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☆ Watch out, these S&P 500 stocks could fall in the second half of 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-22 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 is having a hot 2024, but a few names could be poised to fall from grace in the second half of the year. However, the de facto market leader and other high-flying stocks on Wall Street could face pressure after their huge runs, based on consensus price targets. CNBC Pro used its Stock Screener tool to search for S & P 500 constituents that average analyst price targets suggest could slip 10% or more moving forward. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia stock has climbed 155% in 2024. Still, analysts' price targets suggest that the stock may have gotten ahead of itself, reflecting a nearly 14% decline moving forward.

Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC Pro, Nvidia Investor, Microsoft, Wall, Qualcomm, VanEck Semiconductor, Garmin Locations: China

☆ The stock market is in its longest stretch without a 2% sell-off since the financial crisis
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The S&P 500 has gone 377 days without a 2.05% sell-off. That's the longest stretch for the benchmark since the great financial crisis, according to FactSet data compiled by CNBC. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards The S&P 500 has gone 377 days without a selloff of 2.05% or more, which is the longest period since the Great Financial Crisis. Year to date, the S&P 500 is up more than 14%. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards The S&P 500 has notched the longest stretch without a 2.15% or more gain since the Great Financial Crisis.

Persons: Angela Weiss, Adam Turnquist Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Nvidia, LPL

☆ S&P 500 to break above 5,700 in the second half of 2024, Ned Davis Research says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Historical post-election market gains could lead the S & P 500 even higher by the end of the year, according to Ned Davis Research. Ed Clissold, chief U.S. strategist raised his year-end S & P 500 target to 5,725 from 4,900 . Although Ned Davis Research isn't included in CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey , when comparing the price targets across various Wall Street names, the firm has the second-highest forecast for the broad market index. The S & P 500's 14.5% year-to-date gains have largely come from high-flying technology names such as Nvidia and Meta Platforms. The S & P 500's equal-weighted version, however, is up just 4% in 2024.

Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research, CNBC Pro's, Survey, Federal Reserve, White, Nvidia, Meta Locations: U.S

☆ Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong first half with a key inflation report on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

With stocks set to close out a strong first half of 2024, investors have just one more key inflation hurdle to clear in the week ahead: May's personal expenditure report. Next week's personal consumption expenditure data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, could show whether that overall picture is intact. May's consumer price index, for example, showed no increase from the prior month. Last month's producer price index , a measure of wholesale prices, unexpectedly dropped from the previous reading. Pending Home Sales Index (May) 11 a.m. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (June) Earnings: Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance , McCormick & Co. Friday June 28 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Stocks, Terry Sandven, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Scott Chronert, Brian Leonard, Leonard, Bank's Sandven, Sandven, Mills Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Federal, PCE, Bank of America Securities, Wall, Keeley, Advisors, FedEx, Dow, Nasdaq, Dallas Fed, Chicago, Richmond Fed, Carnival, New, Micron Technology, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance, McCormick, Chicago PMI Locations: . Kansas, Chicago, Michigan

☆ These are Wall Street's favorite Nasdaq picks for the second half
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Technology stocks have fueled market strength in 2024, and analysts are watching a group of Nasdaq 100 stocks with further upside potential ahead. Against this backdrop, CNBC Pro used its stock screener to search for Nasdaq 100 stocks that analysts expect to surge over the next 12 months. AMZN YTD mountain Amazon stock has added more than 20% in 2024. The company also beat Wall Street's revenue forecast in the first quarter and issued a higher-than-anticipated earnings outlook for the current quarter. Shares are about flat in 2024, but analysts see nearly 27% upside from current levels, per LSEG.

Persons: Alexa, Marvell, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari Organizations: Nasdaq, Broadcom, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, CNBC Pro, CNBC, Analysts, Amazon, Marvell Technology, Wall, Marvell, PDD Holdings, Diamondback Energy

☆ Stock futures are little changed after S&P 500 briefly tops 5,500: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Thursday night after the S&P 500 briefly climbed above 5,500 for the first time. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched lower by 3 points, or 0.01%.S&P 500 futures were unchanged, and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.07%. In Thursday's regular session, the S&P 500 closed 0.25% lower. At its highs of the day, the broad market index was up by as much as 0.34%, reaching 5,505.53. The S&P 500 is tracking for a roughly 0.8% advance, while the Nasdaq is up 0.2%.

