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☆ Friday's jobs report is expected to show the slowest pace of hiring in years
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Goldman Sachs estimates that Helene could shave as much as 50,000 off the payrolls count, though Hurricane Milton probably happened too late to impact the October count. The Boeing strike, meanwhile, could lower the total by 41,000, added Goldman, which is forecasting total payrolls growth of 95,000. Data has been solidYet indicators leading up to the much-watched jobs report show that hiring has continued apace and layoffs are low, despite the damage done from the storms and the strikes. Still, the White House is estimating that the events cumulatively may hit the payrolls count by as many as 100,000. The "disruptions will make interpreting this month's jobs report harder than usual," Jared Bernstein, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, said Wednesday.

Persons: Angus Mordant, Dow Jones, Milton, Michael Arone, Arone, Goldman Sachs, Helene, Hurricane Milton, Goldman, Jared Bernstein Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, State Street Global Advisors, of Economic Advisers Locations: Catskill , New York, U.S, Hurricane

☆ How the stock market will react to Friday's jobs report, according to JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

JPMorgan's trading desk has some ideas on how much the stock market might move following Friday's all-important job report. Between 120,000 and 200,000 jobs added; 30% chance: This is the so-called Goldilocks print. The S & P 500 should finish the day somewhere between flat and up 0.5%. Below 20,000 jobs added; 5% chance: This should catalyze a large sell-off as a negative nonfarm payrolls print typically front runs a recession. The S & P 500 should pull back somewhere within the range of 0.75% and 1.5%.

Persons: payrolls, Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Equity

☆ Nasdaq 100 futures rise as investors parse latest tech earnings, await jobs data: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Nasdaq 100 futures advanced Thursday night as traders analyzed major earnings reports in the runup to the all-important jobs report. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 15 points, or 0.1%, while S&P 500 futures also gained 0.1%. Those moves come after a downbeat session on Thursday, which saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dragged down by post-earnings slumps in Microsoft and Meta Platforms . The Dow led the major indexes down with a slide of 1.3%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq shed 1% and 0.5%, respectively. On the earnings front, traders will monitor Friday reports from Chevron and Exxon Mobil .

Persons: Dow, Jay Hatfield, Dow Jones, nonfarm Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Intel, Microsoft, Meta, Infrastructure Capital Management, Chevron, Exxon Mobil

☆ U.S. Treasury yields edge higher as traders await key inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was less than one basis point higher at 4.27%. The 2-year Treasury note yield added one basis point to 4.16%. U.S. Treasury bond yields rose as traders reviewed the gross domestic product reading for the third quarter and looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the session. A report on weekly jobless claims and the third-quarter reading on the employment cost index are also scheduled for release on Thursday.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Traders, Fed Locations: U.S

☆ Private job creation totaled a stunning 233,000 in October, far more than expected, ADP says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

ADP said it was the best month for job creation since July 2023. “Even amid hurricane recovery, job growth was strong in October,” ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said. Job creation was strongly concentrated in companies with 500 or more employees, which added 140,000 of the total. The ADP report traditionally tees up the more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count from the Bureau of Labor Services. The BLS report showed private job gains of 223,000 in September and 254,000 total payrolls growth.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson, Helene, Milton — Organizations: North Carolina, Boeing, Federal Reserve, Manufacturing, Bureau of Labor Services, ADP, BLS Locations: U.S, Florida, North

☆ The U.S. economy grew at a 2.8% pace in the third quarter, less than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. economy posted another solid though slightly disappointing period of growth in the third quarter, propelled higher by strong consumer spending that has defied expectations for a slowdown. The economy accelerated at a 3% pace in the second quarter. Personal consumption expenditures, the proxy for consumer activity, increased 3.7% for the quarter, the strongest performance since Q1 of 2023. The release comes with the Federal Reserve poised to lower inflation rates further despite the seemingly strong economy and inflation that remains above target, though far from its peak in mid-2022. Markets widely expect the Fed to cut another quarter percentage point off its benchmark short-term borrowing rate when policymakers conclude their two-day meeting on Nov. 7.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Inflation report Thursday expected to show the Fed is getting closer to its goal
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

