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David Rosenberg warned the buzz around stocks today is similar to the mania before past crashes. The economist noted that American consumers are running short of cash and struggling to borrow more. The veteran economist and Rosenberg Research president also rang the alarm on the US economy in a research note on Wednesday. "The balloon does have a lot of hot air in it," Rosenberg noted, suggesting it was hard to say when speculation and emotion would cease trumping fundamentals and rational thought. That has raised borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, and wreaked havoc on debt-fueled industries such as commercial real estate.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Irving Fisher, Abby Joseph Cohen, Chuck Prince's doozy, you've, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, North, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Big Tech, Consumers, New York, Federal Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon, North American
The climate crisis is causing a "new abnormal" characterized by more frequent and intense disasters. More people are connecting their personal run-ins with disasters to the climate crisis. "We're not on a plateau," Leiserowitz, who studies people's attitudes toward the climate crisis, said. Still, the climate crisis remains psychologically distant for many people. These institutions haven't acted fast enough to avert the crisis, climate scientists say.
Persons: Anthony Leiserowitz, We're, Leiserowitz, Chase, Ross D, aren't, Jodi Kelly, Dan Kelly, Steven Senne, Lena Moffitt, Biden Organizations: Service, Yale, Chase Field, Arizona Diamondbacks, Franklin, Associated, North America ., Veterinary Surgical Center Locations: Phoenix, Iran, , North America, North America . Vermont, Florida, United States, Montpelier , Vermont
Analyst Mark Mahaney upgraded the visual discovery platform to outperform from in line and raised his price target by $11 to $41. Mahaney's new price target implies the stock could rally 40.7% over the next year. The result: "Generating very high double digit EBITDA growth (e.g. He also called current valuation reasonable, at 27 times and 21 times enterprise value-to-EBITDA for 2024 and 2025, respectively. The $41 price target is based on a 30-times EBITDA at $833 million in 2025.
Persons: Mark Mahaney, Bill Ready, Mahaney, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Mahaney, Amazon
2013 was the first year when over half of all student loans carried a balance greater than originally borrowed. The 2020 student loan repayment pause shook up this unhealthy dynamic. But student loan repayment had been dwindling for at least a decade before the pause. But an important additional source of student loan misery is the widening and diversifying nature of the Americans who take them out. Our student debt research uses credit reports, both from an annual, representative cross-section of student borrowers and from a single group of borrowers we’ve been following since 2009.
Persons: couldn’t, Laura Beamer, Marshall Steinbaum, doesn’t, It’s, , Biden, we’ve, they’re, , Bill, Organizations: Jain, Institute, University of Utah, White, American, Black, Women, Congress, Department of Education
But the automaker is having a hard time moving its inventory of Mach-E and Lightning EVs. Ford dealerships are selling fewer Ford EVs than they were this time last year, per Cloud Theory. Erich Merkle, Ford's head of US sales analysis, said EV sales were up nearly 12% through June. He also said the unsold Mach-E inventory wasn't just sitting on dealer lots because it spent more time in transit. The EV market is having its first growing painsFord is not alone in its struggle to match EV production with demand.
Persons: Ford, It's, Erich Merkle, Ford's, it's, they've, We've, Merkle, Tesla, Hummer, EVs, Karl Brauer, Brauer Organizations: Ford, Theory, EV, Coast Ford, East Coast, GM, Lightning, astjohn Locations: EVs, East, Midwest
Recent data reveals inflation is cooling, the labor market is slowing, and a recession may not come after all. Inflation data released Wednesday showed that inflation is coming down fast. The Fed may be pleased by this data, though a rate hike may still be on the table later this month. Other measures also show that the job market is still very healthy. The Fed may be happy to see slower job growth and the prime-age labor force participation rate rising, Bunker said.
