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Stock futures held steady in overnight trading Monday after the market staged a relief rally on the hope that the banking turmoil would be contained. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were also little changed. Investors also welcomed news that JPMorgan Chase could be advising embattled First Republic Bank on strategic alternatives. First Republic Bank sold off another 47% during the session, extending its month-to-date decline to 90% as the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank made investors worried about other banks with large uninsured deposit bases. The SPDR Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rose 1% Monday after dropping 14% last week, with PacWest, First Citizens and Fifth Third Bancorp among the names leading the rebound.
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.3%. UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, or $3.2 billion, with the combined bank to have $5 trillion in assets. But traders may be anxious for more to be done by regulators to stem the slide in regional banks. The SPDR Regional Banking ETF (KRE) tumbled 14% last week. "I think there's there's been an overreaction to the regional banks ... And that likely represents an opportunity," said Hogan.
People are seen inside the First Republic Bank branch in Midtown Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., March 13, 2023. REUTERS/Mike SegarShares of First Republic were under pressure Friday despite the beaten-down regional bank receiving aid from other financial institutions. ET, the stock was down about 24% and was the worst performer in the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) — which dropped 5%. PacWest and Western Alliance also lost more than 13% each, while KeyCorp slid 8%. Those losses come even after 11 other banks pledged to deposit $30 billion in First Republic as a vote of confidence in the company.
The banking crisis drove regional bank stocks sharply lower this week, but many insiders took advantage of the turmoil to scoop up shares of their own institutions in what may prove a vote of confidence. Shares of regional banks slumped as the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank left investors worried that other regional banks might face similar balance sheet issues, a possible mismatch between long-dated assets and short-dated liabilities. Regional banks had regained some ground Thursday in anticipation of a group of 11 banks stepping in to First Republic by depositing $30 billion for at least 120 days . Charles Schwab Notably, Charles Schwab CEO Walt Bettinger bought 50,000 shares Tuesday, worth nearly $3 million, for his personal account. Valley National Bancorp Ira Robbins (CEO) bought 5,000 shares Wednesday Jennifer Steans (Director) bought 150,000 shares Tuesday Eric Edelstein (Director) bought 20,000 shares Tuesday Melissa Schultz (Director) bought 15,000 shares Tuesday Jeffrey Wilks (Director) bought 8,000 shares Tuesday Marc Lenner (Director) bought 5,000 shares Tuesday Suresh Sani (Director) bought 5,000 shares Tuesday Valley National Bancorp saw a rush of insider buying this week, including purchases by its CEO and several directors.
Ever wonder why Walmart is classified as a consumer staples stock in the S&P 500, but similar retailers such as Target, Dollar General and Dollar Tree are classified as consumer discretionary stocks? Target, Dollar General and Dollar Tree will move from the consumer discretionary corner of the stock market, and join Walmart as consumer staples companies. Consumer staples will get bigger; consumer discretionary will get a little smaller. If you're an investor in a broadly diversified total market index fund like the S&P 500, the changes will make little difference to you. "Are they reflecting changes in consumer demand or the changes in the marketplace structure?"
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The struggles for regional bank stocks has continued despite the announcement from U.S. regulators over the weekend of additional support. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) has dropped more than 11% this week. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) was down another 1% in premarket trading Thursday. However, the Swiss National Bank struck a deal with Credit Suisse to allow the national bank to borrow up to roughly $54 billion. But while Credit Suisse's struggles could have ripple effects throughout the global banking system, the Swiss bank's problems appear to be unrelated to the U.S. regional banks.
A common tool to gauge the market's intent is following inflows and outflows in large ETFs. There have been outflows from corporate bond ETFs like Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH), high yield funds like SPDR High Yield ETF (JNK), bank loan ETFs like SPDR Senior Loan ETF (SRLN) and bank stock ETFs like Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB). The Credit Suisse issue was somewhat different. Europeans at the conference were surprised that there was a focus on Credit Suisse. The common thread of the commentary was that Credit Suisse had never recovered from the financial crisis, that it had been in decline for nearly 20 years.
