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☆ Oil rises after Russia says it could cut output due to price cap
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil prices rose by $2 per barrel on Friday after Moscow said it could cut crude output in response to the G7 price cap on Russian exports, putting the market on track for a second week of gains. Russia may cut oil output by 5%-7% in early 2023 as it responds to price caps, the RIA news agency cited Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak as saying on Friday. "Crude prices are higher as energy traders focus on Moscow's response to the price cap put on Russian oil and not so much the thousands of flight cancellations that will disrupt holiday travel," OANDA analyst Edward Moya said. On Thursday, benchmark oil prices fell as flights were scrapped. "As U.S. crude oil inventories fall and winter storms hit the U.S., cold temperatures are expected to extend southward to Texas, Florida, and the Eastern states.

☆ Oil climbs on expected drop in Russian exports, offsets U.S. storm impact
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( Florence Tan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

On Thursday, oil prices on both sides of the Atlantic settled lower as flights were scrapped. However, heating oil demand could be boosted as the extreme weather is expected to cause power outages. Brent and WTI are on track to post a second weekly gain, supported by expectations of an eventual rebound in oil demand at the world's No. However, surging COVID-19 cases in the mainland, concerns about further rate hikes globally and recession curbing fuel consumption limited oil price gains. "The oil market's biggest wildcard is China and optimism is still strong that the reopening will continue and eventually lead to more demand," Moya said.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose $1, or 1.31%, to $76.19 after climbing 90 cents on Monday. Oil prices have been buoyed by U.S. plans announced last week to buy up to 3 million barrels of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve after this year's record release of 180 million barrels. A weaker dollar has also supported prices, making oil cheaper for those holding other currencies. "The oil demand outlook will be key for how high crude prices can go," he said, adding that clarity on that could prove elusive given mixed signals on the reopening of China's economy. While China has been relaxing pandemic restrictions, a surge in COVID-19 cases has been bearish for oil markets because of uncertainty over the country's economic recovery, said CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng.

☆ Oil prices edge higher; China COVID surge limits gains
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( Isabel Kua | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SINGAPORE, Dec 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices inched higher on Tuesday, supported by a softer dollar and a U.S. plan to restock petroleum reserves, but gains were capped by uncertainty over the impact of rising COVID-19 cases in top oil importer China. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 32 cents, or 0.4%, to $75.51 a barrel, after climbing 90 cents in the previous session. Oil prices have been buoyed by a U.S. plan announced last week to buy up to 3 million barrels of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve following this year's record release of 180 million barrels from the stock. A weaker greenback has also supported prices, making oil cheaper for those holding other currencies. U.S. crude oil stocks were expected to have dropped last week by about 200,000 barrels, while gasoline and distillates inventories were seen higher, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

SINGAPORE, Dec 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged up on Tuesday, supported by a softer dollar and a U.S. plan to restock petroleum reserves, but gains were capped by uncertainty over the impact of rising COVID-19 cases in top oil importer China. Oil prices have been buoyed by a U.S. plan announced last week to buy up to 3 million barrels of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve following this year's record release of 180 million barrels from the stock. A weaker greenback has also supported prices, making oil cheaper for those holding other currencies. While China has been relaxing pandemic restrictions, the surge in COVID-19 cases has been bearish for the oil markets due to uncertainties about the country's economic recovery, said Tina Teng, an analyst at CMC Markets. U.S. crude oil stocks were expected to have dropped last week by about 200,000 barrels, while gasoline and distillates inventories were seen higher, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

Japan's Nikkei Stock Index (.N225) shed 2.2% after trading in positive territory earlier in the day, as stocks resumed trading following the BOJ decision. The dollar dropped 2.43% against the yen to 133.62 after the BOJ decision, hitting a four-month low. In early European futures trading, the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures were down 0.89% at 3,784, German DAX futures were down 0.91% at 13,888, FTSE futures were down 0.63% at 7,321. U.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis , were down 0.52% at 3,825.5. In Asian trading, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 3.6752% compared with its U.S. close of 3.583% on Monday.

