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We're going to have a soft landing, says BMO's Brian Belski
  + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're going to have a soft landing, says BMO's Brian BelskiEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's head of equity derivatives and cross-asset, and Brian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the possibility of a late-year rally, the outlook for interest rates, and more.
Persons: Brian Belski Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's, Brian Belski Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
NEW YORK, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The dollar rose sharply on Thursday after U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in September, lifted by an elevated cost of rent that raised the prospect of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates high for some time. The consumer price index increased 0.4% last month, with a 0.6% jump in the cost of shelter accounting for more than half of the rise. The dollar rose more than 1% against sterling, and the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Owners' equivalent rent, a measure of the amount homeowners would pay to rent or would earn from renting their property, rose even though non-official sources show a decline in rental prices. Thursday's CPI release came after Wednesday's mixed report on U.S. producer prices, and minutes from the Fed's September meeting.
Persons: Douglas Porter, Bipan Rai, Thierry Wizman, Wizman, BoE, Wednesday's, Herbert Lash, Alun John, Ankur Banerjee, Emelia Sithole, Mark Potter, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, BMO Capital Markets, Reuters, New, CIBC Capital Markets, Fed, Bank of England, CPI, Swiss, Thomson Locations: Oakville, Canada, New Zealand, North America, Toronto, New York, London, Bengaluru, Singapore
Target — The retailer rose 2.8% after Bank of America upgraded Target to buy from neutral. ResMed — The medtech device stock slipped 2% after a downgrade by RBC Capital Markets to sector perform from outperform. Plug Power — The battery stock added 1.2% after JPMorgan added the company to its positive catalyst watchlist, and highlighted potential near-term upside. First Solar — Stock in the solar panel maker added nearly 4% following an upgrade to overweight from Barclays, with analyst Christine Cho highlighting an attractive valuation. Domino's Pizza — Shares of the pizza delivery company slipped more than 3% on mixed third-quarter results.
Persons: ResMed, Christine Cho, Warby Parker, Janine Stichter, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox, Pia Singh, Yun Li Organizations: Ford —, United Auto Workers, Target, Bank of America, Walgreens, Delta Air Lines, Delta, RBC Capital Markets, RBC, JPMorgan, Barclays, BTIG, BMO Capital Markets Locations: Kentucky, U.S
BMO promotes Alan Tannenbaum to head capital markets division
  + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A Bank of Montreal (BMO) logo is seen outside of a branch in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, February 14, 2019. Tannenbaum joined BMO in 2010 and has held multiple leadership roles, most recently leading global investment and corporate banking, where he worked with corporate, government and financial sponsor clients worldwide. Before then, he headed the global corporate finance solutions group, where he was responsible for capital raising activities. CEO Darryl White said Tannenbaum is "well-positioned to capture new growth opportunities" for BMO Capital Markets. Brad Chapin will take over for Tannenbaum as global head, investment and corporate banking on an interim basis, BMO said.
Persons: Chris Wattie, Alan Tannenbaum, Dan Barclay, Tannenbaum, Darryl White, Barclay, White, Brad Chapin, Nivedita Balu, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: of Montreal, BMO, REUTERS, Companies Bank of Montreal, Bank of Montreal, BMO Capital Markets, Lehman Brothers, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, TORONTO, London, New York, Toronto
U.S. stock futures were near the flat line on Monday night as Wall Street assessed the impact and risks of a protracted conflict from the Israel-Hamas war. Futures linked to the S&P 500 ticked down 0.01%, while Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.07%. In the wake of the attacks, investors have also raised concerns of how tougher sanctions on Iran could affect global oil supply. Tightened sanctions on Iran and subsequent disruptions to Iran's oil supply "would have more of an impact on oil markets," said BMO Capital Markets chief investment officer Yung-Yu Ma. "I think the oil markets have a little bit of a buffer here.
