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Amgen has been in pullback mode since the beginning of February, losing roughly 13% within the context of its long-term uptrend. For those interested in "buying the dip," this may be a good time to revisit the stock, noting the decline looks overdone in the short term. There has been a positive reaction from AMGN to a short-term counter-trend "buy" signal from Tom DeMARK's TD Combo model, which supports a minimum two-week bounce. With Friday's reversal bar on AMGN's daily chart, combined with today's strength, our preferred momentum indicator the daily MACD is back on a "buy" signal. The MACD also shows a positive short-term divergence, supporting a bigger relief rally for AMGN in the near term.
Persons: Amgen, Tom DeMARK's Organizations: AMGN
Since late October last year, the S&P 500 has risen as much as 27% on strong economic data and excitement about AI. Losses were steepest last week when Iran fired missiles at Israel, exacerbating regional and global tensions. But as more labor market and inflation data has come out, investors now believe a cut is off the table until at least July. The S&P 500 has now dipped below its 20-day moving average, like it did last summer when yields rose above 4.35%. "The VIX, SKEW and Put/Call Ratio all indicate that sophisticated investors are on edge and volatility could explode to 52-week highs in the weeks ahead," Essaye said.
Persons: , that's, Israel, James Demmert, Demmert, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Tom Essaye, Essaye, selloff, Solita, It's, Marcelli, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Brent, Research, Federal Reserve, LPL, MAs, UBS Americas, UBS Global Investment Locations: Iran, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen
On Tuesday, 267 S & P 500 stocks made new 20-day lows. Only one S & P 500 component made a new 20-day high. As is clear, the stock has broken out of one bullish pattern (blue) and is trying to trigger another one (green). Lastly, VLTO's former parent company, DHR, has underperformed both the S & P 500 and the industrials sector since it topped in 2021. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: it's, VLTO, It's, Frank Cappelleri
I'll discuss a bearish options hedge on a member of the chip sector that appears to be breaking down. Below is a 6-month daily chart of the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) , which monitors the chip sector. Among the semiconductor stocks, Micron (MU) stands out as a notable example. However, since securities can remain overbought for extended periods, it's important to wait for the RSI to dip below 70 before considering a bearish trade setup. The Trade Setup: The trade structure I am using here is called a "bear put spread" also known as "put debit spread".
Persons: Nishant Pant, Nishant Organizations: Nvidia, iShares Semiconductor, AMD, Broadcom, Micron, MU, YTD
This would imply that investors can hold NVDA, for now, but may want to reduce exposure after a bigger bounce. —Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein.
Persons: Let's, NVDA, Katie Stockton Organizations: Nvidia, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: overbought
A flagship stock like Nvidia (NVDA) takes a month-long breather and many investors want to throw in the towel on the uptrend and say enough is enough. The last time we spoke about NVDA was on Feb 21st just before the earnings report, while I was on a ski vacation. Turning down to the 195-minute chart (that is a half-day chart), we can fine tune our entry on this idea. I added a one-half position size to our short-term Active Opportunities portfolio with stops just below the $832 low. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: NVDA, it's, Elliott, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Nvidia, PPI, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
Uranium stocks outperformed the broader equity market in 2023, with the Global X Uranium ETF (URA) gaining nearly 38% for the year. We think the recent volatility in uranium stocks presents an opportunity to take advantage of their cyclical uptrend. This applies to the Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM) as well, which completed a basing phase (i.e., the "cup") last November that we featured on X . A breakout above $31.30 would complete URA's cup-and-handle pattern in a long-term bullish development, supporting its cyclical and secular uptrend. URA is the largest uranium ETF, with $3.2 billion in assets, and it has a reasonable expense ratio (0.69%).
Persons: URA, Cameco Organizations: Uranium, Uranium Miners Locations: URA
Despite getting sold off this year, Jefferies sees SQM as an attractively valued play in the commodities space. Analyst Alejandro Demichelis upgraded U.S. shares of the Latin American lithium producer to buy from hold. Demichelis said the market underappreciates SQM's low-cash cost advantage in the lithium space. "But we believe that they should put the company on a much stronger competitive footing over the coming years." SQM shares advanced more than 6% during Monday morning trading.
