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☆ Stocks surge, dollar slumps as traders cheer inflation surprise
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Overnight the Nasdaq (.IXIC) jumped 2.4%, bonds surged and the dollar slumped more than 1.6% on the euro. Yields fall when bond prices climb. In foreign exchange trade, the dollar suffered its heaviest selling in 12 months, with the sharpest losses against risk-sensitive currencies such as the Australian dollar. In Japan, the Bank of Japan stepped back and pared its regular bond buying as markets rallied. Ten-year Japanese government bond yields hit a one-month low of 0.775%.

Persons: Androniki, Sam Rines, Chetan Seth, Brent Donnelly, Tom Westbrook, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Federal, CPI, Japan's Nikkei, New Zealand, Nomura, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Texas, U.S, Canada

☆ China c.bank boosts liquidity injection through policy loan, rate unchanged
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A gardener works outside the headquarters of the central bank of the People's Republic of China in Beijing October 8, 2008. REUTERS/Jason Lee (CHINA) Acquire Licensing RightsSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Nov 15 (Reuters) - China's central bank ramped up liquidity injection but kept the interest rate unchanged when rolling over maturing medium-term policy loans on Wednesday, matching market expectations. The central bank said the loan operation was meant to maintain banking system liquidity reasonably ample to counteract short-term factors including tax payments and government bond issuance. All 31 market watchers polled by Reuters this week had expected the central bank to inject fresh funds to exceed the maturity. The most likely outcome is for PBOC to inject more support through open market operations, while leaving the MLF rate unchanged."

Persons: Jason Lee, Carlos Casanova, corporates, Xing Zhaopeng, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Christian Schmollinger, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, People's Bank of China, Reuters, AAA, ANZ, Thomson Locations: People's Republic of China, Beijing, China, CHINA, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, Asia, UBP, United States

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Disney, Microsoft, AMD, Amazon, Adobe & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Morgan Stanley downgrades Freyr Battery to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said the battery maker faces "significant challenges." Barclays upgrades Fortrea to overweight from equal weight Barclays said in its upgrade of the health contract research company that it sees improved bookings. Barclays upgrades Mosaic and Nutrien to overweight from underweight Barclays upgraded several potash and aggriculture companies and said a compelling entry point. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by its overweight rating on shares of Tesla . Barclays reiterates Disney as equal weight Barclays said it's having trouble finding upside for Disney shares.

Persons: Wells, Needham, Docebo, Morgan Stanley downgrades Freyr, Morgan Stanley, FREY, Andrew Stanleick, Bernstein, Redburn, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's, Baird, Kraft Heinz, Miguel Patricio, " Roth, Marvell, Roth, Tesla, laggards, Evercore, TD Cowen, Cowen, We've Organizations: Microsoft, TAM, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, UBS, Barclays, Mosaic, NTR, ICL, OW, UW, JPMorgan, Apple, Nvidia, Aspen Technology, Kraft, Marvell Technology, Devices, Tesla, Adobe, Disney Locations: BeautyHealth, U.S

☆ Take Five: That rate cut trade
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Markets are keen to trade rate cuts and big central banks are pushing back, shining a new light on upcoming data in that tug of war. Traders, anticipating roughly three quarter-point Fed rate cuts next year, will now turn their attention to Tuesday's inflation data to confirm their view on the outlook. A sharper cooling could fan the peak rate talk, fuelled by October's employment report, which pointed to an easing in labor markets. Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics3/ ONCE BITTENThe robust dollar suddenly appears vulnerable to the push and pull in the market's Fed rate cut bets. The data could also help justify, or challenge, recent remarks from BoE chief economist Huw Pill that mid-2024 could be the time for rate cuts.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Danilo Masoni, Alun John, Dhara, Jerome Powell, Ping, Powell, Rishi Sunak, Sunak, BoE, Huw Pill, Sumanta Sen, Pasit, Riddhima Talwani, Prinz Magtulis, Jayaram, Dhara Ranasinghe, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Traders, Reuters, Beijing, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, New York, Tokyo, Milan, London, Washington, September's, Germany, Europe, ITALY, Italy

☆ Asian stocks slide as hawkish Powell comments weigh
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A man works at the Tokyo Stock Exchange after market opens in Tokyo, Japan October 2, 2020. U.S. Federal Reserve officials including Powell said on Thursday they are still not sure interest rates are high enough to finish the battle with inflation. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes eased 1 basis point to 4.620% in Asian hours, having risen 10.7 bps overnight. In the currency market, the dollar index held on to its overnight gains and was last at 105.87. The oil market has been reeling this week on demand concerns, with a fading war-risk premium triggering a sell-off.

