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Hong Kong/London CNN —Japanese shares soared Tuesday, clawing back some of their record losses from the previous day and underpinning a tentative recovery on global markets. Markets around the world plunged during Monday’s session when a combination of fears about a slowing US economy, rising Japanese interest rates and crumbling tech stocks combined to trigger a meltdown. The bounce in Japan is “typical after a market crash,” Neil Newman, head of strategy at Astris Advisory in Tokyo, told CNN. “It is too early to conclude that the Japanese stock market has hit a bottom,” they said, adding that any recovery would likely only occur after Japanese companies report first-half earnings in October, or even after the US presidential election in November. A stronger yenJapan’s stock market, in particular, was hard-hit by the rapid appreciation of the yen, which undermines the export competitiveness of the country’s manufacturers.
Persons: clawing, Kospi, ” Neil Newman, , , Stephen Innes, ” Newman, Newman, Fumio Kishida Organizations: London CNN, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Advisory, CNN, UBS Chief Investment, Moody’s, Bank of Japan, Management, Tokyo “, Traders, Reuters Locations: Hong Kong, London, Asia, South, Taiwan, Europe, Japan, Tokyo, South Korea
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump on Monday blamed Vice President Kamala Harris for the stock market's dramatic plunge, months after claiming he deserved credit for the market's then-record upswing. The night before, as Asian markets fell dramatically, the former president wrote, "STOCK MARKETS CRASHING. "THIS IS THE TRUMP STOCK MARKET BECAUSE MY POLLS AGAINST BIDEN ARE SO GOOD THAT INVESTORS ARE PROJECTING THAT I WILL WIN," he wrote on Truth Social that month. "To take us back to a time when insurance companies had the power to deny people with preexisting conditions," the vice president said.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Kamala, Crooked Joe, Trump, Harris, KAMALA DOESN'T, BIDEN, Joe Biden, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Biden, We're, CNBC's Kevin Breuninger Organizations: Republican, Monday, Democratic, Dow Jones Industrial, TRUMP, BIDEN, WIN, CNBC, CBS, Trump Locations: United States, Atlanta, Georgia, America
The economy is still 'resilient,' says Moody's Mark Zandi
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe economy is still 'resilient,' says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his expectations from the Fed, whether the odds of a recession have risen, and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi
CNN —The governor of Hawaii on Friday announced a $4 billion settlement to resolve lawsuits stemming from the wildfires that devastated Maui last year. The defendants include the state of Hawai‘i, County of Maui, Hawaiian Electric, Kamehameha Schools, West Maui Land Co., Hawaiian Telcom and Spectrum/Charter Communications, according to the release. ”Our objective is to make sure a tragedy like this never happens again,” Shelee Kimura, president and CEO of Hawaiian Electric, said in a statement. Pictures and crosses are displayed at a public hillside memorial to Lahaina wildfire victims on August 1, 2024 in Lahaina, Hawaii. August 8 marks the one-year anniversary of the Maui wildfires which killed 102 people and devastated the historic community of Lahaina in West Maui.
Persons: Josh Green’s, ” Green, ” Shelee Kimura, Mario Tama Organizations: CNN, Hawaii Gov, Electric, Kamehameha Schools, Maui Land Co, Charter Communications, Hawaiian Electric, Green, Maui Locations: Hawaii, Maui, Hawai‘i , County, Lahaina, Lahaina , Hawaii, West Maui, Mario, Kula, Olinda
The weak report all but confirms the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September, an outcome that was already carrying a near-100% probability heading into the report. AdvertisementFriday's jobs report comes after this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting, where the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady once again. "I think it's past time for them to cut interest rates," Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics, told Business Insider in July. "The question will be whether the totality of the data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks are consistent with rising confidence on inflation and maintaining a solid labor market," Powell said. There were around 3.3 million quits in June and the quits rate was 2.1%.
