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Goldman Sachs highlighted a slew of stocks on its U.S. "conviction list — director's cut" selection, naming several "most differentiated buy recommendations," in an August 1 research note. Goldman's "directors' cut" is a list of stocks chosen by its U.S. research analysts and managers. The bank collated a list of "top ideas that offer a combination of conviction, a differentiated view and high risk-adjusted returns," before shortlisting 20 to 25 names. Industrial names on the bank's "directors' cut" list included several that Goldman said are benefiting from post-pandemic demand, such as building services firm Johnson Controls and waste disposal company Republic Services . Goldman's note also included a "What has worked" heading, under which its analysts named three stocks.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman's, Goldman, Johnson, Baker Hughes, – EBITDA, JB Hunt, Jordan Alliger, Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Healthcare, Merck, Services, Consumer, Body, International, Chevron, JPMorgan
A group of analysts from JPMorgan's trading desk say a new record high for S&P 500 "feels inevitable." The S&P 500 closed at 4,576.73 on Tuesday, less than 5% shy of its record closing level of 4,796.56 reached in January 2022. The fact earnings can beat expectations in an high-rate environment creates the argument for elevated valuations, in their view, and that could push the S&P 500 well beyond record highs. Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital's chief investment strategist, told Insider on Monday that all-time highs indeed look possible for the S&P 500 in the near-term. Steady multiples and fulfilled earnings expectations should be enough to justify the S&P 500 at 4,800 or above."
Persons: Andrew Tyler, there's, that's, it's, Anastasia Amoroso, Amoroso Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon
The S&P 500 is up nearly 19% this year after gaining around 1% in the past week. At the same time, investors believe the Fed is unlikely to deliver much more of the monetary policy tightening that shook markets last year. A test of the economy comes next week, when the U.S. reports employment numbers for July. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is up nearly 44% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 information technology sector has gained nearly 46%. The S&P 500 tech sector now trades at 28.2 times forward earnings, from 19.6 at the start of the year.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Bob Kalman, Torsten Slok, Burns McKinney, Randy Frederick, wouldn't, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Miramar Capital, Apollo Global Management, Meta, Roku Inc, NJF Investment Group, Apple, Microsoft, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Miramar
Though they rose rapidly in the first half of July, mortgage rates plunged a couple of weeks ago and inched down further today. Average 30-year mortgage rates have been hovering in the 6.4% to 6.6% range this week. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThe average 15-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.06% this week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates increased dramatically in 2022 and have been volatile so far in 2023, but they're expected to trend down later this year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Selma Hepp, you'll, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Morgan Stanley's top picks for the rest of earnings season
  + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
While Wall Street's expectations are lower this corporate earnings season, there are still several stocks Morgan Stanley said could rise in the near term. Morgan Stanley's estimates for second-quarter earnings are down 9% year to date and flat sales growth, which the firm attributes to lagged and elevated costs. Amazon is one of Morgan Stanley's top picks for this earnings season. The firm believes potential catalysts include positive earnings revisions and its AWS Summit on cloud computing and generative artificial intelligence. He added that multiple appreciation and earnings revisions could drive the stock upward.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Michelle Weaver, Brian Nowak, Brian Harbour, Yum, Elizabeth Porter, Porter, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Pharmaceutical, Merck, Pfizer, Devices, Tech, Amazon, Yum Brands, Taco Bell Locations: North America, China
Many investors think that will only happen if interest rates go to levels just too high for investors to pass up. "You wonder whether they have left it too late" said Mikhail Volodchenko at one of Europe's largest fund managers AXA IM. Reuters Graphics4/LOCAL PROBLEMSIn contrast to the dollar bonds, Turkey's 'local' lira-denominated bonds have had a shocker. Even if the lira is taken out of the equation the bonds are still down around 13% since Erdogan's election win. Reuters Graphics($1 = 0.8920 euros)Reporting by Marc Jones and Canan Sevgili Editing by Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Tayyip Erdogan, Erdogan, Mehmet Şimşek, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Mikhail Volodchenko, Enver Erkan, Yatirim, Treasuries, COVID, Wednesday Erdogan, Simon Lue, Fong, Vontobel, Turkey's, Jeff, Michael Metcalfe, Metcalfe, Marc Jones, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: LONDON, AXA, Reuters, JPMorgan EMBI Global, NATO, Investment, Wednesday, United Arab Emirates, JPMorgan GBI, Street Global Markets, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: Central, Turkish, Nigeria, Argentina, Turkey, U.S, Arab, Swiss, Lira