Persons: Kim Kyung, Jerome Powell, Powell, Rob Carnell, Carnell, there's, Hong, Tapas Strickland, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Tom Hogue Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Fed, Japan's Nikkei, . Federal, International Monetary Fund, ING, Investors, Nasdaq, NAB, Treasury, New, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific, China, Beijing, New Zealand, Singapore

☆ Aussie 'big four' banks hike home loan rates after RBA decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

People use Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) bank ATMs in Sydney, Australia May 3, 2018. The National Australia Bank (NAB.AX), ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ.AX) and Westpac Banking Corp (WBC.AX), the other three of Australia's "big four", had hiked their home loan rates on Wednesday by 0.25%. The rate hike by the National Australia Bank (NAB.AX) and ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ.AX) would be effective from Nov. 17, while Westpac Banking Corp (WBC.AX) would raise rates from Nov. 21, the lenders said in separate statements on Wednesday. CBA said its home loan variable rate change would be effective from Nov. 17. Reporting by Rishav Chatterjee and Upasana Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D'Souza and Rashmi AichOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Edgar Su, Rishav Chatterjee, Upasana Singh, Savio D'Souza, Rashmi Organizations: Commonwealth Bank of Australia, REUTERS, Thursday, National Australia Bank, ANZ Group Holdings, Westpac Banking Corp, Reserve Bank of Australia, Wednesday, CBA, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, Bengaluru

REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 10 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The three main U.S. equity indices quickly sank, and ended between 0.7% and 1% lower on the day. If Asian and emerging stocks follow Wall Street's lead, they will close the week in the red. Sentiment towards China, meanwhile, suffered another blow on Thursday after inflation figures showed that consumer prices swung lower in October. On the political front, Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen hold talks in San Francisco.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Jamie McGeever, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Lifeng, Janet Yellen, Yellen, Deepa Babington Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Fed, Treasury, Traders, U.S ., Bank of Japan, ., PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Tokyo, Japan, China, San Francisco, Zealand, India, Australia

The MSCI world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS), which tracks shares in 47 countries, fell 0.4%. Earlier, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) slipped 1.2%, snapping three straight days of gains. Hong Kong's Hang Seng (.HSI) fell 1.7%, while mainland China blue chips (.CSI300) fell 0.4%. The index fell 1.3% last week, its steepest decline since mid-July, part of the wider risk-on mood in markets. The euro slipped 0.4% to $1.067, down from an eight-week peak of $1.0756 hit on Monday.

Persons: Toby Melville, Michael Hewson, Nicholas Chia, HSI, Tom Wilson, Tom Westbrook, Ankur Banerjee, Lincoln, Kim Coghill, Christina Fincher Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, REUTERS, Nasdaq, CMC, Standard Chartered, Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia, Brent, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, London, Singapore

☆ Asia stocks snap winning streak, await RBA
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSINGAPORE, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Asian stocks snapped a three-day winning streak on Tuesday, slipping as the bond market's rally paused and investors reined in enthusiasm about a possible peak in global interest rates. Focus is on whether Australia's central bank turns odd man out and raises rates, with a policy decision due at 0330 GMT. Overnight the dollar had rallied with a rise in U.S. Treasury yields, leaving the Australian dollar under gentle pressure at $0.6495 in morning trade in Asia. Aussie government bond futures fell slightly and the ASX200 (.AXJO), which had gained five sessions in a row, slipped 0.4%. Ten year yields rose 10 bps on Monday, but had fallen almost 30 bps last week.

