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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSlowdown in consumer demand due to interest rates being 'too high': analystClaudia Panseri, CIO France at UBS Global Wealth Management, joins Street Signs to discuss current market trends including potential concerns for the luxury sector, and the upcoming earnings season.
Persons: Claudia Panseri Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management
The Fed shouldn't cut interest rates at all this year, strategist Jim Bianco said. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve risks prematurely cutting interest rates right as the US economy is poised to reaccelerate, Jim Bianco told CNBC. Related storiesBacking the notion are promising declines in inflation and a cooling of the labor market. AdvertisementFed fund futures indicate that three 25-basis point interest rate cuts could come this year, starting in September. Interest rates will remain pressured by today's high level of government spending and continued consumer strength.
Persons: Jim Bianco, , there'll, Brian Rose, Bianco, they're, " Bianco, Charles Schwab, Schwab Organizations: Service, Reserve, CNBC, Bianco Research, Fed, UBS, ISM Services
The outlook for stocks is becoming more favorable as inflation slows and the Federal Reserve looks to cut interest rates by yearend, according to UBS. Against that backdrop, UBS thinks investors should maintain a neutral view and remain strategic in their stock allocations. Here are some of the stocks on the UBS list: One of the stocks added to the list was San Diego-based, medical device maker Dexcom . Despite growth in the continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) segment of the diabetes market over the past few years, the sizable diabetes market has a "relatively low" penetration rate, according to UBS. "We expect DXCM to remain a leading player within the very concentrated CGM market."
Persons: Eric Potoker, that's, Ralph Lauren Organizations: Federal, yearend, UBS, San, MGM Resorts, Super, Las Vegas, Samsung Locations: Swiss, San Diego, Las Vegas, Las
Check out the companies making the biggest moves in premarket trading: Wells Fargo — Shares tumbled 6% after the bank reported $11.92 billion in net interest income for the second quarter, a 9% year-over-year decline . Analysts polled by FactSet were expecting $12.12 billion in net interest income. Wells Fargo also reiterated its full-year forecast of a 7% to 9% decrease in net interest income. JPMorgan Chase — The bank slipped 1.6% despite reporting a revenue beat for the second quarter. Carvana — Shares of the used car seller added 1.3% after BTIG initiated coverage of the stock at a buy rating.
Persons: Wells, FactSet, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Tesla, Carvana, Fastenal, , Sarah Min, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh Organizations: JPMorgan, Revenue, LSEG, UBS, Bloomberg
The premium attached to Tesla's stock is increasingly difficult to justify as the company's core auto business deteriorates while enthusiasm over the effect of artificial intelligence on its future growth could wane, according to UBS. UBS analysts led by Joseph Spak downgraded Tesla to sell, though they increased their price target by $50 to $197 per share. The higher target still implies 18% downside from Thursday's close of $241.03 per share. But taken together, this is only $93 of identifiable value in the current share price, which means future option value represents 61% of today's stock, the UBS analysts said. "Given the lack of visibility and the risk that these growth opportunities materialize on a longer time horizon (or don't materialize at all), we rate the stock Sell."
Persons: Joseph Spak, Tesla, Spak Organizations: UBS
10 things to watch Friday, July 12 Will the market rotation out of year-to-date tech winners and into the rest of the market continue? JPMorgan reported a top and bottom line beat: Revenue of $50.99 exceeded estimates of $49.87 billion; adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.26 beat by 7 cents. No change to full-year 2024 expectation of $91 billion net interest income (NII) and $92 billion in adjusted expense. Revenue of $20.69 billion beat estimates of $20.29 billion and EPS of $1.33 beat by 4 cents. NII of about $13.5 billion beat estimates of $13.22 billion.
Persons: Charlie Scharf's, Wells, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Investment, Equity, Wells, Citigroup, UBS, Technologies, Citi, Wester Digital, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, New York City
Sure enough, the S&P 500 rallied another 7.2%, ending 2023 up 24.2%. BMO Capital MarketsInvestors would love a similar outcome after a 14.5% first-half gain, which ranks in the 82nd percentile historically, according to BMO. History is on stocks' side in the second halfIn the last seven-and-a-half decades, the S&P 500 has risen 10% to 15% a dozen other times. Chances are, the relatively tame 5.5% slide the S&P 500 experienced in March and April won't be the biggest pullback of the year. Advertisement"Extended valuation remains a hot topic, but a closer inspection reveals that levels may not be as severe as are being advertised," Belski wrote.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Brian Belski, Belski, Stocks, Oppenheimer Organizations: Service, BMO Capital Markets, Business, BMO Capital, BMO, UBS, Markets, Tech, Trade Locations: The Montreal, New York, US
The most bullish S&P 500 price target is 6,000 from Evercore ISI, which represents a gain of about 7%. While the average year-end S&P 500 price target is 5,429, according to data from Bloomberg, the median year-end price target is 5,600. Yardeni Research: S&P 500 price target of 5,800Yardeni Research raised its year-end S&P 500 price target to 5,800 from 5,400 this week. Goldman Sachs: S&P 500 price target of 5,600Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin boosted his S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,200 last month. UBS: S&P 500 price target of 5,600UBS raised its S&P 500 price target to 5,600 from 5,400 in May, and that's after the bank raised its price target in February.
