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☆ 'Don't chase this equity rally': Wells Fargo strategist has a warning for investors ahead of Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

There's a risk that stocks will go downhill from here, according to Wells Fargo's Paul Christopher, as he warned investors not to chase the current rally. "Even if the Fed stays on hold next week, we don't think the Fed stays on hold for very long — inflation is just too sticky." Christopher added that he does not believe the Fed will cut rates this year. History shows the S & P 500 doesn't bottom until, on average, six months after the first Fed rate cut, Christopher said. The rally has been a narrow-focused one, however, with gains driven by just a few major tech stocks.

Persons: Wells Fargo's Paul Christopher, Paul Christopher, he's, CNBC's, Christopher Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, U.S . Federal, CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury Locations: U.S

☆ Crypto is Gen Z’s most common investment. That may be risky, experts said
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But while young people can afford to take more investment risk relative to older generations, using crypto as the linchpin of an investment portfolio is nonetheless a risky bet due to its volatility, experts said. Crypto zeal a concern if investors don't diversifyFifty-five percent of adult Gen Z investors currently invest in crypto, according to the joint Finra-CFA Institute report. Gen Z is a cohort born in the late 1990s and into the 21st century, meaning its oldest members are in their mid-20s. The joint Finra-CFA Institute report doesn't specify the average share of Gen Z investors' portfolios allocated to cryptocurrency. Gen Z investors in the U.S. view themselves as risk-takers.

Persons: Gen, Coinbase, Binance, Crypto, —, Gerri Walsh, Walsh, Ted Jenkin, cryptocurrency, They've, Jenkin, bitcoin, It's, There's, they've Organizations: CFA Institute, Financial Industry, Investor Education, Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, Finance, Finra Investor Education Foundation, Meta, cryptocurrency Locations: Atlanta, cryptocurrency, U.S

☆ Warren Buffett – he invests just like us!
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Jeffrey Goldfarb | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

NEW YORK, June 7 (Reuters Breakingviews) - “Do as I say, not as I do” sounds like the kind of pithy thing Warren Buffett might say to his adoring throngs. The conglomerate was an investor for a dozen years, until Buffett got spooked by Freddie Mac’s overly rosy earnings growth projections. The $1.3 billion stake it finished accumulating in 1994 was worth $25 billion last month. A $13 billion stake in IBM (IBM.N) came and went, as did $8 billion of JPMorgan (JPM.N) and almost $3 billion of biopharmaceutical company AbbVie (ABBV.N). Warren Buffett, Berkshire’s chairman and CEO, said that geopolitical tensions contributed to the decision to sell most of the $4.1 billion TSMC stake just a few months after buying it, the Nikkei reported on April 11.

Persons: Warren Buffett, can’t, There’s, Buffett, Freddie Mac, Freddie Mac’s, Coke, Benjamin Moore, TSMC, ”, Wells, ” Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, John Foley, Sharon Lam Organizations: YORK, Reuters, Berkshire Hathaway, Home Loan Mortgage, U.S ., Berkshire, BNSF, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Buffett, ” Morningstar, Treasury, New York Stock Exchange, American Express, IBM, JPMorgan, Activision, Occidental Petroleum, Paramount Global, Oracle, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Nikkei, Thomson Locations: Berkshire, U.S, TSMC . Berkshire, Japan, Taiwan, Omaha, China

☆ Markets brace for deluge of Treasury bill supply after US debt deal
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The Treasury General Account has fallen sharply since January when Treasury hit its limit on borrowing. Cash balance targets indicate it will need to rebuild its account quickly now that the borrowing cap has been lifted. "Money market funds are extremely short ... so the trillion-dollar Treasury bills (issuance) would be welcome with open arms," said money market fund expert Peter Crane, president of Crane Data. Part of that could be due to the fact that money funds, heavily exposed to short-term debt this year, have started to extend the their maturities recently. "The Federal Reserve RRP has been holding trillions of the money fund assets and so that money can easily be redeployed into Treasury bills.

Persons: Steven Zeng, Zeng, Glenmede, Peter Crane, RRP, Bank's Zeng, Davide Barbuscia, Karen Brettel, Alden Bentley, Matthew Lewis Organizations: YORK, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Treasuries, Crane, Federal, Thomson Locations: New York

☆ The Treasury Paradox
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Jeff Sommer | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Treasury bonds have been at the heart of the debt ceiling drama. But as the deadline for an agreement to avert a U.S. debt default loomed, Treasury bills due in early June were priced as the near equivalent of junk bonds. In the credit default swaps market, Treasury bonds were suddenly deemed riskier than the sovereign debt of countries like Mexico, Bulgaria and Greece. But in the nick of time, President Biden and Speaker Kevin McCarthy reached a deal to suspend the debt ceiling. The Senate gave final approval on Thursday to legislation ensuring that the Treasury won’t run out of cash.

