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From late October through March, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted 27.6% rally based on better-than-expected earnings and economic data. And while it's still well below the dot-com bubble levels, it's still too close for comfort for many investors. Related story"Those higher rates are starting to push back on elevated valuations for stocks right now," Saglimbene said. "They're all much cheaper on an earnings basis than those Magnificent 7 companies," Saglimbene said. "So I think if we avoid a recession this year, the narrative will change to a broadening of companies and sectors that can participate in earnings growth this year."
Persons: aren't, Anthony Saglimbene, Rick Pitcairn, Pitcairn, it's, we've, Raheel Siddiqui, Neuberger Berman, Siddiqui, Jon Wolfenbarger, Albert Edwards, Bill Smead, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Ragan, Saglimbene, Indrani, she's, De, Davidson, Siddiqui's Organizations: Ameriprise, Business, DA, FTSE Russell, Investors Locations: Ameriprise
The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is expected to open 31 points higher at 7,949, Germany's DAX up more than 100 points at 18,051, France's CAC 47 points higher at 8,064 and Italy's FTSE MIB 150 points higher at 33,212, according to data from IG. European markets are set to open higher on Friday morning as investors parse through U.K. economic data and reflect on a somewhat murky U.S. inflation outlook. The market moves come after the pan-European Stoxx 600 index closed lower in the previous session. Stateside, investors digested fresh inflation data in search of clues on exactly when the U.S. central bank may start cutting interest rates. In Europe, Britain's economic output increased by 0.1% in monthly terms in February, in line with expectations, according to figures published Friday by the Office for National Statistics.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Dow Jones Organizations: CAC, IG, European Central Bank, U.S, U.S . Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Dow, Office, National Statistics Locations: U.S ., U.S, Europe
Goldman Sachs has refreshed its conviction list of top stocks in Asia Pacific this month, adding some names and removing others. Here are two additions to Goldman Sachs' Asian conviction list, and two removals: China Resources Beer Goldman analyst Leaf Liu said he was positive on the outlook for Chinese beer manufacturer and distributor China Resources Beer . Goldman Sachs has a 12-month price target of 51 Hong Kong dollars ($6.51) on the stock, giving it potential upside of around 46%. NTPC India's power generation company NTPC — formerly the National Thermal Power Corporation — was another addition to Goldman's conviction list. Shionogi, China Medical System Meanwhile, the Wall Street bank removed two pharmaceutical players — Japan's Shionogi and the China-headquartered China Medical System — from its conviction list.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, China Resources Beer, Leaf Liu, CRB, , National Thermal Power Corporation —, Apoorva Bahadur, Bahadur, Goldman, — Japan's Shionogi, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: MSCI Asia, China Resources, China Resources Beer Goldman, China Resources Beer, Brands, Star, Heineken, Hong, Franklin FTSE, National Thermal Power Corporation Locations: Asia Pacific, Japan, China, ,, Tianjin, premiumization, Hong Kong, Franklin FTSE China, Shionogi
One investment analyst says he's looking for opportunities outside the U.S. stock market. HDFC Bank In India, the investment analyst is betting on Indian bank HDFC . HDFC Bank recently reported 55.4% year-on-year growth in gross advances for the quarter ended March 31. Shares in the bank are traded in the Nifty India Financials ETF (15.6% weight) and iShares India 50 ETF (11.2%). Shares in the life insurer are traded in the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (20.0% weight) and Franklin FTSE Hong Kong ETF (19.2%).
Persons: we've, Steven Glass, CNBC's, Glass, AIA's Organizations: Sydney, Pella Funds Management, HDFC Bank, India, India Financials, AIA, AIA Group, Hong, Hong Kong ETF, Franklin FTSE, Franklin FTSE Hong Kong ETF Locations: Europe, Pella, Asia, China, India, FactSet, Singapore, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Franklin FTSE Hong
Overall, however, markets — including global stocks — are still very much deep in positive territory. The S & P 500 is up around 9.6% year-to-date, and in fact hit new record highs in March . Global stocks outside of the U.S. have also had a nice run, with the FTSE All World Ex US index rising nearly 8% year-to-date. Stocks with a 14-day RSI higher than 70 are likely overbought and may be due for a pullback. These are among the top overbought names in the S & P 500, according to FactSet.