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Jefferies reiterates Apple as buy Jefferies said it's expecting a "quiet quarter" when the company reports earnings Aug. 3. Wells Fargo reiterates Netflix as overweight Wells said it's bullish heading into the company's earnings report Wednesday. Jefferies reiterates Alphabet as buy Jefferies said it's bullish heading into Alphabet earnings next week. Bank of America downgrades Lumentum to neutral from buy Bank of America called the stock an "overstated" AI beneficiary. JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as overweight JPMorgan said the e-commerce giant is its top pick heading into earnings. "
Persons: Jefferies, it's, Wells, Truist, Piper Sandler, Dave, Buster's, Piper, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Max, Roth, Uber, Roth MKM, it's bullish, Morgan Stanley, Evercore, Marvell, Williams Deutsche, Sherwin Williams, JPMorgan Organizations: Apple, Netflix, Argus, Warner Brothers Discovery, Citi, Polaris Citi, 2Q, Bank of America, Nvidia, American Express, Digital, Marvell Technology Inc, Global, Inc, Deutsche Bank, Sherwin, JPMorgan Locations: capex
Headline U.S. retail sales came in softer-than-expected for June, rising 0.2% versus the 0.5% increase economists were expecting, according to the Commerce Department. But the retail sales control group, which excludes receipts from autos, building materials retailers, and gasoline stations, was up 0.56% compared to the 0.5% consensus estimates. Online sales for the month accelerated to 1.9%, while sales at department stories and groceries fell 2.4% and 0.7%, respectively. Over the long run, they expect Amazon to "continue to gain market share" through its 200 million Amazon Prime subscriber base. The Amazon Prime logo is displayed on the side of an Amazon delivery truck on June 21, 2023 in Richmond, California.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Club, Headline U.S, Commerce Department, Telsey, Group, Amazon, Amazon Web Services, CNBC Locations: United States, Richmond , California
Benoit Tessier | ReutersCava GroupFirst on this week's list is the Mediterranean restaurant chain Cava (CAVA), which made a blockbuster public debut last month. The rally in CAVA shares since its initial public offering reflects investors' optimism about the fast-casual restaurant chain's growth prospects. Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull initiated a buy rating on Cava with a price target of $48. The analyst estimates annual revenue growth of 20% during the next four years, driven by at least 15% growth in Cava's footprint. The survey revealed that Services' average revenue per user (ARPU) in the U.S. is $110, which is much higher than Daryanani's global estimate of $81.
Persons: Benoit Tessier, Chris O'Cull, O'Cull, TipRanks, Amit Daryanani, Daryanani, Ivan Feinseth, Feinseth, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari Organizations: Meta, Inc, Viva Technology, Porte de, Reuters, Cava, Apple, Apple Services, Services, Tigress Financial, TipRanks, Nvidia Semiconductor, Nvidia, US Locations: Porte, Paris, France, Cava, CAVA, U.S, Midwest
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Stick with Salesforce Club holding Salesforce (CRM) is a big winner Tuesday, soaring more than 3% in midday trading, to $219.75 a share. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Wells, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, CPI, Labor, Federal Reserve, Fed, Salesforce Club, ISI, Tactical, Web Services Locations: , Wells Fargo
AI in advertising Amazon is not only differentiating its gen AI strategy by leveraging the cloud, but it's also incorporating AI in e-commerce to support its ad business. Amazon Prime Day Amazon Prime Day, the global shopping event that attracts consumers seeking huge cost-saving deals, on a variety of products will be held July 11 and 12 in 24 countries. Coupled with the cloud, e-commerce is the other big piece of what Amazon is all about. The 48-hour event is expected to bring in $8 billion in U.S. e-commerce sales, according to data by Insider Intelligence. Still, Insider Intelligence data shows Amazon Prime Day e-commerce sales will surpass that of competing retailers.
Persons: Andy Jassy, Scott Devitt, Devitt, Andrew Lipsman, it's, Lipsman, Sellers, Gene Munster, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Amazon Web Services, CNBC, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia, AWS, Insider Intelligence, Google, Deepwater Asset Management, Intelligence, Amazon CNBC Locations: U.S
JPMorgan highlights its top stock picks heading into July
  + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
JPMorgan updated its list of top stock picks for July, as investors are now eyeing the second half of the year. To kick off this month, JPMorgan added Domino's Pizza and Dollar General to its focus list. Domino's Pizza stock has slipped more than 3% in 2023, but it's still rated overweight by JPMorgan analyst John Ivankoe. Holdovers from previous iterations of the focus list include tech stocks Amazon and Microsoft . JPMorgan removed multimedia stock Avid Technology from its focus list earlier this week.
