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Prices of safe-haven gold edged higher on Thursday, supported by Middle East tensions and optimism surrounding U.S. rate cuts, while traders awaited economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory. Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, supported by firm safe-haven demand and growing expectations for a sizeable interest rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve in September. Spot gold rose 1.27% to settle at $2,463.3. Brokerages including J.P.Morgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo have forecast a 50-basis-point interest rate cut by the Fed in September after last week's U.S. jobs data. Gold prices fell as much as 3% on Monday, caught in a global sell-off driven by fears of a U.S. recession.
Persons: Alex Ebkarian, Bullion Organizations: Federal, U.S . Federal Reserve, J.P.Morgan, Citigroup, Fed Locations: Iran, Israel, Wells, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCorrection in the yen was overdue, former European Central Bank chief Trichet saysJean-Claude Trichet, former president of the European Central Bank and former governor of the Bank of France, discusses Monday's sharp market movements and the next steps for the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Persons: Trichet, Jean, Claude Trichet Organizations: European Central Bank, Bank of France, U.S . Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is unlikely to implement an emergency rate cut, strategist saysJeffrey Kleintop, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, says there may be a "triple perfect storm for the market" but it's still not an environment in which the U.S. Federal Reserve would be likely to hold an emergency meeting to cut interest rates.
Persons: Jeffrey Kleintop, Charles Schwab Organizations: U.S . Federal
Get out of cash — that's what many on Wall Street have been saying since expectations of rate cuts started rising earlier this year. They're now doubling down on that call, with the U.S. Federal Reserve signaling that it would finally cut rates in September. That would make cash rates less attractive than other parts of fixed income. "An easier tack from the central bank is likely to buoy risk markets like high yield fixed income and other spread product, including structured products, investment grade corporates and emerging market debt," said Robert Tipp, chief investment strategist and head of global bonds at PGIM Fixed Income. For investors looking for ideas, here are the top-performing global fixed income funds covered by Morningstar.
Persons: They're, Rick Rieder, Robert Tipp, Tim Murray, Price Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Morningstar
The day's rout was sparked by a massive sell-off in Japanese stocks. The Nikkei fell 12.4%, its worst day since the 1987 "Black Monday" crash rattled investors around the world. Spencer Platt / Getty ImagesThe Japanese drawdown, in turn, was partly in response to the worse-than-expected jobs report published Friday that showed U.S. unemployment rising to 4.3% and just 114,000 jobs added in July. As soon as that report was published, stocks started erasing some of their earlier losses, while bond purchases, which had surged as investors sought safe-haven assets, faded. It’s a much easier decision to say I want to take my chips and go home here.”
Persons: Stocks, Spencer Platt, Apple, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, , Michael Farr, Farr Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Nikkei, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Federal, Institute for Supply Management, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Intel, Microsoft, Buffett, Miller & Washington Locations: New York City, U.S, Berkshire
A weaker-than-expected July jobs report on Friday officially triggered the Sahm rule. "We are not in a recession now — contrary the historical signal from the Sahm rule — but the momentum is in that direction," Sahm told CNBC by email on Friday. That frankly is not good enough, we can do better than avoiding a recession," Sahm told CNBC's "The Exchange." Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks at a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on July 31, 2024 in Washington, DC. In mid-June, Sahm told CNBC that the U.S. central bank risked tipping the economy into contraction by not cutting interest rates sooner.
Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, , we're, CNBC's, Dario Perkins, Perkins, Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Harnik Organizations: Federal, CNBC, U.S . Federal, New Century Advisors, New, Lombard, National Bureau of Economic Research, Federal Reserve, Getty, U.S Locations: U.S, Washington , DC
The cryptocurrency market plummeted in value on Sunday, as investors continued selling out of risky assets. Led by a drop of 11% in bitcoin in the past 24 hours and a 21% plunge in ether, the overall value of cryptocurrencies sank by about $270 billion, according to CoinGecko data. The selloff in the crypto market coincided with a broader slide in equities in Asia-Pacific markets. The latest crypto wipeout will be felt by a broader base of investors after the SEC this year approved new spot exchange-traded funds for bitcoin and ether. WATCH: Bitcoin swings amid broad market selloff
Persons: Bitcoin, It's, Binance's, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Nasdaq, Nvidia, U.S . Federal, solana, SEC, CNBC, Wall Locations: bitcoin, Asia, Pacific, U.S, freefall, China, Taiwan, India, Australia
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks retreatU.S. stocks fell sharply on Thursday as weaker-than-expected jobs and manufacturing data sparked concerns about a rapid economic slowdown. The 10-year yield last traded at 3.981%, down 12.3 basis points, while the two-year yield eased to 4.156%. Looking ahead, Apple expects services to grow by about 14%. Apple CEO Tim Cook told CNBC's Steve Kovach the company has increased spending on Apple Intelligence to get it ready by fall.
