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Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's U.S. election victory has ratcheted up concerns about higher prices, prompting strategists to rethink the outlook for global bond yields and currencies. Trump's return to the White House is seen as likely to throw a wrench in the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle, potentially keeping an upward bias on Treasury yields. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher prices or a growing budget deficit. "Trump's election advances both possibilities as a trade war and increased fiscal spending work at cross purposes," he added. Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, stood at 2.337% on Wednesday, marginally lower for the session.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Alim Remtulla, Remtulla, Kamala Harris, there's, Trump, There's, Shannon Kirwin, Kirwin, Sameer Goel, CNBC's, doesn't, Goel, MUFG Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, Fed, CNBC, Treasury, Democratic, New York Stock Exchange, China News Service, Morningstar, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Trump, U.S, U.S ., Singapore, Malaysian, South Korean, ING Locations: Greensboro , North Carolina, Europe, United States, New York City, U.S, Mexico, Asia, China
AdvertisementElon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, co-heads of DOGE, are working out how to cut the federal government. Milei closed nine ministries, firing thousands of officials, and cut spending by an estimated 31%. Argentina's president says Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy should all go "all the way" in cutting US federal spending. Both Musk and Ramaswamy have repeatedly praised Milei and taken inspiration from him for their Department of Government Efficiency. While Milei has achieved most of his sweeping cuts via executive decree, US spending cuts would likely involve working with Congress, where Republicans will hold just a slim majority.
Persons: Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Javier Milei, Lex Fridman, Milei, Fridman, Ramaswamy, Musk, Donald Trump's Mar, Musk's Tesla Organizations: Ramaswamy, Government, Fox News, United Nations, Congress Locations: Argentine, Argentina, Milei, Lago, Musk's, Austin, New York
And when it comes to Thanksgiving food, it seems Americans are getting relief on their grocery bills this year following a few years of escalating costs. The national average cost for a 16-pound turkey is down 6% from 2023, according to the Farm Bureau. Overall turkey prices have decreased about 4% in the past year, according to the consumer price index. Farmers raised about 205 million turkeys in 2024, down 6% from 2023, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The aggregate impact has been lower turkey prices.
Persons: Robin Wenzel, Bernt Nelson, Nelson, Monty Rakusen, That's, , Robin Wenzel Wells, Wenzel Organizations: American Farm Bureau Federation, Farm Bureau, Deloitte, Finance, Food Institute, Farm, Farmers, U.S . Department of Agriculture, Digitalvision, Getty, Food, USDA Locations: Wells, Turkey, U.S, Ukraine
The euro has declined rapidly, meanwhile, briefly dipping below $1.05 on Nov. 14 for the first time since October 2023. Modeling by Barclays' economists shows the euro hitting dollar parity with a 10% tariff on European products and subsequent retaliation. The bank said the prospect of Trump tariffs and fiscal reforms had caused it to revise its view that the dollar would gradually decline through the year, instead seeing the U.S. currency "stronger for longer." Since hitting a low in September 2022, the euro has been comfortably back above parity even if below its long-range average. One of those 2022 factors roared back into focus this week, weighing broadly on European assets: the threat of escalating tensions with Russia.
Persons: Donald Trump, James Reilly, Reilly, George Saravelos, Trump, Saravelos, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: U.S, Republican, China —, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Federal, European Central Bank, FX Research, Deutsche Bank, Trump, Barclays, ECB, Fed Locations: Congress, China, U.S, Europe, Russia, Ukraine
Here are Trump's latest administration picks
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Megan Cassella | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere are Trump's latest administration picksCNBC's Megan Cassella reports on the latest news regarding the Trump transition.
