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CNBC Daily Open: Looking past sticky core inflation
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The S&P 500 climbed 1.07%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.31% and the Nasdaq Composite shot up 2.17%. Core inflation, to which the Fed pays more attention because it more accurately reflects price movements, came in a bit higher than expected for the month. Core inflation was higher than the headline number because food and energy prices are stripped out from the former.
Persons: Spencer Platt, , Jeff Cox, Pia Singh, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, of Labor Statistics, Nvidia, Reuters, U.S . House Locations: Brooklyn, New York City, U.S, Saudi Arabia
The bank raised its price target on MercadoLibre Thursday to $2,500 from $2,225, suggesting 22% upside from Wednesday's close. The bank increased its price target to $230 from $200, implying nearly 16% upside from Wednesday's close. Supino also lifted the firm's price target to $93 a share, reflecting about 33% upside from Wednesday's close. Analyst Adam Berlin lowered his 12-month price target to $29 from $34, implying 6% downside. The investment firm's price target of $159 implies more than 2% downside from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Robert Ford Aguilar, — Michelle Fox, Wells, Wells Fargo, Eric Luebchow, Luebchow, Lisa Kailai Han, Sean Conlon, Wolfe, Peter Supino, Supino, Samantha Subin, BofA, George Staphos, a.m, Adam Berlin, Berlin, IPG, — Sean Conlon, Bernstein, Mark Moerdler, — Lisa Kailai Han, Stifel, Simon Yarmak, Andrea Pistacchi, Brandt Montour, it's, Montour, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Barclays, Bank of America, Diageo, Mercado, Mobile, Sprint, Wolfe Research, UBS downgrades, UBS, billings, GM, Pfizer, Oracle, Simon Property, Property Group, SPG, U.S, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Brazil, Mercado Pago, Wells Fargo, Wells, Roku, Berlin, America, U.S
Trump Media & Technology — The stock fell more than 13% following Tuesday's debate between majority shareholder former President Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris. Novartis — U.S.-listed shares of the Swiss pharma company slipped nearly 2% on the heels of Bank of America's downgrade to hold from buy. Crypto stocks — Crypto stocks were dragged downward after the price of bitcoin fell slightly overnight, as crypto traders considered central bank policy in Japan . Morgan Stanley — The bank stock lost 1% following a downgrade at Goldman Sachs to neutral from buy. Solar stocks — Solar stocks rose as a group after Vice President Kamala Harris's performance at Tuesday's debate raised confidence in a Democratic victory at the U.S. presidential election.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Rentokil, it's, bitcoin, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Kamala Harris's, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Samantha Subin Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Democratic, Trump Media, Nasdaq, GameStop, Novartis — U.S, Swiss pharma, of, Therapeutics, JPMorgan, Viking Therapeutics, Goldman, Bank of America, U.S, Clean Energy, SolarEdge Technology, Sunnova Energy Locations: North America, Japan
U.S. stock futures were little changed Tuesday night ahead of the August consumer inflation report due Wednesday morning. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both dipped 0.1%. Traders are anticipating a key economic report Wednesday morning: August's consumer price index. The CPI report and Thursday's producer price index could help determine the size of a widely expected rate cut at the end of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Sept. 18. Fed funds futures trading suggests a 69% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut and a 31% likelihood of a 50-basis-point reduction, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, CME's, Kristina Hooper, Hooper Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Nvidia, JPMorgan, CPI, Federal
Check out the companies making headlines after the bell : GameStop — The gaming retailer was trading 1% lower after posting mixed second-quarter results. For its third quarter, the company expects to post an adjusted loss of 3 cents to 4 cents per share, while analysts had estimated losses of 4 cents per share. Dave & Buster's Entertainment — The arcade chain's stock climbed 8% after Dave & Buster's posted per-share earnings of 99 cents, while analyst polled by LSEG had expected just 84 cents. However, the company's revenue of $557 million came below the forecasted $561 million. Morgan Stanley — The bank stock fell 1% following a downgrade to neutral from buy at Goldman Sachs.