Persons: Dow, Jamie Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Harris Financial

☆ Mortgage rates fall to their lowest level in almost three months
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Washington CNN —Mortgage rates fell this week to their lowest level since early April, taking some pressure off America’s unaffordable housing market. “These lower mortgage rates coupled with the gradually improving housing supply bodes well for the housing market.”Still, mortgage rates remain higher than anything seen in the decade before 2022, the year the Federal Reserve began to raise interest rates to combat inflation. Economists don’t expect the average mortgage rate to fall below 6% this year. Homebuilding constrained by high interest ratesWhile mortgage rates have eased recently, the US housing market overall remains hamstrung by elevated interest rates, which seem to be taking a toll on homebuilding. “Persistently high mortgage rates are keeping many prospective buyers on the sidelines,” NAHB Chairman Carl Harris said in a release.

Persons: Freddie Mac, ”, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, don’t, America’s homebuilders, “, Carl Harris, ” Skylar Olsen Organizations: Washington CNN —, “, Federal Reserve, Treasury, National Association of Home Builders Locations: ., Wells Fargo, America, San Diego , Los Angeles and New York, California, Honolulu

☆ These are Wall Street's favorite S&P 500 picks for the second half
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The second half of the year is around the corner, and some stocks are primed to outperform, according to a screen of Wall Street analysts' favorite picks. The following names have 20% or more upside to their analyst price targets and are already in the green for 2024 — indicating their price targets are elevated not just due to a drop in share price. To note, the price targets are 12-month estimates. Out of the four analysts covering the stock, three rate it a buy or a strong buy. Around three-quarters of analysts covering the stock have a strong buy or buy rating.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway, Guggenheim, Hess Organizations: Street, Nvidia, ISI, Citi, CNBC Pro, CNBC, Argus, Disney, Coterra, UBS, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: Warren, Chevron, Guyana

☆ India set for decade-high $2 billion bond inflows around JPMorgan index inclusion day
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

More than $200 billion in assets track the JPMorgan Emerging Market Index in which India will eventually have a weight of 10% by March 2025, suggesting total passive inflows of at least $20 billion over the 10-month period. Since there is no precedent for these debt index-related inflows, bankers' estimates of the timing of flows are based on similar index adjustments in the equity markets. "Obviously, all this is a first and you can't be sure how things will be," the head of trading at a large foreign bank cautioned. In anticipation, large foreign banks could look at building short dollar/rupee positions to help manage inflows when they happen, an FX trader at a foreign bank said. As a senior banker at a large foreign bank said: "all the pipes that have been put in place might not work."

Organizations: JPMorgan, Reserve Bank of India, FX Locations: India

☆ Investors are the most bullish since November 2021, a widely followed survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors are the most bullish they've been since November 2021, according to the global fund manager survey (FMS) released Tuesday from Bank of America Securities. Halfway through 2024, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite are each at records , on Monday closing once again at all-time highs. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024. In November 2021 — the last time Wall Street was this bullish — the S & P 500 capped off a strong year, advancing more than 26%. 1 risk on investors' minds (according to 32% of investors, down from 41% in May), followed by geopolitics (22%, up from 18%), and the U.S. presidential election (16%, up from 9%).

Persons: they've, Michael Hartnett Organizations: Investors, Bank of America Securities, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, U.S, CNBC

☆ Citi raises S&P 500 year-end forecast, third firm to do so in recent days
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Ongoing earnings strength for the "Magnificent Seven" will continue to lead the S & P 500 higher, according to Citi. Scott Chronert, the bank's head of U.S. equity strategy, increased his year-end S & P 500 target to 5,600 from 5,100. Goldman Sachs also increased its price target on the S & P 500 to 5,600 on Friday, while Evercore ISI raised its forecast to 6,000 — the highest on the Street. The S & P 500 is up more than 14% in 2024. Rather, a S & P 500 index target needs to account for related influences."

Persons: Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs, Chronert Organizations: Citi, CNBC Market, Survey, Nvidia

☆ Evercore ISI raises S&P 500 year-end forecast to 6,000, highest on Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The firm raised its year-end target for the S & P 500 to 6,000 from 4,750. The new price target also now marks the highest on Wall Street, the CNBC Market Strategist Survey shows. Emanuel also pointed to the artificial intelligence-driven rally as another factor that could blow the S & P past its old target. Enthusiasm over AI has pushed the S & P 500 to record levels this year, with the S & P 500 blowing by Emanuel's previous year-end target. Emanuel added that the 7,000 level for the S & P 500 is achievable by the end of 2025.

Persons: Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, Emanuel's Organizations: ISI, CNBC Market, Survey, Nvidia

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed as investors await May retail sales data: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Traders walk the floor during morning trading at the New York Stock Exchange on May 14, 2024. S&P 500 futures are near flat Tuesday morning after a winning day on Wall Street as investors gear up for May retail sales data. Futures linked to the broad market index inched higher by 0.03%, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.02%. Those moves follow a positive session on Wall Street that propelled the S&P 500 higher by nearly 0.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite finished with a gain of almost 1%. "Investors are basically feeling the trend is my friend until it ends," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.

