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America’s Democratic governors brag about booming local economies, preside over ribbon-cuttings of projects paid for with new federal legislation and have successfully framed themselves as defenders of abortion rights and democracy. Almost all of them are far more popular in their home states than the Democratic president they hope to re-elect next year. While President Biden is mired in the political doldrums of low approval ratings and a national economy that voters are sour on, Democratic governors are riding high, having won re-election in red-state Kentucky last month and holding office in five of the seven most important presidential battleground states. The governors, like nearly all prominent Democrats, are publicly projecting confidence: In interviews and conversations with eight governors at their annual winter gathering at the Arizona Biltmore in Phoenix over the weekend, they expressed on-the-record optimism that Mr. Biden would win re-election.
Persons: Biden Organizations: Democratic, Arizona Biltmore Locations: Kentucky, Phoenix
Very few events bring aides on President Biden’s re-election campaign more joy than when former President Donald J. Trump threatens to repeal popular Democratic policies. So when Mr. Trump, the Republican presidential front-runner, wrote on social media over the holiday weekend that he was “seriously looking at alternatives” to the 13-year-old Affordable Care Act, and that his fellow Republicans should “never give up” seeking its repeal, Mr. Biden’s campaign was happy to cede its programming decisions to Mr. Trump. Still, Mr. Biden’s aides intend to once again push to make Mr. Trump and his proposals the news. That strategy has become a key cog for the campaign, as Mr. Biden struggles with low approval ratings and increasingly focuses on foreign policy rather than his re-election bid. The campaign will air TV ads this week in Las Vegas and on national cable that contrast legislation passed by Mr. Biden that lowered prices on some prescription drugs with Mr. Trump’s proposal to repeal the Affordable Care Act, said Michael Tyler, the campaign’s communications director.
Persons: Biden’s, Donald J, Trump, , Biden, Michael Tyler Organizations: Republican, Street, Mr Locations: Las Vegas
He denied those allegations and later sued the chamber. He said he “won the lawsuits” against his accusers, though he said the terms of the settlements remained confidential. Mr. Palomarez is a self-described Democrat who resigned from a diversity coalition convened by the Trump administration over its efforts to end the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program. He appears on cable news occasionally to criticize President Biden on issues like immigration and domestic energy production. He is also the founder and chief executive of an advocacy organization with a mission similar to that of the U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, his former employer, and is now a volunteer leader at No Labels.
Persons: Javier Palomarez, Palomarez, Trump, , , Biden Organizations: United States Hispanic Chamber, Commerce, Hispanic, U.S, of Commerce
But while Mr. Trump is likely to rise in the public consciousness as November 2024 approaches, it is far from certain that he will sabotage himself politically. His campaign has little to show for a $40 million advertising push promoting his economic record. “It is important to remind people of what a total and absolute disaster Trump was.”Mr. Biden and Democrats, of course, cannot control decisions that news organizations make or the topics that absorb voters in person and on social media. But the Biden campaign, which is aiming to make the 2024 election a referendum on whether Mr. Trump should return to the White House, can try to push the national discussion in his direction with its messaging. One big challenge, however, is that many Americans who tuned out the former president when he left office show little interest in hearing more about him.
