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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman Sachs explains why China's growth rate is falling but more new jobs are expectedHui Shan, chief China economist at Goldman Sachs, says that can be attributed to its economy being more service-oriented and labor-intensive.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Hui Shan Locations: China
China's GDP target of 5% for 2024 is possible, but it won't be easy to achieve, Hong Kong's financial secretary told CNBC Tuesday after Beijing set a growth target of "around 5%" for this year. I think this is attainable, although it's not easy," Hong Kong's Financial Secretary Paul Chan told CNBC's Emily Chan, highlighting bright spots in China's export sector and domestic consumption. So this represents also a huge market for China's export," Chan said, adding that "we expect the export situation of the mainland will improve particularly into developing Asia." Domestic consumption is also a key driver for the city's growth in the short term, said the financial secretary. Hong Kong's GDP is projected to grow 2.5% to 3.5% this year.
Persons: it's, Paul Chan, CNBC's Emily Chan, Chan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNBC, Kong's, ASEAN, Association of Southeast, Nations, U.S . Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, U.S, Macao, Hong Kong
Fuji and Tokyo skyline Jackyenjoyphotography | Moment | Getty ImagesJapan's Nikkei stock index has been on a record-breaking spree on the back of robust earnings and investor-friendly measures. But the country's ailing economy has experts divided over this sustainability of this rally. Japan's corporate governance reforms have been a key driver for the country's stock markets, Momma said, while stressing that stock indexes do not necessarily represent the entire economy that includes SMEs and households. SMEs are a critical lever in the Japanese economy, accounting for 70% of national employment and 50% of the country's economic growth. "Spillover from the global boom of AI-related stocks certainly helped Nikkei," Momma said.
Persons: Kazuo Momma, Momma, Sayuri Shirai, pare, Shirai, Phillip Colmar MRB Organizations: Nikkei, Mizuho Research, CNBC, Bank of Japan, Nvidia, Technology, Stock, Keio University, Bank of America, Phillip Colmar MRB Partners Locations: Fuji, Tokyo, Germany, Japan, U.S, China
Oil prices edged lower Monday after oil cartel OPEC+ agreed to extend voluntary output reductions until the second quarter, in an effort to support the short-term stability of crude markets. Global benchmark Brent slipped 0.05% to $83.52 a barrel Monday, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures traded down 0.19% at $79.82 per barrel. OPEC+ announced on Sunday that the 2.2 million barrels per day of voluntary output cuts that were planned for the first quarter of this year will continue into the next quarter. OPEC+ kingpin and de facto leader Saudi Arabia said it will prolong its voluntary cut of 1 million barrels per day until the end of the second quarter, state-owned Saudi Press Agency said Sunday. Riyadh's crude production will stand at approximately 9 million barrels per day until the end of June.
Persons: Brent Organizations: OPEC, Global, U.S, West Texas Intermediate, Saudi Press Agency Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia
An employee checks gaskets after processing them in an automatic press machine at the Hamamatsu Gasket Co. factory in Hamamatsu, Shizuoka Prefecture, Japan, on Wednesday, Oct. 6, 2021. Japan's February factory activity shrank at the fastest pace in more than three years on the back of weakening demand. The au Jibun Bank's flash Japan manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to to 47.2 in February, compared with January's 48.0 reading, indicating continued contraction in private sector business activity. The reading signals a ninth consecutive deterioration in business activity and the strongest contraction recorded since August 2020, according to au Jibun Bank. Operating conditions in the country's manufacturing sector continued to deteriorate in February.
Organizations: Japan's, Jibun Bank Locations: Hamamatsu, Shizuoka Prefecture, Japan
Investors should move out of cash and into fixed income with some duration, said Franklin Templeton's chief market strategist, Stephen Dover. Franklin Templeton's inflation forecast is more conservative than the U.S. Federal Reserve's. The investment firm expects the core personal consumption expenditures price index to fall to 2.7% by the end of the year, versus the U.S. Federal Reserve's projections of 2.4%. The markets' "biggest screaming issue" is the $6 trillion sitting in money market funds right now, he said. "We would advise those investors to move out of that cash and take some duration move into fixed income," he added.
