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☆ A 'Roaring '20s' economy is becoming more likely as bullish factors stack up, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

UBS predicts a "Roaring '20s" economy, assigning a 50% chance to such an expansion by 2030. Solid data revisions, along with Fed rate cuts, support the optimistic outlook. "It's no longer too soon nor too optimistic to suggest that the US will experience a Roaring '20s economy," UBS said. AdvertisementA slew of bullish factors suggest the economy could be headed towards "Roaring '20s" status, according to a Monday note from UBS. Advertisement"The bread crumbs suggest a policy reaction function that is directionally supportive of a Roaring '20s outcome," Draho said of the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's full employment goals.

Persons: —, UBS's, Jason Draho, Draho, Jerome Powell's Organizations: UBS, Service, Treasury, Atlanta, CPI

The yield on the 10-year Treasury added more than 3 basis points to 3.787%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.637% after rising more than 7 basis points. U.S. Treasury yields advanced Monday as investors considered the state of the economy after the latest data release and commentary from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Investors were assessing the state of the economy, including the path ahead for inflation and what this could mean for interest rates after the release of key data. The 12-month inflation rate came in at 2.2%, down from 2.5% in July and the lowest since February 2021.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, National Association for Business Economics, Investors, PCE, Fed, PMI

☆ A researcher who studied Trump's plans to control the Fed said it could tank the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-29 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Economists at the Peterson Institute studied what would happen if Trump undermined Fed independence. The study's lead researchers dug into the economic impact of three of Trump's campaign promises: mass deportations, tariffs, and eroding Fed independence. Though Trump promises an America First economic agenda, McKibbin said that taking control of the Fed would get him the opposite results. AdvertisementHe doesn't think the public is paying enough attention to the risks of Trump's Fed proposals or the overall murkiness of the candidates' economic policy. "If you're going to advocate a policy, there has to be evidence as to why you're advocating that policy," McKibbin said.

Persons: Trump, —, Warwick McKibbin, McKibbin, Jerome Powell, Trump hasn't, they're, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: Peterson Institute, Fed, BI, Service, Federal, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Trump, PIIE, Business, Wall Street Journal, Biden Locations: China, Canada, Mexico, Australia, America

Angela Weiss | AFP | Getty ImagesAs she unveiled her most detailed economic plan yet this week, Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris pledged to fight price gouging in order to rein in voters' grocery costs. Although Harris released more detail Wednesday as part of her 82-page economic plan, it's still unclear what price hikes her administration would see as illegal "price gouging." Generally, Republicans support fewer economic regulations, although Trump has suggested limiting food imports as a way to lower grocery prices. What is price gouging? Thirty-seven U.S. states already have laws that forbid price gouging in emergencies.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Doug Emhoff, Angela Weiss, Donald Trump, Harris, it's, Walz, Trump, YouGov, Rakeen Mabud, Mabud, Mario Tama, markups, —, Jerome Powell —, Sarah Gallo, Brian Cornell, Jharonne Martis, Brandon Bell, Kroger, Arun Sundaram, Sundaram, JBS, Joe Raedle Organizations: Democratic, AFP, Getty, Trump, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Voters, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, Consumer Brands Association, Federal Trade, Department of, Kroger, Procter, Gamble, Albertsons, Federal Trade Commission, CFRA Research, Pilgrim's Pride Corporation Locations: Coraopolis , Pennsylvania, Los Angeles , California, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Houston , Texas, Miami , Florida

☆ After a week of records, there's one main market event that could change everything
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-29 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The Fed's target inflation rate is 2%, so we're getting closer. In the week ahead, we get quarterly results from Club name Constellation Brands and the government's September employment report. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs This coming Friday's big update on the state of the labor market is the main market event and could have big implications for Wall Street and the path for Fed rate cuts. However, the market took the news in stride because recent weakness in the stock was already reflecting the sluggish sales environment. ET: September ADP Report Before the bell: Conagra (CAG) After the bell: Levi Strauss (LEVI) Thursday, Oct. 3 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Thursday's, Jerome Powell, we'll, We're, Levi Strauss, LEVI, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Core PCE, GE Healthcare, Costco, Constellation Brands, Wall, ADP, Pacifico, McCormick &, PMI, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Covid, Corona, New York City

☆ These 2 market indicators with perfect track records since 1984 are flashing a Harris presidency — but they could be wrong this time
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-29 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500's positive performance this year means that a Harris victory is likely, history says. The S&P 500 has gained 10% since August 5, and if it keeps going up, a Harris victory seems imminent. Likewise, the so-called Misery Index is flashing a Harris victory. If the stock market declines, the outlook for a Harris victory could quickly sour. While these indicators might be flashing a Harris victory for now, nothing's set in stone leading up to this election.

