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(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. The ICE U.S. Dollar index is currently at a higher level than it was in June of 2022 when Microsoft warned of a stronger dollar impact to earnings. Other multi-national companies including Johnson and Johnson, Estee Lauder and Amazon also warned of the dollar impact that year. "I think the choices are already made to a certain extend," said Ross Mayfield Investment Strategist for Baird Private Wealth Management on Worldwide Exchange.
Persons: Kevin Mahn, Walsh, Steve Sosnick, Johnson, Estee Lauder, Joe Biden, XI Jinping, Xi, Trump, Ross, Mayfield, Mahn Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Interactive Brokers, ICE, Microsoft, Amazon, Evercore ISI, Economic Cooperation, Ross Mayfield Investment, Baird Private Wealth Management, Worldwide Exchange, Howmet Aerospace, Defense Locations: Hennion, United States, China, Asia, U.S
Dollar sitting pretty, yen bears wary of Bank of Japan hawks
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Yen bears were tense in case Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda used a speech later Monday to flag a possible rate hike in December, in part due to the weakness of the currency. Markets imply around a 55% chance of a quarter-point rate hike to 0.5% when the BOJ meets on Dec. 19. Against a basket of currencies the dollar held at 106.730, having touched a one-year top of 107.07 on Friday. The rally has coincided with a savage swing in 10-year Treasury yields, which have climbed 70 basis points since the start of October, fuelling a 5.4% rise in the U.S. dollar index . Analysts generally assume Trump's touted policies of tariffs, reduced immigration and debt-funded tax cuts will be inflationary, so limiting the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Donald Trump's, Katsunobu Kato, Jonas Goltermann, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S, Japanese Finance, Capital Economics, Trump, Federal Reserve, Central Bankers Locations: U.S, Japan, Canada
Investors may like AT & T for its juicy dividend, but the underlying shares also have "significant upside" ahead, according to Goldman Sachs. The Wall Street investment bank sees a number of factors at play that should boost returns for the Dallas-based telecom giant, which pays a dividend yield of 4.89%. Overall, Schneider anticipates sustained EBITDA growth of 3%, which is 100 to 200 basis points faster growth than Wall Street is currently modeling, he said. That sustained improvement on EBITDA growth should warrant a higher multiple over time, he added. The stock, which hit a 52-week high on Monday, is up 37% year to date, excluding the dividend.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, James Schneider, Schneider, T's Organizations: Dallas, Verizon, Mobile Locations: United States
Verily has told employees it ultimately intends to become an independent company. Verily, Alphabet's life sciences subsidiary, has set a deadline of December 16 to sever multiple ties to Google, according to two people familiar with the matter and internal documents reviewed by Business Insider. Related Video How tech layoffs could affect the economyVerily, formerly known as Google Life Sciences, started life as a moonshot project inside Google X. "Verily is transitioning from Google's infrastructure to our own, as we continue to grow as an independent Alphabet company," said Verily spokesperson Steven Cooper. AdvertisementAn internal Verily FAQ for staff broached the subject of why the company didn't start Flywheel until after its products were more mature.
Persons: Verily, Steven Cooper, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Waymo Organizations: Google, Staff, Business, Sciences, BI
Recommendations from Wall Street can help them make informed decisions on stocks and seek solid long-term returns. Top-rated analysts pay attention to multiple aspects when selecting stocks of companies with solid fundamentals and strong execution. Bearing that in mind, here are three stocks favored by the Street's top pros, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. See Amazon Stock Charts on TipRanks. Mahaney thinks UBER will gain from autonomous vehicle rollouts, given its position as the largest ride-sharing demand aggregator.
Persons: Brian White, White, TipRanks, Mark Mahaney, Mahaney, Andrew Harte, Jack Dorsey, Harte Organizations: Web Services, Amazon, Technologies, Uber's, Business, Uber Technologies, BTIG Locations: AMZN
AdvertisementKatie Vasquez landed her first venture capital job at 23 years old. This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Katie Vasquez, a 26-year-old investor at Calibrate Ventures based in Santa Monica, California, on her experience working in venture capital. I'm an investor at Calibrate Ventures, an early-stage deep-tech venture capital firm. My advice for other people hoping to get into VC is to leverage your network and stay up to date on the industry. This experience provided a great foundation for thinking more about technical due diligence, tech architecture, and strategy, but moving into investing and venture capital felt like the most exciting path.