Persons: doesn't, Julia Pollak, Nick Bunker, Bunker, Jerome Powell, Bill Adams, Pollak, " Pollak, Powell Organizations: Service, Labor, Survey, North America, Federal, Consumer, CPI, National Federation of Independent Business, Congress, Fed, Comerica Bank, Comerica Locations: Wall, Silicon
Rising inventories and price-cutting could represent only a short-term pause in EV market growth. If production of EVs continues to outpace demand, automakers will have to choose between slashing prices and profit margins, or slowing assembly lines. More than 90 new EV models are expected to hit the U.S. market through 2026, according to AutoForecast Solutions. In a statement, Volkswagen's U.S. sales arm said "we have seen some softening in EV sales in the U.S. recently" as supply chain bottlenecks have eased, allowing for increased production. Wakefield said it is too soon to declare that U.S. EV demand has hit a plateau.
Persons: Tesla, EVs, Cox, Ford, Vitaly Golomb, Biden, Price, Mark Wakefield, Wakefield, Joe White, Nick Zieminski Organizations: DETROIT, EV, North, AutoForecast Solutions, Dealers, General Motors, Ford, Hyundai, Toyota, Cox Automotive, U.S, Cox, GM, Cadillac, GMC, Volkswagen, U.S ., VW, Industry, EVs, Thomson Locations: U.S, North America, United States, Texas, Washington, Tennessee
[1/5] Trucks from the Las Bambas mine circulate along the mining corridor between Sayhua and Ccapacmarca, near Ccapacmarca, Peru, January 19, 2022. REUTERS/Sebastian Castaneda/File PhotoLIMA, July 7 (Reuters) - Copper miners in Peru, already battling political uncertainty and regular protests, say they have another hurdle to revving up stalled production of the red metal: too much red tape. 2 copper producer, has seen output plateau in the last five years as political instability, revolving governments and flagging investment has let rival producer Congo almost overtake it. 1 producer Chile has also seen production slide, dented by political uncertainty around taxes and regulation. Until that happens, mining executives said Peru's $53 billion mining investment pipeline, largely copper, would only move forward slowly, despite government hopes that some $7 billion of that being unlocked in 2023 and 2024.
Persons: Sebastian Castaneda, LIMA, Raul Jacob, Jorge Soto, it's, Víctor Gobitz, Tia Maria, Marco Aquino, Adam Jourdan, Sandra Maler Organizations: REUTERS, Congo, Reuters, World Bank, BHP, Newmont Corp, Thomson Locations: Sayhua, Ccapacmarca, Peru, Lima, Chile, Canada, Mexico
There's a gravity hole in the Indian Ocean, where ocean levels are about 300 feet lower than surrounding areas. The gravity hole may have been caused by an ancient ocean bed that sank millions of years ago. But a new study suggests researchers should have been looking around, not under, the gravity hole to solve the mystery of how it formed. The blue dot over the Indian Ocean is a gravity 'hole' that has scientists baffled. But scientists have struggled to explain the gravity hole in the Indian Ocean, known as the Indian Ocean geoid low.
Persons: Attreyee Ghosh, Debanjan Pal, Steinberger, Himangshu Paul Organizations: Service, ESA, Research, of Geosciences, NASA, Goddard Space, Indian Institute of Science, National Geophysical Research Institute, New Locations: Bangalore, Africa, Australia, India, Eastern Africa
Even taking into account the dotcom bust and market crash following the 1999-2000 cycle, stocks still shone brighter. The average return of a 100% equity portfolio was 12.75%, an all-bond portfolio returned 9.10%, and a 60/40 portfolio generated 11.09% on average. Equities returned around 26% in the year after the Fed stopped tightening, bonds between 6-8%, and a 60/40 portfolio around 18%. Blended together, a 60/40 portfolio generated double-digit returns after five of these six cycles, including 25% in the mid-1990s. No two economic cycles, Fed reaction functions, inflationary dynamics or asset price dynamics are the same.