Persons: , payrolls, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Business, Labor Statistics, Reserve, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics
There are cracks forming in the US jobs market
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.
Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, , , , , Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Economic Policy Institute, Locations: Oxford
CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. Labor force participation/employment to population ratio: These metrics are key reasons why Bunker and others believe the labor market remains in good shape. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.
Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, , , , , Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Labor, Economic Policy Institute, Locations: Oxford
The company's sales team has been struggling to adapt to a much different market, according to 14 current and former employees from Tesla's sales division in North America. The carmaker is also attempting to fix a spate of bad publicity surrounding its CEO, Elon Musk — all with little in the way of advertising initiatives or traditional sales strategies. The electric-car maker made its mark by breaking industry standards with its ad-free, direct-to-consumer sales model. Now, some of Tesla's sales staff believe it's time for the company to begin acting like a traditional automaker. Musk has been vague about when a new, more economically priced Tesla model would hit the market, saying only that it could happen in 2025.
Persons: , Tesla, Elon Musk, What's, Musk, shouldn't, Tesla backpedaled, Brian Moody, Autotrader Organizations: Service, US EV, Business, Tesla Locations: North America
Central bank policymakers have kept their target interest rate at 5.25% to 5.5% for the past year, creating a yield bonanza for investors in money market funds, certificates of deposit and Treasury bills. Gundlach, speaking on CNBC's " Closing Bell " on Wednesday, said he sees the Fed enacting as much as 150 basis points worth of rate cuts in the next year, or 1.5 percentage points, which would lower the fed funds rate to 3.75% to 4.00%. As interest rates come down, cash, short-dated instruments and floating-rate debt will also see lower yields, translating to less income for investors, he added. In lieu of those bank loans, investors may want to consider migrating toward BB-rated, fixed-rate high yield bonds — high-yield issues, he said. State Street offers the SPDR Portfolio High Yield Bond ETF (SPHY) .
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Jerome Powell, Gundlach Organizations: Federal, BB, Corporate Bond, SEC, State Street, Investors Locations: Central
As data center demand continues to surge, two real estate investment trusts are well positioned to benefit, according to Moody's Ratings. "Despite rapid growth in data center capacity in recent years, it has been unable to keep pace with surging demand," she wrote. "We forecast that data center capacity will need to more than double by 2028 to meet our unconstrained forecast for power consumed by data centers." Digital Realty Trust and Equinix , diversified data center landlords, are investing in projects across the globe to meet this demand, Venkatesan said. "Therefore, hyperscalers will maintain data center capacity in more locations than in the past."
Persons: Ranjini Venkatesan, Venkatesan, Hindenburg, Equinix Organizations: Realty Trust, Digital Realty Trust, Hindenburg Research Locations: Americas, Europe, East, Africa, Asia, APAC
It's safe to say that Americans can count on an interest rate cut pretty soon, but probably not this week. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee will announce its next interest rate decision, and it's once again expected to hold rates steady. However, the FOMC's September meeting could finally bring Americans the relief they've been waiting for — CME FedWatch showed markets think it's all but certain the Fed will cut rates that month. Lower interest rates would make borrowing more affordable for consumers and businesses alike. "You have kept interest rates too high for too long: it is time to cut rates," they wrote.
Persons: it's, Claudia Sahm, Greg McBride, There's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Sahm, Matt Colyar, September's, Elizabeth Warren, Jacky Rosen, John Hickenlooper Organizations: Service, Federal, CME FedWatch, Business, New Century Advisors, Fed, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Democratic, Moody's
AI models, such as OpenAI's ChatGPT or Anthropic's Claude, are built by running complex algorithms on large amounts of data. Khodjamirian, who also manages the Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF , named four stocks that he sees as potential winners: Moody's , S & P Global , MSCI , and Intuit . Moody's Using Moody's as a prime example, the fund manager highlighted the company's extensive database on credit decisions. MCO 5Y line S & P Global and MSCI Similarly, Khodjamirian sees potential in S & P Global and MSCI due to their vast troves of financial and index data. His thesis rests on the idea that as AI use becomes more widespread, the value of software — the AI models — may diminish.
