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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: China facing many challenges, but stock market 'still has room to run'Jason Katz of UBS says China is underinvested, and that the groundwork is being laid for further upside for the markets.
Persons: Jason Katz Organizations: UBS Locations: China
AdvertisementThe stakes are high heading into Tesla's Robotaxi Day on Thursday night in California. AdvertisementAs is typical, Musk's promise that the robotaxi business was taking shape offset a major earnings miss and helped juice Tesla's languishing stock price. Spak wrote. With all this in mind, Jonas isn't sure Musk can live up to investors' high expectations. Advertisement"Tesla's future valuation is highly dependent on its ability to develop, manufacture, and commercialize autonomous technologies," Jonas wrote.
Persons: , Elon Musk, Tesla's Uber, Musk, Joseph Spak, Spak, didn't, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Tesla's FSD, there's, Jonas isn't Organizations: Service, Investors, Tesla, UBS, Hertz, California Department of Motor Vehicles Locations: Tesla's, California, Robotaxi, Los Angeles
Passengers line up to check in at Chengdu Tianfu International Airport on October 6, 2024 as China's week-long National Day holiday draws to a close. China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's Golden Week holiday affirmed a trend in more cautious spending, while consumers put greater emphasis on experiences. The Golden Week holiday in China commemorates the founding of the People's Republic of China on Oct. 1. "The Golden Week consumption could still suggest a modest recovery versus August, in our view, due to trade-in subsidies (for appliances and autos) and consumption vouchers issued by the local governments," Peng said. During Golden Week, mainland China recorded 765 million domestic trips, up from both the prior year and before the pandemic, according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Trip.com, Kenneth Chow, Oliver Wyman, Chow, It's, Christine Peng, Peng Organizations: Chengdu Tianfu International, China News Service, Getty, BEIJING, China Film Administration, Consumers, CNBC, UBS, Ministry of Culture, Tourism Locations: Chengdu, China, People's Republic of China, Greater China, Japan, Thailand
Tesla is about to unveil its Robotaxi, the self-driving car Elon Musk has talked about for years. Tesla will host its long-awaited Robotaxi event on Thursday, where the company is set to unveil the self-driving car Musk has teased for years. Tesla shares slumped earlier this year after Musk moved the Robotaxi event from August to October, which fueled concerns about the new technology. Tesla is hosting the Robotaxi event at Warner Bros. That venue may be able to demo the self-driving car with a Hollywood polish, analysts have said.
Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, , Elon, Jay Woods, They've, Woods, Musk, UBS Tesla, Wedbush, Garrett Nelson, Nelson, CFRA Organizations: Service, Freedom Capital, Schwab Network, UBS, Warner Bros, Bloomberg, Truist Securities Truist Securities, Optimus, Wedbush, Tesla, CFRA Research Locations: Hollywood
US stocks traded mixed as investors looked ahead to the central bank's meeting minutes. Traders are anticipating a quarter-point rate cut in November. Monetary policy is in focus after an unexpectedly hot job report in September, fueling doubt over whether the Fed will issue another jumbo rate cut this year. "The tone of the Fed minutes should not change expectations of further rate cuts—the Fed is still scrambling to catch up with inflation slowing in the US, and started cutting rates late. AdvertisementAccording to Pantheon Macroeconomics, the Fed is more likely to begin cutting rates in 25-basis-point increments rather than issuing another 50-basis-point rate cut.
Persons: , Paul Donovan Organizations: Service, Reserve, UBS Global Wealth Management, Pantheon, Fed, US Department of Justice
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBrent could hit around $87 per barrel by year-end: UBS Global Wealth ManagementWayne Gordon of UBS Global Wealth Management discusses the impact of the Middle East conflict and China's stimulus on the global oil market.
Persons: Brent, UBS Global Wealth Management Wayne Gordon Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management
"We reiterate our Overweight rating on the name as NVDA remains our Top Pick." JPMorgan reiterates Charles Schwab as overweight JPMorgan raised its price target on the stock to $86 per share from $78. "We are initiating coverage of Morningstar (MORN) with a Buy rating and a $390 price target. Wells Fargo reiterates Tesla as underweight Wells says it remains "skeptical" heading into Tesla's robotaxi day later this week. "We are initiating coverage of MBX Biosciences with an Overweight rating and Dec 2025 price target of $30."