Persons: Katie Vasquez, I've, I'm, I'd Organizations: Brown University, Goldman, LA Tech, Synergist, Investor, Business Locations: Santa Monica , California, EY, fintech, Los Angeles, LA
AdvertisementMarc Farrell became Starbucks' youngest vice president at the age of 33. He left to launch his rum brand, Ten To One, which counts Howard Schultz as an investor. AdvertisementMarc Farrell left behind his role as Starbucks' youngest VP to launch his own rum brand. On the surface, a global coffee giant, and an up-and-coming rum brand don't seem to have much in common. Don't wait until the product is perfectAt Starbucks, Farrell was he was very well paid and great colleagues and mentors.
Persons: Marc Farrell, Farrell, Howard Schultz, Jack Sparrow, Marc, Kwesi Farrell, Gabrielle Wesley, Schultz, Ciara Organizations: Starbucks, Mars, Harvard Business, Michelin Locations: Trinidad and Tobago, Mars Wrigley, America, Caribbean, Seattle, Trinidad, Korean, New York City
For Brandon Mintz, it was the text messages and calls that started rolling in from friends and colleagues asking how high bitcoin prices could go. Strategic reserve could set off 'bitcoin space race'Under this idea, the U.S. would establish a “strategic bitcoin reserve,” like the ones it already maintains for gold and oil. A day later, Trump echoed the strategic reserve idea, though did not put a specific figure on it. On Nov. 6, Lummis posted on X in all-caps, “WE ARE GOING TO BUILD A STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVE,” alongside two American flags. For crypto supporters, a strategic bitcoin reserve would send a signal to markets and countries alike about the digital token’s value.
Persons: Brandon Mintz, Lee Bratcher, Donald Trump’s, Bratcher, , Trump’s, , Mintz, ” Mintz, they’ve, , Ric Edelman, ” Edelman, JP Richardson, Trump, Nicholas Percoco, ” Percoco, , Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Human Services —, Sen, Cynthia Lummis, Lummis, David Bailey, Michael Terpin, , ” Terpin, He’s Organizations: American Blockchain, Republican, Texas Blockchain, NBC News, FBI, Trump, Securities and Exchange Commission, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Edelman Financial Services, Liberty, Strategic, Bitcoin Conference, Department of Health, Human Services, Social Security, BTC Inc, Bitcoin Locations: Texas, Dallas, Bitcoin, bitcoin, U.S, Nashville
We had no income tax, and all we had was tariffs.”That’s why some Wall Street titans are trying to push for Bessent. Kyle Bass, a billionaire hedge fund investor at Hayman Capital Management, said Lutnick doesn’t have the composition to lead the Treasury. “Scott Bessent is eminently more qualified than Howard Lutnick to run the U.S. Treasury,” Bass posted on X Wednesday. A full week after appearing to decide on nominating Bessent, Trump interviewed him again at Mar-a-Lago. A key Cabinet player, the Treasury secretary advises the president on economic and fiscal matters, including spending and taxes.
Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent, ” Musk, , Bessent, , Kyle Bass, Lutnick doesn’t, “ Scott Bessent, ” Bass, “ Scott, I’ve, Bass, Dan Loeb, Scott Lincicome, Lutnick, , Cheney, Lutnick —, Dick Cheney’s, George W, Tennessee Sen, Bill Hagerty, Larry Kudlow, Kudlow, Steven Mnuchin, Mnuchin Organizations: CNN, Trump, , Wall, Fox News, titans, Hayman Capital Management, Treasury, U.S . Treasury, Cato Institute, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National Economic Council, America, Policy Institute, Fox Business, Bessent, Mar, Republicans, Treasury Department Locations: America, United States
Musk wrote on X that Cantor Fitzgerald chief executive Howard Lutnick would "actually enact change." Lutnick and Key Square Group founder Scott Bessent are leading contenders for the role. Elon Musk on Saturday said that Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick would "actually enact change" should he be tapped as President-elect Donald Trump's Treasury secretary. Advertisement"My view fwiw is that Bessent is a business-as-usual choice, whereas @howardlutnick will actually enact change," Musk wrote. My view fwiw is that Bessent is a business-as-usual choice, whereas @howardlutnick will actually enact change.
Persons: Elon Musk, Musk, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick, Scott Bessent, Donald Trump's, Trump, Bessent, Republican Sen, Lindsey Graham of, Semafor, Graham, igGLZOJ8wz — Elon Organizations: Elon, Key Square, Group, Republican, Street Journal Locations: Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, South Carolina
AdvertisementAn Idaho couple retired with a net worth of over $2 million by living frugally and making smart investment choices. Richard learned investment strategies later in life after losing thousands in the dot-com bubble. He worked and lived frugally while attending the University of Illinois, which he said cost just $173 his first semester. Advertisement"I haven't been a disciplined, smart investor throughout my life, but I have always lived frugally," Richard said. In retirement, Richard has produced over 70 books about his hometown, American history, and trail guides.