Persons: Kim Kyung, Ben Bennett, Alan Ruskin, George Saravelos, Commonwealth Bank analyst Carol Kong, Gold, bitcoin, Ankur Banerjee Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of Australia, Treasury, Japan's Nikkei, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Legal, General Investment Management, U.S, Deutsche Bank, Commonwealth Bank analyst, Brent, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Taiwan, East, Russia, Australia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore

That has left Italian equities overall more cheaply valued than even battered UK shares (.dMIGB00000PUS), which are trading at a 33% discount to global peers. Goldman Sachs estimates that each 10 bps rise in sovereign spreads takes around 2% off Italian bank shares and 1.5% off the FTSE MIB index. Conflict in Ukraine and in the Middle East meanwhile threaten to spark a fresh surge in energy prices and weaken growth. UniCredit shares are up almost 80% this year and among the best performing euro zone banking shares. Fidelity International portfolio manager Alberto Chiandetti, said he was chasing opportunities in battered industrials and consumer sectors in the FTSE Italia Star index.

Persons: Claudia Greco, Chris Hiorns, Fitch, Goldman Sachs, Giuseppe Sersale, Andrea Scauri, Lemanik, Scauri, LSEG, Alberto Chiandetti, Joice Alves, Danilo Masoni, Dhara Ranasinghe, Toby Chopra Organizations: REUTERS, Companies, LONDON, Barclays, European Commission, FTSE Italia Star, Anthilia, Banco, Fidelity International, FTSE, Thomson Locations: Milan, Silicon, Italy, Companies Italy, MILAN, Germany, Ukraine, iShares, Europe, dei, London

The U.S. central bank could even be forced to raise rates to ensure the pace of inflation remains on a downward trajectory and does not bounce back, Goldberg said. Markets also imply about an 80% probability the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut rates by April, while the Bank of England (BoE) is seen easing in August. An outlier is Australia's central bank, which is considered likely to resume raising rates at a policy meeting on Tuesday as inflation there stays stubbornly high. The head of the central bank said on Monday it was closer to achieving its inflation target, but it was still not enough to end ultra-loose policy. The drop in the dollar and yields has helped underpin gold, as investors have cautiously turned back to riskier assets.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Gennadiy Goldberg, Goldberg, Anthony Saglimbene, Saglimbene, We're, BoE, Jerome Powell, Herbert Lash, Wayne Cole, Alun John, Nick Macfie, Will Dunham, Mark Potter, Marguerita Choy Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Wall, Federal Reserve, TD Securities, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Bank of England, ECB, The Bank of Japan, ., Germany's, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, New York, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Troy , Michigan, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Korea, Saudi Arabia, Russia

Hopes for lower borrowing costs overnight helped shares in Asia, which missed out on Friday's rally that was inspired by the U.S. jobs data. DOLLAR DROPSTwo-year Treasury yields , which reflect interest rate expectations, rose 5.9 bps to 4.891% after falling 18 bps last week. The recent retreat in Treasury yields pulled the rug out from under the dollar last week. The dollar index, a measure of the U.S. currency against six others, was steady at 105.07 after sliding 1.4% last week. U.S. crude rose 1.73% to $81.90 per barrel and Brent was at $86.07, up 1.39% on the day.

Persons: Issei Kato, Gennadiy Goldberg, Goldberg, BoE, Samy Chaar, Jerome Powell, Brent, Herbert Lash, Wayne Cole, Alun John, Nick Macfie, Will Dunham, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Wall, Federal Reserve, TD Securities, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Lombard, ECB, The Bank of Japan, ., Palestinian, Hamas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Europe, New York, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Korea, Saudi Arabia, Russia, East, Israel, Gaza

☆ Global stocks jump and dollar slumps after weak U.S. jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Harry Robertson | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar tumbled after the data, which showed that the U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by 150,000 in October, lower than the 180,000 predicted and September's downwardly revised 297,000 figure. MSCI's index of world stocks (.MIWD00000PUS) was last up 0.45%, having traded roughly 0.26% higher before the data. It was on track to finish the week 4.5% higher, which would be the largest weekly rise since November 2022. It traded 0.29% lower at 105.89 before the data. Reuters Graphics"Investors will interpret today’s jobs weak jobs report as a sign that demand is slowing in the labour market," said Richard Flynn, managing director at Charles Schwab UK, in emailed comments.

