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LONDON, April 21 (Reuters) - Investors cut their cash holdings for the first time in eight weeks, while shedding equities and gold in the week to Wednesday, according to a report from BofA Global Research on Friday. Cash funds saw outflows of $65.3 billion, BofA said, citing EPFR data. Bond funds, meanwhile, recorded inflows of $4.6 billion, while investors sold $2.6 billion of global stocks and pulled $70 million out of gold funds. Emerging market debt funds saw their first weekly inflow in 10 weeks of $600 million. Investors put $2.3 billion into emerging markets equities, the biggest inflow in four weeks.
Data from Refinitiv Lipper showed investors sold equity funds worth $2.25 billion in the week, compared with a $215 million net purchase the previous week. Rate hike expectations also affected the bond market, as investors turned net sellers of global bond funds for the first time in five weeks. Investors withdrew $1.68 billion from government bond funds in their first weekly net selling in 10 weeks. Meanwhile, investors exited $89.35 billion worth of global money market funds after a seven-week buying spree. Data for 23,920 emerging market funds showed investors purchased $384 million worth of equity funds in a fourth week of net buying while securing $513 million worth of bond funds.
Market focus has shifted to inflation and the outlook for monetary tightening in recent weeks as fears around banking stocks receded and a market measure of volatility (.VIX) fell to its lowest level since November 2021. Cash funds saw outflows of $65.3 billion, BofA said, citing EPFR data. Bond funds recorded inflows of $4.6 billion, while investors sold $2.6 billion of global stocks and pulled $70 million out of gold funds. Last week data showed U.S. consumer prices rising in March, while data this week showed signs of the labor market cooling. "Core inflation in big economies remains stubbornly high," the BofA analysts said, adding that inflation is being aided by structurally low unemployment rates.
April 21 (Reuters) - U.S. bond funds suffered big outflows in the week to April 19 on expectations that the Federal Reserve would continue to hike interest rates to tackle inflationary pressures. Refinitiv Lipper data showed $3.1 billion worth of net selling from U.S. bond funds after two weeks of inflows. Investors disposed of $3.16 billion of municipal bond funds in their biggest weekly net selling since December 21, 2022, but purchased about $5 million worth of taxable bond funds. Investors sold U.S. mid-, and small-cap funds of $603 million and $390 million, respectively, but purchased large-cap funds of $797 million. However consumer staples and healthcare drew $580 million and $534 million worth of inflows, respectively.
U.S. money market funds draw inflows for fifth straight week
  + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
April 14 (Reuters) - U.S. money market funds received inflows for a fifth straight week after recent data pointed to a still-strong labor market, bolstering bets for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in May. According to Refinitiv Lipper data, U.S. money market funds drew a net $20.51 billion worth of inflows in the week to April 12. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsInvestors are favoring money market funds over bank deposits amid a rally in short-term interest rates, with the real interest rate turning positive by some measures, analysts said. The yield on the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill , in which money market funds invest the most, surged to a near 16-year high of 5.175% on Thursday. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsMeanwhile, U.S. bond funds obtained $1.7 billion worth of inflows when compared with $8.97 billion worth of net buying in the previous week.
Funds in the global money market drew a net $40.83 billion worth of inflows compared with a net $61.12 billion worth of purchases in the previous week, data from Refinitiv Lipper showed. The yield on the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill , in which money market funds invest the most, surged to near a 16-year high of 5.175% on Thursday. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsGlobal bond funds saw inflows dipping to $3.43 billion in the week from $16.45 billion worth of net buying a week ago. Inflows in government bond funds slipped to a nine-week low of $2.33 billion, while high-yield funds faced outflows of $172 million. Data for 23,942 emerging market funds showed equity funds received a third weekly inflow, worth $227 million, while bond funds had $913 million worth of outflows after two weekly net purchases in a row.
JPMorgan, BlackRock, Wells Fargo, and Citi reported earnings Friday. Top execs described their response to the banking crisis — and future opportunities. The message was clear, wrote Wells Fargo bank analyst Mike Mayo in a note to clients Friday. Quarterly earnings calls held with research analysts marked an opportunity for Wall Street's biggest executives to face questions about the impact of the March banking crisis on their firms' bottom lines. Here's what the leaders of JPMorgan, BlackRock, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup had to say about SVB.
U.S. money market funds see fourth weekly inflow in a row
  + stars: | 2023-04-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File PhotoApril 10 (Reuters) - U.S. money market funds drew inflows for a fourth straight week on worries about an economic slowdown after data pointed to slowing production and a cooling labor market. According to Refinitiv Lipper data, U.S. money market funds obtained a net $42.51 billion worth of inflows in the week to April 5. Investors poured $2.81 billion into U.S. general domestic taxable fixed income funds and also received $2.44 billion worth of government bond funds in their eighth week of net buying in a row. Reuters GraphicsMeanwhile, U.S. equity funds recorded $10.34 billion worth of outflows, compared with net selling of $20.75 billion in the previous week. Among sector funds, they exited financial and healthcare funds of $1.2 billion and $694 million, respectively, but tech obtained $566 million worth of inflows.