Persons: LSEG, Buster's, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Richard Ramsden Organizations: GameStop, Wellness, Buster's Entertainment, Goldman
Wells Fargo bank analyst Mike Mayo highlighted Citigroup stock as his favorite bank name on Tuesday while speaking on CNBC's " Squawk on the Street ." Shares of Citigroup could double over the next two-and-a-half years "simply by going back to tangible book value," Mayo said. Citigroup sold for 73% of tangible book at the end of June, up from 60% at the end of last December, according to FactSet data. "Even after running this model, banks still have plenty of excess capital to support the economy," Mayo noted. "Recession or no recession; higher rates or lower rates … whatever hits you, I think banks are able to weather it quite well now."
Persons: Mike Mayo, Mayo, Jane Fraser Organizations: Citigroup, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lehman Brothers, Credit Suisse, Prudential, Deutsche Bank, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo, . U.S
Mission Produce , Calavo Growers — Shares gained 20% after the avocado producer reported a year-over-year revenue increase of 24% for the fiscal third quarter. Calavo Growers advanced around 12% after the rival producer reported adjusted earnings of 57 cents per share in its fiscal third quarter. That is more than the 43 cents per share that analysts were expecting, according to FactSet. Oracle — Shares of the database software company surged more than 11% after a fiscal first-quarter beat on the top and bottom lines. For the fiscal second quarter, the company saw growth of 4% in preliminary consolidated same-store sales.
Persons: Russell Hutchinson, LSEG, Piper Sandler, Hewlett Packard, Rubrik, FactSet, Patterson, Gary Kelly, Bob Jordan, Alibaba, Daniel Pinto, — CNBC's Brian Evans, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: Ally, Mission, Calavo, Calavo Growers, Oracle —, Oracle, Amazon Web Services, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Hewlett, Juniper Networks, UTI, Southwest Airlines —, Elliott Investment Management, Hong, Reuters, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, Alibaba —, China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Mission Produce — The avocado producer surged 21.6% after reporting revenue for the fiscal third quarter jumped 24% from a year ago. The company reported sales of $324 million, compared with $261.4 million in the same three-month period one year before. Boot Barn — Shares rose 6% after the Western-style retailer provided an update on its recent performance ahead of a Piper Sandler Growth Frontiers Conference presentation. Boot Barn announced preliminary consolidated same-store sales growth of 4% in its fiscal second quarter. Johnson Controls International — Shares rose nearly 2% after JPMorgan upgraded the stock to buy from neutral.
Persons: Piper Sandler, LSEG . Patterson, Alibaba, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, , Samantha Subin, Sean Conlon, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound, Yun Li, Scott Schnipper Organizations: Growers, Oracle, LSEG, Apple, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Juniper Networks, Revenue, UTI Energy, Hong, Reuters, Johnson, JPMorgan, Anheuser, Busch Inbev SA, Equity Locations: California, U.S, Alibaba —, China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Wells
Nic Coury | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineMaybe all it takes are shiny new things to lift our mood and take our minds off recession fears. Of course, Apple's event is not the sole reason markets rose yesterday. They'll also let us know if we can afford those shiny new things that Apple's dangling in front of us.
Persons: HSI, Nic Coury, I'm, Zers, CNBC's Kelly Evans, They'll, – CNBC's Pia Singh, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Apple, AFP, Getty, CNBC, Research, Bloomberg, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Cupertino , California, U.S, Cupertino
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineMaybe all it takes are shiny new things to lift our mood and take our minds off recession fears. Of course, Apple's event is not the sole reason markets rose yesterday. They'll also let us know if we can afford those shiny new things that Apple's dangling in front of us.
Persons: Pro Max, Justin Sullivan, I'm, Zers, CNBC's Kelly Evans, They'll, – CNBC's Pia Singh, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Pro, Apple, Getty, CNBC, Research, Bloomberg, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Cupertino , California, U.S, Cupertino
The unemployment rate for Black workers fell in August, according to data released Friday by the Department of Labor. In August, Black workers saw their jobless rate fall to 6.1% from 6.3% in the month prior. This trend was in line with the overall unemployment rate for the country, which ticked down to 4.2% in August from July. On the other hand, unemployment for white workers held steady at 3.8%. On the other hand, the unemployment rate held steady at 5.5% for Black women.