While the cumulative effect of inflation has had a pronounced influence on the U.S. economy, the view in relative terms is getting progressively better. Judging by the personal consumption expenditures price index, inflation was expected to run at just a 0.2% rate in September and 2.1% from a year ago, according to Dow Jones estimates. "Another strong quarter of GDP growth and close-to-target quarterly inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed stuck between balancing the risks of inflation and the labor market," Citigroup economist Alice Zheng said in a note Wednesday. Within the GDP report, the PCE rate for the quarter was just 1.5%, suggesting that the battle has been won. While the market is still betting heavily on more rate cuts this year, the Fed likely will be cautious.

Persons: Dow Jones, Alice Zheng, Shruti Mishra Organizations: Commerce Department, Labor, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: U.S

☆ S&P 500 futures slip after Microsoft reports; traders brace for key inflation data: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures slid on Wednesday evening, as Wall Street absorbed a fresh batch of earnings reports from megacap technology names. S&P 500 futures lost 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.5%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 27 points. The S&P 500 declined 0.3%, while the Dow dropped 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 0.6%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect that the PCE grew by 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.1% from a year earlier.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jamie Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Investors, Federal, Harris Financial, Tech, Apple, Merck, Intel

☆ We see two post-earnings declines as buys, while happy to see a Tuesday laggard stabilize
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Then there were selloffs in Club stocks Eli Lilly and Advanced Micro Devices after their earnings releases. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, AMD's financials, Stanley Black, Decker, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Caterpillar, Devices, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Starbucks, MGM Resorts, Linde, Merck, ConocoPhillips, Mastercard, Roblox, Myers, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Bristol

☆ U.S. economy grew at a 2.8% pace in the third quarter, less than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The economy accelerated at a 3% pace in the second quarter. The U.S. economy posted another solid though slightly disappointing period of growth in the third quarter, propelled higher by strong consumer spending that has defied expectations for a slowdown. Personal consumption expenditures, the proxy for consumer activity, increased 3.7% for the quarter, the strongest performance since Q1 of 2023. "You've got the perfect combination of strong growth and slowing inflation. The personal savings rate decelerated in the third quarter to 4.8%, down from a 5.2% level that had been revised up sharply.

Persons: Dow Jones, You've, Dan North, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, — Trump Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Treasury, Allianz Trade North America, Federal Reserve, Fed, Republican Locations: U.S

☆ Nasdaq jumps to record close as major tech names rise ahead of earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Hakyung Kim | Alex Harring | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

The Nasdaq Composite rose to a fresh record on Tuesday as investors readied for key corporate earnings releases, including reports from notable tech names. The tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 0.78% to a record close of 18,712.75. Ahead of their earnings releases, shares of Meta jumped 2.6%, and Alphabet advanced 1.8% on Tuesday. This will mark the busiest week of the earnings season with more than 150 S&P 500 companies scheduled to have reported by Friday’s close. Notably, the blue-chip Dow broke a five-day losing streak, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq notched its eighth positive session of the last nine.

Persons: “ It’s, Sam Stovall, Friday’s, Jonathan Krinsky, ”, Dow Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Research, Traders, Treasury, U.S

☆ S&P 500 futures tick higher as Alphabet shares jump on earnings beat: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Futures tied to the broad market index added nearly 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures inched up by 0.1%. Alphabet kicked off a major week for megacap tech earnings. The Google parent exceeded analysts' expectations as the company saw strong quarterly revenue growth from its cloud business, leading shares up 5% after market close. In anticipation of the Big Tech earnings releases, investors drove the Nasdaq Composite to a fresh record during Tuesday's trading session. "We are closely monitoring tech earnings releases to ensure businesses investment in artificial intelligence and other productivity enhancing tools remains robust to support strong future earnings growth."