Persons: Dow, Brent, Meera Pandit, Yung, Yu Ma, Ma Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, West, Energy, Israel, West Bank, Asset Management, Capital Markets, Investors Locations: Israel, West Texas, Aqsa, Gaza, Iran
Still, he said it's "healthy" for a company like Eli Lilly — valued over $500 billion, as of Thursday — to be executing smaller deals. "They can still put their mark on an asset or a constellation of drugs," said Seigerman, who has a buy rating and $633-per-share price target on Eli Lilly stock. LLY 1Y mountain Eli Lilly's stock performance over the past 12 months. Details on the deals The three companies Eli Lilly bought this summer have drugs in various stages of the clinical development process. In the near term, though, they may result in a noisy third-quarter earnings report as Eli Lilly records the acquisitions.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Mounjaro, Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly's, Lilly, , Verzenio, Evan Seigerman, Eli Lilly —, Seigerman, Lilly's, Dice, Versanis, Sigilon, that's, BMO's Seigerman, Eli, we'd, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Daniel Acker Organizations: Indianapolis, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, BMO Capital, Immunology, Therapeutics, Siligon Therapeutics, Oncology, Club, Department of Health, Human Services, Dice Therapeutics, Alzheimer's, Treasury, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty
Investors looking for safety amid the market turbulence can find it in certain dividend stocks, according to BMO Capital Markets. "One of the benefits of a dividend-focused investment strategy, such as our Dividend MFR [Dividend Multi-Factor Rank] model, is its ability to combat high levels of volatility and protect against market losses," Brian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO, wrote in a note last week. Pioneer Natural Resources has a whopping 7.6% dividend yield. Meanwhile, Eli Lilly has a 0.9% dividend yield. Lastly, tech giant Microsoft made the cut with its 0.9% dividend yield.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, Howard Schultz, Eli Lilly, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Treasury, Natural Resources, West Texas, Starbucks, Microsoft Locations: ChatGPT
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email2025 looks like a great year for fundamentals in real estate, says BMO's John KimJohn Kim, analyst at BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how REITs typically perform with higher bond yields, the underlying financing for new or existing developments, and places to hide in the real estate sector.
Persons: BMO's John Kim John Kim Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
The Art Deco facade of the original Toronto Stock Exchange building is seen on Bay Street in Toronto, Ontario, Canada January 23, 2019. Rate-sensitive utilities (.GSPTTUT) fell nearly 3%, leading declines amid a dramatic run-up in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields that hit 16-year highs. "U.S. Treasury yields continue to march higher and that's just crushing the dividend-paying stocks like utilities in Canada," said Douglas Porter, chief economist of BMO Capital Markets. The S&P Global Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to a seasonally adjusted 47.5 last month, from 48.0 in August. Reporting by Siddarth S in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh Kuber and Shweta AgarwalOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Chris Helgren, Douglas Porter, Eric Provost, Siddarth, Shailesh Kuber, Shweta Agarwal Organizations: Toronto Stock Exchange, REUTERS, TSX, Treasury, Toronto Stock, Materials, Brent, U.S . West Texas, BMO Capital Markets, Data, P Global Canada Manufacturing, Laurentian Bank, Thomson Locations: Toronto , Ontario, Canada, U.S, Bengaluru
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding the volatile food and energy components, edged up 0.1% last month. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the core PCE price index would climb 0.2%. In the 12 months through August, the so-called core PCE price index increased 3.9%. It was the first time since June 2021 that the annual core PCE price index was below 4.0%. In the 12 months through August, the PCE price index advanced 3.5% after gaining 3.4% in July.
Persons: Conrad DeQuadros, Bing Guan, David Russell, Scott Anderson, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Brean, Reuters, University of Michigan, Consumers, REUTERS, Treasury, Financial, BMO Capital Markets, Retailers, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, SoHo, New York City, San Francisco
Durable goods are seen on sale in a store in Los Angeles, California, U.S., March 24, 2017. Part of the surprise increase in durable goods orders reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday, however, likely reflected higher prices as inflation picked up last month. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast durable goods orders falling 0.5% last month. These so-called core capital goods orders were previously reported to have edged up 0.1% in July. Core capital goods shipments rebounded 0.7% after falling 0.3% in July.
Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Priscilla Thiagamoorthy, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, BMO Capital Markets, Reuters, Machinery, Institute, Supply, PMI, United Auto Workers, General Motors Co, Ford, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, WASHINGTON, Toronto, muddle
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Brian Belski, Bryn Talkington, and Emily RolandBrian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, Bryn Talkington, Requisite Capital Management managing partner, and Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the state of the markets.
