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While there has been some scrambling to amend contracts linked to Libor over the past month, the transition was well telegraphed and no major issues are expected, loan and derivatives market participants and lawyers said in interviews. "I feel like it has been two to three years now that we have been re-papering all the legacy loans and legacy securities we purchased tied to Libor," said Scott DiMaggio, co-head of fixed income, at Alliance Bernstein. Friday at 11:55 a.m. British Summer Time (1055 GMT) marked the last publication for the 1-month, 3-month and 6-month U.S.-dollar Libor interest rates. Other U.S. dollar tenors were largely phased out for new contracts at the end of 2021 along with Libor rates linked to other currencies. Derivatives markets based on Libor had already mostly moved to new benchmarks without major disruption, while some corners of the loan markets, such as syndicated loans, have been busy with contract amendments, market participants said.
Persons: Scott DiMaggio, Alliance Bernstein, Shah, Federal Reserve Bank of New York's, Libor, Tal Reback, Gennadiy Goldberg, John McCrank, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfus, Alden Bentley, Stephen Coates Organizations: YORK, Alliance, Regulators, Federal Reserve Bank of New, U.S, Britain's, Authority, Libor, TD Securities, Thomson Locations: London, Iran, U.S, New York
And while Biden’s growing list of Republican challengers differ on many issues, when it comes to the economy, they’re in agreement that Biden failed. In addition, a tight labor market has left many small businesses with ongoing hiring difficulties. Here’s what Biden can take credit for – and what he can’t. In other aspects, the labor market certainly had a boost from Biden’s fiscal policies. Since then, the American workforce has consistently outpaced the pre-pandemic workforce.
Persons: Joe Biden, , ” Biden, Biden, Jerome Powell, , Ben Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard, It’s, it’s, let’s, That’s Organizations: DC CNN, Wednesday, Federal Reserve, , Congress, American, Manufacturers, Treasury Department, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Republicans, Fed, International Monetary Fund, Brookings Institution, Biden, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Washington, Chicago, American, United States, Ukraine, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Our experts answer readers' credit card questions and write unbiased product reviews (here's how we assess credit cards). Credit card usage is on the rise as inflation lingers and consumers lean on credit to make ends meet. In response to this increased usage, credit card issuers are stepping up their offerings in anticipation of increased originations. Before you add a credit card to your wallet, ask yourself these questions to make sure a credit card is right for you. Credit card debt can be the most expensive debt that you carry.
Persons: , TransUnion, delinquencies Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
All told, at least a third of the US population is currently grappling with costly extreme weather events. In 2022, extreme weather events cost the United States about $165 billion, according to the NOAA. Sector by sector: Extreme weather impacts the economy writ large, but certain sectors tend to suffer more than others. Agriculture, construction, tourism and renewable energy sectors also tend to feel the brunt of extreme weather events. “We’re really poorly adapted to the extreme weather and climate that we have right now,” said Mankin.
Persons: New York CNN — We’ve, , Justin Mankin, Nam, we’ve, Andrew Watterson, Ian, “ We’re, Mark Thompson, it’s, , Vladimir Putin, Brent, That’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dartmouth College, Sunday, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, Federal Aviation Administration, FAA, Travelers, Southwest Airlines, O'Hare International, Agriculture, Rystad Energy, Western, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Consumer Locations: New York, Texas, United States, Chicago, Florida, Russia, China, India, Russian, Moscow, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Images By Tang Ming Tung | Digitalvision | Getty Images"This is clearly a function of inflation starting to come down," Terrazas said. 'Unprecedented' pay jumps during pandemicWage growth started to spike in 2021 as workers enjoyed the benefits of a hot job market. In some cases, workers' pay growth was strong enough to outrun inflation's impact — especially for those who quit their jobs for higher-paying gigs elsewhere. Meanwhile, wage growth has also declined but at a slower pace — translating to a net boost to Americans' financial well-being in May relative to last year. These data sets are more inclusive than that of wage growth.
Persons: Tang Ming Tung, Terrazas, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Mark Zandi, Aaron Terrazas, Zandi Organizations: ZipRecruiter, CPI, . Bureau, Moody's, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
According to a new CreditCards.com report, Americans are facing "triple trouble" from credit card debt. A new report from CreditCards.com released Tuesday determined the states with the highest and lowest credit card burdens by comparing each state's credit card debts to household incomes. According to Rossman, many Americans are facing "triple trouble" with more people carrying credit card debt, record-high total balances, and elevated credit card rates. Massachusetts had the lowest credit card debt burden, despite ranking 19th in debt and 3rd in income. Credit card interest rates aren't going down anytime soonDespite last week's Fed decision, relief for cardholders may not come anytime soon.
