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With oil prices sliding and China's market giving back more of its recent gains, U.S. stocks have been free to rally. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, it's, Morgan Stanley, Vimal Kapur, Kapur, Wedbush, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Federal, Fed, CME Fed Watch, Honeywell, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, Bank of America, Oracle, Microsoft, ZT Systems, PPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Turin
US stocks traded mixed as investors looked ahead to the central bank's meeting minutes. Traders are anticipating a quarter-point rate cut in November. Monetary policy is in focus after an unexpectedly hot job report in September, fueling doubt over whether the Fed will issue another jumbo rate cut this year. "The tone of the Fed minutes should not change expectations of further rate cuts—the Fed is still scrambling to catch up with inflation slowing in the US, and started cutting rates late. AdvertisementAccording to Pantheon Macroeconomics, the Fed is more likely to begin cutting rates in 25-basis-point increments rather than issuing another 50-basis-point rate cut.
Persons: , Paul Donovan Organizations: Service, Reserve, UBS Global Wealth Management, Pantheon, Fed, US Department of Justice
Fed easing hasn't led to lower mortgage rates, with the 30-year fixed rate actually rising since the first rate cut. Mortgage rates are closely linked to the 10-year US Treasury yield, which have also risen over the period. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's jumbo interest-rate cut in mid-September was welcome news to prospective homebuyers, with the expectation that a lower fed funds rate would help push mortgage rates lower. According to data from Mortgage News Daily, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has jumped about 47 basis points since the Fed rate cut, to 6.62% from 6.15%. Whether that will manifest itself in lower mortgage rates is up in the air.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Sonu Varghese, it's Organizations: Treasury, Service, Mortgage News, Carson, CME
watch nowIn the last year, credit card debt spiked to a record $1.14 trillion. Revolving debt, which mostly includes credit card balances, fell 1.2% in August, compared to a year earlier, according to the Federal Reserve's G.19 consumer credit report released on Monday. Nonrevolving debt, such as auto loans and student loans, rose 3.3%. After a prolonged period of high inflation and sky-high interest rates rates, spending habits are adjusting, according to Ted Rossman, Bankrate's senior industry analyst. "Consumers have been in a pretty frugal mood lately," he said.
Persons: Ted Rossman Organizations: Federal, Consumers
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. The Club stock is up nearly 5% after Goldman Sachs put a new Street high price target of $425 a share on the cybersecurity provider. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we've, downgrades, Goldman Sachs, we're, We're, Helen of Troy, Jerome Powell, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Stocks, Microsoft, Palo Alto Networks, The, Procter & Gamble, Honeywell International, Constellation Brands, Honeywell, Corona, Revlon, Hydro, Federal, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China, Palo Alto
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio thinks it's still tricky to invest in China right now as Beijing may be seeking to structurally move the country away from capitalism. "There's something big going on that they had a debt crisis and they also had a capitalism crisis. The high-profile investor even said he is raising his usual allocation limit and is not hedging his big China bet. Dalio said he doesn't expected big rate cuts as the economy remains in solid shape. I think the economy by and large right now itself is in relatively good balance," he said.
Persons: Ray Dalio, Dalio, David Tepper Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, Greenwich Economic, CSI, Appaloosa Management, CNBC Locations: China, Beijing, Greenwich, Greenwich , Connecticut
The dollar clung to seven-week highs against major currencies on Tuesday as investors ponder the outlook for U.S. rates after a strong jobs report last week dashed bets for large rate cuts, while escalating tensions in Middle East dented risk sentiment. Traders have drastically shifted their monetary easing expectations from the Federal Reserve this year. That has kept the dollar on the front foot and surging to a multi-week high against the euro, sterling and the yen. The New Zealand dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.6144 ahead of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week said the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rate by 50 basis points.
Persons: Kieran Williams, Louis, Alberto Musalem, Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asia FX, InTouch, Reserve Bank of St, Treasury, Bank of, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Middle East, Asia, China, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Gold eases as dollar firms; focus on Fed cues, U.S. data
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was down 0.2% to $2,639.45 per ounce, as of 0303 GMT. U.S. gold futures lost 0.3% to $2,658.70. The dollar index hovered near a seven-week high, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year yield topped 4% for the first time in more than two months. Investors are focused on the minutes of the Fed's latest policy meeting, due on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. Consumer Price Index on Thursday and the Producer Price Index data on Friday. "Looking ahead, if we see any upside surprises in the U.S. CPI numbers this week, this could boost further boost the dollar and pressure gold," Waterer added.
Persons: Gold, Tim Waterer, Israel, Bullion, Waterer, Louis, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, KCM Trade, U.S . Consumer, U.S, CPI, Louis Fed Locations: Singapore, Haifa, Lebanon, Gaza, St
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDavid Roche says misleading 50-basis-point Fed cut will create market instabilityDavid Roche, strategist at Quantum Strategy, says the Federal Reserve's initial jumbo cut gives markets the wrong impression that rates will return to rock bottom.
