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This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. CNBC's election liveblogAs results for the U.S. presidential election start trickling in, CNBC is covering updates live. Markets rally as investors await resultsU.S. markets experienced a broad rally on Tuesday. Individual sectors' movements, however, are more sensitive to the sitting president because their policy often touches on specific parts of the economy.
Persons: Europe's, Hugo Boss, Stocks, It's, doesn't, Bob Pisani, Crypto's, Coinbase Organizations: CNBC, U.S, NBC Locations: Asia, China, U.S
BTIG's list of biggest Trump winners and losers
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In addition, he has floated plans to reduce corporate tax rates to as low as 15% from 21%, and eliminate income tax on tips, Social Security and overtime pay. Those include reduced individual income tax rates and increased alternative minimum tax (AMT) exemption amounts. These stocks are among those BTIG sees as the biggest winners and losers from Trump's victory. Winners M & A and consolidation A Trump presidency likely means a more supportive environment for corporate consolidation, Boltansky said. That would be positive for names like HealthEquity, which BTIG rates a buy, and Webster Financial , he noted.
Persons: Donald Trump, BTIG, Isaac Boltansky, Trump, Boltansky, CoreCivic, MicroStrategy, Webster Organizations: White, ACA, Social Security, Trump, Discover Financial, Discover, Republican White, Geo, United States Marshals Service, Federal Bureau of Prisons, Geo Group, Webster Financial, HealthEquity, Everest Group Locations: United States, China
While many Silicon Valley VCs and founders aren't huge Trump fans, their industry thrives when startups are getting acquired or going public quickly. The Biden administration clamped down heavily on tech M&A, so Trump's win could be a financial boon for the sector. Stephen Hays, the founder and managing partner of What if Ventures, said money is already moving again. AdvertisementBig Tech returns to the tableAs president, Trump could roll back some of the antitrust policies that his opponent would have continued. "People are keeping to themselves and just getting on with their business," said Conrad Burke, a managing partner of MetaVC Partners.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Reid Hoffman, Laurene Powell, Vinod Khosla, Harris, Donald Trump's, aren't, Biden, There's, Jordan Nof, Stephen Hays, Trump, Elon, Lina Khan's, Lulu Cheng Meservey, Y, Lina Khan, Kevin Dietsch, Brandon Brooks, — Trump's, JD Vance —, Chris Farmer, Mason Angel, Louis Lehlot, Lardner, Michael Greeley, Crypto, hasn't, Gary Gensler, Bitcoin, Brian Garrett, Garrett, Jenny Fielding's, Fielding, Conrad Burke, Leslie Feinzaig, bundlers, Kamala, I've Organizations: Democrat, White House, Trump, Tusk Venture Partners, Ventures, Tech, Federal Trade, Investors, Foley, Big Tech, Markets, Flare Capital, Biden, SEC, Crosscut Ventures, Google, Microsoft, MetaVC Partners Locations: Europe
Several stocks could rise if market volatility scales back after Tuesday's U.S. presidential election, according to a Bank of America analysis. Stock market volatility climbed ahead of the election, with the Cboe Volatility Index , known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," crossing 23 on Thursday. But with the winner of the election decided, the VIX has eased to around 16 on Wednesday. To react to this scenario, Bank of America screened for several lower-quality stocks inversely correlated to the VIX that could see a pop in their share prices. Morgan Stanley revised its 2024-25 revenue estimates on NXP lower, expecting a period of stagnation in the automotive semiconductor market.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Brandon Berman Organizations: U.S, Bank of America, Semiconductors, Builders, United Rentals, Autodesk, financials Citigroup, Blackstone, Citigroup Locations: Netherlands, Europe, Americas
Two stocks have outperformed the S & P 500 every November when elections have been held over the past three decades — regardless of the outcome, according to a CNBC Pro study. Electrical and industrials giant Eaton Corporation and Sweden's second-largest lender, Svenska Handelsbanken , are the two stocks that beat the U.S. benchmark in November every election year. CNBC Pro screened for stocks currently in the MSCI World Index that gained more than the S & P 500 — or lost less than the index — in November of every election year since 1988. Every time is different Historical performance is never a guarantee of future performance, and stocks often move for idiosyncratic reasons. This year, for instance, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a decision on interest rates on Thursday, which could also influence the trajectory of stocks.