Persons: Richard, weren't, wasn't, it's, I've, He's Organizations: University of Illinois, Air Force, Social, Social Security Locations: Idaho, Illinois, Sacramento, Airbnbs
He said comparisons to the dot-com peak in 2000 are fair. Advertisement"This looks and feels like the year 2000 to me," Arnott told Business Insider on November 11. But Arnott believes AI optimism, which has driven the lion's share of the rally, is already fully priced in. At 37 times earnings, just below the late-2021 peak of 38, before the market fell by 25%, and the 2000 peak of 43, right in front of a 50% loss. "This is a really, really, really pricey environment, but it doesn't necessarily make me bearish.
Persons: Rob Arnott, he's, Arnott, , Donald Trump, Trump, disruptors, There's, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, David Einhorn, Einhorn Organizations: Nvidia, Intel, Chief US, Business, Goldman Sachs Bank of America's Global, Equity, Bank of America, CNBC's, Alpha Locations: irrelevance
AdvertisementWarren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway bought Domino's Pizza and Pool Corp. stock last quarter. Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway added Domino's Pizza and Pool Corp. to its stock portfolio last quarter, a regulatory filing revealed on Thursday. The famed investor's conglomerate bought nearly 1.3 million shares of Domino's, a 3.7% stake worth $549 million at the end of September. The result is that Pool Corp. sits firmly within Buffett's "circle of competence," which he keeps in mind to ensure that he only invests in things he understands. Neither Domino's nor Pool Corp. classify as cheap on a price-to-earnings basis.
Persons: Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Ted Weschler, Todd Combs, , Kraft Heinz, McLane Organizations: Corp, Domino's, Pool Corp, Kraft, Company, Berkshire, Clayton Homes, Acme Locations: Berkshire
Now, ValueAct has engaged another titan of the market, Meta Platforms, announcing an approximately $1 billion dollar position in the company. With the stock price up about 56% in 2024, ValueAct still sees significant untapped value in Meta. ValueAct has shown at Microsoft and Salesforce that it is very good in helping companies trim fat and build muscle. The AI spending, while concerning to some in the market, can be the muscle that strengthens Meta's core FoA business. It should more than justify Meta's AI spend.
Persons: ValueAct, Mason Morfit, Mark Zuckerberg, OpenAI's GPT, Meta, Martha Stewart Living, Ken Squire Organizations: Reality Labs, Facebook, Microsoft, Meta, RL, Spotify, OpenAI, Adobe, New York Times, Expedia, Century Fox, KKR, 13D Locations: Salesforce
JD Vance is a man of many careers: attorney, author, senator, vice president-elect, and, perhaps less well-known, venture capitalist. For about six years between graduating from law school and becoming a United States senator from Ohio, Vance held various positions in the space before eventually starting his own fund, Narya Capital. Vance co-founded Narya Capital in 2019After two years, Vance broke out on his own, cofounding Narya Capital in 2019 with investments from Thiel, former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, and VC veteran Marc Andreessen. According to his vice president and senate disclosure forms, he has a stake in Narya Capital Fund I, Narya Capital Fund II, and Rise of the Rest Seed Fund. AdvertisementHis stake in Narya Capital Fund I is worth between $500,001 and $1 million.
Persons: JD Vance, Vance, doesn't, Peter Thiel's, Steve Case's, Boston —, Thiel, Eric Schmidt, Marc Andreessen, Narya, Vivek Ramaswamy's, Nayra, Luke Schroeder Organizations: United, Narya, Mithril, Narya Capital, cofounding, II, Narya's Capital, US Space Force Locations: United States, Ohio, New York, Silicon Valley, Boston, Narya, ValueBase, PitchBook
.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500, 1 month The S & P is still about 3-4% above levels where chart readers would start to get more concerned about the underlying trajectory. Even in Friday's 1.3% slide in the S & P 500, only two-thirds of all stocks were down on the day and the equal-weight S & P was off a modest three-quarters of a percent. It makes sense that the market wasn't able to summon a sustained thrust of exuberance after the election anxiety evaporated, given the somewhat demanding starting point. A more mature economic and risk cycle and vulnerability to higher rates among smaller, lower-quality stocks mean they aren't likely to lead from here, Pies says. Is the market presciently foretelling an unleashing of transactional fervor that will return Wall Steet's middlemen to their former glory?
