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☆ A skip from the Fed at its next meeting would be great for economic strength, says UBS' Mark Haefele
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA skip from the Fed at its next meeting would be great for economic strength, says UBS' Mark HaefeleMark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the idea of the Federal Reserve skipping at cut at its next meeting, what to expect from markets through the end of the year, and much more.

Persons: Mark Haefele Mark Haefele Organizations: Fed, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal

☆ Stock market next week: Earnings season ramps up with more big bank results
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Sarah Min | Nicole Teo | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

And, with earnings season set to ramp up, that could mean further gains. Already, on Friday, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo were rallying in midday trading after reporting their latest results this week, an auspicious start to the earnings season. A strong earnings season Earnings results next week will be dominated by reports from the banking sector, giving investors further insight into the health of the capital markets as well as the consumer. Several regional banks are also set to announce how they did in the most recent quarter as well, such as PNC Financial Services Group and Citizens Financial Group. Even so, investors are optimistic about the outlook for corporate profits this earnings season, especially with expectations having come down.

Persons: what's, Oppenheimer, Wells Fargo, Charlie Ashley, Ashley, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ross Mayfield, Catalyst's Ashley, Baird's Mayfield, Mayfield, Charles Schwab, Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Dow Jones, Tech, Nvidia, JPMorgan Chase, Traders, Federal Reserve, Catalyst Funds, Nasdaq, Ashley . Bank of America, PNC Financial Services Group, Citizens Financial Group, Private Wealth Management, Treasury, Columbus, Columbus Day, Index, United Airlines, Hunt Transport Services, Citigroup, State, Goldman Sachs Group, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Johnson, Bank of America, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, Price, PPG Industries, Steel Dynamics, Discover Financial Services, CSX, Abbott Laboratories, U.S . Bancorp, Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Netflix, T Bank Corp, Elevance, Truist, Blackstone, Housing, Schlumberger, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Financial, American Express Locations: Ashley, bullish, Prologis, NAHB

☆ Elon Musk wants to take humanoid robots mainstream with Optimus. Making them 'the biggest product ever' will be tough.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Hasan Chowdhury | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Tesla plans to unleash a new generation of humanoid robots. Related storiesMusk's plans to make humanoid robots mainstream face some tough challenges, however. Before these new iterations were revealed, industry watchers were already predicting explosive growth in the humanoid robotics market. AdvertisementIt is unclear how Musk's Optimus robots will stand out in this fast-growing market and become "the biggest product ever of any kind." Making further improvements to humanoid robots is a tough technical challenge.

Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, Optimus, Musk, —, Elon, Cybertruck, livestream, Jensen Huang, Huang, Goldman Sachs, Paul Miller, Forrester, Jim Fan, Gene Organizations: Service, Warner Bros, Elon, Tech, Amazon, Oregon State University, Robotics, Nvidia, Star Wars, Hyundai, Boston Dynamics, Deepwater Asset Management, Optimus Locations: Burbank , California

JPMorgan Chase CEO and Chairman Jamie Dimon speaks during the U.S. Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee oversight hearing on Wall Street firms, on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., December 6, 2023. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon sees risks climbing around the world amid widening conflicts in the Middle East and with Russia's invasion of Ukraine showing no signs of abating. "We have been closely monitoring the geopolitical situation for some time, and recent events show that conditions are treacherous and getting worse," Dimon said Friday in the bank's third-quarter earnings release. "It's ratcheting up, folks, and it takes really strong American leadership and western world leaders to do something about that," Dimon said. "While inflation is slowing and the U.S. economy remains resilient, several critical issues remain, including large fiscal deficits, infrastructure needs, restructuring of trade and remilitarization of the world," Dimon said.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Dimon, I've Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, U.S . Senate Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Wall, Capitol, JPMorgan, Georgetown University, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington , U.S, Ukraine, East, China, Iran, North Korea, Russia, Israel, Beirut, Lebanon, U.S

☆ Inflation reports from this week should allow the Fed to stay on track with rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors who fear stubborn inflation, if not an outright rebound, got a bit of a salve on Friday morning. Wholesale prices showed no change month over month for September, coming in below expectations. The producer price index report may help offset some of the slight concerns about Thursday's consumer price index report, which was a bit hotter than expected. The personal consumption expenditures price index for September will be released on Oct. 31. "We think the Fed is really still on track to cut 25 [basis points] at each of the next two meetings," Seif added.