The selloff in regional banks is overdone, with four names looking especially attractive at these levels, according to UBS. While bank stocks moved higher on Thursday, volatility has risen this week. Regional banks were particularly hard hit. Investors also need to remember that not all regional banks are equivalent, she added. "Thus, we believe that investors should not look at unrealized securities losses in a static manner," Najarian wrote.
Shares of the Swiss bank fell more than 24% after its biggest backer said it won't provide further financial support. Credit Suisse announced on Tuesday that it had found " material weakness " in its financial reporting process from prior years. Bank stocks were under pressure on Wednesday as the sharp drop of Credit Suisse rattled a segment of the market that was already reeling from two large bank failures in the past week. Some regional bank stocks saw even bigger declines. Credit Suisse struggles come on the heels of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in the U.S. Those failures caused steep sell-offs in regional bank stocks on Monday.
That made Credit Suisse the fourth most heavily traded single-stock name in the U.S. options market on Wednesday. The surge in trading followed a near 31% tumble in Credit Suisse shares on Wednesday after Saudi National Bank (SNB) (1180.SE), which holds 9.88% of Credit Suisse (CSGN.S), said it would not buy more shares on regulatory grounds. Trading in Credit Suisse puts outnumbered that in its call options 1.7-to-1. "There's a lot of moving parts in the Credit Suisse trade right now with respect to a major credit event, European bank contagion, and the possibility of ECB intervention," said Steven Place, an independent options trader in Destin, Florida. For SPDR S&P regional banking ETF (KRE.P), the options trading action was a mix of investors taking profits on existing hedges while putting on new defensive positions, Susquehanna's Murphy said.
Bank stocks are now oversold, but it's not time to buy in just yet, DataTrek's Nicholas Colas said. He said regional bank stocks could see more downside, pointing to data in previous financial crises. In a note on Tuesday, the research firm pointed to the plunge in bank stocks on Monday as Wall Street reels from the collapse of SVB. Meanwhile KRE, a regional bank ETF, has plunged 23% over the past 50 trading days, which is 2 standard deviations below its long-run average. Regional banks posted a strong rebound in early Tuesday trading.
The rout in regional banks has resulted in one of the best buying opportunities in "many years," according to Baird. KRE 5D mountain KRE's five-day performance Regional bank stocks nosedived after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, even after U.S. regulators backstopped all depositors in the banks. George noted that while liquidity movement is generally hard to predict, the average retail or corporate customer of most regional banks is not at all similar to those at SVB. Among his coverage universe, he has overweight ratings on 11 regional bank stocks. But even after Moody's comments, bank stocks were still recovering some lost ground on Tuesday, including Fifth Third Bancorp shares, which rose nearly 3%.
Shares of First Republic were up sharply in early Tuesday trading as concern over the state of the regional bank appeared to ease after a day of heavy selling. Shares of other regional banks also surged before the bell. Those moves come after regional banks fell sharply on Monday, even after U.S. regulators took extraordinary measures to backstop all depositors in the now-failed Silicon Valley Bank. In addition the backstopping the deposits at SVB and Signature Bank, which was closed on Sunday, federal regulators also announced efforts on Sunday to stabilize the wider banking system. "Outflows did not accelerate during the last few days and, in fact, some banks have seen net inflows given movement in deposits from SVB and Signature Bank," Tamayo said in a note to clients.
Oakmark Select Fund's Bill Nygren said it is a good time to buy bank stocks, as attention shifts away from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and toward financial names he believes are strong investments. "I think it's important for people to understand just how different SVB is or was compared to other bank stocks," Nygren said on CNBC's "Closing Bell." The fund manager said the tech-focused Silicon Valley Bank lacked a diversified source of depositors, almost all of them being uninsured, and also had a substantial investment in long-duration assets. The portfolio manager said that the bank stocks Oakmark owns trade at a multiple that is about six to eight times their earnings. It dropped by more than 12% on Monday after banking regulators seized Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the second- and third-largest bank failures , respectively, in U.S. history.
