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We've upgraded China stocks, TS Lombard economist says
  + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe've upgraded China stocks, TS Lombard economist saysRory Green, chief China economist and head of Asia research at TS Lombard, discusses the Chinese property market, stimulus measures and the outlook for stocks.
Persons: Rory Green Organizations: We've, TS Lombard Locations: China, Asia
U.S. gold futures gained 0.3% to $1,938.90. The yuan hit two-week highs against the U.S. dollar after data showed China factory output and retail sales in August beat forecasts, making greenback-priced bullion more attractive for Chinese buyers. "The outlook for rates to be kept high for longer has been keeping non-yielding gold prices under pressure," said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG. We, therefore, do not view monetary policy as supportive of gold until well into 2024," HSBC said in a note. "Institutional investors have yet to commit to gold, as net long positions on the CME and ETF holdings indicate."
Persons: Yuan, Bullion, Jun Rong, Swati Verma, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: U.S, Reuters Graphics, IG, HSBC, CME, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Bengaluru
Gold rises after China data boosts yuan against dollar
  + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Bars of gold are seen at the Krastsvetmet company, one of the world's largest producers of precious metals in Moscow, Russia on January 31, 2023. Gold prices gained on Friday as the dollar eased against the yuan after promising China economic data boosted recovery hopes in the world's top bullion consumer, although the possibility of further U.S. interest rate hikes kept investors on edge. Spot gold was up 0.3% at $1,915.09 per ounce by 0320 GMT. The yuan hit two-week highs against the dollar after data showed China factory output and retail sales in August beat forecasts in boost to recovery prospects. "The outlook for rates to be kept high for longer has been keeping non-yielding gold prices under pressure," said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG.
Persons: Bullion, Jun Rong Organizations: Federal Reserve, IG, European Central Bank Locations: Moscow, Russia, China, U.S
Oil rigs are seen at Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas drilling, in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina January 21, 2019. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSINGAPORE, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Friday and are set for a third weekly gain, as better-than-expected Chinese economic data and reports of record oil consumption bolstered the view that demand in the world's second-largest crude consumer will continue to surge. Brent crude futures rose 62 cents, or 0.7%, to $94.32 as of 0249 GMT, while the U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) was up 71 cents, or 0.8%, at $90.87. China's industrial output and retail sales grew at a faster-than-expected rate in August, suggesting that the recovery of the world's second-largest economy from the COVID-19 pandemic is stabilising. The International Energy Agency said this week it expects Saudi Arabia's and Russia's extended oil output cuts to result in a market deficit through the fourth quarter.
Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Edward Moya, Brent, WTI, Sudarshan Varadhan, Christopher Cushing Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Brent, U.S . West Texas, National, International Energy Agency, Saudi, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, OANDA, China, Russia, Saudi Arabia
SHANGHAI, Sept 14 (Reuters) - China's central bank is expected to boost liquidity while keeping the borrowing cost steady when rolling over its medium-term policy loans on Friday, a Reuters survey showed, after a string of data showed some signs of economic stabilisation. China has already lowered the medium-term policy rate twice since June to stimulate credit demand and support a faltering economic recovery. New bank lending in China beat expectations by nearly quadrupling in August from July's level, as the central bank sought to shore up economic growth amid soft demand at home and abroad. To revive broad credit demand and rescue the troubled property sector, China unexpectedly cut the MLF rate last month. For this reason alone, it seems unlikely that the PBOC will embrace large-scale rate cuts."
Persons: Frances Cheung, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: People's Bank of China, OCBC Bank, U.S, Capital Economics, Shanghai, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, China, United States, OCBC Bank .
China economy: data improves in August
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Juliana Liu | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
Hong Kong CNN —Economic activity in China appeared to improve in August, with data released on Friday suggesting a downturn in growth may be stabilizing. The outcome beat the expectations of a group of economists polled by Reuters. Retail sales, which measures consumption, expanded by 4.6% from a year earlier, compared to the tepid 2.5% increase reported in July. The economy is currently grappling with weak export demand from global markets and an ongoing property crisis. -— This is a developing story and will be updated.
Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Bureau of Statistics, Reuters, Retail, Investment Locations: Hong Kong, China
U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo's trip to China last month had promised some economic and trade detente between the two superpowers now at loggerheads. And none of the 222 funds polled expected China economic growth to be any higher next year than this - mirroring a recent Reuters survey of domestic and overseas banks and investors. As these sorts of surveys go, there's an awful lot in there that could spell "peak gloom". Indeed, shorting China equities was deemed the second "most crowded trade" behind long exposure to supercharged Big Tech stocks. Even if the economy turns, political catalysts for a return to China may be slow in coming.
Persons: Aly, Gina Raimondo's, it's, Jamie Dimon, Jay Clayton, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Willem Sels, Mike Dolan, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, . Commerce, Bank of, Big Tech, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, JPMorgan, Investments, The Ontario Teachers, Caisse, Franklin, HSBC Private Banking, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, loggerheads, Wall, Asia, Silicon Valley, Hong Kong, Temasek, Bridgewater, Blackrock, India, Indonesia, Washington, United States
"The primary culprit is the property sector. This source of growth has now evaporated and won't be coming back," said Julian Evans-Pritchard, head of China economics at Capital Economics in Singapore. The Sept. 4-11 Reuters poll of 76 analysts, based in and outside mainland China, predicted the economy would grow 5.0% this year, lower than 5.5% forecast in a July survey. While recent data showed signs of improvement in the economy, some economists said more policy support was needed for the ailing property sector. A strong majority of economists who answered an additional question said the risks to their 2023 and 2024 GDP growth forecasts were skewed to the downside.
Persons: Julian Evans, Pritchard, Bingnan Ye, Teeuwe Mevissen, Vivek Mishra, Devayani, Anant Chandak, Veronica Khongwir, Jing Wang, Kevin Yao, Ross Finley, Sam Holmes Organizations: Capital Economics, China Merchants Bank, People's Bank of, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, China, Singapore, Beijing, Hong Kong, People's Bank of China, Netherlands, Bengaluru, Shanghai
Jay Clayton, former chairman of the SEC, speaks during the 13D Monitor's Active-Passive Investor Summit in New York City, U.S., October 18, 2022. In his testimony, the former Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) chair proposed that companies with market capitalizations above $50 billion or with China-based revenues or costs above $10 billion unveil their exposure to the world's second biggest economy. He also recommended those companies explain how their operations would be affected in the event of a disruption in U.S.-China economic ties. Clayton's views as the former SEC chair still carry weight among Washington policymakers, though he is no longer in government. If the level of risk is decreased, they will invest," he said, adding more disclosure would reduce systemic risk.
Persons: Jay Clayton, Brendan McDermid, Cromwell, Clayton, Jim Chanos, Anne Stevenson, Yang, Donald Trump's, Carolina Mandl, Michelle Price, Chizu Organizations: SEC, REUTERS, Sullivan, Big U.S, Chinese Communist Party, Wall, Securities and Exchange Commission, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Big, China, Wall Street, Washington, York, New York
Insider Today: Automating away CEOs
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +9 min
Today is always a difficult day, particularly here in New York, as we remember the innocent lives lost 22 years ago. But the group that seems immune to those concerns — CEOs — is primed for being usurped by robots, writes Ed Zitron. Ed's argument is straightforward: CEOs get paid a lot despite not providing much value for their companies. For all the talk of CEOs being transformational leaders full of business ingenuity, many are nothing more than figureheads. The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, senior editor and anchor, in New York City.
Persons: Rick Rescorla, Morgan Stanley, Rescorla, — Dan DeFrancesco, Arantza Pena Popo, , Ed Zitron, Ed, they're, STAN HONDA, Bill Ackman, foresees, Elon Musk's, Sam Altman, Kevin Dietsch, Ryan Petersen, Flexport's, Apple's, Microsoft's, Chris Williams, he's, Joe Biden, Damar Hamlin, Joe's, Wilson, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, Tech, TED, LinkedIn, nab, Bank, America, Wynn Resorts, Broadcom, Sun, Pentagon, & Museum, The New York Jets, Buffalo Bills, Bills, Oracle, Bovis Homes Locations: Wall, Silicon, New York, China, Alaska, Savanna, New York City, San Diego, London
Stock prices were mostly higher in Asia on Monday as investors awaited an update on U.S. inflation and China’s latest economic data. The futures for the S&P 500 and Dow were trading higher. That could lead the Federal Reserve and other central banks to keep interest rates higher for longer, which would hurt prices for shares and other investments. On Friday, stocks edged higher on Wall Street, but markets still ended their first losing week in the last three. High interest rates are supposed to slow the economy and hurt the job market, which should ultimately help undercut inflation.