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Jay Powell, Warren Pies, Goldman Organizations: Nasdaq, KBW, ICE, Trump, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank, 3Fourteen Research, Wall Street Locations: Friday's
AdvertisementDonald Trump Jr. will not take on a White House role, opting instead for the VC firm 1789 Capital. The venture capital firm that Donald Trump Jr. is reportedly joining eschews investments that push social and environmental issues and instead focuses on what it calls "EIG," or entrepreneurship, innovation, and growth. Like 1789 Capital, Trump Jr. has long been a proponent of the parallel economy, also called the "patriot economy," a term used by MAGA conservatives to refer to businesses that align with their traditional values. And Trump Jr.'s connection to Malik, the president of 1789 Capital, includes the pair's mutual support of a parallel economy platform called PublicSquare. Representatives for Trump Jr. through the Trump Organization and the Trump transition team didn't respond to a request for comment from BI.
Persons: Donald Trump Jr, Omeed Malik, Tucker, EIG, , Tucker Carlson's, Donald Trump's, Omeed Malik —, Christopher Buskirk, Malik, Buskirk, deglobalization, MAGA, Trump, Malik didn't, Tucker Carlson, Jordan Cohen Organizations: The New York Times, Bloomberg, Trump Jr, Bank of America, Farvahar Partners, Trump, Republican National Committee, New York Stock, Time Magazine, Tucker Carlson Network, Fox News, Trump Organization Locations: The Florida, Beach , Florida
"I just thought [Too Good To Go] was the most genius app, and I loved the concept," she says. "[Food waste] a massive, massive issue, and it's important that we solve it fast," Lykke says. Conviction to stay the courseToo Good To Go, which has nearly $158 million in investment funding, isn't the only for-profit company trying reduce food waste. Some app users like Niles, the dumpster diver in Brooklyn, worry that Too Good To Go "greenwashes" the issue of food waste, giving users false impressions of environmental responsibility. But if every food retailer in the U.S. used a similar markdown mechanism, they'd save one million tons of food annually, according to calculations by Chicago-based nonprofit ReFED.
Persons: David Niles, Niles, He's, Mette Lykke, it's, Thomas Bjørn, Stian Olesen, Klaus Bagge Pedersen, Brian Christensen, Adam Sigbrand, Lykke, Armour, Susan Prunty, Dana Gunders, That's, ReFED Organizations: CNBC, Bank, Venture Locations: Brooklyn , New York, U.S, Copenhagen, Europe, North America, Australia, United States, Medford , Oregon, Brooklyn, Chicago
President-elect Donald Trump selected Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Health and Human Services Department, the United States' top health agency. This cabinet appointment has created jitters among various healthcare stocks. I want to find a way to hedge my healthcare exposure and also capitalize on further potential downside in the lagging healthcare sector by using options in Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) . The trade I want to buy a put spread to express my short-term bearish view on healthcare. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, SPDR, Eli Lily, UnitedHealthcare, Johnson Organizations: Health, Human Services Department, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: United States, crosshairs
However, the post-election environment is hitting different this time around for many small business owners, such as Barrel-Art’s Michael Prieto, and leaving them wondering what comes next. For business owners who already were unsettled about the economy or its direction prior to the election, navigating the months and years ahead could be even more precarious, he added. Running leaner, hoping for cheaper moneyIn the months leading up to the election, Prieto was taking a wait-and-see approach. Michael Prieto, owner of Barrel-Art, in his shop in Newport News, VA, on November 13. Michael M. Santiago/Getty ImagesSmall business owners, by their nature, are optimistic, he said.