Persons: Megan Cassella, Trump
Donald Trump's proposed tariffs will dent U.S. economic growth going into 2026, said Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth Carpenter. In the event that they are enacted all at once, they could result in a "big negative shock" to the economy, Carpenter told CNBC's Sri Jegarajah on the sidelines of Morgan Stanley's annual Asia Pacific Summit in Singapore. Carpenter, who maintained Morgan Stanley's base case of these tariffs being spread over 2025, said they would lead to higher inflation. "Then into 2026, we think growth starts to come down a great deal in the U.S. because of those tariffs and some of the other policies," he cautioned. Very clear, tariffs are a drag on growth for the U.S., not just for the countries that the tariffs are put on," Carpenter added.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Morgan Stanley's, Seth Carpenter, Trump, Carpenter, CNBC's Sri, Morgan, Mark Malek, Siebert, Joe Biden, Trump's, Malek, Ben Emons Organizations: Asia Pacific Summit, Microsoft, Apple, U.S . Federal Reserve, FedWatch Advisors Locations: China, CNBC's Sri Jegarajah, Morgan Stanley's, Singapore, U.S
AdvertisementTraders see a 45% chance the Fed pauses rate cuts in December, up from 17% last week. The rising odds come as markets digest a win for Trump, whose policies could complicate the Fed's plans. After two consecutive interest rate cuts, markets think the Federal Reserve might be ready to hit pause. AdvertisementThe rising odds come as markets continue to digest a win for Donald Trump, and as Fed officials have sounded cautious on the path of future policy easing in recent remarks. AdvertisementThe rising odds of a pause also come as Fed speakers this week have struck a cautious tone.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, David Kelly, Jerome Powell, he'd, Trump, JPMorgan's Kelly, They're, Kelly, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Cook, Powell Organizations: Trump, Reserve, JPMorgan, Fed, Federal, University of Virginia Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, Charlottesville, Dallas
Chris Unger | Ufc | Getty ImagesThere's considerable uncertainty over the contents of a future Republican tax package and the fate of the EV credit, experts said. Repealing all the IRA's green energy tax credits, including the EV credit, would offset that cost by about $921 billion, it said. She was getting ready to buy one thanks to the $7,500 EV credit, which made the vehicles more affordable, she said. To wait and buy in 2025 is "too big of a gamble" given Trump's antipathy toward the EV credit, she said. There's no question there's real risk in the EV credit going away.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jamie Wickett, Hogan Lovells, Wickett, Joe Biden, Trump, Chris Unger, Laura, Hogan, , wouldn't, it's, Ingrid Malmgren, Malmgren Organizations: Digitalvision, Getty, Biden, Republicans, Capitol, IRA, Elon, UFC, Madison, Garden, Ufc, Security, Tax, Chrysler Pacifica, Local, Plug, U.S . Treasury Department, Treasury Locations: New York, Charlotte , North Carolina
AdvertisementUS home prices and rents have soared in part because of a shortage of housing. These are the cost of land, a shortage of construction workers, regulations, and NIMBYism. The US is suffering from a deep shortage of homes, and it's driving sky-high home prices and rents. Advertisement"We just hear more and more that it's harder to find affordable pieces of land to develop for housing," Tobin said. Fewer construction workers means less — and slower — residential construction and higher wages for workers, which in turn leads to higher home prices.
Persons: Jim Tobin, Tobin, , ANDREW CABALLERO, REYNOLDS, NIMBY, Donald Trump Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, Trump Locations: Los Angeles, Seattle, Chicago, Brambleton , Virginia
U.S. and Asia are 'our top focus' in global equities: Strategist
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. and Asia are 'our top focus' in global equities: StrategistAnthony Raza of UOB Asset Management explains why his group is positive on U.S. and Asian equities, despite challenges from incoming president Donald Trump's potential policies.
Persons: Anthony Raza, Donald Trump's Organizations: U.S, UOB, Management Locations: Asia
Gold gains on softer dollar, widening Russia-Ukraine tensions
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Close up stack of gold bars, financial wealth concepts and businessGold prices rose for a third consecutive session to a one-week high on Wednesday, driven by a softer dollar and escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions that raised the demand for safe-haven assets. Spot gold added 0.32% to $2,640.19 per ounce by 0323 GMT, its highest since Nov. 11. The U.S. dollar rally paused after hitting a one-year high last week, making bullion more appealing to buyers holding other currencies. The market is adjusting its expectations for the Fed's cuts next year as inflation is becoming a bigger concern, which could be negative for gold, Spivak added. Spot silver was steady at 31.22 per ounce, platinum added 0.1% to $975.10 at $973.90 and palladium flat at $1,035.43.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Washington, Ilya Spivak, Donald Trump's, Spivak, Jeffrey Schmid Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Russia, Ukraine, , Kansas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's Treasury pick will be exceedingly important due to campaign promises, says Sen. CapitoSen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.) joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Capito's insights into Trump's pick for Treasury Secretary, if recess appointments could happen, and much more.
Persons: Sen, Capito Sen, Shelley Moore Capito Organizations: Treasury
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over four basis points to 4.4178%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading at 4.2932% after rising by more than two basis points. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Wednesday as investors considered the geopolitical situation and assessed the latest economic data. Elsewhere, investors weighed the latest economic data, with new housing starts falling short of expectations in October, and building permits slipping month over month, according to data published Tuesday. Later in the week, investors will be watching out for October's flash purchasing managers' index reports from S&P Global for the services and manufacturing sector.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Global, Federal Reserve Locations: Russia, Ukraine, U.S, Ukraine's, Kyiv
In today's big story, all eyes are on Nvidia's earnings report after the bell and what it says about the chip giant's future. As the world's top provider of AI chips, demand for Blackwell is a bellwether for the industry's appetite for continued investment in AI. Reports of Blackwell chips overheating spooked the market earlier this week. AdvertisementIt's another cost companies investing in AI chips need to consider in addition to the energy required to fuel them, which has been a headache for tech giants . Barclays trimmed earning estimates next year by as much as 10% for some of the biggest buyers of AI chips, like Meta, Amazon, and Alphabet.
