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Dealmaking activity has picked up, but it's not been enough to fully unlock Morgan Stanley shares. Morgan Stanley ended Friday within a dollar of its all-time closing high of $108.73 reached back in February 2022. Friday's positive developments are welcome news – but not enough to add clarity on our path forward for Morgan Stanley. For the time being, the Club is taking a wait-and-see approach with Morgan Stanley stock. If there is a surge in IPO and M & A activity that HSBC forecasted, Morgan Stanley is well-positioned to benefit.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley's, Jim, Goldman Sachs, it's, Wells, We're, Morgan, Banks, Dan Simkowitz, Jim Cramer's, Bing Guan Organizations: HSBC, KBW, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty
Monthly Social Security checks aren't enough for most baby boomers to get by, further fueling a retirement crisis. A prenuptial agreement can be helpful, but it typically doesn't protect wealth built after the couple ties the knot, like retirement savings. Men's monthly retirement incomes are nearly $600 more than women's — $2,610 to $2,042 — and they're more likely to have a balance in a retirement account. Overall, divorced women like Clark see lower monthly retirement incomes than their male counterparts — and peers who have remarried. One of Mintzer's greatest divorce regrets is that she didn't safeguard her retirement savings.
Persons: , Libby Mintzer, Mintzer, she's, Melody Evans, Evans, Roth, couldn't, didn't, Kathryn Clark, Clark, Clark didn't, Clark's, it's Organizations: Service, Social Security, Social, Gerontology, , Roth IRA, SNAP, allisonkelly Locations: Florida, Tampa, California's Bay
“Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50bps (basis points)?” Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, wrote in a note on Friday. Second-guessing the Fed isn’t new, of course. Central bank officials themselves note the uncertainty inherent in their work, especially when the economy reaches inflection points. Even Fed officials don’t always agree with the central bank’s actions, such as Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, the lone dissenter to the Fed’s decision to cut rates by half a point in September. ‘This isn’t exact science’Fed officials aren’t shy about admitting that they don’t always have confidence in how the US economy will evolve.
Persons: Washington CNN —, Jerome Powell, Philipp Carlsson, Seema Shah, James Knightley, Powell, don’t, Michelle Bowman, wouldn’t, , ” Carlsson, Szlezak, , ” Gina Bolvin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Boston Consulting, Asset Management, ING, Bolvin Wealth Management Locations: Wall, Washington
Below, four market experts share how investors should allocate their money going forward. The US job market blew past economists' predictions, with total nonfarm payrolls increasing by 254,000 last month — over 100,000 more jobs than expected. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer, Independent Advisor AllianceThe job market is showing signs of strengthening with the September data. With that being said, the current environment presents many opportunities to invest in equities, according to Zaccarelli. "Recession fears are elevated, and we think those are underpriced, underappreciated parts of the market," Zaccarelli said.
Persons: , we've, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Sonders, there'll, it's, Jeffrey Roach, Roach, Lisa Shalett, Morgan, Shalett, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, Fed, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Independent
Stocks struggled this week as rising tensions in the Middle East set off the strongest rally in oil prices since March 2023. "The stock market has been living up to October's reputation of increased volatility," said Glen Smith, chief investment officer at GDS Wealth Management. Inflation report, Fed minutes on deck In the week ahead, investors will keep an eye on a couple of potential catalysts. On Wednesday, investors will parse minutes from September's central bank gathering for insights into the future path of monetary policy. "I would say the inflation report is probably less important than it used to be," Dickson said.
Persons: Stocks, Glen Smith, Said, Mike Dickson, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli, Investment's Dickson, It's, Dickson, Wells, John Williams, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, GDS Wealth Management, Federal, Horizon Investments, CNBC Pro, Independent, Alliance, PepsiCo, Delta, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCO, New York Fed, PPI, University of Michigan, BlackRock, Bank of NY Mellon, JPMorgan Locations: White, Wells Fargo, Fastenal, Wells
AdvertisementThe September jobs report offered good news all around — except to those expecting a second straight jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. In addition, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%, bucking estimates that it would stay unchanged at 4.2%. Analysts agree that September's blowout job numbers make an aggressive interest rate cut harder to justify. Advertisement"Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50 basis points?" Late last month, the bank predicted that investors would take on more risk if the unemployment rate hit 4.1% and if payrolls reached above 150,000.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Glen Smith, Morgan Stanley, payrolls, Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, GDS Wealth Management, Federal
However, many are renting in their retirement years. Most older adults, those at least 65 years old, own their homes, according to the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University. Renting in retirement years can be a positive because older people can avoid costly maintenance associated with the upkeep of a home. "Renting often offers more amenities, less maintenance, more accessibility," said Jennifer Molinsky, director of the housing an aging society program at the Joint Center for Housing Studies. And unlike younger renters, adult renters in retirement years could be especially vulnerable to rent hikes because they are on fixed income, experts say.