Persons: Yuri Khodjamirian, Claude, Khodjamirian, CNBC's, Moody's, they're, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, MCO, Meta, Warren Buffett's Organizations: Tema ETF's, P, Intuit, Facebook, Microsoft Locations: Tema, Moody's
Government incentives, including the Inflation Reduction Act, have encouraged individuals and private ownership groups to invest in clean energy systems. The renewable energy industry's rapid expansion in the U.S. in some cases is occurring without traditional utility protocols and regulations. The boom in renewable energy has also led manufacturers of products and services to ramp up their offerings. Inverters connected to the internet, in particular, could be controlled by hackers to reduce output or overheat home energy systems. Other major players in the U.S. utilities and renewable energy sector, including Next Era Energy, Constellation, Enphase Energy, First Solar and Sunrun, did not respond to requests for comment.
Persons: Jim Hempstead, SEIA, Bheshaj Krishnappa, Freddie Mac, Moody's, Jim Guinn Organizations: FBI, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Metropolitan Washington Council, Governments, Department of Defense, U.S ., Solar Energy Industries Association, Department of Energy Solar Energy Technologies Office, Constellation Energy, Corporation, cybersecurity, Cybersecurity, GE Vernova, Constellation, Enphase Energy Locations: U.S, California , Utah, Wyoming, United States, China, Russia, Iran, cyberattacks
When my son was 4 years old in March 2020, we started lying with him to help him get to sleep. We'd curl up together in his crimson-red fire truck bed and talk about anything and everything. "Mommy, when you're an old granny, I'll tell my kids you were a wonderful mommy," he whispered to me one night. Melissa Noble and her husband cuddle with their kids before bed each night. We tried a few techniques half-heartedly, like having a consistent bedtime routine and weaning our support, but it never really worked.
Persons: We'd, Melissa Noble, cuddle, it's, Alicia Silverstone, he's, He's Organizations: Service Locations: lockdowns, Melbourne
Moody's forecasts rising data center demand due to AI, cloud services, and digital currencies. Data center REITs like Digital Realty and Equinix are well-positioned to benefit from this trend. Other firms like American Tower, Prologis, and Iron Mountain are also investing in data centers. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Organizations: Digital Realty, Service, Business
Part of the building site of the Magic City development in Little Haiti. Among the properties is Sixty Uptown Magic City, billed as a collection of luxury residential units. Plaza Equity Partners, a real estate developer and one of the Magic City partners, did not respond to CNBC's requests for comment. Magic City development site in Little Haiti. Magic City investors also invested $31 million in the Little Haiti Revitalization Trust, created and administered by the City of Miami to support community revitalization in Little Haiti.