Persons: David Seif, Seif, Wells Organizations: Nomura Securities, Fed, PPI, Traders, JPMorgan Chase, BNY Mellon Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ We're adding a new Bullpen stock, and it's a financial Cramer has had his eye on
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Jim Cramer has been considering a potential investment in BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, and we're now adding it to our Bullpen stocks-to-watch list. In addition to BlackRock, Club name Wells Fargo was among the companies that delivered strong results. Jim Cramer said Friday he knows the stock has run a lot, "but that doesn't mean it can't run more." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .

Persons: Jim Cramer, We've, Larry Fink, Fink, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, It's, Jim, Wells, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: BlackRock, Management, CNBC, Global Infrastructure Partners, Federal Reserve, Club, New York Times, Santiago, Getty Locations: BlackRock, New York City

☆ China is trying to give investors the one major thing missing from its economic stimulus blitz
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

China is expected to announce extra fiscal policy support on Saturday. The lack of consumer support in China's last stimulus package disappointed investors. According to a Bloomberg survey, most analysts expect authorities to pledge $283 billion of fiscal stimulus at Saturday's highly anticipated press conference. Chinese authorities followed up by announcing Saturday's press conference, which promised to introduce new measures centered on fiscal policy. Some analysts remain less sure about what fiscal stimulus will actually achieve on its own, pointing out that Beijing needs to pursue structural reforms to revive consumer confidence.

Persons: —, Lan Fo'an, China's, Mark Williams, Stephen Roach, Arthur Kroeber, Gavekal Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Finance, Analysts, CSI, Reform Commission, Capital Economics, Asia, Financial Times Locations: China, Beijing, Yale

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Is higher-than-expected CPI just a 'janky' data point?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. But Bostic acknowledged it's important to see whether individual data points cohere into a larger pattern, or if they're just "janky," as Bostic put it.

Persons: Justin Sullivan, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: San Rafael , California

☆ China’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment? Investors hope for hundreds of billions in new stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

China's Ministry of Finance, pictured here in Beijing in 2021, is refunding taxes and cutting fees to support economic growth. China's Finance Minister Lan Fo'an is set to hold a press conference at 10 a.m. on Saturday local time on "intensifying" fiscal stimulus policies, the country's State Council Information Office said. Authorities are likely to affirm that at the press conference on Saturday, Zhao said. At the time, Chinese major indexes began to rally, surging over 25% as investors cheered on the slate of stimulus measures. Lan Fo'an, China's Minister of Finance, attends a press conference during the second session of the 14th National People's Congress (NPC) in Beijing on March 6, 2024.

Persons: Cong, Lan Fo'an, NDRC, Zheng Shanjie, Chen Zhao, CNBC's, Zhao, Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley, Wang Zhao Organizations: of Finance, Bloomberg, Getty, China's Finance, Beijing, Investors, National Development, Reform, Authorities, China's Ministry, Finance, China's, National People's Congress, Afp Locations: Beijing, country's, Shanghai, Asia

South Korea's central bank has cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%, the first rate cut from the BOK since the Federal Reserve started tightening its monetary policy in March 2022. This was in line with a poll of economists from Reuters, who forecasted a rate cut. At that time, South Korea's inflation stood at 2.6%, but climbed sharply to hit 6.3% in July 2022, its highest in over 20 years. Oh noted that macro conditions are supportive of a rate cut, with a "favourable" inflationary backdrop. Oh predicts that after the October cut of 25 basis points, three more consecutive cuts will follow on a quarterly basis, eventually bringing the BOK's benchmark interest rate to 2.5%.

Persons: BOK, Morgan Stanley's, Kathleen Oh, We've, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bank of, Federal Reserve, Reuters Locations: Bank of Korea, Seoul, Korea's, Korea

☆ Ron Insana: September consumer inflation report was a mere blip in a wider cooling trend
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ 10-year Treasury yield dips as investors await producer prices data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell around 2 basis points to 4.075%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down by more than 2 basis points to 3.974%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged lower on Friday as market participants awaited the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly topped 4.1% in the previous session following commentary from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic that suggested his openness to a cutting pause. Sticking on the data front, investors will turn their attention to the release of the latest PPI reading, which is expected at 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Dow, — CNBC's Brian Evans Organizations: Treasury, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street Journal, Fed, U.S, Consumer, Index, PPI Locations: U.S

Their employment rate is also slightly lower than women in their early 20s. "This smaller share reflects the fact that, within marriages, mothers are still more likely than fathers to specialize in child care," the Fed noted. Today, 26% of mothers are stay-at-home parents, compared with just 7% of fathers, according to a separate Pew study from August. Mothers working full time and year-round outside the home rarely recoup the lost wages, which add up to $20,000 a year, on average. Working moms are making just 71 cents for every dollar paid to fathers, according to an analysis of Census data by the National Women's Law Center.

