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☆ 4 of the world's elite investors agree on the biggest risks that will cause the next recession. Here's how they're each protecting clients with over half a trillion in combined assets.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( William Edwards | Akin Oyedele | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Below, we've their quotes on the subjects, along with how they said they're protecting their clients' money. I think it is a good chance, more than a little bit, that there will be a conflict, an invasion of Taiwan. Where to invest now: Roeper said he's bullish on aerospace companies because they're having a "pretty solid recovery" right now. The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) offers exposure to different areas of the bond market. Where to invest now: Blake said he likes hybrid bonds, investment-grade bonds over a six-12 month duration, and private credit.

☆ Goldman Sachs shares exactly how to invest right now to profit this year — even as uncertainty and a banking crisis hurt economic growth
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But that unusual calm in markets may be masking serious concerns about economic growth, according to David Kostin, the chief US equity strategist at Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs"Mixed economic data and uncertainty around banking stress have led the equity market to downgrade its pricing of the US economic growth outlook in recent weeks," Kostin wrote. Goldman Sachs' GDP estimate (the blue-gray columns) is higher than that of the consensus (the black dots). Another sector Goldman Sachs is bullish on is energy, even though it's economically sensitive. Goldman Sachs is also neutral on the following sectors and industries: software & services, financials, consumer discretionary (excluding autos & durables), utilities, real estate, and consumer durables & apparel.

☆ Goldman thinks the trade right now is on China's economy and gives 2 U.S. stocks to play it
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The rebound in China's economy creates an opportunity for U.S. equity investors who can capture that strength by picking mining stocks, according to Goldman Sachs. "We recommend investors own mining stocks, which are levered to China growth through rising metals prices." Metals and mining stocks typically mirror the performance of the index, Goldman said. The firm said mining stocks in general are relatively cheap right now, trading at a 20% discount to the S & P 500. The SPDR S & P Metals & Mining ETF tracks the S & P Metals and Mining Select Industry Index, while the iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF follows select global metals and mining producers, excluding gold and silver.

☆ Jim Cramer: This is what I learned from the real first week of earnings season
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-23 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

"Simply stated we're in a freight recession." That line, uttered last Monday by Shelley Simpson, president of J.B. Hunt (JBHT), the fourth-largest trucking company in the United States, was the most memorable of the real first week of earnings season. If so, it would know that we're dealing with much more than a freight recession. It's not enough to offset the immense deflationary pressure emanating from the regional banks and the freight recession described by J.B. Hunt. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

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☆ A freelancer who is financially independent from his real estate portfolio shares the 'pyramid model' that helps him decide how to invest his money
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-23 | by ( Kathleen Elkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Atif Afzal has built wealth and created financial independence via real estate investing, but it's not the only place he puts his money. Real estate is the lowest risk for me because traditionally it has always grown." Despite his success as a real estate investor, he's invested in other types of assets, including cryptocurrency and the stock market. Why real estate is at the base of the pyramidFor Afzal, investing most of his money into real estate means "adopting a conservative approach," he said. Seattle-based real estate investor and self-made millionaire Todd Baldwin similarly believes that real estate investing is the most tried-and-true way to generate wealth.

☆ Why one investor says Elon Musk's reign as CEO of Tesla, Twitter, and SpaceX may be 'entering the end game'
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Elon Musk's days as CEO of three high-profile companies might soon be over, investor Dan Nathan said. Nathan pointed to Musk's mountain of debt from his Twitter takeover, as well as pressures facing Tesla. "He might be entering the end game here a little bit for being the CEO for all these companies," Nathan said. Tesla stock has rocketed higher in 2023 after a terrible performance last year. "Earnings estimates are coming down, margin estimates are coming down, delivery estimates are coming down, backlog is coming down, and inventory is going up.

