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A Trump reelection in November poses the biggest looming risk to the world economy, Nouriel Roubini warned. A second Trump presidency could end up making inflation and the national debt problem even worse, Roubini said. AdvertisementTrump being reelected might be the biggest looming threat to the global economy, according to "Dr. Doom" economist Nouriel Roubini. Advertisement"With private and public debts high and rising, that would introduce the specter of a financial crisis," Roubini warned. In 2022, he warned markets of a coming stagflationary-debt crisis, which could spark a painful recession and 30% plunge in stocks.
Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Trump, Roubini, , Doom, Trump's, Powell Organizations: Trump, Service, Project Syndicate, Commerce, Bank of America, Bloomberg Locations: Ukraine, Gaza, China
Here's a look at the top 20 stock gainers in the past month and where consensus analyst price targets imply they're heading next, based on the CNBC Pro Stock Screener tool. Chipmaker Nvidia notched a 24% gain in the past month, and analyst consensus price targets call for nearly 9% upside ahead. NVDA mountain 2024-02-01 Nvidia stock. Over the past month, the stock popped more than 41%. CEG mountain 2024-02-01 Constellation Energy stock.
Persons: Citi's Chris Danely, Meta, Meta's, Justin Post, Anthony Crowdell, Crowdell Organizations: Dow Jones, Constellation Energy, CNBC, Stock, Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, Bank of America, Mizuho Securities, Treasury Locations: stoke
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRep. Gallagher: China'a strategy is to pit Americans against each other and stoke internal tensionsHouse Select Committee on China Chairman Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-Wis.) and Ranking Member Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-Ill.) join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the pair's recent trip to Taiwan, how to combat the auto competition by China, state of politics in Washington, and more.
Persons: Gallagher, Mike Gallagher, Raja Krishnamoorthi Locations: China, Taiwan, Washington
Negotiators are working on an agreement for six funding bills, four of which expire Friday. But a partial shutdown is still not out of the question. A partial shutdown would impact several government agencies, including agriculture, Veterans Affairs, transportation and housing. What a partial shutdown looks likeIf the four funding bills do expire Friday, their corresponding agencies would shut down Saturday at 12:01 a.m. A partial shutdown would leave those agencies' roughly 100,000 federal employees without pay for any new work during the shutdown, whether they are furloughed or not.
Persons: Chuck Schumer, Mike Johnson, Joe Biden, Johnson, Athina Lawson, Bobby Kogan, Biden, Kogan Organizations: U.S, Capitol, Washington , DC, Lawmakers, Congressional, White, Congress, Veterans Affairs, Social Security, D.C, Department of Housing, Urban, Agriculture, Rural Development Locations: Washington ,
No country officially recognizes Transnistria, where Russia has kept a steadily dwindling military presence for decades, now standing at around 1,500 troops. Before Wednesday, the congress’ most recent meeting was in 2006, when it passed a referendum calling to join Russia. When Transnistrian politicians unexpectedly announced a new meeting, analysts suggested this could lead to fresh calls for unification with Russia. Russia’s war in Ukraine has had a profound effect on Transnistria’s economy. Minzarari said the dispute had created opportunities for Russian authorities to “fish in troubled waters.”Why is Russia interested in Moldova?
Persons: Vladimir Putin, , Daniel Voda, , Maia Sandu, Dumitru Minzarari, ” Minzarari, Minzarari, Gen, Rustam Minnekaev, Lenin, Anton Polyakov, Putin, Vadim Kranoselsky, ” Ben Dubow Organizations: CNN —, European Union, Kremlin, Novosti, Moldova’s, Transnistria’s, Deputies, Russia, Moldovan, Russia’s, Ministry, CNN, EU, Carnegie Endowment, International, Baltic Defense College, Military Region, Institute for, RIA Novosti, Center for Locations: Moldova, Transnistria, Soviet Union, Ukraine, Moscow, Soviet, Moldovan, Russia, Tiraspol, Odesa, Maj, Kherson, Russian, US, Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kyiv, Transnistrian
China’s Hacker Network: What to Know
  + stars: | 2024-02-22 | by ( J. Edward Moreno | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Leaked documents posted online last week show how the Chinese government is working with private hackers to obtain sensitive information from foreign governments and companies. The hackers worked for a security firm called I-Soon, part of a network of spies for hire working closely with Beijing. The leak showed how China’s top surveillance agency, the Ministry of Public Security, has increasingly recruited contractors to attack government targets and private companies as part of a cyberespionage campaign in Asia. Its hackers were able to get private information including:records from a Vietnamese airline, with the identities of travelers. I-Soon is one of hundreds of private companies that support China’s hacking efforts through the sale of espionage services and stolen data.