Persons: Trump, Biden, , Donald Trump, , Adrianne, Mr Organizations: The New York Times, Siena College, White Locations: people’s, Adrianne Shropshire
Vice President Kamala Harris will travel to Columbia, S.C., on Friday to formally file President Biden’s paperwork to appear on the Democratic primary ballot in the state, according to two people familiar with her plans. Ms. Harris’s trip will punctuate the end of a tumultuous week for her and Mr. Biden. The Biden campaign had said its South Carolina paperwork would be filed by Representative James Clyburn, the South Carolina Democrat who helped resuscitate Mr. Biden’s 2020 campaign by endorsing him three days before his state’s primary. Mr. Biden repaid the favor by pushing the Democratic National Committee to put South Carolina at the front of the party’s presidential nominating calendar. Ms. Harris and Mr. Clyburn will meet to file the primary paperwork at the South Carolina Democratic Party headquarters, said the people familiar with the plans, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the trip was supposed to be a surprise.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Biden, Mr, Donald J, Trump, James Clyburn, Biden’s, Harris, Clyburn Organizations: Democratic, Democrats, Republican, South Carolina Democrat, Democratic National Committee, South Carolina Democratic Party Locations: Columbia, Virginia , Kentucky, Ohio, South Carolina
What Mr. Manchin actually plans to do remains a mystery. Mr. Manchin has flirted this year with No Labels, a group that has made noise about running a centrist candidate for the White House. Some allies of Mr. Manchin are skeptical that he will run for president. For one, it would cost hundreds of millions of dollars to run a credible independent or third-party campaign, and Mr. Manchin has never been a formidable fund-raiser on his own. Jim Justice, a Republican who is running for the state’s Senate seat.
Persons: Manchin, , Jim Justice Organizations: Democrat, Senate, White, PAC, Greenbrier, Gov, Republican Locations: West Virginia
The political potency of abortion rights proved more powerful than the drag of President Biden’s approval ratings in Tuesday’s off-year elections, as Ohioans enshrined a right to abortion in their state’s constitution, and Democrats took control of both chambers of the Virginia General Assembly while holding on to Kentucky’s governorship. The night’s results showed the durability of Democrats’ political momentum since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade and ended the constitutional right to an abortion in 2022. It may also, at least temporarily, stem the latest round of Democratic fretting from a series of polls demonstrating Mr. Biden’s political weakness. Here are key takeaways from Tuesday:There’s nothing like abortion to aid Democrats and Biden. Democratic officials have been saying for months that the fight for abortion rights has become the issue that best motivates Democrats to vote, and is also the issue that persuades the most Republicans to vote for Democrats.
Persons: Biden’s, Roe, Wade, Biden Organizations: Virginia General, Democratic, Wisconsin Supreme, Biden Locations: Tuesday’s, Virginia, Wisconsin
Both Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump are viewed unfavorably by a majority of voters in these states, one-fifth of voters don’t like either of them, and enthusiasm about the coming election is down sharply compared with a poll conducted before the 2020 contest. That frustration and malaise have prompted voters to entertain the idea of other options. When asked about the likeliest 2024 matchup, Mr. Biden versus Mr. Trump, only 2 percent of those polled said they would support another candidate. But when Mr. Kennedy’s name was included as an option, nearly a quarter said they would choose him. That number almost surely inflates the support of Mr. Kennedy, the political scion and vaccine skeptic, because two-thirds of those who said they would back him had said earlier that they would definitely or probably vote for one of the two front-runners.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Mr, Kennedy Organizations: The New York Times, Siena College
The Times/Siena College battleground polls released on Sunday and Monday were conducted over the past week in six swing states that are likely to decide the election: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Five of the states were won by Donald J. Trump in 2016 and then flipped by Joseph R. Biden Jr. in 2020. Nevada, which has always been a close state, came down to less than one percentage point in the 2022 U.S. Senate election. These states also contain some of the coalitions that will be crucial next fall: younger, more diverse voters in states like Arizona, Georgia and Nevada; and white working-class voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin who helped swing the election to Trump in 2016, and were central to Mr. Biden’s 2020 victory. They also provide some geographic diversity.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Joseph R, Biden, Biden’s Organizations: Trump Locations: Siena, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, . Nevada, Nevada, Michigan , Pennsylvania
Mr. Biden, and before him Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, won the nomination largely because of their strength with Black voters in Democratic primaries. Mr. Pritzker, the governor of Illinois, is helping to plan and fund next year’s Democratic National Convention. Mr. Newsom, the governor of California, has offered himself up to debate second-tier Republican candidates on Mr. Biden’s behalf. And yet Mr. Biden will turn 81 this month. If anything is durable about his polling numbers, it is how weak his standing is among the party’s core constituencies.
