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☆ US manufacturing shows signs of stabilizing at lower levels in July, ISM says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

It was the ninth straight month that the PMI stayed below the 50 threshold, which indicates contraction in manufacturing, the longest such stretch since the 2007-2009 Great Recession. The ISM survey's forward-looking new orders sub-index increased to 47.3 in July. According to the ISM, the delivery performance of suppliers to manufacturing firms has been faster for 10 straight months. It has, however, not been a reliable predictor of manufacturing employment in the government's nonfarm payrolls count. Manufacturing employment likely rose by 5,000 jobs last month, according to a Reuters survey of economists.

Persons: Charles Mostoller, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: BMW, REUTERS, Reuters Connect WASHINGTON, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Reuters, ISM, Federal Reserve, Manufacturing, Fed, U.S . Labor Department, Thomson Locations: Greer , South Carolina, U.S

☆ Asia's factories face weak demand, signaling growth challenges ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Six out of the nine private surveys released Tuesday showed that manufacturing activity in Asia's major producers again contracted in July. In addition to China, readings for Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, Vietnam also signaled contraction in manufacturing activity. "The data reaffirm our view that external demand will constitute a headwind to growth in the second half of 2023." PMI manufacturing surveys are leading indicators of economic activity. A reading above 50 points to an expansion in activity, while a reading below that level suggests a contraction.

Persons: PMIs, Shivaan Tandon Organizations: Factories, Emerging, Capital Economics, PMI Locations: East China's Shandong province, Asia, China, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, Vietnam, India, Indonesia, Philippines, Emerging Asia

☆ Asia markets largely set to rise ahead of private manufacturing activity surveys
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The sails of the Opera House are illuminated with projections on the opening night of Vivid Sydney 2023 in Sydney, Australia, on Friday, May 26, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets are set to largely rise on Tuesday ahead of private manufacturing surveys around the region, including Japan, South Korea and China. China will release the Caixin purchasing managers index in July for both the manufacturing sector, a day after official data showed that the country's factory activity remained in contraction territory for a fourth straight month. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 20,348, pointing to a stronger open compared to compared to the HSI's close of 20,078.94. Futures for the S&P/ASX 200 point to a lower open, at 7,383 compared to the last close of 7,410.4.

Organizations: Opera, Vivid, Reuters, PMI, Reserve Bank, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, Pacific, Japan, South Korea, China, Chicago, Osaka

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 20, 2023. Uber (UBER.N) fell after the ride-hailing company missed second-quarter revenue expectations. Arista Networks (ANET.N) stocks rose as the network gear maker forecast quarterly revenue above estimates after delivering better-than-expected results. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 12.25 points, or 0.26%, to end at 4,576.94 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) lost 62.11 points, or 0.43%, to 14,284.20. JetBlue Airways (JBLU.O) stocks dropped after it lowered its annual profit forecast due to a hit from the termination of its revenue-sharing deal with American Airlines (AAL.O).

Persons: Brendan McDermid, It's, Scott Ladner, Echo Wang, Johann M Cherian, Vinay Dwivedi, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, PMI, Dow, Nasdaq, Horizon Investments, Caterpillar, Pfizer, Treasury, Arista Networks, Dow Jones, Norwegian Cruise, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Morning Bid: Testing the 'Goldilocks' view of the global economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland. The 'Goldilocks' view that equity investors are taking of the global economy continued into August, as a benchmark of Asian stocks hovered around Monday's 16-month highs. Signs of a peak for European consumer inflation to start the week echoed the narrative in the U.S., where optimism for a soft landing continues to grow. And the Bank of England decision on Thursday could mar the peak rates story for the world's major central banks. The PMI parade continues through the day, with numbers from the euro zone and many of its members, including Germany, as well as from the UK and the U.S.