Persons: David Roche Organizations: Quantum
A television broadcasts the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Sept. 18, 2024. Roche said the figures made the Fed's "jumbo interest rate cut look silly, populist and panicky." 1 is that [it gives the impression that] the economy is more fragile than it is ... and the economy is fine, thank you very much, and doesn't need jumbo rate cuts," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe." And headline and core inflation will stay above the Fed target of 2%, so the case for aggressive rate cuts [is not there]," he said. "Yes there is a case for modest rate cuts, there is a case for 25 to 50 basis point cuts by January next year, but a case for 50 basis point cut at the next meeting just does not exist," Parker said.
Persons: Michael Nagle, David Roche, Roche, CNBC's, " Roche, Bob Parker, Parker, Dave Pierce Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Quantum, Federal, Market, International Capital Markets Association, Fed, Global, Capital, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Israel, U.S
Friday's rally on a strong jobs report gained momentum into the close and pushed the stock market into the green for the week. Inflation data: The September consumer price index (CPI) report is out Thursday. The September producer price index (PPI) is out Friday. Jim said last week that investors who don't own AMD shares should buy some ahead of CEO Lisa Su's presentation. ET: Consumer price index 12 p.m.
Persons: we'll, Jim Cramer, Friday's, Matthew Graham, Israel, Joe Biden, Wells, Jim, we're, We're, Morgan Stanley, Lisa Su's, Su, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage News Daily, CNBC, Devices, PPI, Bank, Nvidia, SOXX Semiconductor, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, New York City
Nonetheless, investors could benefit by ignoring short-term noise and tracking the recommendations of top Wall Street analysts to pick stocks with attractive long-term growth potential. (See CYBR Hedge Fund Activity on TipRanks)Uber TechnologiesWe move to the ride-sharing and food delivery platform Uber Technologies (UBER). After hosting meetings with the company's management, JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth reaffirmed a buy rating on UBER stock with a price target of $95. Uber expects its grocery ad business to account for 5% of gross bookings over time. (See UBER Stock Buybacks on TipRanks)Meta PlatformsThis week's third stock pick is social media company Meta Platforms (META).
Persons: Matthew Hedberg, Hedberg, TipRanks, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Uber, Baird, Colin Sebastian, Sebastian, Claude, OpenAI's ChatGPT Organizations: Wall, RBC Capital, TAM, JPMorgan, Mobility, Meta, Meta Connect, Reality Labs
Dealmaking activity has picked up, but it's not been enough to fully unlock Morgan Stanley shares. Morgan Stanley ended Friday within a dollar of its all-time closing high of $108.73 reached back in February 2022. Friday's positive developments are welcome news – but not enough to add clarity on our path forward for Morgan Stanley. For the time being, the Club is taking a wait-and-see approach with Morgan Stanley stock. If there is a surge in IPO and M & A activity that HSBC forecasted, Morgan Stanley is well-positioned to benefit.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley's, Jim, Goldman Sachs, it's, Wells, We're, Morgan, Banks, Dan Simkowitz, Jim Cramer's, Bing Guan Organizations: HSBC, KBW, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty
The U.S. economy added a whopping 254,000 jobs in September, nearly 100,000 more than economists expected. The unemployment rate, which was expected to hold steady at 4.2%, slipped to 4.1%. Wages also rose more than expected month over month. To be sure, the new data also has traders pricing a smaller quarter percentage point interest rate reduction at the central bank's November meeting. "Fed cuts should be slower and I continue to think (and the data supports it) that the current neutral rate is well above 3% (economy chugging along on 5% yields for over a year)," said Tchir.
Persons: Sonu Varghese, Glen Smith, Lindsay Rosner, Ian Lyngen, Peter Tchir Organizations: Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Carson Group, GDS Wealth, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, BMO Capital Markets, Academy Securities Locations: U.S
Stocks struggled this week as rising tensions in the Middle East set off the strongest rally in oil prices since March 2023. "The stock market has been living up to October's reputation of increased volatility," said Glen Smith, chief investment officer at GDS Wealth Management. Inflation report, Fed minutes on deck In the week ahead, investors will keep an eye on a couple of potential catalysts. On Wednesday, investors will parse minutes from September's central bank gathering for insights into the future path of monetary policy. "I would say the inflation report is probably less important than it used to be," Dickson said.
Persons: Stocks, Glen Smith, Said, Mike Dickson, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli, Investment's Dickson, It's, Dickson, Wells, John Williams, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, GDS Wealth Management, Federal, Horizon Investments, CNBC Pro, Independent, Alliance, PepsiCo, Delta, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCO, New York Fed, PPI, University of Michigan, BlackRock, Bank of NY Mellon, JPMorgan Locations: White, Wells Fargo, Fastenal, Wells
CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed next week's top market-moving action, highlighting new consumer price index data and a slew of earnings reports as the season begins, including ones from Delta , Domino's and several major banks. The labor department will release September's CPI report on Thursday, and Cramer said investors who want a rate cut are hoping for a cool number. Friday brings the producer price index report, and like the CPI, this data will be a metric for the Fed's next decision, Cramer said. Big ticket financial earnings will also come out that day, including Wells Fargo , JPMorgan and Blackrock . He said banks represent the least expensive group on the market, and investors should use any weakness to buy them.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, he's, Delta, Tesla Organizations: Wall, PepsiCo, General Motors, Federal, Big Tech, AMD, HP Enterprise, Big, JPMorgan, Blackrock Locations: Delta, Domino's, Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. economic comeback has been one of the most remarkable in modern history, says NUL's Marc MorialMarc Morial, National Urban League president and CEO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, what you can attribute the economy's strength to, and much more.