Persons: Jefferies, SQM, Alejandro Demichelis, Demichelis, Albemarle Locations: American, SQM, SQM ALB
Energy could be a hot trade this summer, according to Robert Schein, chief investment officer at Blanke Schein Wealth Management. That, in turn, would bode well for shares of energy stocks, Schein said. "I think energy could be the story of the summer," Schein told CNBC Pro. But the ETF rallied more than 57% in 2022, even as the S & P 500 tumbled more than 19%. XLE .SPX YTD mountain The XLE vs. the S & P 500 this year Schein said energy has begn to break out after being "left behind."
Persons: Robert Schein, bode, Schein, Hightower Organizations: Wealth Management, CNBC, Energy, Fund, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, LSEG Locations: of Baltimore, The California
Post's price target increase is in line with his move on the GAAP price-to-earnings multiple to 22 from 21. — Alex Harring 6:39 a.m.: Melius moves to sidelines on Boeing Boeing has too many areas of concern, Melius Research warned. Analyst Robert Spingarn downgraded the plane maker to hold from buy and slashed his price target by $71 to $209. Analyst Filippo Falorni upgraded the cosmetics stock to buy from neutral and hiked his price target by $15 to $175. Analyst Brennan Hawken downgraded the investment asset manager to neutral from buy and cut his price target by $5 to $135.
Persons: Grinder, Justin Post, Meta, — Alex Harring, Eli Lilly, Andrew Baum, Baum, Novo, Robert Spingarn, Spingarn, LSEG, Alex Harring, Filippo Falorni, Falorni, Estee Lauder, Lauder, Tom Ford, Le, Blackstone, Brennan Hawken, Hawken, JMP, Nicholas Jones, Jones, Grindr, Christopher Dendrinos, Dendrinos, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, RBC, GE, of America, Citi, Indianapolis, Boeing Boeing, Melius, Boeing, Dow Jones, Coca, Cola, Beverage, Travel, UBS, GE Vernova, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Monday's, Asia Pacific, Asia
To profit from this possibility, here's an options trade that bets against the housing market. US10Y YTD mountain U.S. 10-year Treasury yield so far in 2024 I'm contemplating a bearish trade on Lowe's (LOW) within the consumer discretionary sector. DMI (Directional Movement Index): When the DI+ (green line) is above DI- (red line), the stock is in an uptrend. The trade structure I am using here is called a "bear put spread" also known as "put debit spread". If LOW trades at or below my short strike by the expiration date, this trade can yield a 100% ROI on the amount risked.
Persons: I'm, I've Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Lowes Locations: US10Y
The rally marks an extension of the cyclical uptrend and gives the chart the shape of a bullish 'cup-and-handle' formation. —Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein.
Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: Microsoft, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
And even though gold prices are at an all-time high, many market watchers are still taking a shine to it. But even with a favorable outlook, gold should play a very different role in your portfolio than stocks or bonds, investing experts say. Why gold is up and could continue to riseDifferent investors cite different reasons for owning gold. In addition to a rising tide, a weakening U.S. dollar and falling bond rates have boosted gold prices of late, says Hayes. At lower rates, bonds and cash accounts "have less of a competitive advantage" over gold, he tells CNBC Make It.
Persons: it's, Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Warren Buffett, It's, Ford O'Neill, we've, Hayes, Buffett Organizations: Ned, Ned Davis Research, Billionaire, Berkshire Hathaway, Fidelity, CNBC, Federal Reserve, ExxonMobil Locations: Berkshire, U.S
According to Bank of America, valuation levels explain 80% of the market's return over a 10-year period. Bank of AmericaThere are many ways to measure valuation levels in the overall market. Hussman says it's the most accurate indicator of future market returns that he's found. AdvertisementThe Conference BoardThird, the number of US states with a rising unemployment rate is spiking, meaning that the overall unemployment rate should see further upside. BullAndBearProfits.comThe US unemployment rate is already on a slight uptrend, having climbed from 3.4% in April 2023 to 3.9% as of February.