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, TD Cowen, Cowen, Wolfe, Wells, Bernstein, Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, Milton, Irma, JPMorgan, Charles Schwab, Morningstar, Redburn, Goldman, Tesla, TSLA, Key, Affirm's, it's, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Abbott, Susquehanna, KeyBanc Organizations: Anheuser Busch InBev, InBev, Humana, STARS, Microsoft, Disney, JPMorgan, UBS, Biotech, Legend Biotech, Barclays, Optimus, Qualcomm, Express, American Express, Netflix, Bicara Therapeutics, Abbott Labs, Howmet Aerospace, Commercial Aerospace & Defense, Bank of America, Apple, MBX Biosciences, Delta, Argus, McDonald's Corp Locations: China, Wells Fargo, F4Q17, 1H26, Tesla's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigher for longer will be tougher on banks, says UBS' Erika NajarianErika Najarian, UBS large cap banks analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what bank investors want from interest rates, if the bank outlooks stand, and much more.
Persons: Erika Najarian Erika Najarian Organizations: UBS
A blockbuster jobs report raises the stakes for upcoming inflation data, BofA analysts say. AdvertisementThe September jobs report was good news, but it gives investors more reason to brace for the next inflation reading, Bank of America analysts say. Economists forecast the CPI report will show inflation continued to cool last month, rising 2.3% year-over-year compared to 2.5% in August. AdvertisementHowever, with the blockbuster September jobs report, some economists say inflation is still a concern. The September jobs report blew past forecasts, with 254,000 nonfarm payrolls added compared to expectations of 150,000.
Persons: , Brian Rose Organizations: Service, Bank of America, CPI, Fed, UBS
Wells Fargo upgrades Gilead to overweight from equal weight Wells says the biopharma company has an attractive setup. Wells Fargo upgrades Canadian National to overweight from equal weight Wells says it sees "accelerating growth" for the railway company. Barclays downgrades Netflix to underweight from equal weight Barclay says the "growth algorithm is getting more complex." Wells Fargo downgrades Amazon to equal weight from overweight Wells says the "positive revision story [is] on pause for Amazon. JPMorgan upgrades Ally Financial to overweight from neutral and downgrades American Express to neutral from overweight JPMorgan downgraded American Express and says it sees "asymmetric risk."
Persons: Jefferies, Wells, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Barclay, NFLX, Piper Sandler, Piper, Mizuho, JPMorgan downgrades Lamb Weston, JPMorgan, downgrades Sherwin, Williams, KeyBanc, Bernstein, Campbell, underperform Bernstein, Coupang, CPNG, Barclays downgrades, Avery Dennison, Garmin, Hershey Organizations: Apple, Apple Intelligence LT, UW, Vertiv Holdings, Coty, Barclays, Netflix, MKSI, Mizuho, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Alliance, Deutsche, UBS, NXP, Express, American Express, Barclays downgrades DuPont, DuPont, Bank of America downgrades Constellation Brands, Bank of America, Constellation Brands, Bank of America downgrades Comerica, of America, CMA, Air Products, Hershey Locations: OW, Gilead, Canada, underperform
NXP Semiconductor — Shares added 0.8% after UBS upgraded the chipmaker to buy from neutral. Amazon — Shares slumped nearly 2% after Wells Fargo downgraded the e-commerce company to equal weight from overweight, citing slowing growth and competition from Walmart. Pfizer — Activist investor Starboard Value took a roughly $1 billion stake , seeking a turnaround at the struggling company, sources told CNBC. American Express — The financial services stock fell more than 1% after JPMorgan downgraded shares to neutral from overweight. Ally Financial — The financial services stock added 1.4% on the back of a JPMorgan upgrade to overweight from neutral.