Persons: Kelly Shue Organizations: Federal Reserve, Pew Research Center, Yale School of Management, CNBC's, National Women's Law

☆ CNBC Daily Open: CPI’s higher than expected. Is it just a “janky” data point?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

SeongJoon Cho | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. "This choppiness to me is along the lines of maybe we should take a pause in November," said Bostic, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee.

Persons: SeongJoon Cho, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: AMD, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: Pike, Seattle , Washington, US

☆ JPMorgan Chase is set to report third-quarter earnings – here's what the Street expects
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. The biggest American bank has thrived in a rising rate environment, posting record net income figures since the Fed started hiking rates in 2022. Now, with the Fed cutting rates, there are questions as to how JPMorgan will navigate the change. Last month, JPMorgan dialed back expectations for 2025 net interest income and expenses, and analysts will want more details on those projections. Wells Fargo is scheduled to release results later Friday, while Bank of America , Goldman Sachs , Citigroup and Morgan Stanley report next week.

Persons: Chase Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon's, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Chateau, JPMorgan, LSEG Revenue, Trading, American, Fed, KBW, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Versailles, Paris, Wells

☆ These stocks are best-positioned to gain in the next wave of AI investment, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

In the next wave of investment, Goldman Sachs analysts recommend "platform" stocks like Microsoft and Datadog. In the next round of AI investment, Goldman Sachs analysts say investors should look past the obvious picks—Nvidia and AI infrastructure companies—and toward a select set of platforms set to build out a direct application of AI. "Our equity analysts believe 'platform' stocks, including databases and development tools, are set to be the primary beneficiaries of the next wave of generative AI investments. AdvertisementThe analysts name Microsoft, DataDog, MongoDB, Elastic, and Snowflake as the best-positioned platform stocks as they roll out AI-integrated applications. AdvertisementThe analysts' comments come after flows into AI stocks dwindled over the summer as traders expressed worries over returns on big AI spending.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, — Organizations: Microsoft, Service, Nvidia, Federal Reserve Locations: Snowflake

☆ Wholesale prices were flat in September, below expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A measure of wholesale prices showed no change in September, pointing to a continued easing in inflation, the Labor Department reported Friday. The producer price index, which measures what producers get for their goods and services, was flat for the month and up 1.8% from a year ago. Within the PPI, a 0.2% decline in final demand goods prices offset a 0.2% increase in services. A 3% jump in deposit services costs pushed the services index higher, while professional and commercial equipment wholesaling prices tumbled 6.3%. Similarly, the index for gasoline fell 5.6%, holding back gains on the goods index.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department, PPI, Fed

☆ Stock market today: US stocks edge up after wholesale inflation comes in cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose as September's wholesale price data showed cooling inflation. The producer price index was flat, and core PPI rose less than expected in September. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Friday after Producer Price Index data for September came in lower than expected, signaling a continued cooling of wholesale inflation. The producer price index was flat month-over-month, below economist estimates of a 0.1% rise. Apart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch.

Persons: Wells, —, Price, David Russell, Russell, Jamie Dimon Organizations: PPI, JPMorgan, BlackRock, Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock

☆ Here’s the deflation breakdown for September 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

However, prices for many physical goods have deflated as supply-and-demand dynamics return to normal following pandemic-era contortions. "Outside of goods prices, I don't think we'll see price cuts," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's. That served to weaken demand, which also pushed down prices, economists said. Outside of supply-demand dynamics, the U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for imported goods, economists said. Energy, food and consumer electronicsOutside of imported goods, consumers may also see a "normalization" of prices in food and energy, Zandi said.

Persons: Jeff Greenberg, Mark Zandi, Zandi, women's outerwear, Sarah House Organizations: Universal, Getty, Finance, Social Security, Vehicles, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics ., U.S . Federal, Fed, U.S, Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S

☆ Gold drifts higher after data supports U.S. rate-cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices climbed on Friday after recent data supported bets for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month, while market participants awaited the U.S. Producer Price Index report for further direction. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,641.70 per ounce by 0245 GMT but was down about 0.4% for the week. Data on Thursday showed that U.S. consumer prices rose slightly more than expected in September, while jobless claims increased to 258,000 in the week ended Oct. 5, versus estimates of 230,000. "Gold is seeing short-term gains as recent data has been positive. If the PPI data comes in softer, gold's momentum could continue upward," said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific.