Organizations: California State, Fair, Department of Labor Locations: California, Sacramento , California
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Dollar Tree — Shares tumbled more than 22% after the discount retailer slashed its full-year outlook for net sales and adjusted earnings per share. GitLab — The software developer's stock soared more than 21% thanks to a strong third-quarter earnings outlook. Zscaler — The stock lost more than 18% after the cloud security company's fiscal first-quarter earnings outlook came in weaker than expected. Zscaler expects to earn between 62 cents and 63 cents per share, below the 73 cents per share analysts were estimating, per LSEG. Asana sees sales for the third quarter coming in between $180 million and $181 million, while analysts expected $182 million, according to LSEG.
Persons: LSEG, Zscaler, Cowen, Andrew Charles, , Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Dick's, Goods, FactSet, UBS, AMD Locations: Cape Canaveral , Florida
United States Steel — The industrial stock plunged 6% after Vice President Kamala Harris opposed the planned sale of United States Steel to Japan's Nippon Steel. She made these statements during a Labor Day rally in front of union members in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, where she said that United States Steel was "an historic American company and it is vital for our country to maintain strong American steel companies." NetApp — The data storage stock added 1.6% following an upgrade to buy from hold at Loop Capital. Loop analyst Ananda Baruah listed several catalysts, including NetApp's cloud storage software partnerships and a recent pullback. Bank of America — The bank stock was down fractionally.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Wells, Matthew Akers, Morgan Stanley, Ananda Baruah, Jefferies, Peter Welford, Warren Buffett's Berkshire, Merck's Keytruda, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Jesse Pound Organizations: United States Steel, Japan's Nippon Steel, Labor, Boeing, Software, Novartis —, Novartis, Bank of America, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Merck, European Commission Locations: Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania, American, Warren
Cleanspark released its mining update for August, which showed that it mined 478 bitcoins last month. Vaxcyte – Shares were recently up more than 36% and earlier hit a record high after the vaccine company reported positive results from the Phase 1/2 study for its 31-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine candidate. Semiconductor stocks – Shares of some of the biggest chipmakers fell during the first trading session of the month. Last week, shares fell 19% on news of its filing delay and Hindenburg's disclosed short position. United States Steel – Shares fell around 6% after Vice President Kamala Harris opposed the planned sale of U.S. Steel to Japan's Nippon Steel at a Labor Day rally for union members in Pittsburgh.
Persons: Cleanspark, Vaxcyte, Leerink, Morgan Stanley, Redfin, Charles Liang, Hindenburg's, Hindenburg, Kamala Harris, Harris, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound, Fred Imbert, Michelle Fox Organizations: Leerink Partners, Boeing, Riley Securities, Semiconductor, KLA, Nvidia, Micron Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Broadcom, Hindenburg, Securities and Exchange, United States Steel, Steel, Japan's Nippon Steel, Labor, U.S Locations: Wells, U.S, Pittsburgh, American
JPMorgan downgrades Peloton to neutral from overweight "Following Thursday's +35% appreciation (vs. SPX -1%) we are moving from Overweight to Neutral rated as PTON's return to growth in CF Subs & Revenue remains challenging, & visibility is limited given secular & macro pressures." Wells Fargo reiterates Burlington Stores as top pick "We reiterate BURL as our "Top Pick" and see a highly visible growth/margin bull case unfolding in real time. The combination of 1) comp acceleration and 2) margin unlocks should be powerful, and we raise 2Q/FY numbers above Street. Wells Fargo upgrades BJ's Wholesale Club to overweight from equal weight "Margin investment is the right strategic shift despite n/t pain, and supplements robust member gains. Valuation is tricky, but comp ramp/return to algo in '25 point to upside."
Persons: Piper Sandler, Warby Parker, Uber, Nomura, Wells, BURL, Goldman Sachs, Bill.com, Guggenheim Organizations: Nvidia, RBC, Westlake, JPMorgan, CF Subs, Revenue, Bank of America, Waymo, Tesla, Burlington Stores, Wholesale
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Cava Group — Shares of the fast-casual restaurant chain popped more than 21% on stronger-than-expected quarterly results . Cava posted earnings of 17 cents per share on $233 million in revenue in the fiscal second quarter. That topped LSEG estimates calling for earnings per share of 13 cents and revenue of $220 million. Ross Stores — The off-price retailer's stock price added 1.4% after the company beat earnings estimates by 9 cents a share in the second quarter. Ross matched revenue estimates of $5.25 billion, per LSEG.