Persons: Dow, It's, Rob Haworth, Haworth Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow, Google, AMD, Tech, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Big Tech, NASDAQ, U.S, Bank Asset Management

☆ Consumer confidence surges as election nears, while job openings move lower
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Consumers grew more optimistic about the U.S. economy heading into the contentious presidential election even as job openings hit multi-year lows, according to separate reports released Tuesday. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index for October rose more than 11% to a reading of 138, its biggest one-month acceleration since March 2021. "Views on the current availability of jobs rebounded after several months of weakness, potentially reflecting better labor market data." The drop in openings took the ratio of job vacancies to available workers below 1.1 to 1. Though the openings level moved lower, hires rose 123,000 on the month.

Persons: Dow Jones, Dana Peterson Organizations: Labor Locations: U.S

☆ Microsoft Copilot AI use extends deep into corporate America, but companies aren’t 100% sold
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Eric Rosenbaum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

When asked whether it's been worth the cost ( $30 monthly per user in the case of Copilot), tech leaders say they aren't sure. According to recent Deloitte research, two-thirds of organizations are increasing gen AI investments based on "strong early value to date." There are multiple reasons why companies will still be short on confidence when it comes to enterprise AI adoption, according to Deloitte. The Azure cloud offering from its biggest AI partner and AI investment, OpenAI, is in use at nearly two-thirds of companies. Forty-six percent of CNBC survey respondents said that within their organizations at least half of employees are now using AI.

Persons: it's, Jim Rowan, Anthropic, Mistral, Eric Schmidt —, Morgan Stanley, Copilot, Rowan Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, CNBC Technology, Council, Deloitte, Microsoft Microsoft, Fortune, Capital Group, Disney, Dow, Kyndryl, Novartis, Deloitte Consulting, Meta, Silicon, OpenAI, AIs Locations: Europe

☆ GDP report Wednesday expected to show more growth, less inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Commerce Department is expected to report Wednesday that gross domestic product grew at a hardy 3.1% annualized pace in the third quarter, adjusted for seasonality and inflation, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast. Along with that, the release is expected to show that inflation moved closer or perhaps even below the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The Fed uses the personal consumption expenditures price index, included in the GDP estimate, as its primary inflation gauge. The report, then, should indicate a solid economy and easing inflation , the latter at least on a relative basis from how things looked a year ago. "Overall, another quarter of above-trend growth and a benign inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed."

Persons: Dow, Oliver Allen, Allen, nudging, Alice Zheng Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Pantheon, stoke, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S

☆ Jim Cramer explains how rising bond yields could dampen the market's rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday lamented rising bond yields' effect on the market, saying this action could narrow the rally to tech and diminish broader sector gains. Some on Wall Street were expecting bond yields to decline after the Federal Reserve issued a hefty 50-basis-point cut and indicated there would be more to come over the next several months. Cramer said investors are drawn back to tech stocks as higher rates complicate the growth narratives for economically sensitive corners of the market. In recent months, investors were hoping that lower borrowing costs would help companies — such as those in the industrial sector and other housing-related areas — see an increase in business and, by extension, their stock prices. "If [the bond market] doesn't stop its retreat, then we're going to start questioning the idea that the Fed will keep cutting rates, ushering in a fabulous economy for 2025," Cramer said.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq

Earnings season is in full swing, and some names reporting this week are positioned for major moves. So far, 37% of those in the broad market index have reported this quarter, resulting in what has been a mixed reporting period. According to LSEG, earnings have come in 6.1% above expectations, while revenue is 1.5% higher, as of Monday. Last week, the stock advanced more than 1% on Wednesday due to JMP Securities upgrading it to market outperform from market perform. The financial services provider has jumped around 52% over the past three months and more than 41% over the past month.

Persons: Andrew Boone, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, Einhorn, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Dow Jones, Apple, CNBC Pro, Securities, Robin Hood Investors Conference, U.S, Technologies

☆ The one big fear that could upend the bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A chain reaction sparked by continued inflation could put the bull market to rest, according to Trivariate Research. As the bull market enters its third year, investors are wondering how much more room there is to run before a pullback is due. Now, Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 95% likelihood of another drop to the borrowing costs at the central bank's November gathering, according to CME's FedWatch tool. In 2021 and 2022, Parker said there was a "strong and statistically significant relationship" between Fed funds futures and the price-to-earnings multiple on growth stocks. Though that connection now looks different, the Morgan Stanley alum said he would be "surprised if multiples did not compress meaningfully" if the expectation for the Fed funds rate rises from 3.5% to 5% or above.