Persons: Androniki, nonfarm, September's downwardly, Richard Flynn, Charles Schwab, BoE, Samuel Zief, Brent, Harry Robertson, Jacqueline Wong, Miral Fahmy, Mark Heinrich, Alison Williams Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Companies, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Reuters Graphics, Treasury, JPMorgan Private Bank, U.S . Treasury, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Israel

☆ Analysis: Traders bet ECB will be first big central bank to cut rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. With investors confident that big central banks are likely done raising rates, focus has switched to when rate cuts will start. Traders now price in over an 80% chance of a 25 basis-points (bps) ECB cut by April, which had been fully priced for July last week. Piet Christiansen, chief analyst at Danske Bank, said the expectations for ECB rate cuts now reflected a "doom and gloom" scenario. He added the ECB would need to cut rates at least as much as traders expect next year.

Persons: Heiko Becker, BoE, Shamik Dhar, Christine Lagarde, Piet Christiansen, Lagarde, Goldman, Gurpreet Gill, Dario Perkins, Yoruk, Sumanta Sen, Kripa Jayaram, Dhara Ranasinghe, Emelia Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Traders, ECB, Fed, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, BNY Mellon Investment, Treasury, Reuters, Danske Bank, Asset Management, Lombard, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, United States, Europe, U.S, Britain, Israel

☆ Yen languishes as focus turns to Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Against the dollar, the yen fell about 1.7% overnight, touching a low of 151.74 — a whisker from the 151.94 level that prompted intervention a year ago. In the U.S. data showed wages and salaries rose solidly last quarter and while consumer confidence ebbed, it fell far less than markets had expected. The euro declined 0.4% on the dollar overnight and nursed losses at $1.0579. China's Caixin PMI data will be in focus later on Wednesday, ahead of U.S. manufacturing and private payrolls figures — before the Fed meeting. U.S. yields rose in early Asia trade, while Japanese yields fell slightly on thin volumes, leaving the spread between benchmark 10-year rates at 398 bps.

Persons: Alan Ruskin, Sterling, James Malcolm, 10bp Organizations: Resona Bank, U.S, Federal Reserve, U.S . Treasury, New Zealand, The Bank of, Deutsche Bank, UBS Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, The, The Bank of Japan, U.S, London

☆ Morning Bid: Yen hangs under intervention cloud
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Banknotes of Japanese yen are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. As Europe wakes up, the yen is not far off the one-year low of 151.74 hit this week and the three-decade low of 151.94 touched last year, which triggered an intervention by Tokyo at the time. The broad yen sell-off on Tuesday came a day after the BOJ watered down its 1% yield cap on the 10-year bond. How hard the BOJ defends the so-called 1% reference will be the key question traders ask in coming days. With little on Europe's economic calendar, investors are likely to keep the focus on the Fed and yen.

Persons: Florence Lo, Ankur Banerjee, Masato Kanda, ramping, Jerome Powell, Powell, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Ankur, Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, PMI, Nationwide, GSK, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, United States

The 10-year Japanese government bond yield rose 2 basis points (bps) to 0.970%, a level last seen in May 2013, before retreating to 0.960% immediately after the BOJ announced an emergency bond-purchase operation. Tsuruta sees the tweak as a step toward the BOJ eventually exiting from negative interest rates policy, which he expects around the beginning of next year at the earliest. The two-year JGB yield had ticked up to 0.160%, while the five-year yield reached 0.480%, levels not seen since 2011. On the superlong end, the 20-year JGB yield rose to its highest since July 2013 at 1.735%. The 30-year JGB yield was up 3 bps at 1.905%.