Persons: Sam Stovall Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, CFRA

☆ Goldman gives its four scenarios for year-end, from a megacap super rally to a recession-driven decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is higher by 14% already this year, having topped 5,400 for the first time, already blowing past the year-end forecasts of many strategists. In its revised forecast, Goldman Sachs anticipates the S & P 500 still has further to climb. It would mean a 13% fall for the S & P 500, back down to 4,700. Megacap exceptionalism If AI stocks continue to outperform, defying expectations, stocks could see a huge megacap tech rally between now and year's end. In this scenario, investors can expect the S & P 500 to close out the year at 6,300, a gain of about 16%.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David J, Kostin, Goldman, Nvidia — Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Federal Reserve

☆ America’s top central banker says the job market is back to normal. Is that true?
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-16 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Washington CNN —America’s top central banker recently said the job market now looks the way it did before the Covid-19 pandemic drastically upended society. Before the Bell spoke with Julia Pollak, chief economist at jobs site ZipRecruiter, about her views of the job market. Before the Bell: Do you agree with Chair Powell’s view that today’s job market is back to a pre-pandemic normal? Why is the job market slower now? The number of job openings is higher than it was by around 15% or so, but online job postings are actually lower by ZipRecruiter’s count.

Persons: Washington CNN —, “, Jerome Powell, Powell, it’s, Bell, Julia Pollak, they’re, They’re, Olesya Dmitracova, Emmanuel Macron, Read, Patrick Harker, Lisa Cook, Tom Barkin, Susan Collins, Adriana Kugler, Lorie Logan, Alberto Musalem, Goolsbee Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Fed, Labor, EU, National, New York Fed, Manufacturing Index, Reserve Bank of Australia, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, Accenture, Kroger, Darden, Bank of England, US Labor Department, Philadelphia Fed, Richmond Fed, Global, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, France, Wells Fargo

☆ UBS global strategist Garthwaite says European stocks are set to outperform U.S.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It may be time for U.S. stocks to underperform their European counterparts, according to UBS global equity strategist Andrew Garthwaite. First, UBS thinks the global economy has reached a point that would make American companies more vulnerable. "The US outperformed as US GDP growth was revised up sharply relative to non-US GDP growth (especially European GDP). .SPX .STOXX YTD mountain SPX vs STOXX 600 UBS also listed the U.S. fiscal policy as a risk factor. "This hence carries with it one of the following: i) a US bond spread risk; or ii) a relative growth risk."

Persons: Andrew Garthwaite, Garthwaite Organizations: UBS, U.S Locations: U.S, underperform

☆ Investors wonder if tech can keep lifting S&P 500 to new records this summer as some cracks emerge
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Wall Street is wondering whether the tech rally that's pushed the S & P 500 through record after record this year can continue, even as some cracks emerge in the market outlook. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 near record highs A peek inside the major indexes also reveals a similar pattern. Information technology is the best-performing sector in the S & P 500 this week, gaining 6.2%. As it is, the S & P 500 is already above 5,400, having advanced more than 13% this year. Winners and losers market David Miller, investment chief at Catalyst Funds, also said the S & P 500 could end 2024 with a 17% or 18% gain.

Persons: Jeff Klingelhofer, it's, Klingelhofer, Brian Nick, Nick, Dave Sekera, Dave Donabedian, Donabedian, David Miller, Miller Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Apple, Thornburg Investment Management, CNBC, Macro, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, CIBC Private Wealth, Catalyst Funds, Microsoft, Google, Visa, MasterCard, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Novo Nordisk, TransDigm, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Kroger, Darden, PMI Locations: U.S, NAHB

☆ Stock futures are little changed after S&P 500 posts fourth consecutive closing record: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Dow Jones and S&P both hit all time highs with the Dow Jones closing over 38,000 points for the first time ever as stocks continue to rise. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)Stock futures were little changed Thursday, following a fresh record close for the S&P 500 and strong quarterly results from Adobe . Stocks are coming off a winning session that saw the S&P 500 notch its fourth-straight record close. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are on pace to end the week higher. Wholesale inflation unexpectedly ticked down by 0.2% last month, while economists polled by Dow Jones expected the gauge to increase by 0.1%.

Persons: Dow Jones, Michael M, headwinds, Dow, Barbara Doran, CNBC's, Elon Musk Organizations: NEW, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Adobe, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Wall, Capital Locations: New York City

☆ Watch out, these stocks are now overvalued after going on a monster run this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors may want to be careful when buying tech stocks, as some names in the sector have become overvalued after their recent gains. Additionally, the CNBC Magnificent 7 Index has seen gains nearly twice that of the XLK and Nasdaq year to date, rising about 35%. CNBC Pro screened FactSet data for stocks in the XLK whose forward price-earnings ratio is above the S & P 500's. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 23.4, which is nearly double its five-year average P/E of 12.6. The megacap tech stock's forward P/E of 32.8 is 13.1% above its five-year average.