Persons: Kennedy, Biden, Mr, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, There’s, Pritzker, Newsom, Biden’s, Whitmer, Raphael Warnock Organizations: Democratic, Black, Democratic National Committee, Democratic National Convention, Mr, White Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and New Hampshire, Alabama , Michigan, South Carolina, California, Florida, Illinois, Michigan, Georgia
In protests, open letters, staff revolts and walkouts, liberal Democrats are demanding that Mr. Biden break with decades-long American policy and call for a cease-fire. The political power of the Israel skeptics within the party is untested, with more than a year remaining until the 2024 presidential election. Their efforts have been fractious and disorganized, and they have little agreement on how much blame to lay at Mr. Biden’s feet or whether to punish him next November if he ignores their pleas. His margin of victory in key battleground states was just a few thousand votes — hardly enough to spare a significant drop-off from young voters alienated by his loyalty to a right-wing Israeli government they see as hostile to their values. Perhaps most concerning for Mr. Biden is that in the halls of Congress, the most critical Democratic voices are Black and Hispanic Democrats who helped fuel his 2020 victory.
Persons: Biden, Biden’s, Israel, , Bonnie Watson Coleman, resolution’s Organizations: Democratic, Mr, Democrats Locations: Israel, Hollywood, America, Palestine, New Jersey
Elected officials in Maine reacting to initial reports of the shooting in Lewiston expressed concern about the violence that had visited their community and shared words of sympathy with the friends and relatives of those caught in the shooting. A spokesman for Senator Angus King said that President Biden had reached out to the senator and pledged any federal assistance needed for the state. Janet Mills of Maine said on X that she had been “briefed on the active shooter situation” and urged residents to follow the directions of law enforcement. President Biden was briefed “on what’s known so far about the mass shooting in Lewiston, Maine, and will continue to receive updates,” the White House said in a statement. Our leaders must act.”Reid J. Epstein , Víctor Manuel Ramos and Ben Shpigel contributed reporting.
Persons: Chellie Pingree, Maine, Angus King, Mr, King, Biden, Susan Collins, , we’ve, Collins, Janet Mills, , Jared Golden, Gabrielle Giffords, ” Reid J, Epstein, Víctor Manuel Ramos, Ben Shpigel Organizations: Gov, Democrat Locations: Maine, Lewiston, Lewiston , Maine, Arizona
Mr. Biden’s polling numbers have been mired in dangerous territory since he oversaw the chaotic American military withdrawal from Afghanistan. “There is a need, but do we really need that significant amount?”She said she did not watch Mr. Biden’s Oval Office address on Thursday. About 20.3 million people watched Mr. Biden’s speech across 10 television networks, according to preliminary data from Nielsen. When Mr. Trump spoke about immigration from the Oval Office in January 2019, about 40 million people tuned in. Most immediately, Mr. Biden faces the challenge of what he can do to secure the release of Americans being held hostage in the Gaza Strip.
Persons: , , ” Julian E, it’s, Biden’s, Israel —, Samantha Moskowitz, Ukraine “, Moskowitz, Biden, Donald J, Trump, Nielsen, Stanley B, Greenberg, Clinton’s, Israel, George W, Bush, Mr, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Antony J, Blinken, Zelizer, Charles R, Jr, Ronald Reagan, ” Paul Begala, Begala, ” Mr, Black, ” John Koblin, Sharon Dunten Organizations: Princeton University, Georgia Gwinnett College, Biden’s, Nielsen, Israel, Fox, Quinnipiac University, Iraq, Democratic, Hamas, Mr, Republicans Locations: Afghanistan, Israel, Ukraine, Atlanta, Biden’s State, Iran, Russia, United States, Vietnam, Iraq, Gaza, New York, Norcross , Ga
He pleaded with the Israelis not to overreact, as he said the United States did after the terrorist attacks on Sept. 11, 2001. Mr. Biden’s speech comes as his political coalition has begun to fray over the Israeli conflict. “I am grateful to have @POTUS thoughtful leadership in this moment,” Representative Emanuel Cleaver of Missouri wrote on social media. “Joe Biden flew into a war zone to stand with Israel,” Mr. Auchincloss said late Wednesday. “Trump wouldn’t even visit a cemetery of American war dead.” (Mr. Trump, in 2018, canceled a planned trip to a French cemetery, and his aides cited the rainy weather.)
