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Crude oil futures rose Thursday as inflation eased, bolstering hopes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year. Lower interest rates typically stimulate economic growth, which can bolster crude oil demand. The inflation and interest rate outlook overshadowed mixed signals on oil demand for this year. The IEA is forecasting global oil demand growth will average just under 1 million bpd in 2024 due to subpar economic growth, greater energy efficiency and electric vehicle adoption. OPEC, on the other hand, is much more bullish, forecasting demand growth of 2.2 million bpd as the cartel sees solid economic growth of 2.9% this year.
Organizations: Federal Reserve, Department of Labor, Reserve, International Energy Agency, IEA Locations: Stanton , Texas, Paris, China
Oil prices held firm Wednesday as OPEC sees solid demand supported by stronger economic growth this year. OPEC maintained its oil demand growth forecast of 2.2 million barrels per day for 2024. Here are today's energy prices:The oil market is waiting to see if U.S. inventory data will confirm expectations that the market is tightening. Summer fuel demand has had a soft start, but a big draw of 12.2 million barrels of crude and 2.2 million barrels of gasoline for the week ended June 28 indicated that activity was picking up. Analysts polled by Reuters expect crude stocks fell by 1.3 million barrels last week, and gasoline inventories declined by 600,000 barrels.
Persons: Tamas Varga, Varga Organizations: OPEC, Reuters, Department, Energy Locations: Stanton , Texas, Brazil, Russia, India, China, Israel, Houston
Though CIO Michael Landsberg of Landsberg Bennett Private Wealth Management says the conditions don't justify a cut, he says there might be one. "I think if Chairman Powell had not said, we're gonna get a rate cut, we wouldn't be having these discussions because earnings growth has been really strong. Against that backdrop, Landsberg says, investors should focus on companies generating strong earnings growth. "The major indices are continuing to rally based on strong earnings growth. Earnings growth is the name of the game for this stock market right now," he said in additional notes to CNBC.
Persons: Michael Landsberg, Landsberg Bennett, Powell, we're, CNBC's, he's, Landsberg, They've, Stryker Organizations: U.S . Federal, Wealth Management, Fed, West Texas, CNBC, Trade Locations: Landsberg, China, U.S
Brent crude trades above $87, sets highest levels since April
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices for Brent crude hit their highest level since April on Thursday, holding above $87 after data the previous day showed a decline in U.S. inventories. Oil prices for Brent crude hit their highest level since April on Thursday, holding above $87 after data the previous day showed a decline in U.S. inventories. Brent crude futures were up 21 cents, or 0.2%, at $87.55 a barrel by 1922 GMT. In the previous session, Brent gained 1.3% to settle at $87.34 for its highest close since April 30. Those gains followed a larger than expected decline in U.S. crude stocks.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Martin King, King, Tamas Varga, Rosneft Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S, Independence, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Reuters, RBN Energy, U.S . Federal Reserve, Saudi Aramco, OPEC, UBS Locations: Gaza, France, United Kingdom, Novorossiisk, Saudi, Asia, Oman, Dubai, OPEC, Swiss
U.S. crude oil was little changed on Friday but was on pace for a fourth straight weekly gain as falling inventories show an uptick in demand. Oil market analysts have been forecasting a tighter market in the third quarter as summer fuel demand picks up. U.S. inventory data appeared to confirm those forecasts, with crude stocks declining by 12.2 million barrels and gasoline falling by 2.2 million barrels last week. UBS is forecasting that global oil demand will grow by 1.5 million barrels per day, or bpd, this year, above the long-term growth rate of 1.2 million bpd. "As such, we still believe Brent will likely reach the USD $90/bbl mark this quarter," Staunovo said.
Persons: Giovanni Staunovo, Brent, Staunovo Organizations: UBS, bbl, JPMorgan Locations: U.S
Oil inches higher on summer demand outlook
  + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
That led analysts to forecast supply deficits in the third quarter as transportation and air-conditioning demand during summer draw down fuel stockpiles. WTI's recent rally may extend towards $85 a barrel if prices remain above the 200-day moving average at $79.52, he said. In the U.S., oil production and demand rose to a four-month high in April, according to the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Petroleum Supply Monthly report published on Friday. Traders are watching out for the impact from hurricanes on oil and gas production and consumption in the Americas. In China, the latest manufacturing data did not bode well for oil demand in the world's no.2 consumer and top crude importer.