☆ Goldman Sachs says there could be 'multiple beats' by solar companies and gives its favorites
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Multiple residential solar stocks should be in a position to outperform Wall Street's expectations this earnings season, according to Goldman Sachs. Analyst Brian Lee pointed to SolarEdge , Sunrun and Enphase as residential solar names to watch this earnings season given near-term tailwinds that can give a boost to earnings. Weakness in demand in the South could be offset by strength in California and the Northeast in the first quarter, Lee said. He has buy ratings on the three residential solar stocks. Here's how he expects each of them to do when reporting first quarter earnings: Enphase Enphase should beat on both sales and per-share earnings, Lee said.

☆ Only the big will crack the $1 trln LBO code
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Jonathan Guilford | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +9 min

Lenders will only tiptoe back, meaning deals need the big checks and extra elbow grease in credit markets that favor the largest private equity firms. Private equity firms depend on borrowed money to reduce how much of their own they use in any single deal and to magnify returns as a percentage of their initial investment. Imagine a private equity firm acquires a company for $1 billion, then flips it five years later for $1.5 billion. Though the private equity industry is awash in so-called dry powder, fundraising is increasingly tilting to the largest fund managers. Buyout firms are apt to keep their plans more conservative to garner higher ratings – meaning, again, less leverage and more upfront cash.

☆ Market has blanket negative view on real estate stocks, leaving some undervalued, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket has blanket negative view on real estate stocks, leaving some undervalued, strategist saysJackie Bowie, managing partner and head of Chatham Europe, says sectors that are levered and reliant on debt are most vulnerable to credit tightening.

☆ Club meeting recap: Buy, Buy, Buy — why Jim Cramer likes Disney, AMD and Caterpillar so much
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Buy Disney Buy Advanced Micro Devices Buy Caterpillar 1. Buy Disney Needham reflected in a research note Thursday that Apple (AAPL) and Walt Disney (DIS) could be worth more together than separately. While unlikely Apple would (or even be allowed by regulators) to buy Disney, Jim Cramer highlighted Needham's analysis, saying it shows Disney is "worth substantially more than people realize." Buy Caterpillar Jim sees a "tremendous opportunity" to buy Club holding Caterpillar (CAT) with the stock down about 6% year-to-date.

☆ Signs of pain as easy cash era ends are growing
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

LONDON, March 30 (Reuters) - The easy-cash era is over and markets are feeling the pinch from the sharpest jump in interest rate in decades. Since late 2021, big developed economies including the United States, euro area and Australia have raised rates by almost 3,300 basis points collectively. Japanese, European and U.S. banks stocks, while off recent lows, are still well below levels seen just before SVB's collapse. Reuters Graphics2/ DARLINGS NO MOREAs the SVB collapse showed, stress in the tech sector can quickly ripple out across the economy. Reuters Graphics4/ CRYPTO WINTERHaving benefited from an influx of cash during the easy-money era, cryptocurrencies have felt pain as rates rose last year, then gained on recent signs that tightening could end soon.

☆ Deutsche Bank is not the next Credit Suisse, analysts say as panic spreads
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

In this article 0H7D-GB Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTA general meeting of Deutsche Bank Arne Dedert | picture alliance | Getty Imageswatch nowDeutsche Bank underwent a multibillion euro restructure in recent years aimed at reducing costs and improving profitability. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz told a news conference in Brussels Friday that Deutsche Bank had "thoroughly reorganized and modernized its business model and is a very profitable bank," adding that there is no basis to speculate about its future. 'Just not very scary' Some of the concerns around Deutsche Bank have centered on its U.S. commercial real estate exposures and substantial derivatives book. To be crystal clear - Deutsche is NOT the next Credit Suisse." 'Fresh and intense focus' on liquidity Credit Suisse's collapse boiled down to a combination of three causes, according to JPMorgan.

