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It's taken gold prices a long time to get this high — 5,000 years, give or take a few centuries — and it looks like the yellow metal could keep climbing. "Gold prices have benefited in recent weeks from safe haven demand amid concerns on the banking sector, as well as a view that the likelihood of a recession (i.e., hard landing) have materially increased. "Lower rates, coupled with inflation still well above the 2% target, would be positive for gold prices," he added. @GC.1 YTD line Gold price this year Tariq expects gold to average $1,925 an ounce in the second quarter, a 10% increase from Credit Suisse's previous target. Roque has a price target at $2,322, implying 14% upside from here.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGold prices have been 'subdued' in light of macroeconomic uncertainty, strategist saysIan Roper of Astris Advisory Japan KK says "gold's kind of been suffering, with rates going up."
Investors have been flocking to gold and Treasurys as bank stocks have been whacked by the shuttering of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse's implosion. Gold prices have more room to run as global banks struggle and the U.S. Federal Reserve renders another interest rate decision, potentially breaking all-time highs — and staying there. Investors have been flocking to gold and Treasurys as bank stocks have been whacked by the shuttering of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse's implosion. Gold has risen around 10% since early March when SVB was hit by a bank run. "Continued central bank buying of gold bodes well for long-term prices," said CEO Randy Smallwood of Wheaton Precious Metals, a precious metals streaming company.
Gold pauses rally as traders seek clarity on banking crisis
  + stars: | 2023-03-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold retreated on Thursday from a safe-haven-driven rally, which sent prices to their highest since early-February, as traders sought more clarity on the financial sector after Credit Suisse became the latest focal point for fears of a banking crisis. Spot gold was down 0.3% at $1,912.48 per ounce, as of 0328 GMT, after rising more than 1% on Wednesday. Swiss regulators pledged a liquidity lifeline to Credit Suisse in an unprecedented move by a central bank. Gold competes with the dollar as a safe store of value, and gains in the currency make bullion less attractive for overseas buyers. Spot silver slipped 0.4% to $21.71 per ounce, platinum was 0.3% lower at $959.52, while palladium gained 1.3% at $1,465.91.
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Gold rises for third day on softer dollar; rate-hike fears linger
  + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An Argor-Heraeus SA branded two hundred and fifty gram gold bar, center, sits in this arranged photograph at Solar Capital Gold Zrt. Gold edged up for a third session on Wednesday as the dollar pulled back, although fears of more U.S. interest rate hikes on the back of stubbornly high inflation kept a lid on prices. Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,829.37 per ounce, as of 0315 GMT. "Next stop for gold could be the $1,850-$1,860 area, at which point we'll be on the lookout for another top." The dollar index ticked 0.1% lower, making bullion more affordable for buyers holding other currencies.
A one-kilogram gold bar sits at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in this arranged photograph in London, U.K., on Wednesday, July 29, 2020. Gold prices rose on Thursday, helped by a slight pullback in the dollar, although prospects of U.S. interest rates staying higher for longer kept bullion on a tight leash. Elevated interest rates dampen gold's appeal as an inflation hedge while raising the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard reiterated on Wednesday that a Fed policy rate in the range of 5.25%-5.5% would be adequate to tame inflation. Investor attention is now on the U.S. personal consumption expenditures data, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, due on Friday.
Stocks plummeted Tuesday – as Vladimir Putin promised to escalate Russia's war in Ukraine. Check out these two charts that show what investors are worried about right now. Two ongoing sagas have rattled markets over the past year: the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest-rate hikes and Russia's war in Ukraine. When the cost of borrowing is higher, stocks struggle because their future cash flows take a hit, chipping away at their overall valuations. That suggests that they're more scared of Jerome Powell than they are of Vladimir Putin.
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Gold slips as U.S. inflation data heightens rate-hike jitters
  + stars: | 2023-02-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was down 0.5% at $1,845.96 per ounce, as of 0538 GMT, after falling to its lowest since early January on Tuesday. U.S. gold futures fell 0.5% to $1,856.60. Rising interest rates discourage investors from placing money in non-yielding assets such as gold. Fed officials said on Tuesday the U.S. central bank would need to keep gradually raising interest rates to beat inflation. Money markets expect the Fed's target rate to peak at 5.263% in July from a current range of 4.50% to 4.75%.
