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London CNN —At the beginning of the year, Federal Reserve officials projected they would cut interest rates three times this year. The labor-force participation rate has leveled off after a post-Covid boom, and the US immigration policy rate may soon become more restrictive, limiting potential new labor market participants. “Reducing our policy rate too soon or too quickly could result in a rebound in inflation, requiring further future policy rate increases to return inflation to 2% over the longer run.”Investors weren’t happy to hear it. That’s why not taking preemptive action when it’s not necessary is so important.”Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee has also been particularly hawkish in his views. He also said rate hikes are “certainly not off the table.”Like Bowman and Kashkari, New York Fed President John Williams said rate hikes aren’t part of his baseline outlook.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, she’s, ” Bowman, Bowman, , Dow, Mary Daly, Daly, ” Daly, “ We’re, it’s, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Neel Kashkari, John Williams, he’s Organizations: London CNN —, Federal Reserve, Exchange, London ., Federal, Market, Nvidia, San Francisco Fed, Commonwealth Club World Affairs of California, Chicago Fed, Minneapolis, Kashkari , New York Fed, Commerce Department Locations: London, San Francisco, Kashkari , New
After three sessions of heavy rotation out of tech and AI winners and into other areas of the market, the market has shifted back to tech and momentum leaders. So when cracks are forming in other areas of the market, investors quickly return to where the growth is the strongest: tech. Stress tests: With the annual bank stress test results due out Wednesday after the bell, Jefferies took a look at how bank stocks have fared since 2021 immediately following the release. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. The new Ford F-150 truck goes through the assembly line at the Ford Dearborn Plant on April 11, 2024 in Dearborn, Michigan.
Persons: Jim Cramer, John Rainey, Cramer, Ford, Jefferies, Wells Fargo, General Mills, — Morgan Chittum, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Bill Pugliano Organizations: CNBC, Corp, Supply, Pool Corp, Walmart, Union Pacific, Micron, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Jefferies, FedEx, United States Postal Service, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Ford, Ford Dearborn Plant, Getty Locations: London, Dearborn , Michigan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. PCE data will 'probably not bring much surprise', portfolio manager saysLuca Castoldi, senior portfolio manager at Reyl Intesa Sanpaolo Singapore discusses the outlook for global markets and the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Persons: Luca Castoldi Organizations: U.S, PCE, U.S . Federal Locations: Singapore, U.S .
Gold drifts lower as traders await U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices eased on Tuesday, while investors looked toward key U.S. inflation data due later this week that could throw some light on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut stance. Gold prices eased on Tuesday, while investors looked toward key U.S. inflation data due later this week that could throw some light on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut stance. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $2,327.52 per ounce as of 0339 GMT. "Technical factors in the short-term are not so positive for gold. Other Fed officials speaking this week include Fed Governors Lisa Cook and Michelle Bowman along with Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin.
Persons: Kelvin Wong, Bullion, Wong, Mary Daly, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, Tom Barkin Organizations: Asia Pacific, U.S, San Francisco Fed Bank, Richmond Fed Locations: OANDA, U.S
Nvidia stock continued to move lower following a big rally last week. With earnings season over, it's a quiet week on the macro front for investors. The biggest data release this week is Fed's preferred PCE inflation gauge on Friday. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Monday as investors gear up for a new set of inflation data later in the week. With earnings season over, investors will turn their attention to the PCE inflation data set to be released on Friday, which happens to be the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
Persons: Stocks, Fed's, , David Morrison Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Trade Nation, Federal, PCE Locations: Here's
US stocks were mostly lower on Monday, driven by a sell-off in tech stocks led by Nvidia. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mostly lower on Monday, driven by a continued sell-off in technology stocks. Nvidia led the tech sector lower, falling about 5% and down about 14% from its record high reached last week. AdvertisementFed President Mary Daly said that the US labor market is showing signs of an inflection point that could ultimately turn lower.
Persons: , Ray, Wang, Mary Daly, Daly Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Wall Street, Constellation Research, CNBC, PCE Locations: Here's
Gold edges higher on softer yields; U.S. inflation data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged up on Monday as Treasury yields fell, while investors awaited key U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve officials' comments through the week for fresh clues on the potential timing of the central bank's interest rate cut. Gold prices edged up on Monday as Treasury yields fell, while investors awaited key U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve officials' comments through the week for fresh clues on the potential timing of the central bank's interest rate cut. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $2,325.53 per ounce as of 0333 GMT, after falling more than 1% on Friday. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields edged down, making non-yielding bullion more attractive for investors. There are at least five Fed officials speaking this week, including San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Fed Governors Lisa Cook and Michelle Bowman.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Mary Daly, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Capital.com, Traders, San Francisco Fed Locations: Capital.com .