Organizations: Ministry of Public Security, Facebook Locations: Beijing, Asia, Washington, United States, Vietnam
But MAGA Media personalities like Sean Hannity quickly shifted into hyperdrive last year when a supposedly “highly credible” FBI informant claimed to have smoking gun evidence of the conspiracy. The emergence of a confidential FBI informant coursed through right-wing media, where talking heads and outlets spotlighted the claims as damning evidence of criminal wrongdoing. Those actions were then celebrated in right-wing media. The charges dealt a blow to the narrative Fox News had championed on its air and Republicans had pressed in Congress. The stunning demise of the claim is just the latest in a larger pattern from Fox News and the broader right-wing media ecosystem in which it operates.
Persons: New York CNN — “, Biden, Joe Biden —, Hunter, MAGA, Sean Hannity, James Comer, Jim Jordan, Hannity, Comer, Alexander Smirnov, Harry Reid, David Weiss, Donald Trump, Smirnov, , Joe Biden, Weiss, It’s Organizations: New York CNN, GOP, Fox News, incredulity, FBI, Media, Harry, Harry Reid International, Burisma, Fox, Republicans, , MAGA Media Locations: New York, Ukrainian, hyperdrive, stoke, Las Vegas
Your next Tesla could be made by China
  + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Aaron Mok | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Elon Musk invited the suppliers to Mexico as part of plans for cheaper Teslas, Bloomberg reported. That move could be stoking concerns among US officials and EV makers over China's influence. China has a "highly organized, highly efficient supply chain," Venkatesh Prasad, chief innovation officer at the Center for Automotive Research, told Bloomberg. AdvertisementTesla, which also makes cars in the US, and other US-based EV makers may also be feeling the heat from competitors. Mary Lovely, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, told Bloomberg.
Persons: Elon Musk, , Tesla's, Venkatesh Prasad, Tesla, stoke, Katherine Tai, Tai, Biden, EVs, China's, Tesla's Musk, Mary Lovely Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Center for Automotive Research, Business, Trump, Chinese Communist Party, US Trade Rep, Nikkei, EV, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: Mexico, Monterrey, Shanghai, Mexican, Nuevo Leon, Austin, China, Beijing, Washington, DC, United States
A Crucial Inflation Report Card
  + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Andrew Ross Sorkin | Ravi Mattu | Bernhard Warner | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Inflation back in the spotlightAn S&P 500 on a five-week winning streak. And growing consumer and business optimism. Cooling inflation, which would stoke investor hopes that the Fed would soon lower borrowing costs. The prospects of that economic ideal will be tested on Tuesday with the release of fresh Consumer Price Index data. reading of 2.9 percent for January on an annualized basis, its smallest gain since April 2021.
Persons: it’s Organizations: Fed Locations: U.S
Wall Street is forecasting a better backdrop for companies that want to go public. While lower rates can stoke the IPO market, fewer rate cuts because the economy remains strong with cooling inflation should still be viewed as favorable. The IPO market and mergers and acquisitions (M & A) activity started to sour when the Fed began hiking interest rates back in March 2022. A strong IPO market overall is expected to also benefit burgeoning biotechnology firms, which would mean more business for Danaher. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: That's, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Danaher, Morgan, Morgan Stanley didn't, Ted Pick's, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley's, Raymond James, , Jim Cramer's, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Federal, stoke, UST, Goldman, Fed, Companies, IB, Danaher, Biotech, Silicon Valley Bank, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: U.S, Silicon
A wave of retiring Boomers means the generation will soon be at "peak burden" to the economy. It's the Baby Boomers, who are aging fast and approaching their "peak burden" years in regard to their drag on the economy and the resources of younger generations. Advertisement"The peak burden is [when] all the baby boomers have hit retirement," Millar told Business Insider. And it isn't the case that Baby Boomers will derail economic growth nearly as much as, say, a full-blown recession, according to Dean Baker, an economist who described the Baby Boomers as a "time bomb" in a 1998 paper. In 2022, empty-nester baby boomers owned 28% of large homes in the US, a Redfin analysis found, double the share of millennial families.
