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Homebuilder sentiment rose 3 points in March to 51 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. Sentiment also moved into positive territory for the first time since July. Fifty is the line between positive and negative sentiment. "But even though there is strong pent-up demand, builders continue to face several supply-side challenges, including a scarcity of buildable lots and skilled labor, and new restrictive codes that continue to increase the cost of building homes." Regionally, on a three-month moving average, sentiment rose most in the Midwest and West.
Persons: Carl Harris, Robert Dietz Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, West, Builders, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, Wichita , Kansas, Midwest
A man walks past the People's Bank of China (PBOC) building on July 20, 2023 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Jiang Qiming/China News Service/VCG via Getty Images China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to fall after producer prices in the U.S. grew faster than expected in February, coming in at 0.6% last month. Excluding food and energy prices, core PPI climbed 0.3% in February. Economists polled by Dow Jones had expected a 0.3% gain for headline PPI and a 0.2% increase for the core reading. Investors in Asia will be watching out for any news from Japan's spring wage negotiations, with first estimates expected to come out later in the day.
Persons: Jiang Qiming, Dow Jones Organizations: People's Bank of China, China News Service, Getty Images China, Service, Getty, PPI, Nikkei, People's Bank of Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Chicago, Osaka, People's Bank of China, Australia
Beautiful and colorful aerial view of Mumbai skyline during twilight seen from Currey Road, on February 16, 2022 in Mumbai, India. Pratik Chorge | Hindustan Times | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are set for a mixed open after Wall Street's tech-fueled rally dissipated, with Nvidia falling 1.1%, Meta slipping 0.8% and Apple dropping 1.2%. On Thursday, investors will assess India's wholesale inflation, while also monitoring any news coming out of Japan's spring wage negotiations. Japan's wage negotiations wrapped up on Wednesday, with the first overall estimate due out on Friday. Japan's Nikkei 225 is set to fall following these reports as markets price in the possibility of the BOJ tightening policy.
Persons: Pratik Organizations: Hindustan Times, Getty, Nvidia, Apple, Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Mumbai, India, Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka, Australia
The S & P 500 just achieved its last upside target of 5,180 a few days ago. The S & P 500 has closed above its own intra-day midpoint 80% of the time since October lows. The index's longest streak of "good closes" (closes above the mid-point) since the October lows has been nine. Consistently strong market breadth Market breadth (or internals) can be measured different ways, but simply tracking the percent of stocks advancing every day is both the simplest and most useful. From this perspective, the S & P 500 has had positive internals 70% of the trading days since the October lows.
Persons: It's, That's, they've, we'll
Investors weighing a shift into dividend stocks may be better off focusing on companies with big share buyback programs instead, according to Bank of America. The idea behind focusing on stock buybacks is that companies that can use excess cash to reduce their share count through buybacks are likely on strong financial footing. This is more of a pure-play buyback fund, tracking the Nasdaq US Buyback Achievers Index. To be sure, stock buybacks are a frequent target of politicians and their tax treatment could change in the years ahead. President Joe Biden called for raising the corporate tax rate for stock buybacks at his State of the Union address last week.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, PKW, Joe Biden Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of America's, Bank of, Nasdaq, Union Locations: buybacks
Customers at a fresh food market in Shanghai, China, on Monday, Aug. 7, 2023. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to fall Monday after Wall Street's rally took a breather, with artificial intelligence darling Nvidia finishing down more than 5% in its worst session since late May. Separately, China recorded its first month of inflation in four months with the country's consumer price index climbing 0.7% year on year in February. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 started the week down 1.21%, retreating from its all-time high and snapping a three-day winning streak. Japan's Nikkei 225 is also set to fall, with the index likely slipping below the 39,000 mark for the first time since Feb. 21.
Persons: Wall Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, CPI, Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Shanghai, China, Asia, Pacific, Australia, Chicago, Osaka
One of Wall Street's favorite investment vehicles turns 25 years old on Sunday, but shows no signs of fading to the background as it ages. One of the main conversation points around the 2023 rally for the QQQ, and the entire U.S. market, is the dominance of just a handful of key stocks. Over the years, many key stocks have left the fund, including former top performers like Nextel Communications and Sun Microsystems, which were bought out. Related plays Competition in the ETF industry for the QQQ has expanded dramatically over the past quarter century, including from other Invesco funds. That fund is less than four years old but has already surpassed $20 billion in total assets.
