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New York CNN —Donald Trump rode a powerful wave of discontent over the cost of living back to the White House. Trump reminded voters often that inflation wasn’t a problem when he was calling the shots. But if he’s not careful, Trump could have an inflation problem of his own. They point to study after study that shows Americans bore almost the entire cost of Trump’s tariffs on China. “When Trump uses tariffs as a negotiating tool, I’m fine with that,” Moore said during a phone interview in late October.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, he’s, ” Ryan Sweet, won’t, ” Sweet, , Joe Biden, CNN’s Phil Mattingly, ” He’s, Trump’s, “ We’re, ” Daniel Alpert, CNN’s Allison Morrow, Stephen Moore, CNN he’s “, ” Moore Organizations: New, New York CNN, Voters, Oxford Economics, CNN, Trump, Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, National Retail Federation, Westwood Capital Locations: New York, Washington, Pennsylvania, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLong-term rates rising due to expectation for increased deficit and inflation, says Roger FergusonRoger Ferguson, former Fed vice chairman, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss why long-term rates are rising, expectations for the Federal Reserve under a new White House administration, and more.
Persons: Roger Ferguson Roger Ferguson Organizations: Federal Reserve, White
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. One stock we did buy a day ago was BlackRock , and Jim said Thursday the asset manager is still an attractive stock to buy. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Trump, White, Jim, It's, Stanley Black, Decker, Stocks, Ralph Lauren, Lyft, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Corona, Constellation Brands, BlackRock, Meta, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Warner Bros . Locations: U.S, Europe, BlackRock
The tax cuts and tariffs floated by Trump has raised worries of a widening fiscal deficit, spurring Treasury yields higher as of late. Bond yields move inversely to their prices. A buying opportunity in bonds Sinead Colton Grant, chief investment officer at BNY Wealth, believes that bond investors overreacted. US10Y YTD mountain U.S. 10-year Treasury "The biggest determinant of your long-term return is the yield," Grant said. Munis While municipal bond yields don't move as quickly as Treasury yields, they are expected to follow, said BNY Wealth's Grant.
Persons: Donald Trump, Bond, Mark Haefele, Sinead Colton Grant, overreacted, Trump, Grant, it's, Brian Rehling, Charles Failla, BNY Wealth's Grant, Sudip Mukherjee Organizations: White, Federal Reserve, Trump, UBS, Fargo Investment, Sovereign Financial Group, AAA, Moody's Locations: Fargo, Stamford, Conn, New York City, muni
Market moves: The stock market tacked on some additional gains after the Federal Reserve on Thursday afternoon cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Bond yields, which move inversely to bond prices, have been on the rise since the Fed cut rates in September. Stick to discipline: The stock market especially liked the idea of a pro-business environment and de-regulation expected in the future Trump administration. It's not surprising to see Wells Fargo down 3% after the Club stock surged more than 13% on Wednesday. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Thursday's, Jerome Powell, hasn't, Bond, Donald Trump, Trump, industrials, It's, Wells, Mogan Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Bloomin, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Bond, NBC News, Club, DraftKings, Arista Networks, Azon Enterprise, Trade, Baxter International, NRG Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
The JPMorgan Asset Management's U.S. fund, already the largest active ETF in the world, returned 21.5% in 2021, including 8.15% as income. In 2022, when the S & P 500 index nearly fell into a bear market, the fund lost just 3.5% in value. Over the past couple of years, the fund has returned 7% to 9% in income on top of capital appreciation. Spence stressed that JPMorgan did not intentionally time its entry into Europe on one of the most volatile weeks of the year for global markets. One such fund is Global X's covered call ETF XYLD , which marginally outperformed JPMorgan's JEPI over the past two years.