Persons: , Zers, Jonathan Millar, Millar, Dean Baker, That's, Boomers, David Rosenberg, Baker, Gen Organizations: Boomers, Service, Barclays, National Association of Realtors, Chamber of Commerce, Rosenberg Research, Social, Insurance Trust Fund, Social Security Administration Locations: Millennials
Costco and TJX Companies should be able to manage the emerging transition to deflation by leveraging their deep value propositions to get customers to buy more. Average sale prices on other items like TVs have been lower while unit sales have gone higher. Membership fee revenue is some of the glue that allows Costco to keep prices so low. Costco can boost sales in either scenario by "encouraging its members to buy more items to get more savings," Feldman said. Like Costco, Feldman said the off-price retailer would need to increase revenue either through price or number of units.
Persons: won't, Joe Feldman, Jim Cramer, Rich Galanti, Galanti, Feldman, It's, They'll, Jefferies, TJX, We'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Robert Nickelsberg Organizations: Costco, TJX, Marshalls, Federal, Fed, Telsey Advisory, Kirkland, CNBC, Costco Wholesale, Getty Locations: Maxx, stoke, TJX, Colchester , Vermont
Apple will report earnings after the bell
  + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Kif Leswing | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Apple reports fiscal first-quarter earnings after the bell. Investors will be closely watching to see if Apple guides to growth again in the current quarter. Some analysts believe Apple's iPhone revenue may look good in a soft market quarter, outperforming rivals that are also seeing weak demand. But a strong quarter of iPhone sales over the holiday season could mean a seasonally weak March quarter. "We remain comfortable with our current assumption of muted uptake for the device under 1% of Apple sales this year and next," Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett wrote in a note Wednesday.
Persons: Tim Cook, Samik Chatterjee, Apple hasn't, Apple, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, IPhones, Chatterjee, Rosenblatt, Barton Crockett Organizations: Apple, Management, Vision, JPMorgan, Apple Watch, Huawei, Amazon, Apple's, CNBC PRO Locations: Cupertino , California, China, F1Q24, U.S, F4Q, C4Q
A Tesla Model Y is seen on a Tesla car lot in Austin, Texas, on May 31, 2023. The Tesla Model Y will come with Hardware 4.0 (HW 4.0) free of charge when a customer purchases the car. Tesla upgraded the self-driving hardware on the Model Y car it sells in China, Elon Musk's automaker said on WeChat on Thursday, as it looks to boost sales and fend off rising competition from domestic players. The U.S. EV maker also launched new red, gray and silver colors for the Model Y in China. Tesla has brought HW 4.0 to the Model S and Model X cars in some markets.
Persons: Tesla, Elon, Warren Buffett Organizations: Tesla, Beta, stoke Locations: Austin , Texas, China, WeChat, U.S
This year may bring even more demand due to the explosion of the “mob wives” aesthetic on TikTok. In 2021, Israel became the first country in the world to enact a ban on new fur sales, while Italy and Norway announced they would stop fur farming. ‘Mob wives’ influenceOn TikTok, trends can rise and fall within a matter of weeks, if not days, and “mob wife” is no exception. In the coming months, Spiber said they will partner with a number of brands to develop custom fur products. Leopard print is another key tenet of the 'mob wife' style.
