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Rooftop Solar: Ain’t No Sunshine
  + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Jinjoo Lee | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Higher interest rates have made rooftop solar a much harder sell in states with lower utility rates. Photo: Rick Bowmer/Associated PressThe U.S. rooftop solar business has grown with two essential catalysts: Low interest rates, which make such installations affordable for consumers, and state-level policy that handsomely rewards households with such solar systems for selling excess solar energy back to the grid. Both of those are going in exactly the wrong direction at the moment. Enphase Energy, a company that manufactures micro-inverters for rooftop solar panels and energy storage systems, confirmed their direction on its earnings call late Tuesday. Its stock fell 24% in morning trading, dragging down other solar company stocks.
Check out the companies making the biggest moves midday:Microsoft — Shares of tech giant Microsoft gained more than 8% Wednesday after a better-than-expected earnings report a day earlier. The company earned $1.17 per share on $69.79 billion in revenue, while analysts polled by Refinitiv expected it to earn $1.07 per share on revenue of $68.9 billion. The company also announced a $70 billion share buyback. 107230585First Republic — Shares of the regional bank fell more than 20% on Wednesday, extending their steep losses for the week. However, deposits for the first quarter totaled about $28.2 billion, down from $33.9 billion from the fourth quarter of 2022.
The company said Tuesday its upcoming quarterly revenue will range from $700 million to $750 million, compared to the expected $765.2 million from analysts surveyed by StreetAccount. The company reported an adjusted loss of $1.27 per share and $17.92 billion in revenue. Activision Blizzard — Activision Blizzard shares dropped about 10.4% in the premarket after a UK regulator blocked Microsoft's purchase of the video game publisher. ServiceNow will be announcing its quarterly earnings Wednesday after the bell. The gain came after fellow tech-related giant Microsoft reported quarterly earnings that exceeded expectations, boosting sentiment for Amazon.
Solar gets burned: Enphase Energy falls 25%
  + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSolar gets burned: Enphase Energy falls 25%Hosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC. Doug Sheridan, Energy Point Research managing director and founder, join the show to discuss
Enphase Energy — The solar inverter company saw shares slide about 16% after hours after reporting a mixed quarter that included disappointing revenue results. PacWest Bancorp — Shares of the regional bank jumped 15% after PacWest said it has seen deposit inflows over the past month. PacWest also reported a net loss of $1.21 billion for the quarter, due largely to a goodwill impairment charge. Chipotle's earnings and revenue for the first quarter beat estimates by analysts surveyed by Refinitv. Microsoft — The tech giant's shares rose nearly 5% after the company reported quarterly earnings and revenue that exceeded analysts' expectations, according to Refinitiv.
Companies Enphase Energy Inc FollowApril 25 (Reuters) - Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH.O) reported market-beating profit in the first quarter on strong sales in Europe, but forecast second-quarter revenue below Wall Street expectations, sending its shares down as much as 17% in extended trading on Tuesday. The company expects second-quarter revenue between $700 million and $750 million, below analysts' estimate of $773 million, according to Refinitiv data. Enphase in February had expected first-quarter revenue in the range of $700 million to $740 million. Raymond James' Molchanov sees revenue growing in the second half of the year with the second quarter remaining flat. The company in March said shipments of its microinverters from Romania are expected to begin in the second quarter of this year.
People walk by the News Corporation headquarters, home to Fox News, on April 18, 2023 in New York City. First Solar – Shares of the solar company lost 3.2% after a Citi downgrade to sell cited margin risks and concerns that Inflation Reduction Act benefits are already reflected in the share price. Medtronic — Shares added 4% during midday trading after being upgraded to overweight from equal weight by Wells Fargo on Sunday. Sunrun , Enphase Energy — Shares of Sunrun and Enphase Energy were higher Monday after Citi added positive catalyst watches on the solar companies, saying it sees further share gains. The Wall Street bank opened a 90-day positive catalyst watch on Enphase Energy, citing a strong backlog and expectations for record-high margins.