Nvidia had some strong moves in the days after its 10-for-1 stock split traded in the market on June 10. Tuesday brought weaker-than-expected May retail sales , which the stock market took in stride, perhaps on the view that softness helps the view that the Federal Reserve will indeed cut interest rates later this year. Ultimately, the economic readings this past week signal that while U.S. growth remains resilient, things are slowing, which is an ideal setup for stock market bulls. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge and the tail end of earning season will be drivers of the market in the week ahead. ET: New Home Sales Before the bell: General Mills (GIS), Paychex (PAYX), UniFirst (UNF) After the bell: Micron (MU), BlackBerry (BB), Levi Strauss (LEVI) Thursday, June 27 8:30 a.m.
Persons: we're, Levi Strauss, Mills, LEVI, McCormick, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Emily Elconin Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Broadcom, Energy, West Texas, Utilities, Federal, Juneteenth, FedEx, Nike, Micron, UniFirst, UNF, BlackBerry, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Outdoor Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Shoppers, Getty Locations: U.S, Oaks, Novi , Michigan
With stocks set to close out a strong first half of 2024, investors have just one more key inflation hurdle to clear in the week ahead: May's personal expenditure report. Next week's personal consumption expenditure data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, could show whether that overall picture is intact. May's consumer price index, for example, showed no increase from the prior month. Last month's producer price index , a measure of wholesale prices, unexpectedly dropped from the previous reading. Pending Home Sales Index (May) 11 a.m. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (June) Earnings: Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance , McCormick & Co. Friday June 28 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Stocks, Terry Sandven, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Scott Chronert, Brian Leonard, Leonard, Bank's Sandven, Sandven, Mills Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Federal, PCE, Bank of America Securities, Wall, Keeley, Advisors, FedEx, Dow, Nasdaq, Dallas Fed, Chicago, Richmond Fed, Carnival, New, Micron Technology, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance, McCormick, Chicago PMI Locations: . Kansas, Chicago, Michigan
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Jim Cramer has said he's tentative about the next steps and has the stock in the penalty box. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, WTI, Coterra, Uber, Jeff Marks, Marks, — CNBC's Matthew J, Belvedere, Kevin Stankiewicz, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, West Texas, Coterra Energy, Reuters, Amazon, Alexa, Starbucks, Wall Street Journal, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S
With shelter inflation "sticky" at a 5.4% year over level, Gapen said it could be months before "greater confidence" is achieved. "We think the Fed is unlikely to achieve the confidence it needs to begin rate cuts until shelter inflation takes a step lower," he said. Monthly housing inflation readings in the PCE measure have been running at either 0.5% or 0.4% since March 2023. We don't target housing prices, for example," Powell said. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, a nonvoter on the FOMC this year, on Tuesday singled out the "long-term stubbornness of shelter inflation."
Persons: Michael Gapen, Gapen, Jerome Powell, Powell, Patrick Harker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Commerce, Philadelphia Fed
Bank of America reiterates Broadcom as buy Following Broadcom's earnings report, Bank of America said the company has "potential to join the trillionaires club." Morgan Stanley downgrades Corning to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley downgraded Corning mainly on valuation. Bank of America reiterates Dell as buy Bank of America said it sees several positive catalysts ahead for Dell. Morgan Stanley reiterates Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft and Adobe as overweight Morgan Stanley named several tech stocks that it said are well positioned for AI. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Colgate-Palmolive as a top pick Morgan Stanley said it sees a "pet inflection on the horizon" for Colgate.
Persons: it's, Oppenheimer, Ulta, Jefferies, OpenAI, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Goodyear, Wolfe, Bill Brown, Morgan Stanley downgrades Corning, TD Cowen, Cowen, KeyBanc, Dell, Clark, Wells, Fortnite, Stephens, Wedbush, Tesla, Elon Musk Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Nike, Bank of America, Broadcom, Citi, Royal, TEAM, Microsoft, OpenAI, Nvidia, Starbucks, Goodyear Tire, Civitas Resources, Netflix, Media Survey, Dell, " Bank of America, underperform Bank of America, Adobe, Colgate, Palmolive, Technology, Barclays, NextEra Energy Partners, NextEra Energy, Boeing, of America Locations: Royal Caribbean, Corning, Texas
The inflation rate the government arrives at also impacts how much you receive in Social Security benefits and likely is a factor in determining your pay. The government also has a much longer history of producing inflation reports with extremely thorough standards. Like PCE and CPI, Truflation assigns relative importance values to categories to mirror how an average consumer’s income is allocated. That’s why small increases in the cost of housing can end up having big impacts on the overall inflation rate. How Truflation data is being usedWall Street traders were the first group drawn to Truflation, Rust said.