Persons: Kim Kyung, Keisuke Tsuruta, Mitsubishi UFJ, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley, Tsuruta, James Malcolm, YCC, Malcolm said, Brigid Riley, Vidya Ranganathan, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Rights, Mitsubishi, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, UBS, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, London

A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. Central banks in Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Great Britain and the United States held no rate setting meetings. That compares to September, where three major developed central banks delivered a last-gasp set of rate hikes, which took 2023 the year-to-date tally for G10 central banks to a total of 1,150 bps across 36 hikes. Emerging markets interest rate moves in Oct 2023Meanwhile, diverging rate trajectories continued to be on display in emerging economies where 12 out of the 18 central banks in the Reuters sample held meetings in October. Central banks in Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, Thailand, Malaysia and Czech Republic did not meet in October.

Persons: Heiko Becker, Fabiana Fedeli, Barnaby Martin, Karin Strohecker, Sumanta Sen, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Canada, Fed, Bank of England, G Investments, U.S . Federal, Reuters, BofA Securities, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Central, America, Europe, Asia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Great Britain, United States, Chile, Hungary, Poland, Indonesia, Philippines, Russia, Turkey, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, Thailand, Malaysia, Czech Republic

☆ BBVA's Q3 net profit rises 13% boosted by Spain and Mexico
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Jesús Aguado | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Jon Nazca/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummaryCompanies Q3 net profit up 13% to 2.1 bln euros, slightly above forecastsQ3 NII up 22.5% to 6.4 bln euros, beating forecastsEnds quarter with capital ratio of 12.73%MADRID, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Spain's BBVA (BBVA.MC) on Tuesday posted a 13% rise in third-quarter net profit rose 13% buoyed by higher lending income in its main markets, Spain and Mexico. The third-biggest euro zone lender by market value booked a net profit of 2.08 billion euros ($2.20 billion) for the July to September period. The bottom line was slightly better than the 2 billion euros forecast by analysts polled by Reuters despite a 29% increase in loan loss provisions, which came in a bit above expectations. In Mexico, the bank's net profit rose 21% while NII climbed 30% supported by higher lending activity despite higher funding costs. In Spain, net profit rose 75%, while NII was up 62%.

Persons: Jon Nazca, NII, Jesús, Inti Landauro, Jason Neely Organizations: BBVA, REUTERS, Spain's BBVA, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Malaga, Spain, MADRID, Mexico, Europe

☆ U.S. recession risk is elevated next year without fiscal stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal stimulus added over 2% to U.S. GDP this year, but recession risk is elevated next yearBen Bennett of LGIM says if the U.S. tips into recession next year, the Fed is likely to cut a total of 200 bps to help the economy.

Persons: Ben Bennett, LGIM Locations: U.S

☆ Tesla shares drop 5% on Panasonic battery warning, down 18% since Q3 earnings report
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( Lora Kolodny | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Musk also repeatedly said, during that call, that Tesla was facing serious challenges with the start of production of its long-awaited Cybertruck. Shares have dropped about 18% since the company's earnings call Oct. 18. We believe that Tesla may have to guide to deliveries below consensus next year AND face lower margins." Bernstein, with its bearish view of Tesla, is forecasting 2.15 million deliveries from Tesla next year with earnings per share of $2.59 compared to the consensus view of 2.3 million deliveries and earnings per share of $3.30. Shares of ON Semiconductor , which supplies chips for EVs, were down 20% Monday after the company offered disappointing Q4 guidance.

Persons: Elon Musk, Porte, Tesla, Musk, It's, Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi, Bernstein, Sacconaghi Organizations: SpaceX, Tesla, Viva Technology, Porte de, Panasonic, U.S, Cybertruck, ON Semiconductor, CNBC Locations: Paris, Japan, Ortex, London

☆ Caixabank sees higher lending income in 2023 after beating forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Jesús Aguado | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SummaryCompanies Q3 net profit beats market forecastsNII 2023 growth guidance lifted to 10 bln vs 9.25 blnTargets stable NII performance in 2024MADRID, Oct 27 (Reuters) - Caixabank (CABK.MC) reported third-quarter net profit on Friday which beat forecasts, helped by higher lending income, which the Spanish bank said would rise more than 50% in 2023 compared to 2022. The bank's net interest income, earnings on loans minus deposit costs, rose 71% year-on-year in the three-months ending Sept. 30 to 2.74 billion euros ($2.89 billion), above the 2.53 billion euros analysts expected. Against that background, Caixabank revised its 2023 guidance for lending income to equal or above 10 billion euros from previously 9.25 billion euros, implying a rise of more than 50% against an net interest income (NII) of 6.55 billion euros in 2022. Broker JP Morgan welcome an "impressive" NII performance and revised guidance for lending income though noted that customer deposits were down 1.3% quarter-on-quarter. Its net profit rose 70% year-on-year to 1.52 billion euros, more than the 1.38 billion euros analysts forecast in a Reuters poll.