Persons: , CreditCards.com, Ted Rossman, Rossman, It's, it's, we've, cardholders Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Market, Fed, Chase, Bank of America, Transportation Locations: Mississippi, Massachusetts, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Oklahoma , Louisiana, New Mexico, Nevada, Minnesota , New Hampshire, California
It was a great week for the economy
  + stars: | 2023-06-17 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +8 min
New retail sales numbers, inflation, and a pause in rate hikes point to a strong week in the economy. All of this good news contributes to an economy that gave the Federal Reserve the confidence to skip its string of interest rate hikes this month. Interest rates skip hike as economy continues growingThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held interest rates steady at its Wednesday meeting, putting a pause on the Fed's 10 consecutive increases in 15 months. It all means Americans feel confident the economy is headed in the right directionAmericans are feeling better about the economy as well. Overall, this week's data shows the US economy is still going strong, even amid concerns over potential interest rate hikes later this year.
Persons: , That's, Price, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Consumers, AAA, Labor Department, CPI, of Economic Advisers, of Labor Statistics, The Labor Department, Market, Fed, University of, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Reserve Bank Locations: , New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Washington, DC CNN —Americans are feeling upbeat about inflation and the economy, according to the University of Michigan’s latest consumer survey released Friday. Consumers’ inflation expectations for the year ahead retreated for the second straight month, declining to 3.3% early this month from 4.2% in May. That’s good news for the Federal Reserve, which closely watches sentiment surveys to gauge the expectations consumers and businesses have for price hikes. “The sharp drop of short-term consumer inflation expectations points to another slowdown in the June CPI report, which will be out before the Fed’s next decision,” wrote Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, in an analyst note. However, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in his news conference this week that inflation expectations remain in check.
Persons: , Bill Adams, Jerome Powell, That’s, Christopher Waller Organizations: DC CNN, University of Michigan’s, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of New, National Federation of Independent Business, Federal Locations: Washington, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Norway
Does a recession in Europe hurt the US?
  + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —Slow consumer spending and sticky inflation have led to two consecutive quarters of economic contraction in the European Union. That means that the eurozone fell into a recession over the winter months, and growth this year is likely to be weak. If Europe sneezes, the economists ask, is it possible that the United States catches a cold? Akinci and Pesenti recently examined whether economic crises in Europe have affected the United States over the past thirty years. Strong employment and higher wages can mean higher inflation as companies pass on increased labor costs by raising the price of goods.
Persons: they’re, Ozge Akinci, Paolo Pesenti, , we’ll, We’ll, Janet Yellen, Emmanuel Macron, , Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, , Solomon, ” Solomon, haven’t, It’s, Alicia Wallace Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, European Union, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Organisation for Economic Co, US Federal Reserve, French, CNBC, Federal, CPI, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, United States, Europe, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Greece, France
Minneapolis CNN —Americans are optimistic about inflation being lower in the coming months; however, their future outlooks — for price hikes as well as their own finances — are a little more clouded. Consumers’ near-term inflation expectations fell in May to their lowest level in two years, according to new survey data released Monday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Additionally, inflation expectations for three and five years from now increased from the month before, according to the New York Fed’s monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations, which measures expectations and behaviors over time for a rotating panel of 1,300 individuals. Since peaking at a 40-year high last June, inflation has cooled considerably but still remains above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has expressed concern about the possibility of sustained wage gains putting upward pressure on inflation.
Persons: Price, Jerome Powell Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, York, Consumer, Fed, Labor Statistics Locations: Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
The S&P 500 Index last week entered a bull market, meaning that it notched a 20% rally from its low in October. Moreover, investors appeared calmer than they have in years, after the United States suspended the debt ceiling in time to avoid a default, allowing investors to breathe a sigh of relief. The May Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index reports, two key inflation prints, are also due the days that the Fed meets. But the United States could still suffer a downgrade to its credit rating, even though it avoided losing its ability to make payments on time. Tuesday: Consumer Price Index report for May and NFIB small business optimism index.