Persons: , Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, John Hussman's, he's, Warren Buffett, Wolfenbarger, Stocks, Woflenbarger, Cam Harvey, Claudia Sahm, Louis Fed, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, David Rosenberg, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, JPMorgan, National Federation of Independent Business, Board, Treasury, Bank, America's
Alaska Air shares just getting started Alaska Air Group has recently broken above a key resistance level and could represent a compelling option for investors searching for stocks earlier on in their uptrends. Alaska remained below that retracement level as well as a declining 200-day moving average until this week. Now we're seeing ALK power above $42 with an initial upside target at the 61.8% retracement level around $47. The momentum characteristics are consistent with bullish phases, with Alaska becoming overbought this week after a quick rise. While overbought conditions could indicate a short-term pullback in the coming weeks, we're inclined to assume this uptrend could be just getting started.
Persons: we've, — David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, US Global Jets ETF, JETS, Alaska Air Group, Alaska Air, CMT Locations: Alaska
Wells Fargo raised its price target on Bank of America, now calling for more than 15% upside. Evercore ISI hiked its price target on the consumer products company to $150 per share from $133. Power has a $90 price target on the cloud software stock, implying shares can rally 44.5% in the next year. Forbes' $425 price target implies the stock can climb 43.1% from Wednesday's ending price. Analyst Mike Mayo raised his price target for the bank stock by $4 to $44, implying a 16.4% upside over Wednesday's close.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Clark, Javier Escalante, Escalante, KMB, — Jesse Pound, Jefferies, Portillo's, Andy Barish, Barish, — Brian Evans, Jason Gursky, Wednesday's, shakeup, Gursky, Alex Harring, Baird, William Power, — Alex Harring, Steven Forbes, Forbes, RH, BofA, Cintas, Heather Balsky, Balsky, Robinhood, Alex Markgraff, Markgraff, TD Cowen, John Blackledge, Grindr, Blackledge, It's, it's, Estee Lauder, Bryan Spillane, Spillane, Estee, Tom Ford, Joseph Greff, Greff, FanDuel, Vikram Gandhi, Gandhi, Wells, Bank of America Wells, Mike Mayo, Mayo, Goliath Organizations: CNBC, Bank of America, HSBC, Allstate, Kimberly, Staples, ISI, Citi, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Dow Jones, UC, Guggenheim, RH's, FactSet, Estee Lauder Bank of America, JPMorgan, Allstate Allstate Locations: Portillo's, Five9, Estee, New Jersey, Wednesday's
Wall Street could be in for another solid quarter as stocks have embarked on a strong start to the year. Specifically, in the second quarter, the S & P 500 was higher 9 out of 11 times, averaging a 2.7% gain. Significantly, two occurrences of those 10% first-quarter gains Detrick reviewed took place during election years, with the S & P 500 ending higher on the year. In 1976, the S & P 500 went on to register a 1.5% increase in the second quarter, and a 4.6% jump for the rest of the year. The Wall Street firm maintained its year-end S & P 500 target of 5,050, representing a 3.8% slide from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, We've, there'd, Detrick, CNBC's, Research's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Brian Nick, Nick, John Stoltzfus, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, CFRA's Stovall, FactSet Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Macro, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, Survey, Services PMI, Weston Holdings, Conagra Brands, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S
Piper Sandler is concerned the S & P 500 is due for a correction, and it has dumped Nvidia from its model portfolio. The S & P 500 is on pace to close out its best quarter since 2019. "We believe the SPX is vulnerable to a 5%-10% pullback/correction in the coming weeks," Johnson added. .SPX 1D mountain S & P 500 Significantly, Johnson removed Nvidia from his model portfolio, the AI beneficiary that has soared more than 80% this year and has been one of the primary drivers of gains in the S & P 500. As a whole, the Wall Street firm reduced the equity exposure in its model portfolio to 90% from 98%.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Johnson, It's Organizations: Nvidia, Dow Jones, Micron Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Wall
If you're looking for your bitcoin to go to the moon, the window of opportunity may be slowly closing, according to BlackRock. "Certainly, returns going forward will come down," he said at the Bitcoin Investor Day conference in New York City Friday. That demand was "massive and clear" in 2023, when BlackRock filed to launch its iShares Bitcoin Trust. "I don't think we've seen the end of cycles in bitcoin," Mitchnick said. "[With] bitcoin, when the price goes up, the probabilities of success and adoption in some senses, as digital gold, are also changing," he said.
