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Pan Gongsheng was appointed Saturday as the new Communist Party chief at the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), in a surprise move as Beijing bolsters its drive to arrest the country’s economic slowdown and stem a slide in its currency. Pan currently serves as the deputy governor of the PBOC. “My initial reaction is this suggests Xi [Jinping] is more concerned about China’s economy than before the 20th Party Congress,” Thomas said. Since then, he has spent nearly two decades working at large state-owned banks, including the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) and the Agricultural Bank of China (ABC). After returning to China, he was promoted to deputy governor at the PBOC in 2012.

Persons: Yi Gang, Pan Gongsheng, Janet Yellen, Pan, Yi, didn’t, Guo Shuqing, Neil Thomas, wasn’t, ” Thomas, Xi, Mao, Thomas, China’s, Biden, ” Organizations: Beijing CNN, Cambridge University, Harvard University, Communist Party, People’s Bank of China, Securities Times, CNN, Ant, Asia Society, Center for, Communist Party’s, Committee, 20th Party Congress, Wall Street Journal, Treasury Department, Renmin University of China, Industrial, Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, ABC, Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Beijing, P Global, PMI Locations: Hong Kong, Beijing, China, Shanghai, Center for China, United States, West

☆ China's factory activity grew more slowly in June, Caixin survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

China's factory activity grew more slowly in June, a private-sector survey showed on Monday, corroborating official data last week that pointed to stuttering growth in the world's second-largest economy. The Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers' index slipped to 50.5 in June from 50.9 in May. China's National Bureau of Statistics released data last Friday that showed the country's official manufacturing PMI coming in at 49.0 in June — compared with 48.8 in May. "Problems reflected in June's Caixin China manufacturing PMI, ranging from an increasingly dire job market to rising deflationary pressure and waning optimism, also point to the same conclusion." The Caixin manufacturing PMI surveys around 650 private and state-owned manufacturers that tend to be more export-oriented and located in China's coastal regions, while the official PMI surveys 3,200 companies across China.

Persons: —, Wang Zhe Organizations: P Global, National Bureau of Statistics, Caixin Insight, PMI Locations: June's, China

☆ Oil prices slip on global economic slowdown fears
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices slipped in early Asian trade on Monday as global macroeconomic headwinds and possible further interest rate hikes from the U.S. Federal Reserves offset forecasts of tighter supplies amid OPEC+ cuts. Fears of a further slowdown hurting fuel demand grew after data on Friday showed U.S. inflation still outpacing the central bank's 2% target and stoked expectations it would hike interest rates again. Higher interest rates could strengthen the greenback, making commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies, and also dampen oil demand. However, the latest Reuters survey showed OPEC oil output has fallen only slightly in June as increases in Iraq and Nigeria limited the impact of cutbacks by others. U.S. crude output fell in April to 12.615 million barrels per day, its lowest since February, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Friday.

Persons: Brent, WTI, Caixin, Baker Hughes Organizations: U.S . Federal, Brent, . West Texas, National Australia Bank, Saudi, Petroleum Reserve, NAB, Organization of, Petroleum, U.S . Energy, Administration Locations: U.S, China, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Nigeria

☆ US manufacturing slump deepens, factory gate price pressures subdued
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Shrinking activity left factories resorting to layoffs, the survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed on Monday. ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee Chair Timothy Fiore described the practise as happening "to a greater extent than in prior months." At face value, the ISM survey is consistent with an economy that is in recession. The ISM survey showed that transportation equipment was the only one of the six biggest industries reporting growth last month. ISM manufacturing PMIWEAK DEMANDThe ISM survey's forward-looking new orders sub-index climbed to a still-subdued 45.6 from 42.6 in May amid increased caution from businesses and consumers alike.

Persons: Timothy Fiore, payrolls, Andrew Hunter, Jonathan Millar, José Torres, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Institute for Supply Management, Manufacturing Business Survey, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, PMI, Reuters, Treasury, Barclays, Manufacturers, Machinery, Commerce Department, Interactive Brokers, Thomson Locations: homebuilding WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, Miami

July 3 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Purchasing managers index (PMI) reports on Monday from across the Asia-Pacific region, including China, India, South Korea and Australia, will give the first glimpse into private sector services and factory activity in June. Monday's Asian economic calendar is dominated by a raft of manufacturing PMIs including China's, Indonesian inflation, Japan's 'tankan' business sentiment survey for the second quarter, and Australian housing. China's Caixin manufacturing PMI is expected to fall to 50.2 from 50.9, signaling a slowdown in factory sector growth almost the point of stagnation. The official PMI, expected to show a third month of contraction, will be released on Friday.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: Japan's Nikkei, U.S, PMI, Equity, Indonesia CPI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Asia, Japan, Pacific, China, India, South Korea, Australia, Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia

☆ What the stock market is saying about when to expect a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-02 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

As the economy proved more resilient than expected, and the US has avoided recession so far, the case for a 2023 recession has been crumbling. The stock market, which entered bull market territory just a few weeks ago, has shown little sign this year that the economy could be headed for a downturn. Still, the bond market tells a different story: The New York Federal Reserve’s recession probability model calculates the probability that the US will enter a recession in the next 12 months by tracking the spread of 3-month and 10-year Treasury yields. US stock market closes early at 1 p.m. Tuesday: US stock market closed for July Fourth.

Persons: Brian Moynihan, “ We’re, ”, David Grecsek, Jerome Powell, it’s, “ we’re, Russell, Outflows, Brian Mulberry, Tim Courtney, Courtney ., “, Niño, Samantha Delouya, El Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, CNN, Vanguard, JPMorgan Chase, Investors, Fed, Investment Company Institute, Zacks Investment Management, New, Federal Reserve Bank of San, Exencial Wealth, Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, PMI, Labor Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, El

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), June 29, 2023. U.S. stock futures were little changed Sunday night, as traders prepared for the second half of what's already been a stellar year on Wall Street. Tesla shares were little changed in overnight trading after the electric vehicle maker reported delivery and production numbers that beat analysts' expectations. Recent data showing a resilient U.S. economy despite higher rates also lifted investor sentiment, easing some fears on Wall Street of a long-awaited downturn. Investors will pore over the latest ISM Manufacturing PMI and S&P Global manufacturing PMI data for June Monday morning ahead of Friday's keynote jobs report.

Persons: Stocks, Mark Hackett, Nationwide's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Independence, Manufacturing PMI, P Global Locations: technicals

Club stock Apple finished the second quarter with a 17.6% gain and the first half of the year with a 49% advance. Meta jumped 35% in the second quarter and 138% year to date. Estee Lauder lost 20% in the second quarter and nearly 21% year to date. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.4% in the second quarter and 3.8% for the year. But, it was the Nasdaq that outshined them all — soaring nearly 13% in the second quarter and almost 32% in the first six months of the year.

Persons: Meta, Estee Lauder, Locker, Wells, Morgan Stanley, —, Wells Fargo, Levi Strauss, LEVI, That's, Friday's, Gold, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Tim Cook, Josh Edelson Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Investors, Apple, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Federal, PMI, Independence, Modelo, Constellation Brands, U.S, Treasury, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Apple's Worldwide, AFP, Getty Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Corona, Cupertino , California

The non-manufacturing PMI fell to 53.2 from 54.50 in May, indicating a slowdown in service sector activity and construction. Nomura has been the most bearish, cutting its forecast for growth in China's gross domestic product (GDP) this year to 5.1% from 5.5%. "This indicates the urgent need for a more powerful package of policy measures... to ensure the annual growth targets," he added. The government has set a modest GDP growth target of about 5% for this year after badly missing its 2022 goal. China's cabinet this month pledged to promote a sustained economic recovery "in a timely manner".

Persons: Rob Carnell, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Nomura, Bruce Pang, Jones Lang LaSalle, Li Qiang, ING's Carnell, Joe Cash, Sam Holmes Organizations: . Services, National Bureau, Statistics, ING, Capital Economics, PMI, Jones, Reuters, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Asia, Pacific, Tianjin, Beijing

BEIJING, June 30 (Reuters) - China's manufacturing activity contracted for a third straight month in June, albeit at a slower pace, an official factory survey showed on Friday, as pressure builds for policymakers to release more stimulus to shore up weak demand. "Economic momentum is still quite weak in China," said Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management in a note. "It is not clear if the weak economic data would push the government to launch aggressive stimulus measures soon," he added. The official non-manufacturing PMI fell to 53.2 from 54.50 in May, indicating a slowdown in service sector activity and construction. The composite PMI, which includes both manufacturing and non-manufacturing activity, dropped to 52.3 from 52.9.