"We upgrade ALLY to Neutral (from Underperform) and raise our PO to $28 from $24, implying ~8% upside potential." Goldman Sachs reiterates Apple as buy Goldman said in its Apple earnings preview note that "solid iPhone demand to offset Mac weakness." Wells Fargo names Disney a top pick in media Wells said in a note on Monday that Disney is the "best opportunity in media." JPMorgan reiterates Ford & General Motors as overweight JPMorgan said in an earnings preview note that it's standing by both automakers heading into earnings tomorrow for GM and next week for Ford . Mizuho initiates Tencent Music Entertainment as buy Mizuho said in its initiation of the China music company that the stock has upside potential. "
The run-up in shares of First Solar may have finally reached its limit, according to Citi. Analyst Vikram Bagri downgraded the solar stock to sell from neutral, citing a challenging long-term growth trajectory and concerns that Inflation Reduction Act tailwinds may already be priced in. FSLR YTD mountain Shares have gained nearly 45% this year Shares lost more than 2% before the bell. Along with the downgrade, Bagri trimmed the firm's price target to $194 from $220 a share, reflecting a near 11% downside from Friday's close. Along with the downgrade, Bagri opened a 90-day positive catalyst watch on Enphase Energy ahead of first-quarter earnings, citing a strong backlog and expectations for solid results.
Multiple residential solar stocks should be in a position to outperform Wall Street's expectations this earnings season, according to Goldman Sachs. Analyst Brian Lee pointed to SolarEdge , Sunrun and Enphase as residential solar names to watch this earnings season given near-term tailwinds that can give a boost to earnings. Weakness in demand in the South could be offset by strength in California and the Northeast in the first quarter, Lee said. He has buy ratings on the three residential solar stocks. Here's how he expects each of them to do when reporting first quarter earnings: Enphase Enphase should beat on both sales and per-share earnings, Lee said.
But investors still have to contend with uncertainty as analysts continue to warn of a recession this year. Stock screen CNBC Pro screened for stocks in the S & P 500, Nasdaq Composite and MSCI World for cheap stocks with big upside. They met the following criteria: Stocks trading at a lower forward price-to-earnings ratio relative to their average five-year forward P/E multiple; "Buy" ratings from at least 40% of analysts covering them; Upside to average price target of 30% or more. First Solar and Broadwind Energy stood out for having among the highest potential upside on the list at 175% and 250%, respectively. Of the stocks on CNBC's screen, Valero Energy is trading at the steepest discount at 95%.
JPMorgan upgrades HP Inc. to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said in its upgrade of HP Inc . that it sees "resilient revenue and margins." JPMorgan upgrades Ollie's to neutral from underweight JPMorgan said it has more confidence in management's same-store sales guide. JPMorgan downgrades Dell to neutral from overweight JPMorgan said in its downgrade of Dell that HP Inc. is better positioned right now. JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as overweight JPMorgan said it came away "incrementally positive" from Amazon's investor letter last week. JMP downgrades Penn to market perform from market outperform JMP downgraded the stock mainly on valuation.
State Street , M&T Bank – Shares of State Street dropped 11% after the company posted disappointing earnings and revenue. State Street posted earnings of $1.52 per share on revenue of $3.10 billion, while analysts called for per-share earnings of $1.64 and revenue of $3.12 billion, according to Refinitiv. Meanwhile, M&T Bank shares popped 5% higher after the bank reported beats on the top and bottom lines. Charles Schwab — Shares of Charles Schwab rose about 2.5% after the brokerage firm posted better-than-expected earnings on Monday. Schwab posted adjusted earnings of 93 cents per share, beating analysts' forecast of 90 cents per share, according to Refinitiv.
Piper Sandler is optimistic again on Enphase Energy , saying that the company's U.S. business is "not as bad as feared." The firm's upgrade comes after it downgraded Enphase shares to neutral in January 2023. ENPH YTD mountain Enphase Energy stock Harrison believes Enphase's earnings margins could reach the 40% range as the company ramps up its production and harvests credits from the Inflation Reduction Act. To be sure, he noted that an unexpected declaration in the company's international expansion is a risk to his optimistic outlook on the stock. Enphase shares have dropped 21.1% in 2023, but have gained more than 9% over the past 12 months.
Some individual stocks ran laps around the broader stock market this week. More than three-fourths of analysts covering the stock rate the stock a buy, with the average price target pointing to upside of 95.3% over the next year. Of these three stocks, only Bio-Techne is expected by the average analyst to see share prices rise in the next year. Outside of health, solar stocks Enphase and SunPower were also among the best performers this week. ENPH SPWR 5Y mountain Enphase and SunPower over the last 5 years — CNBC's Fred Imbert and Michael Bloom contributed to this report
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs reiterates Netflix as sell Goldman said it's standing by its sell rating heading into earnings next week. Deutsche Bank adds a catalyst call buy on Enphase Energy Deutsche said it's bullish on the solar company's opportunities in Europe. Citi upgrades Merck to buy from neutral Citi said in its upgrade of the pharmaceutical company that it has an underappreciated pipeline of products. Deutsche Bank names a catalyst buy on Sherwin-Williams Deutsche said the paint company's earnings scheduled for later this month should "alleviate" investor concerns. Citi upgrades Steven Madden to buy from neutral Citi said in its upgrade of the shoe company that it sees "better wholesale trends" for Steven Madden.