Persons: Truflation, Hilton, Stefan Rust, Rust, , ” Danielle DiMartino Booth, Richard Fisher, Booth Organizations: New, New York CNN, Index, Federal, Social Security, PCE, CPI, Amazon, Walmart, Nielsen, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, CNN, Dallas Fed, QI Research Locations: New York, Zillow
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis point to 4.4926%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last one basis point lower to 4.8830%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited fresh economic data, including key jobs data, slated for the week. Investors looked to key economic data that could provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and the monetary policy path. Including food and energy costs, the PCE increased 0.3% from the previous month and 2.7% on an annual basis, as expected.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, European Central Bank, Traders, Fed, Investors, PCE Locations: U.S
The dollar posted its first monthly decline of the year in May, weighed down by shifting expectations on when the U.S. central bank will cut rates and by how much. Traders are now pricing in about a 53% chance of a rate cut in September, versus about 49% before the report. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.067% lower at 104.51 on Monday. Sterling was 0.04% higher at $1.27475, while the euro last fetched $1.085325 ahead of the European Central Bank policy meeting on Thursday when the central bank is seen as almost certain to cut rates. The comments from ECB officials will be in focus for traders along with economic projections as they assess whether the central bank will provide further cuts after Thursday in the wake of data showing a rise in euro zone inflation in May.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Sterling, Chris Weston, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Annex Wealth Management, European Central Bank, ECB, Japan's Ministry of Finance, U.S, IG Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, U.S, Tokyo
In today's big story, we're looking at China's strict approach to overseeing its AI development and the threat it poses to the world. The country's history of censorship and surveillance is extending to its approach to AI , writes Business Insider's Linette Lopez. AdvertisementThe CCP's plan for AI is about shaping reality and enforcing its power, according to internal documents. What to do ahead of May's jobs report. Permabull Tom Lee said it's a great time to buy stocks — shocking — with a new jobs report set to drop on Friday.
Persons: , Kiran Ridley, Stringer, Getty, Tyler Le, Insider's Linette Lopez, Linette, chatbots, Jinping, Xie Huanchi, we've, Ken Griffin's, Permabull Tom Lee, it's, Stocks, Keith Gill, It's, Amazon's, Alyssa Powell, boomer, Gen, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett, Annie Smith Organizations: Service, Harvard, Business, Chinese Communist Party, of, People, Getty, Citadel Securities, BI, GameStop, Cloud, Prime, Apple, American Express, Research, Boomers Locations: China, Beijing, Xinhua, New York, London, Chicago
New York CNN —US stocks tumbled Monday after fresh data stoked concerns about the economy’s health. Investors have in recent weeks grappled with data that suggests inflation is continuing to run hot while the economy cools. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, showed Friday that inflation stayed stubbornly high in March. New gross domestic product data released last Thursday showed that the US economy expanded at a weaker pace earlier this year than initially reported. Elsewhere, the New York Stock Exchange said Monday that a technical issue that halted trading for some stocks and caused Berkshire Hathaway shares to be down 99.97% has been resolved.
Persons: Dow, , José Torres, cinched, Keith Lerner, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Institute for Supply Management, Interactive Brokers, Federal Reserve, PCE, Commerce Department, Commerce, New York Stock Exchange, Berkshire Locations: New York
Investors should buy dips in bonds and sell stocks after the Fed's first interest rate cut, according to Bank of America. The call from Bank of America investment strategist Michael Hartnett is a reversal of his "anything but bonds trade." The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in the second half of the year. AdvertisementBank of America investment strategist Michael Hartnett is shaking up his trading playbook for the second half of the year. In a note on Friday, Hartnett recommended investors buy dips in bonds and sell stocks after the Federal Reserve makes its first interest rate cut.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, , Hartnett Organizations: Bank of America, Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, ABB, UST, PMI, Fed
One-bedroom rent hadn't surged that fast since August 2022, while two-bedroom rent rose by the most in 20 months. May marked the second time in three months that monthly rent ticked higher, following flat price growth in April. An ominous omen for inflationFaster rent growth won't just affect tenants. Below are the 25 US cities where rent for a one-bedroom apartment declined from where it was in April, according to Zumper. Along with each are its month-over-month and year-over-year rent changes, average rent price, and national rent ranking among the nation's 100 biggest markets.
