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☆ U.S. rate cut, geopolitical woes lift gold to record high
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices extended gains to scale a record high on Monday, driven by the momentum generated by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and safe-haven demand due to geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Gold prices extended gains to scale a record high on Monday, driven by the momentum generated by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and safe-haven demand due to geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,628.28 per ounce, as of 0349 GMT, after hitting a record high of $2,630.93 earlier in the session. The U.S. Fed began its easing cycle with a half-percentage point rate cut on Wednesday, forecasting another half-point cut by year-end and a full point next year. Fed futures traders have priced in 75 basis points in rate cuts by the end of this year, according to CME FedWatch.

Persons: Tim Waterer Organizations: KCM, U.S, Fed, FedWatch Locations: U.S, Israel, Lebanese

☆ Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari sees a slower pace of rate cuts ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Monday that he expects policymakers to dial down the pace of interest rate cuts after last week's half percentage point reduction. "I think after 50 basis points, we're still in a net tight position," Kashkari said in a CNBC "Squawk Box" interview. "Right now, we still have a strong, healthy labor market. In their latest economic projections, FOMC members indicated that rate is probably around 2.9%; the current fed funds rate is targeted between 4.75% and 5%. Speaking separately Monday morning, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic indicated he expects the Fed to move aggressively in getting back to a neutral rate.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, we're, Kashkari, Kasharki, Raphael Bostic, Bostic Organizations: Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Fed Locations: Minneapolis

☆ Bitcoin jumps while Japan holiday dulls most currencies
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged last week and indicated it was not in a hurry to hike them again. That decision, coming just days after the Fed's 50 basis points rate cut, put a pause to the yen's sharp gains this month. With Japan closed for Autumnal Equinox Day, the main driver of trade was expectations around further Fed rate cuts and the gains those have spurred in equities, commodity currencies and other risk assets. The Fed's rate cut "appears to have calmed market fears of a U.S. recession", Goldman Sachs said in a note. Meanwhile, the majority of economists polled by Reuters anticipate two more 25 bps rate cuts at the Fed's final two meetings this year.

Persons: Bitcoin, Goldman Sachs, Christopher Waller, Fumio Kishida, Takaichi —, —, Shigeru Ishiba, Shinjiro Koizumi, Junichiro Koizumi, Takaichi, pare Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, Japan, U.S, U.S ., FedWatch, Treasury, Reuters, House Republicans, Liberal Democratic Party, Barclays, The Bank of Locations: United States, Japan, U.S, The Bank of England

☆ Stock market today: Dow ends at a record high as markets see rising odds of another big rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks rose Monday, with the Dow closing at a record high amid hopes for more rate cuts. Odds of a 50 basis point rate cut at the next FOMC meeting increased to 53%, up from 29% last week. AdvertisementUS stocks gained on Monday with the Dow Jones Industrial and S&P 500 closing at record highs as hopes of more Fed interest rate cuts ramped up. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets expect the Fed funds rate to fall to below 3% by the end of 2025, from 4.83% on Monday. That lines up with Kashkari's projection for the long-term Fed funds rate to sit at around 2.9%.

Persons: —, Austan Goolsbee, Neel Kashkari, Goolsbee, Kashkari Organizations: Dow, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Chicago Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Fed Locations: Chicago

☆ One number shows why the economy might not get the immediate relief many hope for
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

That rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield, a key lending benchmark for everything from mortgages to corporate debt. "The reaction within Treasury markets was most telling yesterday," Reinking said. AdvertisementHowever, it also means the 10-year Treasury is moving higher since the decision. The 10-year Treasury yield is a lending benchmark for everything from home loans to corporate debt. "That's positive for the economy, and in that case yields should be higher.

Persons: —, Michael Reinking, Reinking, Freddie Mac, Inki Cho, Sonu Varghese, Carson, Jerome Powell's, Varghese Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, Business, New York Stock Exchange, Fed

☆ JPMorgan economist who nailed half-point call sees another big Fed rate cut in November
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

At its much-anticipated meeting Wednesday, the Fed approved a half percentage point, or 50 basis point, cut to its benchmark funds rate that ran counter to the 25 basis point move that many Wall Street economists and strategists had been expecting. The benchmark fed funds rate now stands at 4.75% to 5.00% after Wednesday's move. Futures market pricing Thursday suggested a 25 basis point move in November followed by a 50 basis point cut in December, according to the CME Group's FedWatch. A basis point equals 0.01%. "Ultimately what we found most important in what Powell said was also among the least surprising things he said: future decisions are going to depend on the data," Feroli wrote.

Persons: Michael Feroli, Feroli, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Fed, Street Locations: U.S

☆ Stock market today: Indexes close at record highs and tech soars after Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Indexes rallied to record highs as investors cheered Wednesday's rate cut from the Fed. Jobless claims reinforced the Fed's message of a strong labor market, with last weeks's claims down 12,000. AdvertisementMajor stock indexes surged to record highs on Thursday, a day after a jumbo rate cut from the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, the Fed cut interest rates for the first time in four years, slashing its benchmark rate by 50 basis points. The Fed's dot plot shows the central bank will likely cut another 50 basis points this year and 100 basis points next year.