Persons: CNN — Stocks, Price, , JJ Kinahan, there’s, Karim El Nokali, Jerome Powell, ” El Nokali, , Joe Biden, Benjamin Jeffery, Patrick Klein, ” Josh Lipsky, it’s, Olivier d’Assier, “ It’s, George Mateyo Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Nasdaq, United, Fed, IG North America, Fitch, AAA, BMO Capital Markets, Franklin, GeoEconomics, International Monetary Fund, Treasury Department, US Treasury, Key Private Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Survey, Consumer, Federal Reserve, Federal, University of Michigan Locations: United States, US
Our experts answer readers' student loan questions and write unbiased product reviews (here's how we assess student loans). See Insider's picks for the best lenders to refinance student loans >>If you have federal student loans, you have options for debt forgiveness, including Public Service Loan Forgiveness and Income-Driven Repayment Plans. Insider's Featured Student Loan Refinance Companies SoFi Student Loan RefinancingSplash Financial Student Loan RefinancingEarnest Student Loan Refinancing Chevron icon It indicates an expandable section or menu, or sometimes previous / next navigation options. Show more Variable: 5.32 % - 8.94%, Fixed: 4.96% - 8.99% (with AutoPay discount) Editor's Rating 3.5/5 A five pointed star A five pointed star A five pointed star A five pointed star A five pointed star Apply now Apply now Apply now2. While private student loans aren't eligible for forbearance in the same way federal student loans are, you still have options if you're struggling to keep up with your payments.
Persons: , Pell Grant, Autopay, forbearance Organizations: Service, Public, Biden, Loan, SoFi, AutoPay, Federal Reserve Bank of New, AK, IL, forbearance Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, MN, NH, OH, TN, TX, California, Florida, Texas, In Texas
But the biggest issue is probably a housing market that simply feels unfair. From a shaky economy to student debt, to general inflation and spiking healthcare costs, there's lots to be worried about. "One was the long, weak labor market in the wake of the Great Recession, and the other is how badly the housing market functions." When you look at the housing market, it's particularly grim right now. But while Americans have different health situations (and lifestyles and levels of student debt), all of them live somewhere.
Persons: Gen Zers, , Zers, Josée Rose, there's, Matt Yglesias, Phil Rosen, Goldman Sachs, James Rodriguez, Pew, John Myers, Ben Southwood, Sam Bowman, homebuyers Organizations: Service, Deloitte, TIAA Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Mortgage, Association, Commonwealth Fund Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York, isn't
The most expensive counties generally have fewer childcare workers or the state doesn't provide enough financial support for low-income families. The US Department of Health and Human Services considers childcare "affordable" if it costs less than 7% of a family's income. The pandemic provided a perfect example of this dynamic: 2 million women left the workforce and haven't returned, citing childcare costs as the No. Counties with higher levels of poverty often lack affordable care as childcare workers themselves can't afford to live on the industry's low wages. In Canada, where childcare workers make more, that ratio is six to one.
Persons: haven't, It's, Joe Biden, doesn't, Annie Lowrey, Grant, Jeremy Ney Organizations: Department of Labor, US Department of Health, Human Services, New, Bay State, University of Massachusetts Amherst, US, Preschool, America, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Massachusetts, Mississippi, New York City, America, Kings County, Brooklyn, Queens County, Bronx County, Bronx, Bay, While Massachusetts, California, . Mississippi, New York, Canada, Portland , Oregon, Portland, Michigan, The, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
To slow the price growth, the Federal Reserve has steadily raised interest rates, which has posed another problem for households: higher interest rates on debt. That marks the first time in 20 years balances have not fallen following the holiday season, according to the central bank's research. Some people are seeking help after they've already fallen behind and have started to get debt collection calls, he said. 'Think seriously about delaying discretionary purchases'As prices and interest rates have gone up, it's a good time to think about putting off unnecessary purchases, according to Hamrick. But the regret that often ranks highly is not saving more for long-term goals such as emergency savings or retirement, he said.
The Treasury Department said its cash balance fell to $38.8 billion as of Thursday, as the United States inched toward running out of cash to pay its bills. Just how empty is the Treasury cash coffer? For comparison, $38.8 billion is on par with the gross domestic product of Bahrain and Paraguay and lower than the net worth of more than two dozen of the wealthiest people in the world. Here is a list of people with higher net worths than the U.S. cash reserves, according to Bloomberg News’s Billionaire Index as of Thursday. Forbes, though, estimates his net worth at $94.5 billion.)
New York CNN —CEOs and other senior leaders very often want employees in the workplace for more days than employees who can do their jobs remotely would like. Many leaders assert more in-person experiences can, among other things, provide better career development for the youngest and newest employees. The good old days may not have been that goodConsider that before the pandemic, most employees were at their workplace five days a week. But fixating on the question of “how many days should employees be in the office?” is the wrong approach, Yost said. “In general there has been a lack of intentionality of how we develop young people,” Yost said.