Persons: Jefferies, Wells, Coty, Ashley Helgans, Bernstein, headwinds, Ally, Yun Li, Samantha Subin, Alex Harring, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox Organizations: , Semiconductor, UBS, Walmart, Pfizer —, CNBC, Jefferies, Hershey, American Express, JPMorgan, Wynn Resorts, United Locations: Wells Fargo, underperform, GLP, United Arab Emirates
Generac Holdings — Shares of the maker of power generators surged 8% as Hurricane Milton intensified into a Category 5 storm . Amazon — The e-commerce stock lost 2.9% after Wells Fargo downgraded shares to equal weight from overweight and cut its price target, citing slowing growth and competition from Walmart. Hershey – Shares fell 2% after the chocolate maker was downgraded to neutral at UBS and to market perform at Bernstein. JPMorgan downgraded shares to underweight from neutral, citing dwindling confidence in the Israel-based company grapples with share loss concerns and volume challenge. JPMorgan downgraded shares to neutral, citing limited EPS upside from here.
Persons: Milton, Wells, Chubb, Morgan Stanley, Coty, Ashley Helgans, Arcadium, Bernstein, GLP, Ciena, , Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox, Sean Conlon, Pia Singh Organizations: Generac Holdings, Walmart, Pfizer —, CNBC, Insurance, , Allstate, Travelers, Progressive, Hurricane, Universal Insurance, Air Products, Chemicals, Garmin —, Garmin, Jefferies, Rio Tinto, Hershey –, UBS, Butterfly Equity, JPMorgan, Apple Locations: Florida, Hurricane Milton, Fort Lauderdale , Florida, Wells Fargo, California, Israel
The upcoming inflation report will help determine the Fed's next move. Friday's surprisingly strong jobs data has slashed bets of a half-point rate cut. AdvertisementBut with September's jobs report crushing expectations, concerns may have been premature. AdvertisementHow inflation data could compound these forecasts will be known on Thursday, when the CPI report comes out. Still, with inflation still slightly above the central bank's 2% target , some analysts are cautioning investors not to forget about price pressures.
Persons: Friday's, , it's, they're, Mohamed El, Erian, Brian Rose, Seema Shah Organizations: UBS, Service, US, Bloomberg, CPI, Fed, Bank of America, Barclays
Brian Niccol and Elliott Hill are taking over Starbucks and Nike , respectively, just as a key market that weighed on their predecessors gets a boost. As China's economic stimulus takes shape, it could end up helping these global brands. Nike and Starbucks in China While the exact plans for Niccol and Hill are still unclear, the Chinese market seems like it will be an area of focus. At Starbucks, the company's leadership team in China has already been reshuffled since Niccol took over in September. Still, a rebound for China's consumer won't necessarily boost sales for Starbucks and Nike without better execution.
Persons: Brian Niccol, Elliott Hill, Hartmut Issel, Niccol, Matthew Friend, Hill, Chen Luo, Ellen Hazen, . Putnam, Hazen, Eric Clark, I'd, it's, Clark, America's Luo, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Starbucks, Nike, Bank of America — Nike, UBS, Bank of America, CNBC, Brands, Bank, America's Locations: China, United States, Niccol, .
China stocks have been on an upward tear since then, with the mainland's CSI 300 index rallying over 25% to rise nine days in a row. Shares of Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands have respectively gained nearly 8% and more than 2% this week. Stocks with a 14-day relative strength index reading, or RSI, above 70 are considered to be overbought. The stock has an RSI reading of 82. Fellow China play Wynn Resorts also has a high RSI reading of 86.
Persons: Robin Farley, Vistra, Angie Storozynski, Humana, Stephens, Paul Lejuez, WMT Organizations: People's Bank of China, CSI, Wynn Resorts, CNBC Pro, UBS, China, Seaport Research Partners, Humana, Dollar, Citi, Walmart, omni Locations: China, U.S, Macau
Long wait for IPO market to reopen is over: UBS
  + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLong wait for IPO market to reopen is over: UBSGareth McCartney, the global co-head of equity capital markets at UBS, discusses the current IPO market.
Persons: UBS Gareth McCartney Organizations: UBS
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAndersen: We're on track for a soft landing with payrolls at 150,000. Mark Andersen, Co-Head of Asset Allocation at UBS expects a "soft landing" for the U.S. economy, with payrolls at 150,000, possibly leading to Fed rate cuts amid global concerns like port strikes and Middle East tensions.