☆ Morgan Stanley's case for six Club names, including Alphabet and Microsoft
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

In a research note Tuesday, Morgan Stanley identified its "best long-term picks" for 2025, in line with our approach for assessing companies. Six names on Morgan Stanley's list were Club holdings, all of which the firm rated a buy. Alphabet (GOOGL): Morgan Stanley analysts think artificial intelligence (AI) will create a new growth opportunities at Google parent Alphabet in its core products, including its search engine, YouTube and cloud offerings. Morgan Stanley has price target of of $135 per share on the stock. Eli Lilly (LLY): The pharmaceuticals giant is well-positioned within the U.S. due to its strong pipeline of drugs and "robust new product cycles," Morgan Stanley analysts argued.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Nvidia, First Republic, FedEx and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

FedEx — Shares were up 11.6% after the company's fiscal third-quarter earnings topped analysts expectations. FedEx reported adjusted earnings of $3.41 per share, topping a Refinitiv consensus forecast of $2.73 per share. Credit Suisse — The Swiss bank's U.S.-traded shares were down 4.1% during premarket trading. Credit Suisse shares have had a volatile week after its largest investor announced it would not provide additional funding to the bank. First Republic Bank — Shares of the bank declined 13.3% during premarket trading.

We are buying 20 shares of Caterpillar (CAT) on Wednesday, at roughly $214.38 apiece. Following today's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 310 shares of CAT, increasing its weighting in the portfolio to about 2.67% from 2.5%. With the market tumbling Wednesday, we're adding to our position in Caterpillar (CAT) for the second day in a row . THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

REUTERS/Brendan McDermidORLANDO, Florida, March 14 (Reuters) - When the U.S. yield curve inverts bad things tend to happen. chartCARRY THAT WEIGHTWhile SVB's failure may not be a direct casualty of the inverted yield curve, an inverted curve is a sign that wider financial conditions are not so easy, presenting banks with a far more challenging economic and financial environment. The two-year Treasury yield has been higher than the 10-year yield since last July as the Fed has embarked on its most aggressive rate-raising campaign in decades. Banks make money when the yield curve slopes positively, borrowing cheaply via customer deposits, central bank windows or the short end of the curve, and lending longer term at higher rates - a classic 'carry trade'. A downward-sloping curve stymies this 'carry' and curbs lending, and the consequences are clear when that lasts for as long as eight months.

☆ Run on Silicon Valley Bank injects some panic into an already slumping stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-11 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The charts suggest that breaking the December low in the S & P 500 around 3765 – down just 2.5% from here – would lose the bullish case a lot more credibility than has been surrendered so far. Of course, fears of contagion can outrun the facts and sometimes can become self-fulfilling, but the S & P 500 has (for now) simply backslid to a nine-week low. Jason Hunter, technical strategist at JP Morgan, had been expecting "a weakening corporate earnings environment would eventually take the narrative away from the Fed driven rates market. In the past week Apple shares lost about a third of what the S & P 500 did. Inflation has been at generational highs for two years as it was not then, and the labor market wasn't nearly as tight.

☆ Credit Suisse's top picks for March include new addition Microsoft
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Credit Suisse refreshed its top stock picks for March, as the market reversed its January rally and began a renewed sell-off. In light of the growing market uncertainty, Credit Suisse highlighted several stocks it thinks can nonetheless outperform in coming months. Credit Suisse also sees strong gains ahead for T-Mobile, with the firm's price target of $175 implying upside of about 24% from Thursday's close. Other stocks on Credit Suisse list include Chipotle Mexican Grill, ServiceNow and Amazon. The company reported stronger-than-expected fourth quarter earnings, and Credit Suisse's 12-month price target on the stock implies upside of 34% from Thursday's close.

☆ Bank of America shares 4 reasons why AI is having its 'iPhone moment' and could have a $15.7 trillion impact on the global economy by 2030 — while enriching investors in these 13 industries along the
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Artificial intelligence (AI) may be having its "iPhone moment," according to Bank of America. In fact, the firm has cited an estimate from PwC that AI's economic impact could be $15.7 trillion by 2030. "This could be the 'iPhone moment' for AI." And like smartphones existed prior to the iPhone, AI predates ChatGPT by many years. At that rate, AI could be a million times more powerful than ChatGPT is now in the next 10 years, Israel wrote.