Speaking to a conference at the Federal Reserve in Washington, Williams’ remarks took on the technical concept of the natural rate of interest, which is the interest rate that neither slows nor stimulates the economy. Before the pandemic struck, this measure, referred to as R-Star, had been historically low, allowing the central bank to keep its interest rate target at fairly low levels. Williams, a leading intellectual architect of the R-Star concept, said his bank would be relaunching its public estimate Friday, updating it on a quarterly basis. Williams’ contended that even with the pandemic and the aftermath of its most acute phase, the fundamental story of a low natural interest rate remains in place. But his comments suggest that once the Fed’s battle to contain high inflation is over it may again at some later time be able to return short-term rates to low levels.
“Retail growth held on by the skin of its teeth this month,” said Neil Saunders, managing director of GlobalData. The retailer posted disappointing sales for its first quarter and lowered its outlook for the year as customers slowed their spending. Total sales ticked up 0.5% during its latest quarter from a year ago, the company said Wednesday. The bill, which will take effect in January, specifically names TikTok as its target, prohibiting the app from operating within state lines. Pence said he expects to come to a decision about a presidential run before the end of June.
Federal student loan debt repayments are expected to resume later this year – and one winning stock could emerge from the fallout, according to Bank of America. Payments on federal student loans have been on hold since 2020 as part of pandemic relief measures. The Supreme Court is weighing President Joe Biden's student loan forgiveness plan, and repayments on federal student loans are expected to resume 60 days after the court makes its decision. But SoFi Technologies could benefit from the resumption of loan payments as borrowers try to refinance their federal student loans, Bhatia said. Refinancing may make sense if the original federal loans have a higher rate than what's available through a private lender.
Ex-bank executive steps down from NY Fed board
  + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The regional Fed said Murphy stepped down from one of its New York Fed director slots reserved for bankers. Arrow, a bank holding company, also owns Saratoga National Bank and Trust Co.Murphy had been a Class A director on the New York Fed board since January 2021. Fed bank presidents have also said their boards provide local economic intelligence and advice on running large institutions. The New York Fed has had its own troubles with bankers on its board in years past. The setup of the regional Fed board of directors is determined by law and not the central bank.
More People Are Falling Behind on Credit Card and Car Debt
  + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Joe Pinsker | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
The share of consumers’ auto-loan debt that became delinquent rose year-over-year amid high inflation. Photo: David Paul Morris/BloombergMore Americans are having a harder time keeping up with their car, credit-card and mortgage payments compared with a year ago. The share of debt balances that became at least 90 days delinquent in the first quarter of 2023 was 1.08%, up from 0.071% a year earlier, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released Monday.
NEW YORK/WASHINGTON, May 15 (Reuters) - As talks over raising the U.S. government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling intensify, Wall Street banks and asset managers have begun preparing for fallout from a potential default. Citigroup (C.N) CEO Jane Fraser said this debate on the debt ceiling is "more worrying" than previous ones. U.S. government bonds underpin the global financial system so it is difficult to fully gauge the damage a default would create, but executives expect massive volatility across equity, debt and other markets. Banks, brokers and trading platforms are prepping for disruption to the Treasury market, as well as broader volatility. Bond trading platform Tradeweb said it was in discussions with clients, industry groups, and other market participants about contingency plans.
To this point, credit card debt has been rising at the sharpest pace of any debt covered in the report, said Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst for Bankrate. Last year, 39% carried debt month to month. Increases in credit card debt can be a either sign of confidence or struggle, he added. “For the foreseeable future, we’re stuck with high credit card rates, high balances, and more people carrying debt,” he said. “My advice would be to pay down credit card debt, as quickly and cost effectively as possible.
The US Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs is holding three hearings this coming week centered around the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March. ET : Greg Becker, former chief executive, Silicon Valley Bank; Scott Shay, former chairman and co-founder, Signature Bank and Eric Howell, former president, Signature Bank. ET : Mark Bialek, inspector general, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau; Paul Kupiec, senior fellow, American Enterprise Institute and more. Since then, the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation have released reports detailing management missteps at SVB and Signature Bank, as well as federal regulators’ own mistakes in properly addressing red flags preceding the banks’ demises. A separate report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Friday shows that American households are becoming increasingly frugal.
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