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☆ UAW cites 'productive' talks with Ford on second day of US auto strike
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( David Shepardson | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

About 12,700 UAW workers remained on strike for a second day as part of a coordinated labor action targeting three U.S. assembly plants - one at each of the Detroit Three automakers. However, the UAW comment about the tenor of talks at Ford was more positive than the union's characterization of progress ahead of the kickoff of the strikes. "As we have said all along, Ford has bet on the UAW more than any other company. We are committed to reaching an agreement with UAW that rewards our workers and allows Ford to invest in the future. GM said on Thursday the UAW wage and benefits proposals would cost it $100 billion, while Ford's Farley said the a 40% UAW wage hike would "put us out of business."

Persons: Stellantis, Jim Farley, Ford, Mark Truby, Mark Stewart, Stewart, Shawn Fain, Fain, Ford's Farley, Joe Biden, David Shepardson, Joseph White, Paul Simao Organizations: United Auto Workers, Ford, Chrysler, UAW, Detroit Three automakers, Union, General Motors, GM, North American, Ford Bronco, Chevrolet, Thomson Locations: Illinois, Belvidere , Illinois, Michigan , Ohio, Missouri, Chevrolet Colorado, Michigan, Kansas, Toledo , Ohio

☆ Explainer: UAW strikes target Detroit Three automakers
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 16 (Reuters) - The United Auto Workers (UAW) union on Friday launched strikes at three U.S. auto plants after failing to reach an agreement over new contracts, the first-ever simultaneous labor action against the Detroit Three automakers. Detroit automakers, like their global counterparts, have been focused on cost reductions, which in some cases include job cuts, to help accelerate a shift to electric vehicles (EVs) from gasoline-powered vehicles. Contract talks between the UAW and the Detroit automakers in past years had gone on until the strike deadline and beyond. In fiscal 2019, GM's fourth-quarter profit took a $3.6 billion hit from a 40-day UAW strike. The walkout on Friday was smaller than some analysts expected, with only three auto plants in Michigan, Ohio and Missouri targeted.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Shawn Fain, Stellantis, Fain, Biden, Tesla, GM's, Nathan Gomes, Paul Simao, Sriraj Kalluvila, Diane Craft Organizations: United Auto Workers, UAW, International Workers, REUTERS, Detroit Three automakers, General Motors, Ford Motor, Chrysler, Detroit, WHO, Ford, FROM, GM, EV, Deutsche Bank, Lear Corp, Anderson Economic Group, Ford Bronco, Chevrolet, Thomson Locations: New York, Manhattan , New York City , New York, U.S, Michigan , Ohio, Missouri, Chevrolet Colorado, Bengaluru, Washington

☆ UAW, automakers resume labor talks; Stellantis hikes wage offer
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( David Shepardson | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The four-year labor deal between the union and General Motors (GM.N), Ford Motor (F.N) and Chrysler-parent Stellantis expired at 11:59 p.m. EDT on Thursday. Stellantis said on Saturday it has hiked its offer, proposing cumulative raises of nearly 21% over a four-and-a-half-year contract term, including an immediate 10% hike. GM and Ford are also offering wage hikes of 20% over the same period. The union is demanding higher wages, shorter work weeks, restoration of defined benefit pensions and stronger job security as automakers make the EV shift. Stellantis said it is offering more than $1 billion in retirement security improvements and other increases in benefits.

Persons: Stellantis, Ford, Shawn Fain, Fain, David Shepardson, Paul Simao Organizations: United Auto Workers, Detroit Three, General Motors, Ford Motor, Chrysler, GM, Ford, Ford Bronco, Chevrolet, UAW, Thomson Locations: Chevrolet Colorado, Michigan, Kansas, Missouri

☆ Argentina government expects economic rebound, inflation slowdown in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