Persons: Biden, Kevin McCarthy Organizations: Treasury Locations: Mexico, Bulgaria, Greece, United States

☆ The Senate just passed the debt ceiling bill. Here’s what happens next
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Since the debt ceiling was breached in mid-January, the Treasury Department has not been able to borrow more money. What happens once the debt ceiling is raisedBy law, the Treasury Department is obligated to make any funds that were affected by the extraordinary measures whole. Unlike Treasury bill auctions that occur on a weekly and monthly basis, cash management bill auctions are irregular, though not uncommon. Over the past 25 years, the Treasury held six one-day cash management bill auctions. In turn, investors may opt to buy more Treasury bills instead of stocks, potentially sucking some liquidity out of the market.

Persons: Joe Biden, States ’, They’re, wasn’t, Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Department of, Treasury, Treasury Department, Civil, Disability Fund, Postal Service, Congressional, CBO Locations: New York, States, United States

Investment-grade rated companies issued $152 billion in May, making it the busiest May since 2020 when the pandemic crisis prompted record debt issuance volumes, according to data from Informa Global Markets. "I believe we have seen an acceleration of issuance into May," said Richard Wolff, head of US bond syndicate at SG CIB, saying this was a result of debt issuance being pulled forward. This debt issuance spree is on the back of strong demand for what were relatively higher yielding corporate bonds after Treasury yields rose in May from levels touched in late April. New investment-grade bonds in May received orders that were three to four times the offering size on average, according to IGM data. CHANGING TIDEThe debt binge, however, gave a broad hint that the largest companies in the world are not optimistic on borrowing conditions later in the year.

Persons: Richard Wolff, Wolff, Manuel Hayes, Jessica Lehmann, Blair Shwedo, Jiyann Daemi, Shankar Ramakrishnan, Matt Tracy, Laura Matthews, Megan Davies, Matthew Lewis Organizations: YORK, U.S, Investment, Informa Global, Junk, SG CIB, London, Insight Investment, Treasury, HSBC, U.S . Bank, IG, TD Securities, Thomson Locations: New York

☆ Desperate for cash, the Treasury will sell one-day bills
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Cash management bills mature in a relatively short time frame, ranging from a few days to a year, according to the Treasury. Unlike Treasury bill auctions that occur on a weekly and monthly basis, cash management bill auctions are irregular, though not uncommon. Over the past 25 years, the Treasury held six one-day cash management bill auctions. Yields on cash management bills, which are determined by the auction process, tend to be higher than regular fixed maturity bills. On Thursday, the Treasury auctioned $25 billion of three-day cash management bills yielding 6.15%.

Persons: Treasury hasn’t, Janet Yellen, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, Biden, Cash, They’re, ”, Charlie Ripley Organizations: CNN, Treasury Department, Treasury, Senate, Allianz Investment Management

☆ Here's how to buy Treasury bills as yields top 5%
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Kate Dore | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Treasury bill yields have climbed over the past few months, with one-month to one-year terms currently topping 5%, as of June 1. However, there are a few things for everyday investors to know about the Treasury bill purchase process, according to financial experts. Treasury bills, or T-bills, have terms of four weeks to 52 weeks and are backed by the U.S. government. For example, let's say you purchase $1,000 worth of one-year T-bills at a 4% discount, with a $960 purchase price. To calculate your coupon rate (4.16%), you take your $1,000 maturity and subtract the $960 purchase price before dividing the difference by $960.

Persons: Jeremy Keil Organizations: U.S ., Investors, Finance, Federal, Keil Financial Partners Locations: Milwaukee

☆ US mortgage rates climb to their highest level since November
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington CNN —US mortgage rates jumped higher last week as uncertainty about the debt ceiling standoff sent bond yields rising. Mortgage rates tend to be pegged to US Treasury yields, which had been heading higher as America grows ever closer to default. Although the Fed doesn’t have direct control over mortgage rates, higher interest rates tend to push bond yields higher, which also can nudge mortgage rates up. “If the U.S. defaults on its debt, bond investments become riskier, resulting in increased yields and potentially higher mortgage rates. But if mortgage rates remain elevated, sellers looking to wrap up a move during the summer months may be motivated to cut prices.