Persons: Donald Trump's, JEPI, Hamilton Reiner, Travis Spence, Spence, Reiner Organizations: JPMorgan, JPMorgan Asset Management's, CNBC, London Stock Exchange, Deutsche Borse, Six Swiss, Asset Management, U.S, Presidential, Global Locations: Europe, Germany, U.S, London, Netherlands, Italy, Switzerland
"In a market with so few sellers and so many buyers, those buyers need to pay up if they want to get their hands on some shares," he said. "But they're willing to pay up because they're so worried that tomorrow a lot of them will have to pay even more than they did today." Wednesday's momentum largely continued during Thursday's session, as investors deemed a decisive Trump victory to broadly bode well for Wall Street and big business. Cramer used Home Depot 's stock moves to illustrate what he called "a dearth of sellers," explaining how shares were able to advance 2.85% by the close. The sellers are afraid to sell, the buyers are incredibly eager to buy," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, bode, Cramer, that's Organizations: Trump, Wall, Nasdaq
The Federal Reserve would likely respond to inflation by raising interest rates to curb demand. In an economic chain reaction, households would then pay higher interest rates on borrowing of all kinds as the Fed moves to tame that newly rekindled inflation. That led to the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rising, meaning homebuyers are on track to see higher interest rates on loans. An analysis by the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center found that Trump's policies would decrease posttax incomes by an average of $1,800 in 2025. Trump's win is also expected to influence the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions on interest rates.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Ramping, Trump's, it's, Jerome Powell, Joseph Stiglitz Organizations: Federal, Service, Biden, US Census Bureau, Trump, Peterson, Center, American Progress, Tax Foundation, Fed Locations: China
The rate dropped by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50% to 4.75%. The Fed began cutting rates in September to help boost the economy as inflation cools and the job market softens. In a September speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that another 25-bps cut could happen before 2025 if current economic trends hold steady. Below is a breakdown of how the recent rate cuts could impact your monthly borrowing costs. The breakdown includes today's 25-bps cut and the cumulative 75-bps reduction since the Fed began cutting rates in September, as estimated by Bankrate.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Bankrate, today's, Equity Lines
AdvertisementDonald Trump's presidential victory and his promise of light regulation could help relieve one of Citi's biggest problems. Wells Fargo analyst Mike Mayo called Trump's win a "regulatory game changer" in a research note. For instance, the OCC has required Citi to submit plans each quarter to ensure they are allocating enough resources to the Transformation effort. AdvertisementSince the July fines, Citi has faced mounting pressure. A few weeks later, Fraser was dogged by questions in an earnings call about the bank's regulatory fate.
Persons: hasn't, Donald Trump's, bode, Jane Fraser, , Wells, Mike Mayo, Trump, Michael Hsu, Jerome Powell, Stephen Biggar, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Fraser, Vivek Juneja Organizations: Citi, Service, Wednesday, Federal Reserve, Currency, Trump's, OCC, Economic, of New, Republican, Argus Research Locations: of New York
A one-kilogram gold bar sits at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in this arranged photograph in London, U.K., on Wednesday, July 29, 2020. Gold prices touched a more than three-week low on Thursday, as the dollar strengthened after Donald Trump's win in the U.S. presidential election, while focus was also on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later in the day. Spot gold fell 0.1% to $2,656.34 per ounce, as of 0327 GMT, after hitting its lowest level since Oct. 15 earlier in the session. Bullion hit a record high of $2,790.15 last week and has lost more than $130 since then. Still expect prices to hit $3,000 next year," said Peter Fung, head of dealing at Wing Fung Precious Metals.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Bullion, Trump, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Peter Fung Organizations: Gold Investments, U.S, Asia Pacific, Metals Locations: London, Asia
A pedestrian crosses the streets in front of The Bank of England illuminated by a ray of sunlight, in central London, on February 12, 2024. LONDON — The Bank of England is widely expected to cut interest rates Thursday, when policymakers deliver their first monetary policy decision following Labour's bumper budget announcement last week. The BOE is forecast to lower rates by 25 basis points for the second time this year, bringing its key rate to 4.75%. Policymakers had signaled a "gradual approach" to cuts after holding rates steady at their September meeting. The Federal Reserve on Thursday will also deliver its latest interest rate decision following the conclusion of the U.S. presidential election, having previously cut by 50 basis points in September.
Persons: BOE, Goldman Sachs, Rachel Reeves Organizations: The Bank of England, LONDON, Bank of England, Finance, Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed will likely cut rates again in December, says DoubLine Capital's Jeffrey GundlachJeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine Capital CEO and CIO, joins CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to discuss his reaction to the Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates by a quarter point.