BUENOS AIRES, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Argentina's economy is expected to grow 2.7% in 2024 after contracting 2.5% this year, according to a budget proposal sent by the economy ministry to Congress late on Friday. The government also expects the country to have an annual inflation rate of 135.7% in 2023 and 69.5% in 2024. The budget proposal also shows the government expects the country's currency to weaken sharply next year to 607 pesos per dollar from the 365.9 pesos per dollar expected for 2023. Monthly inflation hit 12.4% in August, the highest figure since 1991. Reporting by Hernan Nessi; Writing by Carolina Pulice; Editing by Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Hernan Nessi, Carolina Pulice, Paul Simao Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: BUENOS AIRES

☆ IMF's Argentina predicament: Seek reforms and tango on or kill the music
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Jorgelina Do Rosario | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

But that programme failed to put South America's second-largest economy back on its feet. Even if he wins the Oct. 22 election and takes power in December, Milei would need alliances in Congress to push through reforms and a new IMF programme - Argentina's 23rd. That effort paved the way for the $57 billion programme, which ultimately failed and was replaced by the current one. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsPREFERENTIAL TREATMENTThe current programme could end before its expiration in September 2024, but Argentina will still require funds. Without mentioning Argentina, the U.S. - holding the largest voting power in the Fund - recently raised its concerns.

Persons: Javier Milei, Agustin Marcarian, Mauricio Macri's, Mark Sobel, Milei, Sobel, Sergio Massa, Martin Muehleisen, Muehleisen, Nestor Kirchner, Stephen Nelson, Nelson, Walter Stoeppelwerth, Simon Quijano, Evans, Gemcorp Capital, Jay Shambaugh, Jorgelina, Karin Strohecker, Paul Simao Organizations: Argentine, La Libertad Avanza, REUTERS, IMF, International Monetary Fund, South, Peronist, Analysts, Graphics, Review Department, U.S ., Northwestern University, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Gletir SA, Gemcorp, Thomson Locations: La Plata, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Washington, U.S, Chicago, Zambia, Sri Lanka, Ghana, Egypt, Burundi, Saharan Africa, Rosario

☆ Fed losses breach $100 billion as interest costs rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

NEW YORK, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve losses breached the $100 billion mark, central bank data released on Thursday showed, and they're likely to go a lot higher before the red ink stops. While there's considerable uncertainty around how it will all play out, some observers believe Fed losses, which began a year ago, could eventually as much as double before abating. William English, a former top central bank staffer now at Yale University, said he sees a "peak" loss of around $200 billion by 2025. Meanwhile, Derek Tang of forecasting firm LH Meyer said the loss is likely to be between $150 billion and $200 billion by next year. In 2022, the Fed handed back $76 billion, after returning $109 billion in 2021.

Persons: William English, Derek Tang, Meyer, James Bullard, Louis Fed, that's, What's, John Williams, Michael S, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Yale University, Fed, Treasury, . Bank, Securities, New York Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S

REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Sept 14 (Reuters) - The Biden administration on Thursday imposed sanctions on five Turkish companies and a Turkish national, accusing them of helping Russia evade sanctions and supporting Moscow in its war against Ukraine. The move is part of a bigger package of measures hitting Russia with sanctions on more than 150 targets, including the country's largest carmaker. The U.S. State Department imposed sanctions on Denkar Ship Construction for providing ship repair services to previously designated vessels of a company connected to the Russian Defense Ministry. The U.S. also imposed sanctions on a major local copper producer - Russian Copper Company. The Treasury slapped sanctions on Finland-based logistics firms Siberica Oy and Luminor Oy, accusing them of sending a wide variety of electronics into Russia.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Jonathan Ernst, reconvenes, Wally Adeyemo, we've, Sanayi, Denkar, Ilker Dogruyol, Dogruyol, Tayyip Erdogan, Humeyra Pamuk, Daphne Psaledakis, Polina Devitt, Gleb Stolyarov, Don Durfee, Alexandra Hudson, William Maclean, Paul Simao Organizations: Cancer, White, REUTERS, Rights, Turkish, Ukraine, Reuters, NATO, Treasury, . Treasury Department, U.S . State Department, Denkar, Russian Defense Ministry, State Department, ID Ship Agency, GAZ Group, Russian Copper Company, Siberica, Luminor, U.S, Kurdistan Workers Party, European Union, United, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Russia, Moscow, Turkey, Washington, Ankara, Sweden, United States, Ukraine, Sea, Turkish, U.S, Finland, Kyiv, Hungary, London

