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Search resuls for: "CME FedWatch"


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Monday market: Stocks were mixed with the S & P 500 and Nasdaq hovering around their all-time highs and the Dow off slightly. Last week's rally was driven by the Magnificent Seven stocks, with Club names Apple , Amazon , Alphabet , Meta Platforms , and Microsoft closing at highs. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Corning, Stanley Black, Decker, , Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom, Dell, Devon Energy, Grayson, Energy, Costco, Telsey, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Meta, Lowe's, Whirlpool, Williams, Sonoma, Williston, Devon
Since last fall, the Federal Reserve has held interest rates steady as it continued fighting to get inflation closer to its 2% target. Alongside the Federal Open Market Committee's announcement to hold interest rates steady during its most recent meeting in June, the Summary of Economic Projections penciled in just one interest rate cut for 2024. However, Powell said during the June press conference that there was still time to change that projection — and that a rate cut in September is "plausible." "It's going to be the totality of the data, what's happening in the labor market, what's happening with the balance of risks, what's happening with the forecast, what's happening with growth," he said. CME FedWatch, which estimates market assessments of the probability of interest rate cuts, projects a 93% chance interest rates will remain steady in July and a 72% chance rates will be cut by September.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Julie Su, Su, Powell, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Hatzius Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, of Labor Statistics, Fed, CNBC Locations:
The rally in stocks could be endangered if the Fed doesn't cut rates soon, Jeremy Siegel warned. The Wharton professor made the case for the central bank to cut rates in September as data softens. AdvertisementThe rally in stocks and the strength of the economy is at risk if the Fed doesn't start cutting interest rates soon, according to Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel. No rate cut in September could put a recession on the table, Siegel warned, in addition to endangering the trajectory for stocks. Advertisement"So although I think stocks are still in an uptrend and the growth stocks are still certainly walloping the value stocks, I think Powell has to take note," Siegel said.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Wharton, , who's, Siegel, Powell Organizations: Service, CNBC, Atlanta Fed, New, Fed
Stock futures edged lower Sunday night as investors await key inflation data for further clues on the longevity of this year's market rally. S&P futures were down more than 0.1%, while futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 51 points, or 0.1%. Producer price index data will be released Friday. Last week, labor data reflected a slightly cooling labor market, spurring expectations of a rate cut. A slew of major banks, including Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase , will kick off second-quarter earnings season this week.
Persons: Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, JPMorgan Chase, Stocks, Dow Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Traders, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Citigroup, JPMorgan, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Nvidia Locations: U.S
If the data shows that inflation slowed last month, mortgage rates could ease a bit. So it's likely that we'll see mortgage rates decrease throughout the remainder of 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesLast week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 6.25%, a nine-basis-point increase from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: we'll, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Some key inflation readings in the week ahead could bolster the case for a September interest rate cut, as investors deliberate how long stocks can sustain their rally to record highs. After a rocky start to the year, a recently improving inflation picture has investors hopeful the Federal Reserve could soon start to lower rates. Stubborn inflation patches The June consumer price index is expected to show a slight improvement in the headline number. In May, for example, shelter inflation rose 0.4% on the month and 5.4% on the year, while other key items declined. Monday, July 8 3 p.m. Consumer Credit (May) Tuesday, July 9 6 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (June) Wednesday, July 10 10 a.m. Wholesale Inventories final (May) Thursday, July 11 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (June) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Mark Malek, FactSet, there's, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Mayfield, David Kelly, CNBC's, Wells, Price, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CPI, PPI, FactSet, University of Michigan, Asset Management, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Consumer Credit, Treasury Budget, Air Lines, Conagra, JPMorgan, Bank of New York Mellon Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Michigan, Fastenal
US stocks tested record highs on Friday after the June jobs report sent bond yields tumbling. The US economy added 206,000 jobs in June, but the unemployment rate ticked higher to 4.1%. The higher unemployment rate raised hopes for imminent interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. AdvertisementUS stocks tested record highs on Friday after the June jobs report sent bond yields lower. The April jobs report was also revised lower to 108,000 jobs added that month, down from the initial reading of 165,000.