Persons: DoubLine Capital's Jeffrey Gundlach Jeffrey Gundlach Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference following the Nov. 6-7, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee meeting at William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building in Washington, D.C., on Nov. 7, 2024. ET, market pricing pointed toward a 67% chance of another quarter-point cut in December and a 33% chance of a pause that month, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The probability of a quarter-point December rate cut rose to more than 70% following the meeting, while the chances of a pause slipped to nearly 29%. Future rate probabilities found in the CME FedWatch Tool are derived from trading in 30-day fed funds futures contracts. Meanwhile, the odds that the Federal Reserve would skip an interest rate cut in January was around 71%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal Locations: Washington ,, U.S
To lower housing costs, Trump has said he would allow homes to be built on federally protected land, something that could help increase the supply of homes in places like Nevada and Arizona. TaxesTrump has proposed a number of tax cuts, including a complete elimination of the federal income tax. Those cuts lowered the corporate tax rate to 21% from 35%, reduced individual income tax rates, and increased the standard deduction. That could create havoc for workers and consumers and reduce the amount of income taxes the federal government brings in. About 40% of Social Security recipients pay federal income taxes, typically because they have other sources of income that raise them above a certain threshold where they are required to pay income tax, according to the Social Security Administration.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , ” Trump, , Decker, Matt Priest, , Priest, It’s, He’s, hasn’t, Immigration Trump, Jim Tobin, Trump’s Organizations: Trump, Chicago Economic, Companies, National Bureau of Economic Research, Footwear Distributors, Retailers, U.S, Federal Reserve, Immigration, Business, Pew Research Center, NBC News, National Association of Home Builders, NBC, University of New, University of Pennsylvania, Social Security, Social, Social Security Administration Locations: U.S, China, Nevada, Arizona, Alaska, Saudi Arabia, Russia, University of New Hampshire
The Federal Reserve likely will stick to the business at hand when it wraps up its meeting Thursday with another interest rate cut, but will have its eye on the future against a backdrop that suddenly has gotten a lot more complicated. The focus, though, will turn to what's ahead for Chair Jerome Powell and his Fed colleagues as they navigate a shifting economy — and the political earthquake of Donald Trump's stunning victory in the presidential race. So while the immediate action will be to stay the course and enact the cut, which equals 25 basis points, the market's attention likely will turn to what the committee and Powell have to say about the future. The fed funds rate, which sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending but often influences consumer debt as well, is currently targeted in a range between 4.75%-5.0%. Market pricing currently favors another quarter-point cut in December, followed by a January pause then multiple reductions through 2025.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump's, Powell, Krishna Guha, Guha Organizations: Federal Reserve, Evercore ISI
European stocks are heading for a lower open Wednesday as global markets focus on the vote count following the U.S. presidential election. Global markets are focusing on the results emerging from key battleground states that are expected to determine the winner of the presidential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Trump won the electoral vote heavy prizes of Texas and Florida, as well as battleground states of Georgia and North Carolina. Republicans are expected to regain their majority control of the U.S. Senate in 2025, according to NBC News. U.S. stock futures rose sharply in overnight trading as investors started to speculate that Trump could have an edge in the presidential race.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris Organizations: U.S, France's CAC, IG, Global, NBC News, U.S . Senate, NBC, Republicans, Federal Locations: U.S, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, New York, California, Virginia, Asia, Pacific
Former President Donald Trump arrives for his campaign rally at the Trump National Doral Golf Club in Doral, Florida, on July 9, 2024. Getting that money required him to make big promises pertaining to the crypto industry. "For too long our government has violated the cardinal rule that every bitcoiner knows by heart: Never sell your bitcoin," Trump said during his keynote speech. Trump pledged to maintain the current level of bitcoin holdings that the U.S. has amassed from seizing assets from financial criminals. "On day one, I will fire Gary Gensler," Trump said, referencing the Joe Biden-appointed SEC chairman who has taken an aggressive approach to crypto regulation.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Raedle, Elon Musk, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick, Trump, MicroStrategy, Gary Gensler, Joe Biden, Gensler, Crypto, haven't, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Bitcoin, Jerome Powell Organizations: Trump National Doral Golf Club, Getty, Republican, Strategic, White, U.S . Marshals Service, U.S . Securities, Exchange, SEC, Trump, Lago Club, Riot, Marathon Digital Holdings, Radical Communist, Federal Reserve Locations: Doral , Florida, Nashville, United States of America, Germany, America, Palm Beach , Florida, China, Russia, USA
Mortgage rates rose again last week, pulling demand from both the refinance and purchase markets. Total mortgage application volume dropped 10.8% compared to the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted index. Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home decreased 5% for the week and were just 2% higher than the same week one year ago. Mortgage rates, however, are pricing some buyers out again, and concern over the economy and the election may have some sitting on the sidelines right now. Mortgage rates were essentially flat to start this week, and whatever the results, or nonresults of the election, will surely play into recent volatility.