Persons: Caixabank, Morgan, Jesús, Inti Landauro, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: Thomson Locations: MADRID

Nabiullina also said the budget was a significant factor in Friday's decision. "It looks like today's interest rate hike front-loaded the tightening cycle in response to the fiscal announcements earlier this month," said Liam Peach, senior emerging markets economist at Capital Economics. The central bank's tightening cycle began this summer when inflationary pressure from a tight labour market, strong consumer demand and the budget deficit was compounded by the falling rouble. But the bank set its 2023 key rate range at 15-15.2%, suggesting rates could climb further and Nabiullina said that may be required. Sinara Investment Bank analyst Sergei Konygin said the lack of forward hawkish guidance meant it was highly likely the key rate had already reached its upper boundary.

Persons: Elvira Nabiullina, Nabiullina, Liam Peach, Dmitry Polevoy, Sergei Konygin, Vladimir Soldatkin, Elena Fabrichnaya, Alexander Marrow, Gareth Jones, Mark Trevelyan, John Stonestreet, Mike Harrison Organizations: Bank, Russia, Bank of Russia, Capital Economics, Reuters, Sinara Investment Bank, Thomson Locations: Russia, Ukraine MOSCOW, Ukraine, Moscow, Locko, London

By 1417 GMT, the rouble was 0.4% stronger against the dollar at 93.57 , earlier reaching 92.5100, its strongest point since Sept. 12. "We expect that by the end of the year the rouble exchange rate will be trading in the range of 94-98 per dollar, 99-104 per euro and 12.8-13.4 per yuan," Vasilyev said. CURRENCY CONTROLSMonth-end tax payments, due on Oct. 30, which usually see exporters convert foreign exchange (FX) revenue to pay domestic liabilities, have supported the rouble in recent days. The rouble has strengthened from beyond 100 to the dollar since the decree was announced. "The specific impact of currency restrictions on the dynamics of the exchange rate will be insignificant in our opinion," she said.

Persons: Mikhail Vasilyev, Vasilyev, Yevgeny Suvorov, Suvorov, Vladimir Putin's, Elvira Nabiullina, Brent, Alexander Marrow, Mark Potter, Christopher Cushing, Deborah Kyvrikosaios, Gareth Jones Organizations: Bank, Bank of Russia, FX, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Russia, Ukraine MOSCOW, Moscow, London

☆ Big central banks hit pause, with rate cuts far off
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

On Oct. 23, Fed Chair Jay Powell said a strong economy and tight jobs market could warrant more rate rises. Interest rate futures show traders believe the BoE will not cut rates, now at their highest since 2008, until at least June 2024. "The Governing Council’s past interest rate increases continue to be transmitted forcefully into financing conditions," the ECB said, adding it would follow a "data-dependent" approach and future decisions would be based on incoming data. Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Stoere told parliament last week interest rates may have peaked. Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics8) AUSTRALIAThe Reserve Bank of Australia held rates steady at 4.1% for a fourth meeting in October.

Persons: Jonathan Ernst, Jay Powell, BoE, Jonas Gahr Stoere, Michele Bullock, Naomi Rovnick, Harry Robertson, Alun John, Yoruk Bahceli, Samuel Indyk, Chiara Elisei, Kripa Jayaram, Pasit, Riddhima, Sumanta Sen, Vineet, Amanda Cooper, Giles Elgood Organizations: . Federal, REUTERS, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, UNITED, Reuters, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, BRITAIN, Bank of Canada, BoC, ECB, Norges Bank, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Washington, Japan, hawkish, dovish, NORWAY, SWEDEN Sweden, SWITZERLAND, Swiss, Gaza, JAPAN

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