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☆ Home advantage? Why investors may want to avoid the international trade
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-15 | by ( Lina Hassen | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors may want to reduce international exposure right now and stick with the home court. "One of the highest predicting factors for [the] future performance of international stocks versus U.S stocks is what the U.S dollar does," Arthur told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. "From 2011 to 2022, the dollar was in a straight bull market, so you were gonna lose in international equities no matter what you did." That's a perfect setup where we're going to be cutting rates before the rest of the world. That's where the catalysts will have to be to see value come back, to see international come back [and] to see emerging come back."

Persons: Kim Arthur, Arthur, CNBC's, Mike Akins, Akins, I'm Organizations: Main Management, U.S, Bank, Microsoft, Apple Locations: U.S

☆ Investors count on upward market momentum in the week ahead as earnings rain down
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Stocks could continue to gain momentum in the week ahead as traders turn their attention to earnings results after the past week's softer inflation news. The major benchmarks are headed for a positive week Friday after encouraging consumer and wholesale inflation in June cemented the likelihood that the Federal Reserve is closer to the end of its rate-hiking campaign. Some market participants expect this period could mark the trough for earnings, and urge traders to pay more attention to forward guidance. "And that's a great sign for the market and market health." ET: NAHB housing market index (July) Earnings: Bank of America , Morgan Stanley , Bank of N.Y. Mellon , Lockheed Martin , PNC Financial , J.B. Hunt Wednesday 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Sage, Rob Williams, Sam Stovall, gee, Stovall, It's, Yung, Yu Ma, MRB, Sage Advisory's Williams, Williams, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Baird's Ross Mayfield, Lockheed Martin, Baker Hughes, Goldman Sachs, Kinder Morgan, Equifax, Johnson Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Reserve, Open, BMO Wealth Management's, MRB Partners, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Investors, Bank, N.Y, Mellon, Lockheed, PNC Financial, J.B, Hunt, Housing, Nasdaq, Citizens Financial, Halliburton, Las Vegas Sands, IBM, Tesla, Netflix, American Airlines, United Airlines, CSX, Comerica, PPG, Roper Technologies, American Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon Valley, Las Vegas, Horton

☆ Morgan Stanley: These 37 stocks are the emerging leaders of the global AI arms race, and will see double the profit growth of the broader market over the next 3 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A July 6 report from Morgan Stanley lists the leading companies set to benefit from GenAI. According to the report, the total addressable market for AI technology is expected to triple from $90 billion to $275 billion in the next four years. This will result in continued sales and earnings growth within the industry over the next five to 10 years, which will directly benefit the AI leaders Morgan Stanley identified. Below are the 37 leading names that provide AI technology in various sectors. Each stock includes its category, Morgan Stanley's price targets displayed in local currencies, and whether it has an overweight or underweight rating from Morgan Stanley analysts.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Shawn Kim, Kim, they're Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft

☆ Deutsche Bank: These are the 29 top stock picks for the next 12 months, from a list that's outperformed the S&P 500 over the last six years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-11 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Deutsche Bank analysts recently shared their 29 top stock picks for the next 12 months. Upcoming rate hikes and a looming recession have kept investors apprehensive about the future of the stock market — but not enough to impede the ongoing bull rally. 29 top stock picks for the next yearIn a report from July 7, Deutsche Bank analysts updated their quarterly Fresh Money List, which reflects their top investment ideas to hold over the next twelve months. Since the creation of this list in 2017, Deutsche Bank's basket of stocks has outperformed the S&P 500, returning 167% versus the S&P's 124% gain. The full list of Deutsche Bank's updated basket is below, along with each company's ticker, market capitalization, price target, sector, and respective analyst commentary.

Persons: That's, Charles Schwab's Joe Mazzola, Dave Sekera, Diane Jaffee Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq, Deutsche

All eyes will be on U.S. inflation data this week that will feed into the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later in the month. A Reuters poll of economists showed they suspect that growth in consumer prices likely slowed in June. Most megacap technology and growth stocks, valuations in which come under pressure when borrowing costs rise, eased in premarket trading, with Apple (AAPL.O) and Alphabet (GOOGL.O) down 0.7% each. Overall, earnings for the S&P 500 constituents are expected to fall 5.7% in the second quarter, Refintiv data showed. ET, Dow e-minis were up 19 points, or 0.06%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 4.5 points, or 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 41.25 points, or 0.27%.