Twenty kilogram gold and silver bricks sit at the ABC Refinery smelter in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, on Thursday, July 2, 2020. Gold prices regained some ground on Monday but a firmer dollar and concerns that the U.S. Federal Reserve might keep hiking interest rates kept bullion below the key $1,900-an-ounce level. Spot gold was up 0.4% at $1,872.96 per ounce, as of 0257 GMT, after hitting its lowest level since Jan. 6 earlier in the session. Those bets helped the dollar index rise 0.2%, adding pressure on gold by raising its cost for buyers holding other currencies. Spot silver edged up 0.2% to $22.39 per ounce, platinum was little changed at $973.88 and palladium added 0.2% to $1,626.38.
The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) , which tracks gold prices, has a return of more than 5% in January, roughly matching the S & P 500. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has doubled up the SPDR Gold Trust this month, while the small cap Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) has gained more than 8%. Silver mining ETFs are also doing well, even though the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is negative for the month. ETFMG's Prime Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) has gained more than 8% this month. The SPDR Gold Trust had dipped less than 1% for three straight trading sessions entering Tuesday.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,906.01 per ounce, as of 0252 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 0.1% to $1,906.00. Few Fed officials signalled on Wednesday that they would push on with more interest rate hikes, while Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said they supported a slower pace of tightening. Lower interest rates tend to boost bullion's appeal as they decrease the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset. Spot silver lost 0.2% to $23.38 per ounce, platinum was flat at $1,038.38, and palladium fell 0.1% to $1,716.13.
SummarySummary Companies U.S. CPI report due on ThursdayHawkish tone from Fed could prompt profit-taking - analystJan 10 (Reuters) - Gold prices were steady on Tuesday, with cautious traders largely focusing on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech for insights into the U.S. central bank's rate-hike trajectory. Spot gold held its ground at $1,872.79 per ounce, as of 0333 GMT. Investors' focus is on Powell's speech at a central bank conference later in the day. "Gold prices are hitting a key resistance at the $1,875 level ... A hawkish tone in Fed Chair Powell's speech later today could prompt some near-term profit-taking in gold," said IG Market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. "However, market is on the watch for a downside surprise in the U.S. CPI to support the less-hawkish rate-hike expectations, which could translate to upside for gold prices."
Gold prices gain on hopes of smaller U.S. rate hikes
  + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices advanced to an eight-month high on Monday, as a weaker dollar made greenback-priced bullion cheaper for overseas buyers while hopes of less-aggressive U.S. rate hikes also lifted sentiment. Spot gold was up 0.7% at $1,878.55 per ounce, as of 0256 GMT, its highest level since May 9, 2022. U.S. gold futures also rose 0.7% to $1,883.20. The dollar index slipped 0.3%. Market participants will now turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at a central bank conference in Stockholm on Tuesday and U.S. consumer price index data due on Thursday.
Spot gold was up 0.7% at $1,878.55 per ounce, as of 0256 GMT, its highest level since May 9, 2022. U.S. gold futures also rose 0.7% to $1,883.20. The dollar index slipped 0.3%. Market participants will now turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at a central bank conference in Stockholm on Tuesday and U.S. consumer price index data due on Thursday. "This week's CPI data would be key.
"Traders remain cautious ahead of the Fed minutes. The minutes will likely give an idea about the Fed's policy decisions and this will impact dollar and gold," said Hareesh V., head of commodity research at Geojit Financial Services. There are chances of more inflows to gold when the Fed starts easing policies." Bullion is seen as a hedge against inflation, but rising rates dull non-yielding asset's appeal. Traders also kept a tab on rising coronavirus infections in top gold consumer China after the country's abrupt COVID policy U-turn in early December.