Persons: Jennifer Molinsky, Roth, Lazetta Rainey Braxton, Braxton Organizations: Joint Center for Housing Studies, Harvard University, Finance, CNBC Locations: U.S
The jobs market had a very strong September
  + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The Fed is pivoting away from fighting inflation to supporting the labor market. The encouraging numbers doubled down on a labor market that's showing signs of strength after a slowdown. The Federal Reserve signaled a pivot from fighting inflation to supporting the job market with a 50-basis-point interest rate cut in mid-September, the first cut in four years. AdvertisementWage growth was another highlight for the labor market in September. The latest jobs report didn't just indicate a strong September.
Persons: , Glen Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, BLS, GDS Wealth Management, Fed
The U.S. economy added a whopping 254,000 jobs in September, nearly 100,000 more than economists expected. The unemployment rate, which was expected to hold steady at 4.2%, slipped to 4.1%. Wages also rose more than expected month over month. To be sure, the new data also has traders pricing a smaller quarter percentage point interest rate reduction at the central bank's November meeting. "Fed cuts should be slower and I continue to think (and the data supports it) that the current neutral rate is well above 3% (economy chugging along on 5% yields for over a year)," said Tchir.
Persons: Sonu Varghese, Glen Smith, Lindsay Rosner, Ian Lyngen, Peter Tchir Organizations: Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Carson Group, GDS Wealth, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, BMO Capital Markets, Academy Securities Locations: U.S
"The jobs market is slowing down and becoming less tight," said Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust Wealth Management. Then there are the monthly revisions that have been dramatic at times, causing the Labor Department to overcount hiring by more than 800,000 for the 12-month period through March 2024, adding uncertainty to jobs market analysis. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the report at 8:30 a.m. Looking for cluesStill, markets will in fact be watching the report closely. At the same meeting where they approved the reduction, policymakers indicated another half percentage point, or 50 basis points, in cuts before the end of 2024 and another full percentage point in 2025.
Persons: Angus Mordant, Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Katie Nixon, We've, there's, David Kelly, Helene —, JPMorgan's Kelly, Kelly Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, Trust Wealth Management, Labor Department, Asset Management, Labor Statistics Locations: Albany, Latham , New York
Great news for Club stocks Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley : The rebound in investment banking isn't over yet. We'll find out to what extent when Wells Fargo reports earnings on Oct. 11 and Morgan Stanley delivers quarterly results on Oct. 16. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley (MS) year-to-date performance For Morgan Stanley, a resurgence in its investment banking division is crucial to our investment thesis and why we stuck with it. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo (WFC) year-to-date Morgan Stanley's IB business is much larger than Wells Fargo's. Wells Fargo, which has a strong wealth management franchise, is branching out to take a slice of the IB pie.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, We'll, Wells, Jerome Powell, Powell, Rebecca Brokmeier, Brokmeier, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Goldman Sachs, underperformance, Dan Simkowitz, Jim, We've, Charlie Scharf, Jim Cramer's, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: Club, Wells, Federal Reserve, Wall, P Global Market Intelligence, KPMG, Global, Fed, National Association for Business, CNBC, Morgan Stanley's IB, IB, Bloomberg News, Federal, Getty Locations: U.S, Nashville , Tennessee, Wells, Wells Fargo, Washington , DC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're seeing an economy that's slowing, but not stopping, says Annex's Brian JacobsenBrian Jacobsen, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss markets and the tension in the Middle East.