Persons: John Ivankoe, Stifel, Brian Cheng, Morgan Stanley Organizations: JPMorgan, Nasdaq, Sciences, Microsoft, Federal Trade Commission, Amazon Prime, Avid Technology Locations: OpenAI's
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMeta is now a 'revenue reacceleration story', says Hightower's Stephanie LinkStephanie Link, Hightower chief investment strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime, to talk Meta's launch of a Twitter competitor, where she's investing for the second half, and more.
Persons: Stephanie Link Stephanie Link, Hightower Organizations: Meta
Minneapolis CNN —The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge cooled off last month, and consumers reined in some spending as the economy slows, according to data released Friday by the Commerce Department. Personal spending ticked up by just 0.1%, a more moderate pace than April’s revised 0.6% growth rate. When adjusting for inflation, consumer spending was flat. Consumers refill the coffersThe data in recent months shows a gradual cooling in consumer spending, Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, told CNN. “There were no fireworks within the Fed’s favorite inflation report today,” George Mateyo, chief investment officer for KeyBank, wrote in a statement.
Persons: Diane Swonk, , Gregory Daco, “ It’s, Friday’s, Abby Omodunbi, Janet Yellen, Yellen, ” Yellen, ” George Mateyo, KeyBank, Swonk, it’s, we’ve Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Commerce Department, CNN, , PNC, Fed, Transportation Locations: Minneapolis, EY, New Orleans
Alphabet The news: Analysts at UBS lowered their rating on Alphabet to neutral from buy but increased their price target to $132 per share from $123. Analysts expect the company's use of generative AI to be the "next leg to shares," and its use of AI tools should help the company "be viewed as an AI winner." Though Meta shares fell 3.5% to $278 each Monday. Reacceleration of revenue growth at Amazon's cloud unit, Amazon Web Services (AWS) into the fourth quarter of this year, should be a catalyst for the stock, analysts said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Eric Schmidt, Jim, We're, Meta, Mark Zuckerberg, there's, Zuckerberg, Roth, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Sebastien Bozon Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, UBS, Google, Club, Microsoft, Facebook, Meta, Apple, Amazon Web Services, AFP, Getty Locations: Mulhouse
As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: It's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Lina Khan, Homestretch, Jefferies, it's, Jim Cramer's, Washington, Mike Segar Organizations: Amazon, Trade, Jefferies, Web Services, Big Tech, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: New York
That threw a new curveball at UK markets, as just last week economists polled by Reuters had unanimously expected the BoE to raise by 25 basis points. I would not be surprised if we see a 50-bp rate rise from the Bank of England tomorrow." Other analysts said delivering a larger rate rise on Thursday risked further undermining the BoE's messaging. Bets on where BoE rate hikes might peak rose as high as 6% on Wednesday. The rise in yields hit UK housebuilders (.FTNMX402020), which were down as much as 3.1%.
Persons: BoE, Melanie Baker, Liz, Nick Rees, Richard McGuire, Rabobank's McGuire, Yoruk Bahceli, William Schomberg, Dhara Ranasinghe, Danilo Masoni, Alun John, Peter Graff Organizations: Bank of England, Reuters, Royal London Asset Management, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Wednesday's, MPC, FX, Monex, Rabobank, Sterling, Thomson Locations: Monex Europe
With the Federal Reserve expected to pause its rate-hiking campaign at this week's meeting, regional banks stocks have made a comeback, but that doesn't mean all the trouble is in the rearview mirror. Still, the upward march resumed on Tuesday, begging the question of what's ahead for bank stocks. As the Treasury sells tens of billions of dollars in Treasury bills, it could pressure bank deposits. Graseck predicts that a reacceleration of deposit outflows would snuff out the bank stock rally. In addition, regional bank earnings estimates, which had been cut severely in March and April, had leveled off in May.
