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CNBC Daily Open: The Trump rally begins
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. However, solar stocks tanked on fears that Trump would slash tax credits for solar energy. The Trump rally, in short, has begun. To be sure, yesterday's frenzy could have been a relief rally as much as a Trump rally. For now, however, the Trump rally is lighting up the markets.
Persons: Donald Trum, Russell, Trump's, Trump, Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Marc Pinto, Janus Henderson, Tesla, Edward Jones, Angelo Kourkafas, Yung, Yu Ma, Jesse Pound, Scott Schnipper, Alex Harring, Yun Li Organizations: Republican, Nevada GOP, CNBC, Democratic, NBC News, U.S, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Trump, Bank, General Motors, Ford, EV, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BMO Wealth Management Locations: Florida, Nevada, Las Vegas , Nevada, U.S, United States
Global trade changed considerably over the past four years — benefiting India — as President Joe Biden retained much of Trump's tariffs on China. EnergyOn the one hand, analysts expect Indian interests to be aligned with those of the United States regarding oil prices . Trump's previous term in office, whether intentionally or coincidently, saw moderate to low oil prices. As India imports over 90% of its oil needs, New Delhi will likely welcome any move by the U.S. to keep oil prices low. A quick resolution of the war in Ukraine — Trump's campaign promise — would also prove to be negative for oil prices.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi's, Joe Biden, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Trump, Uncle Sam, Samiran Chakraborty, Baqar Zaidi, Ukraine —, , Sanjeev Prasad Organizations: India's, U.S, Manufacturing, Global, Observer Research Foundation, Treasury, Indian, Citi, Companies, Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Tech, Infosys, Energy, Suzlon Locations: Hyderabad, New Delhi, India, China, U.S, Mumbai, United States, Ukraine
Former President Donald Trump has won the 2024 election, sweeping into office on a wave of support for Republican candidates. NBC News reports that the previously Democrat-controlled Senate will have a Republican majority. After all, the S&P 500 has gone up during 17 of the last 20 four-year presidential terms. A divided Congress in particular tends to bode well for investors, with average yearly gains of 15.7% under Democratic presidents and 13.7% under Republican presidents. Should the S&P 500 finish out 2024 up from the previous year (it's currently up about 25%), it will mark 14 consecutive years of positive returns under split Congresses.
Persons: Hakeem Jeffries, Mitch McConnell, Charles Schumer, Mike Johnson, Donald Trump, It's, Trump, Ryan Detrick, bode, it's Organizations: U.S, Capitol, Republican, NBC News, Carson Group, Democratic Locations: D, Ky
US stocks had one of their best days in years and hit new records after Trump's resounding win over Kamala Harris in Tuesday's election. Both of those moves make sense, said David Kelly, the global strategy chief at JPMorgan Asset Management, in an interview on Wednesday. AdvertisementThe strategy chief has been adamant that higher tariffs — one of Trump's key proposals — would cripple the US economy and endanger the global economic expansion. Related storiesMost economists condemn tariffs, which are taxes on imports, because they tend to lead to higher prices and lower economic growth. Sean Gallagher, the global head of Lazard's small-cap equity platform, made a similar point in a recent interview with Business Insider when asked about Trump's tariffs and Kelly's stance.