The trades - typically the domain of macro hedge funds with relative value strategies - consist of selling a futures contract, buying Treasuries deliverable into that contract with repurchase agreement (repo) funding, and delivering them at contract expiry. "Cash-futures basis positions could again be exposed to stress during broader market corrections," Fed economists said in an Aug. 30 note. Separately, in a Sept. 8 note that looked among other things at hedge funds' Treasury exposures, Fed economists said there was a risk of a rapid unwind of basis trade positions in case of higher repo funding costs. "However, the approach they take may not be straightforward as the Fed does not have direct regulatory oversight over hedge funds," he said. "Cash futures basis trades are vulnerable to two risks: higher margin costs on the futures short and higher financing costs on the cash long position," Barclays said in a note on Tuesday.

Persons: Steven Zeng, Deutsche's Zeng, Davide Barbuscia, Megan Davies, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, repo, Futures Trading Commission, Deutsche Bank, U.S, Barclays, Thomson Locations: U.S, Treasuries

☆ Fed to leave rates unchanged on Sept. 20; cut unlikely before Q2 2024: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( Prerana Bhat | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"While there has been meaningful progress to date on inflation ... the Fed will not be able to take this for granted." Around 70% of those respondents, 62 of 87, had at least one rate cut by the end of next June. Still, all but five of 28 respondents to an extra question said the bigger risk was that the first Fed cut would come later than they currently forecast. A serious economic downturn could justify an earlier rate cut, but that is looking less likely. The economy was expected to expand by 2.0% this year and 0.9% in 2024, according to the poll.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Brett Ryan, Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi's Hollenhorst, Prerana Bhat, Pranoy Krishna, Rahul Trivedi, Shaloo, Ross Finley, Paul Simao Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Market, Fed, Reuters, Deutsche Bank, Consumer, Index, Citi, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S

☆ US posts August budget surplus after student loan cost reversal
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( David Lawder | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The August surplus - the first for that month since 1955 - compares to a year-earlier deficit of $220 billion. Receipts last month totaled $283 billion, down 7% or $21 billion from a year earlier, while outlays came to $194 billion after the student loan reversal, down 63% or $329 billion. After nearly a three-year moratorium due to the COVID-19 pandemic, student loan monthly repayments are due to resume Oct. 1. Year-to-date outlays totaled $5.496 trillion, up 3% or $142 billion, partly reflecting the student loan reversal. However, a Treasury official said the nominal interest cost was not a record as a share of Gross Domestic Product.

Persons: Joe Biden's, outlays, Biden, Biden's, David Lawder, Paul Simao Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Democratic, Internal Revenue, Federal, Gross, Thomson

☆ Fed to leave rates unchanged on Sept. 20; cut unlikely before Q2 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Prerana Bhat | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"While there has been meaningful progress to date on inflation ... the Fed will not be able to take this for granted." Only one said the Fed would cut rates this year. Around 70% of those respondents, 62 of 87, had at least one rate cut by the end of next June. Still, all but five of 28 respondents to an extra question said the bigger risk was that the first Fed cut would come later than they currently forecast. A serious economic downturn could justify an earlier rate cut, but that is looking less likely.

☆ ECB's crucial 2024 projection to put inflation above 3%, source says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Francesco Canepa | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The ECB's quarterly projections, set to be to presented to its Governing Council on Wednesday, will put inflation north of 3% in 2024, the source said, confounding expectations for a small cut. The updated 2024 projection is well above the central bank's 2% target and will be higher than the 3% forecast in June. The source said the rate decision was still a close call and formal proposals for the meeting have not yet been presented. But both headline and underlying inflation remain above 5%, raising the risk that workers will start demanding bigger pay increases, especially because the labour market remains exceptionally tight. Growth on the other hand will be downgraded for this year and 2024, roughly in line with market expectations, the source said.