Persons: Zhiwei Zhang, Nomura, Li Qiang, Joe Cash, Sam Holmes Organizations: . Services, National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, PMI, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Tianjin, Beijing

☆ The AI-powered rally to start the year could broaden out in the third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks markets are wrapping up a surprisingly strong start to the year, but whether it will continue is an open question as investors wade into a seasonally weak period for markets. Even the laggard Dow Jones Industrial Average, with few tech stocks, managed to eke out a 3.6% gain. Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla account for 80% of the gains in the S & P 500, according to UBS. The S & P 500 health sector is down almost 3% this year. Next week marks the start of July and the third quarter of 2023.

Persons: didn't, Jamie Cox, Cox, John Lynch, Harris Financial's Cox, that's, Comerica's Lynch, Kim Forrest, Nonfarm payrolls Organizations: Spring, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Harris Financial, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, UBS, Comerica Wealth Management, Nasdaq, Investors, Bokeh Capital Partners, Independence, P Global, PMI, Tuesday U.S

☆ China’s factory activity shrinks for a third month as recovery momentum stalls
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Factory activity in China in June contracted for a third month, official data released June 30, 2023 show. Weak China economic data in April and May have fanned calls for economic stimulus for the world's second-largest economy. China's factory activity in June contracted for a third month, while non-manufacturing activity was at its weakest since Beijing abandoned its strict "zero Covid" policy late last year. A PMI reading above 50 points to an expansion in activity, while a reading below that level suggests a contraction. It is not clear if the weak economic data would push the government to launch aggressive stimulus measures soon," he added.

Persons: —, Zhang Zhiwei Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, PMI Locations: China, Beijing

[1/2] A worker works on a production line at a factory of a ship equipments manufacturer, in Nantong, Jiangsu province, China March 2, 2020. China Daily via REUTERSBEIJING, June 29 (Reuters) - China's factory activity likely contracted for a third straight month in June, albeit at a marginally slower pace, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday, underscoring the need for further policy stimulus to counter weak demand at home and abroad. An index reading above 50 indicates expansion activity on a monthly basis and a reading below indicates contraction. The government has set a modest GDP growth target of about 5% for this year after badly missing its 2022 goal. The highest reading in the poll was 49.7, still short of breaking into expansion territory, while the lowest reading was 48.0.

Persons: Nomura, Li Qiang, Joe Cash, Madhumita Gokhale, Anant Chandak, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: REUTERS, PMI, Thomson Locations: Nantong, Jiangsu province, China, REUTERS BEIJING, Tianjin, Bengaluru

☆ US business activity growth slows in June but services keep humming along
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Dan Burns | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

June 23 (Reuters) - U.S. business activity fell to a three-month low in June as services growth eased for the first time this year and the contraction in the manufacturing sector deepened, closely watched survey data out Friday showed. Nonetheless, it was the fifth straight month that the PMI remained above 50, indicating growth in the private sector. The survey's flash services sector PMI fell to 54.1 from 54.9 in May. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the services PMI would ease to 54.0. Its flash manufacturing PMI dropped to 46.3 from 48.4 in May and was weaker than economists' median forecast of 48.5.

Persons: Chris Williamson, Williamson, Dan Burns, Chizu Organizations: P Global, PMI, P Global Market Intelligence, Commerce Department, Fed, Investors, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Atlanta

☆ China makes surprise rate cut as economic recovery loses steam
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

The rate will drop to 1.9% from 2%, according to the People’s Bank of China. The rate cut reveals “growing concerns among policymakers” about the health of China’s recovery, Capital Economics analysts said on Tuesday. “The … rate cut came earlier and sharper than our and market expectations, highlighting the sense of urgency to alleviate economic momentum and business confidence,” said Becky Liu, head of China macro strategy for Standard Chartered Bank. That rate cut also came as a surprise and followed a week of turmoil in global financial markets triggered by the failure of some regional US banks. In the language of China’s policymakers, that implies a bias towards easing monetary policy, said Larry Hu, chief China economist for Macquarie Group.

Persons: ”, Becky Liu, Zhaopeng Xing, Betty Wang, Yi Gang, Larry Hu, “ Governor Yi Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, People’s Bank of China, Capital, Standard Chartered Bank, PMI, ANZ Research, Macquarie Group, “ Locations: Hong Kong, China

☆ Global manufacturing is sputtering
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-11 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

S&P Global data showed that the US manufacturing sector fell into contraction territory in May. Business conditions in China’s manufacturing industry, the largest in the world, improved in May, according to the Caixin manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index. Globally, manufacturers’ optimism fell to its lowest level since December, according to the JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI. The possibility of China reinvigorating global economic growth is slipping. That could eventually lead to global manufacturers trimming their workforces if demand for goods continues to weaken and their backlogs shrink further.

