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☆ Treasury yields inch higher as investors weigh economic data, interest rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Yields and prices move in opposite directions and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over one basis point to 4.3006%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than one basis point higher to 4.7449%. U.S. Treasurys rose slightly on Thursday as investors considered the latest economic data and weighed the outlook for interest rate cuts. Elsewhere, the European Central Bank is set to announce its first interest rate cut since 2019, even as inflationary pressures in the euro zone have lingered.

Persons: nonfarm Organizations: Treasury, ADP, Investors, European Central Bank, Federal Locations: Canada, Sweden, Switzerland, U.S

☆ Traders prepare for an expected rate cut by the European Central Bank
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTraders prepare for an expected rate cut by the European Central BankCNBC's Silvia Amaro reports from the Barclays trading floor in London ahead of the European Central Bank decision, with the market forecasting a 25-basis-point cut.

Persons: European Central Bank CNBC's Silvia Amaro Organizations: Traders, European Central Bank, Barclays Locations: London

☆ European stocks set for higher open as markets anticipate first ECB rate cut since 2019
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

A sculpture of the Euro currency stands in the city centre of Frankfurt am Main, western Germany, on January 25, 2024. European stocks are expected to open higher on Thursday, with traders anticipating that the European Central Bank will cut borrowing costs for the euro area for the first time since September 2019. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 27 points higher at 8,270, Germany's DAX 75 points higher at 18,642, France's CAC 40 up 28 points at 8,032 and Italy's FTSE MIB 139 points higher at 34,711, according to data from IG.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: European Central Bank, CAC, IG Locations: Frankfurt, Germany

☆ ECB rate cut decision expected today: BNP Paribas Asset Management
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB rate cut decision expected today: BNP Paribas Asset ManagementZhikai Chen, head of Asian equities at BNP Paribas Asset Management, discusses global markets ahead of the European Central Bank's interest rate decision today.

Persons: Management Zhikai Chen Organizations: BNP, Management, Asset Management, European

☆ Bank of Canada cuts rates, economists predict another reduction next month
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Bank of Canada in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, on Thursday, May 18, 2023. After keeping interest rates at a more than two-decade high of 5% for almost a year, the BoC said the indicators for underlying inflation looked increasingly positive. The European Central Bank is most likely to follow suit on Thursday, financial markets foresee. Inflation in Canada has slowed this year to hit a three-year low of 2.7% in April. "But we are taking our interest rate decisions one meeting at a time," he added.

Persons: Macklem, Riksbank Organizations: Bank of Canada, The Bank of Canada, BoC, Financial, Reuters, Canadian, U.S ., Swiss National Bank, European Central Bank Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada

☆ European Central Bank set to cut rates for the first time since 2019
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Annette Weisbach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

President of the European Central Bank (ECB) Christine Lagarde arrives to address a press conference following the meeting of the governing council of the ECB in Frankfurt am Main, western Germany, on April 11, 2024. FRANKFURT — The European Central Bank this week is set to cut borrowing costs for the euro area for the first time since September 2019. It will mark the official end to the record fast-hiking cycle that begun after the Covid-19 pandemic as inflation soared higher. But investors' attention looks like it has already moved on to what will happen after this June cut by the Frankfurt institution. "Judging by the commentary from officials, there is no questioning of the wisdom of cutting rates on 6 June," said Mark Wall, ECB watcher with Deutsche Bank.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Mark Wall Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Deutsche Bank, ECB — Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, FRANKFURT

☆ E.C.B. Is Likely to Leapfrog the Fed on Interest Rate Cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Eshe Nelson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

European Central Bank officials are expected to cut interest rates this week for the first time in more than five years, drawing a line under the worst of the eurozone’s inflation crisis and easing the pressure on the region’s weak economy. But as policymakers in the eurozone move ahead, they leave behind their counterparts at the U.S. Federal Reserve, who are grappling with a seemingly more persistent inflation problem and warning that it will take longer to cut rates there. Lowering interest rates in Europe before the United States does would create a gap between the policies of two of the world’s largest and most influential central banks. to ease its policy could weaken the euro, while higher interest rates in the United States would continue to tighten financial conditions there and in other countries because of the global role of the dollar. can split from the Federal Reserve, while others say a divergence is not unusual and reflects two different economic situations.