Options traders were buying up short-term call options on a variety of names, including the SPDR S&P regional banking ETF (KRE.P) and regional banks such as First Republic Bank (FRC.N) and Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N). "It's early days here but … there is some stability returning in bank share price action," said Michael Purves, chief executive of Tallbacken Capital. "Risk-on appears to be the flavor for regional banks today," said Ophir Gottlieb, chief executive of Los Angeles-based Capital Market Laboratories. Bullish speculation was particularly heavy in options expiring in less than a week, while longer-dated options saw less interest, he said. With some calm returning on Tuesday, options traders' also dialed back expectations for more near-term fireworks from the sector.
Bank stocks rebounded somewhat after getting pummeled during Monday's trading session. U.S. stock futures rose on Monday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched a fifth day of losses. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell after a plan to backstop depositors in Silicon Valley Bank failed to buoy bank stocks, as well as the S&P 500 . On the other hand, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite bucked the trend, rising 0.45%, as some investors bet the collapse at Silicon Valley Bank could mean a pause in future interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Due out Tuesday before the bell, the February consumer price index is expected to show a rise of 0.4% last month, according to consensus estimates from Dow Jones.
The events of the past few days have shown that regional banks with large amounts of uninsured deposits, like SVB, and New York's Signature Bank, which was closed Sunday, are at risk of deposit flight. KRE 5D mountain Regional bank stocks were under pressure again on Monday after sliding last week. In the case of SVB, the bank had mostly large deposits from companies and wealthy individuals. That can make a bank run worse because smaller retail deposits are seen as more "sticky" than big uninsured accounts. "Unfortunately, one of the first consequences of SIVB's collapse is probably that it will cause a flight of uninsured deposits from smaller, less diverse banks to larger, more diverse ones.
Morning Bid: Bond blows batter banks as SVB cracks
  + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
SVB may be an unusual case in point - given its exposure to both last year's attrition in the tech sector, related startups and bond markets. Major U.S. banks were also hit, with Wells Fargo (WFC.N) down 6%, JPMorgan (JPM.N) down 5.4%, Bank of America (BAC.N) 6% lower and Citigroup (C.N) 4% lower. In currency markets, the dollar held the line on Friday in its lonely easy monetary policy stance. The BOJ held off making changes to its controversial bond yield cap policy, leaving all options open ahead of a leadership transition in April. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
February's consumer inflation report should be a big driver for markets in the week ahead, as investors watch for continued fallout from the shutdown of SVB Financial Group's Silicon Valley Bank. The consumer price index report on Tuesday is the last major inflation data ahead of the Federal Reserve's March 21 and 22 meeting. Silicon Valley Bank's troubles overshadowed nearly everything else in markets Thursday and Friday, as investors sought safety in the bond market and sold bank stocks. Those odds had been as high as 70% before the Silicon Valley Bank news began to hit the market. Now inflation data is being watched carefully since a very hot number could mean the Fed will become more aggressive.
The SPDR S&P regional banking ETF (KRE.P) was down 6.0% after hitting its lowest point since January 2021. "The Silicon Valley raise got everybody nervous about people's capital levels and what deposits are doing. "It just gets people freaked out because Silicon Valley, historically has been a very strong, well-run bank. If they're having issues right now, people are wondering what about other banks that are lesser quality and that don't have the reputation that Silicon Valley Bank has." Investors were also grappling with the decline of cryptocurrency-focused lender Silvergate Capital (SI.N), which said earlier this month it was evaluating its ability to operate as a going concern.
The data sparked a broad market sell-off, with the S & P 500 losing 1%. .SPX 5D mountain Tough week for stocks Still, investors should consider easing exposure to names that are still overbought. CNBC Pro screened for S & P 500 stocks in overbought territory, using the relative strength index. CNBC Pro also screened for S & P 500 stocks in oversold territory. To be sure, First Republic shares are down 1.2% year to date, lagging SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) — which is up 5% in 2023.
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