Persons: Franklin, Stephen Dover, Dover Organizations: U.S Locations: U.S . Federal
The entry barriers to the 1% rich club have been getting tougher across the world. Here's how much you need to join the ranks of the wealthiest people in your country. Second in line is Luxembourg, which has an entry requirement of $10.8 million, followed by Switzerland at $8.5 million. At $5.2 million, Singapore is fifth globally and leads the Asia-Pacific region in terms of the wealth needed to break into the elite club. The two are offering tax incentives and business-friendly regulations to attract 1,100 family offices that manage over $4 trillion in assets.
Persons: Monaco, Knight Frank Organizations: Empire, Hudson Locations: Manhattan, New York City, U.S, Luxembourg, Switzerland, Singapore, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong
An urban view of high-rise buildings at dusk as seen from Hong Kong's Victoria Peak. Stocks of Hong Kong developers rose after Financial Secretary Paul Chan scrapped property cooling measures in a bid to bolster the sector, which has been weighed down by high borrowing costs and weak economic sentiment. Churchouse added that this could "be a bit of a positive flip" for the wider Hong Kong stock market as it is highly correlated with the residential property market. Hong Kong's stock markets have plunged around 40% from its highs a couple of years ago. Hong Kong's government is also rolling out over 1 billion Hong Kong dollars ($127 million) to support its tourism industry.
Persons: Chan, Paul Chan, Peter Churchouse, Churchouse, Hong Organizations: Hong, Portwood, Kong's Monetary, Hong Kong Locations: Hong, Victoria, Hong Kong
A view shows part of the state oil firm Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) refinery in Salamanca. The consultancy expects demand growth to be around 250,000 bpd to 350,000 bpd, less than half of what it was in 2019 — demand growth will not return to the million barrels per day seen between 2015 and 2020. China's oil demand growth this year could be half of pre-Covid 2019 levels, according to Eurasia Group, as key segments of the world's second-largest economy struggle from a slowdown. The incremental fuel demand growth in China that the oil industry has come to literally bank on over the past two decades is no more. China will lose its spot to India as the primary driver for global oil demand through 2030, the International Energy Agency said in a report.
Persons: Petroleos, Linda Giesecke Organizations: Eurasia Group, International Energy Agency, JPMorgan, CNBC Locations: Salamanca . State, Guanajuato, Mexico, Eurasia, China, India
Coldplay, Ed Sheeran, and now Taylor Swift. Singapore is eyeing concert economics as its new growth driver, which is set to add hundreds of millions of dollars in tourism receipts. Fans bought 200,000 tickets as the shows sold out within hours, breaking the city-state's record for the most tickets sold by an artist in a single day. And starting this weekend, Singapore will host American popstar Taylor Swift, whose Eras Tour in the U.S. last year was estimated to generate around $4.6 billion in consumer spending. "Taylor Swift is also widely expected to generate a sizable economic boost, given her past record," Liu added.
Persons: Coldplay, Ed Sheeran, Taylor Swift, Yun Liu, Agoda, popstar Taylor Swift, Liu Organizations: Singapore's, Coldplay's Music Locations: Singapore, ASEAN, British, Asia, Pacific, Malaysia, Indonesia, U.S
China is still a critical trading partner for many countries across the world, and the often-used narrative of the superpower being delinked from the global economy is overdone, says the Manila-headquartered Asian Development Bank. "China's still probably the number one trading partner for the majority of countries in the world," ADB's Chief Economist Albert Park told CNBC. Although there have been parts of overall trade with China that have declined, the country's engagement and importance in the global value chain has not diminished, said Park. However, the economic powerhouse remains a top trading partner to over 120 countries, and is still the largest trading partner to Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Vietnam, according to U.S. think tank Wilson Center. He added that even following the trade conflict started by former U.S. President Donald Trump in 2018, China's importance in the global value chain has not slumped.