Persons: Balazs Koranyi, Paul Simao Organizations: European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Thomson Locations: FRANKFURT

Signage is seen at the headquarters of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in Washington, D.C., U.S., May 12, 2021. YieldStreet, a New York investment firm that offers alternative assets to investors, failed to disclose a heightened risk related to the collateral behind one of its securities offerings, the SEC said in a statement. In September 2019, YieldStreet offered securities to finance a loan it made to companies to transport and deconstruct a retired ship. It did not tell investors of a heightened risk that they would not be able to seize the ship if the borrowers stole the funds and defaulted, as they ultimately did. Reporting by Chris Prentice; editing by Jonathan Oatis and Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, YieldStreet, Osman Nawaz, Chris Prentice, Jonathan Oatis, Paul Simao Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Yieldstreet Inc, U.S, Securities, YieldStreet, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, New York

The groups argued that banks cannot properly respond to the proposal, which would require lenders to hold more cash to absorb losses, without that analysis. The Fed drafted the rules with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). The "Basel Endgame" proposal implements international capital standards agreed by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in the aftermath of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The U.S. central bank has estimated it will increase industry capital requirements by $170 billion. "These capital rules will have an impact on economic growth and that will affect large businesses and small businesses and their access to capital."

Persons: Rick Wilking, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Banks, David Solomon, Jamie Dimon, Morgan Stanley's, Dan Simkowitz, Pete Schroeder, Saeed Azhar, Lananh Nguyen, Tatiana Bautzer, Michelle Price, Paul Simao, Deepa Babington Organizations: Deposit Insurance Corporation, REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, APA, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Currency, OCC, Banking, Reuters, JPMorgan, FDIC, Republican, Financial, Bank Policy Institute, American Bankers Association, Financial Services, Institute of International Bankers, Securities Industry, Financial Markets Association, Chamber of Commerce, Thomson Locations: Westminster , Colorado, U.S, Washington

☆ IMF, World Bank to step up cooperation on climate, debt, digital transition
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( David Lawder | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Amit Dave/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsCompanies International Monetary Fund FollowWASHINGTON, Sept 7 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund and World Bank on Thursday issued a rare joint statement pledging to step up their cooperation to address climate change, debt vulnerabilities and countries' digital transitions. The IMF and World Bank were established in 1944 at a meeting in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire. DEBT VULNERABILITIESThe two institutions also said they will incorporate climate considerations into their work on debt sustainability for low-income countries. The IMF and World Bank have worked closely on debt sustainability issues, both pushing for improved restructuring frameworks. On the digital transition, the two institutions said they would collaborate to help countries to connect their citizens to online services and reduce barriers to digital inclusion.

Persons: Ajay Banga, Amit Dave, Kristalina Georgieva, Joe Biden, Banga, David Lawder, Paul Simao Organizations: Ministers, Central Bank governors, REUTERS, International Monetary, Monetary Fund, World Bank, Woods, IMF, Bank, Advisory Group, Sustainability Trust, Thomson Locations: Gandhinagar, India, Bretton Woods , New Hampshire, Banga, U.S

Colombian-born Kugler, whose research has focused on labor markets, is the first Latina to join the Fed Board in its 109-year history. The vote was 53-45, with a few Republicans supporting a nomination that was championed by Democratic Senator Bob Menendez. The Senate on Wednesday also confirmed Fed Governor Philip Jefferson as Fed vice chair and Fed Governor Lisa Cook to a second term. Jefferson's success as vice chair will hinge on his ability to help Powell manage that process. Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Paul Simao and Timothy GardnerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Adriana Kugler, Jonathan Ernst, Kugler, Bob Menendez, Menendez, Philip Jefferson, Lisa Cook, Cook, Jerome Powell, Powell, Michael Feroli, Jefferson, she'll, Derek Tang, Tang, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao, Timothy Gardner Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Governors, Capitol, REUTERS, U.S, Senate, Bank, Fed Board, Democratic, Wednesday, Jefferson, JPMorgan, Fed, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Cuban, United States, U.S

☆ US jobless claims hit lowest level since February; productivity strongest in years
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 13,000 to 216,000 in the week ended Sept. 2 from a revised 229,000 in the prior week, the Labor Department said on Thursday. That was the lowest since the same level was touched in the week ended Feb. 11 and it marked the fourth straight weekly decline. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast new claims would rise to 234,000 in the latest week. That was the lowest since the same level was hit in the week ended July 15. Overall, the jobless claims figures show the U.S. job market appears in no danger of rolling over in the near term.