Persons: NUL's Marc Morial Marc Morial Organizations: National Urban League
US stocks rose 1% and the Dow hit a record as the jobs report alleviated slowdown worries. AdvertisementUS stocks surged about 1% on Friday after the September jobs report soothed fears of an economic slowdown. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, odds of a 50-basis point cut dropped to 0% from 53% last week. Consensus now expects two 25-basis point rate cuts from the Fed at their next two FOMC meetings before year-end. ING's chief economist, James Knightley, said the jobs report was "unambiguously strong."
Persons: , Dow, Sonu Varghese, Jeffrey Roach, James Knightley, Knightley Organizations: Dow, Service, Federal, Fed, Financial Locations: Here's
AdvertisementThe September jobs report offered good news all around — except to those expecting a second straight jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. In addition, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%, bucking estimates that it would stay unchanged at 4.2%. Analysts agree that September's blowout job numbers make an aggressive interest rate cut harder to justify. Advertisement"Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50 basis points?" Late last month, the bank predicted that investors would take on more risk if the unemployment rate hit 4.1% and if payrolls reached above 150,000.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Glen Smith, Morgan Stanley, payrolls, Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, GDS Wealth Management, Federal
October is off to a rocky start, but a strong period of seasonality is only just beginning – particularly for select dividend-paying stocks, Bespoke Investment Group found. Dividend-paying stocks have been especially strong when it comes to fourth-quarter returns over the past 10 years, Bespoke found. In addition to having seasonality in their favor, dividend stocks are also expected to benefit from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cutting cycle. Tapestry also has a dividend yield of 3%. The stock has a total return of more than 21% in 2024, as well as a dividend yield of nearly 5%.
Persons: Matthew Boss, Tabby, Boss, Coach's, it's, Piper Sandler, Scott Siefers, Siefers, Wells, Michael Brown, Brown, Lamb Weston Organizations: Investment, New, JPMorgan, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America Locations: Brooklyn, BlackRock, Wells Fargo
Job seekers who are patient can learn something about their prospective employer, an exec told BI. But lately, the slogging has grown more intense as some employers tack interview after interview onto the hiring process. It can be maddening for job seekers forced to sit through rounds of interviews that might stretch into the double digits. That means some employers put job seekers through more rounds than an NFL draft. Having a boatload of interviews gives job seekers more chances to determine whether an employer is a good fit for them.
Persons: , Mary Olson, Menzel, Adam Stafford, Stafford, Olson, who've, they've, they're Organizations: Service, Development, Federal, Employers
This latest bull run has been strong, even by historical standards. The broad market index has also reached a record above 5,700 — with some on the Street expecting it to top 6,000 before year-end. The bull market will be two later this month. .SPX mountain 2022-09-30 SPX since Q4 2022 The first: "The disinflation that has defined the cyclical bull needs to remain in place," said Clissold. The second element needed for the bull run to carry on is a successful soft landing.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Fed, JPMorgan
Gold rangebound as investors brace for key U.S. economic data
  + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices were trading in a tight range on Thursday as traders remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. economic data that may provide clues about the size of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts expected later this year. Gold prices were trading in a tight range on Thursday as traders remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. economic data that may provide clues about the size of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts expected later this year. Investors are watching out for the ISM services data and the initial jobless claims, due later in the day, along with the U.S. non-farm payroll data expected on Friday. Gold tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment and political turmoil. Elsewhere, Perth Mint's gold product sales touched a 10-month high in September, while silver sales hit a seven-month high.
Persons: Brian Lan, , CME's, Lan Organizations: GoldSilver Central, Investors, U.S . Locations: Singapore, Israel, Beirut, Iran, Perth
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJP Morgan: India stocks “not appealing at the moment” due to valuationsJP Morgan Asset Management’s David Kelly cites the opportunities in Asian equity and debt markets following the U.S. Federal Reserve's 50 basis-point cut.
Persons: JP, David Kelly Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: India, U.S .
Americans can bet on the outcome of US elections following a legal fight. Last month, Kalshi briefly listed bets on congressional election outcomes before the CFTC shut them down. On Wednesday, prediction market Kalshi got the go-ahead to take bets on congressional elections after a months-long legal battle with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That makes it one of the only options for Americans to bet on election outcomes, and the only legal one for Americans to wager large amounts of money. The court's decision comes just five weeks before the elections, and follows years of legal battles between prediction markets and the CFTC.
Persons: Kalshi, , CoinDesk, Harry Crane Organizations: CFTC, Service, Futures Trading Commission, Federal, Kalshi, Senate, Rutgers University Locations: New York, New Zealand
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