking has made a comeback, and bigger bonuses are in the cards, too. The biggest banks on Wall Street reported a huge boost in dealmaking fees this quarter after a two-year slump. Investment bank revenue surged 30% on average at Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley, according to Wells Fargo analyst Mike Mayo. Morgan Stanley's investment bank revenue surged 56% year over year to $1.46 billion, beating Wall Street expectations.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Morgan Stanley, Wells, Mike Mayo, Sharon Yeshaya, Morgan, Global's Nathan Stovall, corporates, Stovall, David Ellison's Skydance, JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon, David Solomon, Mayo, Cole Smead, There's, Jon Gray, anecdotally, Gray, David Stowell, Stowell, I'm, it's, Alan Johnson Organizations: Investment, Service, Wall, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Citi, Mars, Paramount, David Ellison's Skydance Media, Wall Street, Smead Capital Management, Blackstone, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, underwriters, Johnson Associates Locations: Wells Fargo, Mayo
As the fourth quarter ramps up, several stocks have room to appreciate in coming months, according to Jefferies. Heading into the end of the year, Jefferies has updated its list of stock recommendations it calls its "franchise picks," spotlighting high-conviction, buy-rated names. "Higher reinvestment rates are correlated with better returns," Jefferies added. Their average price target of almost $24 implies roughly 10% upside – less than the nearly 26% that would result if Jefferies' target of $27 is reached. And Jefferies' target of $295 implies more than 17% upside from the current price.
Persons: Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, Wells, , Johnson Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Consumer, Johnson, PepsiCo, Sysco, Jefferies, ConocoPhillips, Port, North Field, Oil, Procter, Gamble, Colgate Locations: Wells Fargo, Alaska, Port Arthur, Texas, Qatar, Houston, LSEG, U.S, , New Jersey, Kenvue
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmith: Israel is in a war... that could be huge for the energy markets. Mark Smith, Wells Fargo Advisors SVP, emphasizes "geopolitical risk" as the word of the day, particularly in relation to the upcoming election and its impact on the energy sector.
Persons: Israel, Mark Smith Organizations: Smith, Wells, Wells Fargo Advisors Locations: Wells Fargo
Several companies are due to report earnings next week, including some potential standouts. So far, most of the constituents that have reported third-quarter earnings have exceeded earnings and revenue expectations, according to FactSet. The companies below have exceeded the Street's earnings per share expectations 70% of the time and have risen 2% or more on earnings day. The enterprise software giant also has the most-reliable historical earnings performance, beating analysts' earnings per share estimates 90% of the time. Power circuits maker Monolithic Power has a strong earnings beat rate of 88%.
Persons: Wells, Michael Turrin, Turrin, ServiceNow, Rick Schafer, Impinj, FactSet Organizations: CNBC Pro Locations: Wells Fargo
Analysts surveyed by LSEG expect Netflix earnings to come in at $5.12 per share, while revenue should hit $9.769 billion. In the second quarter, Netflix earned $4.88 per share on $9.56 billion in revenue. Along with solid numbers for the quarter just ended, other analysts believe Netflix also has to raise prices to appease shareholders. Citigroup's Jason Bazinet says price hikes are warranted at Netflix due to strong engagement trends and competitors' own price increases. A ramping ad-tier Finally, Wall Street is keeping close watch on the advertising tier business Netflix rolled out in November 2022.
Persons: Evercore, Mark Mahaney, Citigroup's Jason Bazinet, Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan, Deutsche Bank's Bryan Kraft, Wells, Steven Cahall, Kannan Venkateshwar, NFLX, Alan Gould, Piper, Matt Farrell, Doug Anmuth, Morgan Stanley, Benjamin Swinburne, Alicia Reese Organizations: Netflix, Wall, LSEG, StreetAccount, Deutsche, Barclays, Wednesday's, JPMorgan
Wall Street's biggest banks face a less profitable lending environment as interest rates fall. Bank bosses shrugged off those concerns this week and pointed to several benefits of lower rates. AdvertisementLending threatens to become far less lucrative for Wall Street's biggest banks as interest rates fall. But he said the Fed's jumbo rate cut might have sparked more activity in debt capital markets recently. AdvertisementCEO David Solomon said the Fed's first rate cut has raised hopes of avoiding a US recession, which could translate into more economic activity.
Persons: shrugged, , Alistair Borthwick, Banks, Jane Fraser, Fraser, Mark Mason, Wells, Charles Scharf, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Sharon Leshaya, Citi's Fraser, Jeremy Barnum, Barnum, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, BoA, Goldman Organizations: Bank, Service, Wall, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Citigroup, Citi Locations: refi
Wall Street has been lowering its third-quarter growth estimates for months now. That's not abnormal, however, as third-quarter growth estimates tend to decline in the preceding months. Nearly 10% of S & P 500 companies have already reported results, with more than 79% beating earnings estimates, according to FactSet. Analysts' estimates for earnings per share have been cut by 80.3% over the past three months and 85% over the past six months. Analysts have cut their earnings per share estimates on Tesla by 24.1% over the past three months and 30.8% over the past six months.
Persons: That's, Morgan Stanley, Joe Laetsch, Laetsch, FactSet, Christopher Dendrinos, Dendrinos, Tesla, Wells Fargo Organizations: CNBC Pro, Valero Energy, Wall Street, Valero, RBC Capital Markets, Tesla Locations: U.S, Wells
We did hold onto our rate-sensitive names like Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley , which were among the best performers since the last Monthly Meeting. Morgan Stanley: 16.2% Following the Fed's decision, shares advanced as investors became more optimistic about a soft landing for the U.S. economy. Morgan Stanley benefits from lower rates — and, in turn, a better economy — because it can usher in more Wall Street dealmaking such as initial public offerings and mergers and acquisitions. That's because the Club has been debating exiting Morgan Stanley altogether for a potentially better investment banking rebound play like Goldman Sachs. Morgan Stanley reiterated its buy-equivalent rating on Oct. 10, arguing that Eaton has a positive setup into earnings season.