Persons: , Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, they're, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Wall, ISI, Service, Bloomberg, CNBC, Security, Yardeni, Research, Federal Reserve, Ned Davis Research, UBS, Chicago, & $ Locations: bearish
But Mizuho expects things will play out differently, and instead raises its price target on the electric vehicle maker, citing challenges with its robotaxis. Morgan Stanley stands by Starbucks, keeping it at an overweight, but lowering its price target. Fong's $155 price target suggests shares can jump another 19.3% over Thursday's closing level, building on a year of monster gains. Analyst Doug Anmuth hiked the mega-cap technology stock's price target by $100 to $750, now implying 14.9% upside from Thursday's close. While he upped his price target by $50 to $197, that fresh target reflects a drop of 18.3%.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Cody Acree, Acree, — Alex Harring, Jon Tower, Chipotle, Alex Harring, BTIG, Marvin Fong, Fong, Carvana, CarMax, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Anmuth's, that's, he's, Christina Cheddar Berk, Vijay Rakesh, Rakesh, Joseph Spak, Spak Organizations: CNBC, UBS, Starbucks, JPMorgan, Netflix, Nvidia, Citi, Harbour, Tesla, robotaxis, Bloomberg Locations: Thursday's, premarket, China
A new UBS report said spouses, largely women, could inherit $9 trillion. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThere's a huge wave of money and other assets set to change hands — and a good chunk of it will go to spouses, especially women. Dubbed the "Great Horizontal Wealth Transfer" by UBS in the bank's 2024 Global Wealth Report released this week, the term describes asset transfers within the same generation. Out of the $83 trillion to be inherited in the next 25 years, UBS estimated $9 trillion will go to women of the same generation.
Persons: Organizations: UBS, Service, Business
forward Price Target (28% upside)." Bank of America reiterates Micron as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with its buy rating after a series of constructive management meetings. Benchmark reiterates Nvidia as buy Benchmark raised its price target on Nvidia to $170 per share from $135. "We are raising our rating on Booking Holdings (BKNG) to Buy from Hold and establishing a new $4,700 per share price target." "We are initiating coverage on Carvana Co. with a BUY rating and $155 PT."
Persons: Tesla, Wolfe, Price, Bernstein, Apple, Morgan Stanley, it's, BTIG, Baird downgrades Visteon, Baird, Jefferies, Jill, Piper Sandler, Piper, DraftKings Organizations: UBS, Spotify, Citi, Bank of America, Micron, Barclays, Medicines, JPMorgan, Netflix, Amazon's, Nvidia, Western Digital, Holdings, Booking Holdings, Jefferies, Inter, Microsoft, Oracle, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Locations: 2H24
IWM 5D mountain iShares Russell 2000 ETF Next week's earnings results will help investors glean whether that rotation trade is sustainable. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is weighted more toward the real economy than is the S & P 500 and Nasdaq, rose to a new record above 40,000. According to FactSet consensus estimates, S & P 500 companies are set to post blended earnings growth of 9.2% in the second quarter. "It's not unthinkable to see us exiting this year at 5,800 on the S & P," he said. This follows a difficult 2Q, when 75% of Large Cap Core managers trailed the S & P 500," Palfrey wrote.
Persons: Patrick Palfrey, Hogan, Keith Buchanan, Buchanan, Palfrey, David Sekera, Quincy Krosby, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Huntington Organizations: Nasdaq, UBS, Investors, Riley, Dow Jones, Globalt Investments, Riley Securities, Big Tech, Core, LPL, BlackRock, Bank of America, Taiwan Semiconductor, Price, Retail, Hunt Transport Services, State, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, United Airlines, Discover Financial Services, U.S . Bancorp, Johnson, Citizens Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Netflix, T Bank, KeyCorp, American Express, Halliburton, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Locations: Nasdaq, NAHB, Horton, Blackstone, Taiwan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDeflationary forces present in almost every sector in U.S., says UBS Global Wealth's Paul DonovanPaul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, and Jared Woodard, head of research committee at Bank of America Securities, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss deflation, macro outlooks, and more.