Persons: Jocko, we've, Getty, Tyler Le, It's, Matthew Fox, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, , BI's Emma Cosgrove, There's, hasn't, Howard Lutnick ANGELA WEISS, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Julian Robertson, Tiger hasn't, Goldman, Vivek Bantwal, Goldman Sachs, Rebecca Zisser, Rob Kim, Arturo Holmes, Chelsea Jia Feng, Trump's, Elon, colluding, Gary Wang, Sam Bankman, Gina Raimondo, Antony Blinken, Bill Hwang, Dan DeFrancesco, Grace Lett, Ella Hopkins, Hallam Bullock, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Retired Navy, Nvidia, Blackwell, Barclays, Getty, Trump, New, Tiger Management, Partners, Companies, Alexa, Uber, Ticketmaster, Apple, Google, DOJ, International Network of AI, Archegos Capital Management Locations: New York, Silicon, San Francisco, Chicago, London
Bitcoin pushed to a fresh all-time peak above $94,000, carried by expectations for a friendlier regulator environment for cryptocurrencies under Trump. "The 'Trump Trade' that boosted the greenback is facing challenges from Trump's controversial cabinet nominations and the escalation in the Russian-Ukraine war," DBS strategists wrote in a client note. Traders continue to pare back expectations for an interest-rate cut at the Fed's next meeting in December. The dollar added 0.9% to 154.84 yen after falling sharply to 153.28 on Tuesday following the Russia news. The euro held steady at $1.0598 , having recovered from a drop to $1.0524 in the previous session.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Bitcoin, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Trump's, pare, CME's, Jerome Powell Organizations: U.S, Moscow, Trump, Treasury, Wall Street, Commerce Department, Trump Trade, DBS, Traders, Financial Times Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia
Elon Musk emerges as key voice in Trump's tech policy
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailElon Musk emerges as key voice in Trump's tech policyCNBC's Deirdre Bosa reports on the latest development in president-elect Trump's potential policy.
Persons: Elon Musk, Deirdre Bosa
Jim Cramer said Wednesday he's feeling even better about Apple after a new piece of Wall Street research. "This piece makes me feel more confident [about Apple]," Jim said Wednesday. "They are transitioning in a very deft way from making China by far their biggest market to India," Jim said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. An Apple logo is displayed on a smartphone with stock market values in the background.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, , Jim, Donald Trump's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Apple, JPMorgan, Apple's, F1Q25, UBS, Apple Intelligence, CNBC, Getty Locations: China, India, Philippines, Indonesia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump 2.0: U.S. growth likely to 'come down a great deal' in 2026, Morgan Stanley economist saysSeth Carpenter, global chief economist at Morgan Stanley, says the impact of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's tariffs will depend on how they're implemented — "all at once" or "phased in over time."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Seth Carpenter, Donald Organizations: Trump
AdvertisementUS home prices and rents have soared in part because of a shortage of housing. These are the cost of land, a shortage of construction workers, regulations, and NIMBYism. The US is suffering from a deep shortage of homes, and it's driving sky-high home prices and rents. Advertisement"We just hear more and more that it's harder to find affordable pieces of land to develop for housing," Tobin said. Fewer construction workers means less — and slower — residential construction and higher wages for workers, which in turn leads to higher home prices.
Persons: Jim Tobin, Tobin, , ANDREW CABALLERO, REYNOLDS, NIMBY, Donald Trump Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, Trump Locations: Los Angeles, Seattle, Chicago, Brambleton , Virginia
China's central bank on Wednesday kept major benchmark lending rates unchanged, as Beijing assesses the effects of its recent stimulus measures. The People's Bank of China said it would keep the 1-year loan prime rate at 3.1%, and the 5-year LPR at 3.6%. The 1-year LPR affects corporate and most household loans in China, while the 5-year LPR acts as a benchmark for mortgage rates. Only retail sales beat expectations, with a 4.8% year-on-year increase, indicating that recent stimulus had started seeping into certain sectors of the economy. Goldman, however, maintained "overweight" stance on China equities, forecasting a 13% upside to the benchmark CSI 300 index next year.