Persons: Stocks, Donald Trump, David Kelly, Wall, he's, , Donald Trump's, Trump's, Kamala Harris, Kelly, Trump, Mahatma Gandhi, I'm, I've, Tom Orlik, who's, Chris Murphy, Susquehanna's, Orlik, Sean Gallagher, Gallagher, maven, He's, inflation's Organizations: House . Market, Service, Nasdaq, US, JPMorgan Asset Management, Republican, JPMAM, Bloomberg Economics, Business, Trump Locations: Tuesday's
Investors boosted stocks after Donald Trump won a second term. But investors shouldn't depart from their long-term investing plan, Morningstar's Dave Sekera says. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But even as prices soar, it's important not to get caught up in the mania beyond your normal risk tolerance, warns Morningstar Senior US Market Strategist Dave Sekera. "The small-cap space, even with today's bump, it's still the most undervalued part of the market in our view," he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, shouldn't, Dave Sekera, , Morningstar, Sekera, Trump, aren't, Goldman Sachs, shouldn't overreact, John Rekenthaler, Joe Biden, That's, it's Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, White Locations: bullishness
The move comes as inflation remains on a downward trend while the job market continues to lose momentum. While that has helped rein in price pressures, it also puts the job market in jeopardy. So I’m going to be patient.”Still, rate cuts are expected to stretch through 2025, even during a Trump presidency, according to economists. On one hand, there’s evidence that America’s job market has continued to lose momentum in recent months. But since Trump’s economic vision could eventually stoke inflation, that could mean the Fed delivers fewer rate cuts in the coming years.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Powell, “ I’m, Raphael Bostic, , Kamala Harris, Felipe Villarroel, , Trump, hasn’t, Arthur Burns, Richard Nixon, Ben Bernanke Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, President, White, Atlanta Fed, Trump, TwentyFour Asset Management, Fed, CNN, White House, Capitol Locations: Jackson , Mississippi
Market moves: The stock market tacked on some additional gains after the Federal Reserve on Thursday afternoon cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Bond yields, which move inversely to bond prices, have been on the rise since the Fed cut rates in September. Stick to discipline: The stock market especially liked the idea of a pro-business environment and de-regulation expected in the future Trump administration. It's not surprising to see Wells Fargo down 3% after the Club stock surged more than 13% on Wednesday. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Thursday's, Jerome Powell, hasn't, Bond, Donald Trump, Trump, industrials, It's, Wells, Mogan Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Bloomin, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Bond, NBC News, Club, DraftKings, Arista Networks, Azon Enterprise, Trade, Baxter International, NRG Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
This Trump trade euphoria is likely to fade fast
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —Wednesday morning, my inbox was flooded with notes from analysts eager to talk about the election’s upside for various sectors. The crypto folks came on especially strong, cheering the success of the candidate who promised them the moon. When the stock market opened in New York, the enthusiasm for these so-called Trump trades went into hyperdrive. Virtually all mainstream economists oppose tariffs on that scale and expect they would cause inflation to rise yet again. “My worst-case scenario is that he’s actually successful with his blanket tariff policies,” Alpert told me.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Dow, Bitcoin, ” Daniel Alpert, “ There’s, Alpert, Art Hogan, Matt Egan, Trump, ” Hogan, , he’s, ” Alpert, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Trump, Westwood Capital, Riley Wealth Management, Republican Locations: New York, hyperdrive, Washington
Donald Trump's election win boosted tech stocks the next day, with Tesla leading the gains. Trump's past policies reshaped tech; his second term may impact Big Tech similarly. So what has the stock market told us so far about which Big Tech companies might be winners and losers during a Trump second term? Google gainsGoogle is somewhat surprising as a big stock gainer in the past two trading days. 'Shock absorber for the consumer'Slowinski highlighted other Big Tech stocks this week in his note to investors.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Tesla, , Donald Trump, Trump, Tim Cook, Ben Thompson, TSMC, Elon Musk, Elon, Ana Altchek, Stefan Slowinski, Mark Zuckerberg, Slowinski, Thompson, Slowinsky Organizations: Big Tech, Service, Trump, Apple, Google, Alphabet, BNP, Trump's, Democratic, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft Locations: China, Taiwan, Stratechery, North America
CNBC Daily Open: The Trump rally kicks off
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineDonald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential elections is providing a tailwind to risk assets. The Trump rally, in short, has begun. To be sure, yesterday's frenzy could have been a relief rally as much as a Trump rally. For now, however, the Trump rally is lighting up the markets.