Persons: Kevin Buckland, Muralikumar Organizations: United, Bank of, PMI, BP, Diageo, Caterpillar, PMIs, U.S ., Italy U.S, ISM, Uniper, Daimler, Deutsche Post U.S, Uber, Pfizer, Merck, Starbucks, AMD, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States, Bank of England, Beijing, Germany, Europe, Sweden, Spain, Italy, France, Tokyo

☆ Morning Bid: Will August retain July's heat?
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

August 1 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Stephen Culp, financial markets journalist. Asian stocks have closed the books on a July that ran fairly hot, and not just with respect to temperatures. On Tuesday, Australia's central bank is expected to follow in the footsteps of its global peers by hiking its policy rate by 25 basis points. Both reports should provide further clarity on the effects of the Federal Reserve's restrictive monetary policy on the world's largest economy. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Stephen Culp, Wall, Deepa Babington Organizations: CSI, Asia Pacific, Nikkei, China PMI, Bank of Japan's, Caterpillar, Institute for Supply, Labor, Reserve Bank of, Global, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Japan, China, Australia's, United States, India, Korea

☆ CNBC Daily Open: More signs the Fed might stop hiking
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Cooling inflationThe U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index rose just 3% year-over-year in June, and 0.2% from a month ago. Mixed activity for China's economyChina's official manufacturing purchasing managers' index factory activity came in at 49.3 in July. CNBC Pro's Sarah Min breaks down what analysts are expecting from those data points releasing this week.

Persons: Hong, Sarah Min Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, PMI, ANZ, Oil, Apple, Amazon, Dow Jones Industrial, Big Tech Locations: Asia, Pacific, India, China

☆ China PMI: factory sector contracts for fourth straight month, raising urgency for more stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Hong Kong CNN —China is preparing to announce new stimulus for its stumbling economy after the vast factory sector contracted for a fourth straight month, and a gauge of activity in its services sector slipped to a seven month low. The official manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which measures activity level in the manufacturing sector, came in at 49.3 in July, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday. That result was slightly up compared with 49 in June but the index has nonetheless contracted each month since April. The official non-manufacturing PMI, which looks at activities in the services and construction industries, fell to 51.5 from 53.2 in June. “China’s official PMI data provides little encouragement that the economy is turning the corner,” said Robert Carnell, regional head of research for Asia-Pacific at ING Group.

Persons: Stringer, “, ”, Robert Carnell, Xi Jinping, Carnell Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Bureau, Statistics, PMI, Getty, ING Group, National Development, Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry, Information Technology, State, Information, Ministry of Commerce, Capital Economics Locations: Hong Kong, China, Beijing, Hangzhou, China's, Zhejiang, AFP, Asia, Pacific

☆ Contraction in China factory activity extends into a fourth month
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The sunset glow is seen over buildings and a ferris wheel on May 13, 2022 in Beijing, China. China's factory activity contracted for a fourth consecutive month in July, while non-manufacturing activity slowed to its weakest this year as the world's second-largest economy struggles to revive growth momentum in the wake of soft global demand. The official manufacturing purchasing managers' index came in at 49.3 in July — compared with 49.0 in June, 48.8 in May and 49.2 in April — according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics released on Monday. Monday's figures also showed China posting its weakest official non-manufacturing PMI reading this year, coming in at 51.5 in July — compared with 53.2 in June, 54.5 in May and 56.4 in April. A PMI reading above 50 points to an expansion in activity, while a reading below that level suggests a contraction.

Persons: Zhao Qinghe Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, PMI, NBS Locations: Beijing, China

BEIJING, July 31 (Reuters) - China's manufacturing activity fell for a fourth straight month in July while the services and construction sectors teetered on the brink of contraction, official surveys showed on Monday, threatening growth prospects for the third quarter. Construction sector activity for July was its weakest since COVID-19-related workplace disruptions dissipated around February, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed. The non-manufacturing PMI, which incorporates sub-indexes for service sector activity and construction, dropped to 51.5 from June's 53.2. "Meanwhile, we're seeing improvements in inventory levels, suggesting that with destocking nearing its end, China's manufacturing sector bottomed out in the second quarter," he added. "Unless concrete support is rolled out soon, the recent downturn in demand risks becoming self-reinforcing."

Persons: Xu Tianchen, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Joe Cash, Sam Holmes, Edmund Klamann Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, Communist Party, PMI, Economist Intelligence Unit, destocking, China, State, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China

☆ Morning Bid: Asian markets face tough act to follow
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

NEW YORK, July 31 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Stephen Culp, financial markets columnist. Chinese stocks face the challenge of topping last week's 4.5% gain in the CSI 300 (.CSI300), the index's biggest weekly jump since November. Market participants are also scrutinizing the other side of the Sea of Japan for signs of life in the Chinese economy. Potentially market-moving U.S. indicators next week include manufacturing and services PMI. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Stephen Culp, Diane Craft Organizations: YORK, Japan's, CSI, Nikkei, Asia Pacific, Bank of Japan, Apple Inc, Western Digital Corp, Caterpillar Inc, Starbucks Corp, Qualcomm Inc, Marriott International, MGM Resorts International, Hotels, Resorts, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: China, Japan, Beijing, United States, Australia, Korea