Persons: UBS Global Wealth's Paul Donovan Paul Donovan, Jared Woodard, CNBC's Organizations: UBS Global, UBS Global Wealth Management, Bank of America Securities Locations: U.S
Up to $9 trillion is expected to be passed along to spouses and partners in the coming years as part of what's being called "the horizontal wealth transfer," according to a new report. Yet because surviving spouses and partners typically get the initial inheritances, and because women typically outlive men, bequests in the coming years will largely go to women, according to the UBS Global Wealth Report. UBS calls it the "horizontal wealth transfer," since the wealth is moving intra-generationally rather than intergenerationally. "Most people have a rather feudal idea of wealth going down through generations," said Paul Donovan, chief economist of UBS Global Wealth Management. According to the report, the largest horizontal wealth transfers will be in the Americas.
Persons: Paul Donovan Organizations: UBS Global Wealth, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: what's, Americas
JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citi kick off earnings with Q2 beats
  + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citi kick off earnings with Q2 beatsErika Najarian, UBS managing director, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss second-quarter earnings reports from JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citi.
Persons: Wells, Erika Najarian Organizations: JPMorgan, Citi, UBS Locations: Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSofter labor market gives Fed incentive to cut rates 'sooner than later,' says UBS' Brian RoseMichael Kushma, Morgan Stanley Investment Management senior fixed income portfolio manager; Barry Knapp, Ironsides Macroeconomics managing partner; and Brian Rose, UBS senior economist, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss outlooks on the economy, expectation for rate cuts, and how to position.
Persons: Brian Rose Michael Kushma, Morgan, Barry Knapp, Brian Rose, CNBC's Organizations: UBS, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Ironsides
This number could surge by 47% to about 1.16 million millionaires by 2028, UBS predicts, leading the 56 global markets the bank analyzed in its report. AdvertisementThe US was home to nearly 22 million millionaires last year, per UBS. That number is expected to grow 16% to 25.5 million millionaires over the next five years. UBS attributes Taiwan's wealth growth to its semiconductor chip industry, which is "set to reap the rewards of the boom in artificial intelligence." The rise of the chip behemoth has created an entire tech ecosystem in Taiwan, much of which is centered on hardware.
Persons: , TSMC, Ma Tieying Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, chipmaker, Apple, Nvidia, New York Stock Exchange, DBS Locations: Taiwan, Swiss, China
He reasoned that while higher interest rates were a concern, solid earnings growth would keep stocks afloat. Since then, the S&P 500 has rallied 11.1% off its early May lows and extended its year-to-date surge to 16.9%. Since UBS GWM is neutral on US stocks, Lefkowitz recommends that investors keep their expectations in check and look for alternatives. Though not flashy, bonds boast attractive yields and should continue to rally if the Fed cuts rates this fall, according to UBS GWM. "We think investors should position for a lower interest rate environment and buy quality bonds, which have attractive yields and the potential for capital appreciation amid the potential for a deeper easing cycle," Marcelli wrote in the note.
Persons: , it's, David Lefkowitz, who's, Lefkowitz, We'll, that's, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, UBS GWM, seconding, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Trump Organizations: Service, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS GWM's, Business, UBS GWM, Federal, Nvidia, UBS, White Locations: Washington
LONDON — The number of global millionaires is set to keep rising over the next five years — with the U.K. a stark outlier, according to the 2024 Global Wealth Report from UBS. Gains will be led by tech powerhouse Taiwan, where the number of millionaires is set to jump 47% on the back of the booming microchip industry and a rise in immigration by wealthy foreigners. The two hubs in which the most global millionaires are based, the U.S. and mainland China, are set to see their figures rise 16% and 8% respectively. Another country where the number of dollar millionaires is forecast to decline was the Netherlands, which is estimated to see a 4% drop in such wealthy individuals. The report meanwhile sees the number of U.S. dollar millionaires in Russia growing by 21%.
Persons: Paul Donovan, Donovan Organizations: UBS, Taiwan, UBS Global Wealth Management, Russia, Labour Party, Conservative Locations: Turkey, Kazakhstan, Indonesia, Japan, U.S, China, France, Italy, London, Dubai, Singapore, Netherlands, Russia
Sung Kook (Bill) Hwang, the founder and head of the private investment firm Archegos, arrives at the Manhattan Federal Courthouse in New York City, U.S., July 9, 2024. The jury, which began deliberations on Tuesday, found Hwang guilty on 10 of 11 criminal counts and Patrick Halligan, his Archegos deputy and co-defendant, guilty on all three counts he faced. Hwang and Halligan sat flanked by their lawyers as the verdict was read by a soft-spoken foreperson. Hwang, 60, had pleaded not guilty to one count of racketeering conspiracy, three counts of fraud and seven counts of market manipulation. At its peak, prosecutors said Archegos had $36 billion in assets and $160 billion of exposure to equities.