Persons: Carl Icahn, Wall, JPMorgan Chase, Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Li Auto, Johann M Cherian, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty Organizations: Citigroup, Dow, Nasdaq, Traders, Apple, JPMorgan, Swissquote Bank, Dow e, China Association of Auto Manufacturers, Ichan Enterprises, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Wall St Week Ahead As earnings loom, investors weigh recession resilience
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The financials sector is down 2%, while energy is nearly 9% lower. These unloved sectors are growing attractive to investors increasingly torn over whether a long-feared U.S. recession will ever materialize. Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial noted a "tug of war" in the market over the likelihood of a recession. The healthcare sector trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.6, well below the 20.1 ratio of the broad S&P 500. Yet a continued rally in megacaps will likely stretch their valuations further, prompting some investors to rotate toward healthcare and financials, LPL Financial's Krosby said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Quincy Krosby, Sameer Samana, Max Wasserman, Financials, Tom Ognar, Morgan Stanley, John Quealy, Financial's Krosby, David Randall, Megan Davies, Michelle Price, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Global, BofA, Commerce Department, LPL Financial, Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, FINANCIALS, Miramar Capital, Abbott Laboratories, Allspring Global Investments, LPL Financial Holdings Inc, Trillium Asset Management, Russell, Thomson Locations: U.S, BlackRock, Wells Fargo, megacaps

☆ History shows Wall Street can sustain its first half advance. How Jim Cramer is playing it
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

While together, the Nasdaq's nearly 20% annual gain in 1983 was quite respectable, the second half was clearly less fruitful. "I don't like the setup now for the beginning of the second half, although I think the second half could be strong." .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD peformance For the broader S & P 500, recent history suggests that its first-half strength, rising almost 16%, could be built on over the next six months. "That's why I think a strong first half tends to carry over into a strong second half." Stovall said he can envision some choppiness ahead for the S & P 500.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Wells, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Stocks, tech's, Sam Stovall Sam Stovall, Stovall, UBS Global Wealth Management Claudia Panseri, Claudia Panseri, Panseri, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Procter & Gamble, Club, JPMorgan, Big Tech, FactSet, Federal Reserve, CFRA Research, CNBC, UBS Global Wealth Management, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S

☆ UBS shares 9 charts that show global stocks are barreling towards a sell-off as recession fears flare
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

But UBS analysts are expecting that global equity valuations will sell off later this year. Stocks may be riding the ongoing bull rally back to all-time highs, but that doesn't mean Wall Street's fears of an economic downturn have completely dissipated. In fact, even prominent investors such as Evercore founder Roger Altman have called for a recession by the end of 2023. And according to analysts at UBS investment bank, a potential market sell-off wouldn't be solely concentrated in the technology sector. In the note, Baweja and his team also shared nine "essential" charts showing why they expect equities to sell off this year.

Persons: Roger Altman, Joe Mazzola — Charles Schwab's, —, Bhano Baweja, Baweja Organizations: UBS

☆ Garcia: Look at other areas of the market outside of tech, like industrials
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGarcia: Look at other areas of the market outside of tech, like industrialsCourtney Garcia, Senior Wealth Advisor at Payne Capital Management, discusses where she sees opportunity in the markets outside of mega-cap technology.

Persons: Garcia, industrials Courtney Garcia Organizations: Payne Capital Management

☆ S&P 500, Nasdaq futures rise in run-up to Fed rate verdict
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( Reuters Staff | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

(Reuters) -The S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures edged higher on Wednesday as investors overwhelmingly expect the Federal Reserve to pause its monetary tightening campaign later in the day. FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 5, 2023. U.S. stocks have rallied in recent weeks, pushing the benchmark S&P 500 and Nasdaq to 14-month highs, boosted by signs of economic resilience, an upbeat earnings season and hopes that interest rates were near their peak. ET, Dow e-minis were down 42 points, or 0.12%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 7 points, or 0.16%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 17.75 points, or 0.12%. Tesla Inc added 2.0% as the electric-vehicle maker slightly increased the price of its Model Y car in the United States.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, ”, Richard Flynn, Charles Schwab, Jerome, Humana Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Traders, Nasdaq, Dow e, Services, Tesla, United Health Group, CVS Health Locations: New York City, U.S, United States

☆ US stocks end mixed after Fed signals more rate hikes to come
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( Noel Randewich | Sruthi Shankar | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 5, 2023. Traders now see a 63% chance the central bank will raise interest rates in July, up from 60% earlier on Wednesday, according to the CME Fedwatch tool. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained 3.83 points, or 0.09%, to end at 4,372.84 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 53.16 points, or 0.39%, to 13,626.48. The S&P 500 health sector index and the S&P 500 managed healthcare index both fell. The S&P 500 is up about 14% so far in 2023, while the Nasdaq has climbed about 30%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, ”, Sam Stovall Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Market, CFRA Research, Traders, Nvidia, Broadcom, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, UnitedHealth, Universal Health Services, HCA Healthcare Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Closes in Bull Market as Tech Stocks Lift Indexes
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. stocks rose, with the S&P entering a new bull market , as shares of big technology and consumer-discretionary companies led Thursday's rally. Major indexes have powered higher over the past few months, in large part due to a handful of megacap technology companies posting outsized gains. Many of the S&P 500 stocks up the most this year rose further Thursday. The S&P 500 added 0.6%, just above the level it needed to close at to mark the start of a bull market. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.3% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 retreated 0.9%.