Persons: —, Dan Ives, Ives, Jerome Powell, Powell, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Fed . Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Broadcom, ASML, Labor Department, Treasury, Fed, Trump Media Locations: Here's

☆ Battleground stocks: Wall Street is completely divided on these controversial names
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Forty-one percent of analysts polled by FactSet have a buy rating on Tesla stock, while 21% have a sell rating. About 43% of analysts surveyed by FactSet maintain a buy rating on IBM stock, but 21% are at a sell. He also noted that the risk-to-reward skew on IBM stock is more balanced, leaving less upside for the stock. IBM YTD mountain IBM stock. Goldman Sachs recently added IBM to its conviction list with a $220 price target, or 2% above where shares closed Wednesday.

Persons: Tesla, TSLA, Wolfe Research's Emmanuel Rosner, Rosner, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Elon Musk, Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, Goldman Sachs, Jim Schneider, Campbell Soup Organizations: CNBC Pro, FactSet, U.S, automakers, IBM, Pepperidge

Because the Fed is likely to cut rates further, mortgage rates should continue to drop this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 5.60% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are right around 5%, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.

Persons: annonuncement, Jerome Powell, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets need time to digest the 50-point cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, –, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets seemed taken aback by the 50-point cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC

☆ Gold holds ground after Fed's oversized rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices held steady on Thursday after hitting a record high in the previous session, after the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a super-sized interest rate cut. Spot gold was little changed at $2,562.85 per ounce, as of 0319 GMT after scaling a record high of $2,599.92 on Wednesday. Powell, however, said the economy remained strong, with many job market indicators like unemployment claims and even the current 4.2% unemployment rate not at worrying levels. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment in a lower interest rate environment and during geopolitical turmoil.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's Organizations: Aurum, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Asia, Traders Locations: ., Lebanon

☆ It’s Fed decision day, and investors aren’t 100% sure what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders across Wall Street expect the Fed to lower rates, ending the tightening cycle that began in March 2022. That said, investors aren't sure how big the rate reduction will be. To be sure, it closed more than 30 points below the closing all-time high of 5,634.58 set in July. We tend to agree with that, but also think the setup for a 'false breakout' remains high," wrote Krinsky. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning , Barclays upgraded VF Corp to overweight from equal weight.

Persons: Chris Murphy, Susquehanna, Jonathan Krinsky, It's, Adrienne Yih Organizations: Federal, Traders, Barclays, Corp

☆ 3 reasons why today's Fed rate cut is the beginning of a more aggressive cutting spree than investors expect: chief economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewThe Federal Reserve is expected to slash interest rates today for the first time since 2020 as the labor market and inflation continue to cool. AdvertisementAssuming a 25-basis-point cut at every FOMC meeting until next July, that would leave an extra 75 basis points the central bank would have to work into its policy adjustments over that time. One is that the consumer could be weaker than they appear, and the labor market is likely to deteriorate further. AdvertisementWhile the Fed hopes to stimulate spending with rate cuts, Tombs is skeptical that they'll the impact the central bank wants. Advertisement"New mortgage rates need to drop by about 250bp before they will undershoot the average outstanding mortgage rate," Tombs wrote.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell's, Samuel Tombs, Tombs Organizations: Service, Business, Macroeconomics Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ The Fed gives the US its first jumbo interest-rate cut in 4 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

It's the first time the Federal Reserve has cut rates since March 2020. The unemployment rate also ticked down in August, giving the Fed the data it needed to cut rates. AdvertisementAccording to CME FedWatch, which estimates interest-rate changes based on market predictions, a rate cut was all but certain; the question was how big of a cut the Fed would implement. Additionally, some economists and Democratic lawmakers had for months been calling for a rate cut of at least 50 basis points. "They're going to cut rates this week," Bharat Ramamurti, a senior advisor for economic strategy at the American Economic Liberties Project, told reporters during a Monday briefing.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell's, Skanda Amarnath, Democratic Sens, Elizabeth Warren, John Hickenlooper, Sheldon Whitehouse, Powell, delinquencies, Bharat Ramamurti Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Federal Reserve, Business, CME FedWatch, Democratic, Fed, American Economic Liberties Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, America

☆ The 'Fed put' is back. Here's why central bankers will want to support the stock market, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

That's because the Fed wants a "healthy economy," a big component of which is a strong stock market, he said. AdvertisementThe "Fed put" is back, and stock investors may not be fully pricing in the good news, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee. The prominent stock bull pointed to the idea that central bankers could move to further ease monetary policy at any sign of weakness in the stock market. AdvertisementA healthy economy, though, hinges on consumer and business confidence, which is largely tied to the stock market, Lee said. We could be seeing turbulence for the next 8 weeks, but this is also in the context of a very strong stock market in 2024," he added.