☆ On tap this week: Jobs report plus 10 key earnings. Here's what we want to see
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-29 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +18 min

All three major averages advanced for the week, powered by strong mega-cap earnings and favorable inflation data. Looking to next week, earnings season enters its second half with the last of our mega-caps — Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) — set to report on Thursday. We'll get a better read on the employment picture on Wednesday with the ADP report and then, more importantly, on Friday's nonfarm payrolls report for July. Thursday after the close brings us to the main events of the week: Earnings from Apple and Amazon. For those looking to review first quarter performance ahead of these releases, be sure to keep our first-quarter earnings report card handy.

Persons: We'll, that's, Stanley Black, Decker, Emerson, Bausch, Leggett, Platt, SIRI, Ares, COLM, PERI, Kraft Heinz, Phillips, Ferrari N.V, Johnson, Robinson, COOK, BUD, Kellogg, Papa, Pitney Bowes, Parker, Trimble, Ziff Davis, Nonfarm, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Apple Tim Cook, Kevin Dietsch Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Federal, ISM Manufacturing, Services PMI, Investors, Caterpillar, Devices, Starbucks, Natural Resources, AMD, Management, Emerson Electric and, Humana, Bausch Health, Apple, Microsoft, Resource Partners, AerCap Holdings, CNA Financial Corp, CNA, Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Bank, SJW, Hutchison China MediTech, Camtek Ltd, Silvercrest Asset Management, Loews Corp, Oxford Lane Capital Corp, Banco Santander, Silicom Ltd, SuperCom Ltd, Arista Networks, Avis Budget Group, Diamondback Energy, Lattice Semiconductor Corp, Republic Services, Yum China Holdings, Western Digital Corp, Power Systems, Tenet Healthcare Corp, Vornado Realty, BioMarin Pharmaceutical, PetMed, SBA Communications Corporation, Brixmor, Snack Foods Corp, Cushman & Wakefield, Sanmina Corporation, TFI, PMI, Cruise Line Holdings Ltd, Uber Technologies, Pfizer, Enterprise Products Partners, Merck, JetBlue Airways Corporation, Allegro MicroSystems, Altria, SunPower Corp, SiriusXM Holdings, Molson Coors Beverage, Marriott International, Toyota Motor Corp, BP, SYSCO Corp, Marathon Petroleum Corp, Ares Management, Equitrans Midstream Corporation, Game Technology, Illinois Tool, IDEXX Laboratories, Rockwell Automation, Packaging International Corp, Gartner, Zebra Technologies Corp, IQVIA Holdings, Oshkosh Corporation, Leidos Holdings, Eaton Corp, yte Corp, Lear Corp, Starbucks Corp, Devon Energy Corp, SolarEdge Technologies, Lumen Technologies, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Caesars Entertainment, VF Corp, Sciences Corp, Paycom, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Suncor Energy, Holdings, Chesapeake Energy Corp, Boston Properties, American International Group, AIG, Allstate Corp, Aspen Technology, Electronic Arts, EA, Flowserve Corporation, Denny's, Corp, Prudential Financial, Store, Ternium S.A, Vimeo, Emerson, Lomb, CVS Health, Generac Holdings, Cameco Corp, Perion Network Ltd, Builders, Carlyle Group, Scorpio, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Ltd, Rithm Capital Corp, AeroSystems Holdings, Vertiv Holdings Co, Johnson Controls, CDW Corp, DuPont, Brands Holdings, Scotts Miracle, Gro, SMG, Brands, Allegheny Technologies, AmerisourceBergen Corporation, ABC, Real Estate Corporation, Adient plc, Editas, Garmin Ltd, WWE, Bunge Ltd, Criteo S.A, PayPal, QUALCOMM, Occidental Petroleum Corp, Apache Corp, Albemarle Corp, MGM Resorts International, MGM, Marathon Oil Corp, Joby Aviation, Industrial, CF Industries Holdings, Goodyear Tire &, Realty ome Corp, Metlife, Pacific Biosciences of, Rush Street Interactive, Zillow, JFrog Ltd, Herbalife Nutrition Ltd, Simon Property Group, McKesson Corp, Storage, Cerus Corporation, GXO Logistics, MAX Holdings, Health, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Warner Bros ., Cheniere Energy, ConocoPhillips, Hasbro, CIGNA Corp, Lantheus Holdings, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Fiverr International, Air Products & Chemicals, TopBuild Corp, EPAM Systems, Lightspeed Commerce, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals, Cummins, CMI, Slair Corporation, Starwood Property Trust, Vulcan, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, New Energy Corp, Cedar Fair Entertainment, Intellia Therapeutics, Lending, Privia Health, Dickinson, Chimera Investment, CIM, Hyatt Hotels Corp, Lion Electric, LEV, Deluxe Corp, Murphy Oil Corp, PBF Energy, Papa John's, Targa Resources Corp, Wix.com Ltd, Apollo Global Management, LLC, Butterfly, Sempra Energy, Aptiv PLC, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, Canada Goose Holdings, Hannifin Corporation, WESCO International, WCC, Arrow Electronics, Constellation Energy Group, Midstream Partners, Coinbase, Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras, Gilead Sciences, Opendoor Technologies, Booking Holdings, Atlassian Corporation, International, Redfin Corporation, Motorola Solutions, Monster Beverage Corporation, Consolidated Edison, Rocket Companies, Apple Hospitality, Cirrus, Resources, Universal Display Corporation, Chesapeake Utilities Corp, Social, Defense, Security Solutions, Post Holdings, Tandem Diabetes Care, Nikola Corporation, Magna International, Dominion Energy, ACM Research, Frontier Communications, Brookfield Renewable Partners, inTEST Corporation, American Pipeline, TELUS International, XPO Logistics, Fluor Corp, Gray Television, Cboe, LyondellBasell Industries, Twist Bioscience, Global, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Allen & Company Sun Valley, Getty Locations: U.S, China, India, Oxford, Chile, Illinois, Columbia, Pacific, Pacific Biosciences of California, Southern, PBI, Gilead, Sun Valley , Idaho