Persons: Biden, Israel —, , Emanuel Cleaver, Missouri, Steny Hoyer, Biden “, Richard Haass, Jake Auchincloss, Donald J, Trump, “ Joe Biden, ” Mr, Auchincloss, “ Trump, , Cori Bush, André Carson, Pope Francis, Rashida Tlaib, Jerry Nadler, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Ilhan Omar, Omar, Dilawar Syed, Wadea, , Josh Paul, Biden administration’s Organizations: Democratic, Progressives, Democrats, Maryland, Foreign Relations, Biden, Liberal Democrats, Gaza, Capitol, Florida, Small Business Administration, Department Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Tel Aviv, United States, Gaza, America, Massachusetts, Missouri, André Carson of Indiana, Michigan, York, Minnesota, Chicago
As President Biden visits Tel Aviv on Wednesday to demonstrate American solidarity with Israel amid escalating violence after the deadliest attack it has faced in 50 years, Democratic rifts over the conflict are beginning to tear open, leaving him presiding over a party struggling to resolve where it stands. The president’s trip, and his broader handling of the war, have presented him with both political risks and a chance to pump energy into a re-election bid that Democratic voters have been slow to embrace. Mr. Biden’s steadfast support for Israel after the Hamas attack, by far the dominant position in Washington, has won him plaudits from some Republicans as well as Democrats. An international crisis, even with its grave geopolitical dangers, is relatively comfortable political terrain for a president with deep foreign policy experience. While international issues rarely drive American elections, Mr. Biden and his allies will see playing the role of statesman abroad — especially if he can help calm the soaring tensions — as a welcome change from a wide range of domestic challenges dragging down his approval ratings.
Persons: Biden Organizations: Tel, Democratic, Israel Locations: Tel Aviv, Israel, Washington
[1/6] Former U.S. President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at the fall convention of the California Republican Party in Anaheim, California, U.S., September 29, 2023. "With your help, we're going to win the California primary," the former president said to a crowd of Republican activists and party members who gave him a raucous standing ovation when he took the stage at the California Republican Party convention in Anaheim, 25 miles (40 km) south of Los Angeles. But in the battle to become the Republican nominee, California offers the most valuable prize of all. The country's most populous state has 169 delegates up for grabs on March 5, in a race where winning delegates state by state determines who will capture the nomination. She said she had taken a look at DeSantis and other Republican candidates but still preferred Trump.
Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Blake, Trump, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, hadn't, Joe Biden, Nikki Haley, Haley, Lori Cisneros, Tim Reid, James Oliphant, Colleen Jenkins, Daniel Wallis, Cynthia Osterman, Michael Perry Organizations: U.S, Republican, California Republican Party, REUTERS, Rights, California, Trump, Reuters, Democratic, Social, United Nations, Port, Golden State, Thomson Locations: Anaheim , California, U.S, Rights ANAHEIM , California, California, Anaheim, Los Angeles, Florida, Lago, Georgia, Arizona, South Carolina, Port of Los Angeles, Golden, Tehachapi , California
Republican presidential candidates talk over each other during the second Republican candidates' debate of the 2024 U.S. presidential campaign at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, September 27, 2023. Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, a frequent Trump critic, chimed in, saying Trump was "afraid" and mocking him as "Donald Duck" for skipping the debate. Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee for the November 2024 election, was also a frequent target for the Republican candidates, who castigated his handling of the economy and the southern border with Mexico. "They're all job candidates," Trump said dismissively of the seven Republicans at the debate. Haley, meanwhile, was hoping a second consecutive strong debate performance will convince some Republican donors she has the best odds of unseating Trump.