Persons: Joe Kleven, Kleven, Paul Volcker, Shelly Simpson, Simpson, Jamie McGeever, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Fed, Nasdaq, NYSE, Mega Tech, ICE, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida
Learn morePortable air conditioners are growing in popularity as a more convenient alternative to oversized, clunky, window-hogging window air conditioners. You can also check out our guides to the best window AC and best portable air conditioner for specific recommendations. James Brains/InsiderWinner: Portable air conditionersInstalling a window air conditioner is a pain. We tested 12 of the best portable air conditioners for our guide, and the LG LP1419IVSM Smart Wi-Fi Portable Air Conditioner came out on top. For our window air conditioner guide, we tested 13 models, and the Friedrich CCF08A10A Chill Premier Smart Window Air Conditioner was the best.
Persons: James Brains, Erin Brains, let's, Friedrich CCF08A10A Organizations: Business, LG, AC, GE, Smart
Rize: Turkey’s hidden mountain hideaways
  + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Feride Yalav-Heckeroth | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
CNN —Rize province, on the Black Sea coast near Turkey’s northeast border with Georgia, is still largely unknown to many international travelers. Away from Rize itself – the seaside city which lends its name to the province – the area’s valleys and plateaus, surrounded by high-altitude mountain ridges, have remained largely rural. With high rates of rainfall, Rize’s mountain villages (yayla) become a point of escape from summer temperatures. “The state of tourism in Rize is not very pleasant because visitors often arrive without much knowledge about the local culture or the nature. “I think the purpose of coming to Rize shouldn’t be to rush through everything and take a few selfies.
Persons: Orhan Eskiva, café, hamsili, Rize’s, Zeyne, Ahmet Şişman, İbrahim Birben, it’s, Dağ Evi, Trebizond, Emre Corbaci, Taşkın, , Elif, Peri, Deniz Demirci Tarakçı, Çinçiva, , Işık Güner, Feride, Conde Nast Organizations: CNN, Ottomans, Apo, Rize Zua Coffee Locations: Rize, Turkey’s, Georgia, Rize province, Çamlıhemşin, Forestry, Karadeniz, Russia, Senyuva, Çamlıhemşin’s, Mola, Sümela, Trabzon, Zilkale, Armenian, Şenyuva, Istanbul, Pokutsal, Peri, Rize Zua, Yasemin, Barcelona, Fırtına, , Lake Constance, Kinfolk
The company's chief rival, Denmark-based Novo Nordisk (NVO), also published promising data on drugs in its pipeline, including its own oral weight-loss treatment. Other pharmaceutical companies are racing to compete with Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, including Amgen (AMGN) and Pfizer (PFE). Barclays on Tuesday projected Eli Lilly's three leading obesity-and-diabetes drugs could generate nearly $49 billion in combined sales in 2030. Eli Lilly Eli Lilly has multiple drugs in development that fall under the GLP-1 umbrella in various stages of clinical development. Novo Nordisk Novo Nordisk currently dominates the market for GLP-1 drugs, with three products in the class on the U.S. market already: Ozempic, Wegovy and Rybelsus.
Persons: It's, Eli Lilly, Eli Lilly's, retatrutide, Lilly, there's, Lilly's, Geoff Meacham, Eli Lilly Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer, Evan David Seigerman, , — Morgan Stanley, Wegovy, Rybelsus, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Mike Segar Organizations: Club, Novo Nordisk, New England, of Medicine, American Diabetes Association, Pfizer, Reuters, Barclays, Bank of America, CNBC, JPMorgan, Drug Administration, Equity, BMO Capital, Novo Nordisk Novo Nordisk, GLP, FDA, Nordisk, Company Locations: San Diego, Denmark, GLP, It's, Novo, Novo Nordisk's, Branchburg , New Jersey
Record-setting tight end Travis Kelce, for example, could make significantly more money by leaving the Kansas City Chiefs, he told Vanity Fair on Wednesday. "The free market looks like fun until you go somewhere and you don't win," Kelce said. Kelce's approach arguably helps his team win: Kansas City emerged victorious in February's Super Bowl, and made it to the big game in 2021 and 2020. As of Wednesday, the team has least available salary cap room in NFL, according to the National Football League Players Association. "You see how much more money you could be making and, yeah, it hits you in the gut a little bit.