Persons: Brian Belski, Bryn Talkington, Emily Roland Brian Belski, Emily Roland, John Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Bryn, Capital Management, John Hancock Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThird-quarter earnings will be pretty good, says BMO's Brian BelskiBrian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss drops in the indexes, the trajectory of next year's energy costs, and more.
Persons: Brian Belski Brian Belski Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
Retail sector is in a 'limbo state': BMO's Simeon Siegel
  + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRetail sector is in a 'limbo state': BMO's Simeon SiegelSimeon Siegel, senior analyst at BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the rough week for retail stock, their future, and more.
Persons: BMO's Simeon Siegel Simeon Siegel Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInterest rates stay higher because the economy's good and stocks are following suit: BMO's BelskiBrian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how the economy evades elevated rate risks, whether macroeconomic pressures could impact seasonality, and more.
Persons: BMO's, Brian Belski Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
The Canadian central bank had expected productivity, or output per hour worked, to improve as the economy recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic. Instead, it has fallen in eleven of the last 12 quarters, taking it back to its 2016 level. It also stands to add to unit labor costs, a key measure of inflation pressures coming from higher wages. "Our own forecast is that productivity growth will turn around, but that is a risk to the outlook and if productivity growth continues declining it will make it more difficult to get inflation back to target," Macklem said. The central bank has forecast that inflation will return to its 2% target in the middle of 2025.
Persons: Macklem, Derek Holt, tightens, Holt, Dennis Darby, Doug Porter, Fergal Smith, Steve Scherer, Deepa Babington Organizations: Bank of Canada, Reuters Graphics Reuters, BoC, Scotiabank, Federal Reserve, Canadian Manufacturers, Fraser Institute, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Canadian, Canada, freefall, United States, Toronto, Ottawa
"Instead, we have found that returns tend to be slightly below average and interestingly a bit less volatile compared to lower interest rate levels." "Our work shows that US stocks can perform quite well in a higher interest rate environment despite perceptions to the contrary," Belski wrote. US interest rates are set between 5.25% and 5.5%, which is the highest range since mid-2007. Federal ReserveAfter decades of dormancy, it's unsurprising that many investors have misconceptions about interest rates' impact on stocks. Investors can continue to ride this market rally by targeting stocks with limited leverage and plenty of free cash flow since interest rates are still high.
Persons: Brian Belski, they've, Belski, they're Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Federal, Technology, BMO Capital, BMO wasn't, Investors
Wall Street is becoming more comfortable with the story line that interest rates are set to remain higher for longer, according to BMO Capital Markets. While often thought of as a death knell for equities, BMO's chief investment strategist Brian Belski posits that the prospect of higher interest rates won't entirely upend stock prices. Instead, he says, investors need to be pickier and should eye businesses with less leverage and strong free cash flow. "Nonetheless, not all areas of the market are created equal within the context of higher interest rates," Belski said. CRM YTD mountain Salesforce stock.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, San, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Federal, AMD, Adobe, BMO, Chevron Locations: San Ramon , California
The recent pullback in First Solar shares has created an attractive entry point, according to BMO Capital Markets. Analyst Ameet Thakkar upgraded shares to outperform from market perform. "FSLR stock has declined by an unwarranted degree following its recent Analyst Day in our view. Underperformance has accelerated since the company's positive analyst day on Sept. 7, with the stock losing about 5% since. BMO views First Solar as a winner under the Inflation Reduction Act, which it believes will help the company's earnings power.
Persons: Ameet, Thakkar, Underperformance, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, U.S, PTC Locations: Wednesday's
AMC Entertainment — Shares of the movie theater chain jumped 5% in premarket trading after AMC said it had completed the equity offering it announced earlier this month. The company said it sold 40 million shares at an average price of $8.14, raising about $325.5 million. In the second quarter, the company earned 11 cents a share, after adjustments, exceeding analysts' expectations of 2 cents per share, according to FactSet. Penn Entertainment — The sports betting stock climbed 3% in premarket trading following a short-term buy call from Deutsche Bank. The conglomerate sold about 5.5 million shares of HP, worth around $158 million.