Persons: Wall, Ryan McCormack, McCormack, Todd Sohn Organizations: Nasdaq, Qs, Microsoft, Intel, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, Nextel Communications, Sun Microsystems, Pepsico, Amgen Locations: United States, U.S
The sails of the Opera House are illuminated with projections on the opening night of Vivid Sydney 2023 in Sydney, Australia, on Friday, May 26, 2023. Anadolu Agency | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are set to rise as investors await trade data from Australia and China on Thursday. This also follows comments from U.S. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated his stance that while the central bank could start cutting rates, it is "not immediately ready." In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.14%, nearing its all time high of 7,745.6 hit on March 1. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 16,565, higher than the HSI's close of 16,438.09 and on pace to extend gains on Wednesday after it rose almost 2%.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Opera, Vivid, Anadolu Agency, Getty, U.S . Federal, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, Pacific, China, U.S, Chicago, Osaka
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on March 4, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Monday night after the Nasdaq Composite retreated from its record high. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ticked down 59 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures inched down 0.1%, while Nasdaq-100 futures fell 0.2%. During Monday's main trading session, the S&P 500 dropped 0.12%, and the tech-forward Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.41%.
Persons: Dow, Jason Draho, CNBC's, They're, Draho, there's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, GitLab, Nvidia, Micro Computer, Apple, European Commission, UBS Global Wealth Management, Target, Nordstrom, P Global US Services, Services Locations: New York City . U.S
(Photo by Vernon Yuen/NurPhoto via Getty Images) Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to bounce Friday after a subdued session as investors awaited manufacturing data from China. While most Asia stock markets were lower on Thursday, China's CSI 300 closed almost 2% higher at 3,516.08 ahead of its purchasing managers' index reading for February. Official data is expected to show manufacturing PMI at 49.1, according to a Reuters Poll forecast. The private Caixin manufacturing final PMI is expected to come in at 50.6. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below that denotes a contraction.
Persons: Vernon Yuen Organizations: Getty, Nurphoto, China's CSI, PMI, Nikkei Locations: Hong Kong, China, Asia, Pacific, China's, Chicago, Osaka, Australia, Korea
The S & P 500 is about to do something unusual that has typically been followed by strong gains ahead. There have been only been 28 instances in which the S & P 500 has risen over the first two months of the year. The S & P 500 hit record highs in recent weeks, prompting questions about whether it can continue advancing or is due for a correction. With last week's advance, the S & P 500 officially finished 15 of the last 17 completed trading weeks in the green. The S & P 500 went on to finish that year up by a whopping 27.3%.
Persons: what's, Henry Allen, Allen, Madonna Organizations: Carson Group, Deutsche Bank, Bretton Locations: U.S
Electronic screens display gongs at the Exchange Square Complex, which houses the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, in Hong Kong, China, on Tuesday, March 15, 2022. Asia-Pacific stock markets were set for a mixed session Monday as Japan returns from a long weekend and China shares look to extend their winning streak. Investors will focus on a slew of economic data expected this week including China's manufacturing purchasing managers' index and the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index data, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. On Thursday, Japan's Nikkei 225 closed at a new all-time high of 39,098.68, surpassing the previous record of 38,915.87 set in 1989. Japan's Nikkei 225 looked set for gains Monday, with the futures contract in Chicago at 39,490 and its counterpart in Osaka at 39,470 against the index's last close.
Organizations: Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CSI, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Hong Kong, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Chicago, Osaka
Berkshire is making bank on bonds, and its $168 billion cash pile is worth more than Uber or Nike. Assets aplentyBerkshire held $561 billion of net assets at the end of December, a 19% increase from a year earlier. Berkshire's $1 trillion-plus of assets included $354 billion of stocks, $178 billion of property and equipment, $130 billion of Treasury bills, and $24 billion of inventories. That figure is larger than the value of General Electric ($167 billion), Comcast ($166 billion), Uber ($162 billion), Nike ($160 billion), Walmart ($159 billion), American Express ($156 billion), or Pfizer ($155 billion). The upshot is that on December 31, Berkshire held $354 billion of stocks, and $168 billion of cash and other short-term investments — a ratio of nearly 2:1.
Persons: Warren Buffett's, Buffett, , Warren Buffett, you'd, Cash, Treasuries, Charlie Munger Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway's, Nike, Service, Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, aplenty, Berkshire's, Electric, Comcast, Walmart, American Express, Pfizer, Federal Reserve Locations: Berkshire, aplenty Berkshire, Omaha
Expect four rate cuts in 2024 that will bring the federal funds rate to 4.30% by year-end, according to the Franklin Templeton Institute Global Investment Management Survey, which compiles the views of the firm's 300 senior investment professionals who work across equities, fixed income, and alternatives. That's still more cuts than the Federal Open Market Committee projects in its dot plot: three reductions and a fed funds rate of 4.63% by year-end. Stephen Dover, chief market strategist and the head of the Franklin Templeton Institute, expects those rate cuts to begin closer to June or July and be 25 basis points each. For now, Dover pointed to a strong US economy, with solid jobs and GDP growth, as working against the possibility of earlier rate cuts. This will be another sticky point that the central bank will likely consider and could impact when cuts happen, he said.