Persons: Travis Kelce, Kelce, he'll, Tyreek Hill, Hill, Kelce's, wouldn't, Warren Buffett, Andy Reid Organizations: Football League, Kansas City Chiefs, NFL, Kansas City, Miami Dolphins, CBS Sports, February's, National Football League Players Association, University of Pennsylvania, CNBC Locations: Kansas, Miami, University, U.S
Wimbledon is the only grass court Grand Slam
  + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +9 min
The grass courts are now in session Wimbledon is the only grass court Grand Slam and retains a glamor born from white clothes and impeccable green courts. The grass courts at Wimbledon are grown from 10 metric tons of seed each year, with renovations beginning in September. Until 1974, the only Grand Slam tournament played on a surface other than grass was the French Open, and now Wimbledon is the lone remaining grass Grand Slam. Grand Slam surface history Wimbledon is the oldest of the Grand Slam tournaments and has been held on grass though its entire duration. Relative court speeds A row of three embroidered tennis court patches displaying different surfaces on a spectrum, showing the grass court at the fastest end and the clay court at the slowest end.
Persons: , Caitlin Thompson, ” Thomson, ” Clay, Eddie Seward, John McEnroe, Pete Sampras, Thompson, Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, , Djokovic, Draftkings Organizations: Wimbledon, U.S ., New York Times, Association of Tennis Professionals Locations: you’ll, French, Wimbledon, racquets, Serbian
Eli Lilly ’s experimental drug helped patients lose up to 24% of their weight after almost a year, the highest reduction seen in the obesity treatment space to date, according to new mid-stage clinical trial results released Monday. The trial's researchers said average weight loss did not appear to plateau after 48 weeks, suggesting a longer study could show even more. Eli Lilly’s other obesity drug Mounjaro, which is approved for type 2 diabetes, has helped patients lose up to 21% of their weight in clinical trials. Novo Nordisk’ s Wegovy, cleared for weight loss, has shown up to 15% weight loss in trials. But Wegovy only mimics one hunger-regulating hormone called GLP-1, while Mounjaro mimics GLP-1 and another hormone called GIP.
Persons: Eli Lilly ’, Eli Lilly, Eli Lilly’s retatrutide, ” Michael Weintraub, Eli Lilly’s, Eli Lilly's retatrutide Organizations: NYU Langone Health, Novo Nordisk
Novo plans to seek U.S. Food and Drug Administration approval of the high-dose pill later this year, but timing of a market launch is "to be determined," according to Mico Guevarra, medical director at Novo Nordisk. Novo Nordisk already markets an oral semaglutide, under the brand name Rybelsus, for treatment of type 2 diabetes, but its highest dose is 14mg. Oral semaglutide, according to the FDA label, needs to be taken in the morning on an empty stomach, 30 minutes before eating, drinking, or using any other oral medication - you are allowed only 4 ounces of plain water. If you eat too soon, the pill is less effective, but if you wait longer than 30 minutes its absorption may be enhanced. read moreNovo Nordisk said most patients in its obesity trial reported gastrointestinal side effects from oral semaglutide, including mostly mild-to-moderate nausea, constipation, diarrhea and vomiting.