Persons: Brian Snyder, Dan Burns, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Cambridge , Massachusetts, U.S

☆ Possible Fed overtightening makes recession more likely than not, Deutsche Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

NEW YORK, Sept 6 (Reuters) - Despite recent optimism around the U.S. economy, a recession remains a more likely scenario than a so-called "soft landing" as the Federal Reserve seeks to curb inflation by tightening monetary conditions, Deutsche Bank said on Wednesday. "Given that inflation peaked significantly above target, the Fed should err on the side of tightening too much, rather than too little," Deutsche Bank analysts said in a note. "A US recession remains more likely than not." In contrast to Deutsche Bank's forecasts, several banks have in recent months revised or pushed out their earlier recession calls. Goldman Sachs analysts on Monday said they had further reduced their 12-month U.S. recession probability to 15% from a previous 20% estimate.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Davide Barbuscia, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Thomson Locations: U.S

[1/3] Fed Governor Philip Jefferson testifies before a Senate Banking Committee hearing on his nomination to be the Federal Reserve's next vice chair, on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., June 21, 2023. Senators also confirmed Fed Governor Lisa Cook to a fresh 14-year term at the central bank, though they did so in a 51-47 vote that broke along partisan lines. Both Jefferson and Cook have a PhD in economics and became Fed governors in May of 2022 after long careers in academia. The U.S. central bank's vice chair, whose term is four years, also traditionally serves as the Fed chief's go-to official on policy communications, underscoring key messages and clarifying potential misinterpretations. The confirmations of Jefferson, Cook and Kugler would make the board the most diverse in the central bank's more-than-100-year history.

Persons: Philip Jefferson, Jonathan Ernst, Lisa Cook, Cook, Jerome Powell, Powell, John Williams, Adriana Kugler, Jefferson, Kugler, Ann Saphir, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Capitol, REUTERS, U.S, Senate, Federal Reserve, Senators, Jefferson, New York Fed, World Bank, Fed, Latina, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S

"Most Districts reported price growth slowed overall," the Fed said in its latest "Beige Book" summary of surveys and interviews conducted across its 12 districts through Aug. 28. It added that "nearly all districts indicated businesses renewed their previously unfulfilled expectations that wage growth will slow broadly in the near term." Data since the last Fed rate hike six weeks ago has tended to support that view, with the economy adding an average of 150,000 jobs per month over the last three months, down sharply from the prior three months. Earlier on Wednesday, Boston Fed President Susan Collins also said the central bank has the space to be patient, while acknowledging that inflation pressures, though easing, still remain too high. Home building was picking up, the Fed said, but building affordable properties is being strained by high financing costs and rising insurance premiums.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Susan Collins, Collins, Ann Saphir, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Boston, New, New York Fed, San Francisco Fed, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York

☆ Mexico's core inflation to fall to lowest level since late 2021 in August
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Customers look at fruits at a makeshift stall in a market in Mexico City, Mexico April 8, 2022. Meanwhile, annual core inflation is forecast to have slowed to 6.12%, which would mark its lowest level since December 2021. The closely watched core price index is considered a better gauge of price trends because it strips out some volatile food and energy prices. In August alone, consumer prices likely rose 0.52% compared to July, while core inflation is forecast to have risen 0.30%, according to the poll. (MXINFL=ECI), (MXCPIX=ECI)Mexico's national statistics agency INEGI will publish consumer price index data for August on Thursday.