Persons: Annex's Brian Jacobsen Brian Jacobsen Organizations: Wealth Management
Ilia Yefimovich/dpa | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesMarkets are in danger of being "whipsawed" by the combination of regional conflict in the Middle East and rising unemployment in the United States, says Stephen Roach, senior fellow at Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center. Most Asian markets fell on Wednesday, tracking losses on Wall Street overnight, as investors fretted over rising tensions in the Middle East. A higher-than-expected unemployment rate could prompt the Fed to accelerate the easing cycle to achieve a soft landing. The unemployment rate in September is expected to come in at 4.2%, according to data of a Reuters poll on LSEG, unchanged from the August figure. The unemployment rate had jumped to near a three-year high of 4.3% in July, a dramatic rise from the five-decade low of 3.4% in April 2023.watch now
Persons: Ilia Yefimovich, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Hassan Nasrallah, Roach, CNBC's, Stephen Stanley, Kelvin Tay Organizations: Missiles, Getty, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Wall, Israel Defense Forces, Santander, Organization of, Petroleum, Energy Information Administration, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Israel, Tel Aviv, Iran, United States, Iranian, Lebanon, U.S .
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Persons: Cardholders, Merrill, you'll, you've, Cash, You'll, BankAmericard, cardholders aren't Organizations: Business, Bank of America, Card, The Bank of America, of America, Credit, Drug, Merrill, Bank, Deposit Bank of America, Quicksilver, . Bank of America, Cash, Capital, College
Markets are now braced for what could follow a likely Israeli retaliation against Iran. watch nowOil prices gained over 5% in the previous session following the missile strike, before tapering to a 2.5% climb. Oil infrastructure 'tempting targets for Israel'Lewis Sage-Passant, an adjunct professor of intelligence at Sciences Po in Paris, described energy markets as jittery, as investors watch for Israel's next moves. Even without direct targeting, much of the world's oil infrastructure sits under these missile's flight paths, so naturally everyone is very nervous." Questions remain whether a strong Israeli response would restore deterrence or trigger further escalation from Iran and tip the nations into a full-blown war.
Persons: Amir Cohen, Hassan Nasrallah, Lewis Sage, Jake Sullivan, Roger Zakheim, what's, Zakheim, Abbas Araghchi, Sara Vakhshouri Organizations: Reuters Israel's, Brent, West Texas, Isles, RBC Wealth Management, Sciences Po, Israel, Energy, U.S . National, Ronald Reagan Institute, Investments, Saab, BAE Systems, Thales, Rheinmetall, Iran's, SVB Energy Locations: Ashkelon, Israel, Tel Aviv, Iran, Tehran, London, Asia, Paris, U.S, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRetail investor is best to stick with mega-cap stocks, and here are some of them: Portfolio managerRobert Pavlick, Senior Portfolio Manager at Dakota Wealth Management lists out the top sector picks and reasons why US Multinationals are the best buy.
Persons: Robert Pavlick Organizations: Dakota Wealth Management
As investors ponder how — and where — to invest in this uncertain climate, CNBC Pro asked market experts how they are positioning before the year-end. 'Capitalize on the shifting market dynamics' The fourth quarter is starting hot on the heels of central banks' rate easing cycle. "There is an interesting valuation point about U.K. equities, and given recent positive economic surprises that present potential upsides, we feel this is an attractive market." "International investors owning U.K. equities and not hedging the currency, either win on the currency strength gains or win on the equity market." Other markets Beyond the U.K., Hechler-Fayd'herbe sees potential in emerging markets such as Taiwan and South Korea.
Persons: Kevin Teng, Teng, , Europe —, he's, Morgan Stanley, Lombard, Nannette Organizations: Equity, CSI, Treasury, Wrise Private Singapore, CNBC Pro, U.S . Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China, Nvidia, Nasdaq, EMEA, CNBC, Bank of England, International Locations: Asia, East, Europe, Hong Kong, China, U.S, Swiss, Taiwan, South Korea
Best Personal Loans With No Origination Fees of 2024We've rounded up the best no origination fee personal loans for people in a range of financial situations, with an emphasis on finding those that offer low APRs. Compare Personal Loan RatesTop Personal Loans with No Origination Fee ComparisonNot all personal loans have origination fees — and choosing a loan with no origination fee will save you money. Here is each lender's score:Lender BBB Grade LightStream Personal Loan A SoFi Personal Loan A+ Wells Fargo Personal Loan F PenFed Personal Loan A+ USAA Personal Loan A+All of our top picks, except Wells Fargo, are rated A or higher by the BBB. Best Personal Loans with No Origination Fee FAQsWhy is there an origination fee for personal loans? See our full ratings methodology for personal loans »Ryan Wangman, CEPF Loans Reporter Ryan Wangman was a reporter at Personal Finance Insider reporting on personal loans, student loans, student loan refinancing, debt consolidation, auto loans, RV loans, and boat loans.