Persons: CNN — Edwards, Edwards, Lowell Furs ’, , Paul Matsumoto, Natalie Bloomingdale, Raymond Hall, , Matsumoto, it’s, Porter, Versace, Prada, Neiman Marcus, Michael Kors, Israel, François, Henri Pinault, Angela Raiola, Drea de Matteo, Adriana La Cerva, Victoria Gotti, John " Junior, Gotti, Ray Tamarra, Mary Altaffer, Mandy Lee, Lee, Emmanuel Dunand, Kayla Marci, “ We’ve, Spiber, Victor Virgile, Callie Clayton, PJ Smith, Smith Organizations: The, Fashion, CNN, Lowell, HBO’s, Everett, Dolce, Gabbana's, Humane Society of, Business Locations: California, Beverly Hills, Edwards, Dua Lipa, New York, Bloomingdale, Canada, Italy, Norway, Paris, AFP, Zara, Milan, Spiber, United States
A look at the Neuralink brain chip. Apple is set to launch its Vision Pro headset on Friday in what it describes as its big foray into "spatial computing." That space is essentially your head, with the Vision Pro built to create a canvas that emerges before your eyes while you wear it. question, the Vision Pro is also a response to the growing suite of headgear that Mark Zuckerberg has been creating at Meta. Products include the mixed reality Meta Quest Pro and Meta Quest 3, which, like the Vision Pro, are designed to be worn over your head.
Persons: , they've, Elon Musk, Musk, Neuralink's, Stephen Hawking, Neuralink, Mark Zuckerberg Organizations: Service, Business, Samsung, IDC, Welfare, China's Ministry of Industry, Information Technology, stoke, Apple, Meta, Products, company's Locations: Silicon, Neuralink's
Cryptocurrency investors spent much of 2023 waiting for good news. By the time news broke on Jan. 10 that 11 new bitcoin ETFs would begin trading, crypto investors were taking a victory lap, having bid the coin's price up by 155% in calendar year 2023. "They don't have the ability to put these bitcoin ETFs into client discretionary portfolios, yet," Sigel says. Expect more new crypto ETFs, too — and in different flavors. Experts say these might be as simple as portfolios that combine bitcoin exposure with mainstream investments, such as those in the S&P 500.
Persons: , Brian Vendig, That's, Matthew Sigel, Sigel, Todd Rosenbluth Organizations: SEC, stoke, MJP Wealth Locations: Westport , Connecticut
Thank the "Magnificent Seven" stocks for the S & P 500 's bounce to record levels in 2024 . "It's a bet on secular growth," said Truist's Keith Lerner. "AI stocks … are going bonkers," he said. "People see a secular growth story even with all the different type of cross-currents in the economy, interest rates and markets," he said. "However, strong secular tailwinds from Gen AI could extend the rally well beyond the typical 2-year up-cycles, in our view."
Persons: Truist's Keith Lerner, It's, Adam Sarhan, Lerner, , Ed Yardeni, Raymond James, Srini Pajjuri, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla, Investments, Devices, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Semiconductor, Yardeni, SOX, stoke
Meta Platforms is planning to pay Nvidia billions of dollars this year for its cutting-edge AI technology. Nvidia's stock has been off to a blistering start this year, up more than 20%, including a 3% gain Friday. Estimates on Nvidia's share of the AI training market vary, but is generally thought to be well above 80%. Still, Nvidia's stock more than tripled in 2023, leading the S & P 500, and has so far been a big winner in 2024. As Meta secures more AI chips, they will be placed in data centers where their computational capabilities will be utilized.
Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Meta, they've, Jim Cramer, Wells, Wells Fargo, Aaron Rakers, Jim, Eaton, We've, Jim Cramer's, Facebook Mark Zuckerberg, Kenzo Tribouillard Organizations: Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Taiwan Semi, Meta, Apple, Facebook, Reality Labs, Eaton Corp, CNBC, European Commission, AFP, Getty Locations: Taiwan, Wells Fargo, Brussels
Investment in the space sector bounced back last year, rebounding closer to the record high of 2021, according to a report Tuesday by New York-based Space Capital. The firm's fourth-quarter report found that space infrastructure companies brought in $2.6 billion of private investment during the period. Top raises during the fourth quarter included funds announced by space companies Firefly Aerospace, Ursa Major, D-Orbit, Stoke Space and True Anomaly. The quarterly Space Capital report divides investment in the industry into three technology categories: infrastructure, distribution and application. Space infrastructure companies have been resilient through the recent downturn.
Persons: Chad Anderson, Anderson Organizations: Infrastructure, Space Capital, Firefly Aerospace, Ursa, Space, CNBC Locations: New York
Coming off a wonderfully surprising stock market global boom of 2023, this year could be anybody's guess. Utility-scale solar projects are growing around the world, and Wall Street firm T.D. There is too much money chasing solar projects, someone has to win. Here's the thinking for 2024: global oil demand is going to grow, but given China's rolling economic pain it may increase by less than some expect. Russia remains robust on global markets despite sanctions, and OPEC may have done most of what it can to keep its member and allies production levels lower to balance out global markets.