Persons: Donald Trump, Brian Snyder, Donald Trump's, Marc Pinto, Janus Henderson, Trump's, Tesla, Elon Musk, bitcoin, Trump, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Yung, Yu Ma, Jesse Pound, Scott Schnipper, Alex Harring, Yun Li Organizations: Santander Arena, Reuters, CNBC, U.S, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Trump, Bank, General Motors, Ford, EV, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BMO Wealth Management Locations: Reading , Pennsylvania, U.S
While the Federal Reserve is still concerned about inflation, "we're seeing these signs of weakness in the labor market," Scanlon said. "This suggests that the labor market remains firm despite signs of weakening," J.P. Morgan noted. 'What the bond market is telling us'The stock market rallied after the presidential election results. That's what the bond market is telling us." Depending on what policies are enacted under Trump's second term, the inflation problem might get worse, experts say.
Persons: Brett House, Scanlon, There's, Mark Hamrick, J.P, Morgan, Hamrick, Trump Organizations: Columbia Business School, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Trump Locations: U.S, China
Japan is one stock market outside the U.S. that could win now that Donald Trump is headed back to the White House. Trump has previously proposed tariffs of up to 20% on imports, with a stringent tax of 60% on goods coming from China. Japanese stocks rallied, however, as the yen weakened with some investors expecting the U.S. defense partner stands to gain most from Trump's policies. However, Akutsu warned, with few positive earnings surprises in the market, a year-end rally could be "limited in scope." Takada said investors may have to weigh the near-term benefits of a Trump market against the risks of a possible trade war, even with a rise in the Japanese equity risk premium.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello, What's, Pasquariello, America's Masashi Akutsu, Akutsu, Morgan's Masanari Takada, Takada, It's Organizations: Nikkei, Bank, Bank of America, Hitachi, Retailing, Trump Locations: Japan, China, U.S, Europe
UFC media rights are up for renewal next year, and TKO Group Chief Operating Officer Mark Shapiro tells me he thinks Netflix could be getting in the ring. "I think absolutely, they'll be at the table on UFC," Shapiro said in an exclusive CNBC Sport interview. Still, even with the WWE deal, Netflix didn't fully embrace its new role as a platform for live sports. "I think absolutely, they'll be at the table on UFC," Shapiro said in an exclusive CNBC Sport interview. Still, even with the WWE deal, Netflix didn't fully embrace its new role as a platform for live sports.
Persons: Alex Sherman, Mark Shapiro, Shapiro, They've, We've, Ted Sarandos, Sarandos, it's, Jake Paul, Mike Tyson, Netflix hasn't, we're, Tyson, Paul, It's, Vince McMahon, McMahon, He's, he's, , We're, Dick Clark, Paul Levesque, Dana White, Stan Kasten, Adam Silver, Adam, I'm, That's, Juan Soto, Shohei, Ohtani, Kasten, Jonathan Kraft, Sportico's, Kraft, Babe Ruth, Collect, Ruth, Red Ruth, Deiveson Figueiredo, Brandon Moreno, Louis Grasse Organizations: CNBC, UFC, Netflix, WWE, Disney, MMA, National Football League, NFL, Dick Clark Productions, Golden Globe, , Professional Bull Riders, Endeavor, PGA Tour, Comcast, Dodgers, NBA, Major League Baseball, New York Yankees, Nice, CNBC Sport, Ham Fighters, Summer, NBC, Tennis, Consumers, New England Patriots, Boise State, Louis Locations: U.S, Canada, It's, Los Angeles, Ohtani's, Hokkaido Nippon, Oregon, Gila, Glendale , AZ
But the balance of the evidence from the NBC News Exit Poll suggests that Trump owes his victory to more common, less polarizing factors that drive many elections year in and year out. That included a striking shift of Latino voters into the GOP column compared with 2020 — they backed Trump by 13 points more. Women broke for Harris, 54%-44%, while men favored Trump, 54%-44% — a gap in support amounting to 22 percentage points. But in 2020, Trump performed even worse among women, losing them to Biden 57%-42%. A final factor favoring Trump: his appeal among Americans who are less attached to politics and elections:
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, , Trump’s, ” Trump, Dobbs, coy, Harris, George W, Bush Organizations: NBC, Democratic, Voters, Trump, Biden Locations: United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA Trump White House would loosen the ability to do M&A, says Altimeter Capital's Brad GerstnerBrad Gerstner, founder and CEO of Altimeter Capital, discusses his views on equity markets, the stock market backdrop, and more.