Persons: Tom Lee, That's, —, Lee, There's Organizations: Fed, Service, Wednesday

Mortgage rates have dropped substantially in recent weeks, with 30-year rates now almost 40 basis points down from where they started the month. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates have gone down this week and are now hovering below 5.60%, according to Zillow data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. Because markets are already anticipating that the Fed will lower rates, mortgage rates might not drop much in response to a Fed rate cut.

Persons: it's, refinance, you'll, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ Stock market today: Indexes edge up ahead of major Fed interest rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

US indexes edged higher as investors waited for a likely interest rate cut from the Fed. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as traders readied for what's likely to be the Federal Reserves's first rate cut in four years. "Though consensus is leaning toward a 50 basis point move, we look for the Fed to cut by 25 basis points today. AdvertisementFollowing the interest rate decision, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who will deliver prepared remarks during a press conference. "While the market has usually bounced immediately following the 2 PM rate decision, the sell-off usually starts at or near the end of Powell's post-FOMC press conference."

Persons: Jerome Powell's, —, John Lynch, José Torres, Jerome Powell, Powell, shouldn't Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Federal, Comerica Wealth Management, Interactive, Deutsche Bank, Investment

☆ Treasury yields inch higher as investors look to Fed rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.6046% after adding over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Wednesday as all eyes were on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision expected for later in the day. The focus on Wednesday will be on the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision and guidance for the monetary policy outlook. While a interest rate cut is all but guaranteed, traders are divided about the size of the rate reduction. Investors are also hoping for hints about what Fed interest rate policy could look like for the remainder of the year and if more cuts are on the horizon.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors

☆ The Fed rate cut will boost these kinds of stocks the most, according to UBS
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will give a boost to these stocks, according to UBS. UBS strategist Patrick Palfrey identified stocks that have historically outperformed when the Fed lowers interest rates, a move that he expects will especially benefit smaller, more volatile and less-efficient companies. He expects this is true across the large-cap and small-cap universes represented by the S & P 500 and Russell 2000. Here are five S & P 500 stocks UBS expects can benefit most. By comparison, the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) is up more than 8% year to date.

Persons: Patrick Palfrey, Russell, Palfrey Organizations: UBS, Regional Banking, CNBC, Moderna, Resources, National Bank Financial, Perpetua Resources Locations: ROE, Cleveland , Ohio, Idaho

☆ European markets set for lower open as investors weigh UK inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Italy's FTSE MIB meanwhile was set to fall by around 39 points to 33,784. LONDON — European markets were headed for a lower open on Wednesday as investors considered key data from the region and looked to the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision. In Europe, U.K. inflation figures for August were published Wednesday, coming in at 2.2% according to data from the Office for National Statistics. The data comes ahead of the Bank of England meeting and interest rate policy decision scheduled for later this week. The Fed is all but guaranteed to announce an interest rate cut on Wednesday, which would be its first since it started hiking rates in March 2022.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, LONDON, U.S . Federal, Office, National Statistics, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: Europe, Asia, Pacific

☆ Gold flat as investors focus on Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices were flat on Wednesday as investors weighed chances of an outsized interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve later in the day. Gold prices were flat on Wednesday as investors weighed chances of an outsized interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve later in the day. The Fed is expected to announce a cut to interest rates for the first time in more than four years at 1800 GMT. Markets are now pricing in a 65% chance of a 50-basis-point rate cut, compared with 34% a week earlier, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment in a lower interest rate environment and during geopolitical turmoil.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Matt Simpson, let's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Index Locations: ., Lebanon

☆ The Fed doesn't want to fall behind the unemployment rate, says FedWatch Advisors' Ben Emons
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed doesn't want to fall behind the unemployment rate, says FedWatch Advisors' Ben EmonsBen Emons, FedWatch Advisors chief investment officer and founder, joins 'Fast Money' with reaction to today's rate cut.

Persons: Ben Emons Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch, FedWatch Advisors

☆ What a Fed rate cut could mean for the world
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

watch nowThe U.S. Federal Reserve is on Wednesday heading for its first interest rate cut since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic — and despite the move being widely forecast, global investors are braced for impact. Global impactA key concern is the pressure interest rate differentials put on currencies. Oil and other commodities, usually priced in dollars, often receive a boost with a rate cut as a lower cost of borrowing can stimulate an economy and increase demand. "Interest rate cuts reduce the cost of borrowing in U.S. dollars, thereby creating easier liquidity conditions for companies around the world," Quilter Cheviot's Richard Carter continued via email. That includes whether the initial cut will reduce the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points or 50 basis points below its current 525 to 550 range.

Persons: —, Richard Carter, Cheviot, Cheviot's Richard Carter Organizations: U.S . Federal, Turkish, U.S ., Fed, Federal, Equity Locations: U.S, Canada, Mexico, Switzerland, Sweden

☆ Jim Cramer says Salesforce's collaboration with Nvidia should not be overlooked
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer urged people to be patient once the Fed's decision arrives at 2 p.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Jerome Powell's, Jim, Salesforce, Agentforce, Mark Benioff, Brian Niccol, General Mills, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Bank of America, Starbucks, VF Corp, Resmed, Marriott International, Alaska Air Locations: China

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