Persons: China's, Albert Park, Donald Trump Organizations: Asian Development Bank, CNBC, Wilson, U.S Locations: China, Manila, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam
Investors have been bullish on Japan stocks since last year, repeatedly driving them to record highs. Goldman Sachs has named "Seven Samurai" stocks in Japan, which it says could be an equivalent of the United States' "Magnificent Seven." The "Magnificent Seven" comprises Apple , Amazon , Alphabet , Meta , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla , which were behind much of the gains that drove the S & P 500 up a whopping 24% or so in 2023. In a Feb. 18 report, Goldman answered clients' requests for the Japanese equivalent of the "Magnificent Seven." With that criteria, Goldman has come up with a list of seven stocks, and they are: Screen Holdings, Advantest, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Toyota Motor, Subaru and Mitsubishi.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, they've, CNBC's Ying Shan Lee Organizations: Nikkei, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Screen Holdings, Tokyo Electron, Toyota Motor, Subaru, Mitsubishi, Tokyo Stock Exchange Locations: Japan, United States, Tokyo
Asia-Pacific markets appeared set to trade mixed Thursday, with a slew of economic data from the region on tap, while investors also assess the U.S. Federal Reserve possibly delaying interest rate cuts. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 opened marginally higher, up 0.03%, as the nation's Judo Bank composite purchasing managers' index for February showed a return to growth, at 51.8. The monthly index is a leading indicator for business activity in Australia's manufacturing sector. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 16,447, pointing to a weaker start compared with the HSI's close of 16,503.1Japan's Nikkei 225 was set to rise as investors awaited the release of Japan's Jibun Bank flash purchasing managers' index. Nikkei futures contract in Chicago was at 38,745 and its counterpart in Osaka was at 38,410 against the index's last close of 38,262.16The Bank of Korea is slated to announce its interest rate decision later, with economists polled by Reuters expecting the bank to hold rates at 3.50%.
Organizations: U.S . Federal, nation's Judo Bank, Futures, Nikkei, Japan's, of, Reuters Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Chicago, Osaka, of Korea
It’s a terrifying prospect that could become a reality for Anna and millions of her peers across Myanmar after the military junta activated a mandatory conscription law for all young men and women. “While wounded and increasingly desperate, the Myanmar military junta remains extremely dangerous,” Tom Andrews, United Nations Special Rapporteur for human rights in Myanmar, said in a statement. “People know for sure that no matter what is written in the conscription law, they will have to go to the front lines. “In Myanmar, young people are not safe anymore,” said Maung Nyein, who also requested to use a pseudonym for safety reasons. “Our villagers won’t join the military forces or leave the country, instead we will join our resistance forces.
Persons: Anna, , , ” Tom Andrews, — “, Aung, , Ting Aung, Zaw Min Tun, Young, Kyaw Naing, Sen, Min Aung Hlaing, Kyaw, doesn’t, ” Anna, he’s, he’ll, Khin Ohmar, Stringer, Maung, Maung Nyein, terrifies, Ko, Maung Aye, he’d Organizations: CNN, Thai Embassy, Getty, Analysts, United Nations, People’s Defense Forces, National Unity Government, United, CNN Defense, Armed Forces, Reuters, Facebook, Foreign Ministry, Myanmar, Mandalay People's Defense Forces, Immigration, International Labour Locations: Myanmar, Myanmar’s, Yangon, AFP, United States, Naypyidaw, Thailand, Rakhine, Mandalay, Shan State, , Shwebo, Sagaing
Asia-Pacific markets are set to fall Wednesday, tracking Wall Street losses. Japan's Nikkei 225 is set to fall as investors assess the country's trade data and souring business sentiment among large Japanese manufacturers. The Nikkei futures contract in Chicago was at 38,260 and its counterpart in Osaka was at 38,280 against the index's last close of 38,363.61. Japanese manufacturers' business confidence soured in February, tumbling to -1 compared to the previous month's reading of 6, according to the Reuters Tankan poll. The Reuters monthly poll is considered to be a leading indicator of the Bank of Japan's official survey.