Persons: Cava, Warby Parker, Nicholas Jones, Goldman Sachs, Bill.com, Ross, Tesla, Jerome Powell's, Piper Sandler, — CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Brian Evans, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Intuit —, Intuit, FactSet, JMP Securities, Warby's, UBS, Ross Stores, LSEG, Nvidia, Federal, Investors, VanEck Semiconductor Locations: Cava, Vegas, Macau
JMP Securities upgraded Warby Parker to market outperform, calling for more than 40% upside. The financial firm upgraded shares of the streaming technology provider to buy from neutral. Analyst Michael Morris also established a 12-month price target of $75, which is approximately 21% higher than where shares closed on Thursday. Peloton stock is down 25% on the year. His price target of $20 implies upside of 44% from Thursday's close.
Persons: Warby Parker, Michael Morris, Morris, — Lisa Kailai Han, Wells, Wells Fargo, Edward Kelly, Kelly, BJ's, BJ, Lisa Kailai Han, Piper Sandler, Anna Andreeva, Andreeva, it's, Piper, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Nicholas Jones, Jones, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, JMP Securities, JPMorgan, Guggenheim, BJ's, BJ's Wholesale, LT, Costco, CF Subs, Revenue, Warby, Warby Parker Inc Locations: ROKU, Chewy, Thursday's
These 10 stocks usually rise when Nvidia shares fall
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Several stocks in the S & P 500 often rise whenever Nvidia shares fall, according to a CNBC Pro analysis. CNBC Pro screened for stocks in the S & P 500 that were inversely correlated to Nvidia's over July, a month in which the chip maker's stock declined by 11.6%. By comparison, the S & P 500 notched a 1.1% gain, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite eased 0.8%. A correlation of 0 would indicate no statistical link between Nvidia's stock and the share price of the other companies. The below table highlights the 10 stocks in the S & P 500 with the strongest inverse correlation with Nvidia's share price over the first week of August.
Persons: Dr Pepper, General Mills, Dickinson, Lockheed Martin, Northrop, Russell, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, — CNBC's Arjun Kharpal, Lisa Kailai Han, John Melloy Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Xcel Energy, Co, Northrop Grumman, CNBC Pro, Nasdaq Locations: U.S, Becton, lockstep
(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Monday's Wall Street chatter as global markets sell off. — Lisa Kailai Han 7:02 a.m.: How long sell-offs typically last Bad news: The current market sell-off may have further to go. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:09 a.m.: Oppenheimer's Stoltzfus: Best to not 'jump to conclusions' Investors need to have a cool head as global markets sell off, according to Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus. — Fred Imbert 5:51 a.m.: Global markets in an 'aggressive risk-unwind', Vital Knowledge says Fears of a U.S. recession are pressuring global markets, leading investors around the world to sell some of this year's top winners, according to Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge. "Markets are caught in an aggressive risk-unwind as equities plunge around the world, with tech getting hit particularly hard," he wrote in a note Monday.
Persons: Wharton's Siegel, Jeremy Siegel, CNBC's, Siegel, hasn't, it's, … They're, , Lisa Kailai Han, Tom Lee, Lee, Duncan Toms, Toms, Fred Imbert, Victoria Greene, Greene, It's, Nimrit Kang, — Lisa Kailai Han, Dan Ives, Gene Goldman, Gennadiy Goldberg, Ives, Goldman, Goldberg, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Evercore, Ed Hyman, Hyman, Adam Crisafulli, Crisafulli Organizations: CNBC, Stock, Nikkei, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wharton, Federal Reserve, Fundstrat Global, HSBC, G Squared, Wealth, NorthStar Asset Management, Street, Wedbush, TD Securities, Federal, NASDAQ, U.S, Fed, Global Locations: U.S, Europe, Japan, China
Some of the companies reporting results in the upcoming week are more likely than others to see their stocks get an earnings-powered boost. Fifteen percent of the stocks in the S & P 500 — or 76 names in the index — are due to report results in the coming days, including big media companies and travel and restaurant stocks. Seventy-eight percent of S & P 500 companies that have reported so far have posted an earnings surprise to the upside, while 59% of those stocks have also beaten on revenue expectations. FactSet predicted a blended year-over-year earnings growth rate of 11.5% for the S & P 500, which would mark its highest since the fourth quarter of 2021. CNBC Pro screened FactSet for the S & P 500 companies reporting earnings this week that could receive a post a positive earnings surprise and therefore receive a price boost.