Persons: Michael Prieto, Donald Trump, John Arensmeyer, they’ve, ” Arensmeyer, , , Art’s Prieto, Prieto, America ”, “ It’s, he’d, We’ve, Arensmeyer, Michael M, I’ve, Clifton Broumand, Janna Rodriguez, Rodriguez, she’d, can’t, JD Opel, he’s, ” Opel, ” JD Opel, — Opel, “ I’ve, Trump, Jeff Wood’s, ” Wood, we’ve, it’s, Marc Marcuse, Marcuse Organizations: CNN, Small, Economic, Shipping, Port, Getty, Machine, Corp, Opel, Reel Management, Management’s, Republican, White Locations: America, Newport News, Newark, New Jersey, China, Maryland, Freeport , New York, Evansville , Indiana, Jeff Wood’s Coldwater, Florida , Georgia, Utah, Pennsylvania, Los Angeles, Florida
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday highlighted the biggest events next week on Wall Street, pinpointing earnings reports from Nvidia , TJX and Walmart . Cramer praised the two retailers but said investors might want to wait for a pullback before diving in to Walmart. Retailers TJX, Target and Williams-Sonoma will report Wednesday morning. Cramer recommended investors "wait and see" with Target as Wall Street worries about the impact of potential tariff increases by the Trump administration. After the market closes, Palo Alto Networks and Nvidia report, and Cramer said both could sell off post-earnings.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, I've, Cramer, Donald Trump, Medtronic, Trump, he'd Organizations: Nvidia, TJX, Walmart, Trump, Viking Holdings, Depot, Federal Reserve, Williams, Palo Alto Networks, Intuit, Procter & Gamble, GE Healthcare Technologies Locations: Vertiv, Sonoma, Williams, China
"Tesla, I think, is going to be worth $3 [trillion] or $4 trillion — $5 trillion in 10 years, based upon the business plan that I am aware of. Then Elon believes that longer term it's going to be worth $30 trillion," Baron said Friday on CNBC's " Squawk Box ." TSLA ALL mountain Tesla Tesla is seen as a big beneficiary of promised Trump administration policies as Musk has this year been a prominent backer and donor to the president-elect. Shares of Tesla have surged about 25% in November during the postelection rally to return to a $1 trillion market cap. Baron said he will hold on to his Tesla shares for the long run.
Persons: Ron Baron, Tesla, Elon Musk, Elon, Baron, Trump, Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, EV, Republican, Tesla, Optimus Locations: U.S, Tesla
This past week saw several pure-play space stocks rally, with leaders up as much as 20% or more, in part driven by what sector analysts said is a "Trump-Elon trade," a nod to the relationship between President-elect Donald Trump and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk. Just this week saw Rocket Lab up 41%, Intuitive Machines up 28%, Spire Global up 26%, Planet Labs up 16%, Redwire up 15% and AST SpaceMobile up 10%. But there's a broader market sentiment that's driving these stocks too, said Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Andres Sheppard, who has buy ratings on Rocket Lab, Redwire and Intuitive Machines. "I think there's definitely a risk-on, post-Trump-win rally that's being reflected in this industry," Sheppard told CNBC. Back out even further to take a year-to-date perspective, and this week's top-performing space stocks have broken out of a post-SPAC malaise to triple or even quadruple in 2024.
Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Andrew Chanin, Cantor Fitzgerald, Andres Sheppard, Sheppard, inbounds, We're Organizations: Trump, Elon, SpaceX, CNBC, Planet Labs Locations: U.S
Club holdings Alphabet and Amazon found themselves on the fault line. Battleground tech GOOGL YTD mountain Alphabet (GOOGL) year-to-date performance Third Point, the hedge fund run by Dan Loeb, sold its entire nearly $333 million position in Alphabet last quarter. Third Point trimmed its Amazon holdings by nearly 28%. A fund's holdings may very well have changed by the time the previous quarters' filings are revealed. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Wall, Dan Loeb, David Tepper, Seth Klarman, Philippe Laffont's Coatue, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Daniel Sundheim, Coatue, Donald Trump's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Jim Cramer, Sebastien Bozon Organizations: Management, Group, D1, Amazon, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Health, D1 Capital, GE Healthcare, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: 13Fs, Danaher
Shares of obesity drugmaker Eli Lilly fell more than 4% on Friday, extending a roughly 3% slide in Thursday's session. Ozempic is the posterchild of the fast-growing GLP-1 class, in which Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly are currently the two dominant players. Bottom line Eli Lilly has been our favorite drug stock for years thanks to its stellar pipeline led by GLP-1s. But, at this point, Kennedy's nomination requires us to be more cautious on Eli Lilly in the near term. Eli Lilly and Company, Pharmaceutical company headquarters in Alcobendas, Madrid, Spain.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kentucky Sen, Rand Paul, Kennedy, Trump, Eli Lilly's, John F, Kennedy —, LLY, Eli Lilly's GLP, Jim Cramer, David Ricks, Lilly, It's, Jim, it's, Jim Cramer's, Cristina Arias Organizations: Republican, Department of Health, Human Services, HHS, and Drug Administration, Centers for Disease Control, Medicare, Medicaid, Senate, Democratic, GOP, Media, Novo Nordisk, Moderna, Pfizer, Deutsche Bank, GSK, White, CDC, Street Journal, GLP, Big Pharma, FDA, tirzepatide, CNBC, Company, Pharmaceutical Locations: Washington, Kentucky, Danish, U.S, Alcobendas, Madrid, Spain
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