Persons: Stephen Dover, Dover, there's Organizations: Franklin Templeton Institute Global Investment Management Survey, Federal, Franklin Templeton Institute
Woodard noted that changes to the S & P 500 typically occur following a period of strong growth. The S & P 500 has gained more than 24% in the past year and has climbed more than 4% from the start of 2024. There are two main criteria for adding a stock to the S & P 500, the strategist said. Here's a look at some of the stocks Bank of America thinks are in contention for entry to the S & P 500. Bank of America analyst Craig Siegenthaler thinks the stock could be added to the S & P 500 as soon as mid-March following the index's planned rebalance.
Persons: they've, Jared Woodard, Stocks, Woodard, FactSet, Palantir, Craig Siegenthaler Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Palantir Technologies, KKR
Asia-Pacific markets appeared set to trade mixed Thursday, with a slew of economic data from the region on tap, while investors also assess the U.S. Federal Reserve possibly delaying interest rate cuts. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 opened marginally higher, up 0.03%, as the nation's Judo Bank composite purchasing managers' index for February showed a return to growth, at 51.8. The monthly index is a leading indicator for business activity in Australia's manufacturing sector. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 16,447, pointing to a weaker start compared with the HSI's close of 16,503.1Japan's Nikkei 225 was set to rise as investors awaited the release of Japan's Jibun Bank flash purchasing managers' index. Nikkei futures contract in Chicago was at 38,745 and its counterpart in Osaka was at 38,410 against the index's last close of 38,262.16The Bank of Korea is slated to announce its interest rate decision later, with economists polled by Reuters expecting the bank to hold rates at 3.50%.
Organizations: U.S . Federal, nation's Judo Bank, Futures, Nikkei, Japan's, of, Reuters Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Chicago, Osaka, of Korea
The Leading Economic Index fell for the 22nd consecutive month in January. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The Leading Economic Index brings all of those together to gauge the future state of the economy across multiple dimensions, from growth and unemployment to consumer demand and homebuilding. Here's a screenshot showing the index's historic decline, from The Conference Board's latest release:AdvertisementThe Leading Economic Index has consistently declined ahead of previous recessions. There's no guarantee these four market veterans are right about the Leading Economic Index.
Persons: , Here's, joblessness, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Jeremy Grantham, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gary Shilling, There's Organizations: Service, Business, Conference Board, Treasury, Manufacturers, Institute, Supply, The Conference, Board, Rosenberg Research, North, DoubleLine, Conference Locations: North American
Asia-Pacific markets are set to fall Wednesday, tracking Wall Street losses. Japan's Nikkei 225 is set to fall as investors assess the country's trade data and souring business sentiment among large Japanese manufacturers. The Nikkei futures contract in Chicago was at 38,260 and its counterpart in Osaka was at 38,280 against the index's last close of 38,363.61. Japanese manufacturers' business confidence soured in February, tumbling to -1 compared to the previous month's reading of 6, according to the Reuters Tankan poll. The Reuters monthly poll is considered to be a leading indicator of the Bank of Japan's official survey.
Organizations: Nikkei, Reuters, Bank of Japan's Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Chicago, Osaka, Japan, Germany
Megacap tech stocks aren't just powering the U.S. stock market — they're also holding the world together. U.S. equities now comprise 70% of the MSCI World Index, the benchmark for large- and mid-cap companies across 23 developed markets. The MSCI World Index shifts regional and country weights based on broader economic trends. High levels of market concentration in the late 1920s to early 1930s, as well as 2000, coincided with a market top, he noted. The Europe Stoxx 600 has risen only 2.6% year to date, underperforming the U.S. broad market index.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Scott Rubner, Peter Berezin, Berezin, NVDA, Phillip Colmar, that's, Mike Dickson, Dickson, Warren Buffett's, Colmar, It's, you've, Germany DAX Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, BCA Research, Big Tech, MRB Partners, Horizon Investments, Nikkei, British FTSE, France CAC Locations: U.S, Europe, Colmar, Japan, Asia, Germany, France
Asia-Pacific markets were set to rise Friday, tracking Wall Street gains, with the S&P 500 notching a fresh record high. Japan's Nikkei 225 is set to extend gains, a day after the country lost its spot as the fourth-largest economy to Germany and entered into a technical recession. Nikkei futures contract in Chicago were at 38,625 and its counterpart in Osaka at 38,650 against the index's last close of 38,157.94Economic slowdown has raised hopes Japan may stick with its ultra-loose monetary policy for longer. Mainland China markets remain closed for the Chinese New Year holidays. Investors await Singapore 2024 budget, slated to be released later in the day.