Persons: Tesla Organizations: Nvidia, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow, GameStop, Treasury, Nikkei Locations: Iran, Islamic Republic, Europe

☆ Behold Wall Street's new bull market, maybe
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Part of the uncertainty is that there is no set definition of a bull or bear market, or any sort of regulatory body that declares one, such as the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) does with recessions. The most commonly accepted definition is a 20% rise off a low for a bull market and a 20% decline from a high for a bear market, but even that is open to interpretation. "I just think it was a blip within a longer-term bear market." "Certainly it's a bull market in big-cap technology. I wouldn't call it a bull market in a broad market sense, because there are only certain stocks that are really in what we would call bull market territory, and it's just not a broad enough move to call it a sustainable bull market," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist Ingalls & Snyder in New York.

Persons: Howard Silverblatt, Dow, Silverblatt, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Dan Suzuki, Richard Bernstein, Suzuki, it's, Tim Ghriskey, Ingalls, Snyder, Ned Davis, Chuck Mikolajczak, Noel Randewich, Lewis Organizations: YORK, National Bureau of Economic Research, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Dow Jones, Richard, Richard Bernstein Advisors, Nvidia, Ned Davis Research, Thomson Locations: New York

☆ 'I think we have to let it run,' Cramer says of this industrial powerhouse
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Watch Eli Lilly Eli Lilly (LLY) is set to present data on its earlier-stage diabetes-and-obesity drugs in the coming weeks, offering another potential upside catalyst for a stock that's already climbed nearly 40% over the past three months. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Caterpillar Watch Eli Lilly, Jim, Eli Lilly Eli Lilly, it's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Caterpillar Watch, Nasdaq, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Caterpillar Construction, Caterpillar, Diabetes

☆ Goldman Sachs: Hedge fund managers' favorite stocks have beaten the market this year — here are the 50 companies they're most confident in right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Goldman Sachs shared the 50 stocks that hedge fund managers are bullish on now. "Mega-cap tech has been a performance tailwind for hedge funds," Kostin wrote in the note. 50 stocks that hedge funds love nowAlthough mimicking hedge fund managers' every move hasn't been a winning strategy in 2023, investing in just their favorite picks would have led to significant outperformance. Hedge fund managers' top holdings have risen 17% year-to-date, which is even better than the S&P 500's gain. Goldman Sachs recently analyzed the top holdings of 740 hedge funds that have a combined $2.2 trillion in equities.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, it's, Kostin, Russell, hasn't Organizations: Mutual

"That would suggest that core prices will come down, albeit at a much slower rate than originally thought." ET, Dow e-minis were up 31 points, or 0.09%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 2.75 points, or 0.06%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 17 points, or 0.12%. Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW.O) climbed 4.6% as the cybersecurity firm looks set to replace Dish Network (DISH.O) in the S&P 500 index. Apple Inc (AAPL.O) rose 1.0% ahead of its annual software developer conference, where it is widely expected to announce a new mixed-reality headset. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Shristi Achar A in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Michael Hewson, Loretta Mester, Sruthi Shankar, Shristi, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Wall, Traders, CMC Markets, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Fed Cleveland, Dow e, . Energy, Exxon Mobil Corp, Chevron Corp, Schlumberger Ltd, Saudi, Palo Alto Networks, Dish Network, Big, Wall Street Journal, Bank of America Corp, Citigroup Inc, Apple Inc, Thomson Locations: Saudi Arabia, U.S, Washington, Big U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Friday's kind of broad rally has eluded Wall Street for quite some time. We hope it has legs
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-03 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Club name and Dow stock Caterpillar (CAT) was one of the leaders, soaring more than 8% and accounting for over 100 points of the 30-stock average's 700-point surge. Meanwhile, the tech darlings that have recently propelled the market higher — including top-performing Club stocks Nvidia (NVDA) and Meta Platforms (META) — took a relative backseat Friday. For that reason, it's a hopeful sign to see other sectors walk the runway in the Wall Street fashion show Friday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Jim Cramer, —, industrials, Jim, haven't, Meta, OpenAI, it's, Dow, Jim Cramer's, Luke Sharrett Organizations: Dow, Caterpillar, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, fellow Club, Halliburton, HAL, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft, Big Tech, FactSet, industrials Honeywell, Emerson Electric, Natural Resources, Linde, LIN, CNBC, Whayne, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S, Louisville , Kentucky

☆ History says stocks could rise 22% in the next year as the market rally builds momentum — and investors can profit by buying these 11 stocks, according to BMO Capital Markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-03 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

But leading strategists at BMO don't see that narrow breadth as a serious concern. Investors shouldn't be too unsettled by the bad breadth in the stock market this year, according to top strategists at BMO Capital Markets. BMO Capital MarketsThose tech giants have beaten the broader market each of the first five months of 2023 and have crushed the S&P 500 overall. BMO Capital Markets"We found that narrow market breadth in general does not represent a bad omen for S&P 500 performance despite the contrary narrative being pushed by many investors," Belski wrote. Such scenarios have put the S&P 500 in positive territory 100% of the time in the following three and six months, with returns of at least 6%, Belski noted.