Persons: Brett Linzey, Mizuho, Eaton, Arctic's Roy Tilley, Henry Allen, Pfizer's, Barack Obama, Allen Organizations: CNBC, Eaton Corporation, Svenska, CNBC Pro, Eaton Corp, Mizuho, Svenska Handelsbanken, Arctic Securities, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Locations: U.S, Industrials, Sweden, Greece, Europe
As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Donald Trump, Tesla, Elon Musk, Trump, Gary Gensler, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: NBC, Senate, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Trump, Tesla, Club, Justice Department, Apple, DOJ, FTC, Microsoft, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, SEC, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: China, Taiwan, Mexico
CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed Wednesday's market action, saying the session was shaped by traders who were relieved that the election was over and were getting ready for President-elect Donald Trump's administration. "The fact that we already know the winner is a huge win for the stock market in itself, which makes it a magnet for new money. The electric vehicle maker's CEO Elon Musk has been one the most vocal Trump supporters among his billionaire peers, and Cramer suggested the president-elect is known to reward his allies. "The ironic bottom line is it'll be tough to exceed the Biden regime when it comes to the stock market. Biden was no friend to stocks, but the market went up anyway," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump's, we'd, Cramer, Elon Musk, Trump, Musk, Biden Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Tech, Trump, Biden, Nielsen Locations: Tesla
Even Warren Buffett thinks his stock is too expensive
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( John Towfighi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
CNN —Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has over $325 billion in cash on hand. Berkshire Hathaway was a net seller of stocks across its portfolio that quarter and grew its cash-on-hand to record amounts. Berkshire Hathaway’s actions signal to investors that its stock might be overvalued, Cathy Seifert, an analyst at CFRA Research, told CNN. Buffett will repurchase shares when he thinks the price is “below Berkshire’s intrinsic value, conservatively determined,” according to Berkshire Hathaway’s regulatory filings. “All this suggests that Buffett has serious concerns about the economic backdrop and the current state of the stock market,” Mould said in a note.
Persons: CNN — Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Cathy Seifert, they’re, ’ ” Seifert, He’s, ” Robert Korajczyk, Aswath, , ” Damodaran, “ They’ve, Russ Mould, AJ Bell, ” Mould, ” Korajczyk Organizations: CNN, Berkshire, Securities, Exchange, CFRA Research, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway’s, Northwestern’s Kellogg School of Management, NYU Stern School of Business Locations: Berkshire, , ,
It is currently 5% off its all-time high, after trading near it last week. Stocks tied to the price of the cryptocurrency got a boost in earlier trading during regular stock market hours. Investors are expecting bitcoin trading to be choppy until a clear winner is declared. "Expect bitcoin – and crypto more broadly – to be choppy in the days ahead … until we have definitive election results." "For now, everyone we've spoken to is keeping their powder dry," said James Davies, CEO at crypto futures and options trading platform Crypto Valley Exchange.
Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Ryan Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Harris, Julio Moreno, James Davies, I've Organizations: U.S, Metrics, Investors, Bitwise Asset Management, Trump, Federal
The U.S. presidential election takes place Tuesday as an ultra-tight campaign season ends. Under a Harris victory, Morgan Stanley sees retailers and clean energy stocks outperforming as the threat of higher tariffs lifts. Investors can keep track of these sectors through two ETFs: the SPDR S & P Retail ETF (XRT) and the Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) . ETFs tracking financials and the fossil fuel producers include the Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) and the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) . XLF XLE YTD mountain XLF and XLE year to date These funds could also see sharp moves as exit polls and election results are reported, if they show one candidate pulling ahead.
Persons: It's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Morgan Stanley, XRT, TAN, Wolfe, cryptocurrency, XLF, XLE, Bernstein Organizations: U.S, NBC, Wolfe Research, P Retail, Trump, Energy, eBay, EBAY
That’s why Trump, who closely follows the stock market and obsessed over it as president, should be nervous about the recent trend on Wall Street. If the market goes down, the incumbent party gets replaced,” Stovall told CNN in a phone interview Monday. Market indicator was right in 2016 and 2020Vice President Kamala Harris should feel relieved the market has seen solid gains. In 2016, the S&P 500 dipped 2.2% in the lead-up to Trump’s matchup with the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton. Yet there’s another market indicator that offers a reason for hope for the Harris camp.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, CFRA Research’s Sam Stovall, Trump, ” Stovall, , Stovall, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, Dwight Eisenhower, Adlai Stevenson, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Obama, Joe Biden, Hubert Humphrey, Richard Nixon, Harris, Humphrey, Jimmy Carter, Carter, , Doug Ramsey, Dow, We’re, ” Ramsey Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, , CNN, Lehman Brothers, AIG, Trump, Democratic, State, Democratic Party, Investment, Federal, Dow Jones Locations: New York, Chicago, Vietnam, Iran, Monday’s
S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Goldman Sachs predicts that a Trump win and Republican sweep of Congress would spark a 3% pop in the S&P 500. Even a Trump win and a divided Congress would cause about a 1.5% gain, the bank predicts. On the other hand, a Harris win with a divided Congress would cause a 1.5% drop in the S&P 500, the bank told its clients. The stock market staged a broad rally Tuesday before the election results were in with the S&P 500 gaining 1.2%, bringing the benchmark's 2024 gains to more than 21%.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Goldman Sachs, Harris, Trump, Jason Trennert, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, America, Investors, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Traders Locations: Kentucky, Indiana
If this week's presidential election has you nervously eyeing your finances, you're not alone. Consider research published earlier this year from Carson Research Group, which tracked the performance of the S&P 500 under every presidency since 1953. If you followed the same strategy, but only invested with Democrats, you'd have about $60,000. "If you got out of the market because you didn't like the person who was in office, you gave up some really great gains," says Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at the Carson Group. "However, the anxiety and fear that's coming from it — it's still worth thinking about addressing that directly."