Persons: Robert Mitchnick, It's, , Mitchnick, CNBC's Ganesh Rao Organizations: BlackRock Locations: BlackRock, New York, @GC
Arm Holdings is a UK-based semiconductor and software design company that has been around for quite some time and been through multiple corporate events, changes of ownership and multiple large investors. The majority shareholder of Arm (ARM) is Japanese conglomerate Softbank, which bought the company in 2016 before taking it public again on the Nasdaq in 2023. The stock formed a base into March, held $120-area support and is now mounting another attack after breaking the gray dotted downtrend resistance/trigger level at $135. I do not yet hold the stock, but I am looking to add to our holdings at current levels and will require the stock to remain above that $135 breakout level now serving as support. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: we're, They're, Gordon Organizations: Nasdaq, ARM, Nvidia, Cadence Design Systems, IBM, Intel, AMD, Apple, Facebook, Google, Inside Edge Locations: UK
The weekly chart of the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) shows how the long-term trend has become quite strong off the October 2022 low. The higher low in October was a sign of accumulation, showing that the bearish momentum going into the summer had begun to dissipate. Once this ETF broke above its July 2023 high, it traded higher to a price gap in December of last year. In this case, the homebuilder ETF resolved this pattern to the upside in late February with a break above $105. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, ITB, David Keller Organizations: Home, CMT Locations: U.S
The Communications Services Select SPDR ETF (XLC) , home of Meta, Alphabet and Disney, is doing one of the following at any given time this year: Breaking out, digesting said breakout and then breaking out again. We'll notice that the monster reversal happened a solid four months before the S & P 500 topped out in early 2022… and we can blame Meta (META) for that. Meta tailwind When META cracked back then, it took XLC with it. However, it, too, has a constructive chart pattern – a potential large base that is almost two years in length. This ETF is VERY illiquid, thus, it's not the best trading vehicle… That said, one particular holding has a similar looking pattern: Disney (DIS) .
Persons: XLC's uptrend, XLC, it's, NWSA, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Meta, Netflix, News Corp, Communication Services Locations: XLC
Oil prices edged down early on Tuesday after gaining in the previous trading session, due in part to the prospect of rising supply from Russia as well as the possibility of slower-than-expected downstream demand in sectors such as jet fuel. The Brent crude oil futures contract for May delivery slipped 16 cents to $86.73 a barrel as at 0300 GMT, whereas that for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell 13 cents to $82.03. Regarding Russia, supply concern stemming from increased exports following Ukrainian attacks on the country's oil infrastructure continued to pressure prices downward. Global jet fuel prices are likely to be "higher by 5.4% over our previous forecast to USD111/bbl as soft demand is expected to give way to peak summer travel and stronger prices", BMI analysts wrote in a client note. "However, a global economic slowdown will temper consumption of air travel and weigh on jet fuel prices limiting price upside," they added.
Persons: JP Morgan Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, U.S ., Global, bbl, BMI Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, China
Bitcoin is set to top $80,000 on strong ETF inflows, Binance CEO Richard Teng said. After hitting a record high of $73,679 early last week, bitcoin tumbled back below $70,000. The boss of the world's biggest crypto exchange, Richard Teng, said he now sees the crypto poised to jump past $80,000 after initially predicting it would end the year around that level. Related storiesHe acknowledged that volatility would still shake the world's biggest crypto and that the uptrend won't be a "straight line." AdvertisementBitcoin soared to its record high of $73,679 last week.
Persons: Richard Teng, bitcoin, , We're, Teng, Kris Marszalek Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, CNBC Locations: Bangkok
The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) offers investors a liquid, cost-effective way to get broad-based exposure to copper mining stocks. —Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein.
Persons: It's, Katie Stockton Organizations: Copper Miners, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities, ~$ Locations: Canada, U.S
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