Persons: Sung Kook, Bill, Hwang, Patrick Halligan, Halligan, Prosecutors, Andrew Thomas, Barry Berke, William Tomita, Scott Becker, Archegos Organizations: Archegos Capital Management, Prosecutors, U.S . Justice Department, U.S, Attorney's, Southern, of, Credit Suisse, UBS, Nomura Holdings Locations: Manhattan, New York City, U.S, of New York
Read previewDespite its French headquarters, Capital Fund Management has long been connected to the US. Advertisement"There's no way around the US" as a quant fund, he explained, which use a vast amount of data and historical trends to inform computer-driven investment strategies. Alternative managers have turned to the private wealth channel for capital increasingly in recent years, mostly driven by large private equity firms like Blackstone, Apollo, and KKR. Tiger cubs like Tiger Global and Coatue have had long-standing relationships with JPMorgan's private wealth unit. Quant funds operate in a similar fashion, he said, and the firm thinks this can be translated to a broader audience than just longtime hedge-fund allocators.
Persons: , Philippe Jordan, Jordan, Stifel, Blackstone, Bobby Jain's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, there's Organizations: Service, Capital Fund Management, Business, CFM, Stratus, Apollo, KKR, Products, Abu, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, UBS, HSBC, Bloomberg Locations: New York, Chicago, London, America, Paris, Louis, Abu Dhabi
In terms of revenue, LegalZoom now expects between $675 million and $685 million for the full year. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing — The chip stock advanced 3% following the company's revenue results . Though the company's reported T$207.87 billion for the month of June was a 9.5% decrease from last month, it was a 32.9% increase from the year-ago period. For January through June this year, the company reported T$1.27 trillion, which is a 28% increase from the same period last year. Carvana — Shares of the online car seller added 5% after Needham upgraded the stock to buy from hold.
Persons: LegalZoom.com, Dan Wernikoff, Jeffrey Stibel, LegalZoom, Carvana, Needham, robotaxi, , Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Samantha Subin, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox, Darla Mercado Organizations: Intuit —, Intuit, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Baidu, Street Journal, Shanghai, Mastercard, Visa, Bank of America, Manchester United, BioSciences, Analysts, Illumina, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Argus, UBS, Science, AMD, Silo Locations: China, Shanghai, Hoka, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChallenges ahead for retail sector: Impact of potential tariff and tax policy changesMichael Lasser, UBS retail analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss how potential changes in tax and trade policy following the November presidential election could impact retailers, the impact of tariffs on consumers, and more.
Persons: Michael Lasser Organizations: UBS
Oppenheimer raised its year-end S&P 500 target to 5,900, the second-highest target on Wall Street. The shift makes the firm the second-most bullish on Wall Street. "Just like before, it's a matter of the fundamentals, where they stand right now," John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer's chief investment strategist, told CNBC. A handful of tech stocks have been doing the heavy lifting for the benchmark index, giving investors pause about how sustainable the current rally is. Correction: July 9, 2024 — An earlier version of this story misstated the date from which Oppenheimer's target indicates 6% upside.
Persons: Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, , Stoltzfus, It's, Goldman Sachs, Marko Kolanovic — Organizations: Service, CNBC, Security, Federal Reserve, UBS, JPMorgan . Locations: Monday's
Nvidia — Shares rose more than 1% after KeyBanc hiked its price target on the chipmaker to $180, implying upside of more than 40% from Monday's close. "Despite the impending launch of Blackwell in 2H24, we are not seeing any signs of a demand pause as demand for H100 remains robust," KeyBanc said. BP — The oil and gas giant's U.S.-listed shares fell more than 4% after the company warned it expects to report an impairment of up to $2 billion. Tempus AI — Shares popped nearly 4% after several Wall Street banks initiated coverage of the health-care diagnostics company with buy or overweight ratings. Helen of Troy — Shares of the Hydro Flask and Oxo parent fell more than 25% after a big earnings miss.
Persons: KeyBanc, Helen of Troy —, FactSet, , Fred Imbert, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, Blackwell, BP, Nasdaq, Intel, Hydro Locations: Monday's, 2H24, U.S
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