Persons: Ryan Detrick, Dan Egan Organizations: Ottawa Hills High School, , Carson Research Group, Republican, you'd, Carson Locations: Grand Rapids , Michigan
Generally, a Trump win is seen as positive for financials given a higher likelihood of deregulation for companies in the space. Traditional oil and gas names are also likely to benefit under a second Trump presidency. One is made up of stocks that benefit after a Harris win; the other would outperform under a second Trump presidency. However, a Harris win is expected to keep current regulation measures in place, and possibly introduce new ones. Private equity giants KKR and Blackstone would also benefit under a Trump win.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Paul Gallant, Cowen, Gallant, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Daniel Clifton, Strategas, Andrew Garthwaite, Trump, Garthwaite, TAN, we've, Biden, Wells, Ike Boruchow, Boruchow, , Russell, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, Crypto, isn't, Nic Puckrin, bitcoin, Marcelli, Financials, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Lazard Organizations: Congress, U.S ., Trump, U.S . Trump, GOP, Democratic, CNBC Pro, Wall, Strategas, Enterprise, of America, Ford, UBS, Apple, Enphase Energy, Technologies Enphase, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Cadence Bank, Viking Therapeutics, Bureau, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Lazard, Private, KKR, Blackstone, Evercore Locations: Washington, of America Cleveland, Cleveland, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCyclical and defense stocks fluctuating on Trump vs. Harris win, says UBS' Maxwell GrinacoffMaxwell Grinacoff, head of U.S. equity derivatives research at UBS, weighs in on the impact of the U.S. election on stock markets.
Persons: Harris, Maxwell Grinacoff Maxwell Grinacoff Organizations: Trump, UBS
Only 22% of parents are "completely confident" in their ability to teach their children the basics of investing, the survey found, and they're looking to their kids' schools for help. All else being equal, 74% of parents said they would move their children to a different school if it offered financial education and investment courses. SIFMA with Wakefield Research polled 1,000 U.S. parents of students in grades K-12. Getting your child hands-on experience with investing is also a smart strategy, advisors say. Hands-on experience also gives children a chance to discuss with parents what investing means to them, she said.
Persons: , Melanie Mortimer, Lance Robert, Stacy Francis, Francis, Catherine Valega, Roth IRAs, Valega Organizations: SIFMA Foundation, Wakefield Research, Francis Financial, CNBC, Getty Images, Green Bee Advisory Locations: Los Angeles, New York, Getty Images Boston
New York CNN —Bernard “Bernie” Marcus, the billionaire Home Depot cofounder and a Republican megadonor, who in recent years became an outspoken supporter of former President Donald Trump, has died, the company announced Tuesday. “The entire Home Depot family is deeply saddened by the death of our cofounder Bernie Marcus,” The Home Depot said in a statement. The Home Depot got its start in Atlanta, a city where Marcus was a well-known philanthropist with his wife Billi. Some Trump opponents attempted to launch a boycott of The Home Depot in 2016 and in 2019 because of Marcus’ support of the Republican nominee for president. I don’t want to work — I’m too lazy, I’m too fat, I’m too stupid.’”“We used to have free speech here.