Organizations: Dow Jones, Global, FTSE, U.S, Commonwealth Financial Network, CNBC Pro, Vanguard FTSE Locations: Ukraine
CNBC Pro asked several finance experts for their top ETF picks to buy and hold this year. The MSCI USA Value index, accessible to U.S. and Europe-based investors, has run up 14% this year, outperforming the S & P 500. Invesco Nasdaq Biotech ETF For investors wanting exposure to growth stocks, Rees likes the Invesco Nasdaq Biotech ET F (SBIO-GB) in the biotech space. L & G Clean Water ETF Rees, whose firm manages more than $12.6 billion in assets, also highlighted the L & G Clean Water ETF (GLUG-GB) for investors keen on an environmental play. The fund's $415 million is invested across 53 stocks in the Solactive Clean Water Index.
Persons: Vahan Janjigian, Janjigian, Ursula Marchioni, Marchioni, Ian Rees, Rees, It's Organizations: CNBC Pro, Vanguard, Stock, Greenwich Wealth, BlackRock, Premier Miton Investors, Nasdaq Biotech, Nasdaq, Nasdaq Biotech ETF, U.S, London Stock Exchange, Index, Vanguard FTSE Locations: U.S, Europe, East, Asia, Germany
For instance, the iShares MBS ETF (MBB) has a net expense ratio of 0.04% and a year-to-date total return of -1.24%. Vanguard's MBS ETF (VMBS) also carries an expense ratio of 0.04% and a total return of -1.08% in 2024. Stocks in developed markets have had the closest correlation with U.S. equities, while emerging markets equities are less correlated, the research firm found. ETFs that play on that theme include the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) , which has an expense ratio of 0.08%, and the iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG) , with an expense ratio of 0.09%. VWO has a year-to-date total return of 1.33%, while IEMG's total return for the period is 1.6%.
Persons: Charles NeSmith, Morningstar, Andrew Herzog, Herzog, Cash, Amy Arnott, There's, NeSmith, VWO Organizations: Nasdaq, Communications, Financial, Mortgage, Investors, MBS, Morningstar, Commodities, Vanguard FTSE, Markets Locations: Plantation , Florida, Plano , Texas, U.S
Markets are still red-hot even after a very good 2023, when the S & P 500 soared around 24%. The S & P 500 is up around 10% year-to-date, and in fact hit new record highs in March . Using FactSet, CNBC Pro screened the S & P 500 and the Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF for stocks that are beating the market so far this year — and that analysts love. We used these criteria: Up more than 10% so far in 2023 — beating the S & P 500. Just five stocks turned up from the S & P 500 screen: Amazon , Delta Airlines , Marathon Oil Corporation , Micron Technology and United Airlines .
Persons: , Meituan Organizations: FTSE, CNBC Pro, Vanguard FTSE, Delta Airlines, Marathon Oil Corporation, Micron Technology, United Airlines . United Airlines, Analysts, Micron
Germany’s DAX added 0.1% to 17,959.35 and the FTSE 100 in London edged 0.1% higher to 7,731.73. Markets are awaiting a decision by the Bank of Japan on Tuesday on whether to raise its benchmark interest rate for the first time in 17 years. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong edged 0.1% higher to 16,737.12, and the Shanghai Composite index gained 1% to 3,084.93. Elsewhere, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 edged 0.1% higher to 7,675.80, and the Kospi in South Korea advanced 0.7%, to 2,685.84. A report on consumer prices last week showed inflation remains stubborn, ticking up to 3.2% in February from 3.1% in January.
