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Bank of America (BAC.N) rose marginally in premarket trading after the lender posted a 20% surge in second-quarter profit, while Morgan Stanley's (MS.N) shares pared early gains after the bank's profit slipped 18%, hurt by a deal-making drought. The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) has fallen 5.2% so far this year, underperforming the S&P 500 index (.SPX) which has notched a 17.8% gain after the biggest banking crisis since 2008 earlier this year took down three lenders and pummeled the sector. Overall earnings across industries are expected to decline 8.1% for the quarter, according to Refinitiv data. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.08%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 26.25 points, or 0.17%. Pinterest (PINS.N) gained 3.3% as Evercore ISI upgraded its rating on the stock to "outperform" and Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) climbed 1.1% after Bank of America added the chipmaker to its U.S. No.1 list.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Sam Stovall, Wells, Lockheed Martin, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Nivedita Bhattacharjee Organizations: Bank of America, Dow, Nasdaq, CFRA Research, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of New York Mellon, PNC Financial Services, Lockheed, Dow e, Federal Reserve, ISI, Marvell Technology, U.S, Thomson Locations: New York, Bengaluru
Stocks could continue to gain momentum in the week ahead as traders turn their attention to earnings results after the past week's softer inflation news. The major benchmarks are headed for a positive week Friday after encouraging consumer and wholesale inflation in June cemented the likelihood that the Federal Reserve is closer to the end of its rate-hiking campaign. Some market participants expect this period could mark the trough for earnings, and urge traders to pay more attention to forward guidance. "And that's a great sign for the market and market health." ET: NAHB housing market index (July) Earnings: Bank of America , Morgan Stanley , Bank of N.Y. Mellon , Lockheed Martin , PNC Financial , J.B. Hunt Wednesday 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Sage, Rob Williams, Sam Stovall, gee, Stovall, It's, Yung, Yu Ma, MRB, Sage Advisory's Williams, Williams, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Baird's Ross Mayfield, Lockheed Martin, Baker Hughes, Goldman Sachs, Kinder Morgan, Equifax, Johnson Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Reserve, Open, BMO Wealth Management's, MRB Partners, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Investors, Bank, N.Y, Mellon, Lockheed, PNC Financial, J.B, Hunt, Housing, Nasdaq, Citizens Financial, Halliburton, Las Vegas Sands, IBM, Tesla, Netflix, American Airlines, United Airlines, CSX, Comerica, PPG, Roper Technologies, American Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon Valley, Las Vegas, Horton
Recent inflation data points to a strong economy that could propel the S & P 500 to break the 5,000-point threshold by the end of 2023, according to Peter Essele, head of portfolio management for Commonwealth Financial Network. June data for two closely watched inflation gauges released this week, the consumer price index and producer price index , showed costs easing across the board. That signals to Essele the S & P 500 can keep charging upward, with his prediction of the 5,000 level being reached implying the S & P 500 will gain another 11.8% from Wednesday's close. The S & P 500 has already had a stellar year, rising 17%. We could easily see the S & P 500 top 5,000 by the end of the year."
Persons: Peter Essele, Essele, Sam Stovall, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Commonwealth Financial Network, CPI, PPI, CNBC Locations: Wednesday's
"Really good first halves like the one we just had tends to lead to outsize performance for the second half of the year," says Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at the Carson Group. No one knows for certain what the second half of the year will bring, but market history suggests that the party may just be getting started. In the first six months of this year, the S&P 500 logged a total return of more than 16%. In fact, I doubt we do that over the second half of this year," he says. Opinions vary widely among market soothsayers, but in aggregate they expect the S&P 500 to shed 6% from July through December.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, Detrick, we've, Sam Stovall, Stovall, wouldn't, Warren Buffett Organizations: Carson, Bloomberg, Wall Street
That compares with a 14.8% gain for the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX). Microsoft (MSFT.O), Apple (AAPL.O), Nvidia (NVDA.O), Amazon.com (AMZN.O) and Tesla (TSLA.O) combined account for 43.8% weight in the index, according to Refinitiv data as of Monday's close. The special rebalancing may be conducted at any time if the aggregate weight of companies, each having more than 4.5% weight in the index, tops 48%, according to Nasdaq. COULD THE S&P 500 FOLLOW SUIT? Apple and Microsoft are the only two firms with weight over 4.5% in the S&P 500.