Funds in the global money market saw purchases worth a net $61.91 billion, that marked a sixth consecutive week of net inflows, data from Refinitiv Lipper showed. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsThe U.S., European and Asian money market funds obtained inflows worth $42.51 billion, $25.62 billion and $280 million, respectively. Reuters GraphicsMeanwhile, global bond funds drew $15.16 billion worth of inflows, the biggest amount since July 2021. Investors purchased $5.26 billion worth of high yield and $1.71 billion worth of target maturity bond funds, but sold $1.15 billion worth of short-term bond funds. Data for 23,935 emerging market funds showed equity and bond funds, both obtained a second weekly inflow, amounting $397 million and $412 million, respectively.
Below are several charts setting out how ESG funds have held up so far this year. Reuters GraphicsTECH REBOUNDESG equity funds enjoyed a quarter of net inflows, even after the March withdrawals, beating non-ESG equity funds, which lost money. ESG funds have historically owned bank shares because of their relatively lower carbon emissions, Boakye said, although versus traditional funds their exposure to banks is generally lower. Across the quarter ESG bond funds managed to attract more cash than they lost. Reuters GraphicsOUTPERFORMINGThanks to the rebound in tech shares and other sectors shunned in 2022, ESG equity funds outperformed traditional funds during the quarter.
Concannon said that the digitization of fixed income ETFs across the equity market accelerates the opportunity for investors to trade and hedge in the underlying corporate bond market. "We see that electronic trading is in fact accelerating as more and more people adopt fixed income ETFs," he said. "We saw a super high volatility in both the equity market and the underlying corporate bond market, and all those fixed income ETFs sustained that volatility." Because electronically traded bond ETFs are exchanged instantaneously, the funds are able to lead the underlying bonds. "And so, the underlying corporate bond market is actually following that ETF market."
The rally in growth and tech stocks in the first quarter caught much of Wall Street off-guard, but many ETF strategists are sticking to their call and not chasing the hot sectors quite yet. The big winners in the stock market during the first quarter were found among growth stocks. QQQ YTD mountain Growth stocks rebounded in the first quarter. One area that is popular among value investors is income funds, which can help investors offset market declines by generating cash. To be sure, the iShares strategy team has an improving view of growth stocks, at least in high quality names.
March 31 (Reuters) - Money continued to flow into safer U.S. money market funds for a third consecutive week as investors remained unsettled about the banking sector crisis, with slowdown worries also affecting the sentiment. According to Refinitiv Lipper data, U.S. money market funds received a net $59.31 billion worth of inflows in the week to March 29. Fund flows: US equities, bonds and money market fundsMeanwhile, investors turned net sellers of $20.68 billion worth of U.S. equity funds after $10.17 billion worth of net purchases in the previous week. They exited large, small and mid-cap equity funds of $8.25 billion, $2.43 billion and $1 billion, respectively. Fund flows: US equity sector fundsMeanwhile, investors turned net sellers of U.S. bond funds with disposals of $1.37 billion after about $2.87 billion worth net purchases in the previous week.
Funds that invest in Asian convertible bonds attracted inflows of $118.1 million in January and February, data from Morningstar shows, bucking the overall outflows recorded for the more than 350 convertible bond funds it tracks globally. Convertible bonds are hybrid securities with most, like a regular bond, paying a coupon. "Some Asian convertible bonds are attractive as they offer investors comparable or better yields for a shorter duration than straight bonds, as they come with an inexpensive equity option," said Girish Kumarguru, portfolio manager at alterative asset manager, China Everbright Assets Management (0165.HK). Compared to the 6% yield paid by its regular bond, convertible bond investors get less, with current pricing implying a yield of around 2.5%. "Measures to boost consumption in China should be favourable to Asian convertible bonds as there are numerous consumer-related issuers in this region," said Skander Chabbi, head of global convertible team at BNP Paribas Asset Management based in Paris.
First quarter 'dash for cash' largest since early 2020 -BofA
  + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Flows into cash of $60.1 billion in the week to Wednesday were down from $142.9 billion the previous week, but the quarterly dash for cash was the biggest since the first quarter of 2020, BofA said on Friday, citing data from EPFR. Markets have gyrated wildly this month following the collapse of U.S. regional lenders Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and Europe's Credit Suisse (CSGN.S). "Panic, flush, unwind, then Fed blinked and off we rally into April," BofA said in the report. If year-to-date inflows of $37.4 billion continue at the same pace through 2023, it would be the largest annual inflow on record. For the week to Wednesday, gold funds attracted a net $500 million, and bond funds a net $2.3 billion.
