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☆ El-Erian, Krugman and other economists have very different opinions on China’s struggling economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Chinese leader Xi Jinping said on New Year's Eve that the nation's economy had grown "more resilient and dynamic this year." Meanwhile, famed hedge fund manager and founder of Dallas-based Hayman Capital Kyle Bass said the country's heavily indebted property market has triggered a wave of defaults among public developers. That's a problem, given China's real estate market can account for as much as a fifth of the nation's GDP. "This is just like the U.S. financial crisis on steroids," Bass said, referring to China's default-ridden property market. The Institute of International Finance said Beijing has the policy capacity to push China's economy toward its growth potential and stuck to its above consensus forecast for 2024 growth at 5%, in a recent blog post.

Persons: Eswar Prasad, Mohamed El, Xi Jinping, there's, Paul Krugman, Krugman, Kristalina Georgieva, Hayman, Hayman Capital Kyle Bass, Bass, isn't Organizations: Future Publishing, CSI, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Allianz, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, New York Times, Monetary Fund, Economic, IMF, Dallas, Hayman Capital, of International Finance Locations: Jiangsu, China, Nikkei Asia, U.S, Europe, tatters, Davos, Beijing

☆ China's deflation problem keeps getting worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

In the latest sign of the country's worsening deflation problem, fresh data showed consumer prices in China tumbled in January at the sharpest rate in 14 years. AdvertisementOn an annualized month-over-month basis, consumer prices fell 4.3%, with particular weakness in food prices. Measured year-over-year for January:Pork prices fell 17.3%Vegetable prices fell 12.7%Fruit prices fell 9.1%The producer price index, too, dropped 2.5%, while service prices climbed at 0.5% on the year, half the rate seen in December. The more consumer prices fall, the more difficult it will be for Beijing to reverse. Foreign investors have already fled Chinese markets in droves over the last year, and ongoing deflation could spell trouble for earnings of Chinese companies.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, National Bureau, Statistics, Bloomberg, Institute of International Finance Locations: China, China's, Beijing

☆ China producer prices dip in January for a 16th month; consumer prices slip again
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

China's producer prices declined for a 16th month in January, while consumer prices slipped for a fourth month. CPI slipped 0.3% in December. On a monthly basis though, CPI climbed 0.3% in January from December, slightly weaker than median expectations for 0.4% growth. On a monthly basis, this translated into a 0.3% growth in January from December, NBS said. China stands as a stark outlier among the world's major economies, which are mostly battling stubbornly high inflation.

Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, NBS Locations: Beijing, reflating, China

☆ Renowned economist Claudia Sahm breaks down why her famous recession indicator won't be triggered this year — and why the last mile of the Fed's inflation battle could be the easiest
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewClaudia Sahm, the former Federal Reserve economist who developed the Sahm Rule recession indicator, believes the US economy will likely avoid a downturn this year. We solved the labor shortage by getting more labor," Sahm said. "The foreign-born labor force has made a disproportionate contribution to reducing the jobs-workers gap. This has been driven by two factors: above-trend immigration growth and greater foreign-born labor force participation," said Jan Hatzius, the chief US economist at Goldman Sachs, in an August 2023 client note. "Growth in the foreign-born labor force has accelerated by 50k to 160k per month this year, lifted by a surging foreign-born labor force participation rate," Hatzius added.

Persons: —, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, doesn't, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Hatzius, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, National Bureau of Economic, US, Labor, Board, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed Locations: flatlining

☆ A soft landing is now likely. But Americans will still deal with unaffordable housing
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-04 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

In a letter days before the Fed’s decision Wednesday to hold interest rates steady at a 23-year high, Democratic US senators blasted the central bank for America’s housing woes. In 2021 when the Fed’s key interest rate was near zero, home-price growth soared at a historic double-digit pace, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index. Divounguy said that the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate will likely not fall below 6% this year. That way we can actually start heading in the right direction with affordability and have that be sustainable and not just a short-term interest rate phenomenon,” she said. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin delivers remarks.