Persons: Luis Cortes, Bank of Mexico Governor Victoria Rodriguez, Noe Torres, Gabriel Burin, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of, Bank of Mexico Governor, Thomson Locations: Mexico City, Mexico, MEXICO, Bank, Bank of Mexico, Buenos Aires

Digital World needed to get 65% of its roughly 400,000 shareholders to vote to approve the extension. Shares of Digital World were trading at $16.80 on Tuesday, up 1.8% on the day but down from a peak of around $97 a share in March, 2022. Digital World has faced a series of challenges since the October 2021 announcement that it was planning to acquire TMTG. If DWAC's deal with TMTG closes, Trump Media would gain access to more than $1 billion in cash from DWAC's institutional investors, such as hedge funds. According to a Feb. 2, 2021 services agreement, Trump controls 90% of Trump Media.

Persons: Donald Trump, Evelyn Hockstein, Donald Trump's, TMTG, Svea Herbst, Bayliss, Emelia Sithole, Paul Simao Organizations: Fair, REUTERS, U.S, Trump Media & Technology, U.S . Department of Justice, Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, Trump Media, Trump, Reuters, Svea, Thomson Locations: Iowa, Des Moines , Iowa, U.S

☆ Russian gas exports to EU seen dropping sharply in 2023, state bank VEB says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

VEB expects total Russian natural gas exports to fall this year to 100 bcm from 131 bcm in 2022. According to Reuters calculations, pipeline natural gas exports to Europe by Kremlin-controlled Gazprom (GAZP.MM) have declined to around 17.7 bcm so far this year. Europe drastically cut purchases of Russian oil and gas following the start in February 2022 of what Moscow has called a special military operation in Ukraine. VEB also expects Russian crude oil exports to decline to 230 million tons (4.6 million barrels per day) this year from 248 million in 2022, amid a possible drop in supplies to the EU to 41 million tons from 115 million tons. VEB forecasts that Russian oil exports will recover to 239 million tons in 2026 thanks to a boost in supplies to China and India.

Persons: Alexander Novak, Darya Korsunskaya, Vladimir Soldatkin, Paul Simao Organizations: Gazprom PAO, European, VEB, Gazprom, Thomson Locations: MOSCOW, European Union, Russian, Europe, Kremlin, Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Asia, China, India

☆ Analysis: FTC settlement could shelter Amgen from US price cuts, taxes
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Deena Beasley | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

An Amgen sign is seen at the company's office in South San Francisco, California October 21, 2013. With Horizon, Amgen acquires drugs that won't be affected by new U.S. negotiation requirements for blockbuster medications as well as possible tax advantages stemming from Horizon's headquarters in Ireland. Analysts said the Horizon deal could also help Amgen's tax situation. The United States has largely eliminated once-lucrative corporate tax benefits for pharmaceutical manufacturing operations in Puerto Rico, a U.S. territory. Horizon offers Amgen "potentially a better tax jurisdiction related to Irish manufacturing plants ... Amgen has a new manufacturing process they could potentially move there," Cowen's Werber said.

Persons: Robert Galbraith, Abiel Garcia, John Kness, Donald Trump, Garcia, Evan Seigerman, Lina Khan, Cowen, Biden, Michael Yee, Amgen, Cowen's Werber, Deena Beasley, Peter Henderson, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, U.S . Federal Trade, Horizon Therapeutics, U.S, District, Federal, Activision, Horizon, Amgen, BMO Capital Markets, FTC, Reuters, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, Jefferies, Medicare, Internal Revenue Service, United, Thomson Locations: South San Francisco , California, Amgen, Kesselman, Ireland, U.S, Puerto Rico, United States, Irish

☆ Waller says recent data gives Fed space to decide next interest rate move
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

In recent days Fed officials have said that while inflation is still too high, it is coming down, and they have said that any move to lift the range for the benchmark overnight interest rate depends on the data. The Fed last raised rates in late July, pushing its policy rate to the 5.25%-5.50% range. Whether interest rates go up again "depends on the data. Instead, he saw the increase as a hand-in-hand move with Fed policy actions. The Fed wants higher market rates, and in terms of what's been seen in the government bond market, "they're not going off the charts, certainly compared to where we have the policy rate."

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, they're, Michael S, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, U.S, CNBC, U.S . Labor Department, Fed, Thomson

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