Persons: It's, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley's, Salesforce, Marc Benioff, Piper Sandler, Guggenheim, Meta, Eaton, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Angela Weiss Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Procter, Gamble, Meta, Fed, Northland Capital Markets, UBS, Citigroup, Analysts, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Salesforce, Eaton, Tuesday's, Northland
Here's a rapid-fire update on all the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, the portfolio we use for the CNBC Investing Club. Broadcom: Of course, we love the company's AI business — both its custom silicon solutions for companies such as Alphabet and its networking chips that help stitch data centers together. Stanley Black & Decker: Jim said that this stock is the "most significant beneficiary" from lower rates in the entire portfolio. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim, there's, Lisa Su, Wells, Salesforce, CrowdStrike, it's, we've, Walt Disney, , Eaton, we're, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jim's, Linde, Eli Lilly, Lilly isn't, That's, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, D.A, Satya Nadella's, Palo, cybersecurity, Brian Niccol, We're, Stanley Black, Decker, TJX, Charlie Scharf, Wells Fargo's, Jim Cramer, Angela Weiss Organizations: Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, CNBC, Club, Apple Intelligence, Abbott Laboratories, Devices, AMD, Nvidia, Broadcom, Apple, Federal Reserve, Costco Wholesale, Costco, Coterra, DuPont, Disney, ESPN, GE Healthcare, Democratic, Biden, Honeywell, Linde, Adobe, Microsoft, Davidson, Palo Alto Networks, Constellation Brands, Modelo, Corona, TJX, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Dover, Eaton, China, U.S, Chipotle, New York City
U.S. interest rate cuts are unlikely to move at an aggressive pace, say market watchers. The Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a jumbo 50 basis-point rate cut in September — but subsequent ones will be milder, they said. They highlighted the better-than-expected September jobs report, renewed worries around inflation, rising yields and an economy that's still relatively strong. How to position In that scenario — and with inflation expected to continue being sticky, it's important that investors still have exposure to commodities, said Landsberg. Christopher of Wells Fargo said if interest rates moderate and earnings are stronger than expected, market performance will broaden out further.
Persons: , Paul Christopher, CNBC's, Adam Coons, Michael Landsberg, Landsberg Bennett, Landsberg, Christopher, Wells Fargo, Luis Alvarado, Alvarado Organizations: Fed, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Winthrop Capital Management, Wealth Management Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
Wells Fargo reiterates Citi as overweight The firm said Citi remains a number one pick following earnings on Tuesday. Citi reiterates JB Hunt as a top pick Citi said the shipping giant remains a top pick following earnings on Tuesday. Citi upgrades Cisco to buy from neutral Citi says AI will play a bigger role in Cisco's future than investors assume. Bank of America upgrades Corteva to buy from neutral The firm said the ag chemical company has numerous tailwinds ahead. Citi reiterates Coinbase as buy The firm lowered its price target on the stock to $275 per share from $345.
Persons: Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Baird, Grainger, Jefferies, Rapid7, GTM, JB Hunt, JBHT, it's bullish, Bernstein, Tesla, it's, GOOG, TD Cowen, Yum, Cowen, Taco Bell, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Walt Disney, Guggenheim, HSBC downgrades Estee Lauder, Estee Lauder, Coinbase Organizations: Citi, FAST, BMO, Microsoft, Netflix, Autodesk, Nvidia, Barclays, Apple, DoJ, UBS, California Resources, CRC, Chord Energy, Yum Brands, Taco, Taco Bell, Disney, Walt, Cisco, HSBC downgrades, HSBC, Bank of America, Qualcomm Locations: China, Greater China
Beijing's lack of concrete economic stimulus actions poured cold water on U.S. investors who went big on the China trade, and strategists on Wall Street are warning of disappointment ahead. The professional cohort had piled into beaten-down stocks last month, stirred by hopes of more government assistance for the troubled China economy. "Indeed, the only part of the Chinese economy that appeared to be holding was its export sector. Investor sentiment toward Chinese stocks was partly aided by high-profile hedge fund manager David Tepper of Appaloosa Management, who turned extremely bullish. Stanley Druckenmiller reportedly said he's not interested in Chinese stocks under the current political leadership, regardless of the new policies.
Persons: Stefano Pascale, Sameer Samana, Donald Trump, Barclays Pascale, David Tepper, Tepper, Ray Dalio, Stanley Druckenmiller, he's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Trump, CSI, Appaloosa Management, CNBC Locations: China, Wells Fargo, Beijing
Morgan Stanley shares soared to all-time highs Wednesday after third-quarter beats on the bank's top and bottom lines, with strength seen across the board. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD Club stock Morgan Stanley was up 7.5%. Morgan Stanley outpaced expectations in just about every aspect of each operating division and put up very strong quarterly results in terms of firmwide key performance indicators. Given its 15.1% CET1 ratio, Morgan Stanley has plenty of excess capital at its disposal to both continue investing in growth and return excess capital to shareholders. Morgan Stanley Why we own it : We own Morgan Stanley for the rebound taking place in IPO and M & A activity along with growth in wealth management, which provides more durable fee-based revenues.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley's, Sharon Yeshaya, Morgan Stanley repurchased, Goldman Sachs, Ted Pick, Morgan, Yeshaya, That's, Eaton Vance, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Bing Guan Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, Morgan Stanley YTD, Investment, Bloomberg, Institutional Securities, Bank of Japan, CNBC, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo
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