Persons: , That's, 6hkPHpnbuq — James Faris, @JamesFaris_, Anthemos Georgiades Organizations: Service, Business, CPI, Consumer
The S & P 500 is a mere 1.2% from its all-time high, yet only 60% of its member stocks are up for the year and just over 40% last week were above their 50-day moving average. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, 1-year We seem to undergo one of these periods of decrying a lack of market breadth every few months in recent years. Bespoke Investment Group last week looked at the small number of past instances when the S & P 500 was so close to a record yet most stocks were beneath a 50-day average. The 100-day correlation between the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has hit its lowest level since the dot-com bust of the early 2000s, according to CNBC's Data & Analytics group. The S & P 500 at the highs hit 21-times forward earnings, and we've spent very little time above that outside the pandemic melt-up and the tech boom/bust a quarter-century ago.
Persons: Warren Pies, Dow, Scott Chronert, we've Organizations: Investment, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Treasury, Microsoft, Apple, Dow Jones, Dell Technologies, Citi, UBS Locations: Banks
One kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices were set for a fourth straight monthly gain, even as the market struggled for momentum on Friday ahead of a key U.S. inflation reading that could provide more indications on how the Federal Reserve might proceed with rate cuts later this year. Bullion prices are up 0.3% so far this week and 2.5% so far in the month. Spot silver fell 0.8% to $30.95 per ounce, but was set for its biggest monthly gain since July 2020. Platinum was down 0.2% at $1,021.94 and palladium lost 0.2% to $945.56.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Yeap Jun Rong Organizations: Co, Federal Reserve Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S
Investors should buy stocks ahead of next week's May jobs report, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. "We see high probability that stocks perform well into next week's May jobs report," Lee said. AdvertisementInvestors should buy the dip in stocks ahead of next week's release of the May jobs report, according to a Friday note from Fundstrat's Tom Lee. "Thus, we see high probability that stocks perform well into next week's May jobs report," Lee said. Such a report would match the April jobs report and likely put some pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates sooner than later.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, PCE, Housing
Excluding the more volatile categories of food and energy, the core PCE price index slowed for the month, rising 0.2% as compared to a 0.3% gain in March. On an annual basis, the core PCE price index held steady at 2.8%. Forecasts called for the monthly and annual increases in the overall and core index to be unchanged from March, according to FactSet consensus estimates. While the overall PCE price index is technically used as the Fed’s target rate, the core index has received more attention from Fed officials because it provides a clearer lens into how underlying inflation is behaving. Consumer spending also cooled for the month, rising just 0.2% as compared to the 0.7% increase recorded for March.
Organizations: CNN, Inflation, Federal Reserve, Fed, Commerce Department
In today's big story, we're looking at the historic guilty verdict against former President Donald Trump . In a historic verdict, former President Donald Trump was convicted of all 34 criminal counts related to a hush-money payment made to a porn star , write Business Insider's Laura Italiano, Jacob Shamsian, and Natalie Musumeci. AdvertisementIt's the first time a US president has become a convicted felon. This was a rigged trial by a conflicted judge that was corrupt," Trump told reporters in the Manhattan courtroom hallway. Trump told reporters Thursday the "real verdict is going to be November 5 by the people."
Persons: , Donald Trump, Tyler Le, Laura Italiano, Jacob Shamsian, Natalie Musumeci, Trump, Stormy Daniels, BI's Lloyd Lee, There's, didn't, Chip Somodevilla, Scott Eisen, Joe Biden, Alyssa Powell, Rob Arnott, Bob Elliott, Paul Singer's, Jane Street, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Liz Reid, Satya Nadella, Sam Altman, Nadella, Kevin Dietsch, Charles Schwab, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Republican, Trump, NBC, Getty, Wall, Elliott Management, BI, Tech, Sigma, Google, Microsoft, Apple, Big Locations: Giza, Manhattan, Bridgewater, New York, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPCE indicates economy 'inching towards stagflation,' says Michael CugginoJay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo Corporate and Investment Bank; Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies; and Michael Cuggino, president of the Permanent Portfolio Family of Funds join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss sticky inflation data and expectations for Fed rates.
Persons: Michael Cuggino Jay Bryson, Kumar, Michael Cuggino Organizations: PCE, Wells, Wells Fargo Corporate, Investment Bank, Komal, Sri, Kumar, Funds Locations: stagflation, Wells Fargo
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