Organizations: Nikkei, Reuters, Bank of Japan's Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Chicago, Osaka, Japan, Germany
HSBC reported on Wednesday its full year 2023 pre-tax profit climbed about 78% to $30.3 billion from a year ago, missing median estimates of $34.06 billion from analysts tracked by LSEG. Its Hong Kong shares reversed gains to dip more than 2%, compared against the 3% gains for the Hang Seng Index. The bank's shares have gained about 0.5% so far this year after jumping 23% in 2023 as the Hang Seng Index shed 14%. It was last trading down 2.55%. —Clement Tan, Lee Ying Shan
Persons: — Clement Tan, Lee Ying Shan Organizations: HSBC, LSEG, Hong Kong
Vietnam is set to see the sharpest spike in wealth growth over the next decade as it cements its status as a global manufacturing hub, according to a report by global wealth intelligence firm New World Wealth and investment migration advisors Henley & Partners. The Southeast Asian country is forecast to see a 125% increase in wealth over the next 10 years, Andrew Amoils, New World Wealth's analyst, told CNBC. This would be the largest expansion in wealth of any country in terms of GDP per capita and number of millionaires, according to the firm's analysis. "Vietnam is an increasingly popular manufacturing base for multinational tech, automotive, electronics, clothing and textile firms," Amoils said. India, which is set to become the world's third-largest economy by 2027, takes the second spot with an expected 110% growth in wealth, he added.
Persons: Andrew Amoils, Amoils Organizations: Wealth, Henley & Partners, CNBC Locations: Vietnam, Andrew Amoils ,, India, Asia, Pacific
China's lenders cut the country's benchmark five-year loan prime rate for the first time since June, extending Beijing's efforts to revive the country's anemic property market. The Chinese central bank kept its one-year loan prime rate — the peg for most household and corporate loans in China — unchanged at 3.45%. The benchmark five-year loan rate — the peg for most mortgages — was cut by 25 basis points to 3.95%, according to a statement Tuesday from the People's Bank of China. This was also the largest one-time cut in the five-year rate and the first since the five-year rate was last trimmed in June by 10 basis points. China calculates its loan prime rates each month after 20 designated commercial lenders submit their proposed rates to the PBOC.
Persons: Louise Loo, Loo, CNBC's Lee Ying Shan Organizations: People's Bank of China, Oxford Economics, Sunday Locations: China, Beijing
That could double central bank's gold purchases, challenging jewelry consumption as the largest driver of gold demand, Doshi elaborated. China and Russian central banks are leading gold purchases, with India, Turkey, and Brazil, also increasing bullion buying. The world's central banks have sustained two successive years of more than 1,000 tons of net gold purchases, the World Gold Council reported in January. Another wildcard scenario highlighted in Citi's report was for oil prices to hit triple digits again. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Oil prices in the past one year
Persons: Doshi, Stagflation Organizations: Citi, CNBC, Central, U.S ., Gold, U.S . Federal Reserves, Co, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Citi's North America, China, Russian, India, Turkey, Brazil, U.S, Bangkok, Thailand, Israel, Yemen, Iraq, OPEC
Travellers look at the flight departure schedule on the screen at Singapore Changi airport on December 7, 2022. Flights departing from Singapore will cost more from 2026 as the country pushes ahead with its aviation industry decarbonization goals. The initiative is part of a sustainable air hub blueprint which was unveiled by the Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore (CAAS) on the eve of the Singapore Airshow. To achieve the ambitious 1% target by 2026, travelers flying out of Singapore will have to be prepared to pay higher air fares. In 2021, the International Air Transport Association and member airlines committed to reaching net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.
Persons: Chee Hong Tat, CAAS, Chee Organizations: Changi Airport, Seletar, SAF, Transport, Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore, International Air Transport Association Locations: Singapore Changi, Singapore, Bangkok, Tokyo, London
Asia-Pacific markets were set to rise Friday, tracking Wall Street gains, with the S&P 500 notching a fresh record high. Japan's Nikkei 225 is set to extend gains, a day after the country lost its spot as the fourth-largest economy to Germany and entered into a technical recession. Nikkei futures contract in Chicago were at 38,625 and its counterpart in Osaka at 38,650 against the index's last close of 38,157.94Economic slowdown has raised hopes Japan may stick with its ultra-loose monetary policy for longer. Mainland China markets remain closed for the Chinese New Year holidays. Investors await Singapore 2024 budget, slated to be released later in the day.