☆ Oil climbs, but uncertainty on China COVID surge caps gains
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( Sonali Paul | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MELBOURNE, Dec 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose in early trade on Tuesday, shored up by a weaker dollar and a U.S. plan to restock its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, but gains were limited by uncertainty over the impact of rising COVID-19 cases in China, the world's top oil importer. Brent crude futures advanced 61 cents, or 0.8%, to $80.40 a barrel at 0124 GMT, adding to a 76 cent gain in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 65 cents, or 0.9%, to $75.84 barrel, after climbing 90 cents in the previous session. A weaker U.S. dollar has also buoyed prices, with the dollar index around 104.7, as it makes oil cheaper for those holding other currencies. China on Tuesday reported a jump in new confirmed coronavirus cases to 2,722 on Dec. 19, up from 1,995 a day earlier.

☆ Asian markets mostly weaker as investors question China reopening
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( Scott Murdoch | Thomson Reuters | Scott Murdoch Has Been A Journalist For More Than Two Decades Working For Thomson Reuters | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

China is pushing on with easing restrictions after three years of COVID-19 lockdowns which is leaving to investors to question how financial markets will react to the reopening. "Once they do reopen, there will be positive sentiment and China will become a growth story for the world again." Australian shares (.AXJO) on Tuesday were down 0.72%, while Japan's Nikkei stock index (.N225) rose 0.34%. In Asian trading, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 3.5993% compared with its U.S. close of 3.583% on Monday. "The subsequent hawkish Fed policy update remains fresh in the minds of investors," NAB analyst wrote on Tuesday.

NEW YORK, Dec 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices slid about 2% on Thursday as traders worried about the fuel demand outlook due to a stronger dollar and further interest rate hikes by global central banks. "Crude prices edged lower as ... global recession risks increased after a wave of central banks delivered another strong round of tightening. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday the U.S. central bank will raise interest rates further next year, even as the economy slips toward a possible recession. On Thursday, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank raised interest rates to fight inflation. Also pressuring oil prices, Canada's TC Energy Corp (TRP.TO) said it was resuming operations in a section of its Keystone pipeline, a week after a leak of more than 14,000 barrels of oil in Kansas triggered a shutdown.

☆ Oil prices slide 2% as dollar firms and central banks hike interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices slid about 2% on Thursday as traders worried about the fuel demand outlook due to a stronger dollar and further interest rate hikes by global central banks. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the U.S. central bank will raise interest rates further next year, even as the economy slips toward a possible recession. On Thursday, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank raised interest rates to fight inflation. Also pressuring oil prices, Canada's TC Energy Corp <TRP.TO> said it was resuming operations in a section of its Keystone pipeline, a week after a leak of more than 14,000 barrels of oil in Kansas triggered a shutdown. U.S. crude oil stockpiles rose by more than 10 million barrels last week, the most since March 2021, the Energy Information Administration said.

☆ Oil edges up on U.S. pipeline restart uncertainty, Russian supplies
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-12 | by ( Emily Chow | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"Oil prices are higher as the Keystone pipeline remains shut, China's COVID controls ease and on concerns that Russia could reduce output," said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst for OANDA. On Sunday, Canada's TC Energy (TRP.TO) said it had not yet determined the cause of the Keystone oil pipeline leak last week in the United States. Putin said on Friday that Russia, the world's biggest exporter of energy, could cut production and would refuse to sell oil to any country that imposes a "stupid" price cap on Russian exports agreed by G7 nations. While the uncertainty surrounding European Union sanctions on Russian oil and the related price cap kept volatility high on prices, the sanctions have had a limited impact on global markets so far, ANZ analysts said in a note. Saudi Arabia's energy minister also said on Sunday that the impact of the European sanctions and price cap measures had had no clear results yet, and that its implementation was still unclear.