Persons: Hogan, Cameron Lilja, Dow, Wells, Sam Stovall, Sruthi Shankar, Medha Singh, Bansari, David Randall, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Riley, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Dow Jones, Tesla, Booking Holdings, Gilead Sciences, Devices, CFRA, Thomson Locations: Wells, Gilead, Bengaluru, New York
Still, the unemployment rate fell to 3.6% in June from 3.7% in May and average hourly earnings rose 0.4%, the same as May. On Thursday, private payroll provider ADP's strong U.S. labor market data had sparked an equities sell-off and boosted Treasury yields. While Friday's government data was initially met with a more muted market reaction, stocks gained some ground during the session before losing ground again in afternoon trading. The dollar slumped after the labor market data as some traders were betting that the Fed could cut rates sooner than previously expected. The dollar index fell 0.795%, with the euro up 0.73% to $1.0965.
Persons: Mike Segar, nonfarm payrolls, Quincy Krosby, payrolls, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Sterling, Brent, Sinéad Carew, Caroline Valetkevitch, Nell Mackenzie, Naomi Rovnick, Tom Westbrook, Andrew Heavens, David Holmes, Will Dunham, David Evans Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, U.S, CFRA Research, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Charlotte , North Carolina, New York, London, Sydney
So when the yield curve does make headlines, it's generally because it's setting off some alarm bells among market watchers. In general terms, that means short-term bonds are paying higher interest rates than long-term bonds. An inverted yield curve is a classic signal that a recession is on the horizon. An inverted yield curve makes the math unprofitable for banks in many cases. But in another sense, an inverted yield curve presaging a recession is sort of a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Persons: It's, Megan Horneman, Sam Stovall, doesn't, Stovall, Banks Organizations: Verdence Capital Advisors, Federal Reserve
New York CNN —The labor market just won’t quit, but this could be another case of “good news is bad news” for the Federal Reserve. But while job growth is a sign of a healthy economy, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that he wants to see more slack in the labor market in order to bring inflation down. But in April, the unemployment rate reached 3.4%, with the 12-month average of unemployment reaching a record low of 3.6%. Plus, the mass retirement of baby boomers, slowing of immigration rates and long-term health impacts of Covid have also permanently altered the labor market. Why it matters: These changes have led many economists to say that the labor market doesn’t matter anymore, said Kathryn Rooney Vera, chief market strategist at StoneX.
Persons: won’t, Jerome Powell, , Joe Brusuelas, Kathryn Rooney Vera, boomer, we’ve, , Vera, Sam Stovall, Bryan Mena, Stovall, Jordan Valinsky Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Gross, RSM, Labor, Fed Fed, CFRA Research, Federal, CNN, Handil Holdings Locations: New York,
While together, the Nasdaq's nearly 20% annual gain in 1983 was quite respectable, the second half was clearly less fruitful. "I don't like the setup now for the beginning of the second half, although I think the second half could be strong." .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD peformance For the broader S & P 500, recent history suggests that its first-half strength, rising almost 16%, could be built on over the next six months. "That's why I think a strong first half tends to carry over into a strong second half." Stovall said he can envision some choppiness ahead for the S & P 500.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Wells, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Stocks, tech's, Sam Stovall Sam Stovall, Stovall, UBS Global Wealth Management Claudia Panseri, Claudia Panseri, Panseri, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Procter & Gamble, Club, JPMorgan, Big Tech, FactSet, Federal Reserve, CFRA Research, CNBC, UBS Global Wealth Management, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're likely to see 'a positive second half' in the S&P, says CFRA’s Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss latest market trends, whether the S&P 500 rally can hold in the second half, and more.
Persons: CFRA’s Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
LaVorgna is in the camp that says it will be difficult if not impossible for the U.S. to avoid at least a modest period of negative growth in the second half. "The only way we won't have a deep recession is if the Fed has the courage to ease very quickly." "The second half will be difficult. And if history is any guide, the strength that has marked the first half of the year likely will carry over into the second half. In years when the index gained more than 10% in the first half, the second half usually sees double the normal second-half return, according to CFRA.