Persons: Price, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, CME's Organizations: Federal, PPI, Asia Locations: Tokyo, Japan, CME's FedWatch, Beirut

☆ CIO says 25 basis point cuts by the Fed seem likely but don't rule out another surprise
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCIO says 25 basis point cuts by the Fed seem likely but don't rule out another surpriseFabiana Fedeli, chief investment officer for equities, multi-asset and sustainability at M&G Investment, comments on the Federal Reserve's next moves.

Persons: Fedeli Organizations: G Investment, Federal

☆ Dollar bulls suffer setback as traders add to Fed cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar fell from two-month highs hit overnight versus its major peers after signs of weakness in the labor market boosted the case for quicker Federal Reserve rate cuts. Bets for a quarter-point Fed rate cut on Nov. 7 increased to 83.3% from 80.3% a day earlier, with the remaining odds for policy to stay steady, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. A week earlier, there was a 32.1% chance of a half-point reduction and 67.9% probability of a quarter-point cut. The dollar added 0.06% to 148.68 yen , inching back towards Thursday's high of 149.58 yen, a level previously not seen since Aug. 2. The Australian dollar held firm at $0.67395 after rebounding from its lowest since Sept. 16 at $0.6702 on Thursday.

Persons: Tapas Strickland, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic Organizations: U.S, Treasury, National Australia Bank, Fed, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed Locations: China

☆ Earnings growth should continue to drive the S&P 500, says UBS
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 touched a record in early trading and was headed for its fifth-straight winning week. Excluding the energy sector, S & P 500 profit growth should be 8-10%," the bank wrote in a note to clients. "Many of these companies are benefiting from continued strong growth in AI investment spending and monetization," UBS added. "In aggregate, the Magnificent 7 will account for 21% of S & P 500 profits in 2024 and closer to 25% in 2025." The bank sees the S & P 500 climbing to 5,900 by year end and 6,200 by June 2025.

Persons: Banks, Wells Organizations: UBS, Investors, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock

☆ Another reason to rethink CDs: Your return is less than it seems
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Now that the Federal Reserve has started to cut the federal funds rate, those yields are moving lower. Lincoln Financial's analysis shows that cash yields have historically fallen by 2%, on average, twelve months after the start of a Fed cutting cycle. What to do with excess cash Instruments like CDs, high-yield savings accounts and money market funds are a good place to stash cash for emergencies and upcoming expenses. However, the forward market implies that they should start to look appealing relative to money funds in about six months, Abate wrote. "We expect investors to rotate from money funds into IG only if compensated for the risk," he noted.

Persons: Joe Boyle, Sallie Mae, Goldman Sachs, Marcus, Michael Kaye, Jayson Bronchetti, Lincoln, Boyle, Lincoln Financial's Bronchetti, Bronchetti, we've, Joseph Abate, Abate Organizations: Hartford Funds, Investors, Federal Reserve, American, Financial, Synchrony, Fed, Lincoln Financial, Bloomberg U.S, Barclays, Reserve, IG Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S

☆ TD Bank pleads guilty in money laundering case, will pay $3 billion in penalties
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Dan Mangan | Dan Mangan Is A Reporter Covering Politics For Cnbc.Com. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

The total assets of TD Bank’s two U.S. banking subsidiaries will be barred from exceeding $434 billion under that restriction. “Today, TD Bank also became the largest bank in U.S. history to plead guilty to Bank Secrecy Act program failures, and the first US bank in history to plead guilty to conspiracy to commit money laundering,” Garland said. “TD Bank chose profits over compliance with the law — a decision that is now costing the bank billions of dollars in penalties. “In August 2021, a TD Bank store manager emailed another store manager and remarked, quote, ‘You guys really need to shut this down. “This settlement lets bad bank executives off the hook for allowing TD Bank to be used as a criminal slush fund.

Persons: ”, General Merrick Garland, ” Garland, “, Garland, David, Lol, ’ ” Garland, ‘, FinCEN, Wally Adeyemo, ” Adeymo, ” Sen, Elizabeth Warren, ” Warren, Bharat Masrani, ” Masrani Organizations: Bank, Department of Justice, TD Bank, Currency, Federal Reserve, “, Washington , D.C, DOJ, Treasury, Enforcement Network, FinCEN, Street, CNBC, of Justice, Consumer Financial, Bureau Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Washington ,, Newark , New Jersey, United States, Canada, “

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