Persons: Brent, Tony Sycamore, Hurricane Beryl, Beryl, bode Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, U.S . Federal, Hezbollah, Energy, Petroleum Supply, Traders, Atlantic, National Hurricane Center Locations: OPEC, Europe, Israel, U.S, Americas, Windward, China
U.S. crude oil on Friday traded near a two-month high and is on pace for a third-straight weekly gain as fears of war between Israel and the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah grow. West Texas Intermediate hit an intraday high of $82.72 per barrel, the highest level for the U.S. benchmark since April 30. U.S. oil is up about 1.8% for the week and 6.7% for the month of June. Hezbollah could target Israel's offshore gas operations if war breaks out, and Israel could seek to hit Iranian oil facilities, according to RBC Capital Markets. There is also a risk that Iran could attack tankers in the straight of Hormuz or abandon a détente with Saudi Arabia and hit the kingdom's oil facilities, according to the firm.
Persons: Brent, stoking, Saudi détente, Helima Organizations: Hezbollah, Texas Intermediate, RBC Capital Markets, Pentagon, NBC News, The State Department, U.S, RBC Locations: Khiam, Lebanon, Israel, Gaza, Iran, U.S, Hormuz, Saudi Arabia, Saudi
Crude oil futures held firm on Thursday as fears of war between Israel and the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah overshadowed soft U.S. gasoline demand. "The hurricane left a noticeable mark on US gasoline consumption," Prateek Kedia, vice president of global commodities research at JPMorgan, told clients in a research note Wednesday. Here are today's energy prices:But oil still managed to close slightly higher Wednesday, as escalating tensions on the Israel-Lebanon border provided a price floor. Daniel Yergin, vice chairman of S&P Global, told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Wednesday that Middle East tensions are hanging over the market. He cautioned that oil could spike again, pointing to the April rally when prices broke above $90 per barrel when Israel and Iran teetered on the brink of war.
Persons: Alberto, Kedia, John Evans, Daniel Yergin, CNBC's Organizations: Beta Operating, JPMorgan, Israel, P Global Locations: Long Beach , California, Israel, Iran, U.S, Lebanon
Crude oil futures rose Wednesday as investors wait for the latest U.S. inventory data for indications of how gasoline demand is holding up as summer. Here are today's energy prices:Traders are waiting for confirmation that demand is firming from the latest U.S. oil and gasoline inventory data, which the Department of Energy will release at 10:30 am. "Thus, convincing stock draws in the US would go a long way to bolster this optimism," Evans said. Analysts are expecting that U.S .oil and gas inventories fell by 2.9 million barrels and 1 million barrels, respectively, last week, according to a Reuters poll. There are fears an Israeli offensive in Lebanon could trigger a direct confrontation with OPEC member Iran, potentially jeopardizing crude oil supplies.
Persons: Brent, John Evans, Evans Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, Traders, Department of Energy, OECD Locations: Israel, Lebanon, Iran
Crude oil futures fell Tuesday as the recent rally took a breather, with traders watching tensions on the Israel-Lebanon border and summer fuel demand. U.S. crude oil and global benchmark Brent are ahead 5.5% and 4.9%, respectively, for the month as prices have bounced back from May doldrums on a more optimistic outlook for summer fuel demand. Here are today's energy prices:Geopolitical tensions are also back in focus amid fears that Israel and the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah could go to war. Oil prices hit annual highs in April as Israel and Iran teetered on the brink of war, stoking fears that a wider conflict could engulf the Middle East and disrupt crude supplies. But McKay also said the oil rally could fade with funds likely to start liquidating long positions if WTI prices fall below $81 per barrel.