Persons: , Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Brent, Bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Treasury, Manufacturing, PMI Locations: Texas
The prospect of "higher for longer" rates has also made short-term fixed income assets especially attractive. "We had a lot of investors who were in, if not cash, then sub-2-year duration fixed income at the start of the year." Takeaways for investors It doesn't hurt for retail investors to review their fixed income allocation now that the year is halfway over. A combination of fixed income assets may be what it takes to benefit from today's higher rates, lock in yields and capture rising prices once the Fed cuts. "We don't buy that there's one fixed income asset class that you should tilt toward," said Calcagni.
Persons: , Don Calcagni, it's, Shannon Saccocia, Neuberger Berman, Michael Rosen, Rosen, Janus Henderson, Vishal Khanduja, Eaton Vance, Khanduja, Callie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, FedWatch, Investment Company Institute, Money, Mercer Advisors, Investors, Municipal, Angeles Investment Advisors, AAA CLOs, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, SEC, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Bond, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Stay Locations: Santa Monica, Calif
Gold eyes second straight weekly rise; spotlight on U.S. payrolls
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged up on Friday and were set for a second straight weekly gain, while traders awaited U.S. employment data to gauge the trajectory of the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts. Gold prices edged up on Friday and were set for a second straight weekly gain, while traders awaited U.S. employment data to gauge the trajectory of the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts. Spot gold rose 0.2% at $2,359.73 per ounce, as of 0204 GMT and was up more than 1% for the week. "Gold has been in consolidation mode above $2,300, which bodes well for potential further price gains once we eventually move towards a lower interest rate environment." Palladium gained 0.4% to $1,021.75 and headed for a third consecutive weekly gain.
Persons: Tim Waterer, KCM, nonfarm, Waterer Organizations: Federal, U.S, Traders, FedWatch
Gold inches up after weak data fuels U.S. rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices drifted higher on Thursday after softer-than-expected U.S. economic data fueled hopes that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates as soon as September. Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,362.10 per ounce, as of 0200 GMT after hitting a near two-week high in the previous session. U.S. economic data on Wednesday, including a weak services and ADP employment reports, showed a slowing economy. "A softer-than-expected ISM services report was the gift that Fed doves have been waiting for ahead of a NFP. Markets are now pricing in a 74% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates at its September meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Federal, Traders, NFP, U.S Locations: U.S
Mortgage rates increased overall this week, with 30-year mortgage rates ticking up closer to 7%, according to Freddie Mac. This means mortgage rates should go down in the coming months and years. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. Sky high mortgage rates have pushed many hopeful buyers out of the market, slowing homebuying demand and putting downward pressure on home prices. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
Persons: Freddie Mac, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac's, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron
This should remove some upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to trend down a bit. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Tick Up (+0.20%)The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.73%, up 20 basis points from where it was this time last week, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Rise (+0.17%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.12%, 17 basis points higher than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Increase Slightly (+0.11%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.81%, 11 basis points up from last week.
Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron
US stocks were slightly higher on Wednesday after the latest private payroll report. Private payrolls rose 150,000 jobs last month, fewer than expected. Markets are looking ahead to the June nonfarm payroll report as the next key data point. AdvertisementUS stocks ticked higher on Wednesday as traders took in softer-than-expected jobs data. ADP data showed private payrolls grew just 150,000 last month, less than the 160,000 jobs economists expected.
Persons: payrolls, , Nela Richardson Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, ADP, Federal Reserve, Independence
A weakening economy may help push the Federal Reserve to make more rate cuts this year than the market is currently expecting, according to Lazard. The firm's chief market strategist Ronald Temple said in a second-half outlook that his base case is for the Fed to start cutting interest rates in September, with two additional cuts later in the year. Temple's base case is more aggressive on rate cuts than the current market view. However, Temple says the Fed will be able to lean on the economic data to make a move. Temple did caution that Fed rate cuts may not end up significantly lowering long-term interest rates, which could be bad news for prospective homeowners waiting for mortgage rates to drop.