Persons: Ronald Reagan, Mike Blake, Donald Trump's, Joe Biden, Trump, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Chris Christie, chimed, Donald Duck, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, Biden, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Dana Perino, Iowa's, Haley, Doug Burgum, autoworkers, Tim Scott, Scott, Vladimir Putin, Tim Reid, Rami Ayyub, Kanishka Singh, Jasper Ward, Eric Beech, Gram Slattery, Joseph Ax, Ross Colvin, Howard Goller Organizations: Republican, Ronald Reagan Presidential, REUTERS, Democratic, Trump, Reuters, Former New Jersey, United, United Nations, TikTok, U.S, Trump . North, Thomson Locations: Simi Valley , California, SIMI VALLEY , California, China, Wisconsin, Florida, United Nations, Mexico, Michigan, New York, COVID, Trump . North Dakota, Ukraine, Russia, Jasper, Princeton , New Jersey
Taken together, these results suggest that the favorable political environment for Democrats since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade has endured through much of 2023. “Dobbs absolutely changed the way that people thought about and processed things that they had perceived as a given,” said Heather Williams, the interim president of the D.L.C.C. In January 2010, Scott Brown won a shocking upset in a Senate special election in deep-blue Massachusetts by running against President Barack Obama’s health care push. In March 2018, Conor Lamb won a special election to fill a House seat in a deep-red Pennsylvania district by campaigning as a centrist voice against Mr. Trump. Both the Brown and Lamb special elections served as indicators of the wave elections their parties won in subsequent midterm elections.
Persons: Roe, Wade, “ Dobbs, , Heather Williams, , what’s, Scott Brown, Barack, Conor Lamb, Trump, Brown, Lamb Organizations: Democratic Locations: Massachusetts, Pennsylvania
The rest are running for the Republican nomination for president. Ron DeSantis has the words “Ron DeSantis” plastered across the breast of his fishing-style shirts. On sunny days, Tim Scott wears a white baseball cap that says “Tim Scott.” Vivek Ramaswamy’s polo shirts read “Vivek,” and Doug Burgum and Asa Hutchinson wear hats and shirts with their names on them. On the 2024 trail, nearly all of the Republican presidential candidates have turned themselves into human billboards for their campaigns. It’s a fashion choice that would be more typical for a state legislator, and it hasn’t been seen before on such a broad scale during a national campaign.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Tim Scott, ” Vivek, Vivek, , Doug Burgum, Asa Hutchinson, Donald J, Trump, , hasn’t Organizations: Republican
But now, as Mr. Trump’s lead in the primary has grown and hardened, the party has dropped Mr. DeSantis from such hypothetical matchups. And the Biden campaign’s polling on Republican candidates is now directed squarely at Mr. Trump, according to officials familiar with the surveys. The sharpened focus on Mr. Trump isn’t happening only behind the scenes. On Sunday, after Mr. Trump sought to muddy the waters on his position on abortion, the Biden operation and its surrogates pushed back with uncommon intensity. On Monday, Mr. Biden told donors at a New York fund-raiser that Mr. Trump was out to “destroy” American democracy, in some of his most forceful language so far about the implications of a second Trump term.
Persons: — Donald J, Trump, Ron DeSantis —, Biden, Trump’s, DeSantis, Organizations: Republican, Democratic National Committee, Trump, Locations: New York, Manhattan
As President Biden shifts his re-election campaign into higher gear, the strength of his candidacy is being tested by a striking divide between Democratic leaders, who are overwhelmingly unified behind his bid, and rank-and-file voters in the party who harbor persistent doubts about whether he is their best option. From the highest levels of the party on down, Democratic politicians and party officials have long dismissed the idea that Mr. Biden should have any credible primary challenger. Yet despite their efforts — and the president’s lack of a serious opponent within his party — they have been unable to dispel Democratic concerns about him that center largely on his age and vitality. The discord between the party’s elite and its voters leaves Democrats confronting a level of disunity over a president running for re-election not seen for decades. Interviews with more than a dozen strategists, elected officials and voters this past week, conversations with Democrats since Mr. Biden’s campaign began in April, and months of public polling data show that this disconnect has emerged as a defining obstacle for his candidacy, worrying Democrats from liberal enclaves to swing states to the halls of power in Washington.