Persons: doldrums, Israel, CQ Brown, John Evans, Evans, Ryan McKay, McKay Organizations: Brent, Hezbollah, Air Force, Sunday, Israel, TD Securities Locations: McKittrick, Kern County , California, Israel, Lebanon, Iran, Gaza
Oil demand will rise for another 10 years, though producers are pulling back on new investment. The bank estimated oil demand would peak around 110 million barrels a day in 2034. AdvertisementThe global oil market could run into a supply shortage as peak demand is still a decade away, according to Goldman Sachs analysts. That's due to rising oil demand in Asia and increasing demand for petroleum products, the analysts said. "While peak oil demand is still a decade away, capital is slowing for the production of crude oil and oil products, contributing to constrained supply in the medium term," they later added.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Nikhil Bhandari, Amber Cai, Brent Organizations: Service, ExxonMobil, Chevron, Oil & Gas Journal, Goldman, US Energy Information Agency Locations: Asia, OPEC, Saudi Arabia
Oil extends losses as strong dollar weighs on commodities markets
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices fell in early Asian trade on Monday for a second straight session, weighed down by a stronger dollar after concerns of higher-for-longer interest rates resurfaced and cooled investors' risk appetite. Brent crude futures slid 40 cents, or 0.5%, to $84.84 a barrel by 0036 GMT, after settling down 0.6% on Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $80.34 a barrel, down 39 cents, or 0.5%. In Ecuador, state oil company Petroecuador has declared force majeure over deliveries of Napo heavy crude for exports following the shutdown of a key pipeline and oil wells due to heavy rains, sources said on Friday. In the U.S., operating oil rigs fell three to 485 last week, their lowest since January 2022, Baker Hughes said in its report on Friday.
Persons: Brent, Tony Sycamore, Petroecuador, Baker Hughes Organizations: Midland, . West Texas, U.S, PMI, IG, greenback, ANZ Locations: Odessa, Texas, Sydney, U.S, Gaza, Ecuador
U.S. crude oil held firm above $81 per barrel on Thursday, with the benchmark heading for its second weekly gain in a row. West Texas Intermediate has gained 4% this week, while global benchmark Brent is up 3.3%. JPMorgan is forecasting that Brent will hit $90 per barrel in September as the market tightens on falling inventories. Here are today's energy prices:Crude oil has proven resilient with upside momentum firming, Ryan McKay, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, told clients in a research note Wednesday. Commodity trading advisors could ease up on buying and liquidate some of their length if U.S. oil drops below $80.33 and Brent falls under $84.92, McKay said.
Persons: Brent, Natasha Kaneva, Morgan, Ryan McKay, McKay Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, Brent, JPMorgan, TD Securities Locations: 3Q24
U.S. crude oil held above $80 per barrel on Tuesday, after starting the week with strong gains. In a note to clients, Bob Yawger, executive director of energy futures at Mizuho Securities, cautioned that the rally in energy prices may largely be speculators covering short positions. Yesterday was the exception that proved the rule," Tamas Varga, an analyst with oil broker PVM, wrote in a note Tuesday. Oil prices had recently declined partly because of a decision by OPEC+ members to start rolling barrels back onto the market in the fourth quarter. Now oil is rising as analysts see the market tightening in the third quarter on expectations that summer fuel demand will draw down inventories.
Persons: Bob Yawger, Tamas Varga, PVM, Ryan McKay Organizations: West Texas, Oil, Mizuho Securities, TD Securities Locations: China, OPEC
Gas prices today are not cheap – but they are miles away from that point. Of course, gas prices were cheaper during the Covid-19 pandemic because demand was severely low. In part because they are so visible, gas prices play a key psychological role in how people feel about the economy. “But there is more work to be done — the President remains committed to lowering prices at the pump for Americans and maintaining a stable and secure energy supply.”Real gas prices are cheaper than in 2018Many people may wish for the $2 gas prices of last decade. “Inventories are likely headed back to normal levels, which will keep gasoline prices lower throughout the summer driving season.