Organizations: European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Locations: Europe, United States

Thursday is a big day for the European Central Bank. It is widely expected to lower interest rates by a quarter percentage point, its first cut since 2019 — and outpace the Fed in lowering borrowing costs. The big questions on our mind: Will Christine Lagarde, the central bank’s president, signal further cuts at its July and September meetings? The good news: Economists say the era of elevated rates around the world is coming to an end. But they add that sticky inflation will tie central bankers’ hands, limiting their ability to lower borrowing costs much.

Persons: Will Christine Lagarde, Holger Schmieding, DealBook Organizations: European Central Bank, Berenberg Bank Locations: Brussels

☆ Fed should follow ECB on rate cuts soon, says Wilmington Trust's Luke Tilley
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed should follow ECB on rate cuts soon, says Wilmington Trust's Luke TilleyCNBC's Steve Liesman and Luke Tilley, Wilmington Trust chief economist, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the European Central Bank's rate policy, the timing of a potential US rate cut, and more.

Persons: Wilmington Trust's Luke Tilley, Steve Liesman, Luke Tilley Organizations: ECB, Wilmington Trust Locations: Wilmington

☆ European markets head for a higher open as investors look ahead to ECB meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European stocks are expected to open higher Wednesday, with investors in the region looking ahead to the next meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB). The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 42 points higher at 8,274, Germany's DAX up 88 points at 18,501, France's CAC 40 up 46 points at 7,983 and Italy's FTSE MIB 174 points higher at 34,491, according to data from IG. Investors will be keeping an eye on earnings from Spanish clothing company Inditex. On the data front, final purchasing managers' index (PMI) data for the euro zone in May, a measure of services and manufacturing activity in the single currency area, is due. The ECB is widely expected to cut interest rates for the first time since 2019 when policymakers meet on Thursday, but investors will watch closely to see whether a slightly higher-than-expected euro zone inflation print released last Friday will affect the central bank's decision-making.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: European Central Bank, CAC, IG, Investors, ECB

Stock price information reflected on a window at the Euronext NV stock exchange in Paris, France, on Monday, March 13, 2023. European markets closed lower Tuesday, as positive momentum from the past few days faltered. The pan-European Stoxx 600 provisionally closed 0.5% lower, with all major bourses and most sectors in the red. Mining stocks stocks lost 2.3% while health-care stocks were the biggest gainer, adding 0.8%. Banking stocks shed 2.1%, with Italy's UniCredit losing more than 4%, as investors looked ahead to the European Central Bank's latest interest rate decision later this week.

Persons: Italy's UniCredit Organizations: Banking, Central, Maersk, ECB Locations: Paris, France, Danish

☆ U.S. dollar drifts higher from multi-month lows, yen gains
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Job openings, a measure of labor demand, were down 296,000 to 8.059 million on the last day of April, the lowest since February 2021. Market participants had their focus on the JOLTS data ahead of Friday's U.S. job report, which is expected to show 185,000 new jobs created in May, up from 175,000 in April. "Certainly we had the JOLTS data which was pretty weak. The JOLTS report followed data on Monday showing a second straight month of slowdown in manufacturing activity and an unexpected decline in construction spending. In afternoon trading, the dollar index was up 0.1% at 104.12, having fallen to its lowest since mid-April overnight at 103.99.

Persons: Eugene Epstein, Epstein Organizations: U.S, Swiss, Labor, Survey, Federal Reserve, North America, European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, BoC, BOC, ECB Locations: Friday's, Moneycorp, New Jersey

The yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by 6 basis points at 4.334%. The 2-year Treasury yield pulled back 3.5 basis points to 4.78%. The fresh reading is fueling investor hope that the labor market is perhaps weak enough to allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Yields had fallen on Monday, with the 10-year Treasury yield tumbling close to 12 basis points, after economic data indicated a contraction of the manufacturing sector. — Correction: The 10-year Treasury yield fell nearly 12 basis points Monday.

Persons: Dow Jones, nonfarm payrolls Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Labor Department, Dow, Federal Reserve, Fed, European Central Bank

☆ Currencies tread cautiously after U.S. inflation report, focus on ECB
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar posted its first monthly decline of the year in May, weighed down by shifting expectations on when the U.S. central bank will cut rates and by how much. Traders are now pricing in about a 53% chance of a rate cut in September, versus about 49% before the report. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.067% lower at 104.51 on Monday. Sterling was 0.04% higher at $1.27475, while the euro last fetched $1.085325 ahead of the European Central Bank policy meeting on Thursday when the central bank is seen as almost certain to cut rates. The comments from ECB officials will be in focus for traders along with economic projections as they assess whether the central bank will provide further cuts after Thursday in the wake of data showing a rise in euro zone inflation in May.

Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Sterling, Chris Weston, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Annex Wealth Management, European Central Bank, ECB, Japan's Ministry of Finance, U.S, IG Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, U.S, Tokyo

☆ European markets set to open higher ahead of ECB decision later this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European markets are poised to start the month higher Monday as investors look ahead to the European Central Bank's latest interest rate decision later this week. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was last seen 63 points higher at 8,340, according to IG data, while Germany's DAX was up 173 points at 18,652. France's CAC was 62 points higher at 8,041and Italy's MIB was up 359 points at 34,893. The move would mark the first time the ECB has cut rates ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve. U.S. stock futures also started the month in positive territory, coming off the back of a strong May in which all three major averages notched their sixth positive month in seven.

Persons: Germany's DAX, China's Organizations: Central, CAC, ECB, U.S . Federal Locations: Spain, France, Germany, Asia, Pacific

☆ Treasury yields slip as investors look to key jobs data in week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis point to 4.4926%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last one basis point lower to 4.8830%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited fresh economic data, including key jobs data, slated for the week. Investors looked to key economic data that could provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and the monetary policy path. Including food and energy costs, the PCE increased 0.3% from the previous month and 2.7% on an annual basis, as expected.

Organizations: Treasury, U.S, European Central Bank, Traders, Fed, Investors, PCE Locations: U.S

☆ Profits of these 5 global banks will stay high despite an ECB rate cut, says Berenberg
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Despite an interest rate cut expected this week, profits at a handful of major European banks will remain robust, according to Berenberg. The European Central Bank appears on course to cut interest rates this week, the first reduction since 2019, despite a higher-than-expected inflation print . However, European banks underperformed their global peers over the past decade as the European Central Bank kept interest rates below or near zero until 2022. The investment bank's analyst also pointed out that European banks are currently trading at a 20% discount to their long-run average valuation despite improvements in their balance sheets and returns. According to Berenberg, historical data shows that European banks only traded below current valuations for 6% of the time between 1988 and 2020.

Persons: Banks, Peter Richardson, Richardson, Berenberg Organizations: European Central Bank, Chartered, Barclays, Nordea Bank, UniCredit, HSBC —, Bank Locations: U.S

☆ American shoppers are tired. These companies are benefiting
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-02 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Just ask Ross Stores: America’s largest off-price retailer reported earnings and revenue that beat analysts’ forecasts last week. The US Labor Department releases April figures on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Commerce Department releases April figures on new orders for manufactured goods. The US Commerce Department releases April data on exports and imports. Friday: The US Labor Department releases May data gauging the state of the job market, including monthly payroll growth, wage gains and the unemployment rate.

Persons: Ross, “, ” Adam Orvos, ” TJX, TJ Maxx, LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, ” Clayton Allison, Allison, ” Allison, Brown Forman, Campbell Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Companies, Ross Stores, Marshalls, Burberry, Prime Capital Investment Advisors, CNN, Walmart, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, CrowdStrike, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Body, US Labor Department, US Commerce Department, Bank of Canada, Autodesk, Smucker, DocuSign, Vail Resorts, European Central Bank Locations: Washington, North America, Europe, Australia, Americas, Zumiez

☆ Inflation Ticks Up in the Eurozone
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Melissa Eddy | More About Melissa Eddy | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

The annual rate of inflation in the countries that use the euro accelerated slightly in May, driven by a jump in the cost of services and food. The headline inflation rate was a bit higher than economists expected. The same was true for core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, which came in at 2.9 percent in May, versus 2.7 percent in April. The numbers for May showed the first uptick in overall and core inflation this year, highlighting the difficulties policymakers at the European Central Bank face in the final stretch of reaching their aim to bring inflation down to 2 percent. Three of the area’s largest economies, Germany, France and Spain, all saw annual inflation speed up in May.

Organizations: European Central Bank Locations: Germany, France, Spain

☆ Euro zone inflation rises to 2.6% in May, but bloc still seen heading for interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Inflation in the euro zone rose to 2.6% in May, statistics agency Eurostat said Friday, but a higher-than-expected print did not sway market bets of an interest rate cut from the European Central Bank next week. Core inflation, excluding the volatile effects of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, increased to 2.9% from 2.7% in April. The data comes with the ECB widely expected to cut interest rates at its June 6 meeting, the first reduction since 2019. While headline inflation increased in May, fluctuations in the rate have been forecast over the coming months due to base effects from the energy market and the unwinding of government fiscal support schemes across the bloc, . Staff are also due to release their latest round of inflation and growth projections at next week's meeting, providing more clues on the pace and level of potential cuts this year.