Persons: Russell, Tim Cook, CNBC's Steve Kovach Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Wall, CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Labor Department, Institute for Supply, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Tech, CNBC Pro Locations: New York City, Stocks
Boris Roessler | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks were set to open lower Friday, extending losses amid a global downturn as a busy week of market action draws to a close. Germany's DAX was on course to open 104 points lower at 17,984, according to IG data, with France's CAC 40 down 40 points at 7,325. The regional Stoxx 600 index on Thursday suffered its worst session since mid-June, pulled down by financials as French bank Societe Generale downgraded its outlook and the Bank of England cut interest rates for the first time since 2020. The central bank decision took its key interest rate to 5% from 5.25%, in a move that markets had not been fully convinced it would carry out. Asia-Pacific markets saw steep losses Friday, with Japan's benchmark indexes tanking as much as 5%.
Persons: Boris Roessler, Germany's DAX, BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, BOE, Joe Tuckey Organizations: Getty, France's CAC, Societe Generale, Bank of England, CNBC, Argentex, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of, Apple, Intel, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Frankfurt, Bank of Japan, Europe, Asia, Pacific
Growth stocks have been volatile, with tech names going through wild swings in recent weeks. On the whole, growth stocks are up this year, although they recently fell slightly. What are some of such stocks that investors can buy and hold for the next 10 years? CNBC Pro asked fund managers and other investors who focus on growth stocks for some ideas. There are two segments in this business: original equipment and aftermarket, according to him.
Persons: Russell, TransDigm, Casey's, Janjigian Organizations: Nasdaq, . Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Waste Management, Republic Services Group, Carnegie Investment, Greenwich Wealth Management, U.S . Food, Drug Administration
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. U.S. stocks retreatU.S. stocks fell sharply on Thursday as weaker-than-expected jobs and manufacturing data sparked concerns about a rapid economic slowdown. Treasurys gainThe benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4% for the first time since February as investors digested weak job numbers and braced for a September rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The 10-year yield last traded at 3.981%, down 12.3 basis points, while the two-year yield eased to 4.156%. Asian stocks tumbleJapanese stocks dropped 5.8% on Friday as Asia-Pacific markets reacted negatively to the sell-off on Wall Street.
Persons: Russell, Tim Cook, CNBC's Steve Kovach, Brian Olsavsky Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Labor Department, Institute for Supply, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nikkei, SoftBank, Mitsui, Marubeni, CSI, Services, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Olympics, Tech, CNBC Pro Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific
Gold scales 2-week high as Fed nods to likely Sept rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices climbed to a two-week high on Thursday as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to cutting interest rates as early as September. Gold prices climbed to a two-week high on Thursday as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to cutting interest rates as early as September. Prices were just about $35 shy of the record high of $2483.60 scaled on July 17. "Gold bulls couldn't resist the urge to buy more gold after the Fed effectively signaled the beginning of its rate-cut cycle. "If the data comes in much hotter than expected, that could dent gold as we head towards the weekend," Simpson added.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Ismail Haniyeh, Nicky Shiels Organizations: Federal, Index, MKS PAMP SA Locations: U.S, Tehran, Israel, Gaza
Top view of Seoul in the morning in autumn 2016. Asia-Pacific markets largely rose on Thursday, after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that a rate cut could come in September if inflation data remains "encouraging." This comes after the Fed's Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluded Wednesday, where it opted to hold the federal funds rate at its current level of 5.25% to 5.5%. Powell cautioned that a rate cut is not guaranteed, though he also seemed to rule out a 50-basis-point reduction. "I don't want to be really specific about what we're going to do, but that's not something we're thinking about right now," he said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: U.S . Federal, Investors Locations: Seoul, Asia, Pacific, U.S, China, Japan, South Korea
LONDON — European markets are set to open mixed on Thursday as investors process a raft of central bank action. The Bank of England announces its latest monetary policy decision at midday London time. Market pricing slightly favors a 25 basis point interest rate cut from the U.K. central bank, kicking off its path of monetary easing. Investors are still processing Wednesday's surprise move from the Bank of Japan, which raised its benchmark interest rate to around 0.25%, its highest level since 2008, and hinted at more tightening to come. The decision powered the yen to a four-and-a-half month high against the U.S. dollar, as Japanese stocks tumbled.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CAC, Bank of England, U.S, Bank of Japan, U.S . Locations: U.S . Federal,
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to speak at a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on July 31, 2024 in Washington, DC. If the Federal Reserve is starting to set the table for interest rate reductions, some parts of the market are getting impatient for dinner to be served. Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, said on CNBC just after the Fed concluded its meeting Wednesday. The Fed needs to start that process back gradually to normal, which means gradually reducing interest rates." If the inflation job is done, or we're on that glide path, it's OK, the Fed can start stepping aside."