Persons: Mark Andersen Organizations: Andersen, UBS Locations: U.S
Humana's stock is down 23% in its worst weekly drop since 2020 and biggest two-day decline since 2009. The drop comes as Medicare downgraded ratings on some of Humana's health insurance plans. The health insurer's shares are down 23% since the start of the week, marking its biggest weekly drop since 2020 and its biggest two-day decline in 15 years. Over those days, the stock declined 22%, the biggest two-day drop since the financial crisis in 2009. They said Medicare Advantage plans could see further pressure if Democrats win in the upcoming elections, which would hinder Humana's recovery.
Persons: , It's, AJ Rice, Humana's downgrades Organizations: Service, Humana, UBS, Bank of America
Oil prices ticked higher in early trade on Thursday as investors weighed the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the potential for disruption to crude flows, against an amply-supplied global market. But an unexpected build in U.S. crude inventories on Wednesday helped ease some supply concerns and curbed oil price gains. Some investors remained unfazed as global crude supplies have yet to be disrupted by unrest in the key producing region, and spare OPEC capacity tempered worries. OPEC has enough spare oil capacity to compensate for a full loss of Iranian supply if Israel knocks out that country's facilities. "The effectively available spare capacity might be much lower if renewed attacks on energy infrastructure on countries in the region happen," said Giovanni Staunovo, analyst at UBS.
Persons: derek, East, Jim Simpson, Giovanni Staunovo Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Energy Information Administration, ANZ, East Daley Analytics, Reuters, OPEC, UBS Locations: Kuwait, Saudi Arabian, Israeli, Beirut's Bachoura, Iran, Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, Gulf
OpenAI has a $4 billion revolving line of credit, bringing its total liquidity to more than $10 billion, CNBC has learned. The base credit line is $4 billion, with an option to increase it by an additional $2 billion. Led by Thrive Capital, which planned to invest $1 billion, investors included existing backer Microsoft as well as chipmaker Nvidia. SoftBank, Khosla Ventures, Altimeter Capital, Fidelity Management & Research Company, MGX and Tiger Global also participated, according to sources familiar with the situation. Earlier this year, OpenAI was valued at a reported $80 billion, up from $29 billion in 2023.
Persons: Sam Altman, OpenAI, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Mira Murati, Bob McGrew, Barret Zoph, Altman, Bret Taylor, Sam, Taylor Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan Chase, Citi, UBS, HSBC, Microsoft, Nvidia, SoftBank, Khosla Ventures, Fidelity Management & Research Company, Tiger Global, The New York Times Locations: Santander, Wells Fargo, SMBC
President Biden said on Tuesday that his administration will be "monitoring for any price gouging activity" that benefits foreign ocean carriers, including those on the USMX board. He also said "foreign ocean carriers have made record profits since the pandemic, when Longshoremen put themselves at risk to keep ports open." UBS forecast that 20% of Maersk's total volume would touch a U.S. port that would be impacted by the strike. Acting Secretary Julie Su lashed out at the idea that labor wage increases would be passed onto U.S. exporters and importers. I know they understand, just as consumers and American workers understand, that foreign companies who profit from our economy and who employ American workers and have an impact on American consumers should do the right thing, and in that battle, we are always going to stand with American workers, American businesses and American consumers."
Persons: Biden, Longshoremen, majeure, Daggett, Harold Daggett, Lars Jenson, Pete Buttigieg, Julie Su, Taft, Hartley, Buttigieg, Larry Lindsey, Su, Peter Friedmann, I've, nonfarm, Helene, switchers, they're, Jim Bianco, CNBC's, Peter Boockvar, Alan Baer, Steve Lamar, Taft Hartley, Lamar, CNBC's Jeff Cox Organizations: CMA, U.S, United States Maritime Alliance, Vespucci, Federal Reserve, Transportation, Labor, International Longshoremen's Association, UBS, Maersk, Federal Maritime Commission, ILA, Boeing, The Lindsey Group, Agriculture Transportation Coalition, Bianco Research, Bleakley Financial, USA, American Apparel and Footwear Association, Biden Administration, Locations: East, Gulf Coast, U.S, autoworkers
Ilia Yefimovich/dpa | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesMarkets are in danger of being "whipsawed" by the combination of regional conflict in the Middle East and rising unemployment in the United States, says Stephen Roach, senior fellow at Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center. Most Asian markets fell on Wednesday, tracking losses on Wall Street overnight, as investors fretted over rising tensions in the Middle East. A higher-than-expected unemployment rate could prompt the Fed to accelerate the easing cycle to achieve a soft landing. The unemployment rate in September is expected to come in at 4.2%, according to data of a Reuters poll on LSEG, unchanged from the August figure. The unemployment rate had jumped to near a three-year high of 4.3% in July, a dramatic rise from the five-decade low of 3.4% in April 2023.watch now
Persons: Ilia Yefimovich, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Hassan Nasrallah, Roach, CNBC's, Stephen Stanley, Kelvin Tay Organizations: Missiles, Getty, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Wall, Israel Defense Forces, Santander, Organization of, Petroleum, Energy Information Administration, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Israel, Tel Aviv, Iran, United States, Iranian, Lebanon, U.S .