Gold prices inch higher as U.S. dollar, yields slip
  + stars: | 2022-12-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices ticked up on Thursday as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields eased, with market participants awaiting new indications on the Federal Reserve's rate hike plans. Benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields eased after hitting a six-week high in the previous session. If it shows an increases in claims, then it should weaken dollar and support gold," said Ajay Kedia, director at Kedia Commodities, Mumbai. Bullion is on track for a yearly decline of about 1% pressured by aggressive U.S. rate hikes. "In 2022, gold has already priced in the rate hikes.
Billionaire Mark Cuban is doubling down on bitcoin and says he even prefers investing in the digital asset over gold. However, Cuban called gold investors "dumb as f---" during his interview with Maher. However, there is a key difference between how gold and bitcoin derive value. On the other hand, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are a relatively new form of payment. Bitcoin prices are currently trending far below their January prices while gold has only diminished by a little over 1% year to date as of Dec. 27.
Spot gold rose 0.6% to $1,809.20 per ounce by 1136 GMT. A weaker dollar also makes the greenback-denominated bullion less expensive for other currency holders. "Gold was weaker for most of 2022 amid aggressive tightening of monetary policies, rising real yields and dollar strength. "Sustained recovery in gold prices is possible if Fed pivots." In other metals, spot silver rose 1.6% to $24.09 per ounce, platinum gained 0.4% to $1,025.32, while palladium jumped 1.9% to $1,797.00.
Gold slips as dollar firms to kick start big data week
  + stars: | 2022-12-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilo gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. Gold prices fell on Monday, dragged down by a firmer dollar, while investors positioned for key U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve's rate-hike verdict due this week. Investors will keep a close eye on Tuesday's U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and Fed's final meeting of 2022 scheduled on Dec. 13-14. Additionally, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) are also set to announce rate hikes this week, as policymakers continue their battle against inflation. Spot silver lost 0.8% to $23.27, platinum fell 0.5% to $1,016.88 and palladium ticked 0.6% lower to $1,938.33.
Automic Gold's growing popularity is backed by an unconventional strategy: ditching those major platforms and selling only on its own website. Al Sandimirova officially founded Automic Gold, an size- and LGBTQ-inclusive jewelry company in 2016. In 2021, its first full year exclusively selling jewelry from its online storefront, it brought in $4.8 million. "Regular companies assume it's harder to target the LGBT community," Sandimirova says. Searching for outletsSandimirova named Automic Gold — spelled to include "AU," the chemical abbreviation for gold, and pronounced like "atomic" — with "autonomy," independence and freedom in mind.
China's reported gold reserves rise for first time since 2019
  + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Dec 7 (Reuters) - China's central bank said on Wednesday it had added 32 tonnes of gold worth around $1.8 billion to its reserves, the first time it has disclosed an increase since September 2019. The additions bring China's reported holdings at the end of November to 1,980 tonnes, worth around $112 billion. China has the world's sixth-largest official national gold reserves after countries including Russia, Germany and the United States, which is the biggest with 8,133.5 tonnes. China's reported holdings have risen to 1,980 tonnes worth around $112 billion. The reported increase in China's gold reserves was part of data released by the People's Bank of China showing its foreign exchange reserves rose more than expected in November.
Gold struggles for momentum as investors await further Fed cues
  + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
One kilo gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. Gold prices struggled for momentum in early Asian trade on Wednesday as investors looked to next week's U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting for clues on the pace of rate hikes. U.S. gold futures were flat at $1,783.10. Fed fund futures are now pricing in a 91% chance of 50-basis point (bps) rate increase in the December meeting. SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 0.3% to 906.06 tons on Tuesday.
The global macro, policy and political mix dynamic has never been more uncertain, and standard economic and market models based on mean reversion and historical precedence have rarely been less useful. It is against this backdrop that Saxo Bank and Standard Chartered have released their extremely-out-of-consensus 'Outrageous Predictions' and 'Market Surprises of 2023' forecasts, respectively. Given the political, economic and financial market turmoil of the past 12 months, none of these scenarios over the next 12 could be completely ruled out. chartWALL, MEET MUDLet's take a few of these predictions, starting with Standard Chartered's yuan and euro calls. Deutsche Bank's baseline 2023 economic outlook even has euro zone growth outpacing U.S. growth next year.
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