Persons: Joel Kan, Kan Organizations: Mortgage, Federal Reserve Locations: Alhambra , California
The S&P 500 has an outstanding track record after major rallies in the first 10 months. Here's why history and other key catalysts are on the market's side, according to Truist. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMore than seven decades' worth of data suggest that US stocks will end 2024 on a high note. Drawdowns are inevitable, as Lerner noted that the S&P 500 typically pulls back by 5% or more three times per year.
Persons: Stocks, , that's, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Federal, Fed
Detailed below is how a second Trump presidency is expected to impact American wallets. Trump's plan to cut the corporate tax rate is generally viewed as bullish for earnings, particularly for the consumer-discretionary, communication-services, and financial sectors. Further, if Trump's presidency is inflationary and leads to interest-rate hikes, that would hit housing affordability in the form of higher mortgage rates, which track the Federal Reserve's benchmark. AdvertisementThe former president has also said he plans to extend his slew of tax cuts from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — also known as the "Trump tax cut." Trump's plan for universal tariffs is seen as offsetting a positive tax impact and would be especially costly for lower-earning Americans.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump's, Trump, bitcoin, Vance Organizations: Trump, Service, Biden, White
"The expectation among bond traders coming into the election was that rates would move higher in the event of a Trump victory and especially a red sweep. "The builder stocks are highly sensitive to mortgage rates and mortgage rate expectations. Big builders have been buying down mortgage rates for their customers, but that has been cutting into their margins. Mortgage rates don't follow the Fed, but do react to the central bank's thinking on the economy. Stronger-than-expected economic reports in September and October caused bond yields, and consequently mortgage rates, to move higher.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matthew Graham, Horton, PulteGroup, Lowe's, John Burns, Trump, Carl Harris, Graham Organizations: Mortgage News, Trump, . Housing, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors Locations: U.S, D.R
Markets: The post-election rally on Wall Street continued into afternoon trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping 3.4%, or roughly 1,450 points, and the S & P 500 advancing 2.4%. It's worth noting, the stock market was reacting like Jim Cramer said it would in his Sunday column . The one thing markets hate is uncertainty, and Wednesday's rally can be attributed, in part, to relief that Wall Street professionals and individual investors alike know where they stand and what to expect from the country's next president. Bond yields move inversely to prices, and a basis point is equal to 0.01%. "You have to be very careful to respect the bond market if you do any buying today," Jim said.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Morgan Stanley, Jim, It's, Yun Li, Trump, Harris, Jerome Powell's, we'll, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ., Wall, Dow Jones, Trump, Republican, NBC, Senate, NBC News, Wells, BlackRock, Energy, Coterra Energy, Honeywell, Federal, White, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Bros, Moderna, Barrick Gold, Halliburton, Hershey, Air Products, Chemicals, Warner Bros ., Jim Cramer's Charitable
Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, , Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai
(Higher interest rates tend to boost the value of a currency by attracting more capital from abroad as investors seek bigger returns.) “Investors are bracing for tariffs… which will push up the price of imported goods for American shoppers,” she wrote in a note Wednesday. The pain of Trump’s tariffs will be felt far beyond US borders. “We also believe that Trump could decide to implement even higher tariffs on economies that run large trade surpluses with the US,” BMI analysts wrote in a note Wednesday. “Donald Trump’s economic course will pose major problems for Germany and the European Union,” the institute said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves, , Trump’s, Trump, ” Nomura, Philip Shaw, Ellie Henderson, Streeter, Anthony Kettle, , Spencer Platt, “ Donald Trump’s Organizations: London CNN, Republican, Senate, CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, , RBC Global Asset Management, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Port, Getty, European Union, Ifo Institute for Economic Research Locations: United States, Mexico, China, Germany, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Newark, New Jersey, Munich
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