In today's big story, what you need to know about tonight's vice presidential debate , and why it's worth paying attention to. The big storyUp for debateDrew Hallowell/Getty Images; Andrew Harnik/Getty Images; Brandon Bell/Getty Images; Rebecca Zisser/BIOhio Sen. JD Vance and Minnesota Gov. ET for an uncharacteristically important vice presidential debate , write Business Insider's Brent D. Griffiths and John L. Dorman. Thanks to a hot streak at Miu Miu, Prada has done what few luxury retailers have been able to do this year: grow. In short, it doesn't get trendier than Miu Miu — and trendy is good for business.
Persons: , Drew Hallowell, Andrew Harnik, Brandon Bell, Rebecca Zisser, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Insider's Brent D, Griffiths, John L, Dorman, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris aren't, Vance, Walz, hasn't, Brent, Trump's, There's, Harris, Joe Biden's, Matt Stroshane, Tyler Le, Blackstone, Getty, Justin Sullivan, Nvidia's, Jensen, Mira Murati, Natalie Ammari, That's, Miu Miu, Prada, Jimmy Carter, Mark Rutte, Jens Stoltenberg, Claudia Sheinbaum, Elliott Hill, Mike Johnson, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Microsoft, Getty, Ohio Sen, Minnesota Gov, CBS, Netflix, Republican, UBS, Venture, Murati, Consulting, Nike, NYSE Locations: Minnesota, Silicon, New York, London
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Tuesday: Morgan Stanley initiates LatAm Airlines at overweight Morgan Stanley says shares of the Latin American airline are undervalued. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley says it's sticking with Tesla ahead of the company's robotaxi day. Bank of America upgrades Alcoa to buy from neutral The firm says the aluminum company is uniquely positioned. Goldman Sachs upgrades Ford to buy from neutral Goldman says it likes the auto giant's "opportunity in software and services." Morgan Stanley reiterates Nvidia as overweight Morgan Stanley says it's standing by the dominant maker of AI processors.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, LTM, Tesla, Oppenheimer, it's, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Raymond James, Atlassian, Hewlett Packard, it's bullish, Jefferies, KeyBanc, Davidson, Patrick, Wells, Nvidia's Blackwell, Raymond James downgrades Disney Organizations: LatAm, Bank of America, Alcoa, AA, Barclays, Apple, Citi, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Ford, HP, Meta, Google, YouTube, UBS, Netflix, Resources Locations: U.S, Mexico, Florida, Parks
Though the S & P 500 is up more than 20% in 2024, Evercore ISI sees a patch of volatility ahead as the November presidential election approaches — and the firm has stocks to play either outcome. Evercore ISI thinks that automotive components manufacturer Aptiv could rise in the event of a Harris/Walz win. Evercore ISI called the bank "a flight to quality name," saying it was in a competitive position despite an uncertain backdrop. If Trump wins, Charter Communications is one stock that could benefit from a "potentially benign tax environment" and a pickup in M & A activity, Evercore ISI said. Supermarket operator Kroger could also outperform due to its ability to pass through higher prices to consumers, according to Evercore ISI.
Persons: , Evercore, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, Harris, Walz, APTV, Colin Langan, Brian Meredith, Michael Rollins, Arun Sundaram Organizations: ISI, Democratic, Government, United, Affordable, Medicare, Wells Fargo, Smart, PNC Financial Services, Evercore ISI, PNC, UBS, Trump, Charter Communications, Citi, Kroger Locations: Wells, Regional
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