Persons: Brendan Mcdermid, I'm, there's, we've, SolarEdge, T.D, Cowen Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, NextEra Energy Partners, SolarEdge, Investors, U.S, Nat, Citigroup Locations: New York City, U.S, Brazil, Guyana, Russia, OPEC, China, Saudi Arabia
War and climate change are the main risks that could threaten aggressive Fed rate cuts, Macquarie said. That's because conflicts in the Middle East and a parched Panama Canal risk creating supply shocks that stoke inflation. Sign up for our newsletter to get the latest on the culture & business of sustainability — delivered weekly to your inbox. "War and climate change are becoming the main risk to the view that the Fed cuts aggressively," analysts led by Thierry Wizman wrote in a note on Friday. Such turmoil can end up pinching consumers because the Red Sea is a major shipping artery — the Suez Canal, which connects the Red Sea to the Mediterranean Sea, carries about 12% of global trade.
Persons: Macquarie, Thierry Wizman, Wizman Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Drewry, . Shipping, Maersk, CMA CGA, UK, International Monetary Fund Locations: Panama, Red, Africa, Yemen, Suez
DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Squelching speculation of a third-party presidential run, former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan on Sunday endorsed Nikki Haley for the GOP nomination, saying he feels she “is the strongest chance” for Republicans to win in November. Hogan, one of his party’s fiercest Trump critics, had fueled speculation that he was preparing for his own third-party bid when he stepped down from the leadership of No Labels. Hogan told AP he had no interest in a “kamikaze mission.”In the past two presidential elections, Hogan said he did not vote for Trump, the party nominee. Hogan said he wrote in the name of his father, former U.S. Rep. Larry Hogan Sr., in 2016 and the late President Ronald Reagan in 2020.
Persons: Larry Hogan, Nikki Haley, Hogan, CNN's, , Donald Trump, Haley, ” Hogan, Joe Biden, Ron DeSantis, Trump, , Never, , Larry Hogan Sr, Ronald Reagan, ___ Meg Kinnard Organizations: DES, Maryland Gov, GOP, Republicans, Union, Iowa, Trump, Associated Press, Democratic, Florida Gov, Des Moines Register, NBC, DeSantis, Republican Party, , Never Trump Republicans, AP, U.S . Rep Locations: DES MOINES, Iowa, CNN's “ State, New Hampshire, South Carolina
Inflation looks to be stuck above the Fed's target rate, top economist Mohamed El-Erian said. If the Fed lowers inflation to 2% too quickly, it risks "crushing" the economy, El-Erian has warned. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's inflation fight has hit a wall, and central bankers can't lower prices in the economy any further without causing damage, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. El-Erian warned last year that inflation would likely get stuck around the 3%-4% mark, thanks to persistent pressures in the economy that will push prices higher, he said. Other commentators on Wall Street have warned of the possibility of resurgent inflation as price pressures in the economy linger.
Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, Organizations: Service, Allianz, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, CPI, stoke, El, New York Fed, Cleveland Fed Locations: El, That's, Red
CNN —The founder and boss of gambling company Bet365 earned a salary of around $281 million (£221 million) in the last financial year – ending March 26, 2023. Denise Coates, the joint-chief executive and majority shareholder of Bet365, also earned at least 50% of the company’s $127 million (£100 million) in dividends on top of her $281 million salary, company accounts published on Sunday show. Her base salary is an increase of about $10 million compared to last year, even as Bet365 made pre-tax losses of around $77 million (£60.2 million). The Coates family was also estimated by the Sunday Times to be the UK’s second-highest tax payer in 2023, contributing around $585 million (£460 million). Last year, the club incurred pre-tax losses of $15.8 million (£12.4 million).
Persons: Bet365, Denise Coates, Coates, BBC –, Luke Hildyard, , Nathan Stirk Organizations: CNN, BBC, Pay, Trent, Denise Coates Foundation, Sunday Times, Forbes, Bet365, Stoke City Football Club, Commission Locations: Bet365, English, Stoke, Trent
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