Persons: Jefferies, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Barclays, Broadcom, JPMorgan, Citi, UBS, Microsoft

The S&P 500 rose Thursday after investors got more economic data indicating inflation pressures are easing. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 156 points, or 0.4%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected an increase of 0.1%. Broadcom shares surged 13% after the chipmaker topped fiscal second-quarter expectations and announced a 10-for-1 stock split. Correction: Economists polled by Dow Jones expected PPI to rise by 0.1%.

Persons: Dow Jones, James McCann Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Reserve, Fed, Broadcom, Buster's Entertainment, PPI

☆ These stocks could survive Wall Street's summer lull and thrive, CFRA’s Sam Stovall says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

June's historical average return comes out at just 0.1% while July typically sees a 1.2% gain, according to Stovall. Summer exception This summer could prove to be an exception to the typical summer lull, given the upcoming presidential election, Stovall said, noting that the broad market index has posted an average 3.7% summer increase during the 19 election years since World War II. Ahead of this year's election, Stovall expects a few aerospace and defense contractors to stand out. Other areas of the market that should survive and thrive during a slow summer period are consumer staples companies, tobacco names, health-care distributors and pharmaceuticals, Stovall said. Costco and Walmart shares are up roughly 29% and 2% this year, respectively, posting strong returns as consumers have become more motivated by price and value in a high-inflation environment.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA, Eli Lilly, Lockheed Martin, Morgan Stanley, Becton Dickinson, Christopher Horvers, FactSet Organizations: Day, Labor, Walmart, Lockheed, Dynamics, Republicans, Costco, JPMorgan

☆ These stocks are half as cheap as the S&P 500 and beating the benchmark
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 has been notching fresh highs as of late, but investors with a keen eye may find reasonably priced stocks that are beating the market. The benchmark is currently flexing a last 12-month price-earnings ratio of roughly 25 times, according to FactSet data. But some stocks are offering solid performance at a lower valuation when compared with the S & P 500. Shares climbed more than 18% in 2024 through Monday's close, compared with the S & P 500's 13% gain. Shares have climbed more than 35% in 2024, while Arch's TTM price-earnings ratio sits at 7.95, the lowest on the list.

Persons: Chubb, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Joshua Shanker, America's Shanker Organizations: CNBC Pro, CNBC, . Insurance, Berkshire, Chubb, Bank of America, " Insurance, Arch Capital, Arch, Bank, America's, Fox Corp, Hartford Financial, Altria Locations: Monday's

☆ Snap election will drive up volatility over the coming weeks, says Deutsche Bank's Uleer
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSnap election will drive up volatility over the coming weeks, says Deutsche Bank's UleerMaximilian Uleer, Deutsche Bank's head of European equity and cross-asset strategy, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how to measure the impacts of recent events in Europe, whether the moves in the French market index are an overreaction, and what the European markets are afraid of.

Persons: Bank's, Bank's Uleer Maximilian Uleer Organizations: Bank's Uleer, Deutsche Locations: Europe

☆ Morningstar calls this ETF the ‘gold standard’ for dividend funds. Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

When it comes to dividend funds, the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF is “the gold standard,” according to Morningstar. The exchange-traded fund seeks to track the total return of the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index. Therefore, it is not like its peers that track a broad market index, Jackson pointed out. It also looks at return on equity, dividend yield and the dividend growth rate over the past five years. After the stocks are selected, the index market cap weighs them, with a maximum position around 4%.

Persons: Morningstar, Ryan Jackson, ”, Russell, Jackson, Schwab, D.J, Tierney, Morningstar's Jackson Organizations: Schwab, SEC, Morningstar, Dow Jones U.S, Schwab Asset Management

☆ Cramer explains why it's not wise to stick with stocks booted from the S&P 500
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

After the S&P 500 knocked three stocks from its ranks last week, CNBC's Jim Cramer told investors why it is usually not a good idea to stick with these companies. "When you see a stock that gets expelled from the S&P 500, please don't bother to try to catch a bottom — you're most likely catching a falling knife," he said. The S&P 500 evaluates the performance of roughly 500 of the largest publicly traded stocks and is seen as a bellwether for the market. He also reviewed several other recent S&P 500 castoffs and found that most of those stocks have also underperformed. Although buying an index fund is usually considered passive investing, Cramer said the S&P 500 is more actively managed than many realize.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Robert Half, Cramer Organizations: U.S ., Comerica

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