Persons: Brian Belski, Belski Organizations: BMO, BMO Capital Markets, Microsoft, Nvidia, BMO Capital

☆ GOLDMAN SACHS: Buy these 16 stocks that growth funds are betting big on — and reaping the rewards in 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-28 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Goldman Sachs identified the tech stocks that mutual funds are betting big on right now. Diversified mutual funds aren't supposed to have more than 5% of their assets in any one stock. According to the Investment Company Act of 1940, diversified mutual funds aren't supposed to have more than 5% of their assets invested in any one company — otherwise, they aren't diversified. But that can be difficult when Big Tech stocks comprise such a large portion of indexes across the market. The following 16 tech stocks are overweights in the more-than 500 mutual funds that Goldman Sachs evaluates.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Debt ceiling deal may shift investor focus to further Fed action
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Megacap technology and growth stocks, which benefit from lower interest rates, have led the market's advance. A Congressional package raising the debt ceiling, meanwhile, is expected to cap spending on government programs. The debt ceiling impasse had weighed on stocks in recent days, but for the most part investors had been expecting Washington to reach a deal. At the same time, the equity market has only just begun to start pricing in more Fed hikes, she added. "The ongoing effects of monetary policy now are setting us up for this wall of debt that people aren't talking about with enough vigor," he said.

☆ A fund manager for institutional clients shares the offensive and defensive strategies she uses to build portfolios that can navigate all conditions and last generations — plus what all investors can
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Menon has discretion over several institutional clients' portfolios including endowments, foundations, pensions, and healthcare institutions. Regardless of expectations, Menon emphasizes that it's hard to build a portfolio around any particular macroeconomic outcome. This means creating a portfolio that prioritizes offensive assets through equities while adding defensive securities, she noted. When it comes to defensive positions, the two most important things a portfolio needs protection against are inflation and deflation. "Private equity would fall more in the space of offense in terms of generating long-term growth in a portfolio," Menon said.

☆ Shun mega-cap tech stocks as a 'big asset bubble' is building in growth shares, Bank of America's top strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors should avoid piling into mega-cap tech stocks, according to BofA's Savita Subramanian. "You don't want to buy mega-cap tech. Her views come despite a blistering rally in Big Tech stocks this year amid hype over artificial intelligence. Tech stocks have kicked off 2023 with a bang, with Big Tech shares including Meta and Amazon stock soaring in price. While Subramanian noted that AI is a bullish pocket of the tech industry, she suggested it's not a convincing enough driver for mega-cap tech stocks.

☆ Tech is the 'most crowded trade' as stock-market bearishness rises to the highest levels so far this year
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors are loading up on mega-cap tech stocks as they turn more bearish, according to Bank of America. The bank said tech is the "most crowded trade" followed by shorting banks and shorting the US dollar. Sign up for our newsletter to get the inside scoop on what traders are talking about — delivered daily to your inbox. According to Bank of America's global fund manager survey, tech stocks are the "most crowded trade" on Wall Street as bearishness towards the broader stock market hits its highest level so far this year. Mega-cap tech stocks have a war chest of cash and a wide moat around their businesses that in the past have enabled steady growth during periods of economic weakness.

The Labor Department's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 4.9% in April from a year ago and compared with expectations of a 5% increase. "You still have a reasonably strong economy and rates that are not going any higher." ET, Dow e-minis were up 181 points, or 0.54%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 33.75 points, or 0.82%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 116.25 points, or 0.88%. Shares of regional banks rose after a few volatile sessions last week on concerns about the health of the sector. Oil and gas producer Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY.N) fell 0.9% after its first-quarter earnings fell short of analysts' estimates.

Large-cap technology stocks, including Apple Inc (AAPL.O) and Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O), dipped about 0.4% each in premarket trading. ET, Dow e-minis were down 62 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 7.25 points, or 0.18%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 25.25 points, or 0.19%. PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) fell 2.5%, while Zions Bancorporation (ZION.O) and Western Alliance Bank (WAL.N) inched up 0.7% and 0.6%, respectively. Oil and gas producer Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY.N) fell 1.5% after its first-quarter earnings fell short of analysts' estimates. Airbnb Inc (ABNB.O) lost 13.5% as the vacation rental booking company saw fewer bookings and lower average daily rates in the second quarter.

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