Persons: Klaas Knot, Kamil Kovar Organizations: Eurostat, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Staff, Moody's, U.S . Locations: Corfu, Old Town, Greece, London

☆ Uptick in European inflation clouds outlook for interest rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

London CNN —Inflation in Europe has ticked up for the first time in five months, casting doubt on the possibility of a steady stream of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank over the next few months. The European Central Bank began hiking rates in July 2022 to curb runaway inflation sparked by the reopening of the world’s economies following the pandemic as well as Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. “May’s increases (in inflation) won’t stop the ECB from cutting interest rates next week. All 82 economists polled by Reuters ahead of Friday’s inflation data expected the ECB to cut rates by a quarter of a percentage point next week. Over two-thirds, 55 of 82, expected two more cuts this year, in September and December.

Persons: “, Jack Allen, Reynolds, Claus Vistesen, ” Organizations: London CNN, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Capital Economics, Pantheon Locations: Europe, Ukraine

☆ Europe stocks set for another lower open as global sentiment sours ahead of inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European stocks are on course for a lower open Thursday, continuing a negative trend this week as global markets come under pressure from rising bond yields. Equity market gloom has been mirrored globally, as expectations that interest rates will be higher for longer have driven up bond yields — generally a harmful move for stocks. First to release will be the euro zone, amid uncertainty over how how many times the European Central Bank will cut interest rates this year beyond its expected first cut at its June meeting next week. That will be followed by the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The minutes from the Fed's most recent meeting and recent comments from policymakers have seen money markets fully price in just one rate cut from the world's biggest central bank this year.

Organizations: Equity, European Central Bank, U.S, Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific

☆ European Central Bank’s Knot says monetary policy to ease ‘gradually,' as markets brace for June rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Klaas Knot, president of De Nederlandsche Bank NV, on the sidelines of the Group of 20 (G-20) finance ministers and central bank governors meeting in Gandhinagar, India, on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — European Central Bank Governing Council member Klaas Knot said it would "soon" be time to ease monetary policy in the region, but cautioned that the process would need to be done slowly to keep inflation in check. "It can soon be appropriate to ease the currently restrictive monetary policy stance and gradually take our foot off the brake ... policy rates will slowly but gradually move into less restrictive levels," Knot, head of the central bank of the Netherlands, said at the Barclays-CEPR International Monetary Policy Forum in London Tuesday. In a Reuters poll of 82 economists this week, all said they expected a June cut. Knot, usually known for his more hawkish stance, said Tuesday there had been "clear disinflation" since the peak above 10% in late 2022, particularly in goods inflation.

Persons: Klaas Knot Organizations: De Nederlandsche Bank, Bloomberg, Getty, Central Bank Governing, Barclays, CEPR, Monetary, ECB, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Reuters Locations: Gandhinagar, India, Netherlands, London

☆ European markets set to open mixed as UK's FTSE reopens
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was seen opening lower after markets were closed for the late May bank holiday, while other major European bourses were seen moving higher. European markets are poised to open mixed on Tuesday after a quiet start to the trading week in which several key global markets were closed. Tuesday's session is light on the corporate earnings front, while wholesale price data is due out of Germany. Investors are continuing to weigh the prospects of a June rate cut by the European Central Bank after two key policymakers threw their weight behind the prospect on Monday. Meanwhile, the ECB's Chief Economist Philip Lane said in an interview with the Financial Times, "Barring major surprises, at this point in time there is enough in what we see to remove the top level of restriction."

Persons: Olli Rehn, Philip Lane Organizations: Investors, European Central Bank, ECB, Financial Times Locations: Germany

☆ Fed's Kashkari wants to see 'many more months' of positive inflation data before a rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON — The Federal Reserve should wait for significant progress on inflation before cutting interest rates, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari told CNBC Tuesday. Asked what conditions were needed for the Fed to cut rates once or twice this year, Kashkari said: "Many more months of positive inflation data, I think, to give me confidence that it's appropriate to dial back." He said the central bank could potentially even hike rates if inflation fails to come down further. He noted that the central bank may consider raising its target rate in the future, but said it was not appropriate to "move the goal posts" at this stage. The Bank of England is also broadly expected to cut rates this summer.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari Organizations: Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of England Locations: U.S

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