Organizations: Nikkei, Investors Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Germany, Chicago, Osaka, Japan, Mainland China, Singapore
SINGAPORE — Singapore lowered its full-year growth for 2023, as official data on Thursday showed the economy grew 1.1% last year compared to an earlier estimate of 1.2%. Growth in 2023 was largely driven by "other services industries" which grew by 3.9% year-on-year. Information and communications, as well as transportation and storage sectors also drove growth,"All sectors except for the manufacturing sector recorded full-year expansions," the Ministry of Trade and Industry reported. Last year, the manufacturing sector — a key driver of the economy — contracted by 4.3%, reversing from the 2.7% growth in 2022. The construction sector grew by 5.2%, an improvement from the 4.6% expansion in 2022.
Organizations: Singapore Central Business District, ArtScience Museum, Ministry of Trade, Industry Locations: Sands, Marina Bay, Singapore, SINGAPORE — Singapore
Millionaire count in the BRICS countries — which together hold $45 trillion in investable wealth — is forecast to rise by 85% over the next 10 years, the investment migration consultancy noted in its report published in partnership with global intelligence firm New World Wealth. The 85% forecast for BRICS will be the highest wealth growth of any bloc or region globally. "The 85% forecast for BRICS will be the highest wealth growth of any bloc or region globally," Andrew Amolis, wealth analyst at New World Wealth told CNBC. The UAE followed in third place with a 77% wealth growth. Other members in the BRICS coalition, such as South Africa and Iran, have seen a decline in their millionaire populations since 2013.
Persons: Michel Temer, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Jacob Zuma, Narendra Modi, Andrew Amolis, Dominic Volek Organizations: India's, United, Henley & Partners, Wealth, CNBC, Amolis, European Union, Henley, Partners, UAE Locations: South, Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Canada, France, Japan, Italy, U.S, United Kingdom, Southeast Asia, UAE
But lovers may experience sticker shock this year due to higher cocoa and sugar prices. "Chocolate prices are the highest we've seen in years," said a representative of NielsenIQ. He noted that in spite of higher prices, the chocolate market is robust in mature markets like Europe and North America. Now, chocolate and Valentine's Day are synonymous, even if critics say the affiliation is perpetuated by marketing gimmicks. That being said, chocolates are not the only Valentines' Day treats that will dent the wallet this year.
Persons: Scott Olson, Sergey Chetvertakov, David Branch, there's, Kim, Mintec, It's, Andrew Francis Wallace Organizations: Valentine's, Getty, P, El Nino, Food Institute, Branch, CNBC, Bloomberg, National Confectioners Association, Toronto Star Locations: Chicago , Illinois, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Wells, Asia, India, Africa, Azaguie, Europe, North America, Western Europe, Singapore, Toronto
Hong Kong CNN —Thick roots tumble across a dilapidated house, the snake-like trunks of a banyan tree framing where the front door once stood. “These villages have existed in Hong Kong for hundreds of years, way before the colonial period,” explained Irvine. In the 1950s and ‘60s, as Hong Kong grew as an industrial hub, many people migrated to the rapidly expanding urban centers for better working opportunities. Stefan Irvine / Courtesy Blue Lotus Gallery, Hong Kong“There were calendars on the wall, school certificates in drawers — it’s quite poignant,” said Irvine. Stefan Irvine / Courtesy Blue Lotus Gallery, Hong KongHeritage valueWhile most of the villages Irvine photographed are abandoned, he was surprised to discover not all were.
Persons: Stefan Irvine, ” Irvine, “ It’s, , , Irvine, Wong Chuk, Lai Chi Wo, they’ll, Tung Ping Chau, Yim Tin Tsai, Luk Keng, Lai, they’ve, Hong, Wo Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, steely, Hong, HK, Irvine, Blue Lotus Locations: Hong Kong, Malaysian, India, Irvine, New Territories, Accounting, Hong Kong’s, London, Tai Peng, Lamma, Lai Chi, Queen's Hill, Fanling, Tung, Shenzhen, China, , Mau, Lai, Hong
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