Persons: Germany’s DAX, Australia’s Organizations: Japan’s, Federal Reserve, CAC, Dow Jones, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Honda Motor, Dongfeng Motor, Nasdaq, Software, Adobe, Microsoft, Broadcom, Google, University of Michigan, Fed, Traders, CME Group, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, London, Paris, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, China, South Korea, India, Bangkok, U.S
TOKYO (AP) — Global shares are mixed Thursday in lackluster trading. U.S. shares were set to drift higher with Dow futures up nearly 0.3% at 39,632.00. Nissan Motor Co. stock jumped 2.2% after an unconfirmed Japanese media report that the automaker behind the Leaf electric car was about to enter an agreement on EVs with domestic rival Honda Motor Co. Honda shares rose 1.1%. Photos You Should See View All 60 ImagesThe Japanese central bank has set a target of 2% inflation. That higher inflation has in turn dashed Wall Street’s hopes that the Federal Reserve could start offering relief at its meeting next week by cutting interest rates.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Sydney's, Hang Seng, , Anderson Alves, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, , CAC, Dow, Nikkei, Nissan Motor Co, Honda Motor Co, Honda, Nissan, Bank of Japan, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S Locations: Hong, Shanghai, ActivTrades, Bank of Japan
There may be a lot of caution with investing in Chinese stocks — but asset manager Jason Hsu sees opportunities to play the market. "Chinese stocks are trading at the cheapest they've ever been. The Chinese economy and stock market have been dogged by declining foreign investments and a prolonged property market slump. Hsu suggests that investors allocate around 7% to 8% of their portfolio to Chinese stocks. 'A great growth story' When it comes to the Chinese market, Hsu views state-owned food and beverage company Kweichow Moutai as good short-term play.
Persons: Jason Hsu, Hsu, Moutai, Warren Buffett, Tesla, BYD Organizations: Rayliant Global Advisors, CNBC Pro, Shanghai, Shanghai Stock Exchange, FTSE, China Consumer, Toyota, U.S, Ferrari, Hong Kong Locations: China, Japan, FTSE China, U.S, Europe, Hong Kong and New York
Declining foreign investment and a prolonged property slump are just some of the issues that have put pressure on the Chinese economy — and stock market. We're still relatively underweight China, but we've been reducing that underweight [as] some of the stocks there have become really, really cheap." China Market Research Group's Shaun Rein agrees. "If you're a multinational, if you're looking to drive growth over the next three to five years, the next China is China. Shares in Fufeng are held in the iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF , while Xinyi Glass shares are held in the Franklin FTSE Hong Kong ETF and SPDR S & P China ETF .
Persons: Kamil Dimmich, CNBC's, we've, Shaun Rein, it's, Salomon, Arc'teryx, Dimmich Organizations: Shanghai, South Capital, Research, Amer Sports, New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Fufeng Group, Ford, General Motors, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Xinyi, Franklin FTSE, Franklin FTSE Hong Kong ETF Locations: China, It's, India, Vietnam, Franklin FTSE Hong
India's economic prospects are shining bright, attracting global investors eager to capitalize on the country's immense growth potential. The International Monetary Fund expects India's real gross domestic product (GDP) to expand by 6.5% in 2024. However, tapping into these opportunities as a foreign investor is not as straightforward as buying shares listed on the Indian stock exchanges. This allows investors outside India to buy shares more easily. ADRs are a way for investors to own shares in a foreign company, with the shares themselves held by a U.S. bank.
Persons: Malcolm Dorson, Alex Watts, GDRs, Dorson Organizations: Monetary Fund, India Active, Franklin FTSE, Interactive, London Stock Exchange, Major, Nokia, Airtel Locations: India, Franklin FTSE India, U.S, Canada, Germany, France, Finnish, China, Europe
LONDON — Rolls-Royce shares jumped more than 8% on Thursday after the British aerospace group more than doubled its annual profits in 2023 and forecast further momentum this year. Rolls-Royce, which manufactures jet engines for commercial aircraft along with power systems for ships and submarines, posted an underlying operating profit of £1.6 billion ($2 billion) in 2023, compared to £652 million in 2022. The group also reported a record free cash flow of £1.3 billion, driven by strong operating profit and continued growth of its long-term service agreement (LTSA) book. Rolls-Royce was the top performer in Britain's FTSE 100 in 2023, soaring over 200% on the back of a profit forecast upgrade and the announcement in November that profits could quadruple by 2027. "Our strong delivery in 2023 gives us confidence in our 2024 guidance and is a significant step towards our mid-term targets," Erginbilgic added.
Persons: Tufan Erginbilgic, Royce, Erginbilgic, Cheviot Organizations: Airbus, Universal Sky, LONDON, Royce, Power Systems, Defence Locations: Barcelona, Spain, British, Britain's
UBS has uncovered small- and medium-sized overlooked stocks across Europe that offer substantial upside potential. Of those, the five stocks below stand out for having the biggest upside potential, according to FactSet's consensus price targets. The five stocks had a high UBS "composite value score," indicating they are cheap relative to their book value. Finally, UBS screened for stocks with a relatively low short-selling in them — the practice of betting on the stocks falling. The bank had previously said small- and mid-cap companies are a "preferred" segment for investing in 2024.