It's time to take some profit in First Solar after the stock's big run-up, according to Deutsche Bank. To be sure, the analyst raised its price target on the stock to $230 per share from $190. Yet, we believe that the current stock price … represents an expensive entry point for investors; we would see a valuation range of below $200/sh as more attractive." "We would look to get more constructive if the share price sees a significant downside," Blanchard said. Deutsche named Enphase Energy as its top long-term buy name among solar energy companies.
CNBC Pro combed through the most recent quarterly research reports to find stocks with upside as the new quarter gets underway. They include: Simon Property, Spotify , Netflix , Enphase and Palo Alto Networks. Palo Alto Networks The cybersecurity company is firing on all cylinders, RBC said earlier this week in its top second-quarter picks note to clients. Hedberg believes Palo Alto has a unique opportunity to take share in a rapidly burgeoning field. ... .We view Palo Alto as well positioned to benefit from an increasingly complex security and threat landscape and as an industry leader in security."
Renewable energy stocks are setting up for a rally, according to Oppenheimer. He expects U.S. demand to continue to track to 10% growth in 2023, with potential for upside as the IRA 's credits are clarified. Meanwhile, the company guided $700 million to $740 million in revenue for the first quarter, versus the $685.2 million expected. The stock has about 28% upside, according to Rusch's $383 price target. Lastly, Sunrun's stock is set for a big rally, according to the analyst.
It's time for investors to capture a rise in equities as markets price in the end of the Federal Reserve hiking cycle, Goldman Sachs said. Historically speaking, stocks have rallied in the months immediately following the end of prior rate hiking cycles, Goldman Sachs' David J. Kostin said in a Friday client note. Since 1983, the S & P 500 rose 8% on average in the three months after the end of rate hikes, and was up 5 out of 6 times, according to the note. The firm's year-end forecast of 4,000 in the S & P 500 suggests any rally will be limited, according to Kostin. Given this backdrop, Goldman Sachs recommended some high-margin growth stocks that could benefit.
The Inflation Reduction Act's tax credits will likely prompt surging demand for solar power in the U.S., according to Goldman Sachs. The law included a 30% credit toward the installation of solar panels or other equipment that harnesses renewable energy. Because of this, he recommends solar stocks that broadly play to supply chain diversification and onshoring trends while also having strong business fundamentals. First Solar , meanwhile, should specifically benefit from the push to expand domestic renewable energy capacity, Singer said. While the stock has surged more than 40% since 2023 began, analysts expect shares to slip 1.3% over the next year.
Solar stocks Enphase and SolarEdge were also among the best performing stocks as investors continued weighing how the Inflation Reduction Act could boost solar companies. The average price target on the stock implies upside of 49.3% over the next 12 months. The stock's average price target implies it could rally 29.5%. Around three-fifths of analysts rate the stock a buy with a price target that implies a potential 16.7% rally. Technology stocks made up the majority of the list this week as investors bet growth stocks could benefit in an environment with lower interest rates.
Barclays reiterates Charles Schwab as equal weight Barclays said Street estimates are too high for Charles Schwab. Guggenheim upgrades Spotify to buy from neutral Guggenheim said Spotify shares present an attractive investment opportunity. Barclays upgrades Nike to overweight from equal weight Barclays upgraded the apparel giant after its strong earnings report on Tuesday. " Barclays reiterates Nvidia as overweight Barclays said Nvidia is still the "king" of AI after the company's GTC conference event Tuesday. Goldman Sachs reiterates Tesla as buy Goldman said Tesla is a key beneficiary of the Inflation Reduction Act.
First Republic — The bank tumbled about 19% premarket after Standard & Poor's cut its credit rating again, to B+ from BB+, on Sunday. S&P first lowered First Republic's credit rating to junk status last week. UBS , Credit Suisse — Shares of UBS fell about 5% before the U.S. open, while Credit Suisse shares plunged 58%. Some analysts said UBS's forced Credit Suisse merger over the weekend could boost investor sentiment toward U.S. regionals. Zions Bancorp.
Check out the companies making the biggest moves midday:First Republic — Shares tanked nearly 30% after Standard & Poor's cut First Republic's credit rating to B+ from BB+. S&P first lowered the bank's rating to junk status just last week. UBS , Credit Suisse — U.S.-listed shares of Credit Suisse tanked 50.5% after UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, or $3.2 billion. UBS shares gained 4.7%. Exelixis — The stock gained 3.9% after the biotech company announced a $550 million share repurchase program to run through the end of 2023.
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