Here's an update on our energy, industrials and materials names in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, the portfolio we use at the CNBC Investing Club. In 2022, by contrast, the priority was its variable dividend, which changed quarter by quarter depending on its financial results. The industrial company is one of our more recently added holdings. He also mentioned that Halliburton's top boss, Jeff Miller, has expressed notable conviction that the company's stock price is too cheap. The alternative would be consolidating our holdings to two oil-and-gas producers, along with Halliburton as our third energy stock.

☆ Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Tesla, Alphabet, Kroger, Meta, Silvergate, UPS & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as a top pick Morgan Stanley said it sees a "catalyst rich event path" for the tech giant. Morgan Stanley names Alphabet, Amazon and Meta top AI picks Morgan Stanley named Alphabet, Amazon and Alphabet as top picks and said AI is at an inflection point. Barclays reiterates Alphabet as overweight Barclays said it's standing by its overweight rating on the stock but sees it range-bound for the foreseeable future. Morgan Stanley reiterates Eaton as a top pick Morgan Stanley said it sees several cyclical growth drivers for the multination power management company. Morgan Stanley names Eli Lilly as a catalyst driven idea Morgan Stanley named Eli Lilly as a catalyst driven idea, saying that the stock "levered" to a likely positive outcome from upcoming obesity drug trials.

☆ The 'everything' bull market is over now that inflation has gone from no problem to a big problem, BlackRock strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( Zinya Salfiti | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors can't rely on a bull market to keep lifting asset prices any more, BlackRock's Ben Powell said. Inflation has gone from being no problem to a big problem, the strategist told Bloomberg TV. "We can't just be levered long everything — the 'everything' bull market sadly is over," said Powell, chief APAC strategist at the BlackRock Investment Institute. The outcome of that supply problem is higher inflation, he argued, and it has important implications for investors making portfolio decisions. "The big point being — sorry for this — but it's going to be harder, because inflation has gone from being no problem to a big problem," he added.

☆ Hedge fund manager Chris Hohn demands Airbus drop Atos deal - letter
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-20 | by ( Nell Mackenzie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Hedge fund manager Christopher Hohn has written to Airbus (AIR.PA) demanding it drop a deal to purchase a minority stake in French IT consulting firm Atos' (ATOS.PA) soon-to-be spun-off division Evidian. Hohn, who runs hedge fund TCI Fund Management, owns over 3% of Airbus' shares worth more than 4 billion euros ($4.3 billion), the letter said. If successful, the deal would give Airbus some say over Evidian, which groups Atos' most coveted assets such as cybersecurity division BDS and supercomputers. Hohn, in the letter, said if the deal goes through Airbus should disclose what it would spend to pay down any debt or other liabilities of Atos. Airbus shares were down 2% in afternoon trading, while Atos' shares were down 0.3%.

☆ DA Davidson says this specialty truck stock can rally nearly 70%
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Custom Truck One Source , a provider of specialty trucks and custom equipment, has secular tailwinds that could help the stock even if the broader economy slides, DA Davidson said. Analyst Michael Shlisky initiated coverage of the stock at a buy. Shlisky's $12 price target implies the stock could rally 69% from where it closed Wednesday. Meanwhile, he said telecommunications, which is Custom Truck's second most-important sector, also has a long tailwind coming for similar reasons. While Shlisky said the stock is more levered than peers, he said it's not outrageously high to begin with and expects a downward trajectory.

☆ Buyers swoop in to help the S&P 500 shake off earlier losses — listen to the 'Homestretch'
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +17 min

I LIKE A STOCK THAT'S DE-RISKEDWHICH IS WHY I THINK EMERSON ISA GREAT BUY. I THINK THAT'S A GOOD STRATEGY. JEFF, I DON'T KNOW HOW ELSE TOPUT IT. I DON'T THINK ANYONE SHOULD SELLTHIS ON THE NOTION THAT THERE'SAN ANALYST WHO MISSED THE WHOLETHING IS SAYING SELLING. >> THAT'S GREAT.

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