Persons: Bruce Pang, Pang, Pan Gongsheng, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Donald Trump's Organizations: People's Bank of China, People's Bank of, Reuters, Ministry of Finance Locations: Beijing, China's, People's Bank of China, China, JLL
The bipartisan House Ethics Committee deadlocked Wednesday on whether to release a report on its investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct and other wrongdoing by former Republican Rep. Matt Gaetz. Ethics Chair Michael Guest, R-Miss., told reporters after the closed-door meeting on Capitol Hill, "There has been no agreement to release the report." She stressed that the vote in the 10-member committee, which is evenly divided between Republicans and Democrats, fell along partisan lines. In September he said he would no longer voluntarily participate in the ethics probe, while revealing that the committee had asked him whether he ever "engaged in sexual activity with any individual under 18." Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee urged the FBI earlier Wednesday to turn over all the evidence it had gathered from its investigation into Gaetz.
Persons: Sen, JD Vance, Matt Gaetz, Donald Trump's, Michael Guest, Susan Wild of, Wild, Guest's, Gaetz, Trump, Guest, Gaetz's, Dick Durbin Organizations: U.S, Capitol, Republican, Republicans, Democrats, Department of Justice, DOJ, Senate Locations: Washington ,, Susan Wild of Pennsylvania
AdvertisementElon Musk's DOGE is considering developing a mobile app for tax filing, per the Washington Post. Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy have been tasked with slashing government spending under Trump. Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency reportedly has its first target — the US tax system. Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy's cost-cutting agency has discussed developing a mobile app that would let Americans file their taxes for free, two sources told The Washington Post. Musk and DOGE did not respond to a request for comment from Business Insider, sent outside normal working hours.
Persons: Elon, Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Vivek Ramaswamy's, Ramaswamy, Donald Trump's, Joe Biden, Musk Organizations: Washington Post, Intuit, Trump, Elon Musk's Department, Government Efficiency, Washington, Republicans, Treasury, Business Locations: Washington
AdvertisementLawyers for Donald Trump on Wednesday demanded the immediate dismissal of his hush-money case. Trump can't be sentenced while either president-elect or president, they argued. Donald Trump's legal team filed for immediate dismissal of his New York hush-money case on Wednesday, arguing that he cannot be sentenced while either president-elect or president. "On November 5, 2024, the Nation's People issued a mandate that supersedes the political motivations of DANY's 'People,'" the defense filing concludes, using the acronym for the District Attorney of New York. One prosecutor should not have "practical power to interfere with the ability of a popularly elected president to carry out his constitutional functions," the defense filing says.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump's, DANY's, Todd Blanche, Emil Bove, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Bragg, Juan Merchan, Stormy Daniels Organizations: Wednesday, District, Manhattan, Attorney, Democrat, New York City Locations: Manhattan, York, New York, New
One of the country's biggest cable TV companies doesn't want its cable networks anymore. That's the pitch Comcast is making Wednesday as it announces plans to split off almost all of its cable TV networks into a new company. Into the spinco goes every cable network Comcast owns except for Bravo. For the record: Comcast says it thinks the cable networks it is ditching can be successful on their own. And as I said last month: Comcast is getting rid of its basic cable networks for the same reason everyone who owns basic cable networks would like to get rid of their cable networks.
Persons: Brian Roberts, Trump, Kamala Harris, Brendan Carr, Trump's Organizations: Cable, Comcast, Bravo, CNBC, MSNBC, NBC, Paramount, Warner Bros, Discovery, Disney, Federal Communications Commission, CBS, Fox News Locations: USA
On Wednesday, Musk and Ramaswamy outlined their vision for DOGE, which Musk previously said would cut $2 trillion from the federal budget. Ron DeSantis' Presidential Announcement with Elon MuskTheir opinion piece, published in the Wall Street Journal, is lengthy and dense, filled with Supreme Court rulings and decades-old statutes. Musk and Ramaswamy wrote that their goal for deep reform will be rooted in two Supreme Court rulings. Musk and Ramaswamy make it clear that by eliminating federal regulations, there should also be "mass head-count reductions across the federal bureaucracy." Musk and Ramaswamy note that Trump has implied that the statute is unconstitutional and predict that the Supreme Court would agree.
Persons: Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Musk, Ron DeSantis, Loper, Raimondo, Chevron, Trump, haven't, DOGE, Musk's, Tesla, overreach Organizations: Department of Government, Florida Gov, Elon, Street, Management, Environmental Protection Agency, Chevron, Natural Resources Defense Council, Congress, Corporation for Public Broadcasting, Public Broadcasting Service, National Public Radio, Social Security, SpaceX, Trump, Musk Locations: Florida, America, West Virginia
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