Persons: Joseph LaVorgna, Trump, LaVorgna, That's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, hasn't, CFRA, Sam Stovall, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson Organizations: Federal, Nikko Securities America, Fed, Market Committee, Atlanta, Moody's, University of Michigan, Treasury, Pantheon Locations: U.S, nonfarm payrolls, Friday's
With two days left in the first half, the S&P 500 (.SPX) is up 14% in 2023 - a rebound that surprised many analysts after equities’ brutal 2022 decline. If history is a guide, stocks’ strong start may give them a tailwind in the second half. Here are six key questions investors are posing as they assess the market's prospects:WHERE’S THAT RECESSION? While the S&P 500 has gained 14% this year, the equal-weight version of the index -- a proxy for the average stock -- has gained just 4.2%. The S&P 500 tech sector (.SPLRCT) now trades at 27 times forward earnings, according to Refinitiv Datastream.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Refinitiv, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: YORK, Nasdaq, New York Federal Reserve, Treasury, UBS, CAN, Apple Inc, Nvidia Corp, HSBC, Reuters Graphics, Advisory Services, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Silicon
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors playing catch up should boost the markets in the second half of 2023: CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA chief investment strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss market performance in the second half of the year and what to expect from the Federal Reserve for the rest of the year.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: Federal Reserve
A big start for stocks in the first six months of 2023 could be a signal that even bigger things are on the way for the rest of the year. Historically, a positive first half has led to gains in the second half 72% of the time, above the normal 69% rate in data cited by CFRA that goes back to 1945. However, history also has shown that the stronger the start, the stronger the finish. The scenario has seen gains 82% of the time. "With this year's S & P 500 gain of nearly 15% YTD through June 16, history suggests investors hold onto their hats, since a stellar H2 may be in order," Sam Stovall, CFRA's chief investment strategist, said in a client note Tuesday.
Persons: CFRA, that's, Sam Stovall
Eight of the 11 S&P 500 sub-sectors were in the red, with the energy index (.SPNY) leading declines. U.S. markets ended lower on Friday as comments from Fed officials curtailed optimism that the central bank was nearing the end of its aggressive interest rate hikes. Traders now see a 72% chance of Fed hiking its key benchmark rates by 25 basis points in July, according to CMEGroup's Fedwatch Tool. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.43-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.82-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 11 new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 38 new highs and 40 new lows.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Tesla, Rivian, homebuilding, Sam Stovall, CMEGroup's, Michael Barr, Jerome Powell's, Morgan Stanley, Daniel Zhang, advancers, Shristi Achar, Shubham Batra, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi, Shounak Organizations: Therapeutics, Nike, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S . Federal Reserve, CFRA Research, Tesla Inc, Reuters, EV, U.S . House Financial, PayPal Holdings, KKR & Co, Alibaba, PDD Holdings, Dow Jones, Adobe Inc, Dice Therapeutics, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, Europe, China, Bengaluru
A 1.7% decline in Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and a 1.3% dip in Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) weighed on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. S&P 500 fell 0.36% to end the session at 4,409.77 points. Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, eight declined, led by communication services (.SPLRCL), down 1%, followed by a 0.83% loss in information technology (.SPLRCT). Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 1.4-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 24 new highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 112 new highs and 67 new lows.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Thomas Barkin, Sam Stovall, Morgan Stanley, Sruthi Shankar, Shristi, Noel Randewich, Vinay Dwivedi, Richard Chang Organizations: Microsoft, Nasdaq Adobe, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, Richmond Fed, CFRA, University of Michigan's, Microsoft Corp, Inc, Nvidia Corp, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Adobe Inc, iRobot Corp, Micron Technology, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru, Oakland , California
For now, it's not a brighter economic picture or an exuberant earnings outlook pushing stocks higher. Another reason that some investors have come back to stocks is simply because the S & P 500 ended the week more than 23% above last October's low. "The next level of resistance is above 4,500 on the S & P. Historically, the market gains 14.5% on average between the 20% threshold level and the next decline of 5% or more. "Inflation peaked in June of last year and has been rapidly declining over the past 12 months. Trading the week after is often treacherous, Hirsch said, with the Dow Jones Industrials falling in 27 of the past 33 years and the S & P 500 down in 23 of 33 years.