Persons: Valerie Plesch, Orphe Divounguy, Freddie Mac, it’s, Fannie Mae, Divounguy, ” Daryl Fairweather, Trump, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Powell, David Goldman, Alexandra Ross, ” Trump, Maria Bartiromo, Joe Biden, Estee Lauder, Tyson, Raphael Bostic, Eli Lilly, Loretta Mester, Walt Disney, Adriana Kugler, Thomas Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Ralph Lauren, Armour Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Democratic, Eccles Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Getty, CNN, National Association of Realtors, Fox Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Trump, Fed, Caterpillar, Tyson Foods, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Atlanta Fed, Toyota, UBS AG, Chipotle, Cleveland Fed, Walt, CVS, PayPal, Brands, Fox, The Carlyle, News Corporation, New York Times Company, Mattel, Spirit Airlines, US Commerce Department, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, ConocoPhillips, Unilever, Duke Energy, Expedia, Warner Music Group, Tenet Healthcare, Richmond Fed, Pepsico, Honda Locations: Washington, Washington , DC, CAVA

☆ China's population decline likely won't be solved by throwing money at its citizens, an expert on China says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Lloyd Lee | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

China's ruling party introduced a "three-child policy" in 2021, welcoming families to have more than two children. A solution for China's demographic crisis likely won't come through a few policy initiatives, Wang argued. The law was introduced, in part, as an effort to boost the country's birth rate. Taiwan has so far invested $3 billion in implementing programs to get more citizens to have children, The Los Angeles Times reported. This is a "global shift," Wang told BI.

Persons: —, Wang Feng, Wang, BI's Huileng Tan, China's, Ethan Michelson, Michelson Organizations: Service, country's National Bureau, Statistics, Business, University of California, Communist Party, Chinese Community Party, Ethan Michelson , Indiana University Bloomington's, East Asian, BI, Los Angeles Times Locations: country's, China, Irvine, Hangzhou, East China, Wenzhou, Ethan Michelson ,, Seoul, South Korea, Italy, Taiwan

☆ China is facing a brutal reality as it desperately tries to fix its population decline problem
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Lloyd Lee | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

China's population fell for a second consecutive year as the birth rate reached a record low. AdvertisementFor the second year in a row, China's population fell. But still, the Chinese population — young people, in particular — did not bite. The law was introduced, in part, as an effort to boost the country's birth rate. This is a "global shift," Wang told BI.

Persons: —, Wang Feng, Wang, BI's Huileng Tan, China's, Ethan Michelson, Michelson Organizations: Service, country's National Bureau, Statistics, University of California, Communist Party, Chinese Community Party, Ethan Michelson , Indiana University Bloomington's, East Asian, BI, Los Angeles Times Locations: country's, China, Irvine, Hangzhou, East China, Wenzhou, Ethan Michelson ,, Seoul, South Korea, Italy, Taiwan

☆ Caixin survey shows China's factory activity expanded for a third month in January, extending divergence with official data
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Johannes Neudecker | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesChina's factory activity expanded for a third-straight month in January, a private-sector survey showed on Thursday, helped by the first expansion in new export orders in seven months. Thursday's print though, extended a divergence from official data that points to the patchy growth in the world's second-largest economy and underscores the need for policy support. China's National Bureau of Statistics released data Wednesday that showed the country's official manufacturing PMI coming in at 49.2 in January, a fourth consecutive monthly contraction — compared with 49 in December. The Caixin manufacturing PMI surveys around 650 private and state-owned manufacturers that tend to be more export-oriented and located in China's coastal regions, while the official PMI surveys 3,200 companies across China. Employment in China's manufacturing sector trended down in the official survey released Wednesday as in the Caixin survey.

Persons: Johannes Neudecker, Wang Zhe, Wang Organizations: Getty, P Global, National Bureau of Statistics, Overseas, Caixin Insight Locations: China

☆ China's manufacturing activity shrank for the fourth straight month in January
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Banknotes of Renminbi arranged for photography on July 03 2018 in Hong Kong, Hong Kong. China's factory activity contracted for a fourth consecutive month in January, underscoring the much-needed litany of policy support for the world's second-largest economy which Beijing announced last week. The official manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose slightly to 49.2 in January from 49 in December, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics released Wednesday. The official non-manufacturing managers' index rose to 50.7 in January from 50.4 in December, according to the same NBS release. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in activity, while a reading below that level points to a contraction.

Organizations: Beijing, National Bureau of Statistics, PMI Locations: Hong Kong

☆ Famed economist Claudia Sahm shares 2 things to watch for at the Fed policy meeting this week — and why the central bank should start cutting rates soon despite a seemingly strong economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

At its December meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank could institute up to three 25-basis-point cuts this year. The first thing Sahm said to look out for is whether or not Powell makes clear that they will not cut rates at the March meeting. If he seems upbeat, it could indicate that the Fed is going to take a more dovish stance and cut rates on the earlier side. This would likely manifest via trouble in financial markets that then affects the real economy. They're taking some big risks in that they're talking about the real economy being resilient, and yet I don't think that's where — if the Fed causes a problem they're doing it in the real economy first," she said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Powell, Stocks, — Organizations: Louis, Business, National Bureau of Economic, Fed Locations: St, Sahm