Persons: Wolfe, Semtech, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Shawn Fain, Jim Farley, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Yun Li, Tanaya Macheel, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh Organizations: AMC, Wolfe Research, Penn Entertainment, Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Brent, Occidental Petroleum, HP —, HP, Berkshire, General Motors, Ford —, United Auto Workers, Ford Locations: China, Devon, Omaha
The dollar index , which tracks the currency against six peers including yen, euro and sterling, held firm, though moves were subdued, up 0.13% to 104.73, as traders awaited the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) reading for August. The release comes just a week before Federal Reserve officials gather to decide on interest rate policy. The euro fell 0.2% to $1.0731 as markets raised their bets on further ECB rate hikes despite recent data showing the decline in euro zone business activity accelerated faster than initially thought last month. A source told Reuters that the ECB expects inflation in the 20-nation euro zone to remain above 3% next year, bolstering the case for a 10th consecutive interest rate increase on Thursday. YEN RETRACES GAINSThe yen fell as traders further digested comments from Japan's top central banker on a possible early exit from its negative interest rate policy.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, CME's, BoE, Stephen Gallo, Jim Reid, Deutsche Bank . Sterling, YEN RETRACES, Hiroshige Seko, Kazuo Ueda's, Ueda, Joice Alves, Brigid Riley, Alison Williams, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, Sterling, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Federal, ECB, FX, BMO Capital Markets, U.S, CPI, Reuters, Deutsche Bank ., Bank of Japan, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S, Japan, London, Tokyo
Shares of Adobe entered Tuesday's session up 11.5% since the Aug. 18 close, and now two Wall Street firms — BMO Capital Markets and Wells Fargo — hiked their price targets on Adobe stock, implying further upside ahead. Investors who are itching to buy Adobe (ADBE) should wait until the software maker reports quarterly results later this week, CNBC's Jim Cramer said Tuesday. "I think if you don't own Adobe by now, you might just want to wait." If you like this story, sign up for Jim Cramer's Top 10 Morning Thoughts on the Market email newsletter for free. "I think it's a really good company," added Cramer, who called Adobe the No.
Persons: Wells Fargo —, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Organizations: Adobe, BMO Capital Markets, Wells, Oracle, Trust, CNBC, Club
File photo: A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto, January 23, 2015. The loonie was trading 0.4% higher at 1.3620 to the greenback, or 73.42 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3609 to 1.3689. Money markets see a 44% chance of another BoC rate hike by year-end, up from 36% before the data. The jobs data is "not strong enough to prompt an immediate rethink on the pause, but it's also certainly not soft enough to rule out further hikes", Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note. The Canadian 2-year yield rose 3.3 basis points to 4.643%, while the gap between it and its U.S. equivalent narrowed by 5 basis points to 29.5 basis points in favor of the U.S. note.
Persons: Mark Blinch, it's, Doug Porter, Fergal Smith, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, greenback, Canadian, U.S, Bank of Canada, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, U.S ., Thomson Locations: Toronto, Canada, TORONTO
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem takes part in a news conference after announcing an interest rate decision in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada April 12, 2023. The central bank hiked rates by a quarter point in both June and July in a bid to tame stubbornly high inflation, which has remained above the bank's 2% target for 27 months. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem will deliver a speech and hold a press conference to discuss the decision on Thursday. Reuters GraphicsLiberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's support has sagged amid high inflation as his Conservative rival, Pierre Poilievre, hammered him for fueling inflation with government spending and driving up rates during a housing crisis. "The Bank of Canada's decision to maintain its overnight interest rate is welcome relief for Canadians," Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland said in a statement.
Persons: Blair Gable, Doug Porter, Andrew Kelvin, Justin Trudeau's, Pierre Poilievre, Chrystia Freeland, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren, Fergal Smith, Ismail Shakil, Divya Rajagopal, Nivedita Balu, Mark Porter Organizations: Canada, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Canada, Wednesday, Governing, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, Canadian, Reuters, TD Securities, Reuters Graphics Liberal, Conservative, Finance, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple falls on report of China restricted iPhone usage. Here's what the pros sayJoe Terranova of Virtus Investment Partners, Brian Belski of BMO Capital Markets, Steve Weiss of Short Hills Capital and Toni Sacconaghi of Bernstein discussed Apple after the Wall Street Journal reported that China restricted the use of foreign-branded devices, including iPhones by its government officials.
Persons: Joe Terranova, Brian Belski, Steve Weiss, Toni Sacconaghi, Bernstein Organizations: Virtus Investment Partners, BMO Capital Markets, Short Hills Capital, Apple, Wall Street Journal Locations: China
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