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationLONDON, July 28 (Reuters) - Corporate credit quality is weaker than financial markets currently price in, while defaults are likely to pick up in the second half of the year, a report by Janus Henderson Investors said on Friday. Tighter lending standards, higher refinancing costs and a slowing economy would take their toll on the credit quality of corporates, the report said. This suggests that defaults could pick up in the second half, even if the pace of defaults is slower than in previous cycles, it added. Additionally, a recent trend of small businesses being forced to file for bankruptcy is likely to spread more broadly into capital markets, Janus Henderson noted. "As recession fears scaled back, markets have been pricing in a more muted credit default cycle.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Janus Henderson, Jim Cielinski, Chiara Elisei, Dhara Ranasinghe, Conor Humphries Organizations: REUTERS, Janus Henderson Investors, P Global, U.S, Casino, Thomson Locations: industrials

☆ U.S. business activity growth slows as services soften
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-24 | by ( Safiyah Riddle | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

July's reading showed the sixth straight month of growth but was restrained by softening conditions in the service sector. “The overall rate of output growth, measured across manufacturing and services, is consistent with GDP expanding at an annualized quarterly rate of approximately 1.5% at the start of the third quarter. The slowdown may be viewed positively at the Fed, which is keen to see activity cool to lower inflation. The services activity index fell to 52.4 from 54.4 in June and was weaker than the reading of 54 expected among economists in a Reuters poll. The survey's manufacturing output index, meanwhile, experienced growth for the first time in two months, rising to 50.2 from a contracting rate of 46.9 in June.

Persons: Chris Williamson, Williamson, Safiyah Riddle, Andrea Ricci Organizations: P Global, P Global Market Intelligence, headcount, Thomson Locations: U.S

JPMorgan's chief global markets strategist, Marko Kolanovic, advises investors to play commodities against recession risks. Kolanovic named natural gas as his top pick within the commodities sector. Investors can look to the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) to gain exposure to the commodity; it's down about 48% year to date. The strategist forecasts U.S. natural gas prices to undergo a 25% rally in the next few months on expectations of a supply growth reversal. Backwardation is what happens when the spot price is higher than the price of the approaching futures' contracts.

Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: United States Natural Gas Fund, DB Agriculture Fund, Brent Oil Fund Locations: U.S

Last week, Netflix (NFLX.O) and Tesla (TSLA.O) posted less-than-stellar quarterly reports. The electric-vehicle maker eased 1.3% in premarket trading after UBS downgraded its rating on the stock, while other megacap growth and technology shares edged higher. ET, Dow e-minis were up 44 points, or 0.12%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 8.75 points, or 0.19%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 35.25 points, or 0.23%. AMC Entertainment (AMC.N) jumped 47.5% after a judge blocked the theater chain's stock conversion plan that risked diluting investors' holdings in the company. Reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty and Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Barbie, Sophie Lund, Yates, Hargreaves Lansdown, Mattel, AMC's, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Shounak Organizations: UBS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Netflix, Reuters, Fed, Dow e, Warner Bros, AMC Entertainment, Global, PMI, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru

☆ A 31-year market vet warns stocks face at least 23% downside with inflation still too high, a recession looming, and a narrow group of companies driving the current rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-22 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Manufacturing data, inflation data, market breadth, and high rates are warning signals, he says. Bullandbearprofits.comShort-term Treasury rates remaining elevated prove the Fed is going to continue raising rates, Wolfenbarger said. The ISM PMI Manufacturing Index is currently at 46, and readings below 50 mean the economy is contracting. Bullandbearprofits.comAll of this amounts to a bearish outlook for stocks, Wolfenbarger believes. Some in the market are growing fatigued of the recession forecasts as the market surges back toward all-time-highs.

Persons: Jon Wolfenbarger, Wolfenbarger, Wolfenbarger —, Merril Lynch, Piper, Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Morgan Stanley Wilson, there's Organizations: Federal, JPMorgan, Bull, CPI, Cleveland Fed, University of Michigan, PMI

☆ Wall Street rides high into next week as traders brace for a major Fed decision and key earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The recent streak of gains in markets could be in jeopardy next week as traders come up against a big Federal Reserve meeting and earnings shift into high gear. However, markets are ramping up just ahead of several catalysts next week that could roil markets. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, 83% of traders expect monetary policymakers will be done at that point. 'Floodgate' of earnings season including tech The biggest week for earnings season is also up ahead, with results having been mixed thus far. Personal Consumption Expenditure index (June) 10 a.m.: Consumer sentiment (July final) Earnings: Exxon Mobil , Chevron , Procter & Gamble , T. Rowe Price

Persons: Jerome Powell, Hogan, Powell, Shannon Saccocia, Jackson, Yung, Yu Ma, that's, Saccocia, Northrop Grumman, Rowe Price Organizations: Reserve, Dow Jones, Riley Wealth Management, BMO Wealth Management, Big Tech, Microsoft, Chicago, P Global, PMI, GE, GE HealthCare, GM, Boeing, Hess, ADP, CME Group, eBay, Honeywell, Hershey, McDonald's, Mastercard, Northrop, Royal, Enphase Energy, Mobile, Ford Motor, Intel, Mondelez, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Procter, Gamble Locations: Royal Caribbean

☆ The US is going through a rolling recession, and that's slashed the risk of a hard landing for the economy, Bank of America exec says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US is in a rolling recession that's hitting sector by sector, Bank of America's Keith Banks said. Banks pointed to weakness in manufacturing, energy, and housing, though services remains strong. He predicted a mild recession to come in the first-half of 2024, with GDP slowing 1%-1.5%. "We think this sort of rolling recession has taken out that big-bang risk of a hard landing, which a lot of people were worried about at the beginning of this year," he later added. Other commentators have turned more optimistic on the economy as the job market remains strong and inflation cools.

Persons: Bank of America's Keith Banks, Banks, that's, Keith Banks, We've, there's Organizations: Bank of America's, Service, Bank of America, CNBC Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ Morning Bid: Fed hawks, China tensions keep markets under pressure
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin BucklandU.S. policymakers are stealing the spotlight in the markets today, after the Fed cemented its hawkish credentials overnight and Janet Yellen started a trip to China just as Beijing restricts chip-making metal exports. APAC investors clearly took notice, sending stocks sliding and bond yields higher in a signal that Europe should brace for the same. The key takeaway from minutes of the Fed's June meeting overnight is that the unanimous decision to hold wasn't so unanimous after all, with the hawks just biding their time. Traders see a July hike as pretty much assured, but it's still a coin toss whether there will be another after that. Britain will report construction PMIs for June later in the day, as will Germany, which also has factory order figures for May on the release schedule.