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Claudia Sahm, Sahm Organizations: Federal Reserve, New Century Advisors, CNBC, Fed Locations: Washington , DC
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia pulled back 7% and Microsoft fell 0.9% during the normal session before reporting earnings after the bell. Still, Microsoft beat estimates as quarterly revenue increased 15% from a year ago to $64.73 billion and net income rose to $22.04 billion. Starbucks missStarbucks' quarterly revenue slid 1% to $9.11 billion, missing forecasts as same-store sales declined for the second straight quarter. The South Korean tech giant said sales of high-end memory chips used in servers will continue to be strong.
Organizations: CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, New York City . Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal, Bank of, Nasdaq, megacaps Meta, Apple, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Microsoft, Fed, Microsoft Microsoft, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Seng, Samsung, Samsung Electronics, Revenue, South, Reading, Fed Stock, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, Bank of Japan, U.S, China, Shanghai
Market pricing on Wednesday morning suggested a 60% probability of a rate cut at the BOE's Aug. 1 meeting. That is far less conviction than traders had before the European Central Bank enacted its own rate cut at the start of June; while pricing for the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut for the first time in this cycle in September has hit 100%. watch nowIn both May and June, seven MPC members voted to hold, as two voted to cut by 25 basis points. Headline U.K. inflation spiked higher than in the U.S. and euro zone over the last two years, but has also cooled more quickly. "I would rather hold rates until there is more certainty that underlying inflationary pressures have subsided sustainably," Haskel said.
Persons: Mike Kemp, BOE, Jonathan Haskel —, , Haskel Organizations: of England, Bank of England's, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, MPC Locations: City of London, U.S, BOE, U.K
It's commonly believed that assets related to real estate, such as REITs, benefit from lower interest rates. A lower interest rate environment also increases the attractiveness of this investment in terms of the higher rental income yield offered by real estate. The rate of office use is set to increase over time , which will in turn lead to a recovery in office real estate demand, he said. "A focus on technology and life sciences market clusters should benefit Kilroy in the long run as we expect buoyant growth in these areas. "The remote work dynamic is probably the biggest source of uncertainty for the office real estate industry.
Persons: Morningstar, Suryansh Sharma, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Kilroy, Sharma, Sekera Organizations: U.S . Federal, Kilroy Realty, Morningstar, Apple Locations: REITs, U.S
As the rest of the world fought to keep inflation in check, one country welcomed it with open arms. So while major central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to rein in prices, the Bank of Japan kept rates low as inflation accelerated. Businesses could cite their rising costs to justify price increases, leading to higher revenues that went toward higher wages for workers. There have been some promising signs: Big Japanese firms like Toyota have reported large profits and pledged the biggest wage increases for workers in decades. In March, the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate for the first time in 17 years, concluding that the economy had achieved the “virtuous cycle” between wages and prices it had envisioned.
Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of, Toyota, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan, Bank of Japan
Interest in emerging markets has been growing and investors are now looking out for sectors and stocks best placed to benefit. "Emerging markets are too important to ignore," says Malcolm Dorson, a senior portfolio manager at the U.S.-headquartered Mirae Asset, which has around $600 billion in assets under management. "Emerging markets have a multi-decade story with significant opportunities. More than 4 billion people live across emerging markets, Dorson noted, adding that each country will have "significant domestic consumption stories [and] long-term opportunities." One of the simplest routes to investing in emerging markets is through exchange-traded funds.