Persons: FactSet, Goldman Sachs, George Wang, , Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Uber Technologies, Uber, Mizuho, Micro Computer, Micro, Walgreens, Alliance, Barclays, Tesla, Fidelity National Information Services, Expeditors International of Washington
The unemployment rate fell for Asian Americans from June to July, bucking a broader trend, according to data released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The unemployment rate among Asian Americans dipped to 3.7% in July from 4.1% a month earlier. The result went against the overall unemployment rate, which rose to 4.3% last month from 4.1% in June. Meanwhile, the jobless rate for white Americans rose to 3.8% in July, up from 3.5% a month earlier. For Hispanic Americans, this number climbed to 5.3% last month, compared to the rate of 4.9% in June.
Organizations: U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics
The current market rotation into small-cap stocks shouldn't come at the expense of the broader equity rally, according to Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott . In fact, Luschini's call for the S & P 500 is that the index could rise to the 6,000 level in the next 12 months. While some investors have called into question the longevity of the current rotation into small-cap names, Luschini believes that the trend's legitimacy has been proven thus far. But at this point, the lagging sectors have built on the gains they have established in the last several weeks to push the market higher. That said, the strategist emphasized the importance of the technology sector in carrying the S & P 500 to his 6,000 target next year.
Persons: Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Luschini, we've, There's Organizations: CNBC, Luschini Locations: U.S
Some large-cap tech stocks are likely to fare better than others if investors continue to move into smaller companies. Artificial intelligence-adjacent mega-cap tech titans have been the driving force behind the current bull market rally, which began last October. Nvidia — with a market value above $2.9 trillion — has soared 136% this year alone, after climbing 239% in 2023. But a combination of disappointing tech earnings and impending interest rate cuts has weakened some of the bullish sentiment toward mega-caps. Analysts see potential price upside of 10% in AI-adjacent stock ServiceNow .
Persons: Russell, LSEG, ServiceNow, Mizuho, Gregg Moskowitz, TD Cowen, Fortinet, Shaul Eyal, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, CNBC Pro, Visa, Analysts, Keysight Technologies, & & '
"While company reported 2Q results ahead of guidance on higher take-rate, weaker 3Q guidance and removal of FY GMS outlook suggest no near-term visibility," the analyst wrote. Etsy stock is 20% lower on the year but has increased 16% since July 8. Positively, AmEx did see slightly better [small or midsize enterprise] spend in Q2'24," wrote analyst Donald Fandetti. Bank of America lifted its price target to $563 from $555, while Citi increased its target to $580 from $555. Its price target of $220, up from $175, implies upside of 23% from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Robinson, Brian, Ossenback, — Lisa Kailai Han, Oppenheimer, Jason Helfstein, Etsy's, Etsy, Helfstein, he's, Lisa Kailai Han, Wells, David Lantz, Lantz, Carvana, Raymond James, Brian Vaccaro, Vaccaro, AmEx, Donald Fandetti, Fandetti, Goldman Sachs, Ross Sandler, Andrew Percoco, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, GE, JPMorgan, Carvana, TAM, Management, American Express, America Express, Meta, Wall Street, Goldman, Citi, Barclays, Bank of America, Google, GE Vernova, General Electric Locations: C.H, Etsy, Wingstop, Wells Fargo, Q2'24, 2H24, Wednesday's
Match Group — Shares of the Tinder dating app owner moved 13% higher after the company posted second-quarter revenue of $864 million. That is above the $856.5 million estimate that analysts polled by FactSet had expected. Revenue, however, came in below expectations at $6.48 billion, compared to the $6.55 billion analysts polled by FactSet had expected. Marriott reported $6.44 billion, which was below the $6.47 billion analysts polled by FactSet had expected. Bunge — The food stock moved nearly 8% lower after the company posted second-quarter results that missed analysts' expectations.
Persons: Vistra, FactSet, LSEG, Dan Dolev, AutoNation, Kraft Heinz —, Bunge, Robert " Kelly, Ortberg, Dave Calhoun, Rockwell Collins, , Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: FactSet, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Nuclear, AMD, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Arista Networks, Mizuho, DuPont de Nemours, DuPont, Humana, Starbucks, LSEG, Marriott, Constellation Energy, Constellation, Boeing, Rockwell, Collins Aerospace Locations: Texas, Japan, Korea, Tuesday's
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