"Oil prices are higher as the Keystone pipeline remains shut, China's COVID controls ease and on concerns that Russia could reduce output," said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst for OANDA. On Sunday, Canada's TC Energy (TRP.TO) said it has not yet determined the cause of the Keystone oil pipeline leak last week in the United States, while also not giving a timeline as to when the pipeline will resume operations. While the uncertainty surrounding European Union sanctions on Russian oil and the related price cap kept volatility high on prices, the sanctions have had a limited impact on global markets so far, ANZ analysts said in a note. In the U.S., Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen forecast a substantial reduction in U.S. inflation in 2023, barring an unexpected shock. Reporting by Florence Tan and Emily Chow; Editing by Kenneth Maxwell and Christian SchmollingerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Oil bounces near Dec 2021 lows after Keystone pipeline shutdown
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-09 | by ( Florence Tan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SINGAPORE, Dec 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices bounced on Friday as closure of a major Canada-to-U.S. crude pipeline disrupted supplies, but prices remained near December 2021 lows on concerns over slowing global demand growth. Brent crude futures were at $76.74 a barrel, up 59 cents, or 0.8%, at 0115 GMT after dropping 1.3% on Thursday. More than 14,000 barrels of crude oil spilled into a creek in Kansas, making it one of the largest crude spills in the United States in nearly a decade. The news appears "to be only short-term negative for supplies but doesn't change anything with the deteriorating crude demand outlook", OANDA analyst Edward Moya said in a note. Oil prices are set to post their biggest weekly drop in months, since traders expect it will be months before the benefits of China easing COVID controls feeds through to demand.

☆ Dollar tries to find footing as recession worries simmer
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

With Japan's own long-term yields pegged near zero by the central bank, the yen slid as long-term U.S. Treasury yields clambored off three-month lows. Meanwhile, the yuan hovered close to an almost three-month high after China revealed a loosening of stifling COVID restrictions. Fed policy makers will have the benefit of seeing the latest consumer inflation data a day before the decision. "The FOMC may step down the pace of its rate hikes to 50bp next week, but unless inflation decelerates consistently, upside risks to FOMC policy remain." Long-term Treasury yields plunged to an almost three-month low of 3.402% overnight, but bounced back to around 3.46% in Tokyo.

☆ Dollar struggles as recession worries simmer
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

TOKYO, Dec 8 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar remained weak on Thursday after sliding against major peers overnight for the first time this week as investors fretted about the potential for recession in the United States. The yuan hovered near an almost three-month high after China revealed a loosening of stifling COVID restrictions. Fed policy makers will have the benefit of seeing the latest consumer inflation data a day before the decision. "The FOMC may step down the pace of its rate hikes to 50bp next week, but unless inflation decelerates consistently, upside risks to FOMC policy remain." Long-term Treasury yields plunged to an almost three-month low overnight, and remained depressed in Tokyo trading at around 3.45%.

☆ Dollar eases against major currencies amid rate, economic concerns; yuan strengthens
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] Banknotes of Chinese yuan and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 29, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/IllustrationNEW YORK, Dec 7 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar weakened slightly against major currencies on Wednesday amid concerns that rising interest rates could push the U.S. economy into recession, while an easing of China's COVID restrictions boosted the yuan. A U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last down 0.2%. "Surging interest rates have the primary driver for dollar strength over the last year." The dollar was last down 0.1% against the offshore Chinese yuan .

☆ Oil steady as China revival hopes offset Russia uncertainty
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( Trixie Sher Li Yap | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Brent crude futures edged up 3 cents, or 0.04%, to $79.38 a barrel by 0717 GMT, after they fell below $80 for the second time in 2022 during the previous trading session. U.S. crude futures mostly traded sideways, and were down 9 cents or 0.12% to $74.16 a barrel. "China has (been) rapidly eased COVID-19 restrictions, which may boost demand," markets analyst Leon Li at CMC Markets said in a note. The reopening could see a 1% boost to global oil demand, ANZ said in a client note. Oil prices have dropped by more than 1% for three straight sessions, giving up most of their gains for the year.