Persons: Lazard, Ronald Temple, Temple, Jerome Powell, CNBC's Sara Eisen Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S
US stocks ticked higher as traders looked to kick off the second half of the year,The market is adding to a strong performance in the first half, with the S&P 500 up 14% year-to-date. Investors are waiting for the June jobs report to roll out on Friday, which could shape the outlook for rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks surged on Monday as traders looked ahead to fresh jobs data at the end of the holiday-shortened week. Major indexes rose to add to gains from the already strong first half of 2024, while bond yields also ticked higher. Economists expect the economy to have added 190,000 jobs in the last month, down from 272,000 jobs added in May.
Persons: , Stocks, Hogan, Riley Wealth, Keith Gill Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Treasury, GameStop, Here's
A screen displays stock figures at the Taiwan Stock Exchange Corp. headquarters in Taipei, Taiwan, on Monday, Jan. 15, 2024. The Taiwan Weighted Index has surged 28% so far this year, powered by stocks along the AI value chain. While Taiwan may lead Asian markets, Japan seems to be the favored market going forward, among analysts who spoke to CNBC. While most Asian markets are in positive territory year-to-date, three stock markets — Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines — fell into negative territory. The CME FedWatch tool indicates that 61% of traders expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in the September meeting.
Persons: Foxconn —, Hai Precision Industry —, Rahul Ghosh, Rowe Price, Ghosh, Ben Powell, Powell, Neel Kashkari, Ken Orchard Organizations: Taiwan Stock Exchange Corp, Bloomberg, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp, Hai Precision Industry, Intelligence, Nikkei, CNBC, BlackRock Investment Institute, Bank of Japan, Federal, U.S, Fed, Minneapolis Federal Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, Asia, Pacific, Japan, BlackRock, Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines, Jakarta, Philippine, U.S
Much of the S&P 500’s gains were concentrated in the Magnificent Seven big tech names, while other stocks lagged behind. Coming into this year, Wall Street projected that the Fed would ease rates as many as six times in 2024. What could be in store for the stock market during the second half of 2024? “I feel very, very good about the values of my three children, and I have 100% trust in how they will carry things out,” Buffett told the Journal. Previously, Buffett had said his will stated that more than 99% of his estate was earmarked for philanthropic usage to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the four charities connected to his family: the Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation, Sherwood Foundation, Howard G. Buffett Foundation and NoVo Foundation.
Persons: there’s, Bell, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, you’ve, It’s, we’re, it’s, I’d, That’s, Warren Buffett, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Melinda Gates, ” Buffett, Susan Thompson Buffett, Howard G, Read, Matt Egan, unstuck, , Michael Gapen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Wall, Fed, Berkshire, Wall Street, Melinda Gates Foundation, Gates, Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation, Sherwood Foundation, Buffett Foundation, NoVo Foundation, Gates Foundation, Bank of America, CNN Locations: New York, America
Euro rises after France's first-round vote, yen struggles
  + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The euro rose on Monday after the first round of France's snap election put the far-right in pole position, though by a smaller margin than projected, while a downgrade to Japan's first-quarter growth figures knocked the yen lower. "They (RN) have actually performed a little bit worse than what was expected," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. The yen struggled to gain ground against a broadly weaker dollar, and was last 0.05% lower at 160.93 per dollar. That could lead to a cut to the Bank of Japan's growth forecasts in fresh quarterly projections due later this month and affect the timing of its next interest rate hike, analysts said. Elsewhere in Asia, the Chinese yuan - also a victim of stark interest rate differentials with the U.S. - was last 0.02% higher at 7.2981 per dollar in the offshore market.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Carol Kong, Michael Brown, CBA's Organizations: Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Reserve, New Zealand, Bank of, U.S Locations: Japan, Asia
Gold holds ground as slowing inflation boosts Fed rate-cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices held steady on Monday after data showed U.S. inflation subsided, bolstering hopes that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates this year. Gold prices held steady on Monday after data showed U.S. inflation subsided, bolstering hopes that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates this year. Data showed on Friday that the personal consumption expenditures index, increased 2.6% after advancing 2.7% in April. But, "any failure to defend the $2,280 level ahead may potentially pave the way for gold prices to head towards the $2,200 next". Spot silver dipped 0.2% to $29.06, platinum fell 0.7% to $986.08 and palladium held steady at $972.74.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, ANZ
The 10-year Treasury yield spiked 13 basis points to 4.479%. AdvertisementUS stocks ended higher on Monday to start the second half of the year, rising even as bond yields soared during the session. Meanwhile, shifting outlooks on the US election have added uncertainty to the bond market, and yields on the 10-year Treasury surgedon Monday. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked 12 basis points to 4.469%. Among individual stock movers on Monday, Chewy whiplashed after meme-trading legend Keith Gill disclosed a $245 million stake in the company.