Persons: Jack Ablin, Ablin, outflows, SVB, Aditya Bhave, Bhave, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Graseck, Nicholas Colas, Huntington Bancshares, Matt O'Connor, KeyCorp, Albin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Cresset, Silvergate, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, PacWest Bancorp, Bank of America, Treasury, DataTrek Research, Citizens Financial Group, Truist, Morgan Stanley U.S, Financials, CRE Conference, Deutsche Bank, TFC Locations: Silicon, Federal, U.S, 2Q23, New York
As Apple sets a new record, Wall Street remains conflicted over the trajectory for shares in the near term. The iPhone maker notched a new all-time high on Monday, a week after hitting an intraday high . AAPL YTD mountain Apple shares in 2023 But with the jump in shares putting Apple about 2% shy of Wall Street's consensus price target, questions remain over the likelihood of more upside in the near term. As of midday Tuesday, Apple shares traded at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of more than 31 times, above the multiple for the broader S & P 500. Despite Apple's steepening stock price and some reservations about its valuation, many analysts are keeping their bullish stance.
Persons: Paul Meeks, Research's Angelo Zino, Bullish, Dan Ives, Ives, Tim Cook, it's Organizations: Apple, UBS, Securities, Big Tech Locations: Cupertino
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Let Amazon soar One tech stock Jim is recommending investors let ride is Amazon (AMZN). As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Technology, Palo Alto Networks, Microsoft, Amazon Web Services Locations: Palo Alto
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Wait on Wynn Jim said he's not ready to pound the table on Wynn Resorts (WYNN) just yet. Both firms have the equivalent of a buy rating on Amazon stock. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Wynn, Dow Jones, Wynn Jim, he's, Jefferies, Jim, hasn't, Wells Fargo, Wells, Jim Cramer's, WYNN Organizations: CNBC, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Apple, Microsoft, Labor Department, Dow, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Wall, UBS Locations: Macao, China, Las, American
Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz says a recession is hurtling toward the US economy. He pointed to stocks falling in lockstep with rising unemployment claims in 2007, 2000, 1990, 1981, 1973, and 1969. Today, investors are again doing a poor job of forecasting rising unemployment claims in the months ahead, Kantrowitz believes. Underpinning Wilson's call is an earnings recession this year that investors aren't pricing in. "We first started talking about the coming earnings recession a year ago and received very strong pushback, just like today.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Michael Kantrowitz doesn't, Piper Sandler, it's, Louis, Greg Boutle, Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, Venu Krishna, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Wilson, Albert Edwards Organizations: Energy, Survey, Federal Reserve Bank of St, BNP, Barclays, Conference, Board, National Federal, Independent, of Labor Statistics, Generale's Locations: lockstep
Snowflake should emerge as a long-term artificial intelligence winner despite a host of near-term snowstorms, Wall Street analysts think. The cloud stock dropped more than 16% last Thursday after the company shared product revenue guidance that fell short of consensus expectations and results that indicated slowing growth. Even with these headwinds, many analysts remain positive on Snowflake's long-term trajectory, viewing an acquisition and the transition to the cloud as two catalysts for the stock. Deutsche Bank's Brad Zelnick said in a recent note that AI, among other developments, should drive customer stickiness and improved use cases. A murky future Not everyone seems optimistic about Snowflake's AI potential, however.
Persons: Snowflake, Brent Thill, Piper Sandler's Brent Bracelin, Raymond James, Simon Leopold, Frank Slootman, Goldman Sachs, Kash Rangan, Rangan, Brad Zelnick, Redburn, Alex Haissl, Haissl, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall Street, Wolfe Research, Snowflake's Summit, Deutsche, Palo Alto Networks Locations: Snowflake, Las Vegas
The S & P 500 's range breakout last week may not signal a bull market ahead, Morgan Stanley warned. But he said that isn't enough to confirm a new bull market given there are signals warning otherwise. "Rather than a short squeeze, the market was driven by the biggest winners as more market participants convinced themselves the next bull market may have begun and they can't afford to miss it." .SPX 6M line The S & P 500's last six months Market fundamentals also aren't helping the bull case, he said. Excluding technology stocks, the S & P 500's price-to-earnings multiple is 18 times, still putting it in the top 15% of historical levels.
Investors should take a long-term view of the market, according to Luke Barrs of Goldman Sachs Asset Management. A long-term focus keeps Barrs level-headed when faced with a constant barrage of concerns that leads some to panic-sell. 6 places to put your money right nowAfter breaking down his investing philosophy, Barrs shared six investments he likes right now. Going forward, emerging markets stocks should benefit from a weaker US dollar, stronger earnings, and China's continued economic reopening, which is leading to a tourism boom. Within emerging markets, Barrs especially likes India.
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