☆ Billionaire Jamie Dimon says the rich should pay more to fund tax cuts for lower-income Americans
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Sawdah Bhaimiya | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Jamie Dimon said increasing taxes for the rich could enable tax cuts for lower-income workers. AdvertisementJPMorgan's CEO Jamie Dimon said that rich people should pay more taxes to help struggling lower-income Americans. Dimon, who has previously hinted that he could run for office, spoke about how the Earned Income Tax Credit or EITC could be expanded. The EITC is a refundable tax credit aimed at reducing some of the tax lower-income Americans have to pay annually. Dimon said that "there are so many tax breaks out there that shouldn't be there" for wealthy people.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, —, Dimon, filers, Katherine Michelmore, University of Michigan's Gerald R Organizations: Center, Service, Bloomberg, National Bureau of Economic Research, University of Michigan's, Ford School of Public Policy Locations: New York, Washington

☆ This week will make it clearer if the Fed will cut interest rates in March
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-28 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Washington, DC CNN —A slew of economic news this week will make it much clearer if the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in March. The Labor Department is due to release four crucial assessments of America’s job market, gauging labor demand, wage growth, productivity and hiring. Wages and the Fed on Wednesday: The day after, the Labor Department releases its Employment Cost Index for the fourth quarter, a comprehensive measure of employers’ labor costs. The US Labor Department releases December data on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Labor Department releases its Employment Cost Index for the fourth quarter.

Persons: that’s, ”, Christian Scherrmann, Jerome Powell, ” Michael Feroli, “, ” Feroli, Powell, Alicia Wallace, Joe Brusuelas, Jerome Powell’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, DWS, Labor, Survey, Fed, Employers, PCE, Federal, Commerce Department, RSM, Whirlpool, Microsoft, UBS, HCA Healthcare, General Motors, Cleveland Cliffs, Mondelez International, JetBlue Airways, Global, US Labor Department, Board, National Bureau of Statistics, Novo Nordisk, Mastercard, Novartis, Boeing, ADP, Nasdaq, Nomura Holdings, Apple, Shell, Honeywell, Deutsche Bank, Clorox, Quest Diagnostics, United States Steel, Bank of England, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Exxon Mobil, AbbVie, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Marathon, Cleveland, Chevron

☆ Recession risks are 'now more politics and geopolitics than economics,' says NBER's Lipsky
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession risks are 'now more politics and geopolitics than economics,' says NBER's LipskyJohn Lipsky, director-at-large at the National Bureau of Economic Research, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the week's economic data, how Lipsky considers the geopolitical climate, and more.

Persons: NBER's Lipsky John Lipsky, Lipsky Organizations: National Bureau of Economic Research

☆ China youth unemployment will stay elevated in 2024, but EIU warns economic impact will linger
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ZHENGZHOU, CHINA - SEPTEMBER 22: Students attend a job fair for graduates at Zhengzhou University on September 22, 2023 in Zhengzhou, Henan Province of China. (Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images)China's youth unemployment will likely stay elevated this year due to a lingering mismatch, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit. Even though unemployment among China's young people should dissipate starting next year — when the country's working-age population declines – the effects of high youth unemployment will remain long after that, the consultancy added. "Despite the upturn in China's labor market as a whole, the biggest improvements are concentrated in middle-aged groups and migrant workers," EIU analysts said in their China 2024 outlook report released Thursday. "In contrast, the post‑Covid recovery has not eased the slack in the youth labor market.

Organizations: Zhengzhou University, Getty, Economist Intelligence Unit, China's National Bureau of Statistics Locations: ZHENGZHOU, CHINA, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China

☆ Moody's is negative on Asia's sovereign creditworthiness in 2024 as China growth slows
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Sheila Chiang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Moody's Investors Service has a negative outlook for sovereign creditworthiness in Asia-Pacific this year, due to China's slower economic growth as well as tight funding and geopolitical risks. China's rebound from the Covid-19 pandemic wasn't as fast as several economists had expected at the start of 2023. In a Jan. 15 report, Moody's predicted China's real GDP growth would slow to 4% this year and next, from an average of 6% between 2014 and 2023. The credit rating agency said the slowdown in China's growth "significantly influences" APAC economies because of its strong integration in global supply chains. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, among other major international investment banks, predict China's economy to grow at a slower pace of 4.6% in 2024, down from 5.2% expected for 2023.