Persons: Brad Gerstner Brad Gerstner
Two stocks have outperformed the S & P 500 every November when elections have been held over the past three decades — regardless of the outcome, according to a CNBC Pro study. Electrical and industrials giant Eaton Corporation and Sweden's second-largest lender, Svenska Handelsbanken , are the two stocks that beat the U.S. benchmark in November every election year. CNBC Pro screened for stocks currently in the MSCI World Index that gained more than the S & P 500 — or lost less than the index — in November of every election year since 1988. Every time is different Historical performance is never a guarantee of future performance, and stocks often move for idiosyncratic reasons. This year, for instance, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a decision on interest rates on Thursday, which could also influence the trajectory of stocks.
Persons: Brett Linzey, Mizuho, Eaton, Arctic's Roy Tilley, Henry Allen, Pfizer's, Barack Obama, Allen Organizations: CNBC, Eaton Corporation, Svenska, CNBC Pro, Eaton Corp, Mizuho, Svenska Handelsbanken, Arctic Securities, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Locations: U.S, Industrials, Sweden, Greece, Europe
CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed Wednesday's market action, saying the session was shaped by traders who were relieved that the election was over and were getting ready for President-elect Donald Trump's administration. "The fact that we already know the winner is a huge win for the stock market in itself, which makes it a magnet for new money. The electric vehicle maker's CEO Elon Musk has been one the most vocal Trump supporters among his billionaire peers, and Cramer suggested the president-elect is known to reward his allies. "The ironic bottom line is it'll be tough to exceed the Biden regime when it comes to the stock market. Biden was no friend to stocks, but the market went up anyway," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump's, we'd, Cramer, Elon Musk, Trump, Musk, Biden Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Tech, Trump, Biden, Nielsen Locations: Tesla
BTIG's list of biggest Trump winners and losers
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In addition, he has floated plans to reduce corporate tax rates to as low as 15% from 21%, and eliminate income tax on tips, Social Security and overtime pay. Those include reduced individual income tax rates and increased alternative minimum tax (AMT) exemption amounts. These stocks are among those BTIG sees as the biggest winners and losers from Trump's victory. Winners M & A and consolidation A Trump presidency likely means a more supportive environment for corporate consolidation, Boltansky said. That would be positive for names like HealthEquity, which BTIG rates a buy, and Webster Financial , he noted.
Persons: Donald Trump, BTIG, Isaac Boltansky, Trump, Boltansky, CoreCivic, MicroStrategy, Webster Organizations: White, ACA, Social Security, Trump, Discover Financial, Discover, Republican White, Geo, United States Marshals Service, Federal Bureau of Prisons, Geo Group, Webster Financial, HealthEquity, Everest Group Locations: United States, China
Crypto stocks – Shares of Coinbase surged 12% as investors cheered the prospect of a more supportive regulatory environment for cryptocurrency businesses under a second Donald Trump presidency. Bank stocks — Shares of banking stocks soared in premarket trading after Donald Trump's victory spurred investor optimism that the sector could see less regulation . CVS Health — Shares rose 7.5% after CVS posted mixed third-quarter results , citing higher medical costs that weighed on net income. Clean energy stocks — Shares of renewable energy and solar companies slid on worries that Trump's second term could imperil the Inflation Reduction Act and measures to fight climate change. Dollar Tree , Five Below — Shares of Dollar Tree slipped 1.6%, while Five Below moved down 9%.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, SunRun, FirstSolar, Wegovy, Trump, CoreCivic, Dan Ives, Tesla, — CNBC's Michelle Fox Theobald, Tanaya Macheel, Brian Evans Organizations: MicroStrategy, Bank, , Citigroup, Bank of America, Trump Media & Technology, Republican, CVS, Enphase Energy, Novo Nordisk —, GEO Group, Elon, Trump, Wedbush Securities, Tilray, Aurora Cannabis, National Retail Federation Locations: FactSet, Novo Nordisk — U.S, Danish, U.S, Florida, Canada, China
Credit markets face challenges, but opportunities exist in corporate bonds and cheap optionality. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. Advertisement"This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Mark Rieder, Rieder, I've Organizations: Service, Fed, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business