Persons: Freddie Mac, ”, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, Jiayi Xu, Joe Biden, Xu, “, George Ratiu, ” Ratiu, Bob Broeksmit, today’s, ” Xu Organizations: Washington CNN, Treasury, Federal, “, Realtor.com, Mortgage, Association Locations: America, U.S

☆ Treasury buyers live for the moment, unfortunately
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The bill to suspend the so-called debt ceiling, approved by the House of Representatives on Wednesday, solves the most immediate threat to the government’s creditors. The Federal Reserve’s fight against inflation also stands to knock Treasury prices, while pushing up yields. Spending caps and other measures in the debt ceiling deal are projected to save $1.5 trillion over the next decade, the Congressional Budget Office said Tuesday. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned on May 26 that the federal government would be unable to pay its bills on June 5. The U.S. House of Representatives voted 314-117 on May 31 to suspend the debt ceiling, a legislative cap on how much the Treasury can borrow that had been set at $31.4 trillion.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, That’s, Sam, Janet Yellen, Joe Biden’s, John Foley, Sharon Lam, Streisand Neto Organizations: Reuters, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Refinitiv, Congressional, U.S . Congress, U.S . House, Senate, U.S, Treasury Department, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, U.S, Washington

☆ Yields on bills due in June fall on debt deal optimism
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

May 30 (Reuters) - Yields on Treasury bills that are due in early June dropped on Tuesday on optimism that Congress will pass a deal to raise the country's debt ceiling and avoid a potential default. Yields on Treasury bills that are due in early June had risen sharply on concerns that they will be a risk of not being repaid if the Treasury runs out of cash. Yields on bills that are due on June 1 fell to 5.09%, after reaching 7.47% last Thursday. Yields on bills due on June 6 fell to 5.43%, from a high of 7.49% last week. Reporting by Karen Brettell, editing by Ed OsmondOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Premarket stocks: How crypto is dealing with debt ceiling turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Here’s what’s in the debt ceiling dealPresident Biden and Republican House Speaker McCarthy put their long weekend to good use, coming to an agreement to raise the debt ceiling in the hope of avoiding a self imposed default on US government debt. If Congress doesn’t raise the debt ceiling by June 5, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warns the government will not have enough funds to pay all of the nation’s obligations in full and on time. The debt ceiling bill does that, rescinding $1.4 billion in IRS funding. Corporate America celebrates debt ceiling dealIt appears that US industry is pleased with the debt ceiling deal, and would like Congress to pass it quickly. Leading business groups praised Biden and McCarthy for forging a bipartisan agreement over the weekend, reports my colleague Matt Egan.

May 28 (Reuters) - Good news of a tentative deal for the U.S. debt ceiling impasse may quickly turn out to be bad news for financial markets. "That's where the debt ceiling matters." In that case, "the impact on broader financial markets would likely be relatively muted," Daniel Krieter, director of fixed income strategy, BMO Capital Markets, said in a report. Some bankers said they fear financial markets may not have accounted for the risk of a liquidity drain from banks' reserves. Bankers put it to hope that the debt ceiling impasse would be resolved without significant dislocation to markets, but warn that's a risky strategy.

☆ Japan stocks are on fire this year. Here are 3 reasons why the rally could have 'staying power'
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-27 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Since then, Japanese equities have rallied. Even so, Strategas Securities' Chris Verrone has remained optimistic on Japanese equities, saying this week that the rally is not yet overbought. Meanwhile, JPMorgan chief market strategist Marko Kolanovic said in a note, also on Tuesday, that the rally in Japan still has "staying power." For international investors, those remarks signaled that Japanese companies may be more transparent with shareholders in the future. Investors can also take a company-specific approach, according to Diamond Hill's Mohanraj, who favors Japanese companies that boast differentiated products.

☆ From your 401(k) to bonds, here’s how to protect your financial well-being as debt default worries grow
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-27 | by ( Ramishah Maruf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —The White House and House GOP negotiators are rushing to finalize a deal to raise the country’s debt limit. With that X-date only about one week away, there’s still no deal to raise the debt ceiling – putting Americans’ finances in danger. If you invest in bonds, pay attention to when your Treasury bills are maturing. Stick with high-quality investmentsSteer clear of corporate junk bonds or emerging market bonds, CNN has previously reported. Federal government contractors could also see a lag in payments, which could affect their ability to compensate their workers, CNN previously reported.

A debt deal is in sightInvestors are holding their breath on Friday morning, amid signs that the White House and top House Republicans are closing in on a deal to raise the debt limit and avert a government default. According to reports, a compromise could come as soon as Friday, paving the way for Congress to vote as soon as Tuesday. Negotiators have narrowed their differences and are just $70 billion in spending cuts away from a deal, according to Reuters. In a win for Republicans, Congress would take back $10 billion of the $80 billion it had allocated to the I.R.S. On the left, Representative Pramila Jayapal, the Washington Democrat who leads the 101-member House Progressive Caucus, predicted “a huge backlash” if the White House caved to Republican demands.