Persons: Harris, —, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, it's, Jerome Powell, Lynch, nothing's Organizations: Service, Comerica Wealth Management, Federal

☆ A $28 trillion problem is about to get much worse. Harris and Trump are ignoring it
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

But now, as the dangers of a widening deficit and mounting debt grow, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are making little effort to address it. A budget deficit occurs when a country’s spending exceeds what it collects in revenue, primarily through taxes. The deficit is expected to widen under the status quo and could get even worse under proposals by both Harris and Trump, if enacted. During the Trump-Harris presidential debate earlier this month, the budget deficit was mentioned just twice, when Harris jabbed Trump for his proposals, which are expected to add considerably more to the deficit than hers. In the 2021 fiscal year, during which Trump left office, the country ran a $2.8 trillion deficit.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, Jerome Powell, “ It’s, ” Powell, Harris jabbed Trump, ”, Maya MacGuineas, “, Barack Obama, we’ve, I’ve, Obama, Mitt Romney, ” Obama, Romney, Hillary Clinton, Powell, MacGuineas, There’s, Kent Smetters, aren’t Trump, Smetters, aren’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, Trump, Republican, Democratic, Congressional, CNN, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Penn Wharton Budget, ”, Republicans, Democrats, “ Locations: New York, China, Japan

☆ The Fed slashed interest rates last week, but Treasury yields are rising. What’s going on?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

The Treasury market, though, hasn’t been paying attention. Officials penciled in another 50 basis points in reductions by the end of the year and another 100 by the end of 2025. That sentiment is evident in the “breakeven” inflation rate, or the difference between standard Treasury and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities yields. The 5-year breakeven rate, for instance, has risen 8 basis points since the Fed meeting and is up 20 basis points since Sept. 11. Taken together, the various dynamics in the Treasury market are making it a difficult time for investors.

Persons: hasn’t, ”, Jonathan Duensing, — haven’t, “, Robert Tipp, We’re, Jerome, Powell, ” Duensing, Tom Garretson, “ They’d, There’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Amundi, Fed, CME, Treasury Inflation, RBC Wealth Management

☆ Veteran investor Dietze names the sectors — and stocks — he likes right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Favorable valuations Small-cap stocks are one area Dietze is watching closely, given that they are trading at a "discount." Interest in small-cap stocks picked up in July and while the outlook has been mixed, he likes that "valuations are favorable" right now. Emerging markets Another popular segment Dietze is focusing on is emerging markets, thanks to the potential from their rapidly growing population numbers. Countries classified as emerging markets include China, India, South Korea, Taiwan and Brazil. Year-to-date, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is up 0.56%.

Persons: Dow Jones, David Dietze, CNBC's, Dietze's, Russell, Jerome, Dietze, Hershey, —, Jesse Pound Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, mull, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, CNBC, Myers Squibb, BHP Group Locations: U.S ., U.S, China, India, South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, Bristol

☆ David Tepper says the Fed has to cut rates at least two or three more times to keep credibility
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Appaloosa Management's David Tepper said investors should believe the Federal Reserve when it says it will lower interest rates because the central bank has now to keep credibility. "Probably two or three interest rates, 25 basis point cuts, they have to do, or they lose credibility," Tepper said. You know, another 25, 25, 25 seems like it's going to have to be done." The super-sized rate cut last week came despite most economic indicators looking fairly solid. "It was around the 90s in that market where the where the Fed cut rates into Y2K in a good economy," he said.

Persons: David Tepper, Tepper, " Powell, Jerome Powell, Rich, " Tepper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Gross, Atlanta Fed, U.S, National Football League's Carolina Panthers Locations: U.S, China

☆ Treasury yields hold steady as investors look to economic data, Fed speaker comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by less than one basis point to 3.7791%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.5653% after rising by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Thursday as investors looked to fresh economic data and remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Economists polled by Dow Jones are expecting weekly initial jobless claims to come in at 223,000 for the most recent period. Elsewhere, the Swiss National Bank on Thursday cut its key interest rate by a quarter point, marking the third reduction this year.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Swiss National Bank Locations: U.S

☆ Trump’s promises would spike inflation and wipe out jobs, study finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

The paper represents the most comprehensive analysis to date on the combined impact of Trump’s trade, immigration and Fed proposals. In that scenario, employment would be 9% lower than baseline by 2028 and inflation would surge to 9.3% by 2026. “So-called economists and experts doubted President Trump’s economic plans in his first term. That means the same factory workers Trump says he is trying to help would be hurt the most. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was nominated by Trump in 2017, cautioned against any effort to interfere with Fed independence.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, “, Warwick McKibbin, Megan Hogan, Marcus Noland, they’ll, ” Karoline Leavitt, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, McKibbin, Mark Zandi, ”, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, We’re Organizations: CNN, Republican, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Trump, Security, ”, Peterson, Moody’s, Bloomberg Locations: United States, China, America, Georgia, Michigan, outflows

☆ Dollar firm following sharp rebound as Fed speakers eyed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Earlier this week, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said policymakers "can't be behind the curve" if the economy is to have a soft landing. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said the central bank needn't go on a "mad dash" to lower rates. Later Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell gives pre-recorded remarks at a conference in New York, where New York Fed President John Williams also speaks. Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Fed Governors Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook take to the podium at various other venues as well. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's July meeting, when the central bank raised short-term interest rates, showed policymakers were divided on how quickly the central bank should raise interest rates further.