Persons: Greg Iacurci, Greg Iacurci MIAMI — Nicole Crooks, James Brown, Sam Cooke, Ray Charles, Aretha Franklin, Ella Fitzgerald, Jackie Robinson, Joe Louis, Overtown, Crooks, Nicole Crooks, Carl Gershenson, Gershenson, Moody's, Robert Zangrillo, Princeton's Gershenson, Andrew Rumbach, Chris Rogers, Rumbach, Brown, Fredericka Brown, Carolyn Donaldson, Greg Iacurci Carolyn Donaldson, Donaldson, David Arditi, Greg Iacurci Flood, Arditi, homebuyers, Han Li, Richard J, Grant, Todd Crowl, Urban Institute Paulette Richards, Richards, who's, Carl Juste, Greg Iacurci Carl Juste's, — Viter, Maria Juste, Little, Little Haiti —, " Juste, Juste, Neil Fairman Organizations: Lyric, Greg Iacurci MIAMI, Catalyst Miami, Princeton University Eviction, Magic City, Liberty City —, Dade, Harvard University, Florida International University, Magic City Innovation, Dragon, Miami ZIP, Liberty City, Miami, West Palm Beach, Boca Raton, Urban Institute, Marshall Fire, Photodisc, Georgia Institute of Technology, Brookings Institution, Macedonia Missionary Baptist Church, Macedonia Missionary Baptist, Grove Rights, Community Equity, Development, Developers, City, Aria Development, Federal Emergency Management Agency, University of Miami, Florida International University Institute of Environment, Women, Leadership Miami, Little Haiti, Magic City Innovation District, Dragon Global, Magic, Plaza Equity Partners, Lune, Lambert, Little Haiti Revitalization Trust Locations: Miami's Overtown, Miami, Overtown , Miami, Magic, Little Haiti, U.S, Zillow, Overtown, Allapattah, Liberty, Dade County, Kendall, West Palm, Delray, Honolulu, Louisville , Colorado, Colorado, Coconut Grove, Macedonia, West, West Grove, Bahamas, Grove, City of Miami, Brickell, Caribbean, Liberty City, Haitian Diaspora, Magic City, Lune Rouge
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNew PCE data puts rate cuts 'into cement,' says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss reactions to new PCE data, paths to Fed rate cuts, and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi, Steve Liesman
Interest in emerging markets has been growing and investors are now looking out for sectors and stocks best placed to benefit. "Emerging markets are too important to ignore," says Malcolm Dorson, a senior portfolio manager at the U.S.-headquartered Mirae Asset, which has around $600 billion in assets under management. "Emerging markets have a multi-decade story with significant opportunities. More than 4 billion people live across emerging markets, Dorson noted, adding that each country will have "significant domestic consumption stories [and] long-term opportunities." One of the simplest routes to investing in emerging markets is through exchange-traded funds.
Persons: Malcolm Dorson, Dorson, Javier, Milei Organizations: CNBC Pro, India Active, Global, India, Companies, Infosys, Reliance Industries, Tata Consultancy, U.S . Federal, Brazil Active, Brazil IMI, Argentina IMI, Fitch, IMI Locations: U.S, India, Brazil, Brazilian, FactSet, Argentina, American, Greece, Europe
According to the New York Federal Reserve, which uses the 10-year/three-month curve, a recession should happen about 12 months later. The inversion is not aloneMaking the situation even more complicated is that the yield curve isn't the only indicator showing reason for caution about how long the post-Covid recovery can last. But the rate dynamics have helped companies escape what usually happens in an inverted curve. With an inverted curve hitting their net interest margins, banks may opt to lend less, causing a pullback in consumer spending that can lead to recession. This could provide something of a self-fulfilling prophecy for the yield curve.
Persons: Alex Kent, hasn't, , there's, it's, Mark Zandi, It's, Joseph LaVorgna, SMBC, Quincy Krosby, We've, Jim Paulsen, Paulsen, That's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, Moody's, New York Federal Reserve, SMBC Nikko Securities, Gross, National Bureau of Economic Research, Commerce Department, LPL, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: New York, SMBC Nikko, Wells Fargo
But people looking for a flashy new design in Tesla's more traditional car lineup are stuck waiting for now. The Model S and Model X used to be the ultimate status symbol. In 2020, TikTok star Addison Rae made headlines when she was spotted in her bright pink Tesla Model X. And the design of the Model S and Model X hasn't been meaningfully updated since 2021. "If you start announcing some great thing, it affects our near-term sales," Musk said on Tuesday.