Persons: Kevin Buckland, Janet Yellen, wasn't, it's, It's, Mark Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, Zuckerberg, Yellen, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Fed, Traders, Friday's U.S, U.S, Treasury, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: China, Beijing, Europe, United States, Japan, Netherlands, Britain, Germany, UK, PMIs

☆ U.S. factory orders miss expectations in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Factory orders rose 0.3% after advancing by the same margin in April, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday. Orders increased 1.1% through May from a year earlier. Orders for transportation equipment increased 3.8% in May after accelerating 4.8% in the prior month. Civilian aircraft orders soared 32.8%, but motor vehicle orders fell 0.6%. Excluding transportation, orders fell 0.5%.

Persons: Lucia Mutikani Organizations: U.S, Commerce Department, Reuters, Institute, Supply, Civilian, Thomson

☆ Canadian dollar edges higher as oil prices climb
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Summary Canadian dollar strengthens 0.2% against the greenbackPrice of U.S. oil increases 2%Canada manufacturing PMI dips to 48.8 in JuneCanadian bond yields rise across the curveTORONTO, July 4 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar strengthened against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as oil prices rose and despite domestic data that showed factory activity slowing further in June. Speculators have slashed their bearish bets on the Canadian dollar, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday. The price of oil , one of Canada's major exports, climbed 2% to $71.16 a barrel as markets weighed August supply cuts by top exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia against a weak global economic outlook. Contraction in Canada's manufacturing sector deepened slightly in June as an uncertain economic outlook weighed on both domestic and foreign demand. Canadian government bond yields were higher across the curve, with the 10-year up 6.4 basis points at 3.335%.

Persons: greenback Price, Fergal Smith, Josie Kao Organizations: greenback, Canadian, U.S, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading, P Global Canada Manufacturing, Bank of Canada, BoC, Thomson Locations: Canada, TORONTO, Saudi Arabia, Russia

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its manufacturing PMI dropped to 46.0 from 46.9 in May, the lowest reading since May 2020. "The ISM saw the dollar pare its earlier gains," he said. The yield on interest rate-sensitive two-year Treasuries fell on the news, before later heading higher, as did the dollar. The yen fell to near eight-month lows against the dollar as intervention came into sight after Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki warned on Friday against investors selling the yen too far as it weakened past the threshold of 145 to the dollar. The Japanese yen weakened 0.17% versus the greenback to 144.59 per dollar.

Persons: Marc Chandler, pare, Treasuries, Shunichi Suzuki, Joice Alves, Ankur Banerjee, David Evans, Conor Humprhies, Christina Fincher Organizations: Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Bannockburn Global, Japan, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Bannockburn, New York, China, London, Singapore

In Asia, while factory activity expanded marginally in China, it contracted in Japan and South Korea as Asia's economic recovery struggled to maintain momentum. REUTERS/Siyi LiuChina's Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI eased to 50.5 in June from 50.9 in May, the private survey showed. The figure, combined with Friday's official survey that showed factory activity extending declines, adds to evidence the world's No. South Korea's PMI fell to 47.8 in June, extending its downturn to a record 12th consecutive month on weak demand in Asia and Europe. Factory activity also contracted in Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia, the PMI surveys showed.

Persons: Rory Fennessy, lockdowns, Toru Nishihama, Siyi Liu China's, Jonathan Cable, Sam Holmes, David Evans Organizations: PMI, European Central Bank, Oxford Economics, P, Dai, Research, REUTERS, P Global, Reuters, Jibun, of, International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: Japan, South Korea, China, TOKYO, Europe, Britain, Asia, United States, European, U.S, Dezhou, Shandong province, South, Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia, of Japan's

☆ China's June factory activity slows as conditions weaken - Caixin PMI
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

BEIJING, July 3 (Reuters) - China's factory activity growth slowed in June, a private sector survey showed on Monday, with sentiment waning and recruitment cooling as firms grew increasingly concerned about sluggish market conditions. The figure, combined with Friday's official survey that showed factory activity extending declines, adds to evidence the world's No. The Caixin manufacturing PMI surveys around 650 private and state-owned manufacturers and, according to economists, focuses more on export-oriented firms in coastal regions, while the official PMI surveys 3,200 companies across China. Markets now anticipate more policy support to bolster a stuttering economic recovery, despite the central bank cutting key lending benchmark rates in June to shore up activity. "Problems reflected in June's Caixin China manufacturing PMI, ranging from an increasingly dire job market to rising deflationary pressure and waning optimism, also point to the same conclusion."

Persons: Wang Zhe, Ellen Zhang, Ryan Woo, Sam Holmes Organizations: P Global, Caixin Insight, PMI, Companies, State Council, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, June's

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