Persons: Sutanya Chedda, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS Locations: Europe
Megacap tech stocks aren't just powering the U.S. stock market — they're also holding the world together. U.S. equities now comprise 70% of the MSCI World Index, the benchmark for large- and mid-cap companies across 23 developed markets. The MSCI World Index shifts regional and country weights based on broader economic trends. High levels of market concentration in the late 1920s to early 1930s, as well as 2000, coincided with a market top, he noted. The Europe Stoxx 600 has risen only 2.6% year to date, underperforming the U.S. broad market index.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Scott Rubner, Peter Berezin, Berezin, NVDA, Phillip Colmar, that's, Mike Dickson, Dickson, Warren Buffett's, Colmar, It's, you've, Germany DAX Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, BCA Research, Big Tech, MRB Partners, Horizon Investments, Nikkei, British FTSE, France CAC Locations: U.S, Europe, Colmar, Japan, Asia, Germany, France
The offices of London Stock Exchange Group Plc, right, in Paternoster Square in the City of London, UK. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — TUI became the latest company to ditch its share listing in London, as shareholders voted overwhelmingly for the German travel giant to list solely in Frankfurt. Around 77% of transactions in TUI shares are currently settled via Germany, with the U.K. now accounting for less than a quarter. U.K. stocks are trading at a considerable discount to the rest of Europe, having suffered an investor flight in recent years. London still a contender London has also suffered a number of de-listings and high-profile IPO snubs over the past year.
Persons: TUI, Frankfurt's, Mathias Kiep, London, SoftBank, Rishi Sunak's Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, Bloomberg, Getty, London Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq Locations: Paternoster, City, City of London, London, Frankfurt, Hannover, Germany, TUI, Europe
A TV presenter gets ready for the daily reporting from the floor of the German share price index DAX at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, November 15, 2023. LONDON — European markets were set for a lower open Wednesday as investors assessed incoming corporate earnings and inflation prints in both the U.S. and the U.K. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was predicted to open 15 points lower at 7,492 points, the DAX down 40 points to 16,833 points and France's CAC lower by 15 points to 7,605, according to IG data. Losses deepened after new figures showed U.S. inflation rose by more than expected in January, as stubbornly high shelter prices squeezed consumers. Wednesday will see reporting from several major European businesses, including ABN AMRO and Capgemini.
Persons: DAX Organizations: LONDON, U.S, U.K, CAC, of Labor Statistics, Dow, U.S . Federal, ABN AMRO, Capgemini Locations: Frankfurt, Germany
London CNN —Tui, one of the world’s largest travel agencies, will leave the London Stock Exchange in June — the latest blow to the British capital’s longstanding reputation as the undisputed leader of Europe’s stock markets. Shareholders in the German company, which is dual-listed in London and Frankfurt, voted Tuesday to delist the firm from the London Stock Exchange. The company expects to cancel its shares on the London Stock Exchange in late June. A Tui cruise ship in Malaga port in June 2021. Jorge Guerrero/AFP/Getty ImagesHeadquartered in Hanover, Tui owns more than 400 hotels, 16 cruise ships, five airlines and 1,200 travel agencies.
Persons: London CNN —, Tui, Mathias Kiep, , , Delphine Currie, Reed Smith, Jorge Guerrero, “ It’s, ” Kiep, Sebastian Ebel Organizations: London CNN, London Stock Exchange, Shareholders, ARM Holdings, , Getty, Revenue, Canaries Locations: London, Frankfurt, United Kingdom, Germany, New York, , Amsterdam, Paris, Malaga, AFP, Hanover, Tui, Israel, East, Egypt, Cape Verde, Mexico, Thailand, Dominican Republic, South Africa, Red Sea, Yemen
That may relieve pressure on the central bank to alter its longstanding ultra-lax monetary policy and raise its benchmark interest rate from minus 0.1%. Inflation has been cooling enough that the Federal Reserve has hinted it may cut its main interest rate several times this year. Reports showing the U.S. economy and job market remain remarkably solid, along with some comments from Fed officials, have been forcing the delays. In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude rose 27 cents to $77.19 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In currency trading, the U.S. dollar rose to 149.67 Japanese yen from 149.34 yen.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Australia's, Korea's Kospi, ” Yeap Jun Rong, that’s Organizations: TOKYO, CAC, FTSE, Dow Jones, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, IG, Federal Reserve, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: Asia, China , Hong Kong, Taiwan, United States
The WisdomTree India Earnings ETF (EPI) has a total return of 6.6% through Feb. 8, according to FactSet, and is up 18.7% over the past three months. That makes it the best performing of the five biggest India ETFs, with the iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) and the Franklin FTSE India ETF (FLIN) both up less than 4% year to date.The WisdomTree fund is also beating The S & P 500, which up less than 5% over the same period. The WisdomTree fund has been a long-term winner as well, with an average annualized return of roughly 12% over the past decade. And, notably, the second-best performing major India ETF this year is the iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF (SMIN) . That is above the 0.65% of the iShares INDA ETF and the 0.19% of Franklin Templeton's FLIN.