Persons: it's, Sam Stovall, Clinton, Wells Fargo, Chris Harvey, Harvey, Jay Hatfield, Price, CarMax, Stovall, Jeffrey Hirsch, Hirsch, Dow Jones Industrials, York Fed's John Williams, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, Lisa Cook, Adriana Kugler, Avid Bioservices, Patterson Cos, Christopher Waller, Michael Bloom, Fred Imbert, Alex Harring Organizations: Fed, CFRA, Microsoft, Infrastructure Capital Management, Consumer, PPI, FedEx, Darden, Dow, Housing, Financial, Enerpac, Avid, Banking, Accenture, Commercial Metals, P, PMI Locations: New York, York, Dublin
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures also both traded down almost 0.1%. The moves follow a winning session on Wall Street as investors bet interest rate hikes were coming to an end after the Federal Reserve announced it would not increase rates at its meeting this week. Up nearly 3%, the S&P 500 is on pace to notch its best weekly performance since March. However, expiration week often tends to be higher during bull markets and lower in bear markets, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. That may bode well at least for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which are posting strong weeks thus far.
Persons: Dow, Sam Stovall, bode Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Virgin Galactic, Adobe, Wall, CFRA Locations: New York City, UnitedHealth
Still-hawkish Fed pauses rate tightening after 10 straight hikes
  + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +13 min
While the market expected a hawkish pause, this is even a little bit more hawkish than market participants anticipated and that’s why you’re having a negative reaction in risk assets. So, it does suggest that the Fed is looking to tighten policy further, but the big question is can the Fed credibly commit to two more rate hikes if they just decided to actually hold rates steady. And what is the threshold for further rate hikes? “GEORGE YOUNG, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, VILLERE & CO, NEW ORLEANS"This a pregnant pause, meaning that they said they're going to pause hikes today but they're going to increase later. ANGELO KOURKAFAS, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, EDWARD JONES, ST LOUIS"We're seeing a more hawkish pause.
Persons: QUINCY KROSBY, Powell, He’s, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, ” ANDRZEJ SKIBA, ” GENNADIY GOLDBERG, they’ve, ” ELLEN HAZEN, Logan, Waller, “ GEORGE, ANGELO KOURKAFAS, EDWARD JONES, They've, MICHAEL BROWN, hawkishly, WHITNEY WATSON, GOLDMAN, , STOVALL, ” PAUL NOLTE, MICHAEL JAMES Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S, RBC, CPI, PPI, Powell &, Cleveland Fed, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, CHARLOTTE, NC, WISCONSIN, WELLESLEY , MASSACHUSETTS, ORLEANS, GOLDMAN SACHS, Manheim, ALLENTOWN, CHICAGO
FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 5, 2023. Traders now see a 63% chance the central bank will raise interest rates in July, up from 60% earlier on Wednesday, according to the CME Fedwatch tool. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained 3.83 points, or 0.09%, to end at 4,372.84 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 53.16 points, or 0.39%, to 13,626.48. The S&P 500 health sector index and the S&P 500 managed healthcare index both fell. The S&P 500 is up about 14% so far in 2023, while the Nasdaq has climbed about 30%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, , Sam Stovall Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Market, CFRA Research, Traders, Nvidia, Broadcom, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, UnitedHealth, Universal Health Services, HCA Healthcare Locations: New York City, U.S
Further rate increases would "take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments," it said. The new projections, adding a hawkish tilt to Wednesday's interest rate decision, show policymakers at the median see the benchmark overnight interest rate rising from the current 5.00%-5.25% range to a 5.50%-5.75% range by the end of the year. Half of the 18 Fed officials penciled in their "dot" at that level, with three seeing the policy rate moving even higher - including one official who sees it rising above 6%. Two Fed officials see rates staying where they are, and four see a single additional quarter-percentage-point increase as likely appropriate. Reporting by Howard Schneider; Additional reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar; Editing by Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Howard Schneider, Bansari Mayur, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Market, SFRA Research, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S
It’s official. We’re in a bull market
  + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
The S&P 500 rallied Thursday to end the day in a bull market, marking a 20% surge since its most recent low, reached on October 12, 2022. Buoyed by gains in big technology stocks, the broad-based index closed at 4,293.93 and crossed the threshold that separates a bear market from a bull market — that’s investor-speak for a period of time marked by rising stock prices and optimism on Wall Street. “The key difference for us is that you tend to see bull markets coincide with economic expansions, not economic contractions.”Still, since the last bull market, we’ve had a war in Europe, a banking crisis and a debt crisis among other dramas. The duck marketThe current situation is a bit more nuanced than the bull market-bear market binary, said Kevin Gordon, senior investment strategist at Schwab. “Such narrowness is not what new bull markets are built on.”The bottom line: Investors should “avoid getting sucked into this as a new bull market,” said Samana.