Organizations: Nikkei, Investors Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Germany, Chicago, Osaka, Japan, Mainland China, Singapore
The S & P 500 closed above 5,000 for the first time last week. However, investors need not fear as the rally could still have plenty of room to run, according to Capital Economics. However, Higgins continued: "valuation remains far short of what it reached then, suggesting that it has plenty more room to inflate." Capital Economics also noted the index's current rally is highly concentrated in mega-cap tech stocks like Apple and Microsoft . While acknowledging that it's impossible to predict bubbles, Capital Economics suggested that sustained modest earnings growth could see the rally continue through 2025.
Persons: John Higgins, Higgins Organizations: Capital Economics, Economics, Apple, Microsoft Locations: London
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Macquarie downgrades Sony to neutral from buy Macquarie said it sees a more balanced risk/reward for the entertainment company. "With Sony near our target price and market expectations at risk given lacklustre FY3/25 guidance, we are downgrading to Neutral." Deutsche Bank reiterates Rocket Lab as a top pick Deutsche said it's standing by its bullish status on the space company. " Bank of America initiates Super Micro as buy Bank of America said the server and storage solutions company is an AI beneficiary. Bank of America reiterates Uber as buy Bank of America said it's feeling more bullish after the company's investor day.
Persons: Macquarie, Davidson, DA, Piper Sandler, Piper, KeyBanc, Evercore, Skechers, Price, Bernstein, underperform Bernstein, Redburn, Eastman, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Morgan Stanley downgrades, Guggenheim, Generac, Uber, Tesla, KBW, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Macquarie, Sony, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Nvidia, Citi, FedEx, Apple, HSBC, GE Healthcare, GE, Crypto, UBS, Downside, Eastman Chemical, Comcast, Cisco, Cliffs, Steel, " Bank of America, Air Products, of America, Linde, Bank of America, Micro, Inc, Guggenheim, Mizuho, Energy, BMO, CNBC, & $ Locations: Nashville, China, Morgan Stanley downgrades Cleveland
A woman rides her bicycle with the Marina Bay Sands hotel and high-rise buildings in the background in Singapore on Sept. 4, 2023. Roslan Rahman | AFP | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to rebound after mostly falling on Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data stoked concerns the Federal Reserve might keep interest rates higher for longer. On Thursday, investors will also assess gross domestic product reading from Japan and Singapore, as well as trade numbers from South Korea. Should the index match the futures level, it would be less than 1,000 points from its all-time high of 38,915.87 hit on Dec. 29, 1989. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 15,931, pointing to a stronger open compared with the HSI's close of 15,879.38.
Persons: Roslan Rahman Organizations: AFP, Getty, Reserve, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Sands, Singapore, Asia, Pacific, Japan, South Korea, Chicago, Osaka, Australia
Asia-Pacific markets were set to track Wall Street losses after U.S. January inflation came in hotter than expected, with the consumer price index climbing 3.1% on a 12-month basis and 0.3% for the month. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected the CPI to have increased by 0.2% month over month in January and 2.9% on an annual basis. Core prices, which exclude volatile food and energy components, rose 0.4% month over month and 3.9% from a year ago. Core CPI was expected to have increased 0.3% in January and 3.7% from a year earlier, respectively. Japan's Nikkei 225 was also set to retreat from 34-year highs, with the futures contract in Chicago at 37,715 and its counterpart in Osaka at 37,670 against the index's last close of 37,963.97.
Persons: Dow Jones, Masato Kanda Organizations: U.S, CPI, Nikkei, Reuters, Stock Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Chicago, Osaka
Read previewThe S&P 500's 22% tear over the last few months may just be getting started, according to Sevens Report Research, a market research firm with clients that include top Wall Street banks like JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and more. On the valuations front, the S&P 500's multiple would only have to rise fairly slightly to lift the index to 6,000. "The S&P 500 is already trading with an elevated forward P/E multiple of over 20X expected 2024 EPS," he said. "If sentiment gets frothy, however, and stocks trade with a multiple pushing 22X, which is far from unheard of as the forward multiple of the S&P 500 hit 21.4 on 1/2/2022, then the S&P 500 could surpass 6,000 in H2'24." Essaye also said small-cap stocks cyclical sectors like big banks, and materials and transportation firms would do well in a soft-landing scenario.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Tyler Richey, Richey, aren't, Louis Fed, Tom Essaye, Essaye, it's Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, UBS, Business, Investor, CNN, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Amazon Locations: H2'24
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