Persons: New York CNN —, , Patrick De Haan, it’s, “ We’ve, De Haan, Joe Biden’s, Mark Zandi, Angelo Fernández Hernández, That’s, , Rob Thummel, ” Thummel Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, White, Moody’s Analytics, , CNN, Covid, US Energy Information Administration, White House Locations: New York, California, Utah, Washington, Idaho, Arizona, Wisconsin, Nevada, United States, OPEC, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza
Oil prices on track for weekly gain on solid demand outlook
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices fell on Friday but were on track for their first weekly gain in four weeks as markets assessed the impact of higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates versus solid outlooks for crude and fuel demand this year. Brent crude futures were down 72 cents, or 0.87%, to $82.04 a barrel at 0100 GMT. In a see-saw week, oil prices rallied after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries stuck to a forecast for relatively strong growth in global oil demand for 2024 and Goldman Sachs projected solid U.S. fuel demand this summer. Further buoying the market, Russia pledged to meet its output obligations under the OPEC+ pact, after saying it exceeded its quota in May. This should see the crude oil market remain well supported over the next 18 months," ANZ analysts said in a client note.
Persons: Goldman Sachs Organizations: Brent, West Texas, Organization of Petroleum, OPEC, ANZ, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Russia, OPEC, China
Oil prices are up more than 4.5% for the week, the strongest gains since early April, when futures rose on boiling geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Crude oil futures rose for a fifth day Friday, on pace for the best week in more than two months as analysts see a tighter market heading into the third quarter. Deutsche sees the oil supply deficit expanding to nearly 1 million barrels per day in the third quarter, which should support Brent prices rising to the mid-to-upper $80s per barrel range. "It would only take a minor overshoot to bring Brent to around USD 90/bbl at some point during the second half," Hsueh told clients. Citigroup also sees a tighter market in the third quarter, though the market will likely enter a surplus in 2025 on solid production growth and slowing demand, according to the bank.
Persons: Benny Gantz's, Helima Croft, Michael Hsueh, Brent, Hsueh Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, RBC, OPEC, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, bbl, Citigroup Locations: Israel, Lebanon
Oil prices have gained about 4% this week, recovering from a sell-off last week on an OPEC+ plan to increase production in the fourth quarter. Oil market analysts generally viewed the sell-off as an overreaction. Lower interest rates typically boost economic growth and lift crude oil demand. The U.S. reported a surprise oil stockpile build of 3.7 million barrels, whereas analysts had expected inventories would fall. A growing number of analysts see the oil market tightening at least through the third quarter before loosening in 2025.
Persons: Tamas Varga, " Varga, Peter Low Organizations: Fed, Labor Department, U.S Locations: U.S, OPEC
The head of OPEC said Thursday the world will need to invest in fossil fuels for decades to come in order to prevent an energy shortage, dismissing predictions that oil demand will peak in the near future. The OPEC chief called for "continued oil industry investment, today, tomorrow, and many decades into the future given the products derived from crude oil are essential for our daily lives." Oil supply capacity will rise to 114 million per day by 2030, 8 million barrels more than global demand, according to the IEA. Deutsche Bank and Citi, however, see OPEC coming under pressure in the coming years. Citi analysts see a substantial oil surplus in 2025 as production keeps growing in North America, Brazil and Guyana, while demand slows due to energy efficiency improvements and electric vehicle adoption.
Persons: Haitham Al Ghais, Al Ghais, Fatih Birol, OPEC's Al Ghais, Helima, Croft, I'm, Robert McNally, McNally, EVs, Michael Hsueh Organizations: OPEC, International Energy Agency, IEA, IEA ., RBC Capital Markets, Rapidan Energy, Deutsche Bank, Citi, Brent Locations: China, India, North America, Europe, Northeast Asia, Asia, U.S, OPEC, Brazil, Guyana
OPEC+ members recently announced plans to bring 2.5 million bpd back to the market from October through September 2025. If the group follows through with its announced plan, the oil market will see a surplus of 2.6 million bpd or more. Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh said the OPEC+ production plan will cast a bearish shadow over the next two years . It is "inconceivable that the market could absorb anything close" to 2.5 million bpd, Hsueh said. The International Energy Agency warned Wednesday the world will be awash in oil by 2030, with production capacity outpacing demand projections by eight million bpd.