Persons: semaglutide, Mico, Guevarra, Eli Lilly, LLY.N, Deena Beasley, Diane Craft Organizations: DIEGO, Nordisk, Food, Drug, Novo Nordisk, American Diabetes Association, FDA, Thomson Locations: Danish
Currently approved medicines for weight loss like Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy are given as once-weekly injections. Novo Nordisk’s Ozempic, which contains the same key ingredient as Wegovy, called semaglutide, and Lilly’s Mounjaro are both approved for Type 2 diabetes but used off-label for weight loss. Weight loss at 36 weeks ranged from 9.4% to 14.7%, compared with 2.3% on placebo, the results showed. Lilly’s is just one of a crop of experimental weight loss drugs seeking to join blockbusters like Wegovy on the market. Novo Nordisk reported results last month showing that a pill version of semaglutide yielded 15% weight loss over 68 weeks, similar to Wegovy’s results.
Persons: Eli Lilly’s, what’s, Lilly, Lilly’s, , Nadia Ahmad, orforglipron, “ you’re, Dr, Sean Wharton, White, Ahmad, it’s, Sanjay Gupta, semaglutide Organizations: CNN, New England, of Medicine, American Diabetes Association, Nordisk’s, Nordisk’s Ozempic, Wharton Medical Clinic, CNN Health, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer Locations: San Diego
One year ago, the ad agency Mekanism was bought by PE-backed holding company Plus Company. The ad agency Mekanism sold one year ago to the Canadian holding company Plus Company, which is backed by the private equity firm CVC Capital Partners. But as far as bosses go, not only is Plus Company CEO Brett Marchand really smart, I like him as a person. There are also holding companies that use a new model, like S4 and DEPT, where you become part of one big group. Due diligence was like "getting a couple of colonoscopies a week"I looked into CVC, the private-equity company that funds Plus Company.
Persons: Mekanism, Jason Harris, I've, Brett Marchand, hasn't, we'd, it's, They'd, We're, haven't, Brett, They're Organizations: PE, Plus Company, Capital Partners, Plus, Publicis, WPP, CVC, Company Locations: colonoscopies
FILE PHOTO: A vehicle is seen near a lithium smelter in Yichun, Jiangxi province, China March 30, 2023. It has supported mine development by taking stakes in mining companies to help battery materials makers that do not have mines overseas like those owned by China’s top lithium producers Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium. Separating lithium from lepidolite can cost as much as 100,000 yuan per metric ton, compared to 40,000-50,000 yuan for brine and 50,000-60,000 yuan for spodumene, analysts said. ‘NATURAL RESOURCES CHAOS’Further dimming the outlook for lepidolite, environmental damage is a growing concern. UBS analysts see China’s supply of lithium from lepidolite tripling to 280,000 metric tons, or 13% of global supply, between 2022 and 2025, well short of Yichun’s target.
Persons: , Yang Yaohua, Yang, Wu Wei, Eric Norris, ” Norris, Yongxing, Yichun, Ma Jun, ” Ma, Vicky Zhao, Li Qi Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Australia, Guosen, Macquarie, Gotion High Tech, CRU, Xiamen University, Energy, lepidolite, Reuters, Materials Technology, Institute of Public & Environmental Affairs, UBS, Benchmark Mineral Intelligence Locations: YICHUN, China, Yichun, Jiangxi province, lepidolite, Beijing, Sichuan, Qinghai, Tibet, Shanghai, Jin, U.S, Jiangxi
It has supported mine development by taking stakes in mining companies to help battery materials makers that do not have mines overseas like those owned by China's top lithium producers Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ), (002460.SZ) and Tianqi Lithium (002466.SZ). Separating lithium from lepidolite can cost as much as 100,000 yuan per metric ton, compared to 40,000-50,000 yuan for brine and 50,000-60,000 yuan for spodumene, analysts said. 'NATURAL RESOURCES CHAOS'Further dimming the outlook for lepidolite, environmental damage is a growing concern. As it gets stricter now, lithium resources in Yichun will lose their competitiveness with the higher costs for environmental protection," Ma said. UBS analysts see China's supply of lithium from lepidolite tripling to 280,000 metric tons, or 13% of global supply, between 2022 and 2025, well short of Yichun's target.