Persons: , Tesla, Addison Rae, Brian Moody, Elon Musk, Tesla's, Edmunds, Ivan Drury, that's, Moody, Musk, Osborne, Stephanie Valdez, Valdez, Streaty Organizations: Service, Business, Cox Automotive, Streaty, Cox Automotive Industry, EV
UK's Thames Water's troubles mount as credit rating cut to junk
  + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Britain's largest water provider Thames Water suffered a blow in its battle to avoid renationalisation on Wednesday as credit rating firm Moody's downgraded its corporate family rating (CFR) and its safest tranche of debt to junk. Moody's downgraded Thames Water's CFR to Ba2 - two rungs into 'junk' rating territory - from Baa3, which is an investment grade and something water firms are supposed to maintain as part of their licence requirements. It safest tranche of debt known as senior secured "Class A" bonds were cut to Ba1, which is one notch into junk, while its riskier "Class B" bonds were dumped five notches lower at B3. Moody's said the downgrade followed this month's provisional ruling from British regulator Ofwat that Thames would not be allowed to raise prices as much as it had requested, and because of its "weakening liquidity position". "Almost certainly it will mean special administration for the company," Seaport credit analyst Satish Pulle said, adding that the downgrade had not come as a surprise.
Persons: Moody's, Satish Pulle Organizations: Thames, CFR, Seaport Locations: Ba2, Baa3, Thames
39% of Americans worry they can’t pay the bills
  + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Many Americans regularly worry they won’t be able to make ends meet. Even higher percentages of Latino (52%) and Black (46%) Americans said they’re worried most or all of the time about making ends meet, according to the poll. More than half (55%) of those making less than $50,000 a year similarly worry about having enough money to meet expenses. Even higher percentages of Latinos (52%), Black Americans (44%) and those under the age of 45 (47%) say they’ve taken extra work. Others say they’ve cut back on driving (41%) and they are taking on credit card debt to afford necessities (37%).
Persons: they’re, it’s, , Angela Russell, Russell, – they’re, Greg McBride, they’ve, McBride, who’ve, “ I’ve, Joe Biden, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy, Dana Elobaid Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, Centers for Disease Control, Prevention, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bankrate, Ohio, Walmart, SSRS Locations: New York, Ohio, Cincinnati
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTexas Instruments shares spike on earnings beat, revenue in line with expectationsCNBC's Seems Moody joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to report on Texas Instruments earnings.
Persons: CNBC's, Moody Organizations: Texas
Read previewNewly released US Navy photos captured an unusual sight: multiple US Air Force A-10 Thunderbolt II aircraft — ground-attack planes built for close-air support and anti-tank missions — escorting a ballistic missile submarine at sea last week. An A-10 Thunderbolt II aircraft above the ballistic missile submarine USS Wyoming on July 15. Related storiesThe A-10s that flew above the submarine USS Wyoming recently are assigned to Moody Air Force Base in Georgia. An A-10 Thunderbolt II aircraft above the ballistic missile submarine USS Wyoming on July 15. Earlier this year, several Warthogs were photographed escorting the ballistic missile submarine USS Nebraska in the Pacific Northwest alongside US Coast Guard vessels.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Navy, US Air Force, Thunderbolt, Business, Submarine, Air Force, Coast Guard, US Navy, Moody Air Force Base, Trident, US Coast Guard Locations: Georgia, Wyoming, an Ohio, Ukraine, East, Ohio, Nebraska, Pacific Northwest
As the frontrunner for the Democratic party's nomination, Kamala Harris will have to run, for better or worse, on President Joe Biden's economic record. It will be just one challenge Harris will have to overcome to defeat her Republican opponent, former President Donald Trump . Despite historically low unemployment and macro growth that has defied long-held expectations for recession, the economy is Biden's soft spot. "I don't see a lot of daylight between her views on economic policy and those of the administration," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics , a Democrat who has advised administrations of both parties. Possible change at the Fed One area of difference between Biden and Harris could be a crucial one — the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, She's, Greg Valliere, she's, There's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, nonfarm, Joseph LaVorgna, Biden's, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, reappoint Powell Organizations: Democratic, Biden, Republican, AGF Investments, Reuters, Moody's, Democrat, Economic Council, Nikko Securities, Federal Reserve, Senate, Beacon, Advisors Locations: California
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