Persons: Adriana Kugler, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, I'm, it's, Kenneth Crompton, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Susan Collins, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, NAB's Crompton, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Reserve, Fed, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed, National Australia Bank, New York Fed, Boston, Weekly U.S, Traders, Bank of Japan's, Swiss Locations: New York

☆ Gold lingers near record highs, Powell's speech eyed for rate cues
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Bullion has risen nearly 29% so far in 2024 and hit record highs several times this year, largely fueled by monetary policy easing by major global banks and geopolitical concerns. Last Wednesday, the Fed delivered a 50-basis-point rate cut, with traders seeing a 62% chance of an additional half-percentage-point reduction in November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Additionally, U.S. jobless claims data on Thursday and the core personal consumption expenditure index — the Fed's preferred inflation — on Friday, will be eyed for further rate cues.

Persons: Tim Waterer, Bullion, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Michael Barr, Nicholas Frappell Organizations: U.S ., KCM, Fed, New York Fed, ABC Refinery Locations: .

☆ Gold touches record high on rate-cut bets, weaker U.S. dollar
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars sit in a vault at the Perth Mint Refinery, operated by Gold Corp, in Perth, Australia, on August 9, 2018. Gold hit a record high on Wednesday, boosted by a softer U.S. dollar and hopes of more interest rate cuts, while investors looked for new signals for the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory. Spot gold was steady at $2,658.08 per ounce, as of 0557 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,670.43 earlier. On Tuesday, China announced a slew of support measures including outsized rate cuts, after the U.S. Fed cut rates by 50 basis points last week. Inflows to gold exchange-traded funds, particularly from Western investors, will rise in the coming months, providing further support for record-high bullion prices, analysts said.

Persons: Gold, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Wong, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, heightening Organizations: Perth Mint Refinery, Gold Corp, U.S, Fed, Asia Pacific, Traders Locations: Perth, Australia, China, Beirut

☆ There's a new reason people feel bad about the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewIt's official: The labor market vibes are not great. It's the largest tumble in sentiment since August 2021 — and workers' experiences with and expectations for the labor market are partially to blame. A weaker jobs market — although one that's still historically strong — is warping Americans' beliefs about the economy. Even so, though, it'll take a little while for new monetary policy to trickle into daily life and the labor market. Are you having trouble finding a job, or is the job market making you feel bad?

Persons: —, It's, Jerome Powell, Wells, Shannon Seery Grein, Jeremiah Kohl, Dana M, Peterson, it'll, Julia Pollak Organizations: Service, Conference, Business, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Conference Board's, New York Federal Reserve's Survey, Consumer, Survey, Labor

☆ Gold’s hitting new records again. Here’s what it means for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Gold, traditionally perceived as a haven, has climbed roughly 30% this year, outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index’s 20% gain. Fresh consumer confidence data on Tuesday indicated that Americans are feeling pessimistic about the US economy and future of the job market. JPMorgan Chase researchers said in a note on Monday that they expect the yellow metal to continue running toward their 2025 target price of $2,850 an ounce as the Fed brings down rates. Silver, another precious metal that tends to move in tandem with gold, has jumped roughly 34% this year, outperforming the yellow metal. New moves from China to revive its economy also has the potential to lift precious metals, said Rhind.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ”, Kristina Hooper, JPMorgan Chase, “ There’s, Will Rhind, Rhind Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Traders, JPMorgan, Treasury, GraniteShares, Citi Locations: New York, China, Turkey, India, China’s

☆ How Apple and Microsoft’s trusted brands are being used to scam you online
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Cheryl Winokur Munk | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

No, it's not really Apple or Microsoft popping up on your screen to tell you your computer has been infected. "Because, who doesn't know Microsoft or Apple as a brand?" Here's what people should know to protect themselves from scams targeting commonly used, trusted tech brands:Never assume any online ad is authenticPeople can be duped in a number of ways. Sometimes simply opening the attachment could infect a consumer's computer with malware. If, for instance, you called a number for "Microsoft" or "Apple" and gave usernames and passwords, change those.