Persons: YICHUN, Yang Yaohua, Yang, Wu Wei, Eric Norris, Norris, Yongxing, Yichun, Ma Jun, Ma, Vicky Zhao, Li Qi, Siyi Liu, Dominique Patton, Ernest Scheyder, Tony Munroe, Sonali Paul Organizations: Australia, Guosen, Macquarie, Gotion High Tech, CRU, Xiamen University, Energy, Corp, Reuters, Materials Technology, Institute of Public & Environmental Affairs, UBS, Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, Beijing Newsroom, Thomson Locations: China, Yichun, lepidolite, Beijing, Sichuan, Qinghai, Tibet, Shanghai, Jin, U.S, Jiangxi, Houston
Peak oil demand could be hit this decade, IEA says
  + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
London CNN —Global oil demand is projected to peak in the next few years even as some major energy companies announce plans to reinvigorate their fossil fuel businesses. “The shift to a clean energy economy is picking up pace, with a peak in global oil demand in sight before the end of this decade,” said IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol. The agency expects global oil demand to reach nearly 106 million barrels per day in 2028. The IEA’s latest forecasts update its prediction in October that demand for oil would plateau by the mid-2030s. BP now plans to slash oil output by 25% by 2030 from 2019 levels, whereas it previously aimed to cut output by 40% against this benchmark.
Persons: , Fatih Birol, Birol, Organizations: London CNN — Global, International Energy Agency, Investment, IEA, Shell, CNN, BP, “ Oil Locations: Paris, Ukraine
The S & P 500 is going from strength to strength this year, closing at a one-year high last Friday and up over 10% year-to-date. While many analysts have cautioned that the rally could be a narrow-based one, with gains driven by just a few major tech stocks, some Wall Street pros are expecting the S & P 500 to rally further. Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Tuesday that he has raised his S & P 500 price target from 4,150 to 4,450 . Emanuel said that the AI buzz driving stocks has turned into a so-called "momentum market" like the Internet-related rally of the late 1990s to 2000. "The Momentum broadened last week into the larger S & P 500 and importantly the Small Cap Russell 2000; this broadening is very positive and looks set to continue," he wrote in notes sent to CNBC.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, CNBC's, Emanuel, Russell, Brian Stutland, Stutland, we're, Paul Meeks, we'll, Evercore, laggards, Meeks Organizations: CNBC, Equity Armor Investments, Independent Solutions Wealth Management, Copa Holdings, Nvidia, Devices, Google, Marvell Technology
Pound heads for biggest weekly gain in six months
  + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
LONDON, June 2 (Reuters) - Sterling headed for its biggest one-week rally against the dollar in six months on Friday, as U.S. interest rates looked increasingly likely to plateau sooner than UK rates. The pound has gained 1.5% against the dollar this week, the most since early December, and nearly 1.1% against the euro - which would be its largest weekly increase in nearly four months. Meanwhile, as UK inflation remains stubbornly high, traders have reassessed the outlook for monetary policy in Britain too. Money markets show markets are pricing for UK rates to peak at 5.32% by year-end, up from 4.50% now. A month ago, the expectation was that UK rates would be around 4.80% by December.
Persons: Sterling, Warren Venketas, Jordan Rochester, Amanda Cooper, Susan Fenton Organizations: NFP, Federal Reserve, Treasury, U.S, Nomura, Thomson Locations: Washington, Britain, Rochester
Some big landlords are starting to feel the squeeze of stalled rents and increased operating expenses. The main difference between 'big' and 'small' landlords: the financingA key difference between smaller, mom-and-pop landlords and larger landlords is how they're financing deals. While small landlords are typically purchasing single-family homes or multi-family properties like duplexes and triplexes, which you can finance with residential debt, big landlords are buying apartment buildings and have to use commercial debt. With a residential loan, you can typically get a fixed interest rate, which will not change over the lifetime of the loan. "One of the reasons I invest in four units or less is you get 30-year fixed rate debt," he said.
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