Persons: date.The, Jeremy Schwartz, it's, It's, Schwartz, Franklin Templeton's FLIN Organizations: Franklin FTSE, CNBC, India ETF Locations: India, Franklin FTSE India
As the U.S. presidential election comes into the spotlight, Goldman Sachs has assessed the potential impact on global markets by changes in regulation, taxation, and other government policies. However, it sees U.S. subsidiaries of foreign companies potentially gaining if Trump delivers on a cut to corporation taxes. On average, European companies generate 25% of sales in the U.S., but most come from U.S.-based businesses rather than exports from the EU, according to Goldman Sachs. As these companies run substantial U.S. operations and assets, Goldman also sees them as benefiting from potential U.S. corporate tax cuts under Trump. However, they flagged that Biden has mentioned increasing the rate of corporate tax, "which would have an impact on US-exposed companies."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Trump, DAX, Sharon Bell, Joe Biden, Goldman, Biden, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S, Ukraine, Trump, Eurostat, Stocks, Intercontinental Hotels Group, Boeing, Aero, BAE Systems, Kerry Group, Goldman, Republican Locations: United States, U.S, Europe
And on that front, we are not asking BP to renege on its strategy, but to adapt its strategy to the reality." Auchincloss has since been appointed as permanent CEO of the British oil and gas major. In response to the publication of the letter, a spokesperson for BP said the company "welcomes constructive engagement" with its shareholders. We continue to make significant progress, remain focused on delivery, and are confident the strategy will grow the value of bp and deliver sustainable long-term value for shareholders," BP said. Bivona declined to disclose Bluebell's stake in BP, saying that it was below a reporting threshold.
Persons: Giuseppe Bivona, Bivona, CNBC's, Bivone, Marco Taricco, Helge Lund, Murray Auchincloss, Auchincloss Organizations: Capital Partners, BP, Financial, Danone Locations: Bluebell, London
One stock frequently showed up among analysts' top calls this month: South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix . In December, HSBC raised the price target for the stock from 150,000 Korean ($112) won to 180,000 Korean won ($134). "We also expect positive impact from ongoing AI demand on expanding On-device AI adoption. For global investors who wish to buy SK Hynix shares, its shares are listed on the Korea Stock Exchange and its depository receipts are listed on the Luxembourg Stock Exchanges. Investors can also buy into SK Hynix via the ETF route.
Persons: Trent Masters, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Korean chipmaker SK Hynix, SK Hynix, Nvidia, SK Hynix's, UBS, HSBC, Korean, Trent, Alphinity Investment Management, CNBC, Samsung, SK, Korea Stock Exchange, Luxembourg Stock Exchanges, Franklin FTSE, Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF, Korea ETF Locations: Franklin FTSE South Korea, Korea
FanDuel-parent Flutter lists on the New York Stock Exchange Monday, offering U.S. investors an alternative to the biggest pure play in sports betting, DraftKings . But Flutter's most important market for revenue and growth is the United States, where FanDuel is the market share leader. In the fourth quarter, FanDuel had 43% market share based on gross revenue and 51% based on net revenue. But while FanDuel outperforms its competitors, its biggest rival DraftKings grabs the headlines and spotlight in earned media as the biggest (some might argue, the only) publicly traded pure play in sports betting. Shares of DraftKings have soared more than 150% over the last 12 months and are up 9% year to date.
Persons: FanDuel, DraftKings Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, London Stock Exchange, NYSE Locations: United States, FanDuel
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