Persons: Adam Parker, Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, Parker, Morgan Stanley, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tudor Jones, Dow Jones Organizations: Research, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Nasdaq hits high even as poor earnings growth disappoints investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineThe Nasdaq Composite managed to log a seventh consecutive winning week. Investors also looked ahead to Big Tech earnings coming out this week: shares of Meta , Amazon and Microsoft added as much as 1%. Even though almost three-quarters of S&P companies have beaten expectations, according to FactSet data, the rate of profit growth has not met expectations, disappointing investors.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, CNBC's Pia Singh, James Quincey, — CNBC's Brian Evans, Pia Singh, Alex Harring Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Big Tech, Meta, Microsoft, Dow

☆ Jim Cramer wants to buy more shares of 2 portfolio companies with favorable catalysts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. "You want to own the stock," Jim said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Jim, TD Cowen, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Delta Air Lines, Home Depot, Dow, pullbacks, Semiconductor, Spotify Locations: Delta

Investors could win big with some of the companies reporting earnings this week that are trading below their fair valuations. About one-third of the S & P 500 , or 154 companies, as well as 10 companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average , are due to report earnings this week. It is also shaping up to be a big week for companies within the travel, restaurant, energy and pharmaceuticals industries. Ahead of these results, CNBC Pro screened for the stocks reporting this week that are both trading at a discount and favored among Wall Street. The energy company will report earnings next Thursday.

Persons: James Hardiman, TD Cowen, Cowen, Andrew Kligerman, Nicholas Campanella Organizations: Dow Jones, Microsoft, Big Tech, Intel, CNBC Pro, Norwegian Cruise, Citi, Insurance, MetLife, Barclays, D, WEC Locations: Norwegian, Entergy

☆ Stock futures are little changed as Wall Street awaits labor data and more earnings: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. Stock futures are muted Monday night as investors readied for employment data and closely followed corporate earnings releases. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were also both little changed. Those moves come after a winning session on Wall Street for the three major indexes. Traders will keep an eye on earnings reports from major companies due on Tuesday as the busiest week of this earnings season continues.

Persons: Dow, Adam Crisafulli, McDonald's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Ford Motor, Corp, Traders, Pfizer Locations: New York City, Israel, Iran

☆ Stockton: The uptrend has remained in force here for the S&P 500 despite some challenges
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStockton: The uptrend has remained in force here for the S&P 500 despite some challengesKatie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies discusses whether the markets are in for a struggle the rest of the year, after the Dow and S&P 500 snapped a six-week winning streak.

Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: Dow Locations: Stockton

☆ Tech stocks could be in for a reckoning, this chart shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Since then, the XLK is down 6% relative to the broad market index. "The level it peaked at almost exactly coincides with where the Tech ETF peaked on a relative basis in 2000. Not exactly what you want to see if you're an investor putting new money to work within Tech," he wrote. The SMH closed Friday at $252.96, and the strategist expects the $233 level to be tested near term. "We still exercise some degree of caution when we view Technology stocks, as short term trends and near-term momentum appear to be stalling," O'Hara wrote.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Roth MKM, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research, Tech ETF, VanEck Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Stock futures rise with Nasdaq set to add to records as oil prices decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. equity futures jumped as investors looked for a batch of megacap technology earnings to keep driving the Nasdaq Composite to new heights this week. Weekend airstrikes by Israel against Iran did not target oil or nuclear facilities as was feared and oil futures were lower in early trading. S&P 500 futures gained 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 futures increased by 0.5%. Both the Dow and S&P snapped a six-week winning streak, but the Nasdaq eked out its seventh positive week in a row. "One thing we expect to see play out is these megacap tech names continuing to reinforce commitment to AI in tech spending broadly," Yung-Yu Ma chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management, told CNBC.

Persons: Yung, Yu Ma Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Presidential, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, BMO Wealth Management, CNBC Locations: Israel, Iran

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