Persons: ”, Ariane Curtis, “ We’ve, Tom Garretson, Jerome Powell, hasn’t, won’t bode, Liu Young, Monish Patolawala Organizations: DC CNN — Manufacturers, Factories, P, Institute for Supply Management, Commerce Department, JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI, Capital Economics, International Monetary Fund, RBC Wealth Management, Credit Suisse, UBS, The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, Apple, 3M, National Association of Manufacturers Locations: Washington, United States, Ireland, China, Europe, Germany, Europe’s

☆ The U.S. economy keeps skirting recession, but consumer sector might slowly be splitting apart
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The signals that economists lean on to gauge the odds of a recession are contradictory at the moment. The yield curve remains deeply inverted, and manufacturing surveys have been flashing recession signals for months. On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs lowered its odds of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months to just 25%. watch nowBut can the strong consumer sector continue to hold up as the pandemic-era savings fade away and interest rates remain elevated? Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Dollar General's stock fell sharply after the retailer cut its full-year outlook.

Persons: Mike Blake, Goldman Sachs, Marko Kolanovic, Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin, It's, Nick Bunker, they're, Bunker Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, PMI, JPMorgan, New York Life Investments, Target, American Airlines, Labor, Meta, Disney, North America Locations: Carlsbad , California, U.S

☆ Dollar falls after weak services data
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Karen Brettell | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

NEW YORK, June 5 (Reuters) - The dollar fell on Monday on news that the U.S. services sector barely grew in May as new orders slowed, ending an initial rally sparked by strong jobs growth. A reading above 50 indicates growth in the services industry, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy. The dollar index fell to 104.00, down 0.13% on the day, after climbing as high as 104.40. The Aussie dollar edged higher before the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is due to announce its interest rate decision on Tuesday. "We expect the RBA to hike tomorrow and guide for more, leading to a ~25-bp upgrade to terminal rate pricing and a sharp AUD rally."

Persons: Bill Adams, Brian Daingerfield, Philip Jefferson, Daingerfield, Wells, Erik Nelson, Jack Boswell, Iain Withers, Kirsten Donovan, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Institute for Supply Management, Reuters, Comerica Bank, Reserve, NatWest Markets, Reserve Bank of Australia, U.S ., Thomson Locations: Stamford , Connecticut, U.S, London

☆ Euro zone business growth slowed in May as factories struggled-PMI
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

While still comfortably above the 50 mark separating growth from contraction it was below a preliminary estimate for 53.3. A PMI covering the services sector dropped to 55.1 from April's one-year high of 56.2, below the 55.9 flash reading. A manufacturing PMI released last week showed the downturn in factory activity deepened as demand slumped despite prices falling. "The services sector is being supported by the strong labour market, rising wages and a tourism sector that is flourishing throughout Europe," said de la Rubia. "The latter is confirmed by the new export business PMI, which includes tourism-related demand and remained near its series peak in May."

Persons: Cyrus de la Rubia, Jonathan Cable, Toby Chopra Organizations: P Global, April's, Hamburg Commercial Bank, PMI, European Central Bank, ECB, Thomson Locations: Hamburg, Europe

☆ Defense spending lifts US factory orders in April
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

June 5 (Reuters) - New orders for U.S.-made goods rose for a second straight month in April, boosted largely by defense spending, but the overall manufacturing industry continued to struggle under the weight of higher interest rates. Factory orders increased 0.4% after a 0.6% gain in March, the Commerce Department said on Monday. Orders increased 1.4% through April from a year earlier. The Institute for Supply Management last week said its manufacturing PMI contracted for a seventh straight month in May. Excluding transportation, orders fell 0.2%, dropping for a third straight month and to their lowest since February 2022.

Persons: Banks, Dan Burns, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: U.S, Commerce Department, Reuters, Federal, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Civilian, Thomson

☆ US services sector softens, factory orders boosted by defense
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"Momentum had been very strong in the services sector since the reopening process began, but the sector is clearly cooling down now," Thomas Simons, U.S. economist at Jefferies, wrote in a note. The services sector is at the center of the battle against inflation, as services prices tend to be stickier and less responsive to rate hikes. ISM services PMISome economists view the ISM services prices paid gauge as a good predictor of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation. Excluding the defense sector, orders were down 0.4%, and excluding transportation orders - where military orders again had the largest footprint - bookings were down 0.2%. With consumer spending shifting more toward services, consumer goods orders slid for a third straight month to their lowest level since February 2022.