Persons: what's, Wells Fargo, Wells, PenFed, you've, You'll, They're, Markia Brown, Sean August, Ryan Wangman, Brown, Read, Elias Shaya, Elias Organizations: Credit, PenFed Credit Union, you'll, PenFed, Credit Unions Credit, Better Business Bureau, Wells, BBB, Consumer Financial, Bureau, Chevron, Better, Wealth Management, Business, Finance, Northwestern University, Boston Globe Locations: Wells Fargo, New York City
Before we get started, it's important to point out that I believe that broader equity markets remain in a secular bull market with global central banks' easing monetary policy amid a backdrop of a boom in artificial intelligence that carries equity markets significantly higher in coming quarters. But the key in my opinion was that real interest rates were going higher. The way I'm defining 'real interest rates' is the prevailing nominal yield on a bond, the 10-year Treasury in this example, adjusted by the expected 10-year inflation level. Put simply, real interest rates are how much you actually earn on a fixed income investment after adjusting for inflation. So my outlook is that gold will continue to rally alongside equity markets.
Persons: let's, Todd Gordon, Gordon, HMY Organizations: Harmony, Equity, Treasury, Stock, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: South
More consumer-centric companies are looking to capitalize on India's booming stock market and strong economic growth, by going public. "After a decade, India's growth story is now likely to be driven by private consumption. With a better macro outlook, the risk appetite for investors for business to consumer companies have gone higher," said Atul Singh, CEO and managing director of wealth management firm LGT Wealth India. It may have started with large corporations like Reliance and Adani , but the positive macro story is driving more business to consumer companies to list," Singh told CNBC in an interview. India had 238 listings in 2023, reaching a nine-year high with 614 billion Indian rupees ($7.35 billion), according to FactSet data.
Persons: Ola, Atul Singh, Singh Organizations: National Stock Exchange, BMI, LGT Wealth, Reliance, CNBC, Transportation, Hyundai Motor India, Insurance, Hyundai, Ola Electric Locations: Mumbai, India
Dow and S&P 500 reach another record close
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDow and S&P 500 reach another record closeDan Skelly, Head of Wealth Management Market Research & Strategy Team, and Emily Hill, Bowersock Capital Partners founding partner, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk another day of record market action.
Persons: Dan Skelly, Emily Hill Organizations: Dow, Wealth Management Market Research, Strategy, Bowersock Capital Partners
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to speak Monday to the National Association for Business Economists during the organization's annual conference in Nashville. The central bank chair is delivering his assessment on the economy as well as his policy views. Following the speech, Powell will speak in a moderated discussion with Ellen Zentner, global head of thematic and macro investing at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. The speech comes less than two weeks after the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee approved a half-percentage-point reduction in its key overnight borrowing rate, the first rate reduction in more than four years. Markets expect the Fed to follow up with additional cuts this year and in 2025 depending on the path of the economic data.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Ellen Zentner Organizations: National Association for Business Economists, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, CNBC, YouTube Locations: Nashville
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBC Wealth Management: India equity markets are 'fundamentally attractive'Gautam Chadda of RBC Wealth Management explains the bank's overweight on India, pointing to political stability, structural reforms, and likely RBI easing as key reasons.
Organizations: RBC Wealth Management Locations: India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global Wealth Management: Thailand will 'struggle' compared to rest of AsiaSuresh Tantia, an APAC strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management, offers his views of the broader markets in Asia. He notes that Thailand will struggle compared to other Asian countries. For good returns, he prefers short-term plays in the Chinese tech space, Taiwan and Korean semiconductor stocks, and Asian investment-grade bonds.
Persons: Asia Suresh Tantia Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Thailand, Asia, Taiwan
The S&P 500's positive performance this year means that a Harris victory is likely, history says. The S&P 500 has gained 10% since August 5, and if it keeps going up, a Harris victory seems imminent. Likewise, the so-called Misery Index is flashing a Harris victory. If the stock market declines, the outlook for a Harris victory could quickly sour. While these indicators might be flashing a Harris victory for now, nothing's set in stone leading up to this election.
Persons: Harris, , LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, it's, Jerome Powell, Lynch, nothing's Organizations: Service, Comerica Wealth Management, Federal
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