Persons: bullish, ChatGPT, “ We’re, ” Sameer Samana, we’ve, , Kevin Gordon, Schwab, Lisa Shalett, they’ve, Sam Stovall, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Investors, Big Tech, Google, Apple, Nvidia, Federal, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, CNN, Tech, US, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Fed Locations: New York, Silicon Valley, Wells Fargo, Europe, Samana
Behold Wall Street's new bull market, maybe
  + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Part of the uncertainty is that there is no set definition of a bull or bear market, or any sort of regulatory body that declares one, such as the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) does with recessions. The most commonly accepted definition is a 20% rise off a low for a bull market and a 20% decline from a high for a bear market, but even that is open to interpretation. "I just think it was a blip within a longer-term bear market." "Certainly it's a bull market in big-cap technology. I wouldn't call it a bull market in a broad market sense, because there are only certain stocks that are really in what we would call bull market territory, and it's just not a broad enough move to call it a sustainable bull market," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist Ingalls & Snyder in New York.
Persons: Howard Silverblatt, Dow, Silverblatt, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Dan Suzuki, Richard Bernstein, Suzuki, it's, Tim Ghriskey, Ingalls, Snyder, Ned Davis, Chuck Mikolajczak, Noel Randewich, Lewis Organizations: YORK, National Bureau of Economic Research, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Dow Jones, Richard, Richard Bernstein Advisors, Nvidia, Ned Davis Research, Thomson Locations: New York
The stock market's strength in 2023 is giving BMO Capital Markets reason to turn more bullish on the setup going forward. But even after a slew of significant rate increases, signs point to easing inflation and a strong and a resilient labor market, Belski said. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500's 2023 performance "In other words, we believe the anticipated recipe for disaster is simply not present," he wrote. "So, from our perspective, all the worries that damaged 2022 market performance are slowly beginning to subside." "So, despite an extremely strong YTD sector performance, we believe the momentum, even if it slows a bit, is likely persist for the foreseeable future."
Persons: Brian Belski, CFRA's Sam Stovall, Belski, Price, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital, Federal Reserve Locations: Tech
SummarySummary Companies Palo Alto gains on S&P 500 index inclusionApple climbs ahead of developer conferenceIndexes: Dow down 0.25%, S&P up 0.22%, Nasdaq up 0.46%June 5 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose on Monday, as Apple scaled an all-time peak and investors weighed up chances of the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate hikes at its upcoming policy meeting. Other growth stocks also rose, with Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) gaining 1.8% and Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) adding 0.9%. Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW.O) climbed 5.5% as the cybersecurity firm looks set to replace Dish Network (DISH.O) in the S&P 500 index. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.56-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.35-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 14 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 70 new highs and 32 new lows.
Persons: Thomas Hayes, Sam Stovall, advancers, Sruthi Shankar, Shristi, Vinay Dwivedi, Anil D'Silva Organizations: Palo, Dow, Nasdaq, Apple, Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Great, Capital, Institute for Supply Management, CFRA Research, Dow Jones, Palo Alto Networks, Dish Network, Big, Wall Street Journal, Tesla Inc, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, Washington, Big U.S, China, Bengaluru
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