SINGAPORE, Dec 7 (Reuters) - Oil futures edged slightly higher on Wednesday on hopes for improved Chinese demand while uncertainty about how a Western cap on Russian oil prices would play out kept markets on edge after a sharp fall the previous session. U.S. crude futures clawed back earlier losses and were steady from the previous close at $74.25 a barrel. "China has (been) rapidly eased COVID-19 restrictions, which may boost demand," markets analyst Leon Li at CMC Markets said in a note. However, uncertainty on how the price cap on Russian oil would play out on supply contributed to volatility. Oil prices have dropped by more than 1% for three straight sessions, giving up most of their gains for the year.

☆ Dollar falls against major currencies amid economy concerns; yuan strengthens
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies on Wednesday amid concerns that rising interest rates could push the U.S. economy into recession, while a loosening of China's COVID restrictions boosted the yuan. The Peruvian sol fell as the country's Congress voted to oust President Pedro Castillo in an impeachment trial on Wednesday. At its session low, the sol fell more than 2% against the dollar. A U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last down 0.4%. "Surging interest rates have been the primary driver for dollar strength over the last year."

☆ Asia markets set to fall; China signals slight easing of Covid rules
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-02 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stocks were unable to continue Wednesday's rally because investors were awaiting a key jobs report coming Friday, said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. He said investors were purposefully pulling back ahead of non-farm payroll data coming in the morning. Investors will be looking for the right, middle-ground data, said Megan Horneman, chief investing officer at Verdence Capital Advisors. With "a so-so number, I think the markets can maybe rally on that," she added. "But if you get a really weak number, it's just going to spook investors after such a strong rally we've seen in November."

☆ US stocks finish mixed amid fears of more Fed hawkishness after hot jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Dow reversed higher as the Fed is still largely expected to slow its pace of rate hikes. But the hot jobs data could push the Fed to tack on more rate hikes in early 2023, some analysts say. JPMorgan Asset Management chief strategist David Kelly said the jobs report was likely distorted, and there's still plenty of room for the Fed to taper rate hikes and pause in 2023. Principal Asset Management chief strategist Seema Shah said the jobs report could push the Fed to raise rates above 5%. "This report doesn't mean the risks of the Fed raising rates to 6% are back on the table.

☆ US stocks close mixed as investors nervously await November jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-01 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge rose by less than expected in October, by 0.2%. But weekly jobless claims fell, with the data arriving a day before a big November jobs report. But the indexes turned mixed later in the day as investors considered other data points, including a drop in weekly jobless claims, by 16,000 to 225,000. Tomorrow's nonfarm payrolls report will be important as it could move forward bets that inflation will continue to decline." Ahead of the jobs report, investors were widely expecting the Fed to start downsizing the size of its rate hikes, to 50 basis points at its December 13-14 meeting.

Helping to boost prices, U.S. crude oil stocks were expected to have dropped by about 7.9 million barrels in the week ended Nov. 25, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Gasoline inventories rose by about 2.9 million barrels, while distillate stocks were seen rising about 4.0 million barrels, according to the sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity. Thin liquidity and an overall lack of trading volumes towards the year-end could also be propping up the market, according to Virendra Chauhan at Energy Aspects. On the supply side, OPEC+ is likely to keep oil output policy unchanged at a meeting on Sunday, five OPEC+ sources said, although two sources said an additional production cut was also likely to be considered, to support prices. "Oil’s rally ran out of steam after reports that OPEC+ might end up keeping their output steady.

SINGAPORE, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Oil prices extended declines on Thursday as concerns over geopolitical tensions eased, while rising numbers of COVID-19 cases in China added to demand worries in the world's largest crude importer. Brent crude futures fell by $1.04, or 1.1%, to $91.82 a barrel by 0430 GMT. On Wednesday Brent dropped by 1.1% and WTI 1.5% after Russian oil shipments via the Druzhba pipeline to Hungary restarted. "Crude oil fell after NATO cleared Russia's missile attack on Poland, while demand concerns (are) back to trader's focus amid ongoing China's COVID curbs and gloomy global economic outlooks," said Tina Teng, an analyst at CMC Markets. Sustained concerns about weak demand in China are also "keeping markets grounded," said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management.

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