Persons: New York CNN — Bernard “ Bernie ” Marcus, Republican megadonor, Donald Trump, Bernie Marcus, , , Bernie, ” Marcus, Arthur Blank, Marcus, Blank, Handy, Billi, “ He’s, John McCain, Ron DeSantis, Marcus ’, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Republican, Rutgers University, Depot, Marcus Autism, Emory University, Georgia Aquarium, Trump, Fox News, Fox Business, The, Financial Times Locations: New York, Newark , New Jersey, California, Atlanta, Georgia, Florida, America
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bond, it's, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Federal Open Markets, Treasury, DuPont, Rogers Corporation, Devon Energy, Novo Nordisk, CVS Health, Howmet Aerospace, Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Celanese
The closest presidential races have brought stronger relief rallies, according to data from past election cycles analyzed by CNBC. The S&P 500 has gone on to gain around 1.5% on average between Election Day and the end of that respective calendar year, data from every presidential matchup since 1980 shows. That average performance shoots up to 3.9% when looking at just the tightest races from that period. NBC News' latest polling shows the contest is neck-and-neck between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris as Americans head to the polls on Tuesday. "Very close elections, like the one we have currently, are usually greeted with a market bounce, irrespective of who wins or the policies they introduce," TS Lombard economist Dario Perkins said in a note to clients.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Dario Perkins Organizations: CNBC, NBC
What happens to stocks during election week? In general, the market has a slightly bullish bent during election week, but you can slice it different ways. The average percentage change for the S & P 500 in the week of the election is up 0.7%, with the index gaining 63% of the time, according to Birinyi Associates. That is why the S & P 500 is only 2% below its historic high. S & P 500 earnings estimates Q3: +8.4% Oct. 1: +6.0% Q4: +10.7% Technology: +14.6% Source: LSE Seasonals are important as well The seasonal trend is very strong.
Persons: Phil Mackintosh, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Birinyi Associates, Nasdaq, Democrat, Republican, LSE
Early in-person voting for the 2024 US presidential election began in Virginia, South Dakota and Minnesota. - | Afp | Getty ImagesMany investors worry their investments may be affected by the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. Forward four-year returns were positive for Democrats in 11 out of 12 terms, compared to Republicans who had positive returns in nine out of 12. watch nowHowever, the presidential contest could usher in short-term volatility, particularly if a winner is not declared right away. Yet even with deregulation, record production and higher oil prices, the energy sector was down 8.4% during Trump's presidential term, according to Adam's research.
Persons: Mark Motley, Jimmy Carter, George W . Bush, Motley, Joseph Veranth, Veranth, Larry Adam, Raymond James . Long, Adam, Donald Trump Organizations: Bozeman Government, Afp, Getty, U.S, Morningstar, Democrats, Foster & Motley, Dana Investment, CNBC, Locations: Arlington , Virginia, Virginia , South Dakota, Minnesota, Cincinnati, Waukesha , Wisconsin, U.S
Goldman Sachs has modeled out some election outcomes, along with how the S & P 500 will react, ahead of the results. Trump wins and Republicans sweep A 25% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to rise 3%. Trump wins, but the government is divided A 30% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5%. This scenario will still be positive for markets, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5% afterward, the note read. However, investors could step in and buy the dip on the S & P 500, the firm said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris Organizations: U.S, Republicans, Trump, Republican, Nasdaq, Democratic Locations: Wednesday's, cyclicals
Kostin expects the S&P 500 equal-weighted index and mid-cap stocks to gain from a broadening market. Today, the 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 make up 36% of the entire index by market capitalization. Related storiesThis gap between the top S&P 500 performers and the rest of the index hasn't occurred since the dot-com bubble. "The evidence is strongly in support of the fact that growth rates for high revenue growth companies tend to fade," he added. For that reason, Kostin is expecting the S&P 500 equal-weight SPW index to outperform the market-cap-weighted S&P 500.
Persons: David Kostin, Kostin, , Goldman Sachs, Kostin isn't, that's, he's Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Intel, Microsoft, Cisco
With Election Day upon us, many investors are wondering how to, or if they even should, position their stock portfolios ahead of knowing who the next president will be. Indecision will hurt the stock market, not destroy it, but bruise it because the only thing markets really hate is uncertainty." Jim also wrote Sunday that the stock market will more than likely be just fine no matter who wins the presidency. Bottom line A quick and decisive presidential election outcome — one way or the other — is what's best for the stock market. Combination with Former President and Republican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump (L), and Vice President and Democratic Presidential Candidate Kamala Harris.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, That's, Joe Biden, Jim Cramer, Jim, we've, Barack Obama, Biden, George W, Bush, Richard Nixon, Jim Cramer's Organizations: NBC News, Democratic, Republican, Trump, JPMorgan, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC
Despite increased market volatility stemming from the U.S. presidential election on Tuesday, consumer confidence toward equities has reached its most bullish point ever. The latest Consumer Confidence survey by The Conference Board showed 51.4% of participants — the highest level on record — expect stocks to rise over the next year. This is despite rising uncertainty in the markets from the looming election, evidenced by the stock market’s inability to score further gains on Monday. The record-high consumer confidence in the stock market is “something that makes us say: hmm,” chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky wrote in a note on Sunday. Krinsky noted that bonds remain “slippery,” with the 10-year Treasury yield potentially climbing back to 4.5%.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, , ” Krinsky Organizations: U.S, Conference, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nvidia, Federal Reserve
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