Persons: Brent, Michael Hsueh, Hsueh, Fatih Birol Organizations: Citi, Brent, Deutsche Bank, United Arab Emirates, TD Securities, International Energy Agency Locations: OPEC, North America, Brazil, Guyana, U.S
The Paris-based IEA said Wednesday that it expects growth in global oil production — led by the United States and other countries in the Americas — to “inflate the world’s spare (oil) capacity cushion” to levels seen only once before, during the coronavirus pandemic when oil prices crashed. By 2030, global oil supply will outstrip demand by a “staggering” 8 million barrels per day, according to forecasts published by the agency in its medium-term oil market report. “(That’s) a major, major surplus and… might be one of the highest in the history,” Fatih Birol, the IEA’s executive director, told reporters. The IEA also forecast growth in global oil demand to “slow progressively” over the rest of the decade, with demand peaking by 2029 before contracting slightly the year after. Despite the cuts, oil prices have trended downward in recent months.
Persons: London CNN —, upend, ” Fatih Birol Organizations: London CNN, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, The, , OPEC, CNN, IEA, Brent, West Texas Locations: OPEC, The Paris, United States, Americas, Russia, Syria, China
Crude oil futures rose Wednesday as traders bet on tightening supplies later in the year. Fuel demand increased by 94,000 bpd to about nine million bpd total. The investment bank sees a 1.2 million bpd deficit in the third quarter, which could push Brent prices to $86 per barrel. OPEC, meanwhile, stuck to its demand growth forecast of 2.2 million bpd due to solid global economic growth of 2.8% this year. Those forecasts clashed with a bearish outlook from the International Energy Agency, which sees weakening demand and rising supplies.
Persons: Martijn, Morgan Stanley, Brent Organizations: Department of Energy, U.S, Oil, Federal Reserve, International Energy Agency Locations: U.S
CNBC Daily Open: Fed watch, Apple pops
  + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Siri will get an upgrade with Apple Intelligence and the company will partner with OpenAI, giving users access to ChatGPT. The company's shares rose 1.3% after the automaker announced plans to buy back $6 billion of stock. While many analysts expect Apple's new AI offering to push consumers to buy new iPhones, not all analysts are convinced.
Persons: Siri, OpenAI, Morgan Stanley, Elon Musk, Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, Paul Jacobson Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple, Dow Jones, Treasury, OPEC, Apple Intelligence, OpenAI, GM, Motors Locations: San Francisco
In its latest medium-term market report, titled Oil 2024, the global energy watchdog said oil demand growth was on track to slow down before ultimately reaching its peak of near 106 million barrels per day by 2030. That's up from just over 102 million barrels per day in 2023. At the same time, the IEA expects total oil production capacity to surge to nearly 114 million barrels per day by 2030 — a whopping 8 million barrels per day above projected global demand. The burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and gas is the chief driver of the climate crisis. The share of fossil fuels in the global energy supply has stayed at around 80% for decades, according to the IEA, although it expects this to fall to around 73% by 2030.
Persons: Fatih Birol, Birol Organizations: The International Energy Agency, Big Oil, IEA Locations: Monahans , Texas, U.S, OPEC
Oil prices edge up on optimistic demand outlook
  + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices ticked higher on Wednesday on upbeat global demand views from the U.S. Energy Information Administration and OPEC. Oil prices ticked higher on Wednesday on upbeat global demand views from the U.S. Energy Information Administration and OPEC. U.S. crude oil stocks fell by 2.428 million barrels in the week ended June 7, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures. Inventories were expected to have fallen by slightly over one million barrels last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed. Data from the EIA, the U.S. government's statistics arm, is expected later on Wednesday.
Organizations: U.S . Energy Information Administration, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, EIA, of, Petroleum, ANZ, American Petroleum Institute, Investors, Consumer, Federal Locations: China, U.S, Friday's
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