Persons: Biden, , Biden’s Organizations: Democratic, Democrats Locations: Washington
President Biden is planning to deliver a major speech on the ongoing threats to democracy in Arizona later this month, with the address scheduled the day after the next Republican presidential primary debate. One location for the speech that has been under discussion is the McCain Institute, according to a person familiar with the planning. The institute, which is devoted to “fighting for democracy,” is named for Senator John McCain, a Republican who served for more than 20 years in the Senate with Mr. Biden and who sparred repeatedly with former President Donald J. Trump, the Republican Party’s front-runner in 2024. Mr. Biden has made the perils facing American democracy a central theme of his 2020 campaign and also his 2024 re-election bid. He also made the case ahead of the 2022 midterms that Mr. Trump and his allies posed a threat to the “soul of the nation.”Anita Dunn, a top White House adviser, told Democratic donors about the upcoming speech on Wednesday in Chicago, the site of the party’s 2024 convention, according to people familiar with her remarks.
Persons: Biden, John McCain, sparred, Donald J, Trump, Mr, Anita Dunn Organizations: Republican, McCain, Mr, White Locations: Arizona, Chicago
OnlyFans has become a go-to platform for creators, particularly in the sphere of adult content. From DMs to personalized content, here's how creators make $10,000 a month or more on OnlyFans. Ami Gan, the company's former CEO, said in October 2022 that OnlyFans had paid out $10 billion to creators since its founding in 2016, and that the platform had over 2 million creators. Promo "shoutouts": Creators rely on marketing tactics to get new customers, like buying and selling "shoutouts" from each other to advertise on OnlyFans and on other social-media platforms. Read more about the lucrative business of selling promotional "shoutouts" on OnlyFansHow 8 OnlyFans creators built their incomes to over $10,000 per month:How 3 OnlyFans creators are making over $100,000 per month:
Persons: OnlyFans, Ami Gan, Morgan Edwards, Edwards, Kitty K, Jade Nicole, Amber Sweetheart, Riley Reid, Reid, Read Organizations: Service, shoutouts Locations: Wall, Silicon
Republicans in Wisconsin are coalescing around the prospect of impeaching a newly seated liberal justice on the state’s Supreme Court, whose victory in a costly, high-stakes election this spring swung the court in Democrats’ favor and threatened the G.O.P.’s iron grip on state politics. The drama over Republican threats to impeach and possibly remove Justice Protasiewicz could raise new questions about democracy and the legitimacy of elections in a state where G.O.P. For Republicans, the liberal Supreme Court majority serves as an existential danger. If the court, as expected, invalidates Wisconsin’s legislative maps, it would strip Republicans of what now amounts to permanent majorities in the Legislature. But removing a newly elected justice could prompt a backlash in 2024 from Democrats and moderate Republican voters who abandoned the G.O.P.
Persons: , Janet Protasiewicz, Protasiewicz Organizations: Republican, Trump Locations: Wisconsin
When a chant slamming President Biden spread from a NASCAR race to T-shirts and bumper stickers across red America two years ago, the White House pulled off perhaps its savviest messaging feat to date. Biden aides and allies repackaged the “Let’s Go Brandon” insult and morphed it into “Dark Brandon,” a celebratory meme casting Mr. Biden as some sort of omnipotent mastermind. Now, the White House and the Biden campaign is several weeks into another appropriation play — but it isn’t going nearly as well. Aides in July announced that the president would run for re-election on the virtues of “Bidenomics,” proudly reclaiming the right’s derisive term for Mr. Biden’s economic policies. Wages are up, inflation has slowed, but credit to the president remains in short supply.
Persons: Biden, Brandon ”, Brandon, , , Biden’s Organizations: NASCAR, White, Democratic, Navigator Locations: It’s
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