Persons: Zichun Huang, Hong, Hang Seng, Australia's, Kroger, ” Stephen Innes, Brent, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Dow, Federal Reserve, Economics, Nikkei, U.S, Labor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Albertsons, Treasury, Management, New York Mercantile Exchange, Bank of Japan Gov Locations: Asia, Hong Kong, Tokyo, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, China
"I don't know if that's true," Mike Gallagher, chair of the U.S. House of Representatives' select committee on competition with China, told a Council on Foreign Relations event in New York. China's military in recent years has stepped up activity around Taiwan, which Beijing claims as its territory. Gallagher said he was visiting New York partly to work with financial industry experts to assess the risk to the global financial system if China were to invade or blockade Taiwan. Fears of an economic slowdown have gripped China, and Xi skipped the G20 summit this past weekend. U.S. officials have said Beijing has the resources to deal with its economy short-term but must face longer-term structural economic issues such as demographics and high debt.
Persons: Mike Gallagher, Amanda Andrade Rhoades, Joe Biden, Biden, Xi Jinping, Gallagher, William Burns, Xi, Michael Martina, Josie Kao Organizations: U.S, Rep, Chinese Communist Party, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Democratic, U.S . House, Representatives, Foreign, U.S . Central Intelligence Agency, Thomson Locations: United States, Taiwan, Washington , U.S, Beijing, China, Asia, New York, U.S
Biden said he met with Chinese President Xi Jinping's No.2, Chinese Premier Li Qiang, at the annual G20 summit in New Delhi. "My team, my staff still meets with President Xi's people and his cabinet," Biden told reporters. Biden called China's economic situation a "crisis," citing issues in the real estate sector and high youth unemployment. "One of the major economic tenets of his plan isn't working at all right now," Biden said of Xi, without elaborating. "I don't think this is going to cause China to invade Taiwan," Biden said of the country's economic troubles.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Xi Jinping's, Li Qiang, Xi, Li, Xi's, I'm, it's, Evelyn Hockstein, Nandita Bose, Trevor Hunnicutt, Doina Chiacu, Lisa Shumaker, Heather Timmons, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Taiwan, Southern, Sunday, Global Infrastructure, REUTERS, Democratic, Thomson Locations: HANOI, New Delhi, Indonesia, India, U.S, Beijing, Vietnam, China, Taiwan, United States, Hanoi, Washington
China said last week it would cut interest rates on existing mortgages and eased rules for first-time buyers in big cities, in what the central bank and financial regulators jointly said were moves "conducive to expanding consumption." But to prevent profit margins from shrinking further, state-owned banks have also lowered deposit rates by 10-25 basis points in a coordinated move. But they also warn that a 15 basis point cut in interest rates on Chinese households' 131.4 trillion yuan of deposits reduces interest income by 197 billion per year. Mortgage rates for first homes are around 4%, while one-year fixed deposit rates are roughly 1.5%. "People don't consume because they don't have money so cutting deposit rates cannot really work."
Persons: Simon, Yu, government's, Ting Lu, Zhaopeng Xing, Li Xiao, Li, Guo, Nancy Yang, Yang, Jason Xue, Samuel Shen, Winni Zhou, Gao, Ellen Zhang, Ziyi Tang, Joe Cash, Marius Zaharia, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Nomura, ANZ, HIT, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, BEIJING, Shanghai, Beijing, China, Guangdong, Wuhan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWeak import and export data from China will immediately impact stocks, says Oxford EconomicsLouise Loo, Lead China Economist at Oxford Economics, discusses the latest China import and export data.