Persons: Moody's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Moody's, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: Asia, Pacific

☆ China's working age population is shrinking
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Many Meituan food delivery workers are lining up to make preparations in Shanghai, China, on January 14, 2024. (Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images)BEIJING — China's working age population is shrinking as a share of the total number of people in the country, according to official data released Wednesday. People ages 16 to 59 accounted for 61.3% of mainland China's population last year, down from 62% the prior year, National Bureau of Statistics data showed. A shrinking working age ratio means fewer people have to support a larger share of the population, even as the number of people in China overall declines. China's total population dropped by more than 2 million people to 1.41 billion in 2023 from the prior year.

Organizations: Getty Images, National Bureau Locations: Shanghai, China, BEIJING

☆ Red Sea crisis: Why escalating violence in the Middle East isn’t pushing up gas prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The prices of a barrel of Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, and West Texas Intermediate, the US oil benchmark, have barely moved. Now, however, analysts say economic factors — weaker demand in countries such as China and Germany, ample oil and gas supply — are superseding concerns about violence in the Middle East. Al Drago/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesGlobal oil demand growth is expected to almost halve this year, the International Energy Agency said in a report Thursday. At the same time, global oil supply is forecast to hit an all-time high, driven by record output from countries including the United States and Canada, the IEA said. Nan said relatively modest demand was also helping to prevent spikes in gas prices.

Persons: Brent, “, Homayoun, “ It’s, ”, Hope, Al Drago, That’s, Falakshahi, Xi Nan, Kpler, Wood Mackenzie, Nan Organizations: London CNN, Hamas, West Texas Intermediate, AAA, CNN, National Bureau of Statistics, Bloomberg, Getty, International Energy Agency, Organization of, Petroleum, Rystad Energy, Gas Infrastructure, LNG “ Locations: Red, Iran, Pakistan, Gaza, Ukraine, China, Germany, South Africa, Washington , DC, United States, Canada, Russia, OPEC, Europe, wean, Gas Infrastructure Europe, Africa, Qatar, United Kingdom

☆ China’s population declines for second straight year as economy stumbles
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Laura He | Simone Mccarthy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Hong Kong CNN —China’s population shrank for the second year in a row in 2023, marking a deepening of a demographic challenge set to have significant implications on the world’s second largest economy. The population fell in 2023 to 1.409 billion, down some 2.08 million people from the previous year, China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced Wednesday. The NBS confirmed that China’s economy grew by 5.2% last year, compared to a government target of around 5%. While this expansion marks a significant pick-up over 2022, when China’s economy grew by just 3%, it is still one of the country’s worst economic performances in over three decades. China’s birth rate also dropped to a new record low of 6.39 births per 1,000 people, down from 6.77 a year earlier and the lowest level since the founding of Communist China in 1949.

Persons: Mao Zedong’s Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, NBS, Communist Locations: China, Hong Kong, Communist China, India, Beijing

☆ Premarket stocks: Why Wall Street should worry about retail
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of America’s gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the US economy, so a recession is nearly impossible as long as consumer spending is growing. Wednesday’s report is expected to be a good one — economists polled by FactSet expect that a strong holiday shopping season boosted consumer spending by 0.4% in December from the month prior. But new data from the New York Federal Reserve on Tuesday has soured the mood on Wall Street. The outlook for consumer spending doesn’t look so bright, either. The trend marked the deepening of a demographic challenge set to have significant implications on the world’s second largest economy, report my colleagues Laura He and Simone McCarthy.

Persons: Alicia Wallace, shutdowns, It’s, Brian Moynihan, ”, CNN’s Richard Quest, they’ve, Bob Iger, Samantha Delouya, Walt Disney, Iger’s, Disney, Laura, Simone McCarthy Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, FactSet, New York Federal Reserve, Consumer, Hamas, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Economic, Disney, National Bureau of Statistics, Communist, NBS Locations: New York, Suez, Iranian, Asia, Europe, United States, Drewry, Davos, Switzerland, China, Communist China

☆ China misses fourth-quarter GDP estimates, resumes posting youth unemployment data
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

BEIJING — China missed fourth-quarter GDP estimates on Wednesday, while it resumed reporting the unemployment rate for young people. GDP for the last three months of 2023 rose by 5.2%, according to China's National Bureau of Statistics. Excluding people still in school, the unemployment rate for young people aged 16 to 24 was 14.9%, while the rate in cities in December was 5.1%. Online retail sales of physical goods rose by 8.4%, accounting for nearly 28% of overall retail sales. Retail sales for December saw a 29% surge in jewelry and 26% increase in purchases of clothes and shoes.