Persons: Thomas Simons, Simons, Lucia Mutikani, Dan Burns, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Institute for Supply Management, Reuters, PMI, ISM, Fed, Jefferies, U.S, Services, Commerce Department, Factory, Thomson Locations: U.S

[1/2] A tug boat pushes an oil barge through New York Harbor past the Statue of Liberty in New York City, U.S., May 24, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidLONDON, June 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Friday after a U.S. debt ceiling deal averted a default in the world's biggest oil consumer and jobs data indicated a possible rate hike pause, while attention turned to a meeting of OPEC ministers and their allies at the weekend. Earlier signals of a potential pause in rate hikes by the Federal Reserve also provided support to oil prices, not least by weighing on the U.S. dollar , making oil cheaper for holders of other currencies. Meanwhile, manufacturing data out of China, the world's second biggest oil consumer, painted a mixed picture. Reporting by Shadia Nasralla; additional reporting by Andrew Hayley; editing by Susan Fenton and Kirsten DonovanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid LONDON, Shadia Nasralla, Andrew Hayley, Susan Fenton, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Organization of, Petroleum, U.S . Institute for Supply Management, Thomson Locations: New York Harbor, of, New York City, U.S, Russia, China

☆ Oil prices rise as Congress approves US debt ceiling bill
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Andrew Hayley | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermidBEIJING, June 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Friday amid bullish sentiment following the passage of a U.S. debt ceiling bill in Washington, while markets weighed the likelihood of price-supportive OPEC+ production cuts over the weekend. Further reductions in OPEC+ output following their surprise cut of 1.16 million barrels per day in April would be bullish for crude prices. Other market observers have pointed to weak manufacturing data out of China and the U.S. as making OPEC+ cuts more likely. "Oil prices are stabilizing after a round of disappointing global manufacturing data supported the case for OPEC+ to deliver another production cut," said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at OANDA. However, traders are "thinking that Russia might not necessarily stick to a hard stance on output cuts, especially since they are struggling to commit to their quotes," Moya added.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Edward Moya, Thursday's, Moya, Andrew Hayley, Jamie Freed, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Federal Reserve, Thursday's, Energy Information Administration, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters, HSBC, OANDA, U.S ., Institute for Supply Management, PMI, P Global, Thomson Locations: New York Harbor, of, New York City, U.S, Brendan McDermid BEIJING, Washington, Russia, China, P Global China

[1/2] A tug boat pushes an oil barge through New York Harbor past the Statue of Liberty in New York City, U.S., May 24, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidLONDON, June 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Friday after a U.S. debt ceiling deal averted a default in the world's biggest oil consumer, while attention turned to a meeting of OPEC ministers and their allies at the weekend. Earlier signals of a potential pause in rate hikes by the Federal Reserve also provided support to oil prices, not least by weighing on the U.S. dollar , making oil cheaper for holders of other currencies. Investor attention is also fixed on the June 4 meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, collectively called OPEC+. Meanwhile, manufacturing data out of China, the world's second biggest oil consumer, painted a mixed picture.

Persons: Brendan McDermid LONDON, Shadia Nasralla, Andrew Hayley, Susan Fenton, Jason Neely Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Organization of, Petroleum, U.S . Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Thomson Locations: New York Harbor, of, New York City, U.S, Russia, China

Fed officials pointed toward a rate hike "skip" at its June 13-14 meeting, giving time for the central bank to assess the impact of its tightening cycle thus far against still-strong inflation data. U.S. manufacturing contracted for a seventh straight month in May as new orders continued to plummet amid higher interest rates, but factories boosted employment to a nine-month high. "We have made clear that we still have ground to cover to bring interest rates to sufficiently restrictive levels," Lagarde said in a speech. Money markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point hike when the ECB meets on June 15. "There's a sort of narrowing interest rate differential ... when the ECB is expected to hike one or two more times and the Fed is more questionable about that."

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Edward Moya, Patrick Harker, payrolls, Lagarde, John Velis, Hannah Lang, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Andrew Heavens, Will Dunham, Mark Potter, Leslie Adler Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, OANDA, Philadelphia Federal, ADP, Institute for Supply Management, ECB, BNY Mellon, Thomson Locations: OANDA . U.S, Washington, London, Singapore

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