Persons: it's, It's scammers, Cliff Steinhauer, Nati Tal, Bing, Malwarebytes, Jérôme Segura, Segura, Jim Routh, It's, Routh Organizations: National Cybersecurity Alliance, Microsoft, Apple, Guardio Labs, McAfee, PayPal, Norton

☆ Dow futures are little changed after index breaks four-day winning run: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were little changed on Wednesday night after the index broke a four-day win streak. Dow futures slipped 16 points, or 0.04%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.1%. The semiconductor manufacturer was trading 14% higher in Wednesday's extended trading session after issuing strong guidance for the current quarter. In regular trading, both the S&P 500 and the Dow retreated from their records to close lower.

Persons: Dow, Tom Lee, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Futures, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Micron Technology, Lam Research, Fundstrat Global Advisors, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, CarMax, Accenture, Costco Wholesale

☆ Treasury yields inch higher as investors consider the state of the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.533% after rising by just over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Wednesday as investors weighed economic data and considered the state of the economy. Economic data points will therefore be watched closely in the coming days and weeks as concerns about a potential slowdown of the economy linger. Later this week, investors will also hear from various Fed officials including Chairman Jerome Powell. At the end of the week, key economic data in form of the latest personal consumption expenditures price index is also set to be published.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, PCE Locations: U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Vaguely reassuring Fedspeak
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In an interview with CNBC, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said, "We still have a strong, healthy labor market. But I want to keep it a strong, healthy labor market." Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was more circumspect.

Persons: IXIC BRBY, Jerome Powell, Michael Nagle, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, yesterday's Fedspeak, Dow, Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Alex Harring Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Market, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Minneapolis, Atlanta Fed, National Association of State, Chicago Fed, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: New York, U.S

☆ Spriha Srivastava to speak at London Future of News Summit
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Business Insider Press Room | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: 1 min

Earlier this year, Stagwell shared the results of its groundbreaking 50,000-respondent survey in the United States analyzing brand safety, proving that it is safe for brands to advertise adjacent to quality journalism, regardless of topic. This week, Stagwell is announcing new research in the United Kingdom, and Spriha Srivastava, international executive editor, will join a panel of journalists in London to discuss being a journalist today. Additional participants include:Moderator: Joanna Gosling, author, broadcaster and journalistKamal Ahmed, director of audio and presenter, The Daily TelegraphMatt Barbet, anchor at Sky NewsJames Harding, founder and editor, Tortoise MediaSam McAlister, author, executive producer and senior fellow at the London School of EconomicsJerome Starkey, defense editor, The SunRegister for the event here.

Persons: Stagwell, Spriha Srivastava, Joanna Gosling, Kamal Ahmed, Matt Barbet, Sky News James Harding, Tortoise Media Sam McAlister, London School of Economics Jerome Starkey Organizations: Daily, Sky News, Tortoise Media, London School of Economics, Sun Register Locations: United States, United Kingdom, London

☆ Americans are fretting over the job market
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington CNN —America’s slowing job market is taking a toll on people’s moods. The Conference Board’s latest consumer survey showed that Americans became much more pessimistic about the US economy’s current health and the future of the job market. “September’s decline was the largest since August 2021 and all five components of the Index deteriorated.”The US job market is in decent shape, but it is clearly running at a much slower pace these days than it has in recent years. Peterson said the weaker-than-expected survey results “reflected consumers’ concerns about the labor market and reactions to fewer hours, slower payroll increases, fewer job openings — even if the labor market remains quite healthy, with low unemployment, few layoffs and elevated wages.”The job market’s fate is unclear. Employers might be holding back on hiring for two good reasons: Uncertainty over the upcoming US presidential election and the fate of interest rates, CNN previously reported.

Persons: ”, Dana Peterson, mightily, Peterson, Jerome Powell, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Washington CNN, Conference Board, Employers, Federal Reserve, CNN

☆ Treasury yields nudge higher as investors assess growth outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was up just over a basis point at 3.745% at 3:41 a.m. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher early Monday as investors assessed the growth outlook following the Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut last week. The 10-year Treasury yield ended last week almost 8 basis points higher after the Fed lowered rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Adriana Kugler Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Locations: U.S

☆ We finally got a rate cut. Here’s what history says will happen next
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —So we finally got a rate cut — and a supersized one at that. However, a recession started immediately when the Fed cut rates in July 1990 and just two months after it cut in January 2001. Unemployment rate: generally risesOn average, for those six cycles, the unemployment rate rose by 1.4 percentage points a year after the Fed cut rates. For instance, a year after the Fed cut rates in July 1995, the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.5%. In the other four instances, the unemployment rate was at least a percentage point higher a year after the Fed cut rates.

Persons: Jerome Powell, it’s, Michelle Bowman Organizations: New, New York CNN, Fed, Consumer Locations: New York, stoke

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