☆ Stocked up on short-term T-bills? Here’s why it might be time to buy longer-term bonds
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Short-term Treasury bills have garnered investors' attention as yields pop amid the Federal Reserve's rate hiking campaign and debt ceiling tensions in Washington. This doesn't necessarily mean it's time to cut bait on your short-term bond holdings, however. Issues with longer duration are likely to see greater price fluctuation in response to changes in interest rates. The inverted yield curve also resulted in higher yields for short-term issues, but sharp price declines. Some investors built ladders — that is, a portfolio of bonds with different maturities — to take advantage of those higher yields.

Persons: Paul Olmsted, Bonds, Olmsted, we've, Brenna McLoughlin, Kevin Brady, Callie Cox, Cox Organizations: Morningstar, Treasury, Wealthstream Advisors, Wealthspire Advisors Locations: Washington

☆ Debt ceiling crisis: How a US default would ricochet around the world
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

But if it does, it could make the 2008 global financial crisis feel like a walk in the park. The consequences are frightful.”The belief that America’s government will pay its creditors on time underpins the smooth functioning of the global financial system. During the 2011 standoff over raising the US debt ceiling, the S&P 500 index of leading US shares plunged more than 15%. “It’s unclear in a Treasury default crisis whether the Fed could do enough even with the types of efforts it deployed in March 2020,” Obstfeld said. “A default would be a message to investors all around the world of eroding confidence in America,” he added.

☆ The US' AAA credit ratings at risk of a downgrade due to 'brinkmanship over the debt ceiling.' This could impact trillions of dollars worth of Treasury securities.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-25 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Fitch expressed concerns about political partisanship amid negotiations over raising the debt ceiling. On Wednesday, major ratings agency Fitch put the US's credit on watch for a possible downgrade, citing political "brinksmanship" in negotiations over raising the debt ceiling. The ratings agency expects a resolution to the debt ceiling crisis before the X-date. However, the risk that the debt ceiling may not be raised has also gone up. Fitch also signaled concerns about challenges over governance amid the debt ceiling crisis.

☆ How companies should prepare for a possible US default
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Danielle Wiener-Bronner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

“Companies need to have a plan.”Figure out exposure to government fundsSome companies may not be immediately impacted by a default. White recommends companies in those industries, especially, hold regular meetings to figure out a plan in case payments are delayed. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon told Bloomberg earlier this month that the bank was holding weekly meetings to prepare for a possible default. But until then, companies “need to know, can we last until that point? Companies should also be as efficient as possible so they’re not spending more than they need to, she said.

☆ How to capture higher savings yields with a CD ladder
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Kate Dore | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

If you're boosting your emergency fund or saving for a short-term goal, a certificate of deposit ladder, or CD ladder, may help you capture higher yields amid interest rate uncertainty. After a series of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, options for cash, such as high-yield savings, Treasury bills and money market funds have become more competitive. However, experts say a CD ladder may be worth considering as the Fed weighs an interest rate pause or more rate hikes. Typically, a CD ladder involves splitting equal amounts of cash among multiple CDs with different maturity dates. "A CD ladder gives someone an opportunity to harvest a variety of yields over varying timelines," said Bankrate senior economic analyst Mark Hamrick.

☆ Morning Bid: Tech politics, debt cap brinkmanship
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Well-choreographed brinkmanship over the debt ceiling standoff looks set to go down to the wire, while technology firms have once again become a battleground in tense geopolitics. As AI-fueled U.S. technology stocks have led the way this year, the S&P (.SPX) has gained almost 10% this year and hit its highest level in nine months on Friday. Minneapolis Fed chief Neel Kashkari said on Sunday he could support holding rates steady at the next meeting. Futures markets see more than an 80% chance of a June pause and still price almost 50bp of cuts by yearend. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

☆ Here are stocks to own to take the debt ceiling, bond market out of your investing equation
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-21 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +18 min

Are the travails of the bond market, like Macbeth expounds, a "tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing?" The billionaire class — so incorrectly sought after by the media — so often seems to use the bond market as a sort of intellectual cudgel. That's why I always start my discussion on bonds with the simple query of "where are the layoffs, not forget about stocks, think fixed income." Here the bond market polices only those companies that haven't pivoted to making a profit. They, among all sectors, could be pummeled by the bond market freeze and by the consumers' paralysis.

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