Persons: Malcolm Dorson, Dorson, Javier, Milei Organizations: CNBC Pro, India Active, Global, India, Companies, Infosys, Reliance Industries, Tata Consultancy, U.S . Federal, Brazil Active, Brazil IMI, Argentina IMI, Fitch, IMI Locations: U.S, India, Brazil, Brazilian, FactSet, Argentina, American, Greece, Europe
Job seekers are sour on the cooling labor market
  + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Nitat Termmee | Moment | Getty ImagesWorkers are souring on the state of the job market. Workers had reason for euphoria two to three years ago: The job market was red-hot and, by many metrics, historically strong. However, the labor market has slowed gradually. Workers are now having a harder time finding jobs and the labor market, while still solid, could be in trouble if it continues to cool, economists said. While that rate is "consistent with a strong labor market," its steady rise is the "troubling factor," Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at the Indeed Hiring Lab, wrote in early July.
Persons: Nitat, Nick Bunker, Bunker Organizations: Getty Images Workers, Workers, U.S . Federal Reserve, North America
An aerial view of Phillips 66 oil refinery is seen in Linden, New Jersey, United States. Oil prices rose in early trade on Monday as investors keep a lookout for signs of a rate-cut cycle expected to begin as soon as September. "Since the June FOMC meeting, inflation and labor market data have signaled that disinflation and labor market rebalancing are in place, which we expect will allow the Fed to begin its interest rate cutting cycle in September," ANZ Research said in a note. Slower-than-expected economic growth of 4.7% for China in the second quarter sparked concerns last week over the country's demand for oil and continues to weigh on prices. The 60-point document's publication follows last week's closed-door meeting of the Communist Party's Central Committee that takes place roughly every five years.
Persons: Phillips, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, Fed, ANZ Research, U.S . Federal Reserve, Market, Republican, Communist Party's Central Committee Locations: Linden , New Jersey, United States, U.S, China
Investors are flocking to small-cap stocks right now, driving this segment of the market to new highs this week. He also noted that the Russell 2000 is outperforming the S & P 500 by the widest margin since November 2021. But according to him, one group of small-cap stocks could do well if rates were to stay higher for longer: regional banks. However, Turnquist cautioned that small-cap growth stocks would find the outlook tougher than small-cap value stocks, as they are more sensitive to economic health. How to play small-caps Investors who have been making a play for small-caps include billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller , who revealed a big bullish position in small-cap stocks last quarter.
Persons: Russell, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, we've, There's, Trump, Kelvin Wong, Donald Trump, Wong, Stanley Druckenmiller, FactSet, David Dietze, Dietze, Jay Hatfield, Kilroy, Jefferies, Hatfield, , Yun Li Organizations: CNBC, LPL, U.S . Federal, Federal Reserve, Citi, Wealth Management, CNBC Pro, Corp, Jefferies Locations: U.S, America
Gold eases after hitting fresh record
  + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices extended their rise to a fresh all-time high on Wednesday, as growing optimism for an interest-rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve in September and a weaker dollar boosted demand. Spot gold eased about 0.2% to $2,462.85 per ounce, driven by profit-taking, after the bullion hit a high of $2,482.29 earlier in the session. Markets now see a 98% chance of a U.S. rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and weigh on the dollar, making gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies.
Persons: David Meger, Christopher Waller Organizations: Co, U.S . Federal Reserve, High, Fed Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S
Oil prices tick down on worries about Chinese demand
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday on worries about a slowing Chinese economy crimping demand, though a growing consensus that the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin cutting its key interest rate as soon as September limited declines. Brent futures fell 9 cents, or 0.1%, to $84.76 a barrel by 12:21 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 13 cents, or 0.2%, to $81.78. China's economy grew much slower than expected in the second quarter, hamstrung by a protracted property downturn and job insecurity. Lower interest rates decrease the cost of borrowing, which can boost economic activity and oil demand. While crisis in the Middle East has not impacted supply, attacks on ships in the Red Sea has forced vessels to take longer routes, meaning oil remains on the water for longer.
Persons: Brent, Jerome Powell, Alexander Novak Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum Locations: Yemen, Gaza, Russian, OPEC
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