As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Donald Trump, Tesla, Elon Musk, Trump, Gary Gensler, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: NBC, Senate, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Trump, Tesla, Club, Justice Department, Apple, DOJ, FTC, Microsoft, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, SEC, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: China, Taiwan, Mexico
Several stocks could rise if market volatility scales back after Tuesday's U.S. presidential election, according to a Bank of America analysis. Stock market volatility climbed ahead of the election, with the Cboe Volatility Index , known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," crossing 23 on Thursday. But with the winner of the election decided, the VIX has eased to around 16 on Wednesday. To react to this scenario, Bank of America screened for several lower-quality stocks inversely correlated to the VIX that could see a pop in their share prices. Morgan Stanley revised its 2024-25 revenue estimates on NXP lower, expecting a period of stagnation in the automotive semiconductor market.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Brandon Berman Organizations: U.S, Bank of America, Semiconductors, Builders, United Rentals, Autodesk, financials Citigroup, Blackstone, Citigroup Locations: Netherlands, Europe, Americas
(Higher interest rates tend to boost the value of a currency by attracting more capital from abroad as investors seek bigger returns.) “Investors are bracing for tariffs… which will push up the price of imported goods for American shoppers,” she wrote in a note Wednesday. The pain of Trump’s tariffs will be felt far beyond US borders. “We also believe that Trump could decide to implement even higher tariffs on economies that run large trade surpluses with the US,” BMI analysts wrote in a note Wednesday. “Donald Trump’s economic course will pose major problems for Germany and the European Union,” the institute said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves, , Trump’s, Trump, ” Nomura, Philip Shaw, Ellie Henderson, Streeter, Anthony Kettle, , Spencer Platt, “ Donald Trump’s Organizations: London CNN, Republican, Senate, CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, , RBC Global Asset Management, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Port, Getty, European Union, Ifo Institute for Economic Research Locations: United States, Mexico, China, Germany, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Newark, New Jersey, Munich
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Club stock Nvidia rose about 3% Wednesday to an all-time high above $144 per share. Trump will want to champion Nvidia, Jim said, stressing it's an American success story and it makes too much money. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Dow, Morgan Stanley, We're, Trump, Jim, Trump's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Club, Wells, BlackRock, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Trump, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: , BlackRock, financials, China
While many Silicon Valley VCs and founders aren't huge Trump fans, their industry thrives when startups are getting acquired or going public quickly. The Biden administration clamped down heavily on tech M&A, so Trump's win could be a financial boon for the sector. Stephen Hays, the founder and managing partner of What if Ventures, said money is already moving again. AdvertisementBig Tech returns to the tableAs president, Trump could roll back some of the antitrust policies that his opponent would have continued. "People are keeping to themselves and just getting on with their business," said Conrad Burke, a managing partner of MetaVC Partners.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Reid Hoffman, Laurene Powell, Vinod Khosla, Harris, Donald Trump's, aren't, Biden, There's, Jordan Nof, Stephen Hays, Trump, Elon, Lina Khan's, Lulu Cheng Meservey, Y, Lina Khan, Kevin Dietsch, Brandon Brooks, — Trump's, JD Vance —, Chris Farmer, Mason Angel, Louis Lehlot, Lardner, Michael Greeley, Crypto, hasn't, Gary Gensler, Bitcoin, Brian Garrett, Garrett, Jenny Fielding's, Fielding, Conrad Burke, Leslie Feinzaig, bundlers, Kamala, I've Organizations: Democrat, White House, Trump, Tusk Venture Partners, Ventures, Tech, Federal Trade, Investors, Foley, Big Tech, Markets, Flare Capital, Biden, SEC, Crosscut Ventures, Google, Microsoft, MetaVC Partners Locations: Europe
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