Persons: Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: China Vanke Co, National Bureau of Statistics, Investment Locations: China, Hefei, BEIJING

☆ China reports disappointing GDP, retail data — what it means for 3 of our stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

New economic data out of China on Wednesday shows the world's second-largest economy is still struggling to bounce back from the pandemic. China's GDP for the last three months of 2023 grew by 5.2%, according to China's National Bureau of Statistics. But the latest disappointing economic data puts pressure on policymakers to act again to boost the economy. The 2023 bounce back from Covid-19 restrictions did not go as expected, but we believe the stocks' declines already reflect China headwinds and that the Chinese economy will regain its footing in time. We simply can't sell this casino operator because once it's clear the Chinese economy has stabilized, the stock is going to rally.

Persons: Estee Lauder, Morgan Stanley, It's, Wynn, Jim Cramer's, WYNN, Jim Cramer, Jim, Pan Jianyong Organizations: Wynn Resorts, China's, National Bureau of Statistics, Reuters, Starbucks, CNBC, Co, Getty, Visual China Locations: China, Covid, U.S, Mainland China, Macao, Las Vegas, MEISHAN, CHINA, Sichuan, Meishan, Sichuan Province

☆ China's population keeps falling — and that's more bad news for the world's 2nd-largest economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewChina's population fell again last year – and that's a worrying sign for Beijing policymakers already grappling with deflation, a property crisis, and anemic economic growth. It's the second consecutive year that China's population has shrunk after six decades of rapid growth. Here's why dropping population numbers pose a threat to the world's second-largest economy. Worrying dataChina's population fell in 2022 for the first time since the 1960s – and Wednesday's statistics showed that the same thing happened again last year. A declining population is also bad news for real estate, which accounts for a quarter of China's economy and 70% of household wealth.

Persons: —, lockdowns, They've, they'll Organizations: Service, Business, National Bureau, Statistics, World Health Organization, Apple Locations: Beijing, China, —, Japan

HONG KONG (AP) — China published youth unemployment data Wednesday for the first time since the jobless rate hit a record high in June last year, using a new method that showed an apparent improvement. China announced a 14.9% jobless rate for people between 16 and 24 in December, using the new method, which excludes students. The statistics bureau stopped publishing the politically sensitive figure last year, after it reached 21.3% in June. It said that the 16 to 24-year-old population includes some 62 million school students, over 60% of people that age. China’s overall urban unemployment rate stood at 5.1% in December, inching up slightly from 5.0% for the months of September through November.

Persons: It's, inching Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics Locations: HONG KONG, China, China’s

☆ China's Population Drops for 2nd Year, Raises Long-Term Growth Concerns
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Jan. | At P.M. | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +4 min

By Farah MasterBEIJING (Reuters) - China's population fell for a second consecutive year in 2023, as a record low birth rate and a wave of COVID-19 deaths when strict lockdowns ended accelerated a downturn that will have profound long-term effects on the economy's growth potential. Japan's birth rate was 6.3 per 1,000 people in 2022, while South Korea's rate was 4.9. Long-term, U.N. experts see China's population shrinking by 109 million by 2050, more than triple the decline of their previous forecast in 2019. POLICY ISSUESChina's 2023 rate of 7.87 deaths per 1,000 people was higher than a rate of 7.37 deaths in 2022. Marriages are a leading indicator for birth rates in China, where most single women cannot access child-raising benefits.

Persons: Farah Master, Mao, Washington ., Xi Jinping, Marius Zaharia, Jamie Freed Organizations: Farah Master BEIJING, National Bureau of Statistics, United Nations, Academy of Sciences Locations: China, Japan, South Korea, South, India, Beijing, Washington, United States, Hong Kong

HONG KONG (AP) — China’s economy for the October-December quarter grew at a quicker rate, allowing the Chinese government to hit its target of about 5% annual growth for 2023 even though trade data and the economic recovery remain uneven. Official data released Wednesday showed that the Chinese economy grew 5.2% for 2023, surpassing the target of ‘about 5%’ that the government had set. The growth for 2023 is likely helped by 2022’s GDP of just 3% as China’s economy slowed due to COVID-19 and nationwide lockdowns during the pandemic. For the fourth quarter, China’s gross domestic product also grew at 5.2% compared to the same time last year. Fixed-asset investment — spending on factory equipment, construction and other infrastructure projects to drive growth — grew 3% year on year in 2023.

Persons: ”, Li Qiang Organizations: China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Communist Party Locations: HONG KONG, China

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