Persons: , Stocks, surgedon, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Chewy, Keith Gill Organizations: Treasury, Service, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Trump, Traders, Federal Locations: France
US stocks rose Friday as traders took in new inflation data from the Fed's preferred price gauge. PCE inflation cooled to 2.6% last month, the lowest pace of price growth in three years. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Friday as traders took in fresh inflation data, which showed price pressures continuing to cool off in May. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday:AdvertisementIn commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: , Seema Shah Organizations: Service, Treasury, Federal, Asset Management, Nasdaq, Nvidia Locations: PCE, Here's
Gold set for third quarterly gain; traders await US inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices eased on Friday, but were set for a third straight quarterly rise, while investors looked forward to U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more clarity on the Federal Reserve's interest rate-cut timeline. After adding to its gold reserves for 18 consecutive months, official data from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) showed its holdings were flat in May. A survey by the World Gold Council, however, found that more central banks may increase gold reserves within 12 months. Gold rose more than 1% in the previous session after data showed a continued, though moderate, slowdown in U.S. economic activity. A soft set of PCE figures is required to keep hopes of Fed easing alive and further support gold, City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.
Persons: Ilya Spivak, Michelle Bowman, Matt Simpson Organizations: Heraeus, Solar, People's Bank of China, World Gold Council, City Index Locations: Budapest, Hungary, U.S, China
Stocks edged higher on Thursday ahead of PCE inflation data set to be released on Friday. Jobless claims rose less that expected last week, with 233,000 people seeking unemployment benefits. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Thursday as traders assessed corporate earnings and waited on new inflation data to help inform rate-cut bets heading into the second half of 2024. AdvertisementOn the macro front, jobless claims were lower than expected, declining by 6,000 to 233,000 for the week ending June 22. Finally, traders are preparing to digest the latest personal consumption expenditures data, which is the Fed preferred inflation measure.
Persons: Walgreen, , they've, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: Micron, Service, Nvidia, Walgreens, Federal Reserve, Here's
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Amazon CEO, Andy Jassy speaking with CNBC's Jim Cramer on Mad Money in Seattle, WA.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Andy Jassy, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Mad Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Netflix, Federal Reserve, Web Services, Micron, Jefferies, Walgreens, McCormick, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Amazon Locations: Seattle , WA
Risk sentiment was also capped as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials kept near-term U.S. rate cut expectations in check in a boost to the dollar. The comments along with data showing a stable housing market kept expectations in check over when and by how much the Fed will cut rates. Markets are pricing in 47 basis points of easing this year, with a rate cut in September pegged at 66% probability, CME FedWatch tool showed. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit against six peers, was steady at 105.64, while the euro was at $1.0715. The yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29, prompting Tokyo to spend roughly 9.8 trillion in late April and early May to support the currency.
Persons: Androniki, Lisa Cook, Cook, Michelle Bowman, Selena Ling, OCBC, OCBC's Ling, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, . Federal, Reuters, Bank of Japan's, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific
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