Persons: Louise Loo Organizations: Oxford, China, Oxford Economics Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese investment in traditional sectors poised to increase, economist saysDuncan Wrigley, chief China economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, says forthcoming data is likely to show an acceleration in investment in China's traditional sectors, including infrastructure and property.
Persons: Duncan Wrigley Organizations: Pantheon Locations: China
Analysts at Bank of America named Asian stocks with high buybacks, which they said are an opportunity for investors. "Data since Jan-90 shows Asia stocks with High Share Buybacks tend to outperform," the analysts wrote in an August 31 research note. "The proportion of Asia stocks buying back shares is at a 20-year high, suggesting increased opportunity for investors," said the analysts led by Nigel Tupper. Other Chinese stocks on BofA's list include semiconductor supplier Daqo New Energy and utilities firm Huaneng Power . Australian stocks on BofA's list included banks Westpac and National Australia Bank .
Persons: Nigel Tupper, BofA, CJ Cheil Organizations: Bank of America, Companies, Smart, New Energy, Huaneng, Catcher Tech, Westpac, National Australia Bank, Woolworths, Keppel Corp, HK Land, Swire Pacific Locations: Asia, China, Huaneng Power, South Korea, Australia, Taiwan, Hong Kong, U.S
The company logo of Chinese developer Country Garden is pictured at the Shanghai Country Garden Center in Shanghai, China August 9, 2023. She noted that Country Garden and other developers face payments for sizeable maturities this year. In the deal reached after a vote on its proposal late on Friday, Country Garden is now allowed to repay the onshore debt in instalments over three years, instead of meeting its obligations by Sept. 2. After that, the creditors said they expect Country Garden to enter into restructuring negotiations for its entire offshore debt to avoid a "hard default", similar to what it did with the onshore creditors. Country Garden did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Persons: Aly, Tara Hariharan, haven't, Qi Wang, Xie Yu, Joe Cash, Sumeet Chatterjee, Edwina Gibbs Organizations: Shanghai Country Garden, REUTERS, HONG KONG, HK, Management, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG, New York, Hong Kong, Carolina, Beijing
China's property troubles may slow the economy down, Nicholas Lardy, a China economy expert, told CNN. However, the issues will not create a financial crisis, he added. Even so, one Chinese economy expert thinks the crisis is unlikely to spill over into the broader economy. Advertisement Advertisement Watch: Ken Rogoff on the next financial crisis and the future of bitcoinChina's property sector has been gripped in a crisis since 2021 when property giant Evergrande ran into a liquidity crisis. The market was so hot that Chinese developers were taking on massive borrowings to build apartments ahead of demand.
Persons: Nicholas Lardy, it's, Ken Rogoff, Evergrande, Lardy, Lina Batarags Organizations: CNN, Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: China, Wall, Silicon
Hong Kong CNN —The United States is not seeking to decouple from China’s economy or hold it back, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told senior Chinese economic officials Tuesday in Beijing. Hours later, when she met with Chinese Premier Li Qiang, Raimondo emphasized that point. “A well-maintained economic and trade relationship is beneficial to both [our] countries and the whole world.”“We hope that commercial relationship can provide stability for the overall relationship,” Raimondo said in reply to Li. He said that he hoped the United States will work with China to “adopt rational and practical practices” and put the leaders’ recommendations into practice. On Monday, Raimondo said it was “profoundly important” that the US and China have a stable economic relationship.
Persons: Gina Raimondo, ” Raimondo, Lifeng, , Premier Li Qiang, Raimondo, , Biden, Li, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Hu Heping Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Premier, , Culture and Tourism, Biden, United States Locations: Hong Kong, United States, Beijing, China, United, Bali
Andy Wong/Pool via REUTERS Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Aug 28 (Reuters) - U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo opened talks with Chinese government officials on Monday saying it is "profoundly important" the world's two largest economies have a stable economic relationship. Raimondo is looking to boost business ties as U.S. firms have reported increasing challenges with operating in China, while China has sharply criticized U.S. efforts to block China's access to advanced semiconductors. Raimondo said the entire world expects the United States and China will have a stable economic relationship; the two countries share more than $700 billion in annual trade. Raimondo is holding three days of talks with Chinese and business leaders in China to boost business ties between the world's two largest economies. Raimondo said the United States and China "have worked over the summer to establish new information exchanges and working groups that will enable us to have more consistent engagement in our relationship."
Persons: Gina Raimondo, Wang Wentao, Andy Wong, Raimondo, It's, Commerce Wang Wentao, Wang, David Shepardson, Jacqueline Wong, Michael Perry Organizations: . Commerce, Ministry of Commerce, REUTERS Acquire, Rights, Commerce, Thomson Locations: Beijing, Rights BEIJING, China, United States, US, United
U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo speaks during a Reuters interview at the Department of Commerce in Washington, September 23, 2021. U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo is set to meet with senior Chinese officials and U.S. business leaders in Beijing as the two countries continue high-level talks. Her trip is a crucial but also a tough one to tread with U.S.-China economic ties hanging in the balance, according to a former senior U.S. diplomat. Thornton previously served as acting assistant secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs at the State Department. She said Raimondo would want to "get some business done for U.S. businesses," on top of promoting and stabilizing trade relations with China.
Persons: Gina Raimondo, Gina Raimondo's, Susan Thornton, CNBC's, Thornton, She, Raimondo, Paul Tsai Organizations: Commerce, Department of Commerce, East Asian, Pacific Affairs, State Department, Paul Tsai China Center, Yale Law School Locations: Washington, Beijing, China, U.S
Hong Kong CNN —China has made a series of moves to restore investor confidence in the world’s second largest economy, including cutting a tax on stock trading for the first time since 2008. Foreign investors dumped billions of dollars worth of Chinese stocks over the past few weeks as the prospects for the economy dimmed. The announcements boosted Chinese stocks on Monday. Separately on Sunday, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) the country’s top securities watchdog, also unveiled several measures to “boost investor confidence” in the sagging stock market. Chinese stock markets have declined sharply in recent weeks, as investors fretted about a worsening slowdown in the world’s second largest economy and its real estate crisis.
Persons: , Chris Liu, ” Liu, Ken Cheung, Seng Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Ministry of Finance, State Administration of Taxation, China Securities Regulatory Commission, Hong Kong’s Stock Connect, China’s, Mizuho Bank, Shanghai Locations: Hong Kong, China, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, China’s Shanghai
REUTERS/Amit Dave Acquire Licensing RightsSYDNEY, Aug 27 (Reuters) - Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers said on Sunday the government was closely watching China amid "concerning" signs of economic weakness that could weigh on Australia's economy. "I share the pretty substantial concerns that people have voiced about the Chinese economy," Chalmers told Sky News television. "Our concerns for China in particular is something that we're monitoring very closely." Australia's growth "will be substantially weaker" due to China's slowdown and Australian interest rates rises, he said. Australia's economy grew 0.2% in the first quarter, its slowest in 1-1/2 years as high prices and rising interest rates sapped consumer spending.
Persons: Jim Chalmers, Amit Dave, Chalmers, they've, Sam McKeith, William Mallard Organizations: Central Bank governors, REUTERS, Rights, Sky News, Reserve Bank of, Thomson Locations: Gandhinagar, India, China, Australia, Canberra, Reserve Bank of Australia, Sydney
REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Aug 25 (Reuters) - China's banks will cut deposit rates soon as part of efforts to make mortgages more affordable and revive property demand, analysts reading China's cryptic policy messages reckon. But China did not opt for a broad rate cut that would further depress banks' narrow net interest margins, instead deferring to banks to cut their deposit rates and give themselves room to cheapen mortgages, analysts said. Lowering deposit rates will give banks much needed wiggle room to cut mortgage rates. "Further reductions to the deposit rates are 'arrows on the string,'" said Wang Yifeng, banking analyst at Everbright Securities. He also expects a tweak to rules so that existing mortgage rates can be reset lower.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Wang Yifeng, Zhu Qibing, LPR, Zhu, Lu Ting, Lu, Xing Zhaopeng, Xing, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Samuel Shen, Vidya Ranganathan, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: China Securities Regulatory Commission, REUTERS, Rights, Bankers, Everbright Securities, People's Bank of China, BOC International China, Nomura, ANZ, Thomson Locations: China, Beijing, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, Shanghai, Singapore
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