Municipal bond funds can be particularly attractive to investors who face a high tax burden, because their payouts are tax exempt. The new funds haven't been active long-enough to show an official yield, but the more established iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF (SUB) has a tax-equivalent yield of 4.74%. Another factor in favor of municipal bonds is the uncertain economic environment and fear of a possible recession. The BulletShares fund family from Invesco offers several different muni funds with different maturity target dates for investors looking for more specific time-frames. That group expanded with the Invesco BulletShares 2032 Municipal Bond ETF (BSMW) , which launched on March 1.
ETF trends reflect a wild first quarter for the stock market
  + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
It's the end of a wild first quarter for stock and bond investors, and ETF flows are reflecting that turmoil. The good news: Despite big market swings , equity and bond ETFs still saw overall inflows in the first quarter. ETF flows year to date: $70 billion inflows Consisting of: Equity: $24 billion inflows Fixed Income: $43 billion inflows Other (currency, etc. ): $3 billion inflows Source: ETF Store While that is still inflow, it is far less than has been typical in recent years. Much of that uncertainty can be seen in a notable pickup in money going into money market funds, traditionally a safe haven asset.
The recent lineup of bank failures has depositors suddenly asking the simple question: is my money safe? Jason J. Howell, a certified financial planner and the president of Jason Howell Company, says yes, your money is safe. This way, if you need cash quickly, you could get it. "You're going to have to go to the US TreasuryDirect to buy those bonds," Howell said. "Money markets nearly went bust in the 2008 financial crisis, so there's no need to put a wrapper around it," Howell said.
Goldman Sachs estimates that US households are likely to sell $750 billion of stocks in 2023. A higher-than-expected savings rate and the rise in bond yields are driving the shift. A higher-than-expected savings rate and the rise in bond yields are leading the shift. After more than a decade of low interest rates, investors are now looking towards fixed income and yield-bearing assets while the Fed continues to fight high inflation. "In the absence of household equity buying, foreign investors and corporations will be net buyers of $550 billion and $350 billion US equities, respectively," the note reads.
Instead, those investors will put money into credit and money market assets, analyst Cormac Conner said in a note Wednesday. In addition, it also tests the model against household equity demand less its estimate of hedge fund net equity demand. "Regardless of which of these household demand series we use, household equity demand tends to increase when the savings rate rises and decreases when 10-year yields fall," Conner explained. The firm also predicts the personal savings rate will rise from 4.5% to 5.3% as high interest rates in money market funds attract those searching for income. The average yield on the Crane Data's Crane 100 Money Fund Index , comprising the 100 largest taxable money funds, is 4.42%.
Strains in the banking sector are roiling a roughly $8 trillion bond market considered almost as safe as U.S. government bonds. So-called agency mortgage bonds are widely held by banks, insurers and bond funds because they are backed by the mortgage loans from government-owned lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac . The bonds are far less likely to default than most debt and are easy to buy and sell quickly, a crucial reason they were Silicon Valley Bank’s biggest investment before it foundered.
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March 17 (Reuters) - Global money market and government bond funds obtained massive weekly inflows as investors rushed to safer assets on fears of contagion from the collapse of three U.S. banks last week. Global money market funds drew $112.13 billion in the week to March 15, data from Refinitiv Lipper showed. Fund flows: Global equities, bonds and money marketInvestors pulled out $19.2 billion from global equity funds, in their biggest weekly net selling since the third week of December. Among equity sector funds, healthcare, industrials and metals & mining suffered $645 million, $613 million and $258 million worth of net selling, respectively. Data for 23,846 emerging market funds showed investors exited $1.23 billion worth of bond funds, and withdrew $1.37 billion out of equity funds after nine weeks of net purchases in a row.
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Concerns have been heightened by the wild swings in market interest rates since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) last week. Fund managers advise shunning high-yield bonds, despite their attractive yields, because of the risk these bonds could be hit by ratings downgrades, defaults and a squeeze in company earnings. Refinitiv Lipper data showed high-yield bond funds, after seeing an inflow of $7.63 billion in January, faced an outflow of $11.51 billion in February. Reuters GraphicsSo far this month, high-yield bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen a total outflow of $506 million. However, safer money market funds have attracted $28.76 billion, and government bond funds have seen an inflow of $15.52 billion since February.
A pair of exchange-traded bond funds popped Wednesday as investors flee stocks in search of safety. The Vanguard Total Bond ETF (BND) and the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) each leapt by as much as 1.4% Wednesday morning. Investors sought safety in Treasurys , with yields dropping as traders bought up the issues. Corporate issues in BND